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1 DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic Framework December 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic Framework Scott A. Hausman Acting Director NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) December 10, 2010

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1DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkScott A. HausmanActing DirectorNOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC)

December 10, 2010

2DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 2THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Overview

• Background of the Climate Service• Progress to date• NAPA Recommendations• Proposed Organization• Vision, Mission and Objectives• Core Capabilities and Societal Challenges• Feedback on Strategic Framework• Regional Climate Service Directors• Next Steps• Data Management Challenges

3DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 3THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Background: February 8th DOC – NOAA Announcement

“…NOAA’s intent to establish a new office called the NOAA Climate Service. This would create a single office for climate science and service bringing together the climate assets and capabilities that are currently dispersed in multiple units across the agency.”

“We are announcing the intent to reorganize existing assets to make NOAA’s Climate Services more responsive to the needs of those who use our services. While additional funds will be needed to increase NOAA’s core climate capabilities going forward to meet growing demands, the proposed reorganization is independent of new resources.”

“The proposed reorganization would retain the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research recognizing the unique importance of a dedicated science and research enterprise with in NOAA.”

http://www.noaa.gov/climate.html

- Joint press conference with Secretary Gary Locke and Under Secretary Jane Lubchenco

4DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 4THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Progress Since February

Interagency collaborations• Hired 6 Regional Climate Services Directors (RCSDs) and

completed plans for early activities• Completion of National Academy of Public

Administration (NAPA) Study requested by Congress• Development of draft reprogramming package • Development of Vision and Strategic Framework

document • Written by NOAA senior climate science and service managers

and practitioners from across the line offices• Distributed for public comment

5DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 5THE CLIMATE SERVICE

NAPA Recommendations

1. Administration Recommendations• The Administration should strengthen and expand interagency coordination

structures tasked with aligning Executive Branch climate resources, and designate a lead agency

• A Climate Service in NOAA would be uniquely qualified to serve the public and private sectors as a lead federal agency for climate research and services, and to provide an ongoing accessible, authoritative clearinghouse for all federal science and services related to climate

2. NOAA Organizational Recommendations• A new Climate Service Line Office is the right organizational design choice• Science and service assets should be combined within one Line Office• NAPA’s overall proposed Line Office structure aligns with the NOAA-DOC proposal

3. NOAA Implementation Recommendations• Establish transitional leadership focused on implementation and change

management• Learn from examples of recent large reorganizations, in particular within the

defense and security communities

6DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 6THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Observations Division (Chief)

Office of Policy and Strategic Partnerships

(Director)

Office of Research and Modeling

(Director)

Chemical Sciences Lab

(Chief)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab

(Chief)

Physical Sciences Lab

(Chief)

Office of Management(Director)

Office of Data and Information

Products (Director)

Office of Service Design and Delivery

(Director)

Service Design Division (Chief)

Service DeliveryDivision(Chief)

PredictionsDivision (Chief)

ClimatePrediction

Center

Long-termPrediction

Center

Global Monitoring

Lab

CPO Ocean Observing Systems

IntegratedOcean

Observing SystemProgram

Tropical Atmosphere Ocean Array

Modernization of the Hourly Precipitation Rain Gauges

Historical Climatology

Network Modernization

NationalClimatic

Data Center

NationalOceano-graphic

Data Center

National GeophysicalData Center

Under Secretary of Commerce for for Oceans and Atmosphere

Chief Scientist

DAA for Transition and Change Management

Assistant Administrator for Climate Service

Deputy Assistant Administrator

Grants and Contracts Division

(Chief)

Data and Information Products(Chief)

NAPA Proposal

7DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 7THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Regional Climate Service Directors

Doug KluckKansas City, Missouri

DeWayne CecilSalt Lake City, Utah

Ellen MecrayBohemia, New York

David BrownFort Worth, Texas

John MarraHonolulu, Hawaii

James PartainAnchorage, Alaska

8DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 8THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Climate Service Vision and Mission

VisionBy providing science and services, the Climate Service envisions an informed society capable of anticipating and responding to climate and its impacts.MissionImprove understanding and prediction of changes in climate and promote a climate-resilient society by:

• Monitoring climate trends, conducting research, and developing models to strengthen our knowledge of the changing climate and its impacts on our physical, economic, and societal systems

• Providing authoritative and timely information products and services about climate change, climate variability, and impacts

• Informing decision making and management at the local, state, regional, national, and international levels

The Climate Service delivers products and services in collaboration with public, private, and academic partners to maximize social, economic, and environmental benefits.

9DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 9THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Climate Service Objectives

Consistent with Climate objectives from NOAA’s Next Generation Strategic Plan (public comment period closed)

• Improved understanding of the changing climate system and its impacts

• Integrated assessment of current and future states of the climate system that identify potential impacts and inform science, services, and decisions

• Mitigation and adaptation choices supported by sustained, reliable, and timely climate services

• A climate-literate public that understands its vulnerabilities to a changing climate and makes informed decisions.

Information Delivery and Decision SupportNOAA uses its national and regional infrastructure to deliver climate services today

Assessments of Climate Change and Impacts NOAA is a leader in national and regional climate impact assessments Over 70% of Federal IPCC AR4 WG1 authors were from NOAA

Climate Change Research and ModelingInternational award winning models of the global climate

Climate Observations and MonitoringNOAA operates over 90 observation and monitoring systemsNOAA is mandated to monitor and provide access to climate data and information

Security

Forestry

Water

Health

Infrastructure

Oceans

Other

Energy

LandManagement

Global

NOAA commits to providing critical assets in science and service to a Federal partnership

Federal Response to the nation’s

climate challenges

NOAA’s Assets

Partnerships & Collaboration

*Representative Organizations & Sectors

*

*

Regional Climate Science

• Other agencies (e.g., National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Dept. of Interior, Dept. of Agriculture, National Science Foundation & other USGCRP agencies)

• Etc…

• Regional Integrated Science & Assessments (RISA)

• NOAA Labs• Sea Grant • Cooperative Institutes• Applied Research Centers• Data Centers

Regional Climate Services Partnerships

• Weather Forecast Offices• Sea Grant Education & Extension• Marine Sanctuaries, Monuments & Estuarine Reserves• River Forecast Centers• Data Centers• DOC Commerce Connect (in development)

•Other agencies (e.g., National Science Foundation, Dept. of Education, Health & Human Services, Dept. of Energy, Dept of Interior, Dept of Agriculture)

•Dept. of Agriculture Extension•State Climatologists•Federal Protect Area Programs•USGCRP Climate Literacy Partners•Etc…

State and Local Engagement, Education & Service Delivery

Federal Regional Climate Service EnterpriseConnecting Science, Services and People

• NOAA Regional Climate Service Programs •Weather Service Regions•Regional Climate Centers•Coastal Services Center•River Forecast Centers•Regional Collaboration Teams•Data Centers

•Relevant Regional Offices from other agencies (e.g., Environmental Protection Agency, Dept. of Agriculture, Dept. of Interior,

Health and Human Services, Dept. of Transportation, Dept of Energy, etc.)

USER ENGAGEMENT• Development, Delivery & Evaluation of Products & Tools

• Understanding and Translating User Needs

• Informing Program Requirements

Government

Private Sector

AcademiaNGO’s

11

12DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Climate Service Core Capabilities Address Societal Challenges

13DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 13THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Feedback on Strategic Framework

• Following is a summary of the main themes of the feedback, without addressing NOAA’s response

• Organization• Change the name from NCS• Revisit inclusion of Climate Prediction Center• Consider a core capability around “Predictions and Projections” • Revisit fifth societal challenge• Importance of Federal interagency partnerships, relationship to USGCRP

• Focus• Role and importance of basic research and academia• Prioritization: Balance long versus short term, user-driven versus NOAA-driven• Increase focus on and partnership with socio-economic sciences• Importance of private sector engagement• Increase specificity and detail, especially regarding delivery• More focus on downscaling, seasonal prediction, regional & state-level services• Better balance climate “variability” and “change”

14DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 14THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Next Steps

• Finalize Vision and Strategic Framework document• Engage Congress on the reprogramming package• Pending approval, implement the Climate Service

15DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Top Data ManagementChallengesDisclaimer: Very NCDC, Data CenterCenter View

16DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

AcquisitionFilling & Maintaining the Climate Record

• Rescuing Existing Data from Obscurity

• Digitizing the data we have; exploiting new technologies to accelerate efforts (OCR, crowd sourcing)

• Incentivizing data sharing; working with international community (WMO, IEDRO) to educate on economic benefits

• Observing Weather to Climate Accuracy

• Increasing the accuracy and resolution to support regional climate trend detection (reference network)

• Support to regional weather and climate services

• Safeguarding continuity of satellite record

NOAA Programs• Climate Data

Modernization Program (CDMP)

• US Climate Reference Network (USCRN)

• Regional US Historical Climate Network (RUSHCN)

• ESRL Observing Systems

• Climate Sensors (CERES, TSIS, OMPS-Limb)

17DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

RUSHCN

• 60 RUSHCN stations deployed in Southwest region as of 30 Sep 2010

• 14 more station deployments planned in FY11 to complete region

• Surveys in West region to begin with kick-off meeting in February

Fully deployed RUSHCN network to consist of 538 stations in nine U.S. Climate Regions

Near Tropic, UtahKodachrome Basin State Park

18DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

ArchivalPreserving & Stewarding the Climate Record

• Preserving NOAA Enterprise Assets• Establishing policies and directives

(and organization culture) that support routine, disciplined data management

• Develop an agile IT infrastructure that enables transparent data management (GEO-IDE)

• Stewarding Data for Reuse• Institutionalize as part of acquisition

process (NAO 212-15)• Enterprise metadata solutions (ISO,

standard tools)• Critical to machine-to-machine

application

NOAA Programs• Comprehensive Large

Array Stewardship System (CLASS)

• Climate Data Records (CDR)

• Global Historical Climate Record (GHCN)

• Int’l Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS)

19DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 19THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Maturity Matrix

19

19

Where can products easily be found?

What original

observations were

used in the product?

What methods

were used to create

the product?

How do we ensure

authenticity of the product?

Climate Portalwww.climate.gov

Digital Signature

Sensor Use Algorithm stability

Metadata & QA

Documentation Validation Public

Release Science &

Applications

How long and widely used is

this type of sensor?

Are algorithms under

configuration management

and how mature?

How full and complete are the metadata and quality

assessment?

Is the Operational Algorithm

Description full, complete, and peer reviewed?

How complete is

the validation?

Are the data, algorithms and software open and available to the Public?

How extensive is the peer reviewed

literature and how varied

are the applications?

What original

observations were

used in the product?

What methods

were used to create

the product?

20DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE20

Using the Maturity Matrix to Assess Progress

Sens

or U

se

Code

Stab

ility

Met

adat

a & Q

A

Docum

enta

tion

Valid

atio

n

Publ

ic R

elea

se

Scie

nce

& App

licat

ions

0.01.02.03.04.05.06.0

CDR Program Matu-rity Matrix Statistics

Average Value

• NOAA’s Climate Data Record (CDR) Program is working with scientists on the routine production of climate information

• A self assessment by those scientists provides a first measure of how the climate community is doing in meeting criteria for openness, process and transparency

• Results show moderate levels of maturity and more work needed in particular on metadata and documentation

21DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Access ServicesFree, Open and Transparent Data Availability

• Free and Open Access• Eliminate charges for on-line digital

data requests• Base largely on portals today…

• Improved Metadata for Discoverability

• Data Integration to Support On-going National Assessments• On-line reports; transparent access

to data sources, processing code and publications

• Partnering with other Federal Agencies will be critical

• Leveraging best practices from industry and other disciplines

NOAA Programs• NOAA Climate Service

Portal (NCSP)

• NOAA Climate Model Portal (NCMP)

• National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

22DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

NOAA Climate Services Portal

Climate.govGoal: One-stop access for

NOAA’s climate information

Multiple audiences so multiple avenues to access information

ClimateWatch MagazineData and ServicesUnderstanding Climate EducationClimate Dashboard

www.climate.gov

23DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE 23THE CLIMATE SERVICE

NOAA Climate Model Portal

• Follow-on to National Operational Model Archive and Distribution System (NOMADS)• User growth phenomenal: 5-7 Million

downloads• THREDDS Data Server• Unidata TDS Alpha testsite• Live Access Server (LAS)• Cited as US-GEO and NOAA GEO-IDE pilot to

advance• Partnerships: NASA ACCESS and OGC. GO-

ESSP• New Java-based modular design being developed

• Expands NOMADS to serve climate model data and re-analysis

24DAARWG Update – Climate Service Strategic FrameworkDecember 10, 2010 THE CLIMATE SERVICE

Questions?Thank You…