a future full of energy denbury resources inc. ipaa oil & gas investment symposium april 19 –...
TRANSCRIPT
a future
full of energy
Denbury Resources Inc.
IPAA Oil & Gas Investment SymposiumApril 19 – 21, 2004
2
Denbury Resources Inc.
About Forward-Looking StatementsThe data contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-
looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such
statements may relate to, among other things, capital expenditures, drilling
activity, development activities, production efforts and volumes, asset values,
proved reserves, potential reserves and anticipated growth rates in our CO2
models, 2003 production and expenditure estimates, 2004 capital budget,
Genesis projected distributions, and other enumerated reserve potential.
These forward-looking statements are generally accompanied by words such as
“estimated”, “projected”, “potential”, “anticipated”, “forecasted” or other
words that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes. These
statements are based on management’s current plans and assumptions and are
subject to a number of risks and uncertainties as further outlined in our most
recent 10-K and 10-Q. Therefore, the actual results may differ materially from
the expectations, estimates or assumptions expressed in or implied by any
forward-looking statement made by or on behalf of the Company.
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The United States Securities and Exchange
Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to
disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual
production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally
producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain
terms in this presentation, such as probable and potential reserves, that the
SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.
Contact UsGareth Roberts – President & CEO
(972) 673-2030
Phil Rykhoek – Senior VP & CFO
(972) 673-2050
Laurie Burkes – Investor Relations Mgr.
(972) 673-2166
Corporate HeadquartersDenbury Resources Inc.
5100 Tennyson Pkwy., Ste. 3000
Plano, Texas 75024
Ph: (972) 673-2000 Fax: (972) 673-2150
Web Site: www.denbury.com
Corporate Information
Note: GEOMAP COMPANY has given its permission for us to use their data to create the oil and gas field outlines on the operational maps and to
include this material as part of this presentation. GEOMAP COMPANY reserves all rights to this field data.
3
Denbury Resources Inc.
● Enterprise Value (3/31/04): - Approximately $1.1 Billion
Corporate Overview
● Total Proved Reserves (12/31/03): - 128.2 Million BOE (91.3 MMBbls Oil / 221.9 Bcf Gas)
● Production Profile (4Q03): - Approx. 55% Oil / 45% Gas
● Total Debt (3/31/04): - $305 Million
● Bank Credit Availability (3/31/04): - $140 Million
● Production (4Q03): - 34,590 BOE per Day
Reduced Debt by $50 MM in 2003
4
Denbury Resources Inc.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Sweet Heavy or Sour Natural Gas Offshore Sold in 2003
Average Daily Production
(BOE/d)
16,748
21,399
31,185
35,573
28%
65%
29%
58%39%
33%
45%
47%
34,704
31%
45%
7%13%
16%20% 24%
Increasing Volumes of Light Sweet Oil from Tertiary CO2 Flooding
(1) Defined as less than $2.00 NYMEX variance
(1)
5
Denbury Resources Inc.Net Proved SEC Reserve Growth
● Reserve life: 10.1 Years (based on 2003 production)
● Proved developed reserve life: 6.1 Years (based on 2003 production)
● 2003 F&D cost: $8.58
● 3 Year F&D cost: $7.36
Note: Denbury’s Reserves prepared by
DeGolyer & MacNaughton
*Includes 8.3 MMBOE of reserves sold in 2003
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Sold in 2003
Offshore
Natural Gas
Oil
87.4
60.2
36.4
109.5
130.7*
Steady Growth – Low Average Finding Cost
(MMBOE)128.2
6
Denbury Resources Inc.Relative Asset Value Growth per Share
($ in millions except per share amounts) 12/31/99 12/31/00 12/31/01 12/31/02 12/31/03
PV-10 Proved Reserves (1): $605 $817 $1,049 $1,099 $1,091
PV-10 of CO2 Industrial
Contracts (3):-- -- 50 57 42
Total Proved Value: $605 $817 $1,099 $1,156 $1,133
Less Debt (excluding discount): (153) (199) (341) (350) (300)
Proved Net Asset Value (2): $452 $618 $758 $806 $833
Shares outstanding: 45.7 46.0 53.0 53.5 54.2
Proved NAV Per Share (2): $9.89 $13.43 $14.30 $15.06 $15.36
(1) Using constant $27.50 per Bbl and $4.50 per MMBtu price and cost scenarios.
(2) Estimate excluding any value for potential or probable reserves, acreage, etc.
(3) PV10 of industrial contracts to end of their contractual term; includes 12/31/03 market value of Genesis units received as part of 2003 VPP transaction.
12% CAGR
PV-10 Sensitivities (12/31/03) (+/-$MM)
$1.00 per barrel change 50
$0.10 per Mcf change 15
Superior Economics
7
Denbury Resources Inc.The Denbury Difference ● Low-Risk Asset Base
● Blend of long-term, lower risk exploitation projects and higher-risk/reward investment opportunities
● Low-risk upside through CO2 and Barnett Shale plays
● Gulf Coast Region Focus● Largest producer in Mississippi● Operate all significant properties
● Strong Balance Sheet to Fund Growth● Conservative spending policy● Consistent hedging strategy
● Experienced and Motivated Personnel● 50 technical employees with over 22 years average experience● Team approach to compensation (Top 5 received less than 10% of option grants in 2003)
But Denbury’s Unique Advantage is….
8
Denbury Resources Inc.…Carbon Dioxide (CO2)
● Denbury Owns Strategic CO2 Reserves
and 183-Mile Pipeline in Mississippi
● 12/31/03 Proved Reserves of CO2: 1.6
Tcf (1)
● CO2 Can be Used to Recover
Additional Oil from Depleted Fields
● No CO2 is Sold to Other Oil Operators
● Low Cost “Pipeline” of Future Oil Field Acquisitions
CO2 Play Gives Denbury Predictable, Low-Risk Future Reserve Adds
(1) Includes +/- 160 Bcf of reserves dedicated to VPP with Genesis
CO
2 P
ipel
ine
JacksonDome
MallalieuBrookhaven
Little CreekLazy Creek
Lockhart Crossing
McComb
Jackson
New Orleans
BatonRouge
Meridian
McComb
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Denbury Resources Inc.Current CO2 Sources & Pipelines
Great Plains Coal
GasificationPlant
LeBarge
Ridgeway CO2Discovery
McElmo Dome
Sheep Mountain
BravoDome
AmmoniaPlant
GasPlants
JacksonDome
Rockies5 Fields – Additional 2 Proposed
(Anadarko)19,520 Gross Bbls/d
Operators: Exxon/Chevron/MeritCO2 Source:
Natural/Manufacturing
Rockies
Permian Basin42 Fields
155,000 Gross Bbls/dOperator: Multiple (16)
CO2 Source: Natural
Permian Basin
Mid-Continent4 Fields
9,800 Gross Bbls/dOperators:
Exxon/Anadarko/ChaparralCO2 Source: Manufacturing
Mid-Continent
Eastern Gulf Coast3 Fields
8,000 Gross Bbls/dOperator: Denbury CO2 Source: Natural
Eastern Gulf Coast
CO2 to Canada
Prolific Natural Sources of CO2 are Associated with Volcanic Activity and are Very Rare
10
Denbury Resources Inc.
● Sweet Crude
● 40° API Gravity; approximately equal
to NYMEX
● Finding and Development Costs
● $4.00 to $5.00 per Bbl
● Operating costs of +/- $10.00/Bbl
● CO2 Requirement 10-12.5 Mcf/Bbl
● Significant 3rd Party Income
● Approximately $5-6 MM/yr of net
operating income from industrial
sales
Denbury’s CO2 Operations● Demonstrated Success in CO2 Flooding
● 36% CAGR in tertiary oil production (1)
● Little Creek, Mallalieu & McComb Fields
● 35.3 MMBOE proved reserves at 12/31/03
● Southwest Mississippi Fields Along
Existing 183-mile Pipeline
● 40-55 MMBOE of potential reserves
● Scheduled for development over 9 yrs
● Majority of fields already owned by DNR
● Same reservoir as Little Creek and
Mallalieu
● CO2 capacity: 450 MM/D at current
operating pressures
● CO2 current deliverability: 250 MM/D
● Currently producing: 225 MM/D(1) 1999 to 2003
Demonstrated Success with CO2 Flooding
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Denbury Resources Inc.
CO2 PIPELINE - from Jackson Dome
CO2 Operations – Oil Recovery Process
CO2 moves through formation mixing with oil droplets, expanding them and moving them to producing wells.
INJECTION WELL - Injects CO2 in dense phase
PRODUCTION WELLS - Produce oil, water and CO2 (CO2 is later recycled)
Oil Recovery Using CO2 is +/- 17% of OriginalOil in Place (Based on Little Creek)
Primary recovery = +/- 20%
Secondary recovery (waterfloods) = +/- 18%
Tertiary (CO2) = +/- 17%
CO2 Injection is One of the Most Efficient Tertiary Recovery Methods for Crude Oil
12
Denbury Resources Inc.
LCU Net Daily Production by PhaseNet Daily Production
Little Creek Area
2
2
Net Daily Production vs. CO2 Purchases
Production Follows CO2 Injection
13
Denbury Resources Inc.Mallalieu, West FieldNet Oil Production vs. CO2 Purchases
WMU Net Daily Production by PhaseNet Daily Production
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04
Net
BO
PD
TotalPhase 1Phase 2
Production Follows CO2 Injection
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Denbury Resources Inc.Summary of Tertiary Economics
(Millions) Little Creek Mallalieu McComb TotalJackson
Dome
Acquisition Cost $12.0 $ 4.0 $ 2.3 $ 18.3 $42.0
Total Investment 52.0 38.5 14.3 104.8 85.2
Total Receipts (net op. income) 69.8 14.0 (0.8) 83.0 41.3
Balance to Recover ($17.8) $24.5 $15.1 $21.8 $44.0
PV10 (12/31/03)
SEC Pricing (proved only) $112.7 $218.0 $103.9 $434.6 $32.0
Proved Reserves (MMBOE) 7.4 16.0 11.9 35.3 1.6 Tcf
(1) (2)
(3)
(1) Includes West Little Creek and Lazy Creek(2) Includes East Mallalieu(3) PV10 of industrial contracts
Superior Economics
15
Denbury Resources Inc.CO2 Model Assumptions – Phase I
Operating Cost: ● CO2 Utilization – 12.5 Mcf per Barrel of Oil Produced
● CO2 Costs (2003) - $0.12/Mcf ($1.50 per gross barrel of oil produced)
● Total Operating Costs – Approx. $10/Net Barrel of Oil Produced (does not include overhead)
Capital Cost: ● Limited Gross Capital Expenditures to $60 Million per Year
● Total Capital Costs - $4.00 per Net Barrel of Oil Produced
● Total Capital Costs Including Jackson Dome CO2 Wells and Facilities
- $4.50 per Net Barrel of Oil Produced
CO2 Pipeline: ● Maximum Pipeline Rates of 400 MMcf per Day
● Total CO2 Required – Approx. 1.6 Tcf (includes industrial users)
Oil Reserves: ● 35 MMBOE Proved as of 12/31/03 (D&M)
● 42 MMBOE Net Unrisked Potential
● Total Oil Reserves Used in Model – 77 MMBOE (low end of potential range)
Southwest Mississippi
Phase I Represents Fields Along Our CO2 Pipeline
16
Denbury Resources Inc.
Projected Net Oil Production
CO2 Business Model – Phase I
28% Annual P
roductio
n Gro
wth (2002 – 2008)
Strong, Steady Predictable Growth in Core Assets
17
Denbury Resources Inc.
Duke
EOTT
Gen
esis
Genesis
Hunt
EOTT
Genesis
EOTT
0 10 20
1 5 -1
4 -15 -1
D E N K M A N N # 1
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( DRI )
CLARKE
COVINGTON
JASPER
JONES
LAUDERDALE
MADISON
NEWTON
RANKIN
SCOTT
SIMPSON
SMITH
WAYNE
CO2 Business Model – Phase II
Oil and Natural Gas Pipelines in Place
Fields with at Least 5 MMBO of Cumulative Production
Den
bury
CO 2
Pip
elin
e
Cumulative Gross Production to Date: 880 MMBO
Denbury Interest
EAST MISSISSIPPI
Jackson Dome
Significant Additional Potential Oil Reserves in East Mississippi
18
Denbury Resources Inc.CO2 Model Assumptions – Phase II
Operating Cost: ● CO2 Utilization: 9.25 Mcf per Barrel of Oil Produced
● CO2 Costs: $0.30/Mcf (includes transportation)
● Total Operating Costs: $11-$13 / Net Barrel of Oil Produced (does not include overhead)
● Average Oil Discount to NYMEX: $4.20
Capital Cost: ● Limited Gross Capital Expenditures to $40 Million per Year
● Total Capital Costs: $2.60 per Net Barrel of Oil Produced
● Total Capital Costs Including Jackson Dome CO2 Wells and Facilities:
$3.25 per Net Barrel of Oil Produced
CO2 Pipeline: ● Maximum Pipeline Rates of 210 MMcf per Day
● Total CO2 Required: Approx. 910 BCF
Oil Reserves: ● 80 MMBOE Net Potential as of 12/31/03
East Mississippi
Represents First Phase of East MS Fields
19
Denbury Resources Inc.CO2 Business Model – Phase II
Projected Net Oil Production
Similar Production Profile as Phase I
20
Denbury Resources Inc.CO2 Business Model – Phases I & II
Projected Net Oil Production
21% Annual Production Growth (2002 – 2013)
Combined Phases Yield Predictable Growth Thru 2013
21
Denbury Resources Inc.CO2 Business Model – Phases I & II
CO2 Requires Less Than 50% of Total Corporate Budget
22
Denbury Resources Inc.Possible Future CO2 Projects
CO
2 P
ipel
ine
McComb
Jackson
New Orleans
BatonRouge
Meridian
● 75-90 MMBOE Total Net Potential(35.3 MMBOE Proved as of 12/31/03)
Phase I – W. Mississippi
● 80 MMBOE Net Potential
Phase II – E. Mississippi
Potential 80 Mile Pipeline
Potential 120 Mile Pipeline
100-500 MMBblsPotential
100-200 MMBblsAdd’lPotential
Beyond Phase II
JacksonDome
Significant Potential Beyond Phase I and II
23
Denbury Resources Inc.Solid Asset Base
Jackson
McComb
Baton Rouge
Lake Charles
Lafayette
New Orleans
Houma
DallasMeridian
CO
2 P
ipel
ine
Proved Reserves as of 12/31/03
G U L F O F M E X I C O
BARNETT SHALE
● Approx. 22,000 Undeveloped Acres
● Proved Reserves (MMBOE): 3.0
● Q4 ’03 Prod. (BOE/d): 268
● 2004 Est. CAPEX ($MM): $7.5
BARNETT SHALE
● Proved Reserves (MMBOE): 35.3
● Q4 ’03 Prod. (BOE/d): 5,579
● 2004 Est. CAPEX ($MM): $80.7
CO2 OPERATIONS
ONSHORE LOUISIANA
● Proved Reserves (MMBOE): 11.4
● Q4 ’03 Prod. (BOE/d): 8,320
● 2004 Est. CAPEX ($MM): $22.7
ONSHORE LOUISIANA
Several Conventional Plays in Other Areas Add Additional Growth Potential
EAST MISSISSIPPI
● Proved Reserves (MMBOE): 62.5
● Q4 ’03 Prod. (BOE/d): 13,066 ● 2004 Est. CAPEX ($MM): $32.4
EAST MISSISSIPPI
OFFSHORE GULF OF MEXICO
● Proved Reserves (MMBOE): 16.0
● Q4 ’03 Prod. (BOE/d): 7,357
● 2004 Est. CAPEX ($MM): $28.7
OFFSHORE GULF OF MEXICO
24
Denbury Resources Inc.Capital Budget (1)
2003
OffshoreGulf of Mexico
$54.0
Other
$9.1Jackson
Dome (CO2)
$19.7
OnshoreLouisiana
$33.1 E. Mississippi
$24.6
Projected 2004
OffshoreGulf of Mexico
$28.7
Other
$7.5 JacksonDome (CO2)
$31.5
SW Mississippi (CO2)
$49.2
OnshoreLouisiana
$22.7
E. Mississippi
$32.4
SW Mississippi (CO2)
$25.8
$166.3 Million $172.0 Million
(1) Excludes acquisitions; includes allocated capitalized overhead
Increased Emphasis in 2004 on Core Assets
25
Denbury Resources Inc.Financial Data per BOE
(1) NYMEX prices based on average of daily closing prices of near month contracts.(2) Cash flow from operations, excluding the change in assets and liabilities. See our website for a reconciliation of Adjusted
Cash Flow to Cash Flow from Operations.
(6:1 Basis) 2003 2002 2001
Weighted Average NYMEX Variance per BOE(1) $(1.46) $(2.13) $(2.37)
Revenue $30.43 $21.17 $22.88
Cash Receipts (payments) from Hedges (4.91) 0.07 1.64
Production Taxes and Marketing Expenses (1.17) (0.92) (0.96)
Lease Operating Expense (7.06) (5.48) (4.84)
Production Netback $17.29 $14.84 $18.72
Operating Margin from CO2 Operations 0.51 0.48 0.38
General and Administrative Expense (1.20) (0.96) (0.89)
Net Cash Interest Expense (1.61) (1.73) (1.74)
Current Taxes and Other (0.01) 0.04 (0.06)
Adjusted Cash Flow (2) $14.98 $12.67 $16.41
DD&A (7.48) (7.26) (6.27)
Non-Cash Hedging Income (expense) 0.28 0.24 (2.90)
Deferred Income Taxes and Other (2.14) (2.05) (2.27)
Early Retirement of Subordinated Debt (1.39) --- ---
Cumulative Effect from FAS 143 Adoption 0.21 --- ---
Net Income $4.46 $3.60 $ 4.97
We Monitor All Revenue & Expenses on a Gross and per BOE Basis
26
Denbury Resources Inc.
Crude Oil Natural Gas
Bbls/dAvg
Price MMcf/dAvg
PriceFloors --- --- --- ---Swaps 9,500 $22.99 --- ---Collars --- --- 30.0 $3.50/
$4.45
30.0 $3.00/$5.84
55% of Total
Volume
2004E
Crude Oil Natural Gas
Bbls/dAvg
Price MMcf/dAvg
PriceFloors --- --- --- ---Swaps --- --- --- ---Collars --- --- 15.0 $3.00/
$5.50
6% of Total Volume
2005E
Note: For further detail see 10-K
Hedge Position
Hedging Less as Balance Sheet Becomes Stronger
27
Denbury Resources Inc.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800Capitalization Long-Term Debt
Debt to Capital Analysis
$225
$153$199
$341($ i
n m
illi
on
s)
$225
$415
$676
$736
$350
$193
(1) Excludes accumulated other comprehensive income (loss).
(2) Principal amounts; excludes discount on subordinated debt.
(1) (2)
12/98 12/99 12/00 12/01 12/02 12/03Debt/Cap Ratio:
117% 68% 48% 50% 48% 40%
$300
$748
Balance Sheet Has Become Stronger Over Time
28
Denbury Resources Inc.Genesis
● Public MLP engaged in Crude Oil Gathering, Marketing and Transportation
● Denbury Owns General Partner Interest; Total of Approximately 9.25%
● Genesis’ Mississippi Pipeline Runs Near Several of our Key Fields
● Genesis May Function as a Financer and Operator of New Pipelines and
Gathering Systems Requested by Denbury
● Anticipated Distributions of $0.60 per Unit in 2004; $0.80 in 2005
● Denbury Expects Between $2.5 and $3.0 Million of Cash from Genesis in 2004 for
Distributions and Service Fees Relating to VPP
Genesis Has Enhanced Our Marketing Position in Our Core Areas
29
Denbury Resources Inc.
● Low-Risk, Low Cost Reserve Potential for Several Years Through CO2
● Maintain a Strong Balance Sheet
● Use Price Floors and Collars to Protect Against Downside Volatility
● Shifting More of Our Focus and Spending to CO2 Play
● One of Few Companies with Years of Inventory for Future Growth
● Core Assets are Growing, Even Though Our Total Production is Currently Flat
Growth Strategy
We Are Growing Our Core Assets
30
Denbury Resources Inc.Denbury Stock Performance 2000-2003
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
$0.00
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
$16.00Avg. Volume Avg. Close
Liquidity Continues to Improve, Which Also Helps Stock Price