01 primer seminarskog rada

8/8/2019 01 Primer Seminarskog Rada

1/15

1. ..............................................................................................................................2

2. ..........................................................................................................32............................................................................................................................6

3.1. ....8

6. - .................................................................................................9

3.2. ........................................9

Exel- (avarage i median).

,

13 12 ( ). 10

3.3. .........................................................104. .............................................................................................11

5.1. .......................................................................................................................13

:....................................................................................................................13..................................................................................................................15

1


2/15

1.

,

(2010. ), 2009. .

.

, .

,

, ,

2 .

, ,

,

.

.

, XXI ,

. ,

,

.

:

1.

2


3/15

2.

2.

2010.

2009. 4,5%, (

, , , ) je

2,9%. 0,17 %

, .

1.

2009. 2010.

,

,

2009 1896 1396

2009 1893 1393 2009 1886 1986

2009 1867 1383

2009 1864 1379

2009 1861 1377

2009 1857 1373

2010 1851 1366

2010 1846 1362

2010 1817 1362

2010 1817 1361

2010 1814 1359 2010 1814 1356

3


4/15

1.

2.

,

, 1,57 %.

1

( 2).

2.

2009. 2010.

4


5/15

2009 73.62869198

2009 73.5868991

2009 73.48886532

2009 74.07605785

2009 73.9806867

2009 73.99247716 2009 73.93645665

2010 73.79794706

2010 73.78114843

2010 74.95872317

2010 74.9036874

2010 74.91730981

2010 74.75192944

(74,96 %), (73,49 %).

,

: 74.1385 %.

3.

5


6/15

2.

2010.

47486 . 2010. ,

2,2%, 2,2%,

2009. 7,3%, 3,5%.

2010.

34161 .

2010. , 2,1%, 2,1%,

2009.

7,5%, 3,7%.

3. , ,

2009. 2010.

2009 44246 50761 96345 50009

2009 45307 53923 896372 50237

6


7/15

2009 43597 50917 84260 49533

200943577 51274 94011 50233

200944147 51128 93128 49864

2009

43895 50045 86712 49473

200951115 55625 123834 50818

2010 41651 52883 73667 49093

201044871 52803 98356 49396

2010 46457 53164 96240 50226

2010 48525 53457 123238 49758

2010 46454 53813 89794 49946

2010 47486 53256 97119 50532

4. , ,

2009. 2010.

2010 47486 53256 97119 50532

7


8/15

5. , ,

,

, 2009. . ,

5

. , ,

50532 .

3.1.

Intervali BinFrequenc

yRel.

Freq.%

Cum.Freq.

Rel. Cum.Freq.

%

72-85 85 2 0.15 15 2 0.15 15

86-99 99 8 0.62 62 10 0.77 77

100-113 113 1 0.08 8 11 0.85 85

114-127 127 2 0.15 15 13 1.00 100

suma 1001.00

8


9/15

6. -

, .

,

86 99 .

3.2.

45

486.77 .

.

. .

44871, .

Exel-

( Descriptive Statistics), :

Mean45590.

17

9


10/15

StandardError

745.3142

Median 45089

Mode /

Standard

Deviation

2581.8

44SampleVariance

6665919

Kurtosis0.5973

04

Skewness0.7387

98

Range 9464

Minimum 41651

Maximum 51115

Sum 547082

Count 12

Exel-

(avarage i median).

,

13 12 ( ).

3.3.

9464.

,

.

X X- (X-)2

44246 -1240.77 1539508

45307 -179.769 32316.98

43597 -1889.77 3571228

43577 -1909.77 3647219

44147 -1339.77 1794982

43895 -1591.77 2533729

10


11/15

511155628.23

13167698

2

41651 -3835.77

1471312

6

44871 -615.769 379171.7

46457970.230

8 941347.7

48525

3038.23

1 9230846

46454

967.230

8 935535.4

47486

1999.23

1 3996924

74992914

=

45486.7

7 Varp=

576868

6

5768686.

,

13.

.

2401,81.

4 .

.

4.

2009. 2010.

,

,

,

;

11


12/15

2009 838 763 423

2009 832 756 421

2009 823 747 469

2009816 737 463

2009 806 727 457

2009803 723 457

2009812 730 463

2010 835 751 479

2010 852 767 489

2010 866 778 497

2010 860 772 495

2010 851 762 490

2010 835 747 480

,

, 2009.

, ,

.

,

.

2009. 2010. 7.

:

12


13/15

7. -

2009. 2010.

, .

5.1.

:

13


14/15

X Y X-Xbar Y-Ybar (X-Xbar)2 (Y-Ybar)2 (X-Xbar)*(Y-Ybar)

763 42312.2307

7-44.9231 149.5917

2018.0828

4-549.443787

756 4215.23076

9-46.9231 27.36095

2201.7751

5-245.443787

747 469 -3.76923 1.076923

14.2071 1.15976331

-4.059171598

737 463 -13.7692 -4.92308 189.591724.236686

467.78698225

727 457 -23.7692 -10.9231 564.9763119.31360

9259.6331361

723 457 -27.7692 -10.9231 771.1302119.31360

9303.3254438

730 463 -20.7692 -4.92308 431.360924.236686

4102.2485207

751 479

0.23076

9

11.0769

2 0.053254

122.69822

5 2.556213018

767 48916.2307

7

21.0769

2263.4379

444.23668

6342.0946746

778 49727.2307

7

29.0769

2741.5148

845.46745

6791.7869822

772 49521.2307

727.0769

2450.7456

733.159763

574.8639053

762 49011.2307

722.0769

2126.1302

487.390533

247.9408284

747 480 -3.7692312.0769

2

14.2071145.85207

1

-45.52071006

Xbar= Ybar= 3744.3087286.923

08 1847.769231750.76

92467.923

1 288.0237560.5325

44 142.1360947

X Y

X 1

Y 0.353744644 1

0.35 . kao

:

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R0.9833554

95

14


15/15

R Square0.9669880

29

Adjusted R Square0.9603856

34

Standard Error2.3401312

86

Observations 7

Coefficient

s

Intercept

-44.367886

88

X Variable0.6978660

65

Y = A0 + A1X1

X = 0, Y = -44,37 + 0*0,7 = -44,37

Y = 0, X = 44,37 : 0,7 = 63,38

X Y .

1. http://www.statserb.sr.gov.rs

2. http :// www .mfin .sr .gov .rs

3. http://www.nbs.rs

15
http://www.mfin.sr.gov.yu/http://www.mfin.sr.gov.yu/

01 primer seminarskog rada

Documents