an overview of ccafs for the commission on genetic resources for food and agriculture (cgrfa)
DESCRIPTION
Presentation made in the Side Event on Agriculutral Biodiversity and Climate Change organised by Bioversity International in the context of the Commission on Genetic Resources for Food and Agriculture (CGRFA) meetings in FAO, July 2011.TRANSCRIPT
CGRFA Side Event, July 19th 2011
CCAFS: An Overview
Andy JarvisCCAFS Theme Leader
2 • 3/21/11
The Challenge
3 • 3/21/11
The concentration of GHGs is rising
Long-term implications
for the climate and for crop suitability
4 • 3/21/11
Historical impacts on food security
% Yield impact for wheat
Observed changes in growing season temperature for crop growing regions,1980-2008.
Lobell et al (2011)
5 • 3/21/11
Average projected % change in suitability for 50 crops, to 2050
Crop suitability is changing
6 • 3/21/11
In order to meet global
demands, we will need
60-70% more food
by 2050.
Food security is at risk
7 • 3/21/11
Message 1:In the coming decades, climate
change and other global trends will endanger agriculture, food security,
and rural livelihoods.
8 • 3/21/11
Average price in voluntary carbon markets ($/tCO2e)
Left: Example of a silvo-pastoral system
2006 2007 2008
Ecosystem valuation
Spot the livestock!
9 • 3/21/11
Message 2:With new challenges also come
new opportunities.
10 • 3/21/11
Program Design
11 • 3/21/11
CCAFS: the partnership
12 • 3/21/11
1. Identify and develop pro-poor
adaptation and mitigation
practices, technologies and
policies for agriculture and
food systems.
2.Support the inclusion of
agricultural issues in climate
change policies, and of
climate issues in agricultural
policies, at all levels.
CCAFS objectives
13 • 3/21/11
The CCAFS FrameworkAdapting Agriculture to
Climate Variability and Change
Technologies, practices, partnerships and policies for:
1.Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change2.Adaptation through Managing Climate Risk3.Pro-poor Climate Change Mitigation
Improved Environmental
HealthImproved
Rural Livelihoods
Improved Food
Security
Enhanced adaptive capacity in agricultural, natural
resource management, and food systems
Trade-offs and Synergies
4. Integration for Decision Making
•Linking Knowledge with Action•Assembling Data and Tools for Analysis and Planning•Refining Frameworks for Policy Analysis
14 • 3/21/11
Progressive Adaptation
THE VISION
To adapt farming systems, we need to:
• Close the production gap by effectively using current technologies, practices and policies
• Increase the bar: develop new ways to increase food production potential
• Enable policies and institutions, from the farm to national level
15 • 3/21/11
Objective One: Adapted farming systems via integrated technologies, practices, and policies
Objective Two: Breeding strategies to address abiotic and biotic stresses induced by future climatesObjective Three: Identification, conservation, and deployment of species and genetic diversity
Adaptation to progressive climate change · 1
16 • 3/21/11
Adaptation to progressive climate change · 1
1.1
• Holistic testing of farming options (benchmark sites)
• Agricultural knowledge transfer
• Analysis of enabling policies and instit. mechanisms
Adapted farming systems
1.2
• Climate-proofed global and national breeding strategies
• Regional fora to discuss and set priorities
Breeding strategies for
climate stresses
1.3
• Knowledge for better use of germplasm for adaptation
• On-farm use of diversity to adapt
• Policies of access for benefit sharing
Species and genetic diversity
17 • 3/21/11
Greater interdependence for agricultural biodiversity
Courtesy: Burke, Lobell and Guarino
18 • 3/21/11
Risk
Management
THE VISION
• Climate-related risk impedes development, leading to chronic poverty and dependency
• Actions taken now can reduce vulnerability in the short term and enhance resilience in the long term
•Improving current climate risk management will reduce obstacles to making future structural adaptations.
19 • 3/21/11
Objective One: Building resilient livelihoods (Farm level)
Objective Two: Food delivery, trade, and crisis response (Food system level)
Objective Three: Enhanced climate information and services
Managing Climate Risk · 2
20 • 3/21/11
Pro-poor Mitigation
VISION
Short-term: Identifying options feasible for smallholder mitigation and trade-offs with other outcomes
Long-term: Addressing conflict between achieving food security and agricultural mitigation
21 • 3/21/11
Integration
VISION
•Provide an analytical and diagnostic framework, grounded in the policy context
• Synthesize lessons learned
•Effectively engage with rural stakeholders and decision makers
•Communicate likely effects of specific policies and interventions
•Build partners’ capacity
22 • 3/21/11
Importance of agricultural biodiversity for climate change
• Increased interdependence of genetic resources requiring effective international and national level policies
• Varietal and crop substitution for adaptation
• Designed diversification for risk management
23 • 3/21/11
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