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Investor presentation Financial and market performance 1Q 2013

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Page 1: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

Investor presentation Financial and market performance 1Q 2013

Page 2: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

-2-

Highlights in 1Q 2013

Improvement of the Group’s operating result as a result of restructuring

Promising results of new projects

Growing number of Gazeta Wyborcza’s paid digital subscriptions

iPad application of Gazeta Wyborcza in TOP 5 grossing applications in Polish AppStore

Page 3: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

Revenues:

advertising market crisis – especially in press

13.5% yoy drop in copy sales of Gazeta Wyborcza

lower by 1.9% yoy no. of tickets sold

in Helios cinemas2

revenues from printing services for external clients

– up by 6.5% yoy

additional revenues from film distribution

(PLN 8.5 million)

The decrease in the Group’s operating cost:

restructuring measures implemented in 2012

the decrease in no. of employees

– down by 411 FTEs yoy

PLN million  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 261.8  281.3  (6.9%)

advertising 127.1  149.4  (14.9%)

copy sales 35.6  42.7  (16.6%)

tickets sales 35.2  37.6  (6.4%)

other 63.9  51.6  23.8% 

Operating cost net (262.1) (283.4) (7.5%)

EBIT (0.3) (2.1) 85.7%

EBIT margin (0.1%) (0.7%)              0.6pp 

Operating EBITDA1 25.7  21.9  17.4% 

Operating EBITDA margin 9.8% 7.8%              2.0pp 

Net loss (1.4) (1.0) (40.0%) 

Improvement of the Group’s operating result

-3-

Source: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13;¹ excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments.2 the data on ticket sales in the cinemas comprising Helios group come from the accounting data of Helios reported in accordance with full calendar periods.

Financial results

Revenues

PLN 261.8 million

6.9%

Operating cost

PLN 262.1 million

7.5%

Improvement of operating result

EBIT

85.7%

Operating EBITDA

17.4%

Page 4: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1 000

dailies outdoor magazines cinema television radio internet

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

Dailies5%

Magazines9%

Radio7,5%

Television48.5%

Outdoor6.5%

Internet22%

Cinema1.5%

Weakening economy deepened crisis on the ad market

-4-

yoy % and % change

Source: ad spend estimates by: Agora (press based on Kantar Media and Agora’s monitoring, radio based on Kantar Media), IGRZ (outdoor) Starlink (TV, cinema, Internet – comprise revenues from e-mail marketing, display, search engine marketing and since 1Q12 revenues from video advertising. The presented data is comparable.

1Q2013

PLN 1.6 billion

7.5%

0pp

1.5pp

0pp

1pp

0pp

0.5pp

yoy

%ch

ange

29% 17.5% 16%

8%

5.5%

13.5%

7.5%

The drop in advertising expenditure in majority of media

Advertising market structure

3pp

(8)-(5)%

(25)-(22)%

(16)-(13)%

(10)-(7)% (10)-(7)%(7)-(4)%

0-3%

2-5%

-26%

-22%

-18%

-14%

-10%

-6%

-2%

2%

6%

10%

TOTAL ADMARKET

Dailies Magazines Television Outdoor Radio Cinema Internet

Possible deeper decrease in outdoor advertising in 2013

The consecutive quarter of decreasing advertising expenditure

--66..5%5%

--55..5%5% --5.05.0%%

--7.57.5%%

yoy

% c

hang

e

--2.2.5%5%

--5.05.0%%

Page 5: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

The change in revenue and cost structure

-5-

Source: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13;¹ Raw materials, energy and consumables;2 excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments.

261.84.08.5

(0.2)(2.4)(7.1)

(22.3)281.3

200

220

240

260

280

300

Rev enues1Q12

Adv ertising Copy sales Tickets Food &bev erages

Filmdistribution

Other Rev enues1Q13

Growing importance of additional revenue sources

1Q2013

PLN 261.8 million

6.9%

The restructuring measures implemented in 2012 result in the drop of the Group’s operating cost

1Q2013

PLN 262.1 million

7.5%262.15.22.2(4.2)

(7.0)

(7.4)

(10.1)283.4

200

220

240

260

280

300

Operating cost

1Q12

Raw materials,

energy (1)

Staff cost (2) Promotion &

marketing

External

services

D&A Other Operating cost

1Q13

Other (incl. printing

services)17.2%

Film distribution

3.2%

Food & beverages

3.9%

Tickets13.4%

Advertising48.5%

Copy sales13.6%

Revenues1Q13

4.6pp

1.6pp0.1pp

0.2pp

3.2pp

2.6pp

Raw materials, energy (1)

20.9%

Other5.1%

D&A9.7%

Promotion & Marketing

4.8%

Staff cost (2)27.4%

External services32.1%

2.0pp

2.1pp

0.5pp

1.5pp

0.9pp

2.2pp

Operating cost

1Q13

PLN

mill

ion

PLN

mill

ion

yoy pp change

yoy pp change

Page 6: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

Ale HistoriaDuży FormatPiątek EkstraMagazyn ŚwiątecznyWysokie ObcasySport.pl EkstraMagazyn Międzynarodowy

Gazeta Wyborcza - leader of content digitalization

-6-

3,16 mln

Gazeta Wyborcza PAIDPAID

Wyborcza.bizKsiążki. Magazyn do Czytania

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

Duży Format nr 1000Książki. Magazyn do Czytania

Wysokie Obcasy ExtraAle Historia

PAIDPAIDPAIDPAID

PAIDPAIDPAIDPAID

MAGAZYN ŚWIĄTECZNY

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

Gazeta WyborczaPAIDPAID

FREEFREE

FREEFREE

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

Source: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13;¹ excluding allocations of general overhead cost of Agora S.A.;² excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments.and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora S.A..

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

PLN million  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 120.6  134.4  (10.3%)

copy sales 27.8  30.9  (10.0%)

advertising 44.5  60.5  (26.4%)

special projects 12.0  8.2  46.3% 

other revenues 36.3  34.8  4.3% 

Operating cost net1 (104.0) (117.2) (11.3%)

EBIT1 16.6  17.2  (3.5%)

EBIT margin 13.8% 12.8%              1.0pp 

Operating EBITDA2 24.4  24.4  ‐ 

Operating EBITDA margin 20.2% 18.2%              2.0pp 

Improvement in the segment’s profitability due to restructuring

Digitalization of Gazeta Wyborcza

Digital publications of Gazeta Wyborcza PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

Single digit drop in the copy sales revenue of Gazeta Wyborcza

29.626.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

GW copy sales revenues

9.8%

PLN

mill

ion

yoy % change

Gazeta Wyborcza on iPad

in TOP5 grossing apps

in Polish AppStore

Growing number

of digital paid subscriptions

of Gazeta Wyborcza

The copy price

increase of

Gazeta Wyborcza

The 13.5% yoy drop in

no. of copies sold

The decrease

in dual price offer

Gazeta WyborczaWyborcza.plWyborcza.bizWysokie ObcasyWysokie Obcasy ExtraAle HistoriaAle Historia ExtraKsiążki. Magazyn do Czytania

PAIDPAID

PAIDPAID

Page 7: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

Other3%

Food & beverages

17%

Tickets57%

Film distribution

14%

Advertising9%

PLN million  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 61.2  53.8  13.8% 

tickets sales 35.2  37.7  (6.6%)

food & beverages 10.3  10.5  (1.9%)

advertising 5.6  4.5  24.4% 

other sales 10.1  1.1  818.2% 

Operating cost net (58.3) (49.8) 17.1% 

EBIT 2.9  4.0  (27.5%)

EBIT margin 4.7%  7.4%              (2.7pp)

Operating EBITDA1 9.1  8.6  5.8% 

Operating EBITDA margin 14.9%  16.0%              (1.1pp)

-7-

Growth of revenues despite lower ticket sales

Source: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13;¹ As far as the Helios group is concerned EBITDA and operating EBITDA ratios are equal as in the period referred to in the table there was not any non-cash cost of share-based payments incurred2 boxoffice.pl.

Positive impact of film distribution business on the results of the Cinema segment

Film distribution

Total audienceAs of 31.03.20132

990 thou.Drogowka

89 thou.Byc jak Kazimierz Deyna

Revenues from film distribution in 1Q 13

– PLN 8.5 million

1Q1313.8%

6.6%1.9%

24.4%

45.5%

Almost 1 million people watched Drogowka

The success of co-operation between Agora’s segments

– co-production Special Projects, distribution – Next Film

Plans for film distribution in 2013:

Ambassada – 4Q 13 (co-production Special Projects)

Papusza – 4Q 13

yoy % change

Page 8: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

-8-

Lower than market decline in ticket sales

Source: boxoffice.pl, total tickets sales in Poland, 1Q2013;In Jul”12 Helios sublet one of the cinemas in Wroclaw to Stowarzyszenie Nowe Horyzonty.

New cinemas limit the drop in Helios ticket sales

yoy % change

mill

ion

ticke

ts

11.11

2.13 2.09

10.17

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Total Cinema Market Helios

1.9%

8.5%

Development of Helios network

Helios network:

30 multi-screen cinemas

in 27 cities

164 screens+ traditional cinemas in Lodz (2 screens)

Next openings in 2H13 (possible changes in the openings calendar)

City Openings Screens

Gdynia 2H2013 6

Nowy Sacz 2H2013 5

Kal i sz 2H2013 7

Siedlce 2H2013 5

TOTAL 2013 4 23

101(1)92

incl.:

6

10

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

105

1Q12 Openings Other 1Q13

Changes in multi-screen cinema market

Page 9: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

Total Outdoor market AMS

AMS34.0%

-17.5%

-7.5%

-20%

-16%

-12%

-8%

-4%

0%Total Market AMS

PLN million  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 34.6  36.6  (5.5%)

     advertising1 33.3  36.0  (7.5%)

Operating cost net (37.7) (38.3) (1.6%)

EBIT (3.1) (1.7) (82.4%)

EBIT margin (9.0%) (4.6%)           (4.4pp)

Operating EBITDA2 1.4  3.1  (54.8%)

Operating EBITDA margin 4.0%  8.5%            (4.5pp)

`

-9-

AMS strengthens position on outdoor advertising market

3pp

Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13; ad expenditure in outdoor: IGRZ;¹ excluding cross-promotion of Agora’s other media on AMS panels if such promotion was executed without prior reservation;2 excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments;3 gross expenditure on citylights campaigns executed in 1Q 13 according to Kantar Media;4 IGRZ: ad expenditure in outdoor.

1Q1317.5%

yoy % change

Lower than market drop of advertising revenue Higher demand for premium panels3 in 1Q 13

AMS offer developmentGrowing share in outdoor advertising expenditure4

11.0%

19.3%

Citylight panels (gross expenditure)

yoy % and pp change 187 new screens CityINFOtv network

since February 2013 in Trojmiasto

AMS offers – 2,067 screens in public

transportation system

Page 10: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

-10-

Improvement of operating result in Internet segment

mln

PLN

Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13¹ Internet division, Agora Ukraine, AdTaily, Trader.com (Polska) including print revenues, Sport4People (since November 2011); ² excluding allocations of general overhead cost of Agora S.A.;3 excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora S.A.;4 staff cost excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments

0,8

%

PLN mil l ion  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 25.1  25.8  (2.7%)

display ad sales 19.7  19.5  1.0% 

ad sales  in verticals 4.0  4.8  (16.7%)

Operating cost net2 (23.2) (24.7) (6.1%)

EBIT2 1.9  1.1  72.7% 

EBIT margin 7.6%  4.3%              3.3pp

Operating EBITDA3 3.2  2.6  23.1% 

Operating EBITDA margin 12.7% 10.1%              2.6pp

Cost savings improve results

Promising first quarter result

Staff cost (4)

Other

Promotion & marketing

D&A

1Q136.1%

10.7%

15.2%12.5%

14.3%

Review of projects carried

out in the segment

Employment reduction

Change in marketing

and promotion strategy

1.9

1.11.4

(2.2)

(0.1)

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13

Optimizing

the operating cost base

Monetization

of reach position

1Q2013

EBIT

PLN 1.9 million

72.7%

yoy % change

Page 11: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

(2.0%)

1.0%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

Display ad market AGORA display ad sales

45.5%

58.2%60.3%60.6%67.0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Onet.pl group Wirtualna Polska -Orange group

Gazeta.pl group Interia.pl group o2.pl group0

25

50

75

100

-11-

Efficient monetization of reach position

% re

ach

no of real usersyoy % change

yoy pp change

Source: Internet ad spend: Starlink (display, search engine marketing, e-mail marketing and affiliate marketing); Megapanel PBI/Gemius, reach, real users, March2012, March 2013; selected online publishers.

13.4

mln

12.2

mln

11.7

mln

12.1

mln

9.1 m

ln

1.0

%

7.2

%

0.7

%

2.8pp 2.8pp 1.6pp 5.3pp

0.8

%

1.5pp

1.0

%

Strengthened position among portals (March’13)

yoy % change

Strong reach position:

Display revenues

Revenues from other advertising forms

Background to launch new projects

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Octob

er '0

4

Mar

ch '1

3

Onet.pl Group Wirtualna Polska - Orange Group

Gazeta.pl Group Interia.pl Group

O2.pl Group

Better than market performance of display revenues

% re

ach

Page 12: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

Staff cost (1)

Licences, rental & telecommun.

costs

Other

Promotion & marketing

D&A

PLN million  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 18.1  19.2  (5.7%)

advertising 17.7  18.8  (5.9%)

Operating cost net (18.2) (21.2) (14.2%)

EBIT (0.1) (2.0) 95.0% 

EBIT margin (0.6%) (10.4%)              9.8pp 

Operating EBITDA1 0.5  (1.2) ‐

Operating EBITDA margin 2.8%  (6.3%)              9.1pp 

-12-

Improvement of operating result in Radio segment

1Q13 14.2%

yoy % change

Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS 1Q13; local radio stations (incl. TOK FM), ad market: Agora’s estimates based on Kantar Media, Agora’s share incl. TOK FM, excl. brokerage, incl. cross-promotion of Agora’s other media in GRA’s radio stations if such promotion was executed without prior reservation;¹ excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments;² according to audience share, Radio Track, MillwardBrown SMG/KRC, cities of broadcasting, 15+, Jan-Mar’2013 in selected cities N=21 053³ total number of users of TubaFM; own estimates based on Gemius Traffic, Gemius Stream, Flurry and data from business partners.

Cost savings improve operating result

yoy pp change

3.8%

1.1%0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

TOK FM Music stations

Agora music radio stations grow audience share2

0.3pp

0.1pp

Development of TubaFM offer3

14.3%

75.0%

2.5%

4.7%

0%

The dynamics of ad revenue

similar to radio ad market

Radio ad market position

maintained,

Decrease in operating cost:

mainly promotion&marketing

TubaFM audience in all channels of distribution

Page 13: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

PLN million  1Q2013  1Q2012 yoy % change

Revenues, incl.: 12.0  16.0  (25.0%)

copy sales 5.5  6.8  (19.1%)

advertising 6.5  9.0  (27.8%)

Operating cost net1 (10.1) (14.6) (30.8%)

EBIT1 1.9  1.4  35.7% 

EBIT margin 15.8%  8.8%             7.0pp 

Operating EBITDA2 1.9  1.4  35.7% 

Operating EBITDA margin 15.8% 8.8%              7.0pp 

-13-

Optimization of the Magazine segment operations

Source: financials: consolidated financial statements according to IFRS, 1Q13; ¹ excluding allocations of general overhead cost of Agora S.A.; ² excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments and allocations of general overhead cost of Agora S.A.;

Improvement of operating result despite the drop in revenues

Development of segment’s digital offer

Promotion & marketing

Other

Raw materials, energy,

consumables & printing services

Staff cost

1Q13 30.8%

28.6%17.8%

56.0%

38.5%

Reduction of cost base:

decrease in staff

lower volumes of published

titles

reduction in no. of special

editions

reduction in no. of gadgets

reduction in no. of marketing

campaigns

yoy % change

Changes in the portfolio of titles

Poradnik Domowy

in 1Q 13:

ca 293.7 thou.

copies sold

significant share in

segment’s ad revenue

Dom & Wnetrze:

15.8 thou. copies sold

iOS applications

Android applications

Piano Media system

Page 14: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

2013 OBJECTIVES:

Acceleration of Agora’s media digital transformation;

Development and expansion of Agora’s main businesses;

Adaptation of the organizational structure to market environment;

Investment in the organic growth;

Maintaining the financial discipline.

Summary

-14-

DIFFICULT MARKET

ENVIRONMENT Advertising market crisis

Drops in copy sales of dailies

Willingness to pay for content online

Decreasing cinema audience

ADAPTING ACTIVITIES Digitalization of content

Optimization of cost base

Organizational changes

ORGANIC GROWTH Opening of new multi-screen cinemas

New projects

Growth of revenues from

digital content

Page 15: Agora prezentacja 2013 Q1 english - Gazeta.plbi.gazeta.pl/im/0/13910/m13910900,AGORA... · Revenues: advertising market crisis – especially in press 13.5% yoy drop in copy sales

-15-

This presentation has been prepared by Agora SA (the "Company"). The data and information contained on the individual slides do not show a complete or coherent financial analysis, nor present the commercial offer of the Company and serve for information purposes only. A detailed description of the business and financial affairs of Agora SA is presented on www.agora.pl website. All data therein are based on sources which the Company regards as credible. The Company reserves the right to amend data and information at any time, without prior notice. This presentation was not verified by an independent auditor.

This presentation may contain slides containing statements related to the future. Such statements cannot be interpreted as forecasts or other assurances in respect of future Company's financial results. The expectations of the Company's management are based on their knowledge, experience and individual views and are dependent on many factors which may cause that the actual results may differ from statements contained in this document. The Company recommends that professional investment advice is sought in case any investment in the Company's securities is considered.