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BOEING CAPITAL CORPORATIONBOEING CAPITAL CORPORATION
International Conference on Air Transport, Law and Regulation
Abu Dhabi, UAE
April 16, 2009
International Conference on Air Transport, Law and Regulation
Abu Dhabi, UAE
April 16, 2009
John Matthews
Managing DirectorMiddle East & Africa
John Matthews
Managing DirectorMiddle East & Africa
2
Aircraft Financing Environment
Capital ProvidersCapital Providers 20032003 20042004 20052005 20062006 20072007 20082008 TodayToday 20102010 20112011
Lessors R/Y Y G G G Y/R R/Y Y Y/G
Commercial Banks R/Y G G G G Y/R R/Y Y Y/G
Public Debt / Capital Markets
R R R/Y Y G/Y/G R R R/Y Y/G
Export CreditAgencies
G G G G G G/Y G/Y Y Y
Private Equity Hedge Funds
G G G G G R R R/Y Y
Tax Equity R R Y Y G G/Y G/Y Y/G G
Airframe and Engine Manufacturers
R R/Y G G G Y Y/R R/Y Y/G
New Sources of Funding
G G/Y G/Y Y G
Satisfactory Cautionary Major ConcernG Y R ChangeY/G
Difficult, volatile, fragileDifficult, volatile, fragileDifficult, volatile, fragileDifficult, volatile, fragile
3
Sources of Financing
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Export credit Export credit
Bank debt Bank debt
Manufacturer
Cash / otherCash / other
Leasing companiesLeasing companies
Public debt/capital markets
376 281 285 290 394 441 375 481
$26B $20B $19B $19B $25B $29B $23B $29B
17%
28%
28%
3.5%
3.5%
20%
4
U.S. Capital Markets Activity (2007 – 2008)
EETCsEETCs
1Q 2008 2Q 2008
DAL ($550M) Calyon /PK, New and refi
Portfolio ActivityPortfolio Activity
2Q 2007 3Q 2007 4Q 2007
ILFCCIT
AWASGECAS
CAL• $1.1B• New
(18) 737-900ER,(12) 737-800
• ‘A’ Pricing T+138 bps
UAL• $0.7B• Refinancing
(2) 767-300ER,(4) 777-200,(4) 777-200ER,(3) 747-400
• ‘A’ Pricing T+155 bps
SWA• $0.5B• New
(16) 737-700 with winglets
• ‘A’ Pricing T+160 bps
NWA• $0.5B• New
(27) EMB-175LR• ‘A’ Pricing T+250 bps
DAL• $1.4B• Refinancing
(11) 737-800, (4) 767-300ER,(14) 767-400ER, (7) 777-200ER
• ‘A’ Pricing T+230 bps
Genesis(Equity)
• $108M
HSH Nordbank
• Fund• $1.3B
AerCap (Equity)• $1.7B
AerCap (Equity)• $518M
RBS• Securitization• $1.09B
Babcock & Brown (IPO)
• $495M (equity) / $853M (scrtzn)
ACG • Bond• $250M
UAL• $0.35B• ‘A’ Tranche only• Anticipated pricing
12-13%• (5) A319s, (6) A320s,
(2) 767-300ERs,(2) 777-200A, and (2) 777-200ERs
3Q 2008
AerCap ($750M) Calyon/ refiMoved to the Banks
EETC market pricing makes it not viable today… portfolio activity shutdownEETC market pricing makes it not viable today… portfolio activity shutdownEETC market pricing makes it not viable today… portfolio activity shutdownEETC market pricing makes it not viable today… portfolio activity shutdown
5
Lessor Landscape
Traditional Capital New Money
Lessor funding under pressureLessor funding under pressureLessor funding under pressureLessor funding under pressure
6
Global Bank Debt
European aircraft banks− Majority of global aircraft debt financing− Major financiers of second tier lessors− 80 - 220 bps more expensive since August 2007− Now competitive with EETC market− Some signs of pull back to preserve capital
US banks− Primarily investment banking (use someone else’s balance sheet)− Crucial structuring expertise and syndication capability
Regional banks− Formerly a niche market that is achieving critical mass− China regional banks repositioning
Softening, on close watch due to sector challengesSoftening, on close watch due to sector challengesSoftening, on close watch due to sector challengesSoftening, on close watch due to sector challenges
7
Evolution of Aircraft Banking
The Next GenerationThe Next Generation
The 80sThe 80s
NISSHO IWAI
The 60s – 70sThe 60s – 70s
The 90s – TodayThe 90s – Today
PK AIR FINANCE
Aircraft finance continues to attract new debt providersAircraft finance continues to attract new debt providersAircraft finance continues to attract new debt providersAircraft finance continues to attract new debt providers
8
Ex-Im Bank is a Significant Financier ofBoeing Aircraft
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ex-Im % of Boeing Exports Ex-Im % of Boeing Deliveries
Ex-Im SupportedDeliveries
54 52 18 22 34 62 72 56 49 72 68 53 52 88 91 63 105
AircraftExported
205 160 100 76 205 311 264 198 158 168 154 143 160 314 367 228 394
Total Aircraft Deliveries
330 270 206 218 375 563 620 489 527 381 281 285 290 395 440 375 482
9
ExIm - Crucial Safety Valve
Issues and ChallengesIssues and Challenges
Aircraft Sector Understanding (ASU)
Competitiveness
New Administration
Lessor appetite
Funding
− Banks
− PEFCO
− ExIm
Cape Town
Capacity constraint due to personnel shortage
~$8.0 - $9.0
$4.8$4.5$4.6
$4.2$4.2$4.5
$3.8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E
Annual Aircraft Funding Annual Aircraft Funding ($B)($B)
Game Time!Game Time!Game Time!Game Time!
10
Hedge Funds / Private Equity
Source of lessor equity and secondary liquidity (EETCs, mezzanine debt)
Severely impacted by sub-prime mortgage crisis
terra firmaterra firma
Post sub-prime access to capital significantly curtailedPost sub-prime access to capital significantly curtailedPost sub-prime access to capital significantly curtailedPost sub-prime access to capital significantly curtailed
11
Developing Sources of Capital
ChinaChina Middle EastMiddle East
Developing Regional BankingDeveloping Regional Banking Sovereign Wealth FundsSovereign Wealth Funds
• Qatar
• Kuwait
• Saudi Arabia
• UAE
• Bahrain
• Oman
12
Global syndication infrastructureGlobal syndication infrastructureGlobal syndication infrastructureGlobal syndication infrastructure
Panama Oman
Afghanistan
Indonesia
Ethiopia
Ireland Mongolia
Cape Verde
Nigeria
Malaysia
Kenya Mexico
Pakistan
Senegal
South Africa
Albania
USA
Angola
Colombia
India BangladeshUAE Luxembourg Saudi Arabia
TanzaniaCuba Singapore China
Cape Town Treaty Gaining MomentumJanuary 20, 2009
2009 Focus2009 Focus
European Union
Russia
Canada
Brazil
Japan
13
Cape Town Opportunities
Global EETCGlobal EETC SyndicationSyndication
US EETC SyndicationUS EETC Syndicationof Global Airlinesof Global Airlines
MinimumCapital
Requirements
SupervisoryReviewProcess
MarketDiscipline
Pillar 1Pillar 1 Pillar 2Pillar 2 Pillar 3Pillar 3
BASEL IIBASEL II
BASEL 2BASEL 2
The next generation of structured aircraft financeThe next generation of structured aircraft financeThe next generation of structured aircraft financeThe next generation of structured aircraft finance