almgren & chriss - optimal execution of portfolio transactions

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  • 8/7/2019 Almgren & Chriss - Optimal Execution of Portfolio Transactions


    Optimal Execution

    of Portfolio Transactions

    Robert Almgren and Neil Chriss

    December 2000


    We consider the execution of portfolio transactions with the aim ofminimizing a combination of volatility risk and transaction costs aris-ing from permanent and temporary market impact. For a simple lin-ear cost model, we explicitly construct the efficient frontier in thespace of time-dependent liquidation strategies, which have minimumexpected cost for a given level of uncertainty. We may then select op-timal strategies either by minimizing a quadratic utility function, orby minimizing Value at Risk. The latter choice leads to the concept ofLiquidity-adjusted VAR, or L-VaR, that explicitly considers the besttradeoff between volatility risk and liquidation costs.

    We thank Andrew Alford, Alix Baudin, Mark Carhart, Ray Iwanowski, and GiorgioDe Santis (Goldman Sachs Asset Management), Robert Ferstenberg (ITG), Michael Weber(Merrill Lynch), Andrew Lo (Sloan School, MIT), and George Constaninides (GraduateSchool of Business, University of Chicago) for helpful conversations. This paper was begun

    while the first author was at the University of Chicago, and the second author was firstat Morgan Stanley Dean Witter and then at Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

    University of Toronto, Departments of Mathematics and Computer Science;

    ICor Brokerage and Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences;


  • 8/7/2019 Almgren & Chriss - Optimal Execution of Portfolio Transactions


  • 8/7/2019 Almgren & Chriss - Optimal Execution of Portfolio Transactions


    December 2000 Almgren/Chriss: Optimal Execution 3

    This paper concerns the optimal execution of portfolio transactions,

    transactions that move a portfolio from a given starting composition to aspecified final composition within a specified period of time. Bertsimas andLo (1998) have defined best execution as the dynamic trading strategy thatprovides the minimum expected cost of trading over a fixed period of time,and they show that in a variety of circumstances one can find such a strat-egy by employing a dynamic optimization procedure; but their approachignores the volatility of revenues for different trading strategies. This paperworks in the more general framework of maximizing the expected revenue oftrading (or equivalently minimizing the costs), with a suitable penalty forthe uncertainty of revenue (or cost).1

    We study variance of trading cost in optimal execution because it fits

    with the intution that a traders utility should figure in the definition ofoptimal in optimal execution. For example, in trading a highly illiquid,volatile security, there are two extreme strategies: trade everything now ata known, but high cost, or trade in equal sized packets over a fixed time atrelatively lower cost. The latter strategy has lower expected cost but thiscomes at the expense of greater uncertainty in final revenue. How to evaluatethis uncertainty is partly subjective and a function of the traders tolerancefor risk. All we can do is insist that for a given level uncertainty, cost beminimized. This idea extends to a complete theory of optimal execution thatincludes an efficient frontier of optimal execution strategies (Section 2).

    The framework of risk in execution yields several important results con-sistent with intuition. For example, it is evident that all else equal, a trader

    will choose to execute a block of an illiquid security less rapidly than a liquidsecurity. While this seems obvious, we show that a model that ignores riskdoes not have this property: without enforcing a strictly positive penalty forrisk, one cannot produce models that trade differently across the spectrumof liquidity.

    The incorporation of risk into the study of optimal execution does notcome without cost. First, in order to produce tractable analytic results, weare forced to work largely in the framework of price dynamics that are an

    1This general framework arises in market microstructure theory, but with a differentpurpose in mind. The uninformed discretionary trader trades an exogenous endowmentover an exogenously specified amount of time to maximize profits (Admati and Pfleiderer

    1988); the informed strategic trader trades over multiple periods on information not widelyavailable, again to maximize profits (Kyle 1985). In both cases, the literature focuses onthe link between the trader and the market maker and a theory is produced to predictthe market clearing price of a security at each period. Thus, a traders optimal strategy isused as a means to study price formation in markets, not as an object of interest in itself.

  • 8/7/2019 Almgren & Chriss - Optimal Execution of Portfolio Transactions


    December 2000 Almgren/Chriss: Optimal Execution 4

    arithmetic random walk with independent increments. We obtain our results

    using static optimization procedures which we show lead to globally optimaltrading trajectories. That is, optimal trading paths may be determined inadvance of trading. Only the composition of the portfolio and the tradersutility function figure in the trading path. The fact that a static strategycan be optimal even when a trader has the option to dynamically changehis trading mid-course is a direct result of the assumptions of independenceof returns and symmetry of the penalty function for risk.2

    As it is well known that price movements exhibit some serial correla-tion across various time horizons (Lo and MacKinlay 1988), that marketconditions change, and that some participants possess private information(Bertsimas and Lo 1998), one may question the usefulness of results that

    obtain strictly in an independent-increment framework. Moreover, as trad-ing is known to be a dynamic process, our conclusion that optimal tradingstrategies can be statically determined calls for critical examination. Weconsider quantitatively what gains are available to strategies that incorpo-rate all relevant information.

    First, we consider short-term serial correlation in price movements. Wedemonstrate that the marginal improvement available by explicitly incor-porating this information into trading strategies is small and, more impor-tantly, independent of portfolio size; as portfolio sizes increase, the percent-age gains possible decrease proportionally.3

    Second, we examine the impact of scheduled news events on optimalexecution strategies. There is ample evidence that anticipated news an-

    2An interesting deviation from the symmetric penalty function was communicated tous by Ferstenberg, Karchmer and Malamut at ITG Inc. They argue that opportunity costis a subjective quantity that is measured differently by different traders. Using a trader-defined cost function g, they define opportunity costs as the expected value of g appliedto the average execution price obtained by the trader relative to the benchmark price.They assume that risk-averse traders will use a convex function g that is not symmetric inthe sense that there is a strictly greater penalty for under performance than for the samelevel of outperformance. They show that in this setting, the optimal execution strategyrelative to g not only depends on the time remaining, but also on the performance of thestrategy up to the present time, and the present price of the security. In particular, thismeans that in their setting, optimal strategies are dynamic.

    3This is precisely true for a linear transaction cost model, and approximately truefor more general models. The results of Bertsimas and Lo (1998) suggest that a trading

    strategy built to take advantage of serial correlations will essentially be a combination of acorrelation free strategy and a shifting strategy that moves trades from one period tothe next based on information available in last periods return. Therefore we argue thatby ignoring serial correlation we a) preserve the main interesting features of the analysis,and b) introduce virtually no bias away from the truly optimal solutions.

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    December 2000 Almgren/Chriss: Optimal Execution 5

    nouncements, depending on their outcome, can have significant temporary

    impact on the parameters governing price movements.4

    We work in a sim-ple extension of our static framework by assuming that the security againfollows an arithmetic random walk, but at a time known at the beginning oftrading, an uncorrelated event will cause a material shift in price dynamics(e.g., an increase or decrease in volatility).

    In this context we show that optimal strategies are piecewise static. Tobe precise, we show that the optimal execution strategy entails following astatic strategy up to the moment of the event, followed by another staticstrategy that can only be determined once the outcome of the event is known.It is interesting to note that the static strategy one follows in the first leg is ingeneral not the same strategy one would follow in the absence of information

    concerning the event.Finally, we note that any optimal execution strategy is vulnerable tounanticipated events. If such an event occurs during the course of tradingand causes a material shift in the parameters of the price dynamics, thenindeed a shift in the optimal trading trajectory must also occur. However, ifone makes the simplifying assumption that all events are either scheduledor unanticipated, then one concludes that optimal execution is always agame of static trading punctuated by shifts in trading strategy that adaptto material changes in price dynamics. If the shifts a


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