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    58907 CJBXXX10.1177/0093854812458907CRIMIDBEHAVIORBarnes/ ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENTOFFENDING

    ANALYZING THE ORIGINS OF

    LIFE-COURSE-PERSISTENT OFFENDING

    A Consideration of

    Environmental and Genetic Influences

    J. C. BARNESUniversity of Texas at Dallas

    Moffitt’s developmental taxonomy has sparked much attention among criminologists interested in explaining the etiology oflife-course-persistent (LCP) offending. The taxonomy suggests that genetic factors influence LCP offending, that genetic risk

    factors will be mediated by neuropsychological deficits, and that genetic factors interact with environmental factors to influ-

    ence LCP offending. Various behavior genetic methodologies were used to estimate the genetic influence on LCP offending,

    to determine whether these genetic factors were mediated by the presence of neuropsychological deficits, and to control for

    genetic factors while simultaneously estimating the impact of numerous environmental influences. The findings suggested

    that genetic factors influence persistent offending and that these influences are partially mediated by levels of self-control.

     No parental influences predicted persistent offending after controlling for genetic effects, no Gene × Environment interac-

    tions were found, and few environmental influences operated as a nonshared environmental predictor of persistent offending.

     Keywords:  Moffitt taxonomy; genes; Gene Environment interaction; nonshared environment; biosocial criminology

    Criminologists have long noted that the best predictor of future criminality is pastcriminality (Nagin & Paternoster, 2000; Robins, 1978). This finding has sparkedmyriad lines of research into the developmental origins of offending behaviors, the life

    course trajectories of offending behaviors, and the correlates of long-term offending

    (DeLisi & Piquero, 2011). One of the most consistent findings to emerge from this research

    is that a small portion of the population is far more likely to be involved in criminal behav-

    ior beginning in adolescence and continuing into adulthood (Moffitt, 2006). This group is

    commonly referred to as life-course-persistent offenders (LCP; Moffitt, 1993).

    LCP offenders (or LCPs) are grossly overrepresented in crime statistics (DeLisi, 2005).

    Scholars argue that roughly 10% of the general population are LCP offenders (Moffitt,1993), but their criminal behavior is believed to account for more than 50% of all crimes

    AUTHOR’S NOTE: This research uses data from Add Health, a program project directed by Kathleen Mullan

     Harris and designed by J. Richard Udry, Peter S. Bearman, and Kathleen Mullan Harris at the University of North

    Carolina at Chapel Hill and funded by Grant P01-HD31921 from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute

    of Child Health and Human Development, with cooperative funding from 23 other federal agencies and founda-

    tions. Special acknowledgment is due Ronald R. Rindfuss and Barbara Entwisle for assistance in the original

    design. Information on how to obtain the Add Health data files is available on the Add Health website: http://www.

    cpc.unc.edu/addhealth. No direct support was received from Grant P01-HD31921 for this analysis. Correspondence

    concerning this article may be addressed to J. C. Barnes, University of Texas at Dallas, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, 800 West Campbell Rd., Richardson, TX 75080; e-mail: [email protected]

    CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR, Vol. 40, No. 5, May 2013, 519-540.

    DOI: 10.1177/0093854812458907

    © 2012 International Association for Correctional and Forensic Psychology

    519

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    520 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    (Piquero, 2011). Not only are LCP offenders more involved in crime than other members

    of the population, but they also tend to commit interpersonal violent crimes at a higher rate

    (Moffitt, 2006; Moffitt, Caspi, Harrington, & Milne, 2002). When one ties all of this together,

    it is easy to see why criminologists have devoted much attention to these offenders (DeLisi &

    Piquero, 2011).

    Though researchers have explored many aspects of LCP offending, one of the more

     pressing questions that has yet to be fully addressed is, “What causes persistent offending?”

    A number of theories have been proffered, and the potential explanations include familial

    or parental influences (Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990), progression and state dependence

    effects (Loeber, 1996; Sampson & Laub, 1993), and the presence of neuropsychological

    deficits (Moffitt, 1990). Although each of the extant theories offers a unique perspective on

    the etiology of persistent offending, one of the most prominent explanations comes from

    Moffitt’s (1993) developmental taxonomy.

    The following sections will provide an overview of Moffitt’s (1993) theory, with par-ticular emphasis on her hypotheses concerning the etiology of LCP offending. Next, an

    analysis will be presented using a probability sample from the United States. The analysis

    will test different hypotheses laid out in the taxonomy. Finally, the results of the analysis

    are discussed in terms of their importance for theoretical advancement.

    MOFFITT’S DEVELOPMENTAL TAXONOMY

    In 1993, Moffitt set forth a theory of criminality that has drawn attention from scholars

    around the world (Bartusch, Lynam, Moffitt, & Silva, 1997; DeLisi & Piquero, 2011). At

    the most basic level, Moffitt hypothesized that aggregate crime statistics, such as the age-

    crime curve, masked important variation in offending patterns. Her main thesis was that

    two types of offenders are identifiable in the population: adolescence-limited (AL) offend-

    ers and LCP offenders. The AL category encompasses the vast majority of offenders.

    Indeed, Moffitt argued that roughly 90% of the offending population are AL offenders (or

    ALs). Although this group is large in number, the group’s offending is age patterned and

    consists of minor deviant and delinquent acts. Perhaps most importantly, AL offenders

    cease their involvement in criminal activity promptly after entering early adulthood

    (around age 20).Research generally supports the existence of an AL offender group (Moffitt, 2006), but

    some studies have painted a more complicated picture suggesting that other groups exist

    (Eggleston & Laub, 2002; Laub & Sampson, 2003; Skardhamar, 2009). Regardless, the

    criminological literature has produced mounds of studies finding that for most individuals,

    youthful delinquency peaks in adolescence and returns to preadolescent levels quickly dur-

    ing early adulthood (Wright, Tibbetts, & Daigle, 2008). Also, AL offenders are less likely

    to be involved in violent and aggressive crime (Piquero & Brezina, 2001) and appear to be

    influenced by a combination of social and biological influences referred to as the maturity

     gap (Barnes & Beaver, 2010).

    Although AL offenders represent an important and large piece of the criminal careers

     puzzle (DeLisi & Piquero, 2011), the vast majority of research into Moffitt’s (1993) theory

    has centered on the LCP offender group (Moffitt, 2006). LCP offending is said to originate

    early in the life course, within the first few years of life (Farrington, 1998). During early

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 521

    childhood, LCP offenders will develop difficult temperaments (Moffitt, 1990), will display

    aggressive and violent behavior (Tremblay et al., 1999), and will display a limited ability

    to regulate their attention and behavior (Gottfredson & Hirschi, 1990; Moffitt & Caspi,

    2001). In early adolescence, these individuals will begin their foray into deviant and

    criminal activity. LCPs will initiate themselves into drug use, sexual activity, and interper-

    sonal crime at a much earlier age than their AL counterparts (Moffitt et al., 2002; Odgers

    et al., 2007). During late adolescence and early adulthood, around the time AL offenders

    are desisting from crime, LCPs will maintain their frequent involvement in criminal activ-

    ity and may progress to more serious criminal activity (Loeber, 1996). Although conflicting

    interpretations of the theory abound (Laub & Sampson, 2003), Moffitt (1993) argued that

    LCP offenders are unlikely to completely cease their involvement in antisocial behavior,

    although their crime involvement may wane with old age (Moffitt, 2006). LCP offenders

    have drawn much attention from criminologists and with good reason, given their height-

    ened frequency of offending and their overinvolvement in serious and violent activity(Raine, Brennan, & Mednick, 1994).

    ETIOLOGY OF LCP OFFENDING

    The etiology of LCP offending has roots in two factors: genetic-biological influences

    and early-rearing environment influences (Moffitt, 1993). Stated succinctly, LCP offenders

    are born with neuropsychological deficits that increase the risk that antisocial behavior will

    develop (see, generally, Hirschi & Hindelang, 1977; Ogilvie, Stewart, Chan, & Shum,

    2011; Utendale, Hubert, Saint-Pierre, & Hastings, 2011). At the same time, LCPs are born

    into adverse rearing environments that are unable to respond to their behavior in a prosocialmanner (Moffitt & Caspi, 2001). The confluence of these two factors (i.e., neuropsycho-

    logical deficits and adverse home environment) works to increase the chances that an LCP

    offending pattern will develop beginning in early childhood.

    A large literature has examined Moffitt’s (1993) hypotheses concerning the origins of

    LCP offending. In broad strokes, research has revealed that LCP offenders are more likely

    to suffer from neuropsychological deficits (Piquero, 2001; Raine et al., 2005), to be born

    to at-risk parents (Tibbetts & Piquero, 1999), and to suffer from a combination of neuro-

    cognitive impairments and environmental risk factors (Raine et al., 1994; Turner, Hartman,

    & Bishop, 2007). Raine et al. (1994) reported that fewer than 5% of their sample suffered

    from both birth complications and early maternal rejection. Nonetheless, these individuals

    accounted for roughly 20% of all violent offenses. Tibbetts and Piquero (1999) reported

    that low birth weight (a proxy for neuropsychological deficits) interacted with familial

    socioeconomic status (SES) and with a measure of family structure in predicting an early

    onset of offending. In line with the theory, both interactions revealed that the impact of

    neuropsychological deficits (i.e., low birth weight) on offending were greater in the pres-

    ence of an adverse rearing environment (i.e., low SES or weak family structure).

    In a similar analysis, Gibson, Piquero, and Tibbetts (2000) assessed whether children

     born to mothers who smoked while pregnant (a proxy for neuropsychological deficits; but

    see McGloin, Pratt, & Piquero, 2006) were more likely to display an early onset of delin-quency. Their regression models revealed that maternal smoking predicted early onset, as

    did low birth weight and SES. Raine et al. (2005) analyzed a group of adolescents who

    were on the LCP pathway for a range of neuropsychological deficits. These authors

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    522 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    reported that LCP offenders had lower IQ scores than ALs and controls, they had greater

    memory impairments as compared to control participants, they had neurocognitive impair-

    ments, and they were more likely to have suffered head injuries that resulted in uncon-

    sciousness. In all, these studies have revealed strong support for the neuropsychological

    element of LCP offending. Also, many have supported the interactional hypothesis between

    neuropsychological deficits and an adverse rearing environment (e.g., Raine et al., 1994).

    GENETIC INFLUENCES ON LCP OFFENDING

    Although an impressive literature has analyzed the impact of neuropsychological defi-

    cits on LCP offending (DeLisi & Piquero, 2011; Gibson et al., 2000; Raine et al., 2005),

    few have traced these effects to genetic factors. This oversight is surprising given that

    neuropsychological deficits are likely the result of environmental and  genetic influences

    (Beaver, Wright, & DeLisi, 2007; Raine, 2008). Brain structure and function appear to be

    regulated largely via genetic factors (Devlin, Daniels, & Roeder, 1997; Thompson et al.,

    2001; Toga & Thompson, 2005), although some environmental influences are believed to

    impinge directly on neurocognitive functioning (Wright, Boisvert, & Vaske, 2009; Wright,

    Dietrich, et al., 2008). Recall that one of the hallmarks of LCP offending is an early onset

    of antisocial behavior. Researchers have investigated the genetic influences on early child-

    hood antisocial behavior, and the results have been surprisingly consistent; childhood

    antisocial behavior is, at least partially, the result of heritable factors (Arseneault et al.,

    2003; Jaffee et al., 2005; van Beijsterveldt, Bartels, Hudziak, & Boomsma, 2003; Van

    Hulle et al., 2009). Taylor, Iacono, and McGue (2000), for example, reported that genetic

    factors were more prominent for youth who displayed an early onset into delinquency ascompared to those who had a late onset. These findings hint that LCP offending may be

     partially driven by genetic influences.

    Perhaps the clearest indication that genetic factors underlie LCP offending comes from

    a recent analysis by Barnes, Beaver, and Boutwell (2011). Drawing on data from the

     National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health; K. Harris, 2009), Barnes

    et al. first separated the sibling subsample into three groups: LCPs, ALs, and abstainers.

     Next, the authors estimated the genetic influences on each offending pattern. The findings

    from this portion of the analysis revealed that the LCP pattern was between 56% and 70%

    heritable, with the remaining variance being attributable to nonshared environmental fac-

    tors. In other words, genetic influences accounted for more than half of the variance in

     being identified as an LCP offender. Nonshared environmental influences—environmental

    experiences that are unique to each individual—accounted for the remaining variance.

    THE CURRENT STUDY

    Juxtaposing the findings from behavioral genetic research (e.g., Taylor et al., 2000) with

    Moffitt’s (1993) theory raises several interesting and important questions. First, if genetic

    factors underlie LCP offending, how do these effects operate? As noted above, any genetic

    influence on LCP offending is almost certainly mediated by the brain and is likely tied toMoffitt’s arguments regarding neuropsychological dysfunction. Put another way, genetic

    factors identified by previous studies may indirectly affect LCP offending via their impact

    on neuropsychological deficits (Wright, Tibbetts, et al., 2008). See Figure 1 for a graphical

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 523

    depiction of the hypothesized relationship. Notice that the figure includes three latent

    terms: genetic factors, neuropsychological deficits, and LCP offending. Genetic factors are

    hypothesized to affect neuropsychological deficits, which in turn influence LCP offending.

    When this relationship is taken into account, the link between genetic factors and LCPoffending is substantially weakened or is reduced to zero. Thus, the arrow connecting

    genetic factors directly to LCP offending is displayed as a broken line. The current study

    will analyze these relationships.

    The second question that emerges from contemporary research concerns the nonshared

    environmental factors that influence LCP offending. The nonshared environment has been

    shown to affect LCP-like offending (Barnes et al., 2011; Taylor et al., 2000) and is believed

    to account for the majority of environmental influences on antisocial behavior generally

    (Moffitt, 2005). Although scholars agree that the nonshared environment is of utmost

    importance (J. Harris, 1998), it is not yet clear what   these environments are (Plomin,

    Asbury, & Dunn, 2001). Nonshared environments are defined as any factor (other than

    genetics) that is different between two siblings and operates to make them less similar to

    one another (Plomin & Daniels, 1987). Although defining nonshared environments was

    simple, the empirical search for them has been substantially more difficult (Plomin et al.,

    2001; Turkheimer & Waldron, 2000).

    Moffitt (1993) hypothesized that LCP offending would arise as the result of neuropsy-

    chological deficits and an adverse rearing environment. Adverse rearing environments may

    tap anything from poor parenting to being raised in a disadvantaged neighborhood (e.g.,

    Tibbetts & Piquero, 1999). The current study will examine whether a host of parental influ-

    ences operates as nonshared environmental influences on LCP offending. Although theseconstructs may be viewed as shared environmental factors (i.e., they, theoretically at least,

    should lead siblings to be more similar to one another), scholars have argued for the inves-

    tigation of whether ostensibly shared environmental factors actually operate as nonshared

    influences. This may occur for several reasons, not least of which is that two people who

    experience the same event (e.g., parental discipline) may have nonshared interpretations of

    that event, leading to a nonshared environmental effect (Turkheimer & Waldron, 2000).

    Parental influences are one of the cornerstones of criminological research (e.g., Hirschi,

    1969). The effect that parenting has on LCP offending, however, has yet to be analyzed

    after controlling for genetic influences. This is an important oversight because as prior

    scholars have noted (Beaver, 2008; DiLalla, 2002; Jaffee & Price, 2007; Kendler & Baker,

    2007; Plomin & Bergeman, 1991; Walsh, 2002; Wright & Beaver, 2005), environmental

    influences cannot be analyzed properly unless genetic factors are accounted for first. The

    Figure 1: Graphical Depiction of the Hypothesized Relationship Between Genetic Factors, Neuro-psychological Deficits, and Life Course–Persistent Offending

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    524 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    current study will estimate the effect of various parental factors (all of which have been

    linked with offending behaviors by prior research) on the probability of being an LCP

    offender. These effects will be observed after controlling for genetic factors that influence

    LCP offending.

    In summary, four hypotheses drawn either directly from Moffitt’s (1993) theory or by

    combining current research findings with Moffitt’s theory are analyzed in the current study.

     Hypothesis 1: The effect of genetic risk factors on LCP offending will be mediated by the pres-ence of neuropsychological deficits.

     Hypothesis 2: Parental influences, even after accounting for genetic risk, will predict LCPoffending.

     Hypothesis 3: Genetic risk factors for LCP offending will interact with parental and neighbor-hood influences such that the presence of poor parenting or the presence of a disadvantagedneighborhood will exacerbate genetic risk.

     Hypothesis 4:  Measures of neuropsychological deficits and parental influences will operate as

    nonshared environmental factors on LCP offending risk.

    To date, no research has directly examined any of the above hypotheses.

    METHOD

    DATA

    Data for the current study come from Add Health (K. Harris, 2009). As a longitudinal

    and nationally representative sample of adolescents, the Add Health is an ideal data set forthe current focus. The Add Health study unfolded in a number of steps, beginning with a

    survey of more than 90,000 students who were attending 132 different schools in 1995.

    This round of data collection is referred to as the in-school survey and provided the sam-

     pling frame from which the longitudinal portion of the study was drawn.

    Immediately after the in-school surveys were completed, a subsample of the students

    who completed the questionnaire were contacted and asked to complete a follow-up inter-

    view, along with their primary caregiver, in their homes. Information from 20,745 adoles-

    cents and 17,700 primary caregivers was gathered during this round of data collection. This

    round of surveys is referred to as Wave 1. The Wave 1 surveys were designed to gain moredetailed information about the adolescent, his or her social experiences, and his or her rear-

    ing environment. Approximately 1 year after the Wave 1 interviews were completed,

    14,738 of the respondents were again interviewed in their homes. This round of surveys is

    known as Wave 2. Only a short amount of time elapsed between Wave 1 and Wave 2, and

    as a result, the questionnaires remained very similar. For instance, respondents were asked

    about their behaviors and their ability to get along with others.

     Nearly 6 years after Wave 1 interviews were conducted (and roughly 5 years after Wave 2),

    a third round of interviews took place with 15,197 respondents (i.e., Wave 3 in-home inter-

    views). By this time, the respondents had reached early adulthood. To account for these age

    differences, the survey was redesigned to include age-appropriate questions. For example,respondents were asked about their employment histories, their marital relationships, and

    their involvement in criminal behavior. Finally, a fourth round of interviews was completed

     between 2007 and 2008. Roughly 12 years had passed since Wave 1 interviews were

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 525

    conducted, and all of the respondents had reached adulthood. The age range at Wave 4 was

    24 to 34 years. Similar to Wave 3, participants were asked questions that tapped their

    employment histories, romantic relationships, and involvement in criminal behavior. Wave

    4 surveys were completed by 15,701 participants.

     Nested within the Add Health data is a subsample of sibling pairs who resided in the

    same household at Wave 1. This subsample of sibling pairs is used in the current analysis.

    During Wave 1 in-home interviews, all respondents who lived with an identical twin

    (monozygotic [MZ]), a fraternal twin (dizygotic [DZ]), a half sibling, or a stepsibling were

    identified, and their sibling was automatically included in the study. Additionally, full sib-

    lings were included in the sample, but these pairs entered the subsample as a result of

    chance. The current study was limited to MZ twins, DZ twins, and full siblings. All other

    sibling pairs were removed from the sample to limit the possibility that assortative mating

    effects would artificially bias heritability estimates.

    MEASURES

     Persistent offending. LCP offenders were identified by following two steps. First, a scale

    of each respondent’s involvement in crime and delinquency at Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 3,

    and Wave 4 was generated. Participants were asked about their involvement in 17 different

    delinquent activities at Wave 1 and Wave 2 (questions were identical at both waves).

    During both waves, the reference period for each of the delinquency questions was “during

    the past 12 months.” The Wave 1 scale was created by summing each respondent’s answers

    to the 17 questions so that higher values reflected a greater involvement in delinquency

    (α = .85). These same questions were asked at Wave 2, allowing for the calculation of aWave 2 delinquency scale by summing across the 17 items (α = .81). During Wave 3 inter-

    views, respondents were asked about the frequency with which they had engaged in 12

    criminal behaviors in the past 12 months. As with the previous scales, each respondent’s

    answers to the 12 questions were summed together to create the Wave 3 criminal behavior

    scale so that higher values indicated a greater involvement in crime (α = .71). Twelve ques-

    tions were asked about the respondent’s involvement in criminal activities during Wave 4

    interviews. When summed together, higher scores reflected more involvement in criminal

    activity at Wave 4 (α = .71).

    The second step toward identifying LCP offenders was carried out by generating a new

    variable whereby a 1 was assigned to all respondents who scored 1 or higher on each of the

    four crime and delinquency scales (Barnes et al., 2011; and see Turner et al., 2007, for a

    similar coding strategy). Respondents who did not score 1 or higher across all four scales

    were assigned a value of 0. As shown in Table 1, this approach led to roughly 5% of the

    sample being identified as an LCP offender.

    Genetic Risk Scale. Behavioral genetic scholars have developed myriad ways to measure

    and control for genetic risk factors. The current study used an established strategy for cap-

    turing genetic influences on a dichotomous trait (Beaver, Barnes, May, & Schwartz, 2011;

    Kendler et al., 1995). Building on the knowledge that MZ twins share 100% of their DNAand DZ twins and full siblings share 50% of their distinguishing DNA (on average; Carey,

    2003), a genetic risk continuum can be constructed by combining genetic relatedness infor-

    mation with information about the cosibling’s status as a persistent offender.

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    526 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    Generating the scale involved five steps. First, the data were arranged so that each sib-

    ling appeared once as the target sibling  and once as the cosibling . Second, because MZ

    twins share 100% of their DNA, any target MZ twin whose cotwin was identified as a

    nonpersistent offender would have the lowest genetic risk for becoming a persistent

    offender. Thus, all target MZ twins whose cotwin was not a persistent offender were coded

    as 0. Third, target DZ twins and full siblings whose cotwin or sibling was not a persistentoffender have the next lowest genetic risk of becoming a persistent offender themselves.

    These participants, therefore, were coded as 1. Fourth, target DZ twins and full siblings

    whose cotwin or sibling was identified as a persistent offender have a higher genetic prob-

    ability of being a persistent offender. To account for these influences, all target DZ twins

    and full siblings who had a cotwin or sibling who was identified as a persistent offender

    were coded as 2. Finally, target MZ twins whose cotwin was identified as a persistent

    offender have the highest genetic liability toward persistent offending. Thus, these respond-

    ents were coded as 3.

    The Genetic Risk Scale has been used previously to control for genetic influences on a

    range of outcomes, such as childhood externalizing problems (Boutwell, Franklin, Barnes,

    & Beaver, 2011), depression (Kendler et al., 1995), and psychopathy (Beaver et al., 2011).

    Important for the current focus, the Genetic Risk Scale will allow for the examination of

    the link between genetic risk factors for LCP offending and neuropsychological deficits

    (see Figure 1).

    Verbal IQ. Moffitt (1993, p. 681) noted that a low verbal IQ may reflect neuropsycho-

    logical dysfunction, and prior scholars have linked verbal IQ with problems with self-

    control (Ratchford & Beaver, 2009), psychopathy (Johansson & Kerr, 2005), and persistent

    delinquent involvement (Moffitt, Lynam, & Silva, 1994). In other words, scholars haveused verbal IQ as a proxy for neuropsychological dysfunction in prior research (Piquero,

    2001). The current study included a measure of verbal IQ gleaned from the Wave 3 inter-

    views. During these interviews, respondents were administered the Peabody Picture

    TABLE 1: Descriptive Statistics for Add Health Siblings

    Variable Frequency M SD Min Max  

    Persistent offender .05 .22 0 1

      Persister 120Nonpersister 2,225

    Genetic Risk Scale .90 .46 0 3

    Neuropsychological deficits

      Verbal IQ (Wave 3) 98.21 15.68 7 122

      Low self-control (Wave 3) 28.59 10.91 3 67

      Birth weight 6.84 1.41 4 11.63

    Parental influences (Wave 1)

      Maternal attachment 9.40 1.10 2 10

      Maternal involvement 3.91 1.95 0 10

      Parental permissiveness 5.08 1.59 0 7

      Maternal disengagement 9.03 3.34 5 25

      Maternal aspirations 8.68 1.81 2 10

      Maternal Scale –0.001 0.74 –4.11 1.63

    Neighborhood disadvantage (Wave 1) 0.00 0.94 –1.22 4.94

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 527

    Vocabulary Test. Standardized scores were used so that the distribution for the full Add

    Health sample was normal with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15 (the mean

    and standard deviation are slightly different for the sibling subsample). Higher scores

    reflected a greater verbal IQ.

     Low self-control. Moffitt (1993, p. 681) noted that individuals with neuropsychological

    deficits may display signs of low self-control. In other words, measures of self-control may

     be used as an indicator of neuropsychological dysfunction. Building on this hypothesis,

    a measure of self-control was constructed using the Wave 3 survey data. Specifically,

    Beaver, Ratchford, and Ferguson (2009) identified 20 items that, when combined, tap each

    respondent’s level of self-control. Factor analysis indicated that all 20 items hung together

    on a single construct, and the alpha coefficient indicated a strong degree of reliability (α = .83).

    To generate the scale, responses to the 20 items were summed so that higher values

    reflected lower levels of self-control.

     Birth weight. Previous research has used birth weight as an indicator of neuropsycho-

    logical deficits (Tibbetts & Piquero, 1999). Following the lead of these scholars, a measure

    of the respondent’s birth weight was included in the current analysis. During Wave 1 inter-

    views, primary caregivers were asked to report on their child’s (i.e., the target respond-

    ent’s) birth weight. Responses were recorded in pounds and ounces. As a result, the birth

    weight measure was created whereby whole numbers reflected pounds and ounces were

    coded as a fraction of a pound. The substantive conclusions were unchanged when the birth

    weight measure was dichotomized into an indicator of low birth weight (i.e., those born at

    or below 5.5 pounds).

     Parental influences. Moffitt (1993) noted that “parents of children who are difficult to

    manage often lack the necessary psychological and physical resources to cope construc-

    tively with a difficult child” (p. 681). Clearly, Moffitt anticipated a parental influence on

    the child’s probability of becoming an LCP offender. For capturing these influences, a

    series of parenting scales was constructed and included in the analysis. First, a measure of

    maternal-child attachment was constructed. During Wave 1 interviews, target respondents

    were asked about the level of closeness they felt toward their mothers and how much they

    thought their mothers cared about them. Both items were coded so that higher values indi-cated a greater bond between the respondent and his or her mother. Responses to these two

    questions were summed together to create the scale (α = .63).

    The second parenting scale indexed the level of involvement that mothers had with their

    children. At Wave 1, target respondents were asked whether they had taken part in 10

    activities with their mother in the past 4 weeks. Activities referenced were shopping, going

    to a religious service, and going to a movie, among others. Each measure was coded

    dichotomously so that 0 = the respondent did not participate in the activity with his or her

    mother and 1 =  the respondent did participate in the activity with his or her mother. To

    generate the scale, responses to the 10 items were summed so that higher values reflected

    greater maternal involvement (α = .53).The third parenting scale measured the amount of autonomy granted to the child by his

    or her parents at Wave 1. Target respondents were asked to reflect on whether their

     parent(s) allowed them to make decisions regarding their curfew, their peer group, and the

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    528 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    clothes they wore. Each of the seven questions were coded dichotomously (0 = no, 1 = yes)

    so that when summed, higher values reflected greater parental permissiveness (α = .63).

    A fourth measure of parenting practices tapped the level of disengagement between the

    mother and the target respondent. Five questions measured the level of warmth expressed

     by the respondent’s mother, the level of encouragement offered by the mother, and the

    level of satisfaction with the mother-child relationship. Each question was asked to the

    target respondent at Wave 1. Answers to the five items were summed, and higher values

    indicated more maternal disengagement (α = .82).

    The fifth parental measure tapped the mother’s aspirations for the target respondent’s

    future. Importantly, the questions were asked to the target respondent during Wave 1 so they

    reflected the participant’s perceptions of his or her mother’s aspirations. The first question

    asked how disappointed the respondent’s mother would be if he or she did not graduate from

    college (ranged from 1 = low disappointment  to 5 = high disappointment ). The second ques-

    tion was similar, but the reference was high school. Responses to these two items weresummed so that higher values reflected higher perceptions of maternal aspirations (α = .57).

    The final parental measure was a composite scale constructed from the items mentioned

    above. Specifically, each of the five scales outlined above was subjected to a factor analy-

    sis. The results from this analysis indicated that three of the scales (Maternal Attachment,

    Maternal Involvement, and Maternal Disengagement [reverse coded]) could be combined

    together into a single index of maternal influence. Because each scale was measured on a

    different metric, the scales were first standardized and then an average score was generated.

    The resulting Maternal Scale was coded so that higher values reflected “better” or more

     positive relations between mother and child (α = .59).

     Neighborhood disadvantage. A Neighborhood Disadvantage Scale was created by com-

     bining information from the following five variables taken from the 1990 Census: unem-

     ployment rate, proportion of residents on public assistance, proportion of residents living

     below the poverty line, proportion of residents who are Black, and proportion of female-

    headed households (Sampson, Raudenbush, & Earls, 1997). Each of the constituent varia-

     bles, which were measured at the block-group level, was factor analyzed, and the results

    suggested that the variables be combined into a single construct. Thus, one factor was

    extracted using regression scoring techniques (α = .79). Higher values reflected a greater

    degree of neighborhood disadvantage.

    ANALYSIS

    The analysis unfolded in three broad steps. The first step was to analyze the relationship

     between genetic risk and the persister status variable. Two analyses were conducted for this

    step. First, the behavior genetic technique known as the ACE model was estimated. The

    ACE model has been described at length elsewhere (Neale & Maes, 2004; see Wright,

    Beaver, DeLisi & Vaughn, 2008, for a recent example of the ACE model in criminology).

    Briefly, the ACE model will decompose the variance in the persister status variable to

    determine whether genetic factors (i.e., A) are operative. The ACE model will also estimatethe degree to which shared environments (i.e., C; environments that operate to make sib-

    lings more similar to one another) and nonshared environments (i.e., E; environments that

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 529

    operate to make siblings dissimilar) are operative. The threshold ACE model was estimated

    to account for the dichotomous coding of the outcome variable (Derks, Dolan, & Boomsma,

    2004). Whether the ACE model revealed genetic influences on the persister status variable

    was critical to the remainder of the analysis—indeed, the saliency of the Genetic Risk Scale

    rests on the assumption that genetic factors are operative on the outcome of interest (i.e.,

     persister status). The findings from the ACE model, therefore, paved the way for the

    remaining analyses, which used the Genetic Risk Scale.

    The next set of analyses employed the persister status indicator as the dependent varia-

     ble, and the Genetic Risk Scale was used as the primary predictor variable. The bivariate

    relationship between these two variables was examined first. This model provided a base-

    line relationship that could then be compared to subsequent models (i.e., when the other

    covariates were entered). Recall that prior work has identified a strong genetic link to LCP

    offending (Barnes et al., 2011) and that this relationship is most likely mediated via neu-

    ropsychological deficits (Moffitt, 1993). To test this hypothesis (Hypothesis 1), the threeneuropsychological deficit measures (i.e., verbal IQ, low self-control, and birth weight)

    were entered into the model in a stepwise fashion. Entering the variables into the model in

    this way allowed for the examination of mediating effects. Specifically, the degree to which

    the Genetic Risk Scale is mediated by the neuropsychological deficits measures will be

    identified by a reduction in the genetic risk coefficient from Model 1 through the subse-

    quent models.

    The second step to the analysis observed whether the parental influence scales and the

     Neighborhood Disadvantage Scale increased the odds of being identified as an LCP

    offender after controlling for genetic risk (Hypothesis 2). These models explored the main

    effects of each measure to determine the relative magnitude of the effects among the vari-

    ous items. Additionally, interaction terms were analyzed to test Moffitt’s (1993) interac-

    tional hypotheses (Hypothesis 3). The interaction terms were calculated by mean centering

    the constituent variables and then generating a new variable that was the product of the two

    items.

    The third step to the analysis examined the link between each of the covariates (except

    for the neighborhood disadvantage measure because it did not vary between siblings; see,

    generally, Caspi, Moffitt, & Plomin, 2000) and LCP offending, but this time the covariates

    were included as measures of the nonshared environment (Hypothesis 4). Prior research

    has identified a substantial nonshared environmental component to LCP offending, but itis unclear what these nonshared environments might be. For capturing nonshared environ-

    mental effects, each of the neuropsychological deficits measures and the parental influence

    measures was entered as between-sibling difference scores (Beaver, 2008), and a logistic

    DeFries-Fulker (DF) equation was estimated (Rodgers, Rowe, & Li, 1994). The logistic DF

    equation can be expressed algebraically as follows:

    loge( P [ K 

    1]/1– P [ K 

    1]) = b

    0 + b

    1( K 

    2) + b

    2( R*[ K 

    2]) + b

    3( ENVDIF ) + e.

    The logistic DF equation has two features that deserve mentioning. First, genetic influ-

    ences on the outcome variable (i.e., persistent offender) are captured by the heritabilitycoefficient (i.e., b

    2). Second, the nonshared environmental influences of the covariates will

     be captured by the ENVDIF  coefficient estimate (i.e., b3).

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    530 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    RESULTS

    The first step to the analysis was to estimate the ACE model. Recall that the ACE model

    decomposes variance in an outcome measure into genetic (A), shared environmental

    (C), and nonshared environmental (E) influences. Behavior geneticists typically estimate

    the full ACE model and then estimate several supplemental models to determine whether

    equivalent model fit can be reached with a more parsimonious model; the procedure is

    often referred to as hierarchical model fitting in the structural equation modeling literature.

    The full ACE model was estimated first, and results (not reported in a table) suggested that

    a combination of genetic (A = .51) and nonshared environmental factors (E = .49) explained

    variance in the persistent offending variable. Next, an AE model was estimated. In this

    model, the C parameter was fixed to zero. The AE model produced the best fit to the data

    and revealed that genetic (A = .51) and nonshared environmental factors (E = .49) explained

    the totality of the variance in the persistent offending variable. As compared to the fullACE model, the AE model produced an equivalent chi-square value and a reduced Akaike

    information criterion (AIC) value (because of the fixed C parameter) (∆χ 2 = .00, p > .05,

    ∆AIC = –2.00). The CE model produced a nonsignificant chi-square value, but the AIC

    was larger than the AIC gleaned from the AE model (∆χ 2 = 1.87, p > .05, ∆AIC = –.14).

    Finally, the E model was estimated. This model also produced a nonsignificant chi-square

    statistic, but when compared to the ACE model, the AIC indicated a worsening of fit

    (∆χ 2 = 4.50, p > .05, ∆AIC = .50). In all, the findings from the ACE model-fitting analysis

    suggested that genetic factors influenced the persister status variable. This analysis, there-

    fore, supported the utility of the Genetic Risk Scale by revealing that genetic factors

    explain a portion of the variance in the persistent offending variable.

    Presented in Table 2 are the findings from seven separate logistic regression models.1 

    The first four models analyzed the link between the Genetic Risk Scale and the various

    measures of neuropsychological deficits. Model 1 revealed that the Genetic Risk Scale was

     positively and significantly associated with LCP offending. The odds ratio (OR) is reported

    and indicates that each one-unit increase on the Genetic Risk Scale was associated with a

    148% increase in the odds of being identified as an LCP offender. This finding offers sup-

     port for Hypothesis 1 and is an important first step in the examination of the remaining

    three hypotheses.

    To explore the link between the Genetic Risk Scale and LCP offending more closely, predicted probabilities were generated using the model estimates from Model 1 in Table 2.

    These predicted probabilities are presented graphically in Figure 2, which shows that the

     probability of a respondent’s being identified as an LCP offender was strongly tied to his

    or her genetic risk score. Respondents with the lowest genetic risk (i.e., MZ twins whose

    cotwin was not identified as LCP) had a predicted probability of .02 for being an LCP

    offender. Note that this predicted probability is lower than the population incidence of LCP

    offending within this sample (see Table 1). Participants with the highest genetic risk (i.e.,

    MZ twins whose cotwin was identified as LCP) had a predicted probability of .25, a probability

    that is more than 11 times greater than those with the lowest genetic risk.

    Models 2 through 4 (Table 2) test for mediation of the genetic effect via neuropsycho-

    logical deficits (Hypothesis 1).2  In broad strokes, one of the three neuropsychological

    deficit measures substantially mediated the genetic effect. Indeed, the genetic effect was

    unchanged from Model 1 to Model 2 (when verbal IQ was entered into the equation) and

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 531

    was only marginally decreased in Model 4 when birth weight was entered. The only meas-ure of neuropsychological deficits that appeared to mediate the genetic effect was the Low

    Self-Control Scale (Model 3), where roughly 13% of the genetic effect was mediated (b = .87

    for Model 1; b = .76 for Model 2). A Sobel mediation test suggested that this effect was

    TABLE 2: Logistic Regression of Persistent Offending on Genetic Risk Scale, Neuropsychological

    Deficits, Parental Influences, and Neighborhood Disadvantage

    Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7  

    Variable OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE  

    Genetic Risk Scale 2.48* .70 2.48* .72 2.14* .64 2.32* .89 2.18* .62 2.20* .64 2.76* .82

    Neuropsychological deficits

      Verbal IQ 1.00 .01

    Low self-control 1.06* .01

    Birth weight 1.15 .10

    Parental influences

      Maternal attachment 1.11 .19

    Maternal involvement 0.94 .06

    Parental permissiveness 1.04 .07

    Maternal disengagement 1.06 .04

    Maternal aspirations 0.97 .05Maternal Scale 0.84 .11

    Neighborhood disadvantage 1.05 .13

    Gene-environment interactions

      Genetic Risk × Maternal Scale 1.02 .20

    Genetic Risk × Neighborhood

    Disadvantage

    0.86 .20

    Note . Standard errors are corrected for clustering of siblings within homes. OR = odds ratio.*p  

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    532 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    statistically significant ( z  = 3.59, p  .05).

    The final model presented in Table 2 (Model 7) explored the link between genetic risk,

    neighborhood disadvantage, and an interaction between the two on the probability of per-

    sistent offending. As shown in the table, the main effect for neighborhood disadvantage did

    not attain significance ( p = .80 when only the main effect was included), nor did the effect

    of the Gene × Environment interaction.3

    Thus far, the results have revealed that the genetic risk toward LCP offending is partially

    mediated by levels of self-control. This finding offers some support for Hypothesis 1.

    Hypothesis 2 was examined by entering the parental influence variables as covariates. As

    was shown, none of the parenting scales predicted LCP offending. These findings do not

    offer support for Hypothesis 2 (but see the possible limitations in the Discussion section).

    Finally, the results did not provide support for Hypothesis 3, which expected an interaction

     between genetic risk and the environmental variables (i.e., Maternal Scale and neighborhood

    Figure 3: Predicted Probability of Being a Persistent Offender as a Function of Low Self-Control

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 533

    disadvantage). Hypothesis 4 has yet to be examined. Recall that Hypothesis 4 stated that

    each of the covariates would operate as nonshared environmental influences on LCP

    offending. These analyses are considered in Table 3.

    The logistic DF equation described earlier was estimated, and the results can be found in

    Table 3.4 Before discussing the findings, it is important to reiterate that the DF model esti-

    mated environmental influences as sibling differences after controlling for genetic factors.In this way, any environmental effect that is identified in Table 3 is free of genetic confound-

    ing. As shown in Model 1 (Table 3), genetic factors accounted for a statistically significant

     portion of the variance in LCP offending. This finding is consistent with the regression

    models presented in Table 2 and the ACE model results discussed above. Model 2 entered

    the nonshared environmental influence of verbal IQ, and the effect did not reach statistical

    significance. Model 3 entered the Low Self-Control Scale as a nonshared environmental

    factor. The effect of low self-control was positive and statistically significant, indicating that

    the sibling with lower self-control was more likely to be identified as a persistent offender.

    Model 4 indicated that birth weight operated as a source of nonshared variance. The coef-

    ficient was positive, however (opposite to predictions), indicating that the sibling who was

     born of higher birth weight was more likely to be identified as a persistent offender.

    Model 5 entered the parental influence variables as nonshared environments. As can be

    seen, only the Maternal Involvement scale emerged as a statistically significant predictor.

    The effect was negative, indicating that the sibling who received more maternal involve-

    ment was less likely to be identified as an LCP offender. Only the Maternal Involvement

    scale attained statistical significance when the parenting scales were analyzed individually.

    Model 6 analyzed the Maternal Scale and statistical significance was not reached.

    DISCUSSION

    Moffitt’s (1993) developmental taxonomy has been extremely influential to criminol-

    ogy, and it has sparked a line of research that has vastly expanded knowledge about long-term

    TABLE 3: Logistic DeFries-Fulker (DF) Model Results

    Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6  

    Variable OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE OR SE  

    Genetic factors 5.62* 4.71 5.79* 4.84 4.78 4.38 7.74* 7.29 4.45 4.13 4.10 3.81Nonshared environments

      Verbal IQ 1.00 0.01

    Low self-control 1.02* 0.01

    Birth weight 1.33* 0.15

    Maternal attachment 1.06 0.12

    Maternal involvement 0.89* 0.05

    Parental permissiveness 1.00 0.06

    Maternal disengagement 0.97 0.03

    Maternal aspirations 0.98 0.04

    Maternal Scale 0.98 0.12

    Note . Standard errors are corrected for clustering of siblings within homes. Nonshared environment measures arebetween-sibling difference scores. OR = odds ratio.*p  

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    534 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    criminal careers (DeLisi & Piquero, 2011). Although a number of studies have tested por-

    tions of the theory (Moffitt, 2006), no study has simultaneously examined the interconnec-

    tions between genetic risk, neuropsychological deficits, adverse rearing environments, and

    LCP offending. The current effort sought to fill this gap in the literature by testing four

    hypotheses drawn or developed directly from Moffitt’s (1993) theoretical statements.

    Hypothesis 1 suggested that genetic risk factors for LCP offending would operate indi-

    rectly through neuropsychological deficits. Three statistical models were analyzed and one

    revealed evidence to support the hypothesis. Specifically, when a measure of the respond-

    ent’s level of self-control was entered into the equation, the effect of genetic risk for LCP

    offending was weakened. To the extent that self-control reflects neuropsychological defi-

    cit, this finding offers support for Hypothesis 1. Neuroscience has revealed that self-control

    and other executive functions are housed in the prefrontal cortex of the brain (Beaver et al.,

    2007), suggesting that deficiencies in self-control may be indicative of neuropsychological

    deficits. Also, Moffitt (1993) anticipated that low self-control reflected neuropsychologicaldeficit:

    Longitudinal studies suggest that neuropsychological dysfunctions that manifest themselvesas poor scores on tests of language and self-control—and as the inattentive, overactive, andimpulsive symptoms of ADHD—are linked with the early childhood emergence of aggressiveantisocial behavior and with its subsequent persistence. (p. 681).

    In all, the finding that genetic risk factors for LCP offending are mediated by levels of self-

    control provides support for Hypothesis 1 and is consistent with Moffitt’s theory.

    Finding a link between genetic risk for LCP offending and self-control suggests twoavenues for future researchers to consider. First, scholars should prioritize research that

    seeks to identify the other neurological pathways that mediate genetic risk for LCP offend-

    ing. Indeed, research has shown that persistent or psychopathic offenders have functional

     brain differences as compared to controls (Raine et al., 2003; Weber, Habel, Amunts, &

    Schneider, 2008; Yang et al., 2005). The second avenue for future research involves the

    identification and examination of different proxies for neuropsychological deficits (Moffitt,

    1990; Piquero, 2001). The current study employed three measures that have been used

     previously to index the presence of neuropsychological deficits. Certainly, these are not the

    only measures that can serve as proxies, and therefore, Hypothesis 1 must be considered in

    future work.Hypothesis 2 examined the effect of parental influences on LCP offending. Early crimi-

    nological theorizing (e.g., Hirschi, 1969) exalted parenting as a key component to antiso-

    cial behavior. More recent analyses suggest that parenting may not be as consequential for

    offending (or to correlates of offending) as was once believed (J. Harris, 1998; Pinker,

    2002; Wright & Beaver, 2005). To add to this literature, the current study examined the

    influence of parenting on LCP offending in two ways. First, the effects of six parenting

    scales were analyzed after controlling for genetic risk factors toward LCP offending. The

    results from these tests revealed that none of the parenting measures predicted LCP offend-

    ing (Table 2).The second way that parenting was analyzed was as a nonshared environmental factor.

    Although parenting is typically conceptualized as a shared environmental influence (i.e., it

    is typically argued that parents treat their children the same, thus falling under shared envi-

    ronmental influences; J. Harris, 1998), some have argued that parenting may operate as a

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 535

    nonshared environmental factor to the extent that siblings interpret parenting differently

    (Turkheimer & Waldron, 2000). To explore this possibility, each of the six parenting scales

    was entered as a nonshared environmental influence. The results from these models

     provided little evidence to suggest that parenting operated as a nonshared environmental

    influence. In fact, only one of the scales reached statistical significance (Maternal

    Involvement).

    Collectively, the results provided very weak support for Hypothesis 2 (i.e., parental

    influences affect LCP offending after controlling for genetic factors). Indeed, only 1 out of

    12 tests revealed a significant influence. Note also that the correlation between the parent-

    ing scales and persister status could reflect child-driven effects (i.e., parenting strategies are

    a reaction to the child’s behavior; see Burt, McGue, Krueger, & Iacono, 2005; Larsson,

    Viding, Rijsdijk, & Plomin, 2008). If so, then the limited relationships found here are even

    more suspect because they may reflect child-driven effects or, at a minimum, bidirectional

    effects. It is also worth noting that the parenting variables used in the current study weredrawn from Wave 1 of the Add Health and, therefore, captured parenting as it occurred

    during adolescence. Some evidence suggests that parenting effects are identifiable in the

    first years of life but fade over time (Ferguson, 2010). The pattern of results presented

    herein is certainly compatible with this reasoning; shared environmental factors may matter

    in childhood and, to a lesser extent, in adolescence and adulthood (see, generally, J. Harris,

    1998; Sampson & Laub, 1993). In summary, the current findings suggest that criminolo-

    gists should begin to look elsewhere when trying to identify the environmental (especially,

    nonshared environmental) influences for LCP offending. To offer one suggestion, it may

    turn out that parenting styles and strategies (as analyzed here) are inconsequential for LCP

    offending as measured during adolescence or adulthood, but this says nothing about other

     parental risk factors, such as intergenerational transmission effects (Boutwell & Beaver,

    2010; Rowe & Farrington, 1997). Criminology will do well to expand the environmental

    focus to factors beyond parental strategies (Wright & Beaver, 2005).

    The third hypothesis examined by the current analysis is sometimes referred to as

    Moffitt’s (1993) interactional hypothesis (Tibbetts & Piquero, 1999). Specifically,

    Hypothesis 3 argued that the effect of genetic risk on LCP offending would be strengthened

    in the presence of environmental risk factors, such as poor parenting or a disadvantaged

    neighborhood. This hypothesis was examined in two models, and neither produced results

    consistent with the hypothesis. Neither the Maternal Scale nor the NeighborhoodDisadvantage Scale interacted with the Genetic Risk Scale to predict LCP offending. This

    finding stands in contrast to a sizable body of research (Caspi et al., 2002; Moffitt, 2006).

    For this reason, it is only appropriate to speculate as to why the findings turned out the way

    they did. Two explanations are possible. First, it may be the case that the Maternal Scale

    and Neighborhood Disadvantage Scale do not adequately tap the “adverse rearing environ-

    ment” described by Moffitt (1993). Although this is certainly a possibility, it should be

    noted that both scales were developed out of prior research that has shown robust environ-

    mental effects on offending (Wright & Beaver, 2005; Sampson et al., 1997).

    The second explanation for the lack of supportive evidence for Hypothesis 3 has roots

    in the differences between shared and nonshared environmental influences. Recall that the

    nonshared environment has consistently been found to explain the largest portion of envi-

    ronmental variance on offending (Ferguson, 2010; Moffitt, 2005). The measures employed

     by the current study may, however, tap shared environmental influences. If this is the case,

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    536 CRIMINAL JUSTICE AND BEHAVIOR 

    and the Maternal Scale and the Neighborhood Disadvantage Scale are actually shared envi-

    ronments, then the current results are less surprising (J. Harris, 1998). Nonetheless, the fact

    that the current findings are inconsistent with a large body of research should compel future

    studies to reanalyze these relationships using different data sets and different operationali-

    zations of the environmental measures.

    The fourth and final hypothesis examined was generated as a by-product of Moffitt’s

    (1993) theory being blended with recent behavioral genetic research (Ferguson, 2010;

    Moffitt, 2005). Specifically, Hypothesis 4 stated that the neuropsychological deficits meas-

    ures and the parental influence measures would operate as nonshared environmental influ-

    ences on LCP offending. Some limited support was found for Hypothesis 4. Indeed, two

    variables emerged as a statistically significant (and in the predicted direction) predictor of

    LCP offending: self-control and maternal involvement. These results indicated that siblings

    with lower levels of self-control and siblings with lower levels of maternal involvement

    were more likely to be identified as persistent offenders. The limited support received forHypothesis 4 should be interpreted with caution because the current analysis was explora-

    tory in the sense that it is unclear whether (and to what degree) each of the environmental

    variables reflects nonshared environmental influences. Take, for instance, the Maternal

    Scale. Relying on criminological theorizing (e.g., Sampson & Laub, 1993) would suggest

    that parenting variables should act as shared environmental factors. This may be the case,

     but scholars have also argued that many ostensible shared environmental influences will

    have nonshared environmental effects to the extent that two individuals have different per-

    ceptions or interpretations of the event (Turkheimer & Waldron, 2000). Thus, for this

    reason, the current analysis sought to uncover whether any of the included variables oper-

    ated as nonshared environmental influences. Overall, the results from Hypothesis 4 are

    encouraging for criminological research because they reveal that much work is left to be

    done in terms of uncovering the nonshared environmental factors that affect persistent

    offending.

    Limitations of the current study must be acknowledged. First and foremost, the measure

    of LCP offending may include measurement error. Although others have taken a similar

    approach to identifying LCP offenders (Barnes et al., 2011; Turner et al., 2007), scholars

    have struggled with properly identifying the different offending patterns (Laub & Sampson,

    2003; Moffitt, 2006) and a consensus has yet to be reached. As such, the current results

    must be viewed as tentative until they are replicated with alternative measurement strate-gies. The second primary limitation also hinges on measurement. Specifically, the identifi-

    cation and measurement of neuropsychological deficits poses a difficult task for social

    science researchers. At its core, the term neuropsychological deficit  refers to an abnormal-

    ity (however small) in brain formation or function (Wright, Tibbetts, et al., 2008). This

    means that a proper measurement of neuropsychological deficits requires access to brain

    scans or analyses of brain functioning. These technologies have only recently begun to

    make their way onto the criminological landscape (Moffitt, Ross, & Raine, 2011) and will

    require time before they are readily available to a majority of researchers. Nonetheless,

     priority should be given to studies that replicate the findings here by using more direct

    measures of neuropsychological deficit.

    In summary, the current study offers one of the first glimpses into the interconnections

     between genetic risk, neuropsychological deficit, parental influences, neighborhood influ-

    ences, and LCP offending. No study has sought to examine the link between various envi-

    ronmental influences and LCP offending after accounting for genetic factors. In this way,

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    Barnes / ORIGINS OF LIFE COURSE–PERSISTENT OFFENDING 537

    the present research moves the body of developmental and life course research forward to a

    clearer understanding of the mechanisms that play a role into the etiology of LCP offending.

    NOTES

    1. Standard errors were adjusted to account for the clustering of siblings within families by using the Cluster  command

    in Stata 12.1.

    2. To account for missing data, each model presented here was compared against a baseline model that was restricted to

    cases with usable data on the mediation variable of interest. For instance, in Model 2, the baseline Genetic Risk Scale coef-

    ficient was gleaned from a model restricted to cases with nonmissing verbal IQ scores and compared to the effect of the

    Genetic Risk Scale in the mediation model.

    3. Interactions were explored, individually, for each of the six parenting scales and the Neighborhood Disadvantage Scale.

     None of the interaction terms attained statistical significance. The Maternal Scale and Neighborhood Disadvantage Scale are

    discussed in the text because they summarize the overall pattern of results from these tests.

    4. Standard errors were adjusted to account for the clustering of siblings within families by using the Cluster  command

    in Stata 12.1.

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    J. C. Barnes is an assistant professor in the Department of Criminology at the University of Texas at Dallas. His research

    seeks to understand how genetic and environmental factors combine to affect criminological phenomena. Recent works have

    attempted to reconcile behavioral genetic findings with theoretical developments in criminology. His work can be found in

     journals such as  Aggressive Behavior, Criminology, Intelligence, Journal of Marriage and Family, Justice Quarterly, and Physiology and Behavior .