capture full potential of the service business/media/vestas/investor... · │ capture full...
TRANSCRIPT
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Capture full potential of the service business
Christian Venderby, Group SVP and Head of Service
Aarhus, 12 June 2014
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This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning Vestas' financial condition, results of
operations and business. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be,
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on
management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties
that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in
these statements.
Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning Vestas' potential exposure to
market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections
and assumptions. There are a number of factors that could affect Vestas' future operations and could cause
Vestas' results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this
presentation, including (without limitation): (a) changes in demand for Vestas' products; (b) currency and interest
rate fluctuations; (c) loss of market share and industry competition; (d) environmental and physical risks; (e)
legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, including changes in tax or accounting policies; (f) economic and
financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (g) political risks, including the risks of expropriation
and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, and delays or advancements in the
approval of projects; (h) ability to enforce patents; (i) product development risks; (j) cost of commodities; (k)
customer credit risks; (l) supply of components from suppliers and vendors; and (m) customer readiness and
ability to accept delivery and installation of products and transfer of risk.
All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by the cautionary
statements contained or referenced to in this statement. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Vestas' annual report for the year
ended 31 December 2013 (available at vestas.com/investor) and these factors also should be considered. Each
forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Vestas does not undertake any
obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information or future
events others than required by Danish law. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated,
implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
Disclaimer and cautionary statement
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Agenda
3 │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014
1. Introduction
2. The successful transformation of the service business
3. Capturing the full service potential
CMD Capital Markets Day,
12 June 2014
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Introducing your speaker Christian Venderby
4
• Group Senior Vice President and
Head of Service.
• Joined Vestas in 2006 as CFO for North
America and was appointed COO in 2010
with responsibility for Construction, Service,
Supply Chain and Technology.
• Degree in Finance from Copenhagen
Business School and E-MBA from INSEAD,
Paris.
• 15 years with FLSmidth, leading finance and
construction teams in Japan, Brazil, Egypt
and India.
• 20 years of international business experience.
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My Vestas journey Christian Venderby
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• CFO during the US wind industry’s
boom and burst years 2006-10.
• P&L responsibility for North American
construction and installation of > 4 GW
wind turbines.
• P&L responsibility for > 8,000 turbines
under long-term service agreement.
• Managed the US restructuring in
2012-13.
• Won > 1.5 GW large and complex
North American wind turbine and
service deals in 2013.
│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014
1
13
7
5
10
8
5
322008
2013
2011
2009
2012
2007
2006
2010
2005
GW
Source: AWEA.
USA annual wind installations
North America key figures
• 13,820 MW installed in USA and Canada.
• 10,061 MW under Vestas service (162 sites).
• ~80% service renewal rate.
Source: Vestas, January 2014.
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Service customers, create value and acquire fair share of it Building on our strong performance and long-term customer relationships
6
• Always delivering a high level of safety performance.
• Being transparent to our customers and having an open dialogue and collaboration about
performance and opportunities.
• Closer integration with our strategic customers to optimise value creation across the
value chain.
• Deliver high-quality service solutions in order to lower the Levelised Cost of Energy
irrespective of the customers’ preferred service strategy.
• Growing our knowledge and insight from the installed base of Vestas wind turbines in
order to offer optimised turbine performance throughout the entire turbine life cycle.
• Continuously improving service maintenance and spare parts solutions to support
optimised maintenance costs.
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Agenda
7
1. Introduction
2. The successful transformation of the service business
3. Capturing the full service potential
CMD Capital Markets Day,
12 June 2014
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The service business today Today, Vestas has more than 45 GW under service from a total installed base of more than 61 GW
8 │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014
MW under service and track record end 2013
Americas
10.6 GW
Asia Pacific
6.6 GW
Europe &
Africa
26 GW
Offshore
1.2 GW
- out of 15.4 GW
installed base
- out of 34.5 GW
installed base
- out of 1.6 GW
installed base
- out of 10.3 GW
installed base
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Satisfactory development in service business’ financials… Continuous growth in revenue and order backlog while earnings have improved significantly
9
Service revenue and EBIT margin
mEUR and percentage
Service order backlog
bnEUR
225
954
886
704
623
399
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
400
600
200
1,000
mEUR %
800
0
+19%
FY
2013
FY
2012
FY
2011
Q1
2014
504
FY
2010
FY
2008
FY
2009
Service EBIT before allocation of Group costs
Service revenue
0
2
4
6
8
5.4
Q1
2013
Q4
2012
4.9 5.3
Q3
2012
Q3
2013
6.1
Q2
2013
6.9
5.9
+6% 6.7
Q4
2013
Q1
2014
* Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, O&M Price Index (24 January 2014).
Market
CAGR 18%*
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Improved operational performance, leverage and customers’ demand for business case certainty
10
Lost Production Factor (LPF) Average duration of service contracts
Leverage and improved performance Size of service fleet (acc. Q1 2014)
* Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, O&M Price Index (23 October 2012).
0
1
2
3
4
5
Dec
2012
Dec
2013
Dec
2009
Dec
2011
Dec
2010
Percentage
6.9
2009
7.1
2013 2011 2010
5.4
6.5
4.8
6.0
4.9
7.6
4.5
2012
Average duration Vestas Average duration BNEF sample*
Number of years
N/A
2013 2011
11.6
2012
10.8
+16%
7.5
2010
9.3
MW serviced per service technician
MW not under service
MW under service
74%
26%
Total installed
base +61 GW
Percentage
… driven by successful transformation of service activities
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Agenda
11
1. Introduction
2. The successful transformation of the service business
3. Capturing the full service potential
CMD Capital Markets Day,
12 June 2014
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Grow the service business by more than 30 per cent Leverage on the installed base and establish a new service organisation
12
OBJECTIVE MID-TERM AMBITIONS & INITIATIVES
• Capture service business on all new orders.
• Establish a new service organisation, with direct
report to the CEO.
• Grow revenue through new service solutions and
products.
• Efficiency from knowledge and scale.
Grow the service business by more than
30 per cent
Grow profitably in
mature &
emerging markets
1
STRATEGY
Leverage on the largest installed base in the world.
Capture full
potential of the
service business
2
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Reduce the
Levelised
Cost of Energy
3
Improve
operational
excellence
4
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Current growth drivers in the service business Current trend in performance indicators and value drivers point in the direction of growth
13
1. Keep the existing service renewal level
2. Ensure a stable price development
3. Continue the cost-out efforts
4. Grow with the market in terms of installations
AND
AND
AND
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Capture full service sales potential Examples: Recapture share of the lost GW; and increase current renewal rate
14
Recapture opportunity (acc. Q1 2014)
GW
Renewal opportunity (acc. Q1 2014)
GW
61.2
16.2 GW
Accummulated
installed base
under service
45.0
Accummulated
installed base
45.0
11.3 GW
Accummulated
installed base
under service
33.8
Accummulated
installed base
16.2 GW ≈ EUR 340m recapture
opportunity
yearly business
value
11.3 GW ≈ EUR 34m* recapture
opportunity
yearly business
value
* With 75 per cent renewal rate and an average duration of seven years.
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Initiatives to grow the service business PowerPlusTM improves annual energy production (AEP) on existing plants
15
Service solution Customer value
Vestas value
Power Uprate
Extended Cut Out
Aerodynamic Upgrades
• Vortex Generators
a cost-effective solution
using small fins that optimise
air flow over the blades to
improve the aerodynamics.
• Modify control parameters
that allows wind turbines to
capture more wind at higher
speeds by extending the
maximum wind speed limit.
• Modify control parameters
that allows the wind turbines
to increase their maximum
power output.
• Vestas is able to increase
AEP, generally by 1.0-4.0
per cent.
• Vestas is able to increase
AEP, generally by 0.5-2.0
per cent.
• Vestas is able to increase
AEP, generally by up to
0.8 per cent.
• Vestas will share the
additional upside with the
customer through a
revenue sharing model or
an upfront payment.
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Initiatives to grow the service business Aligning full scope service offerings to match a liberalised energy market
16
• Variable input
• Variable
production 3rd party
Gas turbine
Solar
• Aligning full scope long-term
contracts to customers’
operational and commercial
model.
• Inclusion of customers’
commercial model into
availability guarantees.
• Vestas’ variable fee linked to
customers’ revenue streams.
Power plant
portfolio management
• Liberalised
energy markets
• Variable energy
prices
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Summary What have we learned
17
1
2
3
We have a large and profitable service business with an order
backlog of approx EUR 7bn.
We have a significant growth potential to be captured with
a robust commercial strategy.
We have an opportunity to improve our service delivery
model leveraging our size and creating synergies.
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Q&A
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