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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT FUND NIGERIA PLATEAU STATE POTATO VALUE CHAIN SUPPORT PROJECT (PS-PVCP) RDNG/AHAI/PGCL DEPARTMENTS March 2017 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT FUND

NIGERIA

PLATEAU STATE POTATO VALUE CHAIN SUPPORT PROJECT (PS-PVCP)

RDNG/AHAI/PGCL DEPARTMENTS

March 2017

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Currency Equivalents…………………………..………………………………………………………… i

Fiscal Year……………………………………………………………………………………………… i

Weights and Measures ...................................................................................................... i

Acronyms and Abbreviations…………………………………………………………… i

Program information sheet .............................................................................................. iii

Project Summary ............................................................................................................. iv

1. STRATEGIC THRUSTRATIONALE................................................................ 1

1.1 Project Linkages with Country Strategies and Objectives .......................................1

1.2 Rationale for Bank’s Involvement ...........................................................................1

1.3 Donors Coordination ................................................................................................3

2. PROJECT DESCRIPTION.......................................................................... .....3

2.1 Project objectives ....................................................................................................3

2.2 Project Components ................................................................................................3

2.3 Technical Solutions Retained and Other Alternatives Explored .............................4

2.4 Project Type ...........................................................................................................5

2.5 Project Cost and Financing Arrangements .............................................................5

2.6 Project Beneficiaries ..............................................................................................7

2.7 Participatory Process for Project Formulation, Design and Implementation .........8

2.8 Bank Group Experience, Lessons Reflected in Project Design .............................8

2.9 Project’s Performance Indicators ...........................................................................9

3. PROJECT FEASIBILITY............................................................................. 10

3.1 Economic and Financial Performance ..................................................................10

3.2 Environmental and Social Impacts .......................................................................11

4. IMPLEMENTATION............................................................................. 13

4.1 Implementation Arrangements ............................................................................13

4.2 Procurement and Disbursement Arrangements ...................................................14

4.3 Financial Management ........................................................................................14

4.4 Monitoring & Evaluation ....................................................................................15

4.5 Governance ..........................................................................................................16

4.6 Risks, Management and Mitigation measures .....................................................16

4.7 Sustainability .......................................................................................................16

5. LEGAL INSTRUMENTS AND AUTHORITY......................................... 17

5.1 Legal Instrument ..................................................................................................17

5.2 Conditions Associated with Bank Group Intervention .........................................17

5.3 Compliance with Bank Policies ............................................................................18

6. RECOMMENDATION ........................................................................................18

List of Tables Page

Table 1.1 Donor Support to Agriculture in Nigeria ..........................................................2

Table 2.1. Table 2.1: Program Components ......................................................................4

Table 2.2. Technical Alternatives Considered and Reasons for Rejection .......................5

Table 2.3. Project Cost Estimates by Components ...........................................................5

Table 2.3. Source of financing ..........................................................................................6

Table 2.5. Project Cost by Category of Expenditure .........................................................7

Table 2.6. Category of Expenditure by Sources of Financing ..........................................9

Table 2.7. Expenditure Schedule by Component (UA million) ........................................9

Table 2.8. Consideration of Lessons Learnt in Project Design .......................................10

Table 3.1. Summary of Sensitivity Analysis ...................................................................11

Table 4.1. Potential Risk and Mitigation Measures ........................................................17

Appendices

Appendix 1a: Country Comparative Socio-Economic Indicators

Appendix 1b: Unemployment Rates by states in Nigeria

Appendix II: AfDB’s portfolio in Nigeria

Appendix III: Map of the Project Area

Appendix IV: Organizational Structure for Program Implementation

i

Currency Equivalents

October, 2016

1 UA 1.40 US$

1US$ 312.28 Naira

1 UA 435.43 Naira

Fiscal Year

01 January – 31 December

Weights and Measures

1 metric ton 2204 pounds (lbs)

1 kilogram (kg) 2.200 lbs

1 meter (m) 3.28 feet (ft)

1 millimetre (mm) 0.03937 inch (“)

1 kilometre (km) 0.62 mile

1 hectare (ha) 2.471 acres

Acronyms and Abbreviations

ADF African Development Fund

AfDB African Development Bank

AgSS Agricultural Sector Strategy of the African Development Bank

APPB Annual Performance Plan and Budget

APP Agricultural Promotion Policy

ADWG Agriculture Donor Working Group

ATA Agricultural Transformation Agenda

CBN Central Bank of Nigeria

CIDA Canadian International Development Agency

CSP Country’s Strategy Paper

CPM Country Portfolio Manager

CPMT Country Project Management Team

CPPR Country Portfolio Performance Review

DANIDA Danish International Development Agency

DfID Department for International Development

DPs Development Partners

ERR Economic Rate of Return

EU European Union

RBLF Results-Based Logical Framework

FMARD Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development

FAO Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations

FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return

FGN Federal Government of Nigeria

GAP Gender Action Plan

GDP Gross domestic product

GIZ German Technical Cooperation

GoN Government of Nigeria

GoP Government of Plateau State

GPRS-I Nigeria Poverty Reduction Strategy-Phase I

GPRS II Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy-Phase II

ii

IE Interim Evaluation

IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development

IMF International Monetary Fund

JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency

MDA Ministries, Departments and Agencies

M&E Monitoring and Evaluation

MGF Matching Grant Fund

MOFEP Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning

MSME Micro Small and Medium Scale Enterprise

MTNDP Medium Term National Development Plan

MTR Mid-Term Review

NGO Non-Governmental Organization

NBS National Bureau for Statistics

NGN Nigerian Naira

NCO National Coordination Office

NRCRI National Root Crop Research Institute Kuru

PDR Project Design Report

PFI Participating Financial Institution

PIU Project Implementation Unit

PCVPMT Potato Value Chain Project Management Team

PCR Project Completion Report

PSC Project Steering Committee

PS-PVCP Plateau State Potato Value Chain Support Project

QA Quality Assurance

SC Steering Committee

SSC State Steering Committee

SIUs State Implementation Units

SI Sensitivity Indicator

SDC Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation

SDF Skills Development Fund

SSE Small Scale Enterprises

SV Switching Value

TA Technical Assistance

UN United Nations

UNDP United Nations Development Project

UNICEF United Nations International Children’s Education Fund

UNODC United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime

USD United State Dollar

USAID United States Agency for International Development

WHO World Health Organisation

iii

Loan Information

Client’s information

__________________________________________________________________________________

BORROWER: Federal Republic of Nigeria (for the Plateau State Potato Value Chain Support

Project)

EXECUTING AGENCY: Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (FMARD)

Table 1. Financing plan

S/N Source Amount (Million) Instrument

UA US$ 1 ADF 8.0 11.2 Loan

4 Plateau State Government 1.3 1.82 Own Fund

5 Beneficiaries 0.1 0.154 Own Fund (In-kind)

TOTAL PROJECT COST 9.4 13.2 -

Table 2. ADF’s key financing information

Loan currency UA

Interest type 1% fixed

Interest rate spread None

Commitment fee 50 bps

Other fees: Service Charge 75 bps/yr on undisbursed amount

Tenor 30 years

Grace period 5 years

Table 3. Project Financial and Economic Performance

FIRR Project 49%

ERR Overall Project 29%

Sensitivity Analysis

Item Change NPV IRR % SI (NPV) SV(NPV)

Base Case 4.2

Investment +20% 3.9 24.9 10.1 10%

Benefits -20% 3.2 21.4 13.2 9%

Implementation delays one year 3.6 25.8 12.1 7%

SI = sensitivity indicator, SV = switching value

Table 4. Timeframe - Main Milestones (expected)

S/N Description Timing

1 Concept Note approval August, 2016

2 Project Preparation August, 2016

3 Project Appraisal mission October, 2016

4 Preparation of draft PAR including

Internal Review Process to (Peer

Reviewers, Country Team Meetings, etc)

November, 2016

5 Proposed Negotiation Dates February, 2017

6 Project approval March, 2017

7 Effectiveness June, 2017

8 Completion June, 2020

9 Disbursement closing Date December, 2020

iv

Project Summary 1. Project Overview

1.1 The Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) through the present Agricultural Promotion

Policy (APP) has placed high priority on developing value chains of crops and livestock as a

key instrument to drive sustained prosperity for all Nigerians in domestic food security goals,

exports, improve the competitiveness of the Potato commodity value chain and supporting

sustainable income and job growth. The APP is anchored on three main pillars (Pillar 1:

Promotion of agricultural investment; Pillar 2: Financing agricultural development projects and

Pillar 3: Research for agricultural innovation and productivity. This project will contribute to

the APP (2016-2020) strategic pillar of “Promotion of agricultural investment & Financing

agricultural development projects”.

1.2 The economic situation in the 36 States of Nigeria is worsening daily. Poverty has risen

with almost 113 million people living on less than a $1 (£0.63) a day, with 69% of Nigerians

in 2010 living in absolute poverty (The Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010-National Bureau of

Statistics 2014)-this figure had risen from 54.7% in 2004 and this rising trend continues to the

present recession period. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, Plateau State is among

the 10 poorest states in Nigeria with over 70% poverty rate. Plateau State recognised the need

to explore its comparative advantage in the area of agriculture to move the vision of

transforming the state economic fortunes for the better. Therefore, the agenda of the present

Plateau state government is to diversify into agriculture through supporting an intervention that

the state has comparative advantage to boost economic activities in the state, region and nation;

yield the desired goal of employment generation; improve competitiveness of the potato

commodity value chain; and increase incomes of the commodity value chain stakeholders.

1.3 The proposed Potato Value Chain Support Project aims to contribute to employment

generation and shared wealth creation along the potato commodity value chain, as well as food

security through increased access to rural infrastructure. The project’s specific objective is to

increase, on a sustainable basis, the income of smallholder farmers and rural entrepreneurs that

are engaged in the production, processing, storage and marketing of Potato. Key Indicators of

outcomes of the Potato Value Chain Support Project include: additional income of farmers and

rural entrepreneurs (50% of which for women), increased access to social and rural

infrastructure works in the project area; and an improvement in the food security situation of

food secure beneficiaries in the Project area (50% of which for women). An impact indicator is

the additional jobs created (of which 50% are women). The total number of direct household

beneficiaries targeted by the project is estimated at 11,500 households creating 60,000 jobs

along the value chain of priority commodity of which 50% will be women.

2. Needs Assessment

2.1 Nigeria’s economy is currently witnessing a slow growth rate which is due to the fall in

global oil prices. This development has impacted on Nigeria’s economic activity, fiscal revenue

and international reserves. Growth slowed from 6.3% in 2014 to an estimated 2.7% in 2015.

The 2016 outlook is for slow economic recovery with real GDP growth to decline to 2.3%

before recovering to 3.5% in 2017. This downward trend has called for the need for the various

State Governments to diversify the economy through agriculture and solid minerals. Agriculture

(both upstream and downstream) has the capacity to employ the larger percentage of the 4 to 5

million young people that annually enter the labour market without finding formal employment.

The 5 Pillar Policy of the present Government of Plateau State reveals the critical need for

interventions namely: (i) Peace, Security and Good governance; (ii)Human Capital

Development and Social welfare; (iii) Agriculture and Rural Development; (iv)

v

Entrepreneurship, Industrialization and Wealth Creation; (v) Physical Infrastructure and

Environment.

3. Bank’s Added Value

3.1 The proposed intervention is in line with the Bank’s Group “HIGH 5” goals of ‘Feed

Africa’ and ‘Improve the quality of life of Africans’. It is also aligned with the Bank’s Feed

Africa – Strategy for Agricultural Transformation in Africa (2016 – 2025). The Project will

contribute to the four strategic goals of the African Agricultural Transformation Agenda which

includes 1. Contribute to ending Extreme Poverty by 2025; 2. End Hunger and Malnutrition by

2025, 3. Turn Africa into Net Food Exporter by 2025; and 4. Move Africa to the top of key

global agricultural value chains by 2025.

3.2 The project is consistent with the Bank’s CSP for Nigeria (2013-2017) and is hinged on

two strategic pillars: (i) supporting the development of a sound policy environment and (ii)

investing in critical infrastructure to promote the development of the real sector of the economy.

In March 2016, a Mid-Term Review of the CSP was conducted. This proposed modification of

the first pillar of the CSP to –“Supporting the Development of a Sound Policy Environment for

Social Inclusion” in alignment with the Federal Government aspirations of curbing inequalities

and poverty. The project is aligned with Pillar II - Investing in critical infrastructure to promote

the development of the real sector of the economy, of the Country’s Strategy Paper (CSP)

(2013-2017). The project (under component-1) will support rehabilitation of existing

production infrastructure and restoration of community infrastructure such as access roads,

diffused storage stores, small earth dams, processing centers, community markets and

establishment of tissue culture laboratory for seed tubers production that will promote

development of the real sector of the economy.

4. Knowledge Management

The experience gained from the implementation of this project will be well documented in the

various project reports including project completion reports, quarterly progress reports, audit

reports, supervision reports and midterm review reports. The knowledge will be disseminated

within the Bank to be applied in the design and implementation of new operations on value

chains in the agricultural sector in other countries. Lessons from the project will be a valuable

opportunity to improve project design in general.

vi

Table 4: Result-Based Logical Framework (RBLF)

NAME OF PROJECT AND COUNTRY: PLATEAU STATE POTATO VALUE CHAIN SUPPORT PROJECT (PS-PVCP)

PROJECT GOAL: Contribute to employment generation; Improve the competitiveness of the Potato commodity value chain; and increase incomes of the commodity

value chain actors.

Results chain Performance indicators Means of verification Risk/Mitigation Measures Indicators (including CSI) Baseline (2016) Target (end of project)

IMP

AC

T

Contribute to creation of shared wealth;

employment, and food

and nutritional security.

Real agricultural GDP growth 3.09% in 2016 Growth of at least 10%

per year

National Statistics and project

reports

Unemployed as % of population 12.1% in 2016 Unemployment reduced

by 5% by 2019

disaggregated by Gender.

National Statistics and project

reports Nigeria living standards

surveys,

National household expenditures surveys

OU

TCO

MES

Outcome 1: Creation of

jobs and Improvement of rural household

incomes

Average additional

income

90,870 Household income

increased by at least 50%

State statistics

Local Government (LGA)

statistics, Project reports.

Reference surveys, studies

Risks: Policy reversal due to change in Government

leadership and policy.

Mitigation: Agricultural Promotion Policy remains

consistent and acceptable to Government.

Number of jobs created of which

50% will be women

0 60,000 additional jobs to

be created in Plateau State

including 50% women

Yield of the targeted crop increased 12T/ha 20T/ha

Outcome 2: Improved

food security and nutrition

An improvement in the food security

situation of food secure households in the Project area (50% of which

are for women).

0 Percentage of food secure

households increased by 40% in Plateau State?

State statistics

Local Government (LGA)

statistics, Project reports.

Reference surveys, studies

COMPONENT 1: Infrastructure Development

OU

TPU

TS

Results chain Performance indicators Means of verification Risk/Mitigation Measures

Indicators (including CSI) Baseline Target (end of project)

1.1 Small water

catchment structures

constructed

1.2 Rehabilitated

irrigation structures

1.3 Roads linking

farms to markets rehabilitated

1.4 Produce storage facilities functional,

1.5 Constructed wash bore/ tube wells

1.6 Constructed

community markets

1.1 No. of small water catchment

structures constructed

1.2 No of small earth dams rehabilitated

1.3 Km of all-weather feeder roads rehabilitated

1.4. No. of Diffused Light stores

1.5 No. of wash bore/ tube wells constructed

1.6 No. of community market constructed

1.7 No. of water pumps supplied

1.1: 0

1.2: 0

1.3: 0

1.4: 0

1.5: 0

1.6. 0

1.7: 0

1.8: 0

1.9: 0

1.1: 34

1.2: 10

1.3: 320

1.4: 9

1.5: 1150

1.6. 9

1.7: 1,000

1.8: 3

1.9 1

Project supervision reports;

Project Monitoring and Evaluation reports

Project reports

Mid-term review;

Supervision reports

Risk: Infrastructures are not well maintained, and under-utilized.

Mitigation: Proper t usage and maintenance mechanism put in place for the developed infrastructure.

vii

1.7 Water pumps

supplied

1.8 Processing centers

constructed

1.9 Tissue culture

laboratory established

1.8 No. of Processing centers

constructed

1.9 No. of Tissue culture laboratory

established

COMPONENT 2: Capacity Building Support

OU

TPU

TS

Results chain Performance indicators Means of verification

Means of verification

Risk/Mitigation Measures

Indicators (including CSI) Baseline Target (end of project)

2.1 Capacity of potato

value chain

stakeholders on

improved technical

and managerial skills built

2.2 Improved access to financial services

(credit, insurance) and

markets

2.3 Farm advisory

services provided on potato blight diseases

control, storage and

processing techniques.

2.4 Potato farmer’s capacities for Potato

seed production

strengthened.

2.5 Linking Potato

farmers to research institutions

2. 6 Capacity development for

Plateau ADP

Extension services,

relevant Ministries

and Departments of

government, farmer groups, private (MFIs,

agro-dealers, etc.) and

community-based organisations

(producers

organizations, cooperatives, inter-

professional bodies,

etc.).

2.1 No. of potato value chain

stakeholders capacities improved

on technical and managerial skills

built ( of which 50% are women)

2.2 No. of farmers with Improved access to financial services (credit,

insurance) and markets. ( of which 50% are women)

2.3 No. of farm advisory services provided on potato blight diseases

control, storage and processing

techniques etc. ( of which 50% are women)

2.4 No. of Potato farmer’s

capacities strengthened on Potato

seed production ( of which 50% are women)

2.5 No. of Potato farmers linked to potato research institutions( of

which 50% are women)

2.6 No. of ADP Extension services, staff of relevant

Ministries and Departments of government, farmer groups,

private (MFIs, agro-dealers, etc.)

and community-based

organisations (producers

organizations, cooperatives, inter-

professional bodies, etc.) capacities enhanced. ( of which

50% are women)

2.7 No. of market information systems developed. ( of which

50% are women)

2.8 No. of beneficiaries trained on

methodologies for post-harvest losses reduction etc. ( of which

50% are women)

2.1: 0

2.2: 0

2.3: 0

2.4: 0

2.5: 0

2.6. 0

2.7: 0

2.8: 0

2.9 0

2.1: 1000

2.2: 1400

2.3: 4000

2.4: 6000

2.5: 3000

2.6. 100

2.7: 15

2.8: 2500

2.9 50%

Project supervision reports;

Project Monitoring and

Evaluation reports

Project reports

Mid-term review;

Supervision reports

Risk: Risk: Limited capacity of service providers

involved in the project

Mitigation: Experienced services in Potato value chain

development.

viii

2.7 development of

market information systems

2.8 training of beneficiaries in

methodologies for

post-harvest losses reduction etc.

2.9 Percentage of women in

position leadership in water catchment structures and

community market committees.

COMPONENT 3: Project Management

OU

TPU

TS

Results chain Performance indicators Means of verification Risk/Mitigation Measures

Indicators (including CSI) Baseline Target (end of project)

Output 4.1:

Project management team

validated and

operational at state level.

State Implementation team validated

and fully functional

State

Implementation Team

State Implementation

Team functional Project supervision reports;

Project Monitoring and

Evaluation reports

Project reports

Mid-term review; Supervision reports

Risk: Limited capacity of PIU members

Mitigation Measures: Training in Bank procedures,

close monitoring and half-yearly supervision to quickly

correct shortcomings in management.

4.2; Procurement

of transport and office equipment;

technical

assistance, studies and surveys

Procurement completed Transport and office

equipment; technical assistance, studies

and surveys.

Transport and office

equipment; technical assistance, studies and

surveys.

Risk: Cumbersome procurement procedures will slow

disbursement. Mitigation: Procurement simplified to ensure timely

disbursements

KEY

AC

TIV

ITIE

S

Component 1: Infrastructure Development Inputs/Activities

Rehabilitation of irrigation structures; rehabilitation of access roads; construction of

washbores/tube wells, establishment of tissue culture laboratories; construction of

processing centers; construction of community markets and produce storage facilities; preparation and implementation of ESMPs.

Sources of Financing: In million UA

• ADF Loan = UA 8..0 million (USD 11.2 million)

• Government = UA 1.4 million (USD 1.96 million)

Missions: Appraisal, supervision, MTR, PCR and donor

coordination

Component 2: Commodity Value Chain Development Inputs/Activities

Capacity development for relevant Ministries’ departments; private and community-based institutions ; training value chain actors in technical and managerial skills;

training in post-harvest reduction methods; business and entrepreneurship training;

training on potato diseases control; potato seed production development of market information system (MIS); management of environmental and social impacts;

implementation of policies to promote private investment in agriculture.

Component D: Project Management Unit Inputs/Activities

4.1 State Implementation team validated and fully functional

4.2 Plan and coordinate project implementation activities;

4.3 Monitoring and Evaluation; 4.4 Management of relevant studies

4.5 Management of procurements

ix

Table 5: Project Timeframe

ACTIVITY 2016

2017 2018 2019 2020

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Preparatory/Preliminary activities

Conducting baseline studies

Project work plans and budgets

Prepare, approve and float Bid docs

and contract awards

Contracts execution for works,

goods and services

Quarterly reports submission

Annual reports submission

Steering committee meetings

Bank’s supervision missions

Audit

Mid-term review

Project Completion Reporting

Disbursement

Closing Date

1

REPORT AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE MANAGEMENT TO THE BOARD OF

DIRECTORS ON A PROPOSED LOAN TO THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA FOR

THE PLATEAU STATE POTATO VALUE CHAIN SUPPORT PROJECT

Management submits the following Report and Recommendation on proposed ADF loan of UA 8

million to finance the Plateau State Potato Value Chain Support Project in the Plateau State of the

Federal Republic of Nigeria.

1. STRATEGIC THRUST & RATIONALE

1.1. Project Linkages with Country Strategies and Objectives

1.1.1 This Project will contribute to Nigeria’s Agricultural Promotion Policy (APP: 2016 – 2020)

“Building on the Successes of the ATA” and strategy document. The goal of APP is to drive forward

Federal priorities in partnership with State Governments in the following four areas: food security;

import substitution; job creation; and economic diversification. The policy is anchored on three main

pillars (Pillar 1: Promotion of agricultural investment; Pillar 2: Financing agricultural development

projects and Pillar 3: Research for agricultural innovation and productivity. This project will contribute

to the APP (2016-2020) strategic pillars of “Promotion of agricultural investment & Financing

agricultural development projects”.

1.1.2 The project will support the vision of the present Government of building an agribusiness economy

capable of delivering sustained prosperity in meeting domestic food security goals, generating exports,

and supporting sustainable income and job growth. The principal focus of the Plateau State Potato Value

Chain Support Project is to contribute to employment generation; improve the competitiveness of the

potato commodity value chain; and increase incomes of the commodity value chain actors. The proposed

project has the potential to create 60,000 jobs in the state of which 50% will be women. The project will

contribute to Nigeria’s emerging Vision 2016 – 2020 which seeks to integrate agricultural commodity

value chains into the broader supply chain of Nigerian and increasing the contribution of agriculture to

wealth creation.

1.1.3 The project is aligned with the Country’s Strategy Paper (2013-2017) Pillar II–Investing in Critical

Infrastructure to Promote the Development of the Real Sector of the Economy. Nigeria’s agricultural

sector suffers from an infrastructure challenge. The project will support restoration of farm access roads,

establishment of market and storage structures; and processing centers to boost farm productivity, raise

the level of marketable surplus and expand value chain participants’ access to low cost infrastructure in

Plateau State.

1.2 Rationale for Bank’s Involvement

The rationale for the Bank to support Plateau State Potato Value Chain Support Project includes the

following:

i) Nigeria’s economy is a confederation of the economies of her 36 states and the FCT. Economic

situation in the 36 States of Nigeria is worsening daily. Poverty has risen with almost 113 million

people living on less than a USD1 a day, with 69% of Nigerians in 2010 living in absolute

poverty (The Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010-National Bureau of Statistics2014) - this figure had

risen from 54.7% in 2004 and predicted this rising trend will likely to continue. The current fiscal

crisis is a sufficient signal that all is never going to be the same again thus Governments at all

levels recognise the critical importance of developing a broad-based economy, with productive

activities in every region and state. Insufficient government revenue is invested in infrastructural

development; the infrastructure system is extremely poor prohibiting growth and expansion.

Plateau State recognised the need to explore their comparative advantage in the area of

2

agriculture to move the vision of transforming the state economic fortunes for the better. The

State accounts for about 95% of the total potato production in Nigeria, and exports to other

countries including Ghana, Chad and Niger. However, the subsector has very serious constraints

to overcome in order to achieve its potential. Thus, there is a strong case for the provision of

resources from the Bank to support Plateau state government initiative to diversify into

agriculture through supporting the proposed intervention that the state has comparative

advantage to boost economic activities in the state, region and nation.

ii) The government’s new Agricultural Promotion Policy asserts that Nigeria’s agricultural sector

suffers from an infrastructure challenge. Further, infrastructure such as farm access roads,

railroads and irrigation dams are either insufficient, or when available, not cost competitive.

They are thus unable to operate to support scale-driven agriculture. That imposes an added cost

(up to 50% - 100%) on the delivered price of agricultural produce in Nigeria, making it

uncompetitive compared to global peers. This proposed intervention which is largely in rural

infrastructure will contribute significantly to agricultural productivity increase in Plateau state,

the region and nation as a whole. Agricultural productivity growth is a critical step in the process

of economic transformation and growth.

iii) Among priorities emerging from the aspirations of the APP is the need to integrate agricultural

commodity value chains into the broader supply chain of Nigerian and global industry, driving

job growth, increasing the contribution of agriculture to wealth creation, and enhancing the

capacity of the country to earn foreign exchange from agricultural exports. The Bank will

improve competitiveness of the potato commodity value chain through the proposed project to

yield the desired goal of employment generation along the value chain.

iv) The proposed intervention is in line with the Bank Group’s “HIGH 5”priorities that are crucial

for accelerating Africa’s economic transformation. It is aligned with the Bank’s Strategy for

Agricultural Transformation in Africa (2016 – 2025). The Project will contribute to the four

strategic goals of the African Agricultural Transformation Agenda which includes 1. Contribute

to ending Extreme Poverty by 2025; 2. End Hunger and Malnutrition by 2025, 3. Turn Africa

into Net Food Exporter by 2025; and 4. Move Africa to the top of key global agricultural value

chains by 2025.

v) The intervention is also consistent with the Bank’s Ten Year Strategy (2013-2022). The desired

long-term goal of the strategy is to scale up infrastructure financing to the continent significantly

not just through its own lending but by leveraging its financial resources. The proposed project

is also aligned with Gender Strategy 2014-2018 aims to operationalize the Bank’s commitment

to gender equality.

1.3 Donor coordination

Table: 1.1 Donor Support to Agriculture in Nigeria Players - Public Annual Expenditure (average)

Government Donors AfDB: 21.5% FAO 9.7%*

UA 164.3m UA

821.4 m IFAD: 12.1%*

WB 35.8%

% Tot 16.7% 83.3%

Level of Donor Coordination

Existence of Thematic Working Groups (this sector/sub-sector)

[Y]

Existence of SWAPS or Integrated Sector Approaches [Y]

ADB's Involvement in Donors Coordination [M]

Key: L: Leader. M: Member but not leader. N: No involvement. Y: Yes. N: No.; *indicative announced

3

1.3.1 Donor co-ordination in Nigeria is managed by the National Planning Commission and the

Federal Ministry of Finance in close collaboration with the Central Bank of Nigeria. In the agriculture

sector, the Bank actively participates in donor coordination/harmonization activities in the country via

the Agriculture Donor Working Group (ADWG). The ADWG, which is currently co-chaired by World

Bank & GIZ consist of 15 members: Philanthropic Organizations (1); Bilateral Institutions (7); Financial

Institutions (4); and Multi-Lateral Institutions (3). Amongst the mandate of ADWG is to promote

coherence and consistency in development assistance to agriculture, through coordination of

Development Partners’ support to the sector. It is aimed at achieving harmonization, promoting

coordinated policy dialogue and reducing transaction costs. Intervention Pillars of the ADWG are: i)

Production and Productivity Enhancement ii) Nutrition and Food Security iii) Value Chain

Development/Market Access iv) Natural Resources Management/Climate Change Adaptation v)

Financial Inclusion vi) Enterprise Development and vii) Rural and Agro-Infrastructure (irrigation, roads,

etc.) viii) Sector Policy Reforms and Institutional Development.

2. PROJECT DESCRIPTION

2.1. Project Components

2.1.1 The overall goal of the Plateau State Potato Value Chain Support Project is to contribute to

employment generation and shared wealth creation along the potato commodity value chain, as well as

food security through increased access to rural infrastructure. The project’s specific objective is to

increase, on a sustainable basis, the income of smallholder farmers and rural entrepreneurs that are

engaged in the production, processing, storage and marketing of Potato. Gender will be a cross-cutting

issue in all the components of the project.

2.1.2 Key Indicators of outcomes of the Plateau State Potato Value Chain Support Project include: (i)

additional income of farmers and rural entrepreneurs (50% of which for women), and increased access

to social and rural infrastructure works in the project area; and (ii) an improvement in the food security

situation of beneficiaries in the Project area (50% of which for women). An impact indicator is the

additional jobs created (of which 50% are women).

2.1.3 The Project has three components: (i) Infrastructure development, which entails the

rehabilitation of existing production infrastructure; restoration of community infrastructure such as

access roads, diffused light storage stores, small earth dams, processing centres, establishment of tissue

culture laboratory and gender sensitive community markets (70% of project cost); (ii) Capacity building

support, which is aimed at enhancing agricultural productivity and production through use of science

and technology, capacity development to strengthen the sector institutions (public, private and

community-based institutions) to deliver quality services to potato commodity value chain actors; train

beneficiaries in post-harvest reduction methods, food processing, business and entrepreneurship,

prevention and management of common human diseases; sanitation and hygiene practices; and promote

access of beneficiaries to financial services. It will further develop market information systems and

implement policies to promote private investment in agriculture (20% of Project cost); and (iii) Project

management, which entails the day-to-day project management based on adequate results measurement

framework (10% of Program cost).

4

Table 2.1: Program Components

Component Total Costs

(UA million)

Component Description

1. Infrastructure

Development

6.58

(70%)

Rehabilitation of 320km access roads, small-scale hydrological

structures for irrigation including 1000 wash bores; 150 tube wells,

20 water catchment structures and 20 spring catchment structures.

Small earth dams – 10, Community markets – 9, Diffuse light stores

– 9, Processing centres - 3; 1000 water pumps, 9 storage

infrastructure (Diffused Light Stores); 9 processing machines, 3

community markets. Preparation of ESMPs for the project areas.

2. Capacity

Building support

1.88

(20%)

Capacity building for ADP, relevant value chain actors, potato

farmers, private (MFIs, agro-dealers, etc.) and community-based

(producers‟ organizations, cooperatives, inter-professional bodies,

etc.) institutions; training value chain actors in technical and

managerial skills; training in post-harvest reduction methods

including food processing; business and entrepreneurship training;

training in managing and maintaining these rural infrastructures;

diseases control management; development of market information

system (MIS); management of environmental and social impacts;

implementation of policies to promote private investment in

agriculture.

3. Project

Management

0.94

10%

Coordination and supervision of program activities; program day to

day management based on adequate results measurement

framework; baseline studies and surveys; ESMP supervision;

program procurement, disbursement, financial management, audit

and reporting.

Total costs 9.4

2.2 Technical Solutions Retained and Other Alternatives Explored

2.3.1 The technical solutions retained are based on criteria that will help ensure the project’s success

and sustainability. Three technical alternatives were considered and rejected for their weaknesses in

generating the expected impact on a sustainable basis. The technical solutions retained are also in line

with Government preferences.

2.3.2 The technical alternative retained by the project has been reviewed with the project objectives

in focus and found desirable. Value chains are organized linkages between groups of producers, traders,

processors, and service providers (including nongovernment organizations) that join together to improve

productivity and the value added from their activities. The premise for adopting a value chain approach

is that higher financial returns can be realized through value -enhancing inputs than can be obtained

from simple supply chains. Similarly, the approach is widely considered to be a suitable approach to

inducing growth in rural areas, increasing marketed food surpluses and enhancing rural livelihoods.

2.3.3 The diffused light potato storage structure (DLS) proposed by the project will reduces storage

losses at farmers level from 40% to less than 10% and can store potato tubers for 4 – 5 months. Access

roads under the intervention will reduce transport costs which is about 38 per cent of the retail prices.

Market structures will facilitate better coordination and access. The hydraulic structures proposed will

guarantee year round production there by increasing the yield of potato by about 100%. The Tissue

Culture Laboratory will generate quality potato seeds and strengthen sustainable seed potato production

in the project areas. Processing centres will add value to the potatoes produced in the project area.

5

2.3.4 The alternative technical solutions explored and the reasons for their rejection are summarized in

Table 2.2 below.

Table 2.2: Technical Alternatives Considered and Reasons for Rejection

Alternative Solution Brief Description Reasons for Rejection

1. Considering single Value Chain

intervention point for the Potato

commodity (producer-driven

model).

In this scenario, entry point for the

project is at the primary production

level

Inherent to a single VC approach is less

beneficial impact on target groups. For

example, improving the efficiency and

capacity of processors or other

downstream actors can create additional

demand and higher prices for crops,

with direct benefits for small-scale

producers.

2. Supporting only hydraulic

structures for year round potato

production

Construction of dams, conveyance

canals and water catchment

structures in the project areas

Very high costs and not a suitable

approach to induce growth in the

project areas. The alternative is not in

line with Value Chain Approach.

3. Provide support to the project

through NGOs/Donors working in

the State.

In this scenario, project activities

will be implemented by NGOs

working in the state.

The coordination of the intervention

would be unwieldy with too many

project implementation entities.

2.3 Project Type

The Potato Value Chain Support Project is an investment project that will be financed by an ADF loan to

the FGN.

2.4 Project Cost and Financing Arrangements

2.4.1 The total project cost, net of taxes and customs duties, is estimated at 9.4 million Units of

Account (UA), or approximately NGN 4.096 billion. This cost comprises UA 2.8 million in local

currency and UA 6.6 million in foreign exchange. Base cost for price contingency is (UA 0.6 million)

and physical contingencies is (UA 0.42) million. The summary of estimated costs by component,

expenditure category, sources of financing as well as an expenditure schedule are presented in the tables

below. Detailed project cost tables are presented in the Technical Annexes to this report.

Table 2.3: Project Cost Estimates by Component Component Naira million UA million %

F.E

%

Base

Costs Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total

Component 1: Infrastructure

Development 653.15 2,394.87 3,048.01 1.5 5.5 7.0 83% 83%

Component 2: Capacity Building

Support 261.26 130.63 391.89 0.6 0.3 0.9 5% 11%

Component 4: Project Management

and Coordination 174.17 43.54 217.72 0.4 0.1 0.5 2% 6%

Baseline Costs 1,088.58 2,569.04 3,657.61 2.5 5.9 8.4 89% 100%

Price contingencies 76.20 179.83 256.03 0.18 0.41 0.6 6% 14%

Physical contingencies 54.43 128.45185 182.88 0.13 0.30 0.42 4% 5%

Total Project Costs 1,219.20 2,877.32 4,096.53 2.8 6.6 9.4 70% 119%

2.4.2 The project will be financed by an ADF loan of UA 8.0 million (about USD 11.2 million), State

Governments UA 1.3 million (USD 1.82 million), and the beneficiaries UA 0.11million (USD 0.154

million). The respective contributions are as shown in Table 2.4 below.

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Table 2.4: Sources of Financing

Source of financing UA, million Percent

Local Currency Foreign Currency Total

ADF Loan 1.4 6.6 8.0 85.0%

Government contribution 1.3 0 1.3 13.8%

Beneficiaries 0.1 0 0.1 1.2%

TOTAL COST 2.8 6.6 9.4 100%

2.4.3 The cost of the project by category of expenditure is presented in Table 2.5 to 2.7 below

Table 2.5: Project Cost by Category of Expenditure

Categories of expenditures Naira million UA million %

F.E

%

Base

Costs Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total

1. Investment costs

A. Civil Works 653.1 2,394.9 3,048.0 1.4 5.6 7.0 85% 83%

B. Goods 174.17 43.54 217.72 0.4 0.1 0.5 2% 6%

C. Services 174.17 43.54 217.72 0.4 0.1 0.5 2% 6%

Total Investment Costs 1,001.49 2,481.95 3,483.44 2.3 5.7 8.0 88% 95%

Total Recurrent costs 130.63 43.54 174.17 0.3 0.1 0.4 2% 5%

Total Baseline Costs 1,132.12 2,525.49 3,657.61 2.6 5.8 8.4 89% 100%

Price contingencies 79.25 176.78 256.03 0.18 0.41 0.6 6% 14%

Physical contingencies 56.61 126.27 182.88 0.13 0.29 0.4 4% 5%

Total Program Costs 1,267.97 2,828.55 4,096.53 2.8 6.6 9.4 69% 119%

Table 2.6: Category of Expenditure by source of financing Disbursement categories ADF GOP F.E Local

E.R Amount % Amount % Amount %

A. Civil Works 6.6 83% 0.0 0.0% 6.60 70.2% 4.10 1.50

Sub Total 6.6 83% 0.0 0.0% 6.60 70.2% 4.10 1.50

B. Goods

1. Vehicle 0.20 2.5% 0.1 7.1% 0.30 3.2% 0.40 0.3

2. Office furniture 0.10 1.3% 0.1 7.1% 0.20 2.1% 0.30 0.1

3. Equipment 0.20 2.5% 0.1 7.1% 0.30 3.2% 0.20 0.1

Sub Total 0.50 6.3% 0.3 21.4% 0.80 8.5% 0.90 0.5

C. Services

0.30 3.8% 0.6 42.9%

0.90 9.6%

1.00 0.3

Sub Total 0.30 3.8% 0.6 42.9% 0.90 9.6% 1.00 0.3

D. Operating Costs 0.60 7.5% 0.5 35.7% 1.10 11.7% 0.60 0.5

Total 8.0 100.0% 1.4 100.0% 9.40 100.0% 6.6 2.8

7

Table 2.7 Expenditure schedule by component Component Baseline Costs ( UA million)

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total

Component 1: Infrastructure Development 2.80 3.80 0.40 7.00

Component 2: Capacity Building Support 0.40 0.40 0.10 0.90

Component 4: Project Management and Coordination 0.10 0.3 0.10 0.50

Baseline Costs 3.30 4.50 0.60 8.4

Price contingencies 0.10 0.2 0.30 0.60

Physical contingencies 0.02 0.3 0.10 0.42

Total Program Costs 3.42 5.00 1.00 9.4

2.5 Project Area and Beneficiaries

Project Area

2.5.1 Plateau State will be the sole beneficiary state of the Potato Value Chain Support Project. The

project will be implemented in the 17 Local Government Areas of the state, and these are: Bassa, Jos

North, Jos East, Jos South, Riyom, Barkin Ladi, Mangu, Bokkos, Pankshin, Lantang North, Langtang

South, Kanke, Kanam, Mikang, Qua’an Pan, Wase and Shendam. The Local Government Areas were

selected based on their potential for producing potato in large quantities. Under this project, 15,780 ha

have been earmarked for development.

Project Beneficiaries

2.5.2 The project will benefit at least 100,000 farm families. The total number of direct household

beneficiaries targeted by the project is estimated at 11,500 households. Many farm families in the project

area are organized in Fadama Resource User Groups (FRUGs), most of whom were created during the

FADAMA Development Project. The indirect beneficiaries of the project are estimated at over 300,000

thousand farmers. The project will principally target organized structures like cooperatives, the youths

and women involved in potato farming. The project will benefit other value chain actors including

processors, marketers, albeit to varying degrees, in the value chain. Plateau ADP Extension services,

relevant Ministries and Departments of government, farmer groups, private (MFIs, agro-dealers, etc.)

and community-based organisations (producers organizations, cooperatives, inter-professional bodies,

etc. will benefit from the project capacity development.

2.6 Participatory Approach to Project Formulation, Design and Implementation

2.6.1 The project identification, preparation and design were highly participatory. Broader

consultation during the formulation missions was made with the Government authorities at the Federal,

Plateau State and their Local Government levels, Development Partners, value chain actors including

producers, marketers, processors, private sector and civil society. The mission held consultations with

many stakeholders in Plateau state including commercial farms as well as smallholder farmers and

women’s groups.

2.6.2 The Project concept and components were discussed with the major project stakeholders

including women and men in poor rural communities, state and local governments, service providers

and NGOs who all expressed keen interest to participate. State and Local Governments, in particular,

did not object to the principle of counterpart contribution to the Project. Discussions were also held

with representatives of the major donor community, such as, GIZ and DFID in Plateau which indicated

that the project concept and activities were within the context of the intervention pillars of the ADWG.

8

2.6.3 Key recommendations of the Stakeholders consultation meeting held during the preparation

mission are:

i. Establishment of Tissue Culture Laboratory for production of high quality seeds

ii. Support farmers in marketing activities; assist in developing and strengthening of existing

linkages and continue to facilitate new business linkages with existing and prospective retail

chains as well as processors Improvement of pre- and post-harvest management

iii. Efficient linkages between farmers, processors and retailers

iv. Capacity building in areas along the value chain such as crop management, logistics, transport,

processing, marketing and retailing

v. Improvement of infrastructures along the value chain including access roads, markets, storage

facilities and processing centres

vi. Late Blight is widespread and an important disease contributing to low yields, high harvest losses

and poor quality of farm saved seeds. The project should support advisory services and

strengthened extension support on potato diseases.

vii. Plateau Agricultural Development Project (PADP) and the Potato Research Centre should be

strengthened to provide adequate extension services to the farmers to enable them adhere strictly

to best practices for optimum yields as size and quality of ware potato is of essence at the

marketing/processing chains

viii. Improve seed potato distribution network

2.7 Bank Group Experience, Lessons Reflected in Project Design

2.7.1 Lessons learned by Bank Group during implementation of its projects and those of donors in

Nigeria and elsewhere have been incorporated in the design. With the exception of the agreement for

USD 700,000 MIC Grant for Strengthening FMARD, which is pending signature, conditions precedent

to first disbursement of previously approved loan/grant agreements of the Bank in the sector have been

satisfied by the Borrower/recipient. Similarly, experiences shared with stakeholders during the

preparation missions have been incorporated in developing the Project strategy. The table below

summarizes key lessons learnt from closed and on-going agriculture sector interventions in the country,

and indicates how they have informed the design of Potato Value Chain Support Project.

Table 2.8: Consideration of Lessons Learnt in Project Design

Lessons learnt Actions incorporated into the design of Potato Value Chain

Support Project

The need for participatory and socially inclusive

formulation and implementation of development

interventions

The organization of the stakeholders meeting that attracted

all stakeholders in the State and their potential involvement

in implementing the Project would ensure ownership and

sustainability after project investment period

The need for decentralisation of implementation to

States where the projects are located using existing

organs

The implementation arrangement of Potato Value Chain

Support Project is a highly decentralized one located where

the actual day-to-day actions are taking place and using or

building capacity of existing Government systems to ensure

efficiency and ownership

The need for baseline survey at project start-up and

robust result oriented monitoring and evaluation

system

The various site technical assessments carried out during the

preparatory stages would allow for tracking of changes,

monitoring progress, evaluating outcomes and assessing

impact

The need to mainstream gender and environmental

concerns (including climate change) into project

design and activities

The inclusivity and mainstreaming of gender and

environmental issues across the various components would

ensure inclusiveness, as well as positive social and

environmental impacts.by ensuring equal access to resources

and taking into account the specific needs of women and

Men proposed ratio for participation is 50:50

9

2.7.2 Taking into account experiences with presently on-going projects, Government preferences, the

recommendations of the past project PCRs and Project Evaluations including internal Bank reviews, the

Project has been simplified both in conceptual terms and in the structure of activities.

2.8 Project’s Performance Indicator

2.8.1 Project’s Performance Indicator Indicators of outcomes of the project are: (i) creation of jobs

and improvement of rural household incomes 60,000 additional jobs to be created including 50%

women; (ii) improve competitiveness of targeted value chain (VC); (iv) an improvement in the food

security situation of food secure households in the Project area (50% of which for women); (v) access

to rural infrastructure facilities in the project area increased by 30%. The key performance indicators for

monitoring progress in achieving Potato Value Chain Support Project objectives are in the Results Based

Logical Framework (RBLF).

2.8.2 Output indicators for the project include number of small water catchment structures constructed,

number of rehabilitated irrigation structures, roads linking farms to markets rehabilitated, number of

produce storage facilities functional, number of constructed wash bore/ tube wells, constructed

community market, number of water pumps supplied, processing centres constructed and number of

tissue culture laboratory established. The indicators also include number of potato value chain

stakeholders capacities improved on technical and managerial skills built. Project management team

validated and operational at state level.

2.8.3 The annual and quarterly reports will provide information on the progress made in achieving

outputs. The mid-term review and end-of-project reports will indicate progress made towards achieving

the expected project outcomes. An impact assessment study at the end of the project will focus on project

achievements and issues of sustainability.

2.8.4 Supervision and mid-term reports will assist in the formulation of the second phase of the Potato

Value Chain Support Project and contribute to knowledge building.

3. PROJECT FEASIBILITY

3.1. Economic and Financial Performance

Financial Analysis

3.1.1 Project financial analysis was carried out based on representative crop and farm budgets for the

various farming systems of the project areas, using the prevailing cropping pattern and looking at

incremental costs and benefits due to the project interventions. Most of the data used for the analysis

was derived from field survey conducted in October 2016. Prices used to calculate outputs and inputs

were obtained during Project Appraisal in October 2016 and they are expressed in constant October

2016 Naira.

3.1.2 Existing farm production practices in the project area are poor hence there is high potential for

improvements. Assuming farmers adopt good practices with the project intervention in areas of

infrastructure and value chain capacity development, increased level of productivity will result in

incremental returns to an estimated 35,000 farm families directly and through the effect of project

intervention will affect about 100,000. At full development, the project will be expected to realize

incremental income of Naira 120,500 per ha.

10

3.1.3 Two crop production models were selected for the project farming areas. Model A focused on

appraising seven non-irrigated crops, maize, soybean, sorghum, vegetables and fruits, potatoes, onions,

and tomatoes. Model B considered the irrigated crops mainly Potatoes, tomatoes, Vegetables and onions.

3.1.4 To determine the financial viability of each model, Net present values (NPV) and Internal Rate

of Return of the Project were estimated. Cost and benefits streams were built on the basis of actual

Project data. IRR and NPV were estimated using a 20% discount rate. The aggregate financial benefits

from crop production, storage and processing activities when computed against the investment costs for

the Project activities generate overall FIRR of 49%. Similarly, at 20% real required rate of return, the

base case financial results indicate that the Project is attractive to the beneficiaries as the NPV of the

real net cash-flows is positive, amounting to a value of NGN5.3 billion (USD 17.0 million) for the entire

project area. A summary of the financial analysis is attached in Annex B7 of this report.

Economic Analysis

3.1.7 The economic analysis assesses how the Project is viable to the entire society. It is derived from

the financial analysis by adjusting the financial prices for any market distortion that drives a wedge

between the economic value and the financial values of the items. The financial value does not reflect

the true economic value of a resource employed, thus the need to adjust it for distortions using

conversion factors. Particularly, the economic value of the exported crops includes the foreign exchange

premium associated with the distortions in the market for traded goods. Assumptions underlying the

economic analysis of the proposed Value Chain Support Project are:

The net benefit stream has been estimated over a period of 20 years.

The prevailing exchange rate is 1UA=312.28NGN

Financial value does not reflect the true economic value of a resource employed, thus were

adjusted.

Financial prices were adjusted for distortions using conversion factors particularly for the

exported crops

Inflation rate in Nigeria is expected to average 15.7% in 2016 and will remain constant

throughout the life span of the Project.

The Nigerian market is a free market and the prices are determined by the market forces.

3.1.8 An economic analysis was carried out to estimate the economic return of the project using a 12%

discount rate. The results of the analysis show that the project is economically rewarding, with an overall

economic internal rate of return (EIRR) of 29%. The summary of the economic analysis is presented in

Annex B7.

Sensitivity Analysis

3.1.9 Analysis comparing the sensitivity of the EIRR to changes in costs and revenues indicated that

returns are more sensitive to changes in costs than to revenues. The sensitivity analysis results are

summarized below:

3.1.10 in the base case, the ENPV is NGN4.2 billion and the EIRR is 29 percent. The sensitivity of the

base case ENPV has been analysed for (adverse) changes in several key variables, as follows:

(i) an increase in investment cost by 20 percent

(ii) a decrease in economic benefits by 20 percent

(iii) a delay in the period of project implementation by one year

11

The effects of the above changes are summarized in table 3.1

Item Change NPV IRR % SI (NPV) SV(NPV)

Base Case 4.2

Investment +20% 3.9 24.9 10.1 10%

Benefits -20% 3.2 21.4 13.2 9%

Implementation delays one year 3.6 25.8 12.1 7%

SI = sensitivity indicator, SV = switching value

3.2 Environmental and Social Impacts

3.2.1 Environment

3.2.1.1 The PS-PVCP was classified category 2 in accordance with the Bank’s Environmental and Social

Assessment Procedures (ESAP), and validated by the Quality Assurance and Results Department

(ORQR) on September 2nd, 2016. The proposed project is expected to bring significant environmental

and social benefits to Plateau State through increased access to improved irrigation and agricultural

support infrastructures and capacity development interventions that will facilitate the adoption of

climate smart agricultural practices. Specifically, the project will enhance potato production, processing,

storage and marketing capacities thereby improving the livelihoods of rural farmers and other value

chain actors, reduce vulnerability of farmers to precarious weather conditions, create employment

opportunities, and stimulate private sector engagement through value-addition investments. The project

interventions may, however, pose localized, and mostly temporary negative impacts that can be readily

mitigated per measures recommended for effective environmental and social management during project

implementation. Some of the potential negative impacts anticipated at this stage include those typically

associated with construction works and temporary disturbance during the construction phase including

loss of vegetation due to land clearing, sedimentation, occupational and public health risks, and

disruption to hydrological systems. Impacts anticipated during operation phase relate to the value chain

activities including soil and land degradation due to excessive use of agro-chemicals, inefficient water

management practices and solid wastes generated from processing and other value-addition activities.

An Environmental and Social Management Plan (ESMP) has been prepared which provides guidelines

for the mitigation and enhancement of all potential environmental and social aspects of the project.

Mitigation measures proposed to manage the negative impacts during construction and implementation

phases of the project include (i)limiting vegetation clearing to the utmost necessary situations, (ii) land

and water conservation activities, (iii) proper handling and management of construction wastes, (iv)

maintain environmental flows and monitoring hydrological systems, and other construction best

management practices. The capacity building component of the project will support the training of

farmers and other value chain actors to promote the adoption of integrated pest management (IPM),

integrate sustainable fertilizer management (ISFM), water management for irrigation schemes, and

waste management initiatives for storage and processing facilities.

3.2.2 Climate change

Nigeria is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and projected to experience rising temperatures

and changes in the distribution of rainfall, and increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather

events. The 2014 World Climate Change Vulnerability Index classifies Nigeria as one of the ten most

vulnerable countries in the world1. The northern part of the country is predicted to experience decreased

precipitation, which may result in increased drought events and reduction of surface water resources.

Per its Intended Nationally Determined National Contributions (INDC)/Climate Action Plan, the

11 Referenced in Nigeria’s INDC report to the UNFCCC

12

increasing aridity witnessed in the northeast (with spill over effects to the north central) of Nigeria

threatens the opportunities for sustainable agriculture and overall security in the region.

More so, potato production is water dependent and sensitive to changes in weather conditions; hence

climate variability can hamper the sustainability of the potato value chain interventions. The proposed

Potato Value Chain Support Project is aimed and designed to advance the resilience of the potato value

chain actors to climate variability and change. The core activity of the project is the development of

small-scale irrigation and agriculture infrastructures that will reduce dependence on rainfall and promote

all-year round potation production. Other PVCSP activities that will facilitate climate change adaption

to improve resilience in the potato value chain include (i) increasing the knowledge of all value chain

actors on issues of climate change while increasing their capacity to adopt climate smart/sustainable

agriculture technologies such as improved potato varieties, integrated soil fertility management (ISFM),

and integrated pest management (IPM) (ii) climate proofing infrastructure (roads, storage facilities,

irrigation) that can withstand increases and frequencies of extreme weather events and prolong their

lifespan, (iv) strengthening capacity and knowledge of service providers and farmers on development

and use of climate information systems, and (v) watershed management.

3.2.3 Gender

During the project appraisal it emerged that women have peculiar challenges with regard to access to

farm lands. This is due to the patrilineal inheritance system in the area, which is disadvantageous to

women. The project will address gender issues through mainstreaming across the project activities. The

project will seek to ensure socio economic empowerment, increase the involvement of both genders in

the development of potato value chain in Nigeria; create conditions for equitable access by men and

women to project resources and increase decision-making for women along the potato value chain. The

project will promote a gender transformative approach by combining: a) Capacity building and

knowledge sharing especially by facilitating women led business cooperatives/ associations and the

development of their technical, leadership entrepreneurial skills; b) Strengthen gender mainstreaming

of PVCMT, c) Promote gender sensitive approach in Public-Private Sector agreements. Potato

production and marketing activities are mainly done by women in the project areas; infrastructure

development the intervention will benefit mostly women who do most of the marketing of potatoes. The

Project will also support monitoring and evaluation information activities that will be disaggregated

along gender lines in the reports that would be generated.

3.2.4 Social Impact

3.2.4.1 The proposed development activities will result in the improvement of local community

infrastructure as well as upliftment of social structure in the affected communities. The people residing

in the identified project catchment areas will directly or indirectly benefit. The major benefit due to the

proposed project will be in the sphere of income generation, stimulation of industrial growth and

employment generation.

3.2.4.2 The overall economy of the nation will benefit from availability of potato for individuals and

companies which will reverse the current situation to export of potato to other countries.

Implementation of the project will result in the following benefits:

• Improved local infrastructure especially in rural access.

• Rekindle youth interest in agriculture leading to much more agricultural output.

• Employment generation thereby reducing level of crime in the society.

• Increased revenue to government through taxation.

• Improved market structures, processing and storage.

• Full utilization of irrigated areas hitherto under-utilized.

13

3.2.5 The project will empower youth and women for self-reliance through processing and value

addition of potato and marketing. The will also offers new investment opportunities in the project areas

that can lead to development, value chain services and emergence of new markets that can stem the tide

of rural-urban migration.

3.2.6 Involuntary Resettlement: No involuntary resettlement is envisaged with this project.

Subproject investments will be carried out on land that belongs to the Government or the beneficiary

groups. Should the scope of the activities change in such a way that result in land acquisition, the Bank’s

involuntary resettlement policies and procedures will be followed.

4. IMPLEMENTATION

Implementation Arrangements

4.1.1 The project will be implemented over a period of three years, between January 2017 and

December 2019. The Executing Agency of the project is the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural

Development (FMARD). Given that the project covers Plateau State alone, the implementing agency

(IA) will be at the State level. The Plateau State PIU already established under the AfDB closed Fadama

II project is still functional, and will be strengthened to implement this project.

4.1.2 State Steering Committee: The State Steering Committee (SSC) will assure general oversight

functions, including policy and strategic orientation of the project. The SSC will be chaired by the

Executive Governor, or his/her representative with Commissioner of Agriculture & Natural Resources

as member, and will comprise representation from FMARD, the Federal Ministry of Finance and the

National Fadama Coordination Office (NFCO), Permanent Secretary State Ministry for Agriculture,

relevant State Ministries including FinanceWomen Affairs, Environment, Commerce and Industry,

representatives of participating Local Governments, representatives of civil society, representative from

research centers in the state, the State Project Coordinator as Secretary, representatives of the private

sector and priority value chain actors and Potato famer organizations including women organisations.

The SSC will convene at least once a year or as determined by the chair. The SPIU will be the secretariat

of the SSC.

4.1.3 Project Implementation Unit: The Plateau State PIU (now known as Potato Value Chain

Management Team – PVCMT) already established under the closed Bank supported Fadama-II project,

will be the Implementing Agency, under the supervision of the State Ministry of Agriculture & Natural

Resources. The PIU’s project implementation capacity is assessed as adequate. The PIU will be

responsible for the day to day implementation of the project, and these include:

- Project planning, implementation and monitoring;

- Implementation of the annual work plan and budget, and organize periodic participative

reviews;

- Preparation of quarterly and annual project implementation reporting;

- Signing contracts with service providers and beneficiaries;

- Monitoring and supervising the established subprojects;

- Report to the State Steering Committee

Procurement Arrangements

4.1.4 Procurement Arrangements - Procurement of goods (including non-consultancy services), works

and the acquisition of consulting services, financed by the Bank for the project, will be carried out in

accordance with the “Procurement Policy and Methodology for Bank Group Funded Operations”

(BPM), dated October 2015 and following the provisions stated in the Financing Agreement.

Specifically, Procurement would be carried out following:

14

4.1.4.1 Bank Procurement Policy and Methodology (BPM): Bank standard PMPs for contracts that are

either: (i) above the thresholds indicated in Annex B5, Para. B.5.3;2, or (ii) in case BPS is not relied

upon for a specific transaction or group of transactions; and (iii) in case BPM have been found to be the

best fit for purpose for a specific transaction or group of transactions, and using (a) the relevant Bank

Standard Solicitation Documents (SDDs), (b) relevant Borrower Standard Solicitation Documents

(SDDs), or (c) relevant Third Party Standard or Model Solicitation Documents (M/SSDs) that have been

assessed as fit-for-purpose.

The use of the Bank’s Procurement Methods and Procedures (BPM) is justifiable considering the

substantial country risks and the high prohibitive procurement practices risks identified in Annex B5.

However, the Borrower Procurement Systems will be progressively used after implementation of the

Action plan that will address the identified risks. The strategy is to adopt a risk-based approach to

procurement execution and oversight to significantly improve efficiency and transparency in

procurement thereby reducing waste in public expenditure.

4.1.4.2 Procurement Risks and Capacity Assessment (PRCA): the assessment of procurement risks at

the Country, Sector, and Project levels and of procurement capacity at the Executing Agency (EA), were

undertaken for the project and the output have informed the decisions on the procurement regimes (BPS,

Bank or Third party) being used for specific transactions or groups of similar transactions under the

project. The Plateau State has recently passed the State Public Procurement Act, however, the State

Regulatory body is yet to be constituted. In this regard, the Bank’s Procurement Methods and Procedures

will be used under project. The Executing Agency implemented the FADAMA I and FADAMA II under

the Bank’s and World Bank financing, and therefore has the requisite capacity to execute the Potato

Value Chain Project. In addition, the proposed staffing were the same who implemented the listed

projects and have therefore capacity to implement the project. Market analysis of the service providers

in the Plateau State shows that they are sufficient to ensure competition and the historic analysis of

contracts awarded for similar activities through the FADAMA I and II show that no foreign firms won

any of the contracts.

The appropriate risks mitigation measures have been included in the procurement PRCA action plan

proposed in Annex B5, Para. 5.3.8.

Financial Management Reporting, Auditing and Disbursement

Financial Management

4.1.5 The Bank’s latest Country Fiduciary Risk Assessment (CFRA) of the Federal Republic of

Nigeria’s Public Financial Management (PFM) systems was conducted in 2012 and updated in March

2016 rated the overall fiduciary risk in Nigeria as Substantial. This project will be implemented in

Plateau State, whose Public Financial Management (PFM) is independent of the Country’s overall

fiduciary risk. The latest Plateau State’s Public Expenditure Financial Accountability (PEFA) was

finalized in August 2009 and has not been updated since then. In line with the Paris Declaration on Aid

Effectiveness and Accra Agenda for Action, the project will make use of the existing State Fadama

Development Project (now known as Potato Value Chain Project) financial management systems. The

overall responsibility of financial management (including Budgeting, Accounting system, and Internal

Control, Treasury Management/Funds Flow, Financial Reporting and External Audit arrangements)

rests with the PIU already established under the AfDB closed Fadama II project.

4.1.6 The Project Financial Management Function will be implemented within the structure of

PVCPMT under the leadership of the Project Accountant (PA) supported by other staff. The Project

Accountant who has adequate qualifications and well experienced in the Bank’s and World Bank’s

funded projects will be assigned to carry out the finance function of the Project. However, the PA still

15

needs training in the Bank’s currents financial reporting requirements and International Public Sector

Accounting Standards (IPSAS) which is now the framework for financial reporting in all public entities

in Nigeria. To effectively manage and implement the Project, a Project Implementation Manual (PIM)

with specific provisions for Financial Management (FM) will need to be developed to guide the FM

staff in the discharge of their terms of reference.

4.1.7 In term of reporting, the project will prepare quarterly reports (Financial and Physical) in format

acceptable to the Bank and submit them to the Bank 45 days after the end of each quarter. The project

will also prepare annual financial statements in line with IPSAS Accrual Basis to be audited by a private

audit firm. The current flexible accounting software would be changed to a robust accounting software

that is compliant with IPSAS and capable of generating the required financial report for the proposed

project.

Audit

4.1.8 In terms of the Nigerian Constitution, the Office of The State Auditor General is responsible for

the audits of the State Government expenditures, inclusive of funds sourced from donors. In practice

however, the Auditor General normally outsources the audit of donor financed projects to acceptable

independent private audit firms, on terms of reference acceptable to the Bank. The audited financial

statements and associated management letter shall be submitted to the Bank within six months after the

end of the financial year audited. The audit fees will be included in the project costs.

Disbursement Arrangement

4.1.9 The project will have access to two disbursement methods: Special Account and Direct Payment

as prescribed in the Bank’s Disbursement Handbook. The project will open a USD Special Account and

Naira denominated Draw-down account at a commercial Bank acceptable to the Bank.

4.2 Monitoring

4.2.1 The Monitoring and Evaluation Unit of Plateau State Ministry of Agriculture and Rural

Development will be responsible for the overall monitoring and evaluation of Project activities. The

FMARD and the Federal Ministry of Finance will also monitor project performance. In the project,

M&E officer will plan, monitor and evaluate key project outcomes and output results. The M&E Officer

will collect data and provide guidance to the project on tracking KPIs. The key functions of the M&E

Officer will be to regularly track, document and report the Project progress and results; facilitate

knowledge building; and share knowledge on monitoring and evaluation. The M & E Officer will

develop monitoring plans based on the Project’s Results-Based Logical Framework (RBLF). In using

the performance indicators and targets specified in the RBLF, Project implementers tracking progress

towards achievement of results, are expected to record changes that reflect advancement towards the

translation of outputs into development outcomes. In developing monitoring and planning indicators,

they would be disaggregated by age, gender and State. The RBLF will form the basis for measuring

outputs, outcomes and impact. The M&E Officer supported by the project team will prepare: (i) Annual

Work Project and Budgets; (ii) Quarterly Progress Reports; (iii) Mid-year Progress Reports; (iv) Annual

Progress Reports; (v) Status Reports for Supervision Missions; (vi) Mid-term Review Report; and (vii)

Project Completion Report.

4.3 Governance

4.3.1 Project Governance provides the structure through which the objectives of the project are set,

and the means of attaining those objectives and monitoring performance are determined. Based on

Bank’s experience in implementing projects in Nigeria, the existing governance practices and controls

16

have been deemed satisfactory. The implementation of Potato Value Chain Support Project requires

good governance at State and Local Governments including FMARD, NFCO, PIU and States’ Ministries

of Agriculture. This is in relation to better responsiveness, transparency, accountability and efficiency

in the use of resources. Hence, the institutional arrangement has been designed to ensure good

governance, and will serve as an instrument for achieving Project objectives.

4.3.2 The Public Procurement Act 2007 established the Bureau of Public Procurement in Nigeria as

the regulatory authority responsible for the monitoring and oversight of public procurement,

harmonizing the existing government policies and practices by regulating, setting standards and

developing the legal framework and professional capacity for public procurement at Federal and State

levels. The Bureau of Public Procurement has established general policies and guidelines relating to

public sector procurement, and for supervising procurement implementation as well as reviewing the

procurement and award of contract procedures of every public entity to which the Public Procurement

Act applies, including certifying all Federal wide procurement (subject to the Bureau’s prior review)

prior to the award of contracts.

4.4 Sustainability

4.4.1 The proposed project has been designed in a participatory and consultative manner. Actual and

potential beneficiaries have participated in the consultative process undertaken by the Bank Group and

Government Officials at various stages of the preparation process. The technologies proposed are well

accepted and will be complemented with investments in downstream processing and marketing. The

construction and rehabilitation of rural infrastructure works such as roads, market centres and storage

facilities will ensure that the communities concerned will improve their incomes and be enabled to meet

maintenance cost of their investments beyond project financing. The project will train communities on

how to maintain these works and provide simple equipment for recurrent maintenance. The periodic

maintenance of rural roads however, will be ensured by the Local Governments with the assistance of

the State Road Maintenance Agency. Project preparation involved field visits to consult with potential

beneficiaries and the project will ensure that all project beneficiaries would be involved in decision-

making. The value chain approach will fill the gap, through an efficient process technology and increased

utilization of potato as an industrial raw material to reduce the losses arising due to the perishability of

the harvested product.

4.5 Risk Management

The Project Result Based Log-frame has identified certain risks and proposed some mitigation measures

summarized in Table 4.1.

Table 4.1: Potential Risks and Mitigation Measures

Risks Rating1 Mitigation Measures

Policy reversal due to change in

Government leadership and policy.

M

Agricultural Promotion Policy remains consistent and

acceptable to Government.

Infrastructures are not well maintained,

and under-utilized.

H

Proper usage and maintenance mechanism developed

for the infrastructure developed.

Fulfilment of loan conditions significantly

delayed

M Work out easily fulfilled loan and grant conditions

1M = Medium; L = Low; H= High

17

4.6 Knowledge Building

4.8.1 The premise for adopting a value chain approach for supporting the project is that higher financial

returns can be realized through value-enhancing inputs than can be obtained from simple supply chains.

The project will innovate in the form of products, technologies, management, marketing, distribution,

and so on. The chain often establishes coordination between its participants by moving beyond spot

market transactions and utilizing contracts, vertical integration, supply networks, alliances, and other

forms of coordination. The project will strengthen existing linkages between different stakeholders

along the potato value chain which goes beyond a narrow view of agricultural development as only

based on production. Collectively, these changes contribute to a paradigm shift in the way potato is

produced, processed, and sold. The Potato Value Support Project will generate knowledge through the

monitoring/evaluation system, research centres, surveys, as well as the mid-term and final reviews. Also,

the project will develop innovative ways to track the diffusion of new behaviours and business models

through the potato value chain. Lessons from the project will be a valuable opportunity to design new

operations on value chains in the agricultural sector, and to improve project design in general.

5. LEGAL INSTRUMENTS AND AUTHORITY

5.1. Legal Instrument

The legal instrument to finance this project is an ADF loan agreement for UA8.0 million between the

Federal Republic of Nigeria and the Fund.

5.2. Conditions Associated with the Fund’s Intervention

The following loan conditions are envisaged:

5.2.1 Condition Precedent to entry into force of the Loan Agreement. The entry into force of the Loan

Agreement shall be subject to the fulfilment by the Borrower of the provisions of section 12.01 of the

General Conditions applicable to Loan Agreements and Guarantee Agreements of the Fund.

5.2.2 Conditions Precedent to First Disbursement. The obligations of the Fund to make the first

disbursement of the Loan shall be conditional upon the entry into force of the Agreement as set forth in

Section 4.01 and the fulfillment by the Borrower, in form and substance satisfactory to the Fund, of the

following conditions:

(i) the opening in Plateau State, of a United States Dollar denominated special account in a bank

acceptable to the Fund for the deposit of the proceeds of the Loan;

(ii) the opening in Plateau State, of a local currency account in a bank acceptable to the Fund; and

(iii) an on-lending and/or subsidiary agreement between the Borrower and the Plateau State

Government, relating to the proceeds of the Loan, in form and substance acceptable to the Fund, has

been duly executed by the Borrower and the Plateau State Government.

5.2.3 Other conditions:

(a) The Borrower shall implement and report on the implementation of the Environment and Social

Management Plans (ESMP), and shall submit on a quarterly basis, a progress report, in a form acceptable

to the Fund.

18

(b) The Borrower shall communicate to the Bank, within three (3) months of the signature of the

Loan Agreement, the names and composition of staff validated in the Potato Value Chain Management

Team (PVCMT).

5.3. Compliance with Bank Policies

This project complies with all applicable Bank policies.

Non-standard conditions (if applicable): N/A

RECOMMENDATION

Management recommends that the Board of Directors approve an ADF loan of UA 8.0 million to the

Federal Republic of Nigeria, for the purposes and subject to the conditions stipulated in the present

report.

I

Appendix I (a) NIGERIA COMPARATIVE SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Year Nigeria Africa

Develo-

ping

Countries

Develo-

ped

Countries

Basic Indicators

Area ( '000 Km²) 2014 924 30,067 80,386 53,939Total Population (millions) 2014 178.5 1,136.9 6.0 1.3Urban Population (% of Total) 2014 51.5 39.9 47.6 78.7Population Density (per Km²) 2014 193.2 37.8 73.3 24.3GNI per Capita (US $) 2013 2 710 2 310 4 168 39 812Labor Force Participation - Total (%) 2014 56.2 66.1 67.7 72.3Labor Force Participation - Female (%) 2014 42.4 42.8 52.9 65.1Gender -Related Dev elopment Index Value 2007-2013 0.839 0.801 0.506 0.792Human Dev elop. Index (Rank among 187 countries) 2013 152 ... ... ...Popul. Liv ing Below $ 1.25 a Day (% of Population)2008-2013 62.0 39.6 17.0 ...

Demographic Indicators

Population Grow th Rate - Total (%) 2014 2.8 2.5 1.3 0.4Population Grow th Rate - Urban (%) 2014 4.0 3.4 2.5 0.7Population < 15 y ears (%) 2014 44.4 40.8 28.2 17.0Population >= 65 y ears (%) 2014 2.7 3.5 6.3 16.3Dependency Ratio (%) 2014 85.8 62.4 54.3 50.4Sex Ratio (per 100 female) 2014 103.7 100.4 107.7 105.4Female Population 15-49 y ears (% of total population) 2014 22.5 24.0 26.0 23.0Life Ex pectancy at Birth - Total (y ears) 2014 52.9 59.6 69.2 79.3Life Ex pectancy at Birth - Female (y ears) 2014 53.2 60.7 71.2 82.3Crude Birth Rate (per 1,000) 2014 40.9 34.4 20.9 11.4Crude Death Rate (per 1,000) 2014 12.9 10.2 7.7 9.2Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2013 74.3 56.7 36.8 5.1Child Mortality Rate (per 1,000) 2013 117.4 84.0 50.2 6.1Total Fertility Rate (per w oman) 2014 5.9 4.6 2.6 1.7Maternal Mortality Rate (per 100,000) 2013 560.0 411.5 230.0 17.0Women Using Contraception (%) 2014 15.2 34.9 62.0 ...

Health & Nutrition Indicators

Phy sicians (per 100,000 people) 2004-2012 40.8 46.9 118.1 308.0Nurses (per 100,000 people)* 2004-2012 160.5 133.4 202.9 857.4Births attended by Trained Health Personnel (%) 2009-2012 48.7 50.6 67.7 ...Access to Safe Water (% of Population) 2012 64.0 67.2 87.2 99.2Healthy life ex pectancy at birth (y ears) 2012 46.0 51.3 57 69Access to Sanitation (% of Population) 2012 27.8 38.8 56.9 96.2Percent. of Adults (aged 15-49) Liv ing w ith HIV/AIDS 2013 3.2 3.7 1.2 ...Incidence of Tuberculosis (per 100,000) 2013 338.0 246.0 149.0 22.0Child Immunization Against Tuberculosis (%) 2013 80.0 84.3 90.0 ...Child Immunization Against Measles (%) 2013 59.0 76.0 82.7 93.9Underw eight Children (% of children under 5 y ears) 2005-2013 31.0 20.9 17.0 0.9Daily Calorie Supply per Capita 2011 2 724 2 618 2 335 3 503Public Ex penditure on Health (as % of GDP) 2013 1.1 2.7 3.1 7.3

Education Indicators

Gross Enrolment Ratio (%)

Primary School - Total 2011-2014 84.8 106.3 109.4 101.3 Primary School - Female 2011-2014 81.0 102.6 107.6 101.1 Secondary School - Total 2011-2014 43.8 54.3 69.0 100.2 Secondary School - Female 2011-2014 41.2 51.4 67.7 99.9Primary School Female Teaching Staff (% of Total) 2012-2014 48.2 45.1 58.1 81.6Adult literacy Rate - Total (%) 2006-2012 51.1 61.9 80.4 99.2Adult literacy Rate - Male (%) 2006-2012 61.3 70.2 85.9 99.3Adult literacy Rate - Female (%) 2006-2012 41.4 53.5 75.2 99.0Percentage of GDP Spent on Education 2009-2012 ... 5.3 4.3 5.5

Environmental Indicators

Land Use (Arable Land as % of Total Land Area) 2012 38.4 8.8 11.8 9.2Agricultural Land (as % of land area) 2012 0.8 43.4 43.4 28.9Forest (As % of Land Area) 2012 9.0 22.1 28.3 34.9Per Capita CO2 Emissions (metric tons) 2012 0.5 1.1 3.0 11.6

Sources : AfDB Statistics Department Databases; World Bank: World Development Indicators; last update :

UNAIDS; UNSD; WHO, UNICEF, UNDP; Country Reports.

Note : n.a. : Not Applicable ; … : Data Not Available.

May 2016

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

20

00

20

05

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

Infant Mortality Rate( Per 1000 )

Nigeria Africa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

20

00

20

05

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

GNI Per Capita US $

Nigeria Africa

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

20

00

20

05

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Population Growth Rate (%)

Nigeria Africa

01020304050607080

20

00

20

05

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Life Expectancy at Birth (years)

Nigeria Africa

II

Appendix I (b)

Plateau State Socio-economic indicators

Source: NBS (2012); CBN Annual Report and Statement of Account

Source: National Population Commission

Source: Human Development Report. Nigeria 2008-2011

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Unemployment 11.8 0.4 1.6 2.8 2.9 8.7 7.1 7.1 8.1 25.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

Unemployment Rate Plateau State 2002-2011

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

Male Female Total Male Female Total

POPULATION OF PLATEAU STATE BY SEX, 1991 AND 2006

0.392 36.5 0.393 0.415 0.5

HumanDevelopment

Index (HDI)Value

Human PovertyIndex (HPI)

Value

GenderDevelopment

Measure

GenderEmpower- ment

Measure

InequalityMeasure

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDICES PLATEAU STATE, 2008-2011

III

Appendix II

Table of ADB’s portfolio in Nigeria

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK - NIGERIA COUNTRY OFFICE

(ORNG)

ON-GOING PORTFOLIO: NIGERIA

PUBLIC SECTOR August-16

Sub-Sector Loan Numbers Grant Numbers

Number of Projects

Net amount Approved (UA)

Sector Share of Portfolio

Amount Disbursed (UA)

Disbur 't Rate

Average Amount Dibursed

Date Approved

Closing Date Last Date of Disbur't

Finance Source

AGRICULTURE

2 138,930,000 13% 35,023,161 46.34%

CGIAR: SUPPORT TO AGRICUTURAL RESEARCH FOR DEVELOPMENT OF STRTEGIC CROPS IN AFRICA (SARD-SC)

2100155022217

1 39,900,000 - 35,023,161 87.78%

18/03/2009

31/12/2016

ADF

AGRICULTURAL TRANSFORMATION AGENDA (ATASP 1)

2100150029994

1 99,030,000 - 5,324,836.1 5.38%

30/10/2013

29/12/2018

ADF

INFRASTRUCUTURE

10 866,292,800 80% 573,997,973

66.26%

RURAL WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION SUB-PROJECTMES (OSUN & YOBE - RWSS)

2100150015645

1 51,000,000 - 31,934,566 62.62%

10/10/2007

31/12/2016

ADF

URBAN WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROJECT FOR OYO AND TARABA STATES (UWSSP)

2100150025696

1 50,000,000 - 17,714,411 35.43%

02/09/2009

30/04/2016

ADF

ZARIA WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROJECT

2100150026597

1 63,920,000 - 21,884,724 34.24%

08/02/2012

31/12/2015

ADF

IV

URBAN WATER SECTOR REFORM AND PORT-HARCOURT WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROJECT

2100150025696

1 134,800,000 - 778,039.17 0.58%

26/3/2014

31/8/2019

ADB/ADF

ECONOMIC AND POWER SECTOR REFORM PROJECT (EPSERP)

2100150027946

1 100,000,000 - 100,000,000 100.00%

28/10/2009

31/12/2015

ADF

TRANSPORT SECTOR AND ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE (TSERP)

2000130009730

1 195,050,000 - 195,050,000 100.00%

27/05/2013

31/12/2015

ADB

RURAL ACCESS MOBILITY PROJECT CROSS RIVER STATE-(CR-RAMP)

2100150014595

1 35,270,000 - 31,120,036 88.23%

18/07/2007

30/12/2015

ADF

TRANSPORT FACILITATION PROJECTME FOR THE BAMENDA-- MAMFEABAKALILKI ENUGU CORRIDOR-Nigeria(NCH&TFP)

2100150019643

1 98,092,800 - 52,273,107 53.29%

25/11/2008

31/12/2016

ADF

TRANSPORT FACILITATION PROJECTME FOR BAMENDA-MAMFE- ABAKALIKI ENUGU CORRIDOR-ECOWAS (NCH&TFP)

2100155015166

1 16,160,000 - 1,243,089 7.69%

25/11/2008

31/12/2016

ADF

PRG-PARTIAL RISK GUARANTEE FOR NIGERIA POWER SECTOR PRIVATIZATION PROJECT [Capacity Building Component]

2100150031093

1 122,000,000

122,000,000 100.00%

18/12/2013

19/10/2028

ADF

SOCIAL SECTOR

4 43,320,000 4% 36,316,713 83.83%

SKILLS TRAINING AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION (STVEP)

2100150010394

1 30,000,000 - 23,710,880 79.04%

27/07/2005

31/12/2016

ADF

SUPPORT TO NETWORK OF REGIONAL AFRICAN INSITUTIONS OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY (AUST &2iE) PROJECT

2100155014816

1 12,000,000 - 11,285,833 94.05%

18/03/2009

31/12/2016

ADF

NIGERIA - EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE TO BORNO STATE TO REHABILITATE & PROMOTE SAFE SCHOOLS FOR GIRLS EDUCATION (SSI) (Equivalent of USD 1,000,000) - CHIBOK

5000199003568

1 660,000

660,000.0 100.00%

21/7/2014

30/9/2015

SRF

EBOLA - EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE TO FIGHT EBOLA VIRUS DISEASE EPIDEMIC (SRF)

5000199003619

1 660,000

660,000.0 100.00%

18/8/2014

30/9/2015

SRF

V

ENVIRONMENT

2 30,000,000 3% 21,313,393 63.21%

LAKE CHAD BASIN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTME/PROJECTMEDE DEVELOPPEMENT DURABLE DU BASSIN DU LAC TCHAD(PRODEBALT)

2100155013766

1 30,000,000 - 21,313,393 71.04%

12/12/2008

31/12/2016

ADF

LAKE CHAD BASIN SUSTAINABLE & RESILIENCE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTME/PROJECTMEDE DEVELOPPEMENT DURABLE DU BASSIN DU LAC TCHAD(PRESIBALT) New Project

Project Not yet Started in

Nigeria

1 - - 0 0.00%

17/12/2014

- ADF

POLICY BASED NON-LENDING

4 847,566 0% 712,534 79.79%

CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT PROJECT FOR MEMBERS OF THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY COMMITEES ON FINANCE, APPROPRIATION &AID, DEBTS& LOANS(MIC-TAF GRANT)

5500155007252

1 144,755 0% 144,755 100.00%

28/03/2014

30/04/2014

MIC

ASSET MAPPING OF ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES (MIC- TAF)

5500155007901

1 513,000 0% 381,067 74.28%

13/05/2014

31/03/2017

MIC

TRADE MISPRICING, HIDDEN DRAINAGE OF RESOURCES OUT OF NIGERIA (MIC-TAF)

5500155008452

1 189,811 0% 186,712.00 98.37%

18/11/2014

31/03/2016

MIC

TOTAL PUBLIC SECTOR

21 1,079,390,366

100% 672,307,543

67.09%

REGIONAL PROJECTS

6 196,310,000

99,625,736 50.7%

VI

TRANSPORT FACILITATION PROJECTME FOR THE BAMENDA -MAFE-ABAKALIKI ENUGU CORRIDOR-NIGERIA (NCH&TFP)

98,250,000

50,384,959 51.3%

25/11/2

008 31/12/20

14

TRANSPORT FACILITATION PROJECTME FOR THE BAMENDA -MAMFE- ABAKALIKIENUGU CORRIDOR-ECOWAS (NCH&TFP)

16,160,000

1,216,391 3.6%

25/11/20

08 31/12/20

14

SUPPORT TO NETWORK OF REGIONAL AFRICAN INSTITUTIONS OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY (AUST&2IE) PROJECT

12,000,000

7,946,317 62.7%

18/03/20

09 31/12/20

13

CGIAR:SUPPORT TO AGRICUTURAL RESEARCH FOR DEVELOPMENT OF STRATEGIC CROPS IN AFRICA (SARD-SC)

39,900,000

24,589,054 22.7%

18/03/20

09 31/12/20

13

LAKE CHAD BASIN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTME/ PROJECTME DE DEVELOPPEMENT DURABLE DU BASSIN DU LAC TCHAD(PRODEBALT)

30,000,000

15,489,015 38.6%

12/12/20

08 31/12/20

15

LAKE CHAD BASIN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTME/ PROJECTME DE DEVELOPPEMENT DURABLE DU BASSIN DU LAC TCHAD(PRESIBALT)

-

VII

Appendix III Map of Plateau State: Showing the project areas

VIII

Appendix IV Organizational Structure of the Project

Structure of the Project

Donor

State Steering Committee including

FMARD/FMF/NFCO

PVCMT

Collaborating Research Institution (NATIONAL ROOT CROP RESEARCH

INSTITUTE KURU JOS)

SERVICE PRODIVERS/CONSULTANTS