boris e. utria coordenador - geral de operações banco mundial brasil
DESCRIPTION
Reuniao General da Rede Sindical de Cooperacao para o Desenvolvimento Sao Paulo, 18-20 de Marco, 2014. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
“Políticas de Desenvolvimento Globais e Regionais: Prioridades, Desafíos e Oportunidades”
Políticas de desarrollo globales y regionales: prioridades, desafíos y oportunidadesPolitiques de développement globales et régionales: priorités, défis et opportunitésGlobal and regional development policies: priorities, challenges and opportunities
Boris E. UtriaCoordenador -Geral de Operações
Banco MundialBrasil
Reuniao General da Rede Sindical de Cooperacao para o Desenvolvimento
Sao Paulo, 18-20 de Marco, 2014
O Grupo Banco Mundial
World Bank
World Bank Group
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development - IBRD, 187 membersStart of operations: 1946
International Development Association - IDA, 170 membersFounding: 1960
International Financial Corporation – IFCFoundation: 1956, 182 members
Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency – MIGAFoundation: 1988, 175 members
International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes - ICSID, 144 membersFoundation: 1966
A ESTRATEGIA DO GRUPO BANCO MUNDIAL
Nova
4
O Crecimento Economico tem Contribuido para a Reducao da Pobreza e a Compartilhacao da prosperidade,
Mas ainda nao e Suficiente…
5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0Log GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2005 international $)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Poverty headcount ratio at $1.25 a day (PPP) (% of population)
South Africa
ColombiaChina
Angola
Bangladesh
Bolivia
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cambodia
Cameroon
Central African Republic
Congo, Dem. Rep.
Congo, Rep.
Cote d'Ivoire
Ethiopia India
Indonesia
Iraq
Lao PDR
Liberia
Madagascar
Mali
Mauritania
Mozambique
Nepal
Niger
Rwanda
Sierra Leone
Swaziland
Tajikistan
Tanzania
Togo
Uganda
Venezuela, RB
Vietnam
Zambia
5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0Log GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2005 international $)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Vulnerability Rate (% of population between $1.25 and $4 a day
(PPP))
Albania
Angola
Armenia
Bangladesh
Bolivia
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Brazil
Bulgaria
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cambodia
Central African Republic
Chile
China
Congo, Dem. Rep.
Costa Rica
Egypt, Arab Rep.
El Salvador
Ethiopia
Fiji
Gabon
Georgia
Guinea
Honduras
IndiaIndonesia
Iran, Islamic Rep.
Jordan
Kazakhstan
Kenya
Liberia
Lithuania
Madagascar
Malaysia
Mali
Mozambique
Nepal
Nicaragua
Nigeria
Pakistan
Peru
Philippines
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone South Africa
Sri Lanka
Swaziland
Tanzania
Togo
Turkey
Venezuela, RB
Zambia
Income GroupLow income
Lower middle income
Upper middle income
High income: nonOECD
High income: OECD
Source: POVCALNET and World Development Indicators for the World Bank Atlas methodLow income = $1,025 or less; lower-middle income = $1,026 - $4,035; upper-middle income = $4,036 - $12,475; and high income.= $12,476 or more purchasing power parity
Extreme Poverty (<$1.25/day) and GDP per capita Poverty ($1.25-$4/day) and GDP per capita
A metade da populacao do mundo vive na Probreza: 1.2 Bilhoes de Pessoas com < US$1.25/dia, 2.7 bilhoes com $1.25-$4/day
5
O Crecimento Deve Ser acompanhado de Inclusao e Sustentavilidade
Crecimento Economico que gere bons empregos sustenta o desenvolvimento — Uma grande geracao de empregos requer a mobilizacao do setor privado e o desenvolvimento de politicas e instituicoes publicas efetivas.
Esta agenda requer accao ao niveis Nacionais, Regionais e Global
Inclusao Social significa empoderar todas as pessoas (mulheres, juventude, minorias, etc. que sao geralmente excluidas) para participar e se beneficiar dos processos de desenvolvimento — a inclusao é essencial para garantir que o desenvolvimeto geral seja traducido em ganhos espeficios e significativos para os pobres (40% e extremos)
Sustentabilidade garante que o progreso de hoje nao seja revertido amanha —sustentabilidade permea a agenda de politica, desde a “economia verde” ate o fortalecimento do consensus social
6
Duas Metas Ambiciosas Guiam ao GBM
As metas do GBM estao alinhadas com a agenda de desenvolvimento post-2015 que esta sendo elaborada pela comunidade internacional
Para lograr as metas de forma sustentavel é necessario: Asegurar o futuro a lungo-prazo do planeta e de seus recursos naturais,
asegurar a inclusao social, e limitar o custo economico das generacoes futuras.
Acabar a Pobreza ExtremaReducir a percentual de pessoas
vivendo com menos deUS$1.25/dia para 3% ate 2030
Promover a Prosperidade Compartilhada
Promover aumento da renda para o 40% da pupolacao de menores ingresos
em cada pais
ESTRATEGIA DO GRUPO BANCO MUNDIAL
BANCO MUNDIAL NA REGIAO ALC
8
Boost sustainedgrowth and productivity
Growth and Jobs
• Generate high sustained, more diversified growth• Address structural gaps • Minimize vulnerability to risk• Improve competitiveness
LAC
Chal
leng
esLC
R S
trat
egy
Address poverty and inequality
Gini , Poverty & Gender
• Help decrease overall level of poverty • Tackle persistent inequality• Enable poor to participate in economy• Strengthen economic role of women • Help youth at risk•Expand access to finance
Strengthen governance and institutions
Engage in Global Issues
Minimize vulnerability
Governance & Institutions
• State and citizen relationship (“identity agenda”)• Provide opportunities for all, access to infrastructure services, targeted safety nets, increased citizen security•Increase transparency and reduce red tape
Global Involvement
• Climate Change, Epidemics, Finance, MigrationSouth-South/North-South Cooperation• LAC in the world and the world in LAC
Guarding Against Disasters
• Help countries with risk mitigation instruments•Improve fiscal, monetary, financial system resiliency
Innovation/Competitiveness
IntegrationIFC
LAC
Pill
ars
Inclusive GrowthClimate Change
Integration
WBG
Pr
ioriti
es Create opportunities for growth and
employment
Target the poor and the vulnerable
Strengthen governance Promote global collective action
Managing and preparing for crisis
A ESTRATEGIA PARA ALC É CONSISTENTE COM AS
METAS DO GRUPO BANCO MUNDIAL
9
Boost sustainedgrowth and productivity
Growth and Jobs
• Generate high sustained, more diversified growth• Address structural gaps • Minimize vulnerability to risk• Improve competitiveness
LAC
Chal
leng
esLC
R S
trat
egy
Address poverty and inequality
Gini , Poverty & Gender
• Help decrease overall level of poverty • Tackle persistent inequality• Enable poor to participate in economy• Strengthen economic role of women • Help youth at risk•Expand access to finance
Strengthen governance and institutions
Engage in Global Issues
Minimize vulnerability
Governance & Institutions
• State and citizen relationship (“identity agenda”)• Provide opportunities for all, access to infrastructure services, targeted safety nets, increased citizen security•Increase transparency and reduce red tape
Global Involvement
• Climate Change, Epidemics, Finance, MigrationSouth-South/North-South Cooperation• LAC in the world and the world in LAC
Guarding Against Disasters
• Help countries with risk mitigation instruments•Improve fiscal, monetary, financial system resiliency
Innovation/Competitiveness
IntegrationIFC
LAC
Pill
ars
Inclusive GrowthClimate Change
Integration
WBG
Pr
ioriti
es Create opportunities for growth and employment
Target the poor and the vulnerable
Strengthen governance Promote global collective action
Managing and preparing for crisis
A ESTRATEGIA PARA ALC É CONSISTENTE COM AS
METAS DO GRUPO BANCO MUNDIAL
10
RegionalActivities
FragileCountry
Lower Income & Lower MIC
Small Upper MIC Large Upper MIC
• Human Opportunity Index & poverty monitoring• Risk response and monitoring• Regional studies• Global goods:
• SEPA• Count the Poor• LCR Gender work • Food prices working group• Studies on Crime and Violence• South-South learning for CCT & assistance system administration•Peer-to-peer learning
• Post-disaster reconstruction (e.g. Housing & Infrastructure programs)• Vulnerability reduction and resilience•Access to basic services •Business climate improvement , private sector and financial sector development for inclusive growth• Global knowledge and TA for development of sector strategy and policy•Gender mainstreaming in projects
• Support to strengthening of governance and institutions • Improving service delivery• Safeguarding the vulnerable (e.g. CCTs, improving nutrition)• Disaster risk management•Regional efforts in Central America (e.g. on citizen security ; economic integration)•Improve financial oversight & financial sector development for inclusive growth•Business climate and productivity improvement
Menu of services: • Financing • Innovative financial products e.g. Green Bonds, CAT/DDOs• Support to country specific and regional themes.• TA, fee-based services e.g. Panama Areas Revertidas
Regional themes:• Financial sector in OECS countries• Growth initiatives in Caribbean• Regional integration• Boys at risk
•Thematic clusters grouping financial and knowledge services
• Package of services on development issues • Poverty & inequality• Natural resource mgmt. & commodity prices• Disaster risk management•Economic participation of women•Energy efficiency & climate change• Sub-national , sectoral, or programmatic lending and knowledge services• Fee-based services• South-South/North-South knowledge sharing e.g. Brazil-Africa• Global engagement (COP 16, G20)•Capital markets & financial sector development for inclusive growth
……By encouraging innovation, risk taking, knowledge generation and sharing
PRESTAR UMA AMPLA GAMA DE SERVICOS AOS NOSSOS DIVERSOS CLIENTES
11
Mexico
GuatemalaEl Salvador
HondurasJamaica
Nicaragua
Costa RicaPanama
Haiti
Dominican Republic
Trinidad & Tobago
SurinameGuyanaVenezuela
Colombia
Ecuador
Peru
Bolivia
Paraguay
UruguayChileArgentina
Brazil
Belize
The Bahamas St. Kitts & NevisDominica
St. LuciaSt. Vincent & The Grenadines Grenada
Antigua &Barbuda
Barbados
… CONTRIBUIR A ENTREGA DE SOLUCOES E RESULTADOS DE DESENVOLVIMENTO
Fragile (Haiti)• 1 m. displaced people moved from camps
to improved housing. Camp occupancy down to 35% of initially displaced people
• 5.5 m. cubic meters of debris removed from Port au Prince
• Schools have reopened, 900,000 children attending school without need to pay tuition
• Hot meals for 2 m. school children daily• GDP grew 5.1% in 2010/11• Increased energy supply capacity in Port-
au-Prince by about 35%.
Lower Income and Lower MIC• Bolivia: Electricity to 130,000 people in
rural areas. 9,200 solar home systems installed in poorest rural areas benefitting 45,000 people
• Ecuador: 417,000 more people with potable water and sanitation systems
• El Salvador: 100,000 families benefitting from CCTs. Reduction in untargeted public subsidies by $134.3 million
• Guatemala: 95% enrollment rate and 74% gross completion rate in primary schools
• Central America: 1.3% reduction in cost of remittances resulted in US$580m in savings for families receiving remittances
Large Upper MIC• Brazil: 650,000 families receiving
electricity from Rural Poverty Program. An annual $77million saved in Minas Gerais since 2005 due to modernization program
• Argentina: 90% of national and provincial paved roads in good condition. Access to health care for 1m. children and uninsured pregnant women, immunization rates up to 94%.
• Peru: nearly 500,000 people have gained access to electricity
• Mexico: Provided green mortgage for 800,000 new houses to reduce 1.2 m. tons of CO2 emissions/year by 2012
Small Upper MIC• OECS: A harmonized aviation regulatory
framework for all OECS countries• Costa Rica: 10% greater primary forest
coverage from Ecomarkets program• Panama: improved health and nutrition
services to 400,000 families in rural areas. 60,000 workers trained in National Training Plan
• Uruguay: Decline in gross public debt from 73% to 60%
Fragile
Lower Income & Lower Income MIC
Small Upper MIC
Large Upper MIC
BANCO MUNDIAL NO BRASIL
0
20
40
60
80
100
AIDBird
Brasil: US$55 bilhões (FY2014)
China
Indonésia
Índia
Brasil
Argentina
Colôm
bia
México
Turquia
Bangladesh
Paquistão
O Brasil está entre os três MaioresClientes do Banco Mundial
Country Partnership Strategy - CPS
Acordada com o Governo Federal, com consultas:
Congresso, governos estaduaisSetor privadoComunidade acadêmicaSociedade civilONGs, sindicatos, movimentos sociais
Aprovada pela Diretoria Executiva do Banco
Identifica as prioridades de parceria a serem desenvolvidas através de empréstimos, assistência técnica e outros instrumentos
Estratégia de Parceria com o Brasil 2012-2015
Brasil - Banco Mundial: Objetivos Estratégicos (2012-15)
1. Aumentar volume e produtividade de investimentos públicos e privados;
2. Melhorar serviços públicos para famílias de baixa renda (i.e.,saúde, educação, moradia);
3. Promover desenvolvimento regional por meio de políticas e investimentos estratégicos; e,
4. Melhorar a gestão sustentável de recursos naturais e a resiliência climática.
Acabar a Pobreza ExtremaReducir a percentual de pessoas vivendo com
menos de US$1.25/dia para 3% ate 2030
Promover a Prosperidade Compartilhada
Promover aumento da renda para o 40% da pupolacao de menores ingresos em cada pais
Brasil - Banco Mundial: Objetivos Estratégicos (2012-15)
1. GERACAO DE BONS EMPREGOS;
2. INCLUSAO SOCIAL, COM ATENCAO AS MULHERES;
3. ESTABILIDADE ECONOMICA;
4. SUSTENTABILIDADE;
5. EFICIENCIA DO SETOR PUBLICO; e,
6. BOA GOVERNANCA.
Acabar a Pobreza ExtremaReducir a percentual de pessoas vivendo com
menos de US$1.25/dia para 3% ate 2030
Promover a Prosperidade Compartilhada
Promover aumento da renda para o 40% da pupolacao de menores ingresos em cada pais
Mas o Banco Mundial é muito pequeno em relação ao Brasil…
Os empréstimos do Banco Mundial equivalem a 4% do investimento público total anual
A EPP se apoia em quatro princípios para maximizar o impacto do GBM no Brasil:
1. Foco na inovação (novos desafios e avancos de conhecimento)
2. Alavancagem (Conhecimento & Financeiro)
3. Flexibilidade (as necessidades do Brasil mudam)
4. Seletividade (i.e., foco no Nordeste, Areas Metropolitanas, etc.)
Outros Aspectos Importantes do EPP Foco nos Estados: poucos empréstimos ao Governo
Federal (focados em inovação)
Operações Multi-Setoriais: ajudando o Brasil a enfrentar desafios complexos
Gênero: intervenções para reduzir desigualdade de gênero em todos os setores
Cooperação Sul-Sul: grande interesse do resto do mundo nos avanços do Brasil
Foco em Resultados: seremos cobrados pela matriz de indicadores
EPP (2012-15): Emfase no Nordeste e NorteFinaciamentos por Regiao – Milhoes US$
432.03,082.9
600.0
5,717.7
920.0Federal: 1,318.7
Agriculture and Rural Development; 1,008.4Competitives
Industries; 350.0
Economic Policy; 950.0
Education; 294.0
Energy and Mining; 544.6
environment; 84.3
Financial and Pri-vate Sector De-velopment (I);
941.0
Health, Nutrition and Population;
749.7
Poverty Reduction; 500.0
Public Sector Governance; 1,360.9
Social Protection; 200.0
Transport; 4,040.0
Urban Devel-opment; 388.0
Water; 659.6
Brasil: Portfalio Activo por Setores (US$ 12.07 Billion)
Federal11%
Estadual85%
Municipal4%
Brasil: Portfalio Activo por Tipo de Mutuario (US$ 12.07 Billion)
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY140.0
500.0
1,000.0
1,500.0
2,000.0
2,500.0
3,000.0
3,500.0
4,000.0
FederalMunicipalState
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY140.0
500.0
1,000.0
1,500.0
2,000.0
2,500.0
3,000.0
3,500.0
4,000.0
FederalOtherNorthNortheast
Brasil: Emprestimos BIRD
(FY07-14) Milhoes US$
Obrigado pelo convite e atencao !!
Boris E. UtriaCoordenador -Geral de Operações
Banco MundialBrasil