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Capture full potential of the service business Christian Venderby, Group SVP and Head of Service Aarhus, 12 June 2014

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Page 1: Capture full potential of the service business/media/vestas/investor... · │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014 1 13 7 5 10 8 5 2 3 2008 2013 2011 2009

Capture full potential of the service business

Christian Venderby, Group SVP and Head of Service

Aarhus, 12 June 2014

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This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning Vestas' financial condition, results of

operations and business. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be,

forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on

management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties

that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in

these statements.

Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning Vestas' potential exposure to

market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections

and assumptions. There are a number of factors that could affect Vestas' future operations and could cause

Vestas' results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this

presentation, including (without limitation): (a) changes in demand for Vestas' products; (b) currency and interest

rate fluctuations; (c) loss of market share and industry competition; (d) environmental and physical risks; (e)

legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, including changes in tax or accounting policies; (f) economic and

financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (g) political risks, including the risks of expropriation

and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, and delays or advancements in the

approval of projects; (h) ability to enforce patents; (i) product development risks; (j) cost of commodities; (k)

customer credit risks; (l) supply of components from suppliers and vendors; and (m) customer readiness and

ability to accept delivery and installation of products and transfer of risk.

All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified by the cautionary

statements contained or referenced to in this statement. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking

statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Vestas' annual report for the year

ended 31 December 2013 (available at vestas.com/investor) and these factors also should be considered. Each

forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Vestas does not undertake any

obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information or future

events others than required by Danish law. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated,

implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

Disclaimer and cautionary statement

2 │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Agenda

3 │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

1. Introduction

2. The successful transformation of the service business

3. Capturing the full service potential

CMD Capital Markets Day,

12 June 2014

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Introducing your speaker Christian Venderby

4

• Group Senior Vice President and

Head of Service.

• Joined Vestas in 2006 as CFO for North

America and was appointed COO in 2010

with responsibility for Construction, Service,

Supply Chain and Technology.

• Degree in Finance from Copenhagen

Business School and E-MBA from INSEAD,

Paris.

• 15 years with FLSmidth, leading finance and

construction teams in Japan, Brazil, Egypt

and India.

• 20 years of international business experience.

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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My Vestas journey Christian Venderby

5

• CFO during the US wind industry’s

boom and burst years 2006-10.

• P&L responsibility for North American

construction and installation of > 4 GW

wind turbines.

• P&L responsibility for > 8,000 turbines

under long-term service agreement.

• Managed the US restructuring in

2012-13.

• Won > 1.5 GW large and complex

North American wind turbine and

service deals in 2013.

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

1

13

7

5

10

8

5

322008

2013

2011

2009

2012

2007

2006

2010

2005

GW

Source: AWEA.

USA annual wind installations

North America key figures

• 13,820 MW installed in USA and Canada.

• 10,061 MW under Vestas service (162 sites).

• ~80% service renewal rate.

Source: Vestas, January 2014.

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Service customers, create value and acquire fair share of it Building on our strong performance and long-term customer relationships

6

• Always delivering a high level of safety performance.

• Being transparent to our customers and having an open dialogue and collaboration about

performance and opportunities.

• Closer integration with our strategic customers to optimise value creation across the

value chain.

• Deliver high-quality service solutions in order to lower the Levelised Cost of Energy

irrespective of the customers’ preferred service strategy.

• Growing our knowledge and insight from the installed base of Vestas wind turbines in

order to offer optimised turbine performance throughout the entire turbine life cycle.

• Continuously improving service maintenance and spare parts solutions to support

optimised maintenance costs.

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Agenda

7

1. Introduction

2. The successful transformation of the service business

3. Capturing the full service potential

CMD Capital Markets Day,

12 June 2014

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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The service business today Today, Vestas has more than 45 GW under service from a total installed base of more than 61 GW

8 │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

MW under service and track record end 2013

Americas

10.6 GW

Asia Pacific

6.6 GW

Europe &

Africa

26 GW

Offshore

1.2 GW

- out of 15.4 GW

installed base

- out of 34.5 GW

installed base

- out of 1.6 GW

installed base

- out of 10.3 GW

installed base

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Satisfactory development in service business’ financials… Continuous growth in revenue and order backlog while earnings have improved significantly

9

Service revenue and EBIT margin

mEUR and percentage

Service order backlog

bnEUR

225

954

886

704

623

399

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

28

400

600

200

1,000

mEUR %

800

0

+19%

FY

2013

FY

2012

FY

2011

Q1

2014

504

FY

2010

FY

2008

FY

2009

Service EBIT before allocation of Group costs

Service revenue

0

2

4

6

8

5.4

Q1

2013

Q4

2012

4.9 5.3

Q3

2012

Q3

2013

6.1

Q2

2013

6.9

5.9

+6% 6.7

Q4

2013

Q1

2014

* Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, O&M Price Index (24 January 2014).

Market

CAGR 18%*

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Improved operational performance, leverage and customers’ demand for business case certainty

10

Lost Production Factor (LPF) Average duration of service contracts

Leverage and improved performance Size of service fleet (acc. Q1 2014)

* Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, O&M Price Index (23 October 2012).

0

1

2

3

4

5

Dec

2012

Dec

2013

Dec

2009

Dec

2011

Dec

2010

Percentage

6.9

2009

7.1

2013 2011 2010

5.4

6.5

4.8

6.0

4.9

7.6

4.5

2012

Average duration Vestas Average duration BNEF sample*

Number of years

N/A

2013 2011

11.6

2012

10.8

+16%

7.5

2010

9.3

MW serviced per service technician

MW not under service

MW under service

74%

26%

Total installed

base +61 GW

Percentage

… driven by successful transformation of service activities

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Agenda

11

1. Introduction

2. The successful transformation of the service business

3. Capturing the full service potential

CMD Capital Markets Day,

12 June 2014

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Grow the service business by more than 30 per cent Leverage on the installed base and establish a new service organisation

12

OBJECTIVE MID-TERM AMBITIONS & INITIATIVES

• Capture service business on all new orders.

• Establish a new service organisation, with direct

report to the CEO.

• Grow revenue through new service solutions and

products.

• Efficiency from knowledge and scale.

Grow the service business by more than

30 per cent

Grow profitably in

mature &

emerging markets

1

STRATEGY

Leverage on the largest installed base in the world.

Capture full

potential of the

service business

2

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

Reduce the

Levelised

Cost of Energy

3

Improve

operational

excellence

4

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Current growth drivers in the service business Current trend in performance indicators and value drivers point in the direction of growth

13

1. Keep the existing service renewal level

2. Ensure a stable price development

3. Continue the cost-out efforts

4. Grow with the market in terms of installations

AND

AND

AND

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Capture full service sales potential Examples: Recapture share of the lost GW; and increase current renewal rate

14

Recapture opportunity (acc. Q1 2014)

GW

Renewal opportunity (acc. Q1 2014)

GW

61.2

16.2 GW

Accummulated

installed base

under service

45.0

Accummulated

installed base

45.0

11.3 GW

Accummulated

installed base

under service

33.8

Accummulated

installed base

16.2 GW ≈ EUR 340m recapture

opportunity

yearly business

value

11.3 GW ≈ EUR 34m* recapture

opportunity

yearly business

value

* With 75 per cent renewal rate and an average duration of seven years.

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Initiatives to grow the service business PowerPlusTM improves annual energy production (AEP) on existing plants

15

Service solution Customer value

Vestas value

Power Uprate

Extended Cut Out

Aerodynamic Upgrades

• Vortex Generators

a cost-effective solution

using small fins that optimise

air flow over the blades to

improve the aerodynamics.

• Modify control parameters

that allows wind turbines to

capture more wind at higher

speeds by extending the

maximum wind speed limit.

• Modify control parameters

that allows the wind turbines

to increase their maximum

power output.

• Vestas is able to increase

AEP, generally by 1.0-4.0

per cent.

• Vestas is able to increase

AEP, generally by 0.5-2.0

per cent.

• Vestas is able to increase

AEP, generally by up to

0.8 per cent.

• Vestas will share the

additional upside with the

customer through a

revenue sharing model or

an upfront payment.

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Initiatives to grow the service business Aligning full scope service offerings to match a liberalised energy market

16

• Variable input

• Variable

production 3rd party

Gas turbine

Solar

• Aligning full scope long-term

contracts to customers’

operational and commercial

model.

• Inclusion of customers’

commercial model into

availability guarantees.

• Vestas’ variable fee linked to

customers’ revenue streams.

Power plant

portfolio management

• Liberalised

energy markets

• Variable energy

prices

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Summary What have we learned

17

1

2

3

We have a large and profitable service business with an order

backlog of approx EUR 7bn.

We have a significant growth potential to be captured with

a robust commercial strategy.

We have an opportunity to improve our service delivery

model leveraging our size and creating synergies.

│ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Q&A

18 │ Capture full potential of the service business – CMD 2014

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Copyright Notice

The documents are created by Vestas Wind Systems A/S and contain copyrighted material, trademarks, and other proprietary information. All rights reserved. No part of the documents may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any

means - such as graphic, electronic, or mechanical, including photocopying, taping, or information storage and retrieval systems without the prior written permission of Vestas Wind Systems A/S. The use of these documents by you, or

anyone else authorized by you, is prohibited unless specifically permitted by Vestas Wind Systems A/S. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice from the documents. The documents are provided “as is” and

Vestas Wind Systems A/S shall not have any responsibility or liability whatsoever for the results of use of the documents by you.

Thank you for your attention