year to march 2015 - final to print · earnings per share – basic 13.0p 15.7p (17) earnings per...
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Full Year Results
Year to 31 March 201519 May 2015
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Disclaimer
2
These materials do not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security. These materials contain "forward-looking statements" as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on current Company expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates; market acceptance of new trading technologies; global and regional economic conditions and legislative, regulatory and political developments; and domestic and international competition in the Company's global markets. Additional information regarding these and other factors is available in the Company's reports available on request from the Company.
This document may not be distributed where to do so would be unlawful. This document may not be distributed in the UK except to persons falling within article 19 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001.
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Michael Spencer
Group Chief Executive Officer
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H2Profit before tax
Spend innew initiatives
Full yeardividend
8% 2% Unchanged
FY15 £143m £43m 22.0p
FY14 £132m £42m 22.0p
Encouraging end to a challenging year
4
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David Ireland
Interim Group Finance Director
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Trading results exclude acquisition & disposal costs and exceptional itemsFY14 restated for JV accounting change
1,378
1,276
20
45
77
1,200
1,250
1,300
1,350
1,400
FY14 Net closedbusinesses
H1continuing
H2continuing
FY15
139 132
86
143
-
30
60
90
120
150
180
H1 FY14 H2 FY14 H1 FY15 H2 FY15
Group income statement
FY15£m
FY14£m
% change
Revenue 1,276 1,378 (7)
Net operating expenses (1,024) (1,088) 6
Trading operating profit 252 290 (13)
Net finance charge (31) (27) (15)
Associates & JV’s 8 8 -
Trading profit before tax 229 271 (15)
Trading operating profit margin 20% 21% (1ppt)
Trading results
Revenue (vs prior year)
6
Half-on-half trading profit before tax
£m
£m
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107 93
96 97
87 62
FY14 FY15Electronic Markets Post Trade Global Broking
565 523
291 292
169 149
150 132
119
108
84
72
FY14 FY15
Rates
FX & MM
Commodities
Emergingmarkets
Credit
Equities
ICAP’s business mix
Trading operating profit by business
Trading operating profit margin by business
7
£203m70%
£190m75%
Group revenues by product
£1,378m
£1,276m
(7%)
10%
8%
45%
43%
40%
36%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
FY14
FY15
Electronic Markets Post Trade Global Broking
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50
75
100
125
150
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
FY14 FY15
FY15: $98bn/dayFY14: $93bn/day
100
150
200
250
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
FY14 FY15
FY15: $163bn/dayFY14: $158bn/day
£124m£128m
£7m
£122m
£133m
£10m
EBS
BrokerTec
Other
Electronic Markets
Trading results Revenue mix
FY15£m
FY14£m
% change
Revenue 259 265 (2)
Constant currency 262 (1)
Trading operating profit 93 107 (13)
Constant currency 107 (13)
Trading operating profit margin 36% 40% (4ppt)
EBS Spot FX – Average Daily VolumesBrokerTec UST – Average Daily Volumes
FY14 FY15
8
£265m £259m
$bn/day $bn/day
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70 69
41 39
54 67
47 53
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
FY14 FY15
Information Reset Traiana TriOptima
36%
64%
Post Trade Risk & Information
Trading results Revenue by business
Transaction vs subscription revenue
9
£212m
£228m8%
£m
36%
64%
Transaction
Subscription£212m £228m
FY14 FY15
FY15£m
FY14£m
% change
Revenue 228 212 8
Constant currency 207 10
Trading operating profit 97 96 1
Constant currency 93 4
Trading operating profit margin 43% 45% (2ppt)
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Post Trade Risk & Information
10
TriOptima
Investment in new initiativesReset – volatility*
Traiana – FX vs Non-FX transactions
• TriOptima – continues to offer new services; triCalculate expected to launch 2015/16
• Traiana – further diversification; launch of Equity CCP Connect
• Euclid Opportunities – further investments anticipated in FY16
-
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
-
20
40
60
80
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2013/14 2014/15
triReduce - compressions triResolve - active users
$trn No.
47
37 36
44
1
4 5
848
41 41
52
30
35
40
45
50
55
H1 2013/14 H2 2013/14 H1 2014/15 H2 2014/15
Av g transactions per month (millions) FX Non-FX
-
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
(160bps)
Jul 12: 1.615%
Mar 15: 0.018%
* 3m Euribor rate – quarterly average
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FY15£m
FY14£m
% change
Revenue 789 901 (12)
Constant currency 885 (11)
Trading operating profit 62 87 (29)
Constant currency 86 (28)
Trading operating profit margin 8% 10% (2ppt)
901
789
2
45
69
750
800
850
900
950
FY14 Net closedbusinesses
H1continuing
H2continuing
FY15£m
Global Broking
Trading results
11
No. of brokers 1,571 2,064 (24)
Broker compensation as % of revenue 53% 57% 4ppt
£m
Revenue (vs prior year)
Half-on-half trading operating profit
55
32
18
45
-
20
40
60
H1 FY14 H2 FY14 H1 FY15 H2 FY15
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484 396
417394
-
300
600
900
1,200
FY14 FY15H1 H2
6%
18%
12%
(5%)
1%
(5%)
(12%)
(8%)
(11%)
(20%) (15%) (10%) (5%) - 5%
Credit
FX & MM
Equities
Emergingmarkets
Commodities
Rates
Continuing Impact of closed businesses
Revenue by region
£63m
£103m
£132m
£148m
£74m
£269m
Global Broking
Product revenues – full year change H1/H2 revenue split
12
£m
£901m£789m
£437m
£362m
£102m
EMEA
Americas
Asia Pacific£396m
£297m
£96m
£901m £789m
FY14 FY15
(9%)
(3%)
(4%)
(6%)
(4%)
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195
20
70
25
80
- 30 60 90 120 150 180
Totalcost
savings
FY15
FY14
FY13
FY12
Restructuring programme
Total annualised cost savings Headcount
13
£m
1,088
1,024
12
41
11
1,000
1,025
1,050
1,075
1,100
FY14 FY14incremental
savings
FY15net costsavings
Tradingadjustments& investment
FY15£m
31 March 2014
4,940 4,306
31 March 2015
Net operating expenses reconciliation Restructuring programme
36 24
- 15 30 45 60 75 90
Cost todeliver
Netsavings
Cash Non-cash
£70m
£60m
3,076 543
564
757 GlobalBroking
ElectronicMarkets
PostTrade
Infra-structure
2,336
607
619
744
£m
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1316
96
152
2
-
10
20
30
40
FY14 FY15
22 23
10 9
59
52
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY14 FY15
Investment in major new initiatives
14
£43m spent on new product initiatives
Total spend Income statement
£29m
£25m
£43m£42m
£m £m
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27
32 31
5
1-
3 3
20
25
30
35
40
FY14 Interest ontax PY
adjustment
FY14adjusted
Interestincome
Dividendincome
Eurobondinterestpayable
FY15 runrate
* Net of tax
Earnings – total operations
Headline Trading effective tax rate
Net finance costs
FY15£m
FY14£m
% change
Trading Profit before tax 229 271 (15)
Tax on trading profit (44) (59) 25
Trading Profit after tax 185 212 (13)
Exceptional items* (57) (64) (11)
Acquisition and disposal costs* (44) (48) (8)
Profit for the year – total operations 84 100 (16)
Earnings per share – basic 13.0p 15.7p (17)
Earnings per share – trading basic 28.7p 33.2p (14)
Full year dividend per share 22.0p 22.0p -
15
£m
22
19
2
-
1
3
1
15%
17%
19%
21%
23%
25%
27%
FY14ETR
Prioryearadj
Reductionin taxrates
Overseasrates &bases
Permanentdifference
FY15ETR
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Free cash flow & borrowings
Impact of trading activities on free cash flow
16
£m
FY15 FY14£m £m
Term debt (549) (540)Maturing eurobond - (247)Gross debt (549) (787)
Trading cash 438 472 Central cash 43 226 Gross cash 481 698
Net debt (68) (89)
Restricted funds 43 39
309
196
21
6
5
14
66
57 1
48
141
-
90
180
270
360
TradingEBITDA
Workingcapital
Interest& tax
Capex Dividends fromassociates &investments
Other Trading freecash flow
Exceptionalitems
Dividends toICAP
shareholders
FX Movement innet debt
Historic cash conversion Cash and debt
81%103%
130%
75%
106%
0%
30%
60%
90%
120%
150%
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15Cash conversion rate Cash conversion (2-year moving avg)
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Gil Mandelzis
CEO EBS BrokerTec
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Innovation
EBS Average Daily Volumes Comments
• 30 yards of new flow created over the past two years from EBS Direct and emerging market currencies
• Ruble volumes have declined due to geo-political events and market sanctions
• Volatility has remained relatively low in the FX markets due to risk aversion and regulation
18
-
30
60
90
120
150
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec Jan
Feb
Mar
FY14 FY15
G7 Pairs & Ruble New Currencies & EBS Direct
$bn/day
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EBS Market Performance
EBS Market - Average Daily Volumes Comments
• Exchange-like, central limit order book (CLOB) platform sits at the heart of FX market ecology
• The importance of EBS Market as a reference price and an independent price discovery venue in Spot FX is unrivalled
• Stable and resilient platform that can withstand periods of extreme volatility and market stress
Cas
e st
udie
s
Bank of Japan announced quantitative easing programme 31 October 2014
• Unexpected by the market
• High degree of volatility in USDJPY
• EBS Market maintained normal, robust trading conditions
SNB announced removal of a minimum exchange rate 15 January 2015
• Resulted in exceptional market volatility
• Throughout this period, normal, robust trading conditions were maintained on EBS Market
19
-
30
60
90
120
150
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec Jan
Feb
Mar Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec Jan
Feb
Mar
FY14 FY15
$bn/day
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Currency Pair Expansion
CNH - ADV
NDF - ADV
Comments
• 18 months ago, 10% of the available CNH market was traded on EBS
• Now one of the top five currency pairs traded on EBS
• Over 60% of the available CNH market was traded on EBS in March 2015
• First to launch e-NDF products to market
• Expansion of our LatAm offering in 2015/16
• Market leaders in e-traded Asian NDFs
20
-
1
2
3
4
5
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
$bn/day
$bn/day
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
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EBS Direct
• EBS Direct – disclosed bilateral trading platform that is complementary to EBS Market
• Since commercial launch 18 months ago:
- Significant growth – new clients and expansion of non-major currencies
- Expect non-linear progression
- Volumes have varied in recent months owing to technology upgrades and flow moving back to a central limit order book environment during periods of volatility
- Strong global sales pipeline
21
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
-
5
10
15
20
25
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
FY14 FY15
Major Non-Major LC Counterparties
EBS Direct – monthly volumes Comments
$bn/day
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22
EBS currently offers the only fully electronic interbank fix execution solution which we continue to invest and develop in line with market requirements.
Live.
Non-disclosed, segmented, bilateral liquidity pool. Complementary platform to EBS Market and EBS Direct.
In beta.
Fully integrated view of EBS’s diverse products and services, new analytics and access to trusted liquidity through a single screen via HTML5. Q3 2015.
New instruments launching on EBS Direct. Will support Request for Stream (RFS), a new addition to EBS’s execution functionality. Q3 2015.
EBS product innovation and expansion
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Combining companies
23
• Strong synergies across the companies – opportunity to leverage technology, resource and network to bring new products to market
• Full merger will occur gradually throughout this year
• We will provide our clients with unparalleled access to a diverse range of quality liquidity across products, trading styles and geographies, with the benefit of an established and far-reaching distribution network
• It is a meaningful and exciting change both internally and for the market
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24
Growing our addressable market
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• Strong foundation and momentum – the building blocks are now in place
• Focused on growing our new product lines and encouraging adoption in the market
• Strong product pipeline in FX, beginning planning stage in fixed income
• Exploring synergies across EBS and BrokerTec to optimise technology, resource and network
• Dedicated to transforming the foreign exchange and fixed income market, its liquidity and distribution structure
Summary
25
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Q&A
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Appendix
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(38)
(24)
(8)
(6)
(45)
(30)
(15)
-
Headlinetrading operating
profit change
TransactionalFX
TranslationalFX
Underlyingtrading operating
profit change
Exchange rate sensitivities
Impact of FX on FY15 trading operating profit
28
FX impact: (£14m)
Current hedging FY16
% Hedged Hedged rate
EUR 64% 1.2655
USD 62% 1.6124
£m
Key FY16 exposures
Transactional Translational Total
FX rate £m FX rate £m £m
EUR 1.31 (7) 1.38 (4) (11)
USD 1.56 9 1.48 15 24
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ICAP plc2 Broadgate, London EC2M 7UR+44 (0) 20 7000 5000www.icap.com
Investor Relations:Alex Dee+44 (0) 20 7050 [email protected]