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Analytics-CRM Community Webinar Big Data Enabled Analytics for Actionable Customer Insight Led by Amit Deshpande Vice President of Analytics, Epsilon We will be starting at the top of the hour. Please stay on mute -- not hold. You will not hear anything until we start.

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Analytics-CRM Community Webinar

Big Data Enabled Analytics for Actionable Customer Insight

Led by Amit Deshpande Vice President of Analytics, Epsilon

We will be starting at the top of the hour. Please stay on mute -- not hold. You will not hear anything until we start.

» Monthly Calls » 2015 Analytics

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» Self-Regulation – be compliant

Your Analytics-CRM Community » Industry Visibility –

be a speaker or discussion facilitator

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Upcoming Events

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July 8 200 Years of Evolution of Statistical Methods for Marketing

Yuri Balasanov, Lecturer, University of

Chicago Graham School

Aug 12 Practical Text Analytics Steven Struhl, Converge Analytic

Sept 9 Town Hall TBD

Analytics-CRM Community Webinar

Big Data Enabled Analytics for Actionable Customer Insight

Led by Amit Deshpande Vice President of Analytics, Epsilon

Please stay on mute -- not hold. Use the Question,Chat or Raise Hand feature to ask questions or share comments.

Agenda

» Big Data Era – Challenges and Opportunities

» Big Data Analytics

» Pharma Case Study

» Hospitality Case Study

» Conclusions

» Q&A

Data volume and pace of growth continue to increase

“Every century, a new technology – steam power,

electricity, atomic energy, or microprocessors – has swept away the old world with the

vision for a new one. Today, we seem to be entering the era of

Big Data.”

Michael Coren

“From the dawn of civilization until 2003, humankind

generated 5 exabytes of data. Now we produce 5 exabytes every 2 days…and the pace is

accelerating.”

Eric Schmidt, Google

“During the first day of a baby’s life, the amount of data

generated by humanity is equivalent to 70 times the

information contained in the library of congress.”

“Today a street stall in Mumbai can access more information,

maps, statistics, academic papers, price trends, futures

markets, and data than a U.S. president could only a few

decades ago.”

Juan Enriquez

“Your next phone could help you figure out you’re sick

before you are even aware of the problem.”

Kate Greene

“We’ll see this as the time in history when the world’s

information was transformed from an inert, passive state,

and put into a unified system that brings that information

alive.”

Michael Nielsen

Source: The Human Face of Big Data, Rick Smolan and Jennifer Erwitt, AAO Productions Note: 1 exabyte = one billion gigabytes or 1018 bytes

Calls

Chats

Emails Social Media

Blogs

Online Ratings 3rd Party Market

Research

Surveys Quality Scores Transactions

Demographics

Clickstream Internal Sources (Direct)

External Sources (Public)

Unstructured

Structured

BlogsClickstream

80%

20%

Source: Daniel Ziv (Verint), 360 Degree VOC Analytics, 7th Annual Text Analytics Summit (2011)

Data types are getting more diverse

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

600 MB John

Hancock

80 GB FedEx

180 TB Walmart

25 PB Google

100 PB Facebook

807 MB American Airlines

450 GB CitiCorp

Largest Corporate Data Collections by Decade

Source: Wall Street Journal, 3/11/2013, Big Data section

Corporate databases continue to get bigger

Organizations believe in potential of analytics

83% increase in spending on marketing analytics by 2018

6.4%

11.7%

2015

2018

Contribution of analytics remains low and is not improving

…but the reality is

CMOs are struggling to see the immediate value

Low (1)

High (7)

(3.2)

Low (1)

High (7)

Source: Ad Age (2014 study by McKinsey, Duke University, and the AMA) http://www.cmosurvey.org/results

Extract and process large amounts of data

Visualize information

Uncover hidden patterns and relationships

Discern meaning

BIG DATA ANALYTICS

Therefore, we need to be smarter in how we

Enable superior business outcomes

Bringing unstructured data to traditional analytic framework

Social Network Analysis (SNA) Text Mining/ Analysis

BIG DATA ANALYTICS

Structure Properties

Community Detection

Dynamics & Evolution

Identify key influencers /

opinion leaders

Segment into cohesive clusters

Predict future behavior

Social Network Analysis

How many people can this person reach directly?

How likely is this person to be the most direct route between two people in the network?

How fast can this person reach everyone in the network?

How well is this person connected to other well-connected people?

?

Quantifying network relationships

TEXT DATA

Natural Language Processing

(NLP)

“Unstructured” Information Structured Data

“I stayed at the Times Square location. The valet parking was fast and reasonably

priced but the check-in line was way too long. The check-in clerk was too friendly.

The bed was uncomfortable and the internet was slightly too slow. This used to be the best hotel in the area. The breakfast is free, that is good, but everything else is now not as good as it used to be. Great

stay…not!”

CATEGORY SENTIMENT

Hotel Location 0

Valet Parking +4

Front Desk Speed -4

Bed Comfort -4

Internet Speed -1

Hotel Overall -3

Breakfast Cost +4

All Other -2

Source: Clarabridge, , 7th Annual Text Analytics Summit (2011)

Text Analytics

PHARMA CASE STUDY

Enhancing physician targeting through physician network analysis

Physician Characteristics o Specialty o Location o Years in practice o Gender

Market Potential o NRx o TRx o NBRx

Attitudes and Motivations

o Perceptions o Attitudes

Behaviors o Email

opens/clicks o Registrations o Sample orders

Patient Characteristics o Demographics o Therapy usage

Network Data o Co-authorship on publications o Links with other physicians o Shared patients o Common organization affiliations o Sentiment about certain therapies

GOAL: Strengthen the POWER of physician targeting

Constructing the physician co-publication social network

Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

Data Source: PubMed

Dr. Z

Dr. Y

Dr. X

Synthesizing network analyses results Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

We identified 3 types of doctors …

Key Influencers

Connected Doctors (Doctors within each key

influencer’s circle)

Isolated Doctors

Connected Doctors

Synthesizing network and text analyses results Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

We identified 3 types of doctors …

Key Influencers

Connected Doctors (Doctors within each key

influencer’s circle)

Isolated Doctors

Connected Doctors

ONCOLOGY

PRIMARY CARE

… and dominant topics of interest in each physician circle

Using network data to predict future behavior

Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

Addition of network data to traditional model drivers significantly enhanced targeting model

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Decile1

Decile2

Decile3

Decile4

Decile5

Decile6

Decile7

Decile8

Decile9

Decile10

Cum

ulat

ive

Perc

ent o

f NRx

Model Without Network Data

Model With Network Data

Highest Predicted

Value

Lowest Predicted

Value

When targeting only 50% of docs, model using traditional drivers +

network data captured 23% more NRx

Network relationship variables were among the top model drivers

Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

• Samples ordered

• Specialty

• Details received

• Years in practice

• Physician Age

• Number of published papers

• Types of doctors: Key Influencers, Connected, Isolated

• Average number of authors per published paper

• Number of links in publication network

• Number of papers where physician is first author

• …

Network analysis and text mining provided multi-million dollar incremental impact relative to BAU

Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5

Key Influencers

Connected Doctors

Isolated Doctors

Cultivate relationship with key influencers • Invite to speaker programs • Provide more sales rep details/calls

Use predictive model to assign to optimal channel

Craft messaging specific to each physician network (based on content analysis results)

HOSPITALITY CASE STUDY

Greater customer insight through social media behavior and offline data A Proof of Concept for leading hotel chain

Sampling Sample emails for social match

Social Segments Text mining / sentiment analysis

Social Behavior Extract Twitter & FB data

Loyalty and non-Loyalty

Guests

Profile Summary

Offline Behavioral

Offline Demographic

Advocate Detractor Socially Engaged Influencer Wallflower Non-

Social

Twitter Following/Reach/

Influence

Facebook Comments +

Profiling Superior insight via social and offline data

Approach

24% match rate was obtained

17%

10%

2% 2%

24%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%

Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Other Overall

Social Platform Match Rates

• As expected, Facebook and Twitter have the highest match rates • Match rate can be improved by using recent transactional emails

in addition to preferred email on profile

Offline data can be combined with social data for improved customer service

Perform periodic match and data append and evolve to real time for superior service and triggered treatment

Email Twitter ID Customer ID Loyalty

Tier Lifetime Spend Recency Social

Segment Value Life-cycle Demo Cluster

[email protected] T1 C1 4 Star $20K 2 months Advocate Super High High Risk Married & Affluent

[email protected] T2 C2 3 Star $30K 0 month Detractor Super High High Risk Single

[email protected] T3 C3 2 Star $2K 2 months Socially Engaged Super High Growth Single

[email protected] T4 C4 1 Star $400 1 month Socially Engaged Super High New Married

Traveler

[email protected] T5 C5 1 Star $100 5 months Socially Engaged Low Low Risk Married &

Affluent

Following Behavior and Sentiment Analysis

Social Platform Presence

Customers Sample

Hotel Chain Engaged

Advocate Detractor

Socially Engaged Influencer Wallflower Non-Social

Guests with positive behavior

Guests with negative behavior

Positive vs. Negative Facebook or Twitter comments regarding hotel chain

Following hotel chain vs. Following competition

Guests not creating content regarding hotel

chain, but socially active, and found on

multiple social platforms

Guests not creating content regarding hotel chain, found on only one single social platform, and with high

influence

Guests not creating content

regarding the hotel chain and

with low activity on single social

platform of choice

Guests without a match on

social platforms

Social Segments

Advocates and Detractors

» Have 13X – 19X the influence than average based on # of Followers

» Generate 9X the content than average as evidenced by # of tweets

» Are 15X active than average as evidenced by # Following

Advocates can have a positive cascading effect through their reach & influence

Avg. Followers 100 = 34

Avg. Tweets 100 = 263

Avg. Following 100 = 55

1,380

2,048

389 469

2 4

1,552 1,535

6 0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Advocate Detractor SociallyEngaged

Influencer Wallflower Non-Social

Index Index of Social Activities

FollowersTweetsFollowing

Social Engagement correlates with 30 – 50% superior commercial or financial performance

Invest in social engagement activities to identify and drive greater engagement with Advocate look-alikes and broaden Guest Value to include social engagement and influence

Others Advocate & Detractor

High Value 35.3% of customers

2.5X 0.20% of customers

3.2X

35.5% of customers 2.5X

Other 64.2% of customers 0.2X

0.24% of customers 0.2X

64.5% of customers

0.2X

99.6% of customers 1.0X

0.44% of customers 1.5X

Overall average post 8- month revenue

1.0X = $316

30% lift

50% lift

Advocates comprise of 3 demographic segments

% Married 84% 78% 31% 59% 64% % with Children 70% 63% 28% 49% 47% HH Size 3.7 3.7 1.6 2.8 2.8 % Age 45+ 64% 67% 32% 50% 62% % Male 63% 53% 39% 50% 50% % College or Higher 60% 43% 49% 52% 50%

%High Travel Occupation 38% 63% 7% 29% 31% Average Income $156,533 $103,181 $80,835 $110,808 $117,112 Average Networth $679K $448K $170K $398K $477K

Advocate

Married & Affluent

33%

Married Travelers

21%

Small HHs 46%

All Segments Hotel Chain

Advocate Segment

Advocates comprise of 4 behavioral segments

Full Service % 75% 43% 18% 66% 57% 54% Focused % 15% 56% 82% 31% 38% 43% Luxury % 10% 1% 0% 2% 5% 3%

Business % 62% 78% 69% 60% 68% 67% Leisure % 15% 11% 15% 20% 14% 13%

Advocate

Focused 27%

Economy 7%

Variety 34%

Full Svc 32%

All Segments Hotel Chain

Advocate Segment

Advocates are in different lifecycle stages in their relationship with the hotel chain

Tenure months 9 105 102 83 91 77

Recency months 4 3 3 11 7 9

Advocate

Growth 17%

High Risk 29%

Other 52%

New 1%

All Segments Hotel Chain

Advocate Segment

Summary Findings Recommendations Benefits

24% match rate was obtained Improve match rate through usage of recent transactional emails

Greater insight and improved social engagement of higher tier guests

Offline data can be combined with social data for improved service

Perform periodic match and data append and evolve to real time

Superior service and greater relevance via triggered treatment

Guests that socially engage with the hotel chain are ~30 - 50% more valuable

Invest in social engagement activities and broaden Guest Value to include social engagement and influence

Greater insight and improved engagement

Deeper insight was generated by leveraging both social & offline data

Perform analysis on a monthly or quarterly basis

Longitudinal tracking, trigger identification, and informed social & CRM strategy

Social behavior data continues to be relatively sparse

Broaden scope to include all guests with email; leverage network analysis and predictive models

Greater insight and scale for superior commercial performance

1

2

3

4

5

CONCLUSIONS

Analytics to harness the potential of Big Data

» Text Mining

» Network Analysis

» Holistic Insight

• Big Data + Little Data

• Online Data + Offline Data

» Balance of hard and soft skills

Big Data Analytics can be integrated within existing analytics frameworks

Multidimensional Segmentation

Marketing Opportunity Assessments

Text Mining

Analytic Audits / Roadmaps / Data Marts

Acquisition Modeling

Attrition Modeling

Market Basket Analysis

Cross / Up-Sell Modeling

Value / LTV Modeling Recommendation Engines / Real-time Offers

Marketing Optimization

Media Mix Modeling

Campaign / Dashboard Reporting

Experimental Design

Loyalty Program Financial Analysis

Multichannel Attribution

Contact Cadence Analysis

Network Analysis

There has never been a better time to be in analytics

http://blogs.sas.com/content/academic/files/2015/02/126994_AnalyticsU_infographic.png http://blogs.sas.com/content/academic/

Contact Info

Amit Deshpande Vice President, Analytics [email protected] 214.934.4417

Your turn

Use the Chat function or Raise Hand feature to ask questions or share comments.

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