WHY CITIES NOW?

(Photo: EMBARQ Turkey)

Looking back…

Mexico City BRT

National Transport Finance

National Urban Development Policy

National Transport Policy

1st BRT

International Finance

Public Space

Green Power GHG Accounting

HOW DID WE GET HERE?

MEXICO BRAZIL INDIA CHINA TURKEY

Low-Carbon Plan

172 staff in 9 offices in 6 countries

55 Cities of active engagement

$20 million annual funding

WHAT IS OUR CURRENT CAPACITY?

36 major outcomes

WHERE ARE WE TODAY?

Mexico team (2013) India team (2012)

WRI (Wash., DC)

Brazil

Turkey China

Legend: Proposed deep engagement WRI offices WRI has active projects or has had direct impact

0!

25!

50!

75!

100!

125!

150!

175!

0!

5!

10!

15!

20!

25!

1970! 1975! 1980! 1985! 1990! 1995! 2000! 2005! 2010!

Cum

ulat

ive

Num

ber o

f Citi

es!

New

Citi

es!

!   Cities with BRT or busway systems

2010: Guangzhou!

2000: Bogotá (TransMilenio),

Colombia!

1974/1991*: Curitiba!

source: BRTdata.org, November 2013!

1972/2010*: Lima!

* Busway / BRT year commenced!

“GAME CHANGERS” – INFLUENCE AT SCALE

36 MAJOR OUTCOMES

Qingdao Low-Carbon City Plan (2012)

Mexico Urban Development Plan (2013) Chennai Rickshaws (2013)

Advice & Products

(commercial) •  Consultants •  Infrastructure

Providers

Finance •  Private Banks •  Development

Banks

Networks •  City Networks •  Associations

Research & Knowledge

•  Universities & Thinkers

•  Advisors

GLOBAL PLAYERS IN CITIES

Research & Knowledge

•  Universities & Thinkers

•  Advisors

Advice & Products

(commercial) •  Consultants •  Infrastructure

Providers

Networks •  City Networks •  Associations

Finance •  Private Banks •  Development

Banks

1.  Global and Local

2.  Independent

3.  Evidence-based tools, advice, research

OUR VALUE PROPOSITION

Looking forward…

BRT Station

Naya Raipur, India

Light § Policy, finance, research, tool dissemination

200+ cities

Targeted: §  1-2 sectors §  Focus on a best practice

30+ cities

Deep §  Mexico City, Rio,

Bangalore, 1 in China §  Multiple sectors §  Long-term

4+ cities

CITY ENGAGEMENT

From Today To 2019 Emerging •  Small portfolio of high-

impact plans & policy

Deepen •  Plans & Zoning •  City Scenarios •  National Policy

WHAT WILL CHANGE?

Proven Approach •  Game-changing pilots •  Policy, finance, research

Enhance •  Tool dissemination

One Mature Sector •  Transport

Diversify & Integrate •  Transport •  Energy •  Water •  Governance & Adaptation

Early Success •  GPC

City Watch •  GPC ++ •  AQUEDUCT •  Mobility Watch

1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT

2. SECTORS

3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS

4. SCALING UP

1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT: THE CHALLENGE

This? Or this?

Source: Atlanta Axis database, Barcelona Regional Planning Office

pop. 2.8 million 162 sq. km

Barcelona

pop. 2.5 million 4,380 sq. km

Atlanta

National Housing Finance

Master Plans

Zoning Codes

Neighborhood Plans

1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT: OUR APPROACH

Today 2041Automobility Sustainable  Transport

Population  (millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75Area  (Sq.  Km.) 1330 6484 3242Emissions(million  Tons  CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97Traffic  Fatalities  (per  yr) 175 5,232 1,225

1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT – EX. 1: SCENARIO TOOL

Ahmedabad, India: 1 city, 2 futures Today Year 2041

Sprawl Compact Population (M) 5.4 13.2

Area (sq. km) 1,330 6,484 3,242

CO2 (Mt/yr.) 0.3 12.3 2.0

Fatalities (per yr.) 175 5,232 1,225

Infrastructure ($bn 2014-2030)

20 7

vs.

1. URBAN DEVELOPMENT – EX. 2: COMPACT URBAN GROWTH

Bangalore, India

(Photo: EMBARQ Mexico)

2. SECTORS

DO  Transport   Integrated  Transport  

Transport  Demand  Management  Mobility  Plans  &  Policy  

Climate  &  Energy  

GHG  Accoun?ng  

Low  Carbon  Planning  Distributed  Clean  Energy  

Water   Water  Risk  Management  Water-­‐Energy  Policy  Natural  Infrastructure  

2. SECTORS – EX. 1: AIR POLLUTION & ENERGY

(Photo: Reuters)

Beijing, China

MOU signature Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport

0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7

1.5

2.5 2.8 2.8 2.9

3.1 3.1 3.3 3.4

3.6

4.0 4.0 4.2

4.8

Many cities in China are withdrawing water at unsustainable rates

Ratio of total local water withdrawal over renewable freshwater supply When the ratio is greater than 1, it means that the city withdraws more water than it’s naturally given supply

2. SECTORS – EX. 2: WATER USAGE

unsustainable

1

2. SECTORS – EX. 2: WATER USAGE

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metro area, China

October 2011 Launched the GHGP City Project

Year 2 (2013): 60+ cities use the GPC to measure emissions

Year One (2012) Launched the GPC Pilot Version 1.0

Achieved landmark international consensus on city GHG measurement

200+ cities adopt the GPC

Year 3 (2014): Publish the GPC Final Version Convene 100 cities to adopt the GPC

Year 8 (2019): 3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS: GPC

3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS: AQUEDUCT

Year 8 (2019): 3. DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS: URBAN MOBILITY WATCH

Example: Accessibility to…

Education Health Leisure

in meters Mexico City

International Finance Research, Tools, & Convening

National Policy

4. SCALING UP

WHAT WILL CHANGE?

From Today

To 2019

Institutional Setup City Unit + EMBARQ Center for Sustainable Cities (Integrated Program)

Staff 172

280

Annual Funding $20 million

$33 million

Key Performance Indicators

5 KPIs Expanding

WHAT WILL CHANGE: INSTITUTIONAL SET-UP

Center for Sustainable Cities

Urban Water

EMBARQ – Transport – Urban Dev’t

Urban Energy

– Economics – Adaptation – Governance

Other WRI programs Cross-Cut Themes

NYC Liaison Office

WHAT WILL CHANGE: STAFF

Focus Area   Today  

2019 Estimate  

Urban Development   41   90  

Transport   90   105  

Energy & Climate   30   40  

Water   6   30  

Governance & Adaptation   5   15  

Total   172 *   280 *  

* 80% located in-country

WHAT WILL CHANGE: FUNDING (2003-2019)

WHAT WILL CHANGE: BUILDING AND EXPANDING KPIs

Key Performance Indicators

People served Investment leveraged Travel time saved

$

Lives saved CO2 avoided Water-stress reduced NEW

280 staff In 9 offices in 6 countries

200 cities Influenced

30+ targeted | 4+ deep

$33 million Annual funding

2019 CAPACITY

35 Major new outcomes

QUESTIONS FOR WRI BOARD

Have we made a persuasive case for establishing the Center and expanding our work on cities? • Is the scope of our strategy and areas of core competencies sufficiently focused? • Have we articulated a clear and distinctive value proposition for WRI’s role in the field of sustainable cities?

• Do we have a clear and logical theory for scaling our impact?

• Have we developed a robust approach for defining performance metrics and measuring our results?