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Clark R. Chapman Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Session: “Planetary Science: Small Bodies, Collisions, Session: “Planetary Science: Small Bodies, Collisions, and Satellites I” and Satellites I” International Workshop on Paolo Farinella International Workshop on Paolo Farinella (1953-2000): The Scientist and the Man (1953-2000): The Scientist and the Man 11:50, 15 June 2010 11:50, 15 June 2010 University of Pisa, Italy University of Pisa, Italy Puzzling Attributes of Puzzling Attributes of Small Small Asteroids Asteroids Pat Rawlings, SAIC

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Page 1: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Clark R. ChapmanClark R. ChapmanSouthwest Research InstituteSouthwest Research Institute

Boulder, Colorado, USABoulder, Colorado, USA

Clark R. ChapmanClark R. ChapmanSouthwest Research InstituteSouthwest Research Institute

Boulder, Colorado, USABoulder, Colorado, USA

Session: “Planetary Science: Small Bodies, Session: “Planetary Science: Small Bodies, Collisions, and Satellites I”Collisions, and Satellites I”

International Workshop on Paolo Farinella International Workshop on Paolo Farinella (1953-2000): The Scientist and the Man(1953-2000): The Scientist and the Man

11:50, 15 June 201011:50, 15 June 2010University of Pisa, ItalyUniversity of Pisa, Italy

Session: “Planetary Science: Small Bodies, Session: “Planetary Science: Small Bodies, Collisions, and Satellites I”Collisions, and Satellites I”

International Workshop on Paolo Farinella International Workshop on Paolo Farinella (1953-2000): The Scientist and the Man(1953-2000): The Scientist and the Man

11:50, 15 June 201011:50, 15 June 2010University of Pisa, ItalyUniversity of Pisa, Italy

Puzzling Attributes of Puzzling Attributes of Small AsteroidsSmall Asteroids

Pat Rawlings, SAICPat Rawlings, SAIC

Page 2: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Paolo Attacked Puzzles…

Double asteroids don’t match double craters

Space weathering is very fast, yet very slow

2008 TC3 was a 3 meter jumble of meteorite types

NEAs in microgravity

I’ll Discuss a Few More:I’ll Discuss a Few More:

Page 3: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Doublet Craters: History of Topic

“Martian doublet craters,” V.R. Oberbeck & M. Aoyagi, J. Geophys. Res., 77, 2419 - 2432 (1972).

1978: Woronow inconclusively debated Oberbeck about whether spatial randomness was correctly modeled. Conclusion back then: Mars may or may not have an over-abundance of paired craters.

Topic resurrected in 1991 by Melosh & Stansberry who argued that 3 doublets on Earth must have been formed by impact of binary asteroids (this was before any asteroid satellites had been discovered).

Farinella & Chauvineau (1993): slow synchronized spinning binaries would be at correct separation for doublet craters; binaries might later separate or, more likely, coalesce into contact-binary configuration (common in radar delay-Doppler images of NEAs).

In 1990s, Melosh, Bottke, Cook, et al. re-examined Martian doublets and extended the analysis of doublets to Venus.

Dactyl was discovered and the tidally disrupted SL-9 comet impacted Jupiter, so doublet/multiple craters were analyzed in that context.

Page 4: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Methods of Forming Doublets

Random impacts (unavoidable) Very oblique impacts, ricochet

(Messier, Messier A) Endogenic crater formation

(volcanoes, collapse pits, etc.) Atmospheric break-up, explosion

(Henbury) Tidal break-up (Shoemaker-Levy 9) Spatially clustered secondaries Impact of binary asteroid or comet

Page 5: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

How to Recognize Doublets The certain way

Adjacent craters with same measured ages (Earth only)

Overlapping craters with shared walls (septum)

The very likely way Adjacent craters with similar

relative ages Other unusual similarities

indicating, e.g., same oblique impact angle

The statistical approach Find a greater abundance of

doublets than predicted by chance (doesn’t say which ones are the true doublets, unless the characteristics are very unusual)

Page 6: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Observed Frequencies of Doublets on Several Planets

Earth 3 pairs among 28 craters > 20 km diameter; statistically

significant because of very sparse crater densities on Earth and same ages

Mars Melosh et al. (1996) studied 133 craters on northern

plains, 5-100 km diam., and found 3 likely pairs with separations exceeding random expectations 2.3% doublets, less than on Earth and Venus

Venus Cook, Melosh & Bottke (2003) found 2.2% of 10 toto 150

km diameter craters were doublets, but that “splotches” (due to smaller impactors unable to penetrate the Venus atmosphere) imply ~14% doublets on Venus

Moon, Mercury, planetary satellites I’ve found no definitive studies But doublets exist (Moon; Mercury )

Page 7: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

NEA Binaries are too Close to Make Doublets

Separation can be larger for oblique impacts

Separation of craters can be zero if pair are un-favorably aligned, even if widely separated

Tidal forces can affect separation

Main Issue:Main Issue:

Impacting NEAs form craters 10 – 20 Impacting NEAs form craters 10 – 20 times their own diameter. Most NEA times their own diameter. Most NEA pairs are so close that, even with pairs are so close that, even with favorable geometry, they form a favorable geometry, they form a single crater. How can there be so single crater. How can there be so many doublet craters?many doublet craters?

Perihelion (AU)

Walsh (2009)

Plot shows that typical Plot shows that typical separation of satellites and separation of satellites and binaries is about 4 times the binaries is about 4 times the radius of the primary.radius of the primary.

Only 1 out of the sample of 35 Only 1 out of the sample of 35 is separated widely enough is separated widely enough (~15 times primary radius) to (~15 times primary radius) to produce a double crater.produce a double crater.

~15% of NEAs have satellites ~15% of NEAs have satellites or are binaries so <0.5% of or are binaries so <0.5% of craters made by NEAs should craters made by NEAs should be visibly double.be visibly double.

Page 8: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Space Weathering is Fast… Or is it? (It is a Puzzle!)

“Space weathering” is the process that transforms the spectral reflectance (colors and albedo) of the surface of an airless body by reddening and/or darkening it (mainly by solar wind; also micrometeorite impacts).

Vernazza et al. (2009) study dynamically very young family asteroids and find that most space weathering color changes occur in ~1 million yrs.

Following a suggestion of Nesvorny et al. (2005), Binzel et al. (2010) find that frequent, distant tidal encounters with Earth by NEAs produce color changes (tidal rejuvenation of surfaces?). Few NEAs (or MBAs) are Q’s. [Can YORP spin-up help?]

Yet bright crater rays persist for 100s of m.y. Rays from Tycho crater on the Moon (~100 m.y.

old) dominate the full Moon Copernicus rays are still prominent after 800 m.y.

Mercury is periodically bombarded by solar wind, yet rays from large, infrequent craters are vivid.

Walsh et al. (2008)Walsh et al. (2008)

Binzel et al. (2010)

Page 9: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

2008 TC3: Linking an Asteroid to a Bolide to a Meteorite!

2008 TC3 was the 1st NEA ever discovered (Catalina Sky Survey, 7 Oct. 2008) that was then predicted, for sure, to impact Earth. Telescopic observations were made before impact: lightcurve, reflectance spectrum.

19 h after discovery, impact occurred and was recorded over Sudan; ~700 paired meteorites (named Almahata Sitta) have been collected so far.

This first-ever event was not a fluke: we must expect future (maybe annual) predictions of meteorite strikes, from existing and proposed modest telescopes, without waiting for “next generation” surveys.

But this meteorite is S T R A N G E !

Almahata Sitta fragment on the ground in Sudan (P. Jenniskens)

TC3 atmospheric train (M. Mahir)

TC3 asteroid moving (W. Boschin, TNG)

Catalina Sky Survey

TC3 Reflectance Spectrum: Wm. Herschel Telescope (Fitzsimmons, Hsieh, Duddy & Ramsay)

TC3 Lightcurve (Clay Center Observatory)

Page 10: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

TC3 = Almahata Sitta = a Jumble!

Paolo and others have shown how small asteroids and meteorites are produced by collisional disruption of their “parent bodies,” drift into resonances by Yarkovsky, pumped-up e’s then deliver them to Earth.

Almahata Sitta was first thought to be an unusual ureilite. But the 3-meter wide F-type asteroid is only 2/3rd ureilite; 1/3rd consists

of 5 different E chondrite lithologies, 2 H chondrites, and anomalous achondrites (e.g. Bischoff, Horstmann, et al. “LPSC 41” & “Meteoroids 2010” ).

How did this conglomerate breccia come together in the asteroid belt? What would the spectrum of its parent asteroid look like? What held it together (spinning once every 97 sec!) on its way to Earth?

Other processes, not yet understood, must be at work!

Page 11: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Non-Intuitive Processes on Small Asteroids that May Yield Meteorites

Classical/cartoon model: chips from solid rocky asteroids.

1990s model: meteoroids dislodged by cratering events and catastrophic disruptions on “rubble pile” asteroids, drift by Yarkovsky Effect into orbital resonances, and are thereby converted into Earth-crossing orbits.

Very recent alternative (or additional) modes: landslides and equatorial escape after spin-up of “rubble pile” near-Earth asteroids by YORP… or distortion/disruption by planetary tides

Scheeres et al. (2010) propose that NEAs behave in microgravity with the non-intuitive physics that governs microscopic dust aggregates

Page 12: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Once Upon a Time: Collisions Ruled…Now it’s mainly Sunlight and Tides

Interasteroidal collisions (both catastrophic disruptions and frequent, small cratering events) were invoked to explain everything that happened to asteroids after early accretion and thermal processing: size distribution, spin rates and axis tilts, liberation and delivery of smaller asteroids and meteorite fragments into resonances, asteroid satellite formation, regolith properties, etc.

Yarkovsky Effect (reintroduced for 3rd time in the 20th century by D. Rubincam in 1980s) shown by Farinella, Vokrouhlicky, Bottke and others to cause meteoroids from anywhere in inner half of main asteroid belt to drift into resonances, which deliver them to Earth.

YORP Effect (resurrected from mid-20th century by D. Rubincam in 1998) shown to be the major process shaping the axial tilts and spin rates of smaller asteroids. [Radzievskii 1954: “A mechanism for the disintegration of asteroids and meteorites.”]

These two Yarkovsky Effects may dominate the These two Yarkovsky Effects may dominate the physical and dynamical behavior of smaller asteroids.physical and dynamical behavior of smaller asteroids.

Tidal Mass-Tidal Mass-SheddingShedding

Following a sug-Following a sug-gestion by Nes-gestion by Nes-vorny vorny et alet al., Bin-., Bin-zel zel et alet al. (2010) . (2010) show that tidal show that tidal encounters with encounters with Earth (perhaps Earth (perhaps even very distant even very distant ones) “freshen” ones) “freshen” the colors of the the colors of the space-weathered space-weathered surfaces of NEAs.surfaces of NEAs.

Page 13: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

YORP Spin-Up, Binary Formation, and Mass Shedding…and Tides…

Arecibo radar data on NEA 66391 (1999 KW4; Ostro et al.), and analyses/modeling by Scheeres, Fahnestock, Walsh, Michel, Richardson, et al. open a new paradigm for the evolution of small rubble piles:

Asymmetric solar radiation spins some of them up, so mass moves to zero-G equatorial ridge, shedding mass, forming satellite/s, escape or reimpact of satellites, and escape of meteoroids into interplanetary space.

~1/3 of NEAs are binaries, or have satellites or contact-binary shapes, implying a common evolutionary track. An NEA may undergo generations of satellite formation during its dynamical life in the inner solar system.

No modeling has yet been done on meteoroid production rates, but this could be a major source of meteorites. CRE ages may reflect such surficial landslide processes rather than impact-churned regolith processes.

K. Walsh, P. Michel & D. Richardson (2008)K. Walsh, P. Michel & D. Richardson (2008)

Ostro et al. (2006)Ostro et al. (2006)Gravitational slope on KW4-α

How do Small How do Small Asteroids Behave Asteroids Behave in Microgravity?in Microgravity?

What happened What happened to Itokawa’s to Itokawa’s dust? What are dust? What are porosities of porosities of NEA’s? Are we NEA’s? Are we entering a entering a microscopic microscopic world writ large? world writ large? Expect surprise! Expect surprise!

Page 14: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Conclusions…

Intuition from our one-Earth-gravity environment fails us for small solar system bodies

They evolve in their physical traits very quickly…faster than we can understand

We’ve known that we have asteroid pieces (the meteorites) for more than 2 centuries, yet we still don’t understand asteroidal parent bodies

These are the kinds of puzzles Paolo would still be researching, were he still with us.

Page 15: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Extra slides

Page 16: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Example: Rosetta and (21) Lutetia

Rosetta flies by 100 km Lutetia in July Arguments abound about meteorite

analog/s for this M(W)-type asteroid “M” is mnemonic for “metal” but

Rivkin (2000) showed that a subset of M’s have a 3μm hydration band (‘Wet’)

Also, I suggested (1970s) that M-like spectra might be enstatite chondrites

But Lutetia was selected as flyby target because of arguments that it may be a carbonaceous chondrite

Relevant data include polarization, visible and radar albedos, thermal IR emission spectra, UV/visible/near-IR reflectance spectra, mass+shape → bulk density

Truth table → “wet” enstatite chondrite Rosetta may yield ambiguous results:

We need a TC3-like-event for an M(W)!

Barucci et al. (2005)

Vernazza et al. (2009)

Lutetia/meteorite spectral comparisonsLutetia/meteorite spectral comparisons

Page 17: Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado, USA Boulder, Colorado, USA Clark R. Chapman Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Colorado,

Short-Term Warnings: Spaceguard Survey does Better than We Thought!

Was it a miracle that telescopes saw what was plausibly the largest NEA to impact Earth in 2008? No! Capability to see “final plungers” was overlooked.

Analyses in the 1990s of the “Spaceguard Survey” only considered cataloging of near-Earth asteroids (NEAs); short-term warning was evaluated only for rare comets.

Thus it was thought that there was only a tiny chance that a dangerous inbound 30-m NEA would be seen, let alone a 3-m “TC3”.

Short-term hazard warning was evaluated (NASA SDT 2003) for the “next generation” surveys, but not for small NEAs and meteorite recovery.

“Consider a 30–40-m office-building-sized object striking at 100 times the speed of a jetliner…. Even with the proposed augmented Spaceguard Survey, it is unlikely that such a small object would be discovered in advance; impact would occur without warning.” – C. Chapman, EPSL (2004).

““a short lead time for an NEO is extremely unlikely – a short lead time for an NEO is extremely unlikely – we can expect either decades of warning or none at we can expect either decades of warning or none at all”all” – Morrison, Harris, Sommer, Chapman & Carusi (“Asteroids III” 2002)