historic texas drought update

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Presented at TWCA Mid Year Conference - June 13, 2014 Bob Rose, Chief Meteorologist Lower Colorado River Authority

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Historic Texas Drought Update

TWCA 2014 Mid-Year ProgramBob Rose, Chief MeteorologistLower Colorado River Authority

June 12, 2014

Drought Timeline 2000-2014

2000 2003 2005 2009 ‘10 2011 ’12 ‘13

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

X

Precipitation Anomaly 1950-1980

PDO Time Series Since 1900

Current Reservoir Status

as of June 10th

Reservoir Statistics

Rainfall, Past 30 Days

Rainfall Departure fm Normal

Rainfall Since January 1

Rainfall Departure from Normal Since January 1

Temperature Departure From Normal March-May

Soil Moisture Anomaly

Rainfall, Departure from Normal, Since October 1st

El Niño Continues to Develop

USA

SA

Australia

China

Niño Outlook Next 9 Months

Fall and Winter Effects of El Niño

Winter/Summer Rainfall Anomalieswith El Niño

Winter Summer

Summer Weather Pattern Forecast

H

PrecipitationTemperature

NWS Rainfall Outlook

Sep-Oct-Nov Rainfall Outlook

Nov-Dec-Jan Rainfall Outlook

NWS Temperature Outlook

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Sea Surface Temp. Anomalies

Questions?

Bob Rose

LCRA Chief Meteorologist

bob.rose@lcra.org

512-578-3350

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