12th ams conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation july, 2006

56
th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation ly, 2006 sions: 2 - aerosol + 2 - indirect effects (aerosol) 2 - stratiform+ 2 RICO + 1 Cumulus 2 deep convection + 2 precipitation 2 cirrus ent field experiments: ICO, TWP-ICE, ACE-2, Crystal-Face 007 Radiation & Climate Gordon conf. theme: egrating multiscale measurements and models for climate questions” here is current activity ?? 1.

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Where is current activity ??. 1. 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006. 14 sessions: 2 - aerosol + 2 - indirect effects (aerosol) 2 - stratiform+ 2 RICO + 1 Cumulus 2 deep convection + 2 precipitation 2 cirrus 2. Recent field experiments: - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiationJuly, 2006

14 sessions: 2 - aerosol + 2 - indirect effects (aerosol)2 - stratiform+ 2 RICO + 1 Cumulus2 deep convection + 2 precipitation2 cirrus

2. Recent field experiments:RICO, TWP-ICE, ACE-2, Crystal-Face

3. 2007 Radiation & Climate Gordon conf. theme:“Integrating multiscale measurements and models for key climate questions”

Where is current activity ??

1.

Page 2: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Presentations on:• Quantifying (measurements) aerosol, cloud nuclei & properties(smoke, pollution)• cloud dynamic/microphysics interfaces(cloud/dry air; drizzle dynamics; mixing; aerosol/precipitation)• subvisual cirrus• improvements on measuring the Earth’s RB from space (inc. clouds)

RT presentations de-emphasize new RT techniques, moreemphasis on improved calibrations, fine-tuning coefficientsand algorithms => greater accuracy, same concepts

Work shifting towards data-integration, model/data synthesis,more complex scenarios (e.g. amazonian burning or mineral dust/cloud &radiation impact)

Page 3: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

“Parcel theory suggests that the microstructure of cumulus clouds is mainly a function of height”

What does that mean ??

• during moist processes (i.e. allows for phase changes),

the total water mixing ratio remains conserved:

1. Total water mixing ratio rt = rwater vapor + rliquid + rice

r = water vapor/dryair ; = density

As air is lifted, rwater vapor is determined by the saturation mixingratio, which depends on the temperature. As the temperaturedrops, water is released from the parcel.

Because everything depends on the release of water froma parcel with height, the cloud properties also are primarilya function of height.

MICROSTRUCTURE OF BOUNDARY LAYER CLOUD

Page 4: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

d(rl)/dz - d(rv)/dz

r = water vapor/dryair and = density varies linearly as p/T

since

d(rl)/dz = is roughly constant

~ 2.0-2.2 in Chileanstratus

Then LWC = fadz where 0 < fad < 1

Page 5: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Given fad and it is possible to derive:

LWP, cloud radius as f(z), cloud-top effective radiuscloud vol. ext. coeff. ext(z), optical depth.

=> Adiabaticity is a powerful concept

• instrumental constraint• application to satellite remote sensing• departure from adiabaticity indicates physical processes• microphysical processes theoretically understood (e.g. Kohler)

Remarkable that it works…

Page 6: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Comparison of Observations and Adiabatic Model Predictions is poor

Modeled distributions are too narrow.

OBSERVEDN= 481 cm-3

<d>, = 17.7, 7.3 m

MODELEDN= 467 cm-3

<d>, = 17.9, 0.24 m

Page 7: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Comparison of Observations and Adiabatic Model Predictions is poor

Observed drop size distribution BROADENS w/ height; modeledDistributions NARROW

RY, fig. 5.7

Page 8: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Arctic example

• lidar-determined liquid cloud base parcel

• interpolated sounding temperature structure

• constrained w/ microwave radiometer-derived liquid water path

King LWC

adiabatic LWC

CB

excellent correspondencebetween adiabatic calc. andKing probe LWC

May 4

Z(km)

Liquid water content g/m^3

0 0.5

0.6

1.0

FSSP

Page 9: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

An aside on the FSSP (Forward-Scattering Spectrometer Probe)

An optical sensor that sizes and counts drops, from whichLWC is derived. The optics rely on Mie scattering:

X=2pi*r/wavelength. The bigger x is, the more light is Forward-scattered.

Page 10: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

South-eastern Pacific stratus

(also Californian stratus, but not so much in north Atlantic)

Page 11: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Fair-weather Cumulus: how often/much they are adiabatichas been debated

Kollias et al. 2001

Miami Cu had narrow (400m) adiabatic updraft region flankedby downdrafts

Page 12: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

(Hess, 1959: Holt, Rinehart, and Winston, NY)

CORE

Page 13: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Pruppacher and Klett, 1978: Reidel ( Pub.)

Page 14: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006
Page 15: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Large resources have been devoted towards addressinghow clouds mix/entrain, with adiabaticity serving to constrainor measure how much mixing is occurring

2 field experiments (at least) devoted to this question:

• Small Cumulus Microphysics Study (SCMS), FL, summer 1995

• Rain in Cumulus over Ocean (RICO), Antigua, Jan 2005

Page 16: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

SCMS; 28 July; 1434

1hz (100m) vs 1000hz (10 cm) LWC

PVM

(5. Gerber, 2000: 13th ICCP)

(XGLWC)

New tech. from SCMS: a fast FSSP

Page 17: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

605 SCMS Cloud Passes 605 SCMS Cloud Passes

18

Page 18: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

1. Indentification of LWCa requires a fast and accurate LWC sensor2. LWCa exists in SCMS Cu3. “Classical Adiabatic Cores” in SCMS Cu: none4. Entrainment/mixing already starts near cloudbase (one turn-over distance)5. Large LWCa parcels found only near cloud base6. Above cloud base mean LWC approaches 20% of LWCa

1. How does entrainment/mixing affect the evolution of LWC in Cu?2. What is the proper description of adiabatic cores?3. What size of LWCa parcel must be considered for modeling drop spectra evolution?4. Does the size and vigor of Cu affect the presence of LWCa?5. Does LWCa in RICO Cu differ from other small Cu, e.g., CCOPE or SCMS?

CONCLUSIONS

QUESTIONS

Parcel theory, with cloud formation described by Kohler etc.Can be usefully applied to all boundary layer clouds

Page 19: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

ENTRAINMENT and MICROPHYSICS in RICO CuHermann Gerber

NASA/GISS WorkshopSept. 2006

Page 20: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

CONDITIONAL SAMPLING FOR ACTIVE TURRETS

VERTICAL VELOCITY IS POSITIVE (~80%) IN AREA WITHVERTICAL VELOCITY IS POSITIVE (~80%) IN AREA WITH LWCLWC

TOP OF CLOUD IS VISIBLE IN FORWARD-LOOKING VIDEO TOP OF CLOUD IS VISIBLE IN FORWARD-LOOKING VIDEO

A SINGLE TURRET IS TRAVERSEDA SINGLE TURRET IS TRAVERSED

CLOUD IS TRAVERSED NEAR CLOUD TOPCLOUD IS TRAVERSED NEAR CLOUD TOP

(Raga, G.B., et al, 1990: J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 338-355.)

Page 21: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006
Page 22: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

PVM

FSSP

Fast FSSP

Page 23: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

10-cm RESOLUTION (1000 Hz) LWC DATA

PVM

Page 24: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

TURRET SPECTRATURRET SPECTRA

Page 25: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Aircraft data across a Florida Cumulus CloudMoving on to other observations…..

• Higher LWC correlated w/ stronger updrafts• Downdrafts occurring at the edge• drop conc. doesn’t vary much

Page 26: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Moving on to other observations…..

Cloud interior humidity almost always between 98% and 102%

Supersaturation values typically ~ 0.1%, rarely > 0.2%

Page 27: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Soluble aerosoldeliquesce

Page 28: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

• The supersaturation relative to a droplet(S’) is increased by two factors:

– The size of a droplet (Kelvin’s Law):• For a given “bulk” supersaturation, a droplet (having a curved

surface) has a lower relative supersaturation

– A solution droplet (Raoult’s Law):• For a given “bulk” supersaturation, the larger amount of solute

dissolved in the droplet, the higher the supersaturation relative to the droplet

Page 29: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Activation of CCN

• Consider a rising air parcel in which the RH just increased above 100%

• As the parcel continues to rise, the RH (or S) continues to increase, and solution droplets containing the largest nuclei would grow larger than r* and activate, growing into cloud droplets

• The supersaturation S continues to increase and more and more of the smaller droplets are activated

• As the droplets are growing, they are decreasing the amount of water vapor in the parcel, offsetting the increase in S from the rising (cooling) air parcel

• At some point the cloud droplets are taking up so much vapor that S starts to decrease in the air parcel-- the max S has occurred

Page 30: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

According to parcel theory, the conditions at cloud basedetermine much of the microstructure of the cloud above

Experimentalists search for relationships betweenthe cloud base or sub-cloud layer and the cloud itself(or the lack thereof)

Droplet concentration near cloud base in updrafts in marine cumuli is controlled primarily by two processes:

1. Concentration of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) entering cloud base

2. Peak supersaturation occurring in updrafts [Twomey, 1959]

Page 31: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

CCN Concentrations• Cleaner, more maritime air masses contain

fewer aerosol particles and CCN than more polluted, continental air masses

• Fewer CCN result in fewer, but larger cloud droplets, accelerating rain production

Page 32: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Criteria was met in clouds sampled on 12 of the 15 flights

Areas Targeted

Updrafts and Downdrafts;Intensity = length of arrow

Criteria chosen to obtain droplet concentration 10Hz: 600-900m above the ocean surface

(nominal cloud base = 600m)LWC > 0.25gm-3

Updraft velocity > 0.5ms–1

No droplets > 65 μm 260X (avoids drop shattering) At least three consecutive data points

FSSP

Page 33: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Vertical velocities > 0.5ms-1 between 600-900m above the ocean surface show a relationship (R = 0.66) with average droplet concentration

Vertical velocities & Droplet concentration

Page 34: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Vertical velocities > 0.5 ms-1 between 600-900 m above the ocean surface show a relationship (R = 0.79) with 100-m wind speeds

Vertical Velocity – a proxy for peak supersaturation

Page 35: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Results – Droplet Concentration

Droplet concentrations between 600-900 m above ocean surface increase (R = 0.71) with 100-m wind speeds (5-14 ms-1).

Page 36: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

CCN or peak supersaturations?

The total concentration of smaller CCN (PCASP and CN measurements) did not show a clear dependence on wind. This suggests that variability in the cloud base updraft was the most important control on the growth of drops.

The effect of more intense updrafts would be to increase the peak supersaturation, leading to activation of more cloud droplets and smaller cloud droplets near cloud base.

These conclusions were based on data from the most cleanlyAdiabatic cloud portions.

Page 37: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

parcel (‘adiabatic’) theory appears able to explain someaspects of cumulus behavior, but note again that observedLWCs are often well below adiabatic values

Page 38: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

• Factors that may be important:– Details of aerosol and CCN number

concentrations, composition, sizes, including giant/ultragiant aerosol particles

– Entrainment and mixing– Turbulence– Successive thermals– Preconditioning of cloud environment– “Time zero?”

Parcel theory also can’t explain why precipitation onset occursso quickly. Thus observations search for clues into othermechanisms;

Page 39: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Giant/Ultragiant Aerosol Particles

• Giant: aerosol particles with diameters between 2 and 20 micrometers

• Ultragiant: aerosol particles with diameters > 20 micrometers

• Soluble, giant aerosol particles (like sea salt!) do not have to grow long by vapor diffusion to be large enough to collect smaller droplets

• Ultragiant particles, if > ~45 micrometers, don’t even have to be soluble!

Work based on RICO data appears to discount this mechanism(but I don’t understand the argument)

Page 40: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Turbulence

Turbulence observed to increase with height, so that strongestUp/downdrafts are in top third of cloud

RY fig 5.5

Turbulent energy dissipation rate

This will increase the collision/collection rate of the drops &Can help explain a broader spectrum

Page 41: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Successive Thermals

• Some investigators have suggested that the drops from previous thermals within the same cloud may not completely evaporate, leaving some drops behind that may then be ingested by new thermals, giving them a “head start”

Page 42: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Preconditioning of Cloud Environment

• Numerical models of precipitation formation often start from pristine conditions in an undisturbed environment, but it is likely that earlier clouds change the local environment for the later clouds

Page 43: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

600 m

High degree of structurein cloud field is compellingevidence (I think) of preconditioning, clouds coming and going as part ofa larger convective lifecycle

Good correlation betweenvertical and horizontalvelocities also seemsconsistent.

Page 44: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Entrainment and Mixing• The mixing in of dry air from outside the cloud via the

cloud’s own motions is called entrainment

• It is widely acknowledged that entrainment can lead to the production of smaller particles in the droplet size distribution

• It has been hypothesized that entrainment can actually lead to the production of larger drops, by significantly reducing the number of droplets in regions of the cloud that then experience less “competition” for the vapor

Page 45: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Total water

Equivalent potential temperature

Shows evidence of air from 380 mb mixing down

Most compelling in env. with dry air aloft (e.g., CO, NM)

Mixing w/ air from aloft

Page 46: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Homogeneous Mixing:

LWC decreases; drop conc. stays the same;effective radius decreases

Inhomogeneous Mixing:

LWC decreases; effective radius stays the same;Drop conc. decreases

Mixing time scale << evaporation time scale

Parcels mix& evaporate, then more mixing

All drops evaporate evenly

Some drops evaporate completely, resaturating air parcel& allowing some drops to stay the same size

Page 47: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

(Lasher-Trapp, S., W. Cooper, and A. Blyth, 2005: QJRMS, 195-220)

SUPERADIABATIC

ADIABATIC PEAK

HOMOGENOUS MIXING INHOMOGENEOUS MIXING

Homogeneous mixing: all droplet size evaporate evenly.LWC decreases but N unchanged. Can’t increase drop size

Inhomogeneous mixing: some drops evaporate first, resaturatingMixed-in air & allowing other drops to grow (LWC decreases)

Page 48: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006
Page 49: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006
Page 50: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

COMPOSITE OF 35 CuCOMPOSITE OF 35 Cu

IN

Page 51: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

CLOUD EDGE

(Brenguier, J.-L, 1993: J. Appl. Meteor., 32, 783-793)

-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20

1000 Hz

Page 52: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

COMPOSITE OF ENTRAINED PARCEL LENGTH

(Brenguier, J-L, and W.W. Grabowski, 1993: J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 120-136)

(Kreuger, S.K., et al, 1997: J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 2697-2712)

Page 53: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

COMPOSITE OF ENTRAINED PARCEL PENETRATION

Page 54: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

ENTRAINMENT SHEATH

NO HOLES SMALLPARCELS

DILUTIONDILUTIONDOMINATESDOMINATES

RH HALO?

NEW CCNACTIVATION

VORTEX RINGS?

SUPER-ADIABATIC DROPS?

ENTRAINMENT CONCEPTENTRAINMENT CONCEPT

X

Page 55: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

REFERENCES

Page 56: 12th AMS conf. on cloud physics/atmospheric radiation July, 2006

Much of what I’ve shown today is observations thatdon’t fit into an easy theory.

We need the theory however, as it conceptualizes forus what we are capable of modeling

In the long run the observations can tell us how toimprove the models and thereby improve weatherforecasts and climate predictions

Important to become comfortable with both