2006 interim results presentation - kerry group · • group trading continues in line with market...
TRANSCRIPT
Kerry - 2006 Interim Results Presentation
• Review of Business Hugh Friel
• Financial Review Brian Mehigan
• Business Growth Prospects Hugh Friel
• Q&A
H1 2006: Good Performance in ChallengingPeriod
• Revenue growth of 7% to €2,265m
• Like-for-like revenue growth of 3.5%
• EBITDA* up 1.9% to €216m
• Trading profit growth of 1.5% to €162m
• Adjusted EPS* up 2% to 54.9 cent
• Interim dividend per share up 10% to 5.5 cent
Note: * before intangible asset amortisation and non-trading items
• Good top-line growth in ingredients
• Robust performance but significant cost / price squeeze inconsumer foods
• Energy related cost increase (180bps on margin or €40m)
• Progress through on-going cost recovery programmes
• Good operational performance through supply chain initiatives
• Kerry technologies to the fore in nutritional product developments
• Focus on premiumisation and nutritional values deliveringcategory growth in foods
H1 2006: Highlights
• Continuing surge in energy / energy related cost increases
• Cost recovery programmes in conjunction with long-term
customer partnerships
• Slow down in UK chilled ready meals growth categories
• Margin pressures in frozen prepared meals, poultry, dairy
and fruit preparations
Short Term Issues: Challenges
• Focused on nutritional, wellness and convenience growth categories
• Leveraging ingredients, flavours and bio-science technologiesacross global food and beverage applications
• Consumer foods offerings in convenience, food-to-go, nutritionalgrowth categories
• Focus on - cost recovery programmes
- supply chain efficiencies
- increased product innovation investment
- asset optimisation - elimination of non-core activities
• Rate of industry consolidation - acquisition opportunities
Full Confidence in Kerry Model
Euro - US Dollar Trend (1995 - 2006)
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
1.40
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Raw Materials - Price Trend for Crude Oil(1995 - 2006)
10.0
14.0
18.0
22.0
26.0
30.0
34.0
38.0
42.0
46.0
50.0
54.0
58.0
62.0
66.0
70.0
74.0
78.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
$38 Avg price ‘04
$54 Avg price ‘05
$68 Avg price ‘06
$29 Avg price ‘03
Full Year Trading Margin %
8.6%
7.3%7.2%
8.7%
8.9%
8.3%
7.9%7.8%
8.1%
8.4%
8.6%
6.0%
6.2%
6.4%
6.6%
6.8%
7.0%
7.2%
7.4%7.6%
7.8%
8.0%
8.2%
8.4%
8.6%
8.8%
9.0%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Trading Margin Progression
2005 1995% %
Material gross margin 44.5 32.5
Costs 35.9 25.3
Trading margin 8.6 7.2
H1 Business Review - Ingredients
• Like-for-like revenue growth +5%
• Encouraging rate of NPD in Americas
• Acquisition of Custom Industries and Nuvex Ingredients
• Good top-line growth in Kerry Bio-Science (proteins and pharma - USA,functional systems and culinary - Europe, emulsifiers - Asia)
• Impact of energy and crop issues in global flavour markets
• Margin pressure in European ingredients sector (dairy and fruitpreparations)
• Continuing good growth in emerging markets
H1 2006 Total Growth
Revenue €1,548m 6.5%
Trading Profit €123m 4.0%
H1 Business Review - Consumer Foods
• Like-for-like revenue growth flat due to sectoral price deflation
• Cost recovery restricted due to competitive market conditions
• Chilled ready meals slow-down continued but growth acceleratedtowards end of H1
• Closure of Hartlepool facility
• Continued margin pressure in poultry markets and frozen ready meals
• Good growth in food-to-go and convenience offerings
• Brand investment and NPD delivering good results
H1 2006 Total Growth
Revenue €875m 6.6%
Trading Profit €52m (4.6%)
Continuing Revenue Growth
Total Like-for-like Total Like-for-likeGrowth Growth Growth Growth
Ingredients 6.5% 5.0% 12.1% 3.8%
- Europe* 2.8% 4.2% 15.2% 3.1%
- Americas* 10.9% 5.5% 6.5% 2.6%
- Asia Pacific* 9.1% 9.4% 26.5% 10.5%
Consumer Foods 6.6% 0.2% 1.5% 3.1%
Group 7.0% 3.5% 8.3% 3.4%
H1 2006 H1 2005Revenue Revenue
Note: * Revenue by location of customers
Financial Review
H1 2006 Financial Highlights
Revenue €2,265m +7.0%
Trading profit €162m +1.5%
Basic EPS 53.8 cent +0.0%
Free cash flow €20m H1 2005: €24m
Acquisition programme €96m H1 2005: €38m
Note: * before intangible asset amortisation and non-trading items (net of tax)
Adjusted EPS* 54.9 cent +2.0%
Trading margin 7.2% -40bps
Revenue Analysis
H1 2005 H1 2006
€2,117m €2,265m
Like-for-like+3.5%
Acquisition/Disposal+3.0%
FX Translation+0.5%
+7.0%
Note: Like-for-like represents revenue growth before subsidiary translation and acquisitions / disposals impact
Revenue Growth
H1 2006 H1 2005 H1 2004 Like-for-like Like-for-like Like-for-like
Ingredients 5.0% 3.8% 5.0%
- Europe* 4.2% 3.1% 3.0%
- Americas* 5.5% 2.6% 5.4%
- Asia Pacific* 9.4% 10.5% 14.0%
Consumer Foods 0.2% 3.1% 1.5%
Group 3.5% 3.4% 3.8%
Note: * Revenue by location of customers
10.9%
5.2%
7.0%
9.1%
2.0%
5.5%
9.4%
3.5%
-2
2
6
10
14
Europe Americas Asia Pacific Group
H1 2006 Revenue Growth by Destination
Total Like-for-like
Note: Like-for-like represents revenue growth before subsidiary translation and acquisitions / disposals impact
Like-for-like % Growth
Revenue Growth Components
Like-for-like % Growth
H1 H1 FY2006 2005 2005
Volume 3% 3% 4%
Price 1% 1% 1%
Trading currency (0%) (1%) (1%)
Group 3.5% 3.4% 3.7%
3.4%3.5%3.7%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
H1 2006 H1 2005 FY 2005
Note: Like-for-like represents revenue growth before subsidiary translation and acquisitions / disposals impact
Trading Margin Change
H1 2005 H1 2006Trading margin 7.6% 7.2%
• Organic growth and pricing not enough to offset adverse energy andraw material impact
• Energy– €25m increase in cost in the first half covering items such as oil, gas,
diesel, electricity and transport
– This reflects a 42% increase in average oil prices in 2005 and a 32%increase in H1 2006
– Full impact of market rates has not yet evolved
• Energy related raw materials– €15m increase in packaging, sucrose, molasses, edible oils, vegetable
protein and chemicals
Trading Margin Progression
Energy Related
CostIncreases
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
H1 2005 H1 2006
€160m
€9m
UnderlyingGrowth
€8m
Acquisitions / Disposals
€0m
Currency(€40m)
€162m
(€5m)
R&D
€30m
MarginRecovery
Programme
Margin 7.6% +0.3% +0.1% 0.0% -0.2% -1.8% +1.2% 7.2%
EBITDA* 216 212 197 176 173
Movement in working capital (100) (77) (4) (79) (97)
Capital expenditure (net) (48) (59) (48) (37) (48)
Finance costs (35) (29) (21) (22) (25)
Taxation (13) (23) (23) (14) (16)
Free Cash Flow 20 24 101 24 (13)
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002€m €m €m €m €m
Interim Five Year Free Cash Flow
Note: * before non-trading items
H1 2006 H1 2005
Debt : Market capitalisation 44% 34%
EBITDA : Net interest* 7.0x 8.6x
Debt : EBITDA* 2.8x 2.8x
Financial Ratios
Note: * calculated in accordance with banking covenants
H1 2006 H1 2005
ROAE* 14.7% 15.7%
ROACE* 10.6% 10.4%
CFROI* 10.4% 9.5%
Return on Investment
Note: * before intangible asset amortisation and non-trading items
Other Financial Matters
• Finance costs Up €4.4m year-on-year due to impact of rate increases and acquisitions offset by cash flow impact. Average rate increase 0.5%
• Taxation Tax charge on continuing operations down to 20.2% due to post acquisition integration and the benefit of R&D tax credits
• Pensions Pension charge for the period amounted to €19m and the net deficit after tax amounted to €121m (H1 2005: €200m)
Outlook 2006 and Future Prospects
Kerry Growth Strategies
• Business model and strategies will continue to deliver satisfactory growth
– Ingredients : Strong organic growth rates
– Foods : NPD and brand investment
• Critical focus on
– On-going cost recovery programmes
– Supply chain efficiencies
– Asset optimisation / restructuring
– Elimination of underperformers
– Increased investment in product innovation
• Acquisitions
Ingredients Positioning
Delivering technology based ingredients and integratedsolutions for the food and beverage industries worldwide
– Leading new product and nutritional development
– Strong customer partnerships and geographic base
– Bio-Science: encouraging pharma pipeline
– Mastertaste: strong business platform and technologydevelopment eg. anti-microbial flavour technology
– Emerging markets: good growth prospects
– Growth through integrated business platforms
“ “
#1 GB Chilled Van Sales operation#1 Irish Chilled Van Sales operation#1 Irish sandwich (Freshways)#2 ROI Chilled Juice (Dawn)#1 ROI Flavoured Mineral Water (Kerry Spring)
Other
Food To Go
Added Value MeatAdded Value Dairy#1 GB sausage (Richmond)#2 GB sausage (Wall’s)Biggest Brand in Ireland (Denny) #1 sausage #1 cooked meats #2 bacon rashers#2 ROI cooked meats brand (Ballyfree)
#1 GB cheese snack portion (Cheestrings)#1 IOI natural cheese (Charleville/Coleraine)#1 ROI cheese slices (Easisingles)#1 NI dairy spread (Golden Cow)#1 Irish dairy spread supplier#1 GB pvt label dairy spread supplier#1 GB pvt label cheese slices supplier
Convenience
#2 GB chilled ready meals supplier#1 GB frozen ready meals supplier
Kerry Consumer Foods Focus Areas
Kerry Foods: Encouraging New Developments
• Mattessons Fridge Raiders
• Denny Feel Free
• Ballyfree Superfood
• Brunchettas
• The Food Doctor
• Champneys
• Freshways Healthy Ways
• Dawn Benefits
Kerry Group: Business Structure
Group
Ingredients€3.0bn
Foods€1.7bn
19 Countries 2 Countries
49 SBU’s 9 SBU’s
121 Manufacturing Plants 32 Manufacturing Plants
Asset Optimisation: Restructuring Jan 2005 –To Date
• Closed 11 plants 4 countries
• Divested 4 plants 3 countries
• Pending 10 plants 7 countries
Revenue -€250m
Net impact
Margin +25bps
Plant Rationalisation: Jan 2005 - To Date
UKBicesterIngredients
7 Countries10 PlantsPending
USAAlbert LeaIngredientsItalyLatinaIngredientsItalyAtripaldaIngredientsNorthern IrelandDerryLiqueurs
DivestedItalyTurinFlavoursUSABeloit (1 plant)IngredientsUKBirminghamIngredientsUKBinghamIngredients
UKHartlepoolReady MealsUKMitchamMeat ProductsUKBristolMeat ProductsIrelandSligoDessertsIrelandLimerickPoultryIrelandLimerickDairy
Closed
Trading Prospects and Outlook
• Group trading continues in line with market expectations
• On-going cost recovery programmes
• Focus on supply chain efficiencies
• Rationalisation programme to deliver 25bps / annum marginenhancement
• Innovation and brand investment
• Busy pipeline of bolt-on acquisition opportunities
Ingredients: Strong organic growth rates into the future
Foods: Strategies will deliver growth ahead of category growth rates
Additional Information
Business Review - Ingredients Americas
• Like-for-like revenue growth +5.5%• Benefit from increased NPD• Cost increases significant particularly energy• New product launch rates in nutrition excellent• Cost initiatives include
– the reorganisation of nutrition (sweet) manufacturing facilities postacquisition of Custom & Nuvex
– Down-sizing of Beloit and Vesper• Bio-Science and Mexico gaining market share• Flavours North America growth in line with the market
Americas H1 2006 Total GrowthRevenue* €635m +10.9%
Note: * revenue by location of customers
Business Review - Ingredients Europe
• Like-for-like revenue growth +4.2%
• Good volume growth in Bio-Science and Ingredients sales in mainlandEurope
• Pricing environment more difficult particularly in the UK
• Germany, Italy and Eastern Europe gaining market share
• Cost increases mainly energy and wheat
• Cost initiatives include the closure of Bicester, Birmingham, Bingham andTurin
• Integration of Bio-Science sales network commenced
• Dairy markets difficult
Europe H1 2006 Total GrowthRevenue* €631m +2.8%
Note: * revenue by location of customers
Business Review - Ingredients Asia Pacific
• Like-for-like revenue growth +9.4%
• Speciality proteins and dietary formulations +20%
• Thailand ahead +63%
• Foodservice growth of 44% across the region
• Cost impact of energy and significant investment in new territoriesand new business opportunities
• China performing to plan
Asia Pacific H1 2006 Total GrowthRevenue* €174m +9.1%
Note: * revenue by location of customers
Reported Acquisition / Reporting Like-for-like
Growth Disposal Currency Growth
Ingredients 6.5% 0.7% 0.8% 5.0%
Consumer Foods 6.6% 6.7% (0.3%) 0.2%
Group 7.0% 3.0% 0.5% 3.5%
H1 2006 Revenue: Like-for-like % Growth
Raw Materials - Edible Oils Index
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
Jan 03 Jul 03 Jan 04 Jul 04 Jan 05 Jul 05 Jan 06 Jul 06
Source: Datastream Malaysian palm oil & Rapeseed oil (Rotterdam), Credit Suisse research
Currency Exposure Management
• Dollar v Euro - slightly favourable in H1, expected to be
negative in H2
• Sterling v Euro - no significant change expected in 2006
• No material impact on revenue, trading profit or earnings at
current rates
Euro - US Dollar Trend
1.22
1.25
1.29
2005
2006
1.22
1.30
H1 H2
1.18
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Euro - Sterling Trend
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.70
0.72
0.74
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
0.68
0.69
2006
20050.68
0.69
H1 H2
0.69
0.67
Interim Cash Flow (€m)
EBITDA* 216 212Change in working capital (100) (77)Finance and taxation (48) (52)Capital expenditure (net) (48) (59)Free cash flow 20 24Acquisitions and disposals
- Businesses acquired net of disposals (88) (48)- Non-trading items (4) (6)
(92) (54)Equity dividends paid (21) (18)Financing - (repurchase) / issue of share capital (net) (2) 3
(95) (45)Exchange adjustment on net debt 32 (81)Increase in borrowings (63) (126)Opening net debt (1,275) (1,139)Closing net debt (1,338) (1,265)
2006 2005
Note: * before non-trading items
Net @ Floating @ Fixed Borrowings Rates Rates
Euro 383 183 200
Sterling 284 284 -
US Dollar 548 100 448
Canadian Dollar 32 32 -
Others 91 91 -
1,338 690 648
100% 52% 48%
Weighted average period for which rate is fixed: 3.5 years
Debt Profile (€m)
30 June 2006 30 June 2005€m €m
Within one year 104 112
Between 1 and 2 years 108 136
Between 2 and 5 years 689 572
Between 5 and 10 years 437 445
1,338 1,265
Weighted average maturity in years: 4.6 5.9
Maturity Profile of Net Debt
EPS Reconciliation
H1 2005 H1 2006 Growth€ cent € cent %
53.8 Adjusted EPS* 54.9 2%
(2.6) Intangible asset amortisation (2.9)
2.6 Non-trading items (net of tax) 1.8
53.8 Basic EPS 53.8 0%
Note: * before intangible asset amortisation and non-trading items (net of tax)
38.7
46.7
57.4
68.0
79.2
87.9
101.8
112.1
122.9
131.6
54.953.850.5
46.141.8
36.432.8
28.223.2
19.716.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
EPS* Growth (cent)
Full Year Half Year
Note: EPS numbers for 1996 to 2003 are pre IFRS
Note: * before intangible asset amortisation and non-trading items (net of tax)
EPS* Broker Estimates 2006 / 2007
Note: * before intangible asset amortisation and non-trading items (net of tax)
High Low Consensus %
2006 Estimate 131.8 130.9 131.6 0.0
2007 Estimate 140.2 136.2 138.4 5.2
Institutional Analysis
North America 18%
Ireland 12%
UK 9%
Continental Europe / Rest of World 5% Shares in issue: 185 million
Shareholder Analysis
Analysis as at 30 June 2006 after share buy back programme
Retail28%
Kerry Co-op28%
Institutions44%