asia-pacific forum on public -private partnerships (ppp ... · dream business case . nightmare bc ....
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Asia-Pacific Forum on Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) for Transport Infrastructure Development
Jan van Schoonhoven Program Leader of the
UN PPP
International Centre of Excellence
UNITED NATIONS PPP INTERNATIONAL CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE
We collect Best Practice on PPP Together with National Specialist Centres around the world (India, Philippines, Russia etc) and IFI’s We develop global standards on PPP Together with project team globally UNECE Business Advisory Board IFI’s We test and implement these standards Together with WB and ADB Together with UNITAR and IP3
Faster delivery of successful projects by reducing mistakes, time to Financial close by using international standards, which make the attractive for investors and MDB’s
QUESTION: TO PAY OR NOT TO PAY
USER PAYMENT
Probably 90% of our spending
is related on user payment - Electricity bill - House rent - Road tax - No budget
PPP: Toll Road Mother of all PPP’s
AVAILABILITY PAYMENT
If there is no financing Road (no BC) there are three options - No road - Tradition with budget - PPP-Availability - Need Budget
PPP/DBFMO A WISE ALTERNATIVE
Shadow toll will be excluded for simplicity
INVESTMENT = COMPETITION!
MY PRESENTA TION WILL TRY TO A NWSER; I . A N A LTERNTIVE, FOR WHA T? I I . WHY IT IS SO SUCCESFUL? I I I . HOW DOES IT WORK? I V . WHA T IS NEEDED? V . HOW CA N WE HELP?
D I S C L A I M E R : S H A D O W T O L L N O T I N C O R P O R A T E D , B U T C A N B E E A S I L Y D O N E I N B O T H P P P M O D E L S ( T O L L & D B F M ( O ) )
GOVERNEMENT’S VIEW AVAILABILITY /DBFM(O)
DREAM BUSINESS CASE NIGHTMARE BC
SETTING THE SCENE
I- AN ALTERNTIVE, FOR WHAT?
NO BC for Toll Road - Budget, but not sufficient - No room for;
- Budget overruns - Serious time delays - Quick decay of asset
FOR ECON. DEVELMT Road Econ. Development Key demands are Match the demand Safety Prevent Reduce time of travel
II- WHY IT IS SO SUCCESFUL?
POLICY Investment in infra Long term solution Clear project line
BUDGET Spreads costs Prevent cost overruns Long term investment
USERS Investment in infra Better quality Less traffic jam
Taxpayer In long term less costs No severe project costs
overruns Canada: Invest in Infra last 3 years, with 800 Million CAN$ in saving
Netherlands; over 20 projects in DBFMO: 300 Million EUR saving
III -HOW DOES IT WORK (1)
Financial drive: reduction Payment for service Payment starts on completion
Lifecycle Costs: benefit Clever ideas Costing system In the End Cheaper
Borrowing vs Risks: reality Drawing Board vs Reality
A. Government advantage as more projects can be done
B. Compensate largely for costs of borrowing
C. Prevents costs overruns due to bank involvement
It works like a mortgage, the government pays for the asset (Designing, Building, Maintenance, Operating and the Borrowing costs) over 20-30 y D B F M O
III – HOW DOES IT WORK ? (I)
Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Y7 Y8 Y9 Y10 Y11 Y12 Y13 Y14 Y15 TOTAL 50 100 150 100 5 5 10 5 20 5 5 5 5 5 5 475 0 0 0 25 40 40 40 40 40 50 40 40 40 40 40 475
III – HOW DOES IT WORK (LC-I)
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III – HOW DOES IT WORK (LC-II)
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III – HOW DOES IT WORK (LC-III)
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III - HOW DOES IT WORK (C- Reality)
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PROJECT REAL PPP
CONTRACTRISKCO$MAINTAINBUILDDESIGN
Cost Overruns: Not Me?!?
VI- WHAT IS NEEDED?
Highly trained and professional Staff At Government Level (with Civil Servants)
System Integration is success Take out parts will ruin the idea
VI- WHAT IS NEEDED
How much does it costs today? - This our budget Is very thing included? - Energy, Own Staff, Building How much service do you have now? - We have a contract What does it include - 24/7 or only working hours How much did it costs the last 10 years? - ????????? How much service do you want? - 24/7 of course not 8am-5 pm If 24/7 is 4 times more expensive? - No 8am-5pm is good
Understand your own business: think like a Business
UNECE PPP INTERNATIONAL CENTER OF EXCELLENCE
The UNECE PPP International Centre of Excellence has the aim: Disseminate excising successful knowledge on PPP to governments in clear and easy language and provide as much as possible standardisation in their PPP policy, implementations and especially projects so that all stakeholders (government, private sector, financiers) will gain trust and confidence in this powerful instrument. The UNECE PPP ICoE hopes this will in contribution to the development of countries by: - Successful PPP projects (less to no failures); - Less loss of time and money (follow the road of success); - Increase the development of a country; and - Contribute to the Post 2015 agenda.
To achieve this goal, the UNECE PPP ICoE will in close partnership with key stakeholders to deliver: - The Best Practice Guide in every area of PPP - Develop standards and reference models for each sector - Assist and motivate government to use these standards for success
PROCESS CONTENT
Standards Zero tolerance corruption Health Procurement Roads, Rail and Airports Water and Sanitation PPP Pro Poor insurance
Advice Business Advisory Board IP3 / UNITAR Training Pilot Projects (WB-Ghana) Specialist Centres
Philippines, Ghana, Russia, Aruba, Azerbaijan, India, Morocco
V- HOW CAN WE HELP?
Faster delivery of successful projects by reducing mistakes, time to Financial close by using international standards, which make the
attractive for investors and MDB’s
THANK YOU
Jan van Schoonhoven Executive Program Leader UNECE PPP Centre of Excellence Economic Cooperation, Trade, and Land Management Division [email protected] / [email protected] Palais des Nations , CH - 1211 Geneva 10