wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

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WP7 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Modelling of tsunami impact in SW PortugalPortugal

Berlim 8-9 October 2008

NEAREST

FFCUL

Rachid OmiraMaria Ana Baptista

Miguel Miranda

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8WP7 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Modelling of tsunami impact in SW PortugalPortugal

WP7.1 Collation of the new Bathymetric Data (merge data not complete)

WP7.2 Implementation of a Numerical Tsunami Model for SW Portugal

WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the “Boca do Rio” area

WP7.4 Production of Inundation Maps for Lagos-Sagres

WP7.5 Model Parametrization and Validation

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COMCOT _ LXAdopted from COMCOT (Cornell University, Liu et al., 1994)

COMCOT code (Cornell University)COMCOT code (Cornell University) Tsunami Simulation Code Based on Tsunami Simulation Code Based on

Shallow Water EquationsShallow Water Equations Leap-frog schemeLeap-frog scheme Nested grid systemNested grid system Moving boundary schemeMoving boundary scheme


CGUL changes: COMCOT – LxCGUL changes: COMCOT – LxSurfer format input / outputSurfer format input / outputOutput Inundation / Flow depthsOutput Inundation / Flow depths

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TRANSFER AREAS

Nested grid systemNested grid system

NEAREST AREAS


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Benchmark testing (collab.with TRANFER project)Benchmark testing (collab.with TRANFER project)#1 – #1 – RUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACHRUNUP ONTO A PLANE BEACH


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The model earthquake - Lisbon eventThe model earthquake - Lisbon event


Fault Plane Strike / Dip / Rake: 340 / 45 / 90

Fault centre Lat / Lon: 37.0N / 9.75W (SW Lisbon)

L = 210 km, W = 75 km, D = 13.6 m

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Does Inundation correlate well to sedimentological evidence?

WP7.3 Simulation of the 1755 tsunami along Algarve

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8 CASABLANCA TEST SITECASABLANCA TEST SITE

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WP7 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in Modelling of tsunami impact in CasablancaCasablanca

(Johnston,1996) (Zitellini, 2001, 2003)

(Gutscher, 2002,2006) (Baptista, 1998)

(Omira et al, 2007) to be sub. To Natural Hazards

Modelled Run up correlates well slip (Okal & Synolakis, GJInt., 2004 et al)

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Vunerability study

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8 Casablanca Harbour area building stockCasablanca Harbour area building stock

Building Survey by Rachid April 2007

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Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment

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On going…Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones

WP7 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test Modelling of tsunami impact in test areasareas

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On going…Modelling tsunami impact in the study Areas using WP1 +TRANSFER & ERSTA Zones


Miranda JM, Baptista MA, Terrinha P, Matias, L. 31st ESC Crete Sept 2008

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8tsts Initial displacements using heterogeneous slip

(SCC (Geist & Domovska ,1999))

INVESTIGATION OF THE EFFECT IN INNUNDATION MAPSON GOING

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CONTRIBUTION TO IOC-NEAMTWS

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Maximum wave elevation +Energy radiation+Travel time

For each scenario

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Computed maximum wave height , energy direction and tsunami travel time for the tsunami scenarios in the Golf of Cadiz


Red lineFirst arrival to the coast

Less 30 minutes

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8WP7 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in test Modelling of tsunami impact in test areasareas

Priority tsunameter location

Tsunami travel time+Radiation pattern+bottom topography

Warning time 15 min =Arrival Time – Detection time

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NEXT STEPS

Tune Model for Flow Depth Velocity


Produce FDVelocity maps

Ouput of TRANSFER: standards for Inundation maps (next week Messina )DoW 27 – Month 29

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8Next steps

GEOSUB

August 08 survey

Improvement of inundation results with new data

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Tsunami Vulnerability Assessment of Casablanca-Morocco using Numerical Modelling and GIS tools

R. Omira , M. A. Baptista , J. M. Miranda ,C. Catita, E. Toto Subm to Natural Hazards (may 2008, under revision)

REVISION OF THE PORTUGUESE CATALOGUE OF TSUNAMISM. A. Baptista, J. M. Miranda (subm NHESS, accept with minor

revision)

REVISION OF THE MOROCCO TSUNAMI CATALOGUEF. Kaabouben, M. A. Baptista, A. Iben Brahim, A. Toto, A. Elmouraouah

Ready for submission to NHESS ?

publications

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WP1.1 - INGV - Database for paleotsunamis Euro-Mediterranean area (boulders or sediments)

TRANSFER web site

The DB can be visited and updated through the web interface (http://paleotsunami.rm.ingv.it/) and data can be downloaded in a format ready to be included in the TRANSFER GIS DB.

TRANSFER WP1 DATABASE

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WP7 WP7 Modelling of tsunami impact in SW Modelling of tsunami impact in SW PortugalPortugal

Del.n.

Deliverable name

Workpackage

Workpackage n.

Due Date

(project

month)

Actual/

Forecast

delivery

date

Estimated indicative

person months

(all partners involved)

Used indicative

person months (all

partners involved)

Lead contract

or

D24a

D24b

new bathymetri

c mapcruise report

WP71111

1212

5 5 FFCUL

D25

implementation of a

numerical tsunami

model for SW

Portugal

WP7 17 17 12 12 FFCUL

D26

simulation of the 1755 tsunami in the Boca de

Rio area

WP7 29 29 9 9 FFCUL

D27

inundation maps for Lagos-Sagres

WP7 32 32 9 9 FFCUL

D28

validation of the model

WP7 35 35 12 12 FFCUL

wp7 modelling of tsunami impact in sw portugal

Documents