bnp paribas fortis | economic outlook 2017

54
ECONOMIC AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2017

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Page 1: BNP Paribas Fortis | Economic Outlook 2017

ECONOMIC AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2017

Page 2: BNP Paribas Fortis | Economic Outlook 2017

01/12/2016

ECONOMIC AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2017

Economic Outlook 2

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01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 3

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REAGANOMICS VERSUS TRUMPONOMICS

01/12/2016

Economic Outlook 4

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DONALD

01/12/2016

Economic Outlook 5

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DONALD

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 6

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DONALD

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 7

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POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY IN EUROPE

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 8

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GLOBALIZATION WAVES

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 9

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CONFLICT IS A SIGN OF THE TIMES

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 10

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STRANGE MARKET MOVES AND TRUMP RALLY

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 11

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GOVERNMENT RATES

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 12

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EXPENSIVE (US) MARKETS

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 13

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A STRONGER USD?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 14

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WHERE TO INVEST IN A DOW(NALD) JONES MARKET?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 15

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WHERE TO INVEST EXPECTED BOND YIELD INCREASE?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 16

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WHERE WILL RATES GO?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 18

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ANOTHER FOOTBALL FIELD PLEASE…

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 20

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THE LIFE CYCLE HYPOTHESIS IN PRACTICE

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 22

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DISSAVERS INCREASING IN EU & US

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 23

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WHAT ABOUT BELGIUM?

01/12/2016

Economic Outlook 25

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ARE WE TURNING JAPANESE?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 26

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EXTENDING CAREERS WILL POSTPONE DISSAVING

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 27

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BELGIUM: BAD STARTING POINT, SLOW STARTER

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 28

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WHAT ABOUT BELGIAN RATES?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 29

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WHERE TO INVEST IN BELGIAN MARKET?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 30

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WHERE TO INVEST IN BELGIAN ASSETS ONLY?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 31

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REAL ESTATE MARKET: EXPLODING…

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 33

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…BUT LIMITED SUPPLY SERVES AS FLOOR

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 34

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... CREDIT GROWS

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 35

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DOMESTIC BANKS KEEP RUNNING HOT

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 36

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CHINA: A SUSTAINABLE GROWTH PATH?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 37

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MAYBE, BUT IMBALANCES INCREASE

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 38

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01/12/2016

TIME TO BUY (THE NEW) CHINA?

Economic Outlook 39

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CHINA, GOOD NEWS AND THE YUAN

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 40

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OLD VERSUS NEW CHINA

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 41

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01/12/2016

COMMODITY TIME?

Economic Outlook 42

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TOWARDS MARKET EQUILIBRIUM?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 43

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GOLD PLAYS ITS ROLE

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 44

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WHERE TO INVEST IN EMERGING ASSETS ONLY?

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 45

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BLACK SWANS FOR 201

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 47

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CONCLUSIONS

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 48

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OUR OUTLOOK

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 49

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WHERE TO INVEST IN 2017

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 50

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THANK YOU ASK QUESTIONS GET ANSWERS

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 51

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01/12/2016

01/12/2016

KOEN DE LEUS

Chief Economist

02/312.78.38

[email protected]

Twitter @KoenDeLeus

PHILIPPE GIJSELS

Chief Strategy Officer

02/565.16.37

[email protected]

Twitter @pgijsels

https://blogs.bnpparibasfortis.com/PhilippeGijsels

ECONOMIC AND INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2017 #BNPPFoutlook

Economic Outlook 52

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DISCLAIMER

01/12/2016 Economic Outlook 54