analysis of budget 2011-12

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  • 7/31/2019 Analysis of Budget 2011-12

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    Analysis of budget 2011-2012

    Md. Abdul Ali

    Student ID: 1279Dept. of Finance and Banking

    BBA Program1st Batch

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    In general point of view a budget is a list of all planned expenses and

    revenues, saving and spending. A budget is an important concept in the

    economy of any country. Budget basically done for forecasting of the

    revenues and expenditures that is construct a model of how expenses

    should be done and what are the basic strategies to be followed. It alsohelps to compare the actual financial performance with the expected

    performance. And government budget is a summary or plan of the

    intended revenues and expenditures of that particular government.

    Towards building a happy, prosperous and caring Bangladesh with this

    title finance minister Abul Maal Abdul Muhith presented on 9th June 2011

    in Jatiay Sangsad a taka 1,63,589 corer national budget for the fiscal year

    2011-12 .

    In this budget the expenditure basically has done depending on the

    revenues and financing capabilities. The total amount of budget is made

    for 1,63,589 corer where the revenue is calculated 1,23,323 cr thats why

    there would be a deficit of 45,204 cr (considering the GDP rate). Here

    major sources of revenues are considered; 16.6% revenue will be covered

    from internal financing, 56.2% of total revenue from National Board of

    Revenue (NBR) tax revenue, while 2.4% from non NBR tax revenue.

    Besides this, 13.8% will be collected from non tax revenues. And the

    deficit portion will be covered from foreign and domestic borrowing and

    3.0% will also be covered from foreign donations.

    Lets overlook the revenue portion at a glance:

    Description Budget 2011-12 Revised 2010-11

    Revenue and Foreign Grants Taka (corer) Taka (corer)

    Revenues 1,18,385 95,187

    Tax Revenue 95,785 79,052

    NBR Tax Revenue 91,870 75,600

    Non-NBR Tax Revenue 3,915 3,452

    Non-Tax Revenue 22,600 16,135

    Foreign Grants/1 4,938 4,224

    Total 1,23,323 99,411

    Source: Bangladesh budget 2011-12 at a glance (internet)

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    From the above chart of revenues we can easily compare that this years

    budget is quite larger than the previous year. Because in last year the total

    sum of revenue was 99,411 cr taka, but in this year it is increased by

    1,23,323 cr taka. Thats why the government had to increase the total tax

    portion also.Last year the total sum of tax revenue was revised 79,052 cr taka but in

    this year it counted as 95,785 cr taka. So it is increased by 16,733 cr taka.

    Besides this the government also make list for collecting more NBR

    (National Board of Revenue) tax than previous year also. Last year the

    total NBR tax was 75,600 cr taka but this year it is almost 92,000 cr taka.

    Non NBR tax is also increased by 463 cr taka this year.

    Government has also taken some changes in the regulation of tax:

    Government will never return back the income tax to the

    government employees.

    It is mandatory to submit the return of tax of the NGO firms.

    No tax on the share business but tax on the profit of foreign share

    transactions.

    There would be tax on the profit of foreigner for the transaction of

    shares in home.

    There is reduction of tax from 10% to 5% on savings paper & the

    wage earner bond, pension and family savings are included in tax. Individuals tax free income is enhance up to 1,80,000 taka where

    last year it was up to 1,65,000 taka.

    In case of women and old people (65+) the tax free income will be

    2,00,000 taka instead of 1,80,000 taka.

    For the disabled persons this tax free income is 2,50,000 taka.

    There will be a 10% fertilizer charge on the asset of 2 corer or

    more.

    Tax over the source of share broker commission will be 0.10%.

    There is reduction of tax over the source income of savings paperfrom 10% to 5%.

    There are also few changes regarding the taxation policy. However the

    government had to consider the peoples income and the inflation rate of

    the country.

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    Lets see the basic expenditures of the government for this fiscal year

    (2011-12):

    Expenditure Taka (corer)

    Non-Development Expenditure 1,02,903

    Non-Development Revenue Expenditure 87,851

    of which

    Domestic Interest 16,519

    Foreign Interest 1,478

    Non-Development Capital Expenditure/2 15,052

    Net outlay for Food Account Operation 631

    Loans and Advances (Net)/3 9,413

    Structural Adjustment Expenditure 0

    Development Expenditure 50,642

    Development Programmes Financed from Revenue Budget/4 1,331

    Non-ADP Project 2,035

    Annual Development Programme 46,000

    Non-ADP FFW and Transfer/5 1,276

    Total Expenditure 1,63,589

    Overall Deficit (Including Grants) -40,266

    (In Percent of GDP) -4.4

    Overall Deficit (Excluding Grants) -45,204

    (In percent of GDP) -5.0

    Source: Bangladesh budget 2011-12 at a glance (internet)

    As the expenditures is high enough than the total revenues, thats why it

    again become a deficit budget. Here most of part of expenditures will beoccurred in the non development revenue expenditures. It will total sum

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    of taka 1,02,903 corer, where taka 50,642 corer will be expense for the

    development expenditure purpose. So the deficit potion of 45,204 corer

    taka will be financed from foreign and domestics borrowing including

    short run and long run debt. Besides this there will be a non bank

    borrowing with a taka 8251 corer.

    Lets see the total financing scenario for the deficit budget (2011-12):

    Financing Taka (corer)

    Foreign Borrowing-Net 13,058

    Foreign Borrowing 18,685

    Amortization -5,627

    Domestic Borrowing 27,208

    Borrowing from Banking System 18,957

    Long-Term Debt (Net) 17,878

    Short-Term Debt (Net) 1,079

    Non-Bank Borrowing (Net) 8,251

    Others/6 2,251

    Total Financing: 40,266

    Memorandum Item: GDP 8,99,670

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    Source: Bangladesh budget 2011-12 at a glance (internet)

    Some noticeable things are happened in this budget. Major of these are:

    There might be an opportunity to make the black money white by

    investing in the government treasury.

    The portion for agriculture and education will be enhanced if there

    is any required.

    Government employee must also pay income tax on their income.

    However the budget is favored by most of the economists but the

    economists have suggested that the proper implementation of this budget

    is more important than development.

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