breakthrough technologies with impact for commodities: fuel cells june 2016 · 2016-06-03 ·...
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Junior Mining IndabaBreakthrough Technologies with Impact for
Commodities: Fuel cellsJune 2016
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
Overview
Current PGM Market Environment
What are Fuel Cells?
Impact and Opportunities of Fuel Cells on commodities
South African Fuel Cell Industrial Hub
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Current PGM Market Environment
Junior Mining Indaba 2016
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
South African Drivers
Unique drivers to those of the world: Over 75% of platinum group metal
reserves Socio-economic benefits from value-
addition of mineralsRevised mining charter requirementsDriving downstream beneficiation
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Platinum Group Metals: 2016 World Market Review and Forecast, mcgroup
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
Autocatalysts39%
Jewelery35%
Industrial23%
Investment3%
2015 Demand 8,54m ozs
PLATINUM SUPPLY AND DEMAND
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South Africa55%
Zimbabwe5%
Russia9%
North America4%
Recycling26%
Other1%
2015 Supply 7,70m ozs
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
THE PGM MARKET
We remain bullish on long-term fundamentals for our major metals Increased PGM demand from ever stricter
emissions control Rising middle classes in emerging markets:Low vehicle ownership ratesIncreased spending power on jewellery Capacity increases in chemical,
agrochemical and oil production Continued supply challenges in South
Africa Steady reduction of available stockpiles Fuel Cell Industry start - up
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0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200
Philippines
India
Egypt
Indonesia
Thailand
China
Brazil
World
South Africa
Argentina
Iran
Taiwan
Mexico
E. Europe
Korea
Malaysia
Japan
W. Europe
Australia
Canada
USA
World personal vehicle ownership (per '000 driving population)
2015 20202030
Still below mature markets
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
THE PGM MARKET
However, in the short-term PGM prices will continue to be negatively impacted by: Fragile global economic growth Negative investor sentiment towards
commodities Anticipated South African supply return
during 2015 and 2016 Excess metal stocks available to end users
Metal prices will remain lower until fundamentals overtake sentiment
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11 000
11 500
12 000
12 500
13 000
13 500
14 000
14 500
15 000
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr-
15
May
-15
Jun-
15
Jul-1
5
Aug-
15
Platinum price vs industry cost of production
Centiles represent the cost of mine production on a total cash cost bexcluding CAPEX
50th centile
80th centile
90th centile
ZAR/Eq. Pt oz
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Fuel CellsJunior Mining Indaba 2016
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
What is a Fuel Cell
What are Fuel Cells?
Efficiently converts hydrogen-containing gas to usable power with minimal or no emissions
Electro-chemical rather than combustion
Fuel Cell stack contains a Pt based catalyst
Spent Pt Catalyst can be recycled
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Four different platinum based Fuel Cell technologies: Low temperature PEM (Proton Exchange
Membrane) High temperature PEM PAFC (Phosphoric Acid – stationary) DMFC (Direct Methanol – mobile)
Applicable markets Back up / extended back up Primary power Niche mobile Niche stationary Portable UPS/APU Oxygen depletion for fire suppression
Stationary Fuel Cell – LT Platinum Industry Saviour?
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Fuel Cell Applications in more detail
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$-
$20 000
$40 000
$60 000
$80 000
$100 000
$-
$2 000
$4 000
$6 000
$8 000
$10 000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Aver
age
Uni
t Pric
e
Annu
al S
ales
-M
illio
n $
Annual Sales - Stationary Average Unit Price
http://www.navigantresearch.com/newsroom/more-than-350000-stationary-fuel-cells-will-be-shipped-annually-by-2022
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20130506005278/en/Stationary-Fuel-Cell-Market-Reach-9-Billion
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Impact and Opportunities of Fuel Cells on Commodities
Junior Mining Indaba
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Stationary Fuel Cells – Pt Loadings
FC technology Platinum Loadings:
Low temperature PEM – < 1g/KW
High temperature PEM - > 6g/KW
PAFC - > 5g/KW
DMFC - > 13g/KW
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South African Opportunity?
1000 MW stationary fuel cells PAFC (Minister Rob Davies – June 2015)
Contains 2.5kg Pt and 100 g Rh per 400 kW PAFC system
equivalent to 160 000 oz of new platinum demand
2000 underground trackless fleet component conversions result in 16 000 oz of new metal demand
FC Forklift market untapped in South Africa
Metal Hydride contains Ni, Cu, Co, Rare Earth, etc
FC penetration of vehicles drives the market
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FC Forklift and H2 re-fuelling station at Impala Refineries, Launched March 2016
Proposed 8MW Doosan Facility
Load Haul Dumper(LHD)
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
Mobile Fuel Cell - Pt demand
Pt content per vehicle Fuel Cell Light Duty Vehicle penetration
grams ounces 1% 2% 5% 10%
50 1.55 25% 49% 124% 247%
40 1.24 20% 40% 99% 198%
30 0.93 15% 30% 74% 148%
20 0.62 10% 20% 49% 99%
10 0.31 5% 10% 25% 49%
Additional Proportion of World Pt Supply Consumption vs Vehicle FC Penetration
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South African Fuel Cell Industrial Hub
Junior Mining Indaba 2016
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A Fuel Cell Special Economic Zone (SEZ)?
Provision of serviced land for the SEZ Guarantee of platinum metal supply Closed looping of platinum Promotion of industrialization Potential to enhance overall
competitiveness Potential to significantly grow knowledge -
based jobs Provision of new opportunities for other
key industry sectors A platform to grow high value exports Opportunity for South Africa to:reducing global greenhouse emissions diminishing urban pollutants improved quality of life
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Junior Mining Indaba 2016
Implats Fuel Cell Roadmap
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Certain statements contained in this presentation other than the statements of historical fact contain forward-looking statements regarding Implats’ operations, economic performance or financial condition, including, without limitation, those concerning the economic outlook for the platinum industry, expectations regarding metal prices, production, cash costs and other operating results, growth prospects and the outlook of Implats’ operations, including the completion and commencement of commercial operations of certain of Implats’ exploration and production projects, its liquidity and capital resources and expenditure, and the outcome and consequences of any pending litigation or enforcement proceedings. Although Implats believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. Accordingly, results may differ materially from those set out in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in metal prices and exchange rates and business and operational risk management. For a discussion on such factors, refer to the risk management section of the company’s Annual Report. Implats is not obliged to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the dates of the Annual Report or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Implats or any person acting on its behalf are qualified by the cautionary statements herein.
Forward-looking statement
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Thank you
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Thanks