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  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

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    1 Type in a Yahoo stock symbol and click the Download button to get ten years worth of daily

    2 Fill in the boxes and click the get Distributions button to get price-distribution chart

    (In particular, the range of prices, from Minimum to Maximum, that you wish to consider.)

    If you pick, for example, 30 days, clicking Distributions will activate a macro that will select

    These will be applied to some "current stock price" (example $10.00) to see where it end

    This ritual will be repeated 1000 times (or whatever you type in cell F2).

    That way we can determine what fraction of these 30-day prices will be less than $P for a

    Note: The current stock price is your invention.

    The downloaded prices just supply a return distribution which is plotted, for your amusem

    3 Repeat step 2 if you wish but don't forget to click the Distributions button after each ch

    (Well, you can change the Current Stock Price to see the probability that the 30-day price will be less than that.)

    See: http://www.gummy-stuff.org/predictions-2.htm

    P.S. There's some option stuff over by column V.

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

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    prices (and returns).

    : Actual and Laplace and Normal.

    30 random, daily returns.

    up, after30 days.

    ny P between Min and Max.

    ent.

    nge, else the charts will be goofy!

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

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    Min = $13.00 Iterate

    Start Date: 21-Jul-03 Max = $7.00 1000

    End Date: 20-Jul-13 d Future Days = 30

    Stock Symbol: GE Annualized Return = 10.5% Dec URL used = http://chart.yahoo.com/table.csv?s=GE&a=11&b=28&c=1996&d=11&e=28&f=2006&g=d&q=q&y=0&z=GE

    Index Date Open High Low Close

    1 Dec 30/96 102.75 103.12 101.50 101.62 9

    2 Dec 31/96 101.62 101.62 98.87 98.87 17,

    3 Jan 2/97 98.75 99.00 95.87 97.62 27,

    4 Jan 3/97 97.87 100.00 97.87 99.12 17,

    5 Jan 6/97 99.87 100.50 98.87 99.00 18,

    6 Jan 7/97 98.50 101.12 98.12 101.00 14,

    7 Jan 8/97 101.87 101.87 99.62 99.62 14,

    8 Jan 9/97 99.75 101.87 99.75 101.12 17,

    9 Jan 10/97 99.62 101.87 99.62 101.37 18,

    10 Jan 13/97 101.50 103.37 101.50 103.25 16,

    11 Jan 14/97 104.12 105.00 103.62 104.62 20,

    12 Jan 15/97 103.87 104.25 102.50 102.87 16,

    13 Jan 16/97 103.37 103.50 100.87 101.50 18,

    14 Jan 17/97 101.75 104.00 101.75 103.62 19,

    15 Jan 20/97 104.00 105.75 103.87 105.00 14,

    16 Jan 21/97 103.75 106.50 103.62 105.50 22,

    17 Jan 22/97 105.50 107.50 105.37 107.37 17,

    18 Jan 23/97 107.50 107.87 104.12 104.12 16,

    19 Jan 24/97 104.62 104.75 101.37 101.87 25,

    20 Jan 27/97 101.87 102.00 99.75 100.37 24,

    21 Jan 28/97 104.00 104.12 100.12 100.62 22,

    22 Jan 29/97 101.87 103.62 101.50 103.62 16,

    23 Jan 30/97 104.25 105.75 103.75 105.62 17,

    24 Jan 31/97 106.37 106.87 103.00 103.50 20,

    25 Feb 3/97 103.87 105.50 103.12 105.25 16,

    26 Feb 4/97 105.00 105.12 103.25 103.87 14,

    27 Feb 5/97 104.87 105.25 102.00 103.00 21,

    28 Feb 6/97 103.00 104.12 102.37 104.00 15,

    29 Feb 7/97 104.87 105.37 103.00 105.00 13,

    30 Feb 10/97 105.25 105.75 103.87 103.87 13,

    31 Feb 11/97 104.62 105.00 103.12 104.62 13,

    32 Feb 12/97 104.25 106.12 104.25 105.87 16,

    33 Feb 13/97 106.25 107.87 106.00 107.25 16,

    34 Feb 14/97 107.37 107.50 106.25 106.37 15,

    35 Feb 18/97 106.62 107.50 105.87 107.50 14,

    36 Feb 19/97 107.12 108.37 107.00 107.50 15,

    37 Feb 20/97 107.00 107.37 104.87 105.75 16,

    38 Feb 21/97 106.00 106.37 105.12 105.12 16,

    39 Feb 24/97 104.50 106.87 104.50 106.62 10,

    0

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    100,000

    $12.00

    $17.00

    $22.00

    $27.00

    $32.00

    $37.00

    $42.00

    $47.00

    $52.00

    Dec-9

    6

    Jun-9

    7

    Dec-9

    7

    Jun-9

    8

    Nov-9

    8

    May-9

    9

    Nov-9

    9

    Apr-00

    Oct-00

    Apr-01

    Oct-01

    Apr-02

    Sep-0

    2

    Mar-03

    Sep-0

    3

    Feb-0

    4

    Aug-0

    4

    Feb-0

    5

    Aug-0

    5

    Jan-0

    6

    Jul-06

    Volume/1000GE

    0.0%

    0.5%

    1.0%

    1.5%2.0%

    2.5%

    3.0%

    3.5%

    4.0%

    4.5%

    -4.9

    %

    -4.5

    %

    -4.0

    %

    -3.6

    %

    -3.1

    %

    -2.7

    %

    -2.3

    %

    -1.8

    %

    -1.4

    %

    -0.9

    %

    -0.5

    %

    -0.1

    %

    0.4

    %

    0.8

    %

    1.3

    %

    1.7

    %

    2.2

    %

    2.6

    %

    3.0

    %

    3.5

    %

    3.9

    %

    4.3

    %

    4.8

    %

    5.2

    %

    5.7

    %

    6.1

    %

    GE Return Distribution Laplace

    Normal

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    $7.0

    0

    Probability thday

    Probab

    Probab

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    4/199

    45 Mar 4/97 102.50 103.37 101.25 10

    46 Mar 5/97 101.37 103.62 101.37 10

    47 Mar 6/97 103.87 104.87 103.62 10

    48 Mar 7/97 104.87 105.87 104.62 10

    49 Mar 10/97 105.37 106.37 104.75 10

    50 Mar 11/97 106.00 107.25 105.00 10

    51 Mar 12/97 105.00 105.75 104.12 10

    52 Mar 13/97 104.00 104.37 103.50 10

    53 Mar 14/97 103.87 104.12 102.75 10

    54 Mar 17/97 102.50 104.37 102.12 10

    55 Mar 18/97 103.87 104.37 102.00 10

    56 Mar 19/97 102.75 104.12 102.00 10

    57 Mar 20/97 103.25 103.50 102.25 10

    58 Mar 21/97 103.62 103.62 102.12 10

    59 Mar 24/97 102.75 105.87 102.75 10

    60 Mar 25/97 105.75 106.87 104.87 10

    61 Mar 26/97 105.00 105.87 103.62 10

    62 Mar 27/97 104.12 104.12 99.37 10

    63 Mar 31/97 100.37 100.37 98.25 9

    64 Apr 1/97 98.75 100.00 97.75 9

    65 Apr 2/97 98.25 99.25 97.75 9

    66 Apr 3/97 97.37 99.50 97.12 9

    67 Apr 4/97 97.75 101.12 97.62 10

    68 Apr 7/97 101.87 102.00 100.37 10

    69 Apr 8/97 100.00 101.75 99.62 10

    70 Apr 9/97 101.62 102.62 101.25 10

    71 Apr 10/97 102.00 102.12 101.12 10

    72 Apr 11/97 100.75 101.12 97.50 9

    73 Apr 14/97 97.87 100.25 97.12 10

    74 Apr 15/97 101.50 102.87 100.87 10

    75 Apr 16/97 102.50 105.62 102.12 10

    76 Apr 17/97 105.00 105.87 103.62 1077 Apr 18/97 103.75 105.37 103.75 10

    78 Apr 21/97 105.12 105.25 103.62 10

    79 Apr 22/97 104.37 108.50 104.25 10

    80 Apr 23/97 107.00 107.75 106.12 10

    81 Apr 24/97 107.50 107.87 105.87 10

    82 Apr 25/97 106.00 107.25 105.25 10

    83 Apr 28/97 106.50 108.00 106.12 10

    84 Apr 29/97 108.50 110.75 108.12 11

    85 Apr 30/97 109.87 112.25 109.75 11

    86 May 1/97 110.62 111.37 109.12 10

    87 May 2/97 110.12 113.50 110.00 11

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    5/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    6/199

    149 Jul 31/97 70.75 71.19 70.00 7

    150 Aug 1/97 70.00 70.19 68.12 6

    151 Aug 4/97 69.00 69.12 67.62 6

    152 Aug 5/97 67.69 68.25 67.62 6

    153 Aug 6/97 67.56 69.50 67.37 6

    154 Aug 7/97 69.75 70.56 68.19 6

    155 Aug 8/97 67.87 68.50 66.50 6

    156 Aug 11/97 67.06 67.62 65.56 6

    157 Aug 12/97 67.56 68.00 66.00 6

    158 Aug 13/97 68.12 68.75 66.31 6

    159 Aug 14/97 67.12 67.44 66.00 6

    160 Aug 15/97 66.31 66.44 62.75 6

    161 Aug 18/97 63.31 66.00 62.75 6

    162 Aug 19/97 66.25 66.56 65.37 6

    163 Aug 20/97 66.81 68.00 66.81 6

    164 Aug 21/97 67.81 67.94 65.69 6

    165 Aug 22/97 64.56 65.50 64.00 6

    166 Aug 25/97 64.94 65.69 63.94 6

    167 Aug 26/97 64.06 65.44 63.25 6

    168 Aug 27/97 63.00 63.44 61.31 6

    169 Aug 28/97 62.50 63.94 62.00 6

    170 Aug 29/97 62.50 64.12 62.44 6

    171 Sep 2/97 64.00 66.50 63.50 6

    172 Sep 3/97 66.37 67.44 66.25 6

    173 Sep 4/97 66.94 67.69 66.12 6

    174 Sep 5/97 67.25 67.56 65.50 6

    175 Sep 8/97 67.00 67.50 66.50 6

    176 Sep 9/97 67.00 67.81 66.75 6

    177 Sep 10/97 66.50 66.81 65.69 6

    178 Sep 11/97 65.44 65.62 63.50 6

    179 Sep 12/97 65.62 66.81 64.75 6

    180 Sep 15/97 66.44 67.25 66.25 6

    181 Sep 16/97 67.12 69.00 67.06 6

    182 Sep 17/97 68.75 70.06 68.56 6

    183 Sep 18/97 69.87 71.87 69.87 7

    184 Sep 19/97 70.25 70.75 69.62 7

    185 Sep 22/97 70.37 70.94 70.19 7

    186 Sep 23/97 70.06 70.31 68.87 6

    187 Sep 24/97 69.31 70.94 68.44 6

    188 Sep 25/97 68.37 69.00 66.75 6

    189 Sep 26/97 67.00 68.50 67.00 6

    190 Sep 29/97 68.06 69.87 67.75 6

    191 Sep 30/97 68.50 69.56 68.06 6

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    7/199

    201 Oct 14/97 70.94 70.94 68.87 6

    202 Oct 15/97 69.06 69.37 68.62 6

    203 Oct 16/97 69.50 70.50 69.12 6

    204 Oct 17/97 68.69 69.44 67.00 6

    205 Oct 20/97 68.81 70.44 68.25 7

    206 Oct 21/97 70.12 70.81 69.75 7

    207 Oct 22/97 70.50 70.56 69.37 6

    208 Oct 23/97 68.00 68.50 66.44 6

    209 Oct 24/97 69.87 69.87 64.75 6

    210 Oct 27/97 65.00 65.62 61.81 6

    211 Oct 28/97 59.50 66.75 59.00 6

    212 Oct 29/97 66.94 67.50 63.94 6

    213 Oct 30/97 64.12 65.62 63.13 6

    214 Oct 31/97 64.87 65.50 63.50 6

    215 Nov 3/97 66.12 67.37 66.00 6

    216 Nov 4/97 67.37 68.69 67.00 6

    217 Nov 5/97 69.50 70.00 69.06 6

    218 Nov 6/97 68.75 69.00 67.62 6

    219 Nov 7/97 67.12 68.50 66.87 6

    220 Nov 10/97 68.62 68.94 66.94 6

    221 Nov 11/97 67.56 68.12 67.37 6

    222 Nov 12/97 66.94 67.62 65.69 6

    223 Nov 13/97 65.94 68.50 65.69 6

    224 Nov 14/97 69.00 70.06 68.25 6

    225 Nov 17/97 70.25 71.81 70.19 7

    226 Nov 18/97 70.50 70.94 69.44 6

    227 Nov 19/97 69.50 71.06 69.37 7

    228 Nov 20/97 71.50 72.44 71.31 7

    229 Nov 21/97 72.00 73.50 70.56 7

    230 Nov 24/97 72.06 72.87 71.37 7

    231 Nov 25/97 72.50 73.00 72.12 7

    232 Nov 26/97 72.94 73.87 72.87 7

    233 Nov 28/97 73.56 74.75 73.56 7

    234 Dec 1/97 74.44 75.12 73.37 7

    235 Dec 2/97 73.56 73.94 73.25 7

    236 Dec 3/97 73.69 74.00 72.12 7

    237 Dec 4/97 73.69 73.94 72.31 7

    238 Dec 5/97 72.25 74.12 72.00 7

    239 Dec 8/97 73.50 73.75 73.12 7

    240 Dec 9/97 73.56 74.75 72.81 7

    241 Dec 10/97 74.25 74.50 72.56 7

    242 Dec 11/97 73.06 73.12 72.00 7

    243 Dec 12/97 73.00 73.37 71.75 7

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    8/199

    253 Dec 29/97 71.87 72.50 71.69 7

    254 Dec 30/97 73.87 74.37 73.25 7

    255 Dec 31/97 74.31 74.37 73.00 7

    256 Jan 2/98 73.31 74.06 72.00 7

    257 Jan 5/98 74.44 75.37 74.25 7

    258 Jan 6/98 74.56 75.19 74.00 7

    259 Jan 7/98 73.56 74.94 73.44 7

    260 Jan 8/98 74.56 75.31 74.06 7

    261 Jan 9/98 73.94 74.06 71.00 7

    262 Jan 12/98 70.50 74.62 70.25 7

    263 Jan 13/98 74.44 74.87 73.69 7

    264 Jan 14/98 74.75 74.87 73.94 7

    265 Jan 15/98 74.00 74.25 72.69 7

    266 Jan 16/98 73.69 74.81 73.06 7

    267 Jan 20/98 73.37 75.94 73.31 7

    268 Jan 21/98 75.19 76.00 75.00 7

    269 Jan 22/98 74.94 75.25 74.12 7

    270 Jan 23/98 75.56 75.87 73.62 7

    271 Jan 26/98 74.94 75.31 74.00 7

    272 Jan 27/98 74.94 77.12 74.81 7

    273 Jan 28/98 76.56 76.87 75.69 7

    274 Jan 29/98 76.25 77.87 76.12 7

    275 Jan 30/98 77.06 77.56 76.44 7

    276 Feb 2/98 78.25 78.62 77.06 7

    277 Feb 3/98 77.00 77.87 77.00 7

    278 Feb 4/98 77.00 77.81 76.87 7

    279 Feb 5/98 77.12 77.44 76.31 7

    280 Feb 6/98 77.00 78.12 76.87 7

    281 Feb 9/98 77.81 77.87 76.44 7

    282 Feb 10/98 77.06 78.69 76.81 7

    283 Feb 11/98 77.69 78.56 77.56 7

    284 Feb 12/98 77.75 78.94 76.69 7

    285 Feb 13/98 78.06 78.25 77.56 7

    286 Feb 17/98 78.44 78.87 78.00 7

    287 Feb 18/98 78.06 78.94 78.00 7

    288 Feb 19/98 78.06 78.25 77.62 7

    289 Feb 20/98 77.81 78.37 77.12 7

    290 Feb 23/98 78.12 78.25 77.31 7

    291 Feb 24/98 77.37 77.50 76.56 7

    292 Feb 25/98 77.25 77.56 76.75 7

    293 Feb 26/98 76.37 77.25 76.06 7

    294 Feb 27/98 76.50 77.81 76.50 7

    295 Mar 2/98 77.75 77.75 75.87 7

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    9/199

    305 Mar 16/98 78.87 79.56 78.69 7

    306 Mar 17/98 79.62 80.00 79.19 8

    307 Mar 18/98 79.87 80.00 79.31 7

    308 Mar 19/98 79.75 80.12 79.69 8

    309 Mar 20/98 80.50 81.69 79.87 8

    310 Mar 23/98 81.00 81.44 80.25 8

    311 Mar 24/98 81.12 82.81 80.94 8

    312 Mar 25/98 83.19 83.44 81.06 8

    313 Mar 26/98 81.56 83.06 81.56 8

    314 Mar 27/98 83.50 84.44 83.00 8

    315 Mar 30/98 83.69 85.56 83.69 8

    316 Mar 31/98 85.56 87.62 85.56 8

    317 Apr 1/98 85.75 86.94 85.31 8

    318 Apr 2/98 87.19 88.25 87.00 8

    319 Apr 3/98 89.00 89.44 87.06 8

    320 Apr 6/98 88.25 88.62 86.81 8

    321 Apr 7/98 86.56 87.25 86.50 8

    322 Apr 8/98 87.25 87.87 86.12 8

    323 Apr 9/98 86.94 87.56 86.06 8

    324 Apr 13/98 85.62 87.06 84.81 8

    325 Apr 14/98 87.12 87.72 86.44 8

    326 Apr 15/98 86.44 87.44 85.31 8

    327 Apr 16/98 86.81 86.81 85.37 8

    328 Apr 17/98 86.06 87.31 85.00 8

    329 Apr 20/98 87.12 87.19 85.75 8

    330 Apr 21/98 85.12 86.56 84.69 8

    331 Apr 22/98 86.31 86.44 85.00 8

    332 Apr 23/98 84.62 85.50 84.19 8

    333 Apr 24/98 84.50 85.44 83.00 8

    334 Apr 27/98 83.00 83.50 81.62 8

    335 Apr 28/98 83.12 83.44 80.69 8

    336 Apr 29/98 82.50 83.44 81.50 8

    337 Apr 30/98 83.44 85.87 83.25 8

    338 May 1/98 85.44 85.69 84.56 8

    339 May 4/98 85.44 86.00 84.31 8

    340 May 5/98 84.62 84.87 83.12 8

    341 May 6/98 83.75 84.19 82.94 8

    342 May 7/98 83.19 83.25 81.75 8

    343 May 8/98 82.50 84.50 82.44 8

    344 May 11/98 83.81 84.19 82.31 8

    345 May 12/98 83.19 83.56 81.94 8

    346 May 13/98 83.87 85.06 83.44 8

    347 May 14/98 84.56 85.31 84.00 8

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    10/199

    357 May 29/98 84.75 84.94 82.56 8

    358 Jun 1/98 83.37 83.94 82.06 8

    359 Jun 2/98 83.37 83.69 82.31 8

    360 Jun 3/98 82.62 82.87 81.25 8

    361 Jun 4/98 81.31 83.44 80.87 8

    362 Jun 5/98 83.62 84.81 82.87 8

    363 Jun 8/98 84.75 85.06 84.25 8

    364 Jun 9/98 84.06 85.19 83.87 8

    365 Jun 10/98 84.25 86.81 84.19 8

    366 Jun 11/98 85.00 85.37 83.62 8

    367 Jun 12/98 84.00 85.62 83.69 8

    368 Jun 15/98 84.75 86.12 83.75 8

    369 Jun 16/98 84.44 85.37 84.06 8

    370 Jun 17/98 86.19 88.00 86.00 8

    371 Jun 18/98 87.44 88.37 87.19 8

    372 Jun 19/98 87.94 88.69 86.69 8

    373 Jun 22/98 86.87 87.56 86.06 8

    374 Jun 23/98 87.00 88.31 86.62 8

    375 Jun 24/98 88.00 90.25 87.62 8

    376 Jun 25/98 89.75 90.12 89.19 8

    377 Jun 26/98 89.94 90.44 89.62 9

    378 Jun 29/98 90.56 91.75 90.50 9

    379 Jun 30/98 90.94 92.00 90.37 9

    380 Jul 1/98 91.69 91.87 90.06 9

    381 Jul 2/98 91.19 91.25 90.44 9

    382 Jul 6/98 90.62 92.12 90.44 9

    383 Jul 7/98 92.19 93.50 92.00 9

    384 Jul 8/98 93.00 93.37 92.31 9

    385 Jul 9/98 93.19 96.19 93.12 9

    386 Jul 10/98 94.31 94.31 93.00 9

    387 Jul 13/98 95.00 95.00 93.56 9

    388 Jul 14/98 93.75 95.37 93.69 9

    389 Jul 15/98 94.87 95.06 93.56 9

    390 Jul 16/98 94.50 96.25 94.25 9

    391 Jul 17/98 96.00 96.87 95.81 9

    392 Jul 20/98 96.56 96.62 94.62 9

    393 Jul 21/98 95.62 96.00 92.19 9

    394 Jul 22/98 92.12 92.37 90.50 9

    395 Jul 23/98 91.06 91.56 89.81 9

    396 Jul 24/98 90.81 92.25 89.87 9

    397 Jul 27/98 91.00 92.75 90.37 9

    398 Jul 28/98 91.69 92.25 89.62 9

    399 Jul 29/98 91.50 91.75 89.25 8

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    11/199

    409 Aug 12/98 88.50 89.62 87.81 8

    410 Aug 13/98 88.94 89.87 87.87 8

    411 Aug 14/98 87.94 89.44 86.62 8

    412 Aug 17/98 87.06 89.44 86.50 8

    413 Aug 18/98 89.37 91.31 89.37 9

    414 Aug 19/98 91.19 91.94 90.56 9

    415 Aug 20/98 90.31 91.56 90.19 9

    416 Aug 21/98 89.75 89.81 87.06 8

    417 Aug 24/98 89.50 90.19 89.06 8

    418 Aug 25/98 90.19 91.69 89.31 9

    419 Aug 26/98 89.56 90.87 88.62 9

    420 Aug 27/98 89.12 89.44 85.31 8

    421 Aug 28/98 86.81 87.94 84.75 8

    422 Aug 31/98 85.94 86.44 80.00 8

    423 Sep 1/98 81.00 84.50 78.00 8

    424 Sep 2/98 83.44 84.25 80.06 8

    425 Sep 3/98 79.31 79.87 77.00 7

    426 Sep 4/98 79.00 79.44 72.62 7

    427 Sep 8/98 82.00 82.25 78.37 8

    428 Sep 9/98 82.00 83.25 79.50 8

    429 Sep 10/98 77.75 78.44 75.12 7

    430 Sep 11/98 76.44 79.81 75.25 7

    431 Sep 14/98 79.94 80.87 78.75 7

    432 Sep 15/98 78.37 78.44 76.50 7

    433 Sep 16/98 81.12 81.50 78.37 7

    434 Sep 17/98 77.62 79.00 77.37 7

    435 Sep 18/98 78.12 78.37 77.00 7

    436 Sep 21/98 75.25 79.37 75.12 7

    437 Sep 22/98 80.50 80.62 79.25 7

    438 Sep 23/98 81.00 84.25 80.44 8

    439 Sep 24/98 82.50 83.94 80.19 8

    440 Sep 25/98 80.25 83.94 80.00 8

    441 Sep 28/98 83.56 84.94 82.75 8

    442 Sep 29/98 84.31 84.31 81.31 8

    443 Sep 30/98 82.00 82.06 78.50 7

    444 Oct 1/98 78.06 78.44 74.62 7

    445 Oct 2/98 74.87 75.44 70.62 7

    446 Oct 5/98 74.69 74.75 70.37 7

    447 Oct 6/98 75.50 75.94 72.25 7

    448 Oct 7/98 74.62 75.81 71.25 7

    449 Oct 8/98 73.06 73.94 69.00 7

    450 Oct 9/98 72.00 72.50 69.25 7

    451 Oct 12/98 74.50 75.37 73.50 7

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    12/199

    461 Oct 26/98 85.87 87.75 85.62 8

    462 Oct 27/98 87.81 87.81 85.12 8

    463 Oct 28/98 85.44 85.81 84.31 8

    464 Oct 29/98 84.94 86.94 84.06 8

    465 Oct 30/98 87.75 88.94 87.06 8

    466 Nov 2/98 87.62 89.00 87.25 8

    467 Nov 3/98 87.50 89.44 87.44 8

    468 Nov 4/98 89.06 90.00 88.22 8

    469 Nov 5/98 88.31 90.81 88.00 9

    470 Nov 6/98 90.56 91.19 90.06 9

    471 Nov 9/98 90.44 90.44 88.25 8

    472 Nov 10/98 88.75 90.50 88.62 8

    473 Nov 11/98 89.25 90.06 86.87 8

    474 Nov 12/98 87.12 88.06 86.12 8

    475 Nov 13/98 87.37 88.87 87.19 8

    476 Nov 16/98 88.81 90.56 88.81 9

    477 Nov 17/98 90.00 92.00 89.56 9

    478 Nov 18/98 89.87 92.00 89.25 9

    479 Nov 19/98 91.94 92.87 91.31 9

    480 Nov 20/98 92.62 92.75 91.75 9

    481 Nov 23/98 92.69 94.62 92.69 9

    482 Nov 24/98 93.75 94.56 93.56 9

    483 Nov 25/98 93.81 94.44 92.75 9

    484 Nov 27/98 92.94 93.06 92.25 9

    485 Nov 30/98 91.56 92.12 90.37 9

    486 Dec 1/98 89.56 91.56 89.12 9

    487 Dec 2/98 90.12 91.19 89.56 9

    488 Dec 3/98 89.50 90.50 88.00 8

    489 Dec 4/98 89.06 90.37 89.00 9

    490 Dec 7/98 90.31 91.56 90.12 9

    491 Dec 8/98 89.87 90.81 89.06 9

    492 Dec 9/98 90.25 91.00 89.37 9

    493 Dec 10/98 90.12 90.12 88.31 8

    494 Dec 11/98 88.37 89.25 86.69 8

    495 Dec 14/98 88.25 88.75 86.19 8

    496 Dec 15/98 88.06 93.50 88.06 9

    497 Dec 16/98 93.19 93.19 91.56 9

    498 Dec 17/98 91.69 94.31 91.69 9

    499 Dec 18/98 94.25 97.00 94.12 9

    500 Dec 21/98 96.87 99.50 96.87 9

    501 Dec 22/98 98.12 99.25 97.69 9

    502 Dec 23/98 99.06 101.69 99.06 10

    503 Dec 24/98 101.37 102.00 100.87 10

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    13/199

    513 Jan 11/99 101.00 102.37 98.81 9

    514 Jan 12/99 99.50 100.25 97.12 9

    515 Jan 13/99 95.00 98.50 94.06 9

    516 Jan 14/99 97.00 98.25 96.31 9

    517 Jan 15/99 98.87 100.94 98.37 10

    518 Jan 19/99 101.00 101.75 99.56 10

    519 Jan 20/99 101.81 102.19 99.37 10

    520 Jan 21/99 100.37 101.25 99.00 9

    521 Jan 22/99 98.81 99.81 97.37 9

    522 Jan 25/99 98.00 101.37 98.00 10

    523 Jan 26/99 100.50 102.12 99.94 10

    524 Jan 27/99 102.87 103.00 101.50 10

    525 Jan 28/99 101.75 104.19 101.75 10

    526 Jan 29/99 103.50 105.00 102.25 10

    527 Feb 1/99 104.94 104.94 102.12 10

    528 Feb 2/99 102.00 102.31 99.69 10

    529 Feb 3/99 101.62 104.69 101.37 10

    530 Feb 4/99 102.94 103.50 99.75 10

    531 Feb 5/99 99.69 100.12 96.50 9

    532 Feb 8/99 98.19 98.87 96.75 9

    533 Feb 9/99 97.00 97.87 95.81 9

    534 Feb 10/99 95.75 98.62 95.75 9

    535 Feb 11/99 97.94 100.12 97.31 10

    536 Feb 12/99 99.81 99.81 96.31 9

    537 Feb 16/99 98.56 99.94 97.31 9

    538 Feb 17/99 98.25 101.37 98.00 9

    539 Feb 18/99 100.00 101.37 98.44 10

    540 Feb 19/99 100.44 101.44 99.87 10

    541 Feb 22/99 100.37 104.00 100.19 10

    542 Feb 23/99 103.50 104.50 102.12 10

    543 Feb 24/99 103.00 104.44 100.69 10

    544 Feb 25/99 100.62 101.62 98.06 10545 Feb 26/99 101.00 101.44 98.81 10

    546 Mar 1/99 100.12 101.56 98.50 10

    547 Mar 2/99 101.44 101.75 98.56 9

    548 Mar 3/99 99.00 100.12 97.56 9

    549 Mar 4/99 98.94 100.62 98.75 10

    550 Mar 5/99 102.00 103.87 101.87 10

    551 Mar 8/99 103.94 105.37 103.62 10

    552 Mar 9/99 104.31 107.19 104.12 10

    553 Mar 10/99 106.19 106.44 104.87 10

    554 Mar 11/99 106.56 107.75 105.87 10

    555 Mar 12/99 107.62 108.69 107.06 10

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    14/199

    565 Mar 26/99 108.69 108.87 107.25 10

    566 Mar 29/99 108.00 112.37 108.00 11

    567 Mar 30/99 111.75 113.81 110.62 11

    568 Mar 31/99 114.00 114.19 110.37 11

    569 Apr 1/99 111.00 112.44 110.56 11

    570 Apr 5/99 112.50 114.81 112.44 11

    571 Apr 6/99 113.87 114.25 112.25 11

    572 Apr 7/99 114.12 114.50 111.62 11

    573 Apr 8/99 113.62 114.50 112.44 11

    574 Apr 9/99 113.87 114.44 111.81 11

    575 Apr 12/99 110.62 116.50 110.62 11

    576 Apr 13/99 114.00 117.44 114.00 11

    577 Apr 14/99 116.87 117.06 114.00 11

    578 Apr 15/99 113.50 113.81 110.19 11

    579 Apr 16/99 111.75 112.19 109.94 11

    580 Apr 19/99 111.25 112.12 100.50 10

    581 Apr 20/99 104.50 109.56 103.87 10

    582 Apr 21/99 109.19 113.56 108.50 11

    583 Apr 22/99 114.87 114.87 111.56 11

    584 Apr 23/99 112.37 114.37 112.25 11

    585 Apr 26/99 113.12 113.50 111.25 11

    586 Apr 27/99 114.06 114.94 111.31 11

    587 Apr 28/99 111.12 112.87 110.62 11

    588 Apr 29/99 111.00 111.44 106.12 10

    589 Apr 30/99 109.50 110.25 103.69 10

    590 May 3/99 105.44 106.12 103.25 10

    591 May 4/99 105.00 105.56 103.37 10

    592 May 5/99 104.94 109.62 104.94 10

    593 May 6/99 109.94 110.87 106.12 10

    594 May 7/99 108.37 110.50 108.37 10

    595 May 10/99 109.69 110.87 108.06 10

    596 May 11/99 109.87 111.75 108.75 11597 May 12/99 110.69 110.69 108.25 11

    598 May 13/99 110.94 111.31 109.00 10

    599 May 14/99 107.50 107.87 104.87 10

    600 May 17/99 105.44 106.69 104.56 10

    601 May 18/99 106.19 106.37 102.56 10

    602 May 19/99 105.37 108.25 105.25 10

    603 May 20/99 108.25 109.31 106.19 10

    604 May 21/99 106.62 107.25 104.00 10

    605 May 24/99 105.12 105.44 102.56 10

    606 May 25/99 104.06 105.00 102.06 10

    607 May 26/99 103.50 103.56 101.50 10

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    15/199

    617 Jun 10/99 102.00 102.06 99.81 10

    618 Jun 11/99 101.00 102.62 100.19 10

    619 Jun 14/99 101.06 104.00 101.00 10

    620 Jun 15/99 103.19 105.56 103.00 10

    621 Jun 16/99 105.06 107.75 105.06 10

    622 Jun 17/99 106.25 108.69 106.19 10

    623 Jun 18/99 108.06 108.44 107.25 10

    624 Jun 21/99 107.69 107.69 105.00 10

    625 Jun 22/99 105.50 106.87 105.00 10

    626 Jun 23/99 105.37 106.25 103.81 10

    627 Jun 24/99 104.44 107.25 103.19 10

    628 Jun 25/99 107.31 107.44 103.81 10

    629 Jun 28/99 105.19 106.62 105.19 10

    630 Jun 29/99 106.81 109.69 106.12 10

    631 Jun 30/99 109.00 113.00 107.25 11

    632 Jul 1/99 112.06 112.31 110.81 11

    633 Jul 2/99 111.75 112.94 111.19 11

    634 Jul 6/99 111.87 115.00 111.87 11

    635 Jul 7/99 114.44 118.75 114.12 11

    636 Jul 8/99 116.75 118.06 115.37 11

    637 Jul 9/99 117.00 117.87 115.94 11

    638 Jul 12/99 117.25 117.31 114.69 11

    639 Jul 13/99 114.25 115.81 114.19 11

    640 Jul 14/99 115.81 116.37 114.62 11

    641 Jul 15/99 116.50 117.56 116.25 11

    642 Jul 16/99 117.44 119.00 117.19 11

    643 Jul 19/99 119.00 120.00 118.00 12

    644 Jul 20/99 119.44 119.56 117.31 11

    645 Jul 21/99 117.06 117.87 116.12 11

    646 Jul 22/99 116.62 117.81 114.44 11

    647 Jul 23/99 115.00 116.06 113.94 11

    648 Jul 26/99 114.56 115.81 113.81 11649 Jul 27/99 115.00 116.87 113.81 11

    650 Jul 28/99 116.00 116.00 113.75 11

    651 Jul 29/99 113.00 113.00 110.06 11

    652 Jul 30/99 111.81 112.31 108.69 10

    653 Aug 2/99 108.06 109.94 107.62 10

    654 Aug 3/99 108.25 108.94 106.62 10

    655 Aug 4/99 107.62 109.94 106.62 10

    656 Aug 5/99 107.00 109.69 105.00 10

    657 Aug 6/99 108.12 108.94 106.12 10

    658 Aug 9/99 106.44 106.87 104.87 10

    659 Aug 10/99 104.62 106.00 102.56 10

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    16/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    17/199

    721 Nov 5/99 133.19 134.81 133.19 13

    722 Nov 8/99 133.81 134.69 132.81 13

    723 Nov 9/99 134.56 134.56 132.50 13

    724 Nov 10/99 132.63 134.31 131.81 13

    725 Nov 11/99 134.00 134.56 133.25 13

    726 Nov 12/99 135.44 135.81 133.25 13

    727 Nov 15/99 135.25 136.38 134.19 13

    728 Nov 16/99 135.88 139.69 135.00 13

    729 Nov 17/99 138.69 141.31 138.06 14

    730 Nov 18/99 140.00 140.94 137.69 13

    731 Nov 19/99 139.50 140.25 137.38 13

    732 Nov 22/99 137.81 140.38 135.75 14

    733 Nov 23/99 139.63 139.63 137.06 13

    734 Nov 24/99 137.63 138.38 136.50 13

    735 Nov 26/99 136.63 137.63 135.63 13

    736 Nov 29/99 135.00 135.00 132.56 13

    737 Nov 30/99 131.75 133.00 129.88 13

    738 Dec 1/99 130.25 134.94 130.06 13

    739 Dec 2/99 136.13 136.13 133.31 13

    740 Dec 3/99 135.69 138.88 135.56 13

    741 Dec 6/99 136.31 138.56 136.00 13

    742 Dec 7/99 138.50 140.00 136.50 14

    743 Dec 8/99 138.50 143.00 138.50 14

    744 Dec 9/99 144.25 144.94 141.13 14

    745 Dec 10/99 143.56 147.88 143.50 14

    746 Dec 13/99 147.13 149.25 145.69 14

    747 Dec 14/99 149.00 150.50 147.88 14

    748 Dec 15/99 149.88 150.38 144.06 14

    749 Dec 16/99 146.13 147.63 143.75 14

    750 Dec 17/99 147.75 154.75 147.63 15

    751 Dec 20/99 153.25 154.25 151.81 15

    752 Dec 21/99 153.69 158.25 153.25 15753 Dec 22/99 158.38 159.13 155.13 15

    754 Dec 23/99 158.88 159.25 156.00 15

    755 Dec 27/99 157.75 159.50 155.94 15

    756 Dec 28/99 158.44 158.50 156.06 15

    757 Dec 29/99 158.00 158.00 156.25 15

    758 Dec 30/99 157.25 157.25 154.44 15

    759 Dec 31/99 154.75 155.63 153.81 15

    760 Jan 3/00 153.00 153.69 149.19 15

    761 Jan 4/00 147.25 148.00 144.00 14

    762 Jan 5/00 143.75 147.00 142.56 14

    763 Jan 6/00 143.13 146.94 142.63 14

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    18/199

    773 Jan 21/00 147.94 148.25 143.94 14

    774 Jan 24/00 145.31 145.94 136.44 13

    775 Jan 25/00 138.06 140.38 137.00 13

    776 Jan 26/00 140.50 142.19 138.88 14

    777 Jan 27/00 141.56 141.75 137.06 14

    778 Jan 28/00 140.31 140.50 133.63 13

    779 Jan 31/00 134.00 135.94 133.06 13

    780 Feb 1/00 134.25 137.00 134.00 13

    781 Feb 2/00 137.13 137.63 134.06 13

    782 Feb 3/00 135.94 139.81 135.25 13

    783 Feb 4/00 141.00 143.13 140.50 14

    784 Feb 7/00 141.69 141.75 135.88 13

    785 Feb 8/00 136.56 138.44 136.50 13

    786 Feb 9/00 137.00 137.69 134.06 13

    787 Feb 10/00 134.56 136.94 133.13 13

    788 Feb 11/00 135.06 137.31 133.56 13

    789 Feb 14/00 133.75 135.94 133.56 13

    790 Feb 15/00 134.00 139.00 133.94 13

    791 Feb 16/00 136.63 136.94 134.38 13

    792 Feb 17/00 134.88 135.63 130.00 13

    793 Feb 18/00 131.00 131.94 124.94 12

    794 Feb 22/00 126.25 130.00 125.06 12

    795 Feb 23/00 130.00 132.94 128.38 13

    796 Feb 24/00 130.31 132.94 126.06 13

    797 Feb 25/00 129.50 130.94 125.69 12

    798 Feb 28/00 126.00 132.25 126.00 12

    799 Feb 29/00 130.63 134.00 130.13 13

    800 Mar 1/00 133.50 133.88 130.75 13

    801 Mar 2/00 131.38 136.13 130.88 13

    802 Mar 3/00 137.25 140.50 137.06 13

    803 Mar 6/00 139.50 139.50 134.63 13

    804 Mar 7/00 137.38 137.38 129.63 12805 Mar 8/00 130.25 132.44 129.06 13

    806 Mar 9/00 130.31 132.00 127.19 12

    807 Mar 10/00 130.88 134.06 130.00 13

    808 Mar 13/00 129.00 130.50 127.62 12

    809 Mar 14/00 129.63 129.75 126.81 12

    810 Mar 15/00 126.87 134.69 126.25 13

    811 Mar 16/00 133.69 139.44 133.50 13

    812 Mar 17/00 138.13 141.44 137.19 13

    813 Mar 20/00 139.88 141.75 137.63 14

    814 Mar 21/00 138.75 151.44 138.06 15

    815 Mar 22/00 150.50 151.94 148.63 15

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    19/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    20/199

    877 Jun 20/00 51.94 51.94 50.13 5

    878 Jun 21/00 50.06 50.38 49.19 4

    879 Jun 22/00 49.19 50.00 47.94 4

    880 Jun 23/00 48.69 49.88 48.56 4

    881 Jun 26/00 49.38 50.06 49.06 4

    882 Jun 27/00 50.00 50.31 49.06 4

    883 Jun 28/00 49.75 50.81 49.56 5

    884 Jun 29/00 50.50 50.50 49.31 4

    885 Jun 30/00 49.25 53.11 49.06 5

    886 Jul 3/00 52.50 52.50 51.38 5

    887 Jul 5/00 52.25 52.25 49.50 4

    888 Jul 6/00 50.06 51.00 49.81 5

    889 Jul 7/00 50.75 51.50 50.31 5

    890 Jul 10/00 51.31 52.63 51.13 5

    891 Jul 11/00 52.31 53.38 52.06 5

    892 Jul 12/00 53.88 53.88 52.25 5

    893 Jul 13/00 53.25 54.00 51.94 5

    894 Jul 14/00 52.31 52.50 51.50 5

    895 Jul 17/00 51.56 54.44 51.56 5

    896 Jul 18/00 53.63 53.75 52.25 5

    897 Jul 19/00 52.94 53.31 52.56 5

    898 Jul 20/00 53.19 54.75 52.81 5

    899 Jul 21/00 54.63 54.75 53.63 5

    900 Jul 24/00 54.19 54.63 53.63 5

    901 Jul 25/00 54.00 54.19 53.50 5

    902 Jul 26/00 53.94 53.94 52.13 5

    903 Jul 27/00 52.63 53.06 52.25 5

    904 Jul 28/00 52.50 52.63 50.38 5

    905 Jul 31/00 51.63 52.88 51.44 5

    906 Aug 1/00 51.94 52.88 51.81 5

    907 Aug 2/00 52.44 52.81 51.50 5

    908 Aug 3/00 53.88 53.88 51.88 5

    909 Aug 4/00 51.88 53.50 51.19 5

    910 Aug 7/00 52.13 53.63 52.13 5

    911 Aug 8/00 53.06 53.81 52.00 5

    912 Aug 9/00 53.88 56.19 53.63 5

    913 Aug 10/00 55.88 57.19 55.50 5

    914 Aug 11/00 56.13 57.38 55.75 5

    915 Aug 14/00 56.38 57.19 55.81 5

    916 Aug 15/00 56.75 57.38 56.19 5

    917 Aug 16/00 57.25 57.25 56.19 5

    918 Aug 17/00 56.31 57.25 56.00 5

    919 Aug 18/00 56.19 56.50 55.75 5

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    21/199

    929 Sep 1/00 59.25 59.69 57.81 5

    930 Sep 5/00 58.44 58.94 57.81 5

    931 Sep 6/00 58.94 59.25 58.50 5

    932 Sep 7/00 58.88 59.19 58.19 5

    933 Sep 8/00 58.81 60.00 58.25 5

    934 Sep 11/00 59.50 60.06 58.69 5

    935 Sep 12/00 59.50 59.75 58.94 5

    936 Sep 13/00 58.81 59.63 58.56 5

    937 Sep 14/00 59.19 59.38 58.31 5

    938 Sep 15/00 58.50 58.63 56.38 5

    939 Sep 18/00 56.69 58.38 56.63 5

    940 Sep 19/00 57.56 57.94 56.63 5

    941 Sep 20/00 56.63 57.06 55.00 5

    942 Sep 21/00 55.63 57.88 55.56 5

    943 Sep 22/00 57.88 58.00 55.13 5

    944 Sep 25/00 57.00 58.31 56.88 5

    945 Sep 26/00 57.06 58.81 57.06 5

    946 Sep 27/00 58.19 59.50 57.81 5

    947 Sep 28/00 59.19 59.75 58.63 5

    948 Sep 29/00 58.38 58.88 57.69 5

    949 Oct 2/00 58.00 58.88 57.75 5

    950 Oct 3/00 58.63 59.88 58.50 5

    951 Oct 4/00 58.88 59.75 58.63 5

    952 Oct 5/00 59.13 59.94 58.75 5

    953 Oct 6/00 59.50 59.94 57.81 5

    954 Oct 9/00 59.13 59.81 58.44 5

    955 Oct 10/00 58.75 59.19 57.56 5

    956 Oct 11/00 56.75 57.69 55.31 5

    957 Oct 12/00 56.56 57.13 54.00 5

    958 Oct 13/00 54.63 57.63 54.50 5

    959 Oct 16/00 57.00 57.88 56.63 5

    960 Oct 17/00 57.69 57.69 54.94 5

    961 Oct 18/00 53.75 55.81 52.88 5

    962 Oct 19/00 55.50 55.94 54.75 5

    963 Oct 20/00 54.75 55.25 51.63 5

    964 Oct 23/00 51.63 52.00 49.00 4

    965 Oct 24/00 50.50 53.38 50.06 5

    966 Oct 25/00 53.38 53.88 52.13 5

    967 Oct 26/00 53.00 53.38 51.38 5

    968 Oct 27/00 52.69 53.19 51.81 5

    969 Oct 30/00 52.44 54.00 52.25 5

    970 Oct 31/00 54.13 54.94 53.81 5

    971 Nov 1/00 54.75 54.94 53.88 5

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    22/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    23/199

    1033 Feb 1/01 46.50 46.73 45.90 4

    1034 Feb 2/01 46.25 46.90 45.85 4

    1035 Feb 5/01 46.38 48.10 46.05 4

    1036 Feb 6/01 47.85 48.09 47.20 4

    1037 Feb 7/01 47.67 47.80 46.62 4

    1038 Feb 8/01 47.75 48.15 47.03 4

    1039 Feb 9/01 47.14 47.15 45.39 4

    1040 Feb 12/01 45.66 47.82 45.66 4

    1041 Feb 13/01 47.66 47.99 47.13 4

    1042 Feb 14/01 47.16 47.19 46.12 4

    1043 Feb 15/01 46.30 48.10 46.15 4

    1044 Feb 16/01 46.50 47.33 46.26 4

    1045 Feb 20/01 47.20 48.31 47.17 4

    1046 Feb 21/01 47.70 48.45 47.22 4

    1047 Feb 22/01 47.35 47.50 46.06 4

    Feb 23/01 46.55 47.00 45.02 4

    Feb 26/01 47.00 48.01 46.20 4

    Feb 27/01 47.48 48.00 47.00 4

    Feb 28/01 48.00 48.24 45.60 4

    Mar 1/01 45.50 46.07 44.91 4

    Mar 2/01 45.35 45.66 44.52 4

    Mar 5/01 44.75 45.36 44.60 4

    Mar 6/01 46.25 46.60 45.32 4

    Mar 7/01 45.47 46.26 45.47 4

    Mar 8/01 46.15 46.36 45.00 4

    Mar 9/01 45.25 45.37 43.45 4

    Mar 12/01 43.00 43.30 38.60 3

    Mar 13/01 41.50 42.50 40.75 4

    Mar 14/01 40.75 42.25 40.10 4

    Mar 15/01 41.50 41.85 40.70 4

    Mar 16/01 40.40 41.75 40.10 4

    Mar 19/01 40.70 41.62 40.15 4

    Mar 20/01 41.50 42.10 40.00 4

    Mar 21/01 40.05 40.60 38.87 3

    Mar 22/01 38.75 38.81 36.42 3

    Mar 23/01 38.75 39.99 38.15 3

    Mar 26/01 40.50 41.00 40.05 4

    Mar 27/01 40.75 42.24 40.55 4

    Mar 28/01 41.25 41.60 40.80 4

    Mar 29/01 41.30 41.48 40.70 4

    Mar 30/01 41.75 41.92 41.22 4

    Apr 2/01 41.52 42.65 40.88 4

    Apr 3/01 41.55 41.59 39.26 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    24/199

    Apr 18/01 45.88 47.96 45.52 4

    Apr 19/01 47.50 48.55 47.33 4

    Apr 20/01 48.51 48.51 47.50 4

    Apr 23/01 47.75 47.76 46.88 4

    Apr 24/01 47.00 47.80 45.89 4

    Apr 25/01 46.70 48.48 46.40 4

    Apr 26/01 48.95 49.39 48.49 4

    Apr 27/01 49.30 49.95 48.29 4

    Apr 30/01 49.99 50.01 48.01 4

    May 1/01 48.05 48.95 47.80 4

    May 2/01 49.03 49.44 48.12 4

    May 3/01 49.10 49.11 48.01 4

    May 4/01 47.60 49.98 47.51 4

    May 7/01 49.93 50.00 49.48 4

    May 8/01 49.96 50.00 48.71 4

    May 9/01 49.00 50.40 48.76 4

    May 10/01 50.15 50.20 49.41 4

    May 11/01 49.84 50.00 48.51 4

    May 14/01 49.01 49.99 48.79 4

    May 15/01 49.73 50.36 49.30 5

    May 16/01 49.99 52.25 49.65 5

    May 17/01 52.00 52.63 51.70 5

    May 18/01 52.11 52.99 51.94 5

    May 21/01 52.99 53.55 52.70 5

    May 22/01 53.15 53.29 51.70 5

    May 23/01 52.45 52.83 51.19 5

    May 24/01 51.25 51.93 50.75 5

    May 25/01 51.20 51.20 49.55 4

    May 29/01 50.39 50.55 49.65 4

    May 30/01 49.67 50.05 49.00 4

    May 31/01 49.15 49.65 48.75 4

    Jun 1/01 48.99 49.41 48.00 4

    Jun 4/01 49.10 49.62 48.91 4

    Jun 5/01 49.20 49.35 48.62 4

    Jun 6/01 49.00 49.29 48.41 4

    Jun 7/01 48.75 48.98 48.17 4

    Jun 8/01 48.84 48.84 47.79 4

    Jun 11/01 47.85 48.95 47.22 4

    Jun 12/01 47.40 49.27 46.26 4

    Jun 13/01 48.10 49.29 47.70 4

    Jun 14/01 48.77 50.21 47.85 4

    Jun 15/01 48.30 49.35 48.00 4

    Jun 18/01 49.00 49.72 48.54 4

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    25/199

    Jul 2/01 48.92 50.20 48.88 5

    Jul 3/01 49.50 49.90 49.26 4

    Jul 5/01 48.80 49.40 48.40 4

    Jul 6/01 48.20 48.23 46.60 4

    Jul 9/01 46.90 47.13 46.30 4

    Jul 10/01 46.75 47.24 45.69 4

    Jul 11/01 45.80 45.94 44.30 4

    Jul 12/01 45.90 47.20 44.90 4

    Jul 13/01 46.60 47.75 46.14 4

    Jul 16/01 47.15 47.50 45.78 4

    Jul 17/01 45.75 46.52 45.40 4

    Jul 18/01 45.60 46.25 45.40 4

    Jul 19/01 46.30 47.45 46.03 4

    Jul 20/01 46.70 46.95 46.18 4

    Jul 23/01 46.50 46.62 45.20 4

    Jul 24/01 45.40 45.55 43.25 4

    Jul 25/01 44.40 44.91 43.15 4

    Jul 26/01 43.95 44.10 43.25 4

    Jul 27/01 44.15 44.85 43.85 4

    Jul 30/01 44.55 44.90 43.40 4

    Jul 31/01 43.35 44.25 42.99 4

    Aug 1/01 43.00 43.53 42.40 4

    Aug 2/01 43.10 43.18 42.10 4

    Aug 3/01 42.30 42.80 41.90 4

    Aug 6/01 42.40 42.51 41.28 4

    Aug 7/01 41.45 42.85 41.26 4

    Aug 8/01 42.35 42.50 41.50 4

    Aug 9/01 41.65 42.25 41.30 4

    Aug 10/01 42.00 42.81 41.39 4

    Aug 13/01 42.50 43.11 42.02 4

    Aug 14/01 42.60 42.75 41.70 4

    Aug 15/01 42.00 42.31 41.71 4

    Aug 16/01 41.53 41.90 41.00 4

    Aug 17/01 41.30 41.40 40.35 4

    Aug 20/01 41.00 41.90 40.41 4

    Aug 21/01 41.52 41.83 40.40 4

    Aug 22/01 40.55 41.30 40.29 4

    Aug 23/01 40.90 41.31 40.61 4

    Aug 24/01 41.10 42.26 41.01 4

    Aug 27/01 42.00 42.56 41.65 4

    Aug 28/01 42.25 42.30 41.15 4

    Aug 29/01 41.65 41.65 40.61 4

    Aug 30/01 40.70 41.50 39.84 4

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    26/199

    Sep 20/01 31.30 31.53 30.37 3

    Sep 21/01 29.00 32.51 28.50 3

    Sep 24/01 33.75 35.47 32.75 3

    Sep 25/01 35.21 36.13 34.67 3

    Sep 26/01 36.00 36.00 35.00 3

    Sep 27/01 35.60 36.00 35.02 3

    Sep 28/01 36.30 37.30 36.02 3

    Oct 1/01 37.30 37.76 37.05 3

    Oct 2/01 37.55 38.11 36.69 3

    Oct 3/01 37.65 38.47 37.40 3

    Oct 4/01 38.45 38.70 37.10 3

    Oct 5/01 37.39 37.69 36.21 3

    Oct 8/01 36.75 37.25 36.25 3

    Oct 9/01 36.80 37.17 36.41 3

    Oct 10/01 36.81 38.14 36.51 3

    Oct 11/01 38.40 39.49 38.30 3

    Oct 12/01 38.94 39.14 37.51 3

    Oct 15/01 38.55 39.08 38.06 3

    Oct 16/01 38.86 39.25 38.10 3

    Oct 17/01 38.75 38.76 37.02 3

    Oct 18/01 37.10 37.50 36.85 3

    Oct 19/01 37.00 37.40 36.54 3

    Oct 22/01 37.15 37.80 37.01 3

    Oct 23/01 38.00 38.05 36.92 3

    Oct 24/01 37.28 37.90 36.90 3

    Oct 25/01 36.85 37.96 36.04 3

    Oct 26/01 38.24 38.98 37.60 3

    Oct 29/01 38.65 38.75 37.35 3

    Oct 30/01 36.75 36.98 36.32 3

    Oct 31/01 36.60 37.15 36.25 3

    Nov 1/01 36.25 38.23 36.05 3

    Nov 2/01 37.60 38.40 37.08 3

    Nov 5/01 38.60 39.10 38.44 3

    Nov 6/01 38.77 39.98 38.45 3

    Nov 7/01 39.65 39.96 39.09 3

    Nov 8/01 39.55 40.47 39.45 4

    Nov 9/01 40.29 40.48 39.84 4

    Nov 12/01 39.90 40.15 38.61 3

    Nov 13/01 40.00 40.59 39.80 4

    Nov 14/01 40.95 41.40 40.51 4

    Nov 15/01 40.88 41.60 40.80 4

    Nov 16/01 41.55 41.55 40.26 4

    Nov 19/01 41.15 41.58 40.70 4

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    27/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    28/199

    Feb 20/02 36.53 37.75 36.15 3

    Feb 21/02 37.98 38.46 37.38 3

    Feb 22/02 37.52 38.38 37.08 3

    Feb 25/02 38.05 39.28 38.00 3

    Feb 26/02 39.20 39.25 38.50 3

    Feb 27/02 39.25 39.48 38.50 3

    Feb 28/02 39.25 39.65 38.46 3

    Mar 1/02 39.10 39.45 38.70 3

    Mar 4/02 39.80 40.25 39.47 4

    Mar 5/02 39.95 40.80 39.80 4

    Mar 6/02 40.50 41.67 40.40 4

    Mar 7/02 41.75 41.80 40.40 4

    Mar 8/02 41.50 41.84 40.24 4

    Mar 11/02 41.00 41.37 40.86 4

    Mar 12/02 40.50 41.53 40.33 4

    Mar 13/02 40.75 40.76 39.92 4

    Mar 14/02 40.25 40.55 40.00 4

    Mar 15/02 40.55 40.90 39.91 4

    Mar 18/02 40.25 40.55 39.73 3

    Mar 19/02 40.00 40.10 39.59 3

    Mar 20/02 39.74 40.14 38.50 3

    Mar 21/02 38.30 38.60 36.83 3

    Mar 22/02 37.52 37.99 37.03 3

    Mar 25/02 38.12 38.23 37.00 3

    Mar 26/02 37.10 37.82 37.00 3

    Mar 27/02 37.27 38.07 37.05 3

    Mar 28/02 37.70 37.94 37.24 3

    Apr 1/02 37.05 37.45 36.60 3

    Apr 2/02 37.20 37.20 36.70 3

    Apr 3/02 37.10 37.22 36.00 3

    Apr 4/02 36.75 37.35 36.64 3

    Apr 5/02 37.60 37.80 36.77 3

    Apr 8/02 36.50 36.89 36.38 3

    Apr 9/02 36.80 36.95 36.26 3

    Apr 10/02 36.53 37.36 36.40 3

    Apr 11/02 36.70 36.77 33.50 3

    Apr 12/02 34.45 34.45 33.00 3

    Apr 15/02 33.10 33.25 31.64 3

    Apr 16/02 32.50 33.36 32.19 3

    Apr 17/02 33.50 33.98 33.21 3

    Apr 18/02 33.66 34.02 33.00 3

    Apr 19/02 34.15 34.15 33.52 3

    Apr 22/02 33.55 33.55 32.80 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    29/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    30/199

    Jul 19/02 27.10 27.70 26.25 2

    Jul 22/02 26.50 26.89 25.34 2

    Jul 23/02 25.98 26.15 24.47 2

    Jul 24/02 24.19 26.75 23.02 2

    Jul 25/02 26.60 27.20 25.85 2

    Jul 26/02 27.05 27.88 26.49 2

    Jul 29/02 28.89 30.45 28.84 3

    Jul 30/02 30.00 31.76 29.64 3

    Jul 31/02 31.60 32.20 30.24 3

    Aug 1/02 32.10 32.29 31.25 3

    Aug 2/02 30.85 31.24 29.09 2

    Aug 5/02 29.35 29.69 28.27 2

    Aug 6/02 29.25 30.60 29.20 2

    Aug 7/02 30.47 30.86 29.55 3

    Aug 8/02 30.80 32.20 30.61 3

    Aug 9/02 31.50 32.55 31.24 3

    Aug 12/02 31.76 32.40 31.45 3

    Aug 13/02 31.80 32.23 30.80 3

    Aug 14/02 30.75 32.15 29.80 3

    Aug 15/02 31.90 32.41 31.18 3

    Aug 16/02 32.00 32.30 31.20 3

    Aug 19/02 31.55 32.89 31.50 3

    Aug 20/02 32.65 32.74 31.90 3

    Aug 21/02 32.65 32.89 31.86 3

    Aug 22/02 32.40 32.98 32.13 3

    Aug 23/02 32.25 32.41 31.99 3

    Aug 26/02 32.35 32.40 31.29 3

    Aug 27/02 32.50 32.75 31.68 3

    Aug 28/02 31.60 31.80 31.01 3

    Aug 29/02 30.50 30.67 30.05 3

    Aug 30/02 30.20 30.68 29.98 3

    Sep 3/02 29.50 29.52 28.44 2

    Sep 4/02 28.60 28.99 28.28 2

    Sep 5/02 28.30 28.84 27.94 2

    Sep 6/02 28.85 28.90 28.25 2

    Sep 9/02 28.15 29.13 27.94 2

    Sep 10/02 29.20 29.60 28.63 2

    Sep 11/02 29.36 29.70 28.90 2

    Sep 12/02 28.75 28.82 27.85 2

    Sep 13/02 27.65 27.75 26.95 2

    Sep 16/02 27.10 27.98 27.05 2

    Sep 17/02 28.94 28.94 27.51 2

    Sep 18/02 27.20 27.90 26.90 2

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    31/199

    Oct 2/02 25.75 25.97 24.19 2

    Oct 3/02 24.85 25.88 24.56 2

    Oct 4/02 25.25 25.30 24.00 2

    Oct 7/02 24.02 24.46 22.84 2

    Oct 8/02 23.25 23.90 22.49 2

    Oct 9/02 22.55 22.56 21.90 2

    Oct 10/02 21.65 22.60 21.40 2

    Oct 11/02 23.98 24.91 23.44 2

    Oct 14/02 24.20 24.75 23.89 2

    Oct 15/02 25.50 26.27 25.30 2

    Oct 16/02 25.85 26.06 25.19 2

    Oct 17/02 26.90 26.95 26.40 2

    Oct 18/02 26.60 26.89 26.09 2

    Oct 21/02 26.20 27.21 26.20 2

    Oct 22/02 27.01 27.07 26.50 2

    Oct 23/02 26.95 27.00 26.10 2

    Oct 24/02 27.10 27.20 25.65 2

    Oct 25/02 25.80 26.45 25.77 2

    Oct 28/02 26.85 26.90 26.04 2

    Oct 29/02 26.20 26.26 25.20 2

    Oct 30/02 25.65 25.80 24.90 2

    Oct 31/02 25.20 25.65 25.04 2

    Nov 1/02 25.28 26.00 24.96 2

    Nov 4/02 26.50 26.99 26.21 2

    Nov 5/02 26.40 26.60 26.05 2

    Nov 6/02 26.90 26.98 25.95 2

    Nov 7/02 26.61 26.61 25.75 2

    Nov 8/02 25.85 26.00 24.63 2

    Nov 11/02 24.75 24.95 24.04 2

    Nov 12/02 24.30 24.55 23.75 2

    Nov 13/02 23.90 24.30 23.46 2

    Nov 14/02 24.60 24.89 24.36 2

    Nov 15/02 23.50 24.02 23.49 2

    Nov 18/02 24.02 24.62 23.60 2

    Nov 19/02 23.30 24.00 23.20 2

    Nov 20/02 23.80 24.80 23.76 2

    Nov 21/02 24.80 26.89 24.80 2

    Nov 22/02 26.60 26.75 26.34 2

    Nov 25/02 26.20 26.94 26.16 2

    Nov 26/02 26.50 26.79 26.27 2

    Nov 27/02 26.65 27.40 26.60 2

    Nov 29/02 27.30 27.39 27.01 2

    Dec 2/02 27.98 27.98 26.92 2

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    32/199

    Dec 16/02 25.65 26.43 25.63 2

    Dec 17/02 26.43 26.43 25.80 2

    Dec 18/02 25.90 26.64 25.47 2

    Dec 19/02 25.45 25.85 25.10 2

    Dec 20/02 25.85 26.00 25.55 2

    Dec 23/02 25.65 26.00 25.47 2

    Dec 24/02 25.40 25.63 25.30 2

    Dec 26/02 25.57 25.98 25.20 2

    Dec 27/02 25.20 25.30 24.54 2

    Dec 30/02 24.53 24.75 24.20 2

    Dec 31/02 24.35 24.59 24.10 2

    Jan 2/03 24.65 25.60 24.55 2

    Jan 3/03 25.35 25.48 25.01 2

    Jan 6/03 25.40 26.20 25.35 2

    Jan 7/03 25.99 26.26 25.75 2

    Jan 8/03 25.85 25.95 25.36 2

    Jan 9/03 25.75 25.95 25.63 2

    Jan 10/03 25.55 25.98 25.50 2

    Jan 13/03 25.75 25.98 25.51 2

    Jan 14/03 25.70 25.84 25.42 2

    Jan 15/03 25.93 25.94 25.18 2

    Jan 16/03 25.50 25.90 24.75 2

    Jan 17/03 24.80 25.56 24.30 2

    Jan 21/03 24.89 25.03 23.99 2

    Jan 22/03 24.05 24.07 23.51 2

    Jan 23/03 23.65 24.23 23.62 2

    Jan 24/03 23.80 23.95 23.01 2

    Jan 27/03 23.05 23.76 22.73 2

    Jan 28/03 23.60 23.60 23.03 2

    Jan 29/03 22.80 23.23 22.51 2

    Jan 30/03 23.04 23.15 22.52 2

    Jan 31/03 22.50 23.25 22.45 2

    Feb 3/03 23.35 23.75 23.25 2

    Feb 4/03 23.15 23.23 22.87 2

    Feb 5/03 23.20 23.62 22.85 2

    Feb 6/03 22.90 23.07 22.60 2

    Feb 7/03 23.00 23.10 22.46 2

    Feb 10/03 22.61 22.70 22.23 2

    Feb 11/03 22.65 22.82 22.40 2

    Feb 12/03 22.50 22.68 22.24 2

    Feb 13/03 22.28 22.30 21.30 2

    Feb 14/03 22.08 22.48 21.82 2

    Feb 18/03 22.54 23.06 22.54 2

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    33/199

    Mar 4/03 23.73 23.80 23.28 2

    Mar 5/03 23.25 23.90 23.24 2

    Mar 6/03 23.60 24.06 23.50 2

    Mar 7/03 23.50 24.40 23.40 2

    Mar 10/03 23.90 24.08 23.60 2

    Mar 11/03 23.67 23.97 23.34 2

    Mar 12/03 23.22 23.80 23.16 2

    Mar 13/03 24.20 25.23 24.20 2

    Mar 14/03 25.25 25.67 24.95 2

    Mar 17/03 25.00 26.40 24.75 2

    Mar 18/03 26.30 26.45 25.95 2

    Mar 19/03 26.39 27.02 26.12 2

    Mar 20/03 26.86 26.95 26.43 2

    Mar 21/03 27.24 28.00 27.10 2

    Mar 24/03 26.85 27.95 26.51 2

    Mar 25/03 26.73 27.18 26.40 2

    Mar 26/03 26.98 27.08 26.52 2

    Mar 27/03 26.05 26.53 25.94 2

    Mar 28/03 26.25 26.43 26.02 2

    Mar 31/03 25.45 26.50 25.32 2

    Apr 1/03 25.55 26.32 25.50 2

    Apr 2/03 26.95 27.27 26.72 2

    Apr 3/03 27.28 27.90 26.60 2

    Apr 4/03 27.57 27.79 27.33 2

    Apr 7/03 28.34 28.69 27.73 2

    Apr 8/03 27.95 28.25 27.80 2

    Apr 9/03 27.88 28.05 27.15 2

    Apr 10/03 27.29 27.39 26.90 2

    Apr 11/03 27.68 27.93 27.35 2

    Apr 14/03 27.39 27.79 27.27 2

    Apr 15/03 27.90 28.32 27.74 2

    Apr 16/03 28.30 28.53 27.79 2

    Apr 17/03 27.84 28.50 27.78 2

    Apr 21/03 28.47 28.53 27.47 2

    Apr 22/03 28.10 28.99 28.05 2

    Apr 23/03 28.99 29.50 28.83 2

    Apr 24/03 29.00 29.29 28.76 2

    Apr 25/03 29.07 29.20 28.79 2

    Apr 28/03 28.75 29.78 28.75 2

    Apr 29/03 29.68 29.72 29.15 2

    Apr 30/03 29.28 29.60 29.15 2

    May 1/03 29.45 29.45 28.37 2

    May 2/03 28.80 29.26 28.77 2

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    34/199

    May 16/03 28.40 28.52 27.85 2

    May 19/03 27.65 27.77 27.46 2

    May 20/03 27.74 27.99 27.35 2

    May 21/03 27.43 27.75 27.40 2

    May 22/03 27.70 27.89 27.59 2

    May 23/03 27.73 27.91 27.60 2

    May 27/03 27.50 28.52 27.42 2

    May 28/03 28.55 28.57 28.13 2

    May 29/03 28.27 28.95 27.83 2

    May 30/03 28.40 28.78 28.26 2

    Jun 2/03 29.42 29.42 28.82 2

    Jun 3/03 29.00 29.13 28.75 2

    Jun 4/03 29.08 29.47 28.97 2

    Jun 5/03 29.33 29.85 29.00 2

    Jun 6/03 30.21 30.52 29.86 3

    Jun 9/03 30.05 30.34 30.04 3

    Jun 10/03 30.30 30.59 30.19 3

    Jun 11/03 30.59 31.12 30.45 3

    Jun 12/03 31.09 31.20 30.66 3

    Jun 13/03 31.00 31.08 30.17 3

    Jun 16/03 30.85 31.35 30.76 3

    Jun 17/03 31.42 31.66 31.17 3

    Jun 18/03 31.11 31.32 30.70 3

    Jun 19/03 30.26 30.37 29.61 2

    Jun 20/03 30.20 30.31 29.81 3

    Jun 23/03 29.96 30.26 29.75 2

    Jun 24/03 29.87 30.08 29.82 2

    Jun 25/03 29.84 30.07 29.24 2

    Jun 26/03 29.05 29.53 28.96 2

    Jun 27/03 29.20 29.96 28.53 2

    Jun 30/03 28.72 28.99 28.55 2

    Jul 1/03 28.48 28.80 28.08 2

    Jul 2/03 28.82 28.88 28.42 2

    Jul 3/03 28.62 28.80 28.41 2

    Jul 7/03 28.93 29.50 28.87 2

    Jul 8/03 29.27 29.27 28.65 2

    Jul 9/03 28.85 28.94 28.31 2

    Jul 10/03 28.38 28.65 28.00 2

    Jul 11/03 28.35 28.85 27.99 2

    Jul 14/03 28.50 28.74 28.01 2

    Jul 15/03 28.24 28.33 27.52 2

    Jul 16/03 27.72 27.79 27.13 2

    Jul 17/03 27.15 27.57 26.90 2

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    35/199

    Jul 31/03 28.35 28.98 28.04 2

    Aug 1/03 28.20 28.68 28.20 2

    Aug 4/03 28.46 28.60 27.80 2

    Aug 5/03 28.26 28.48 27.76 2

    Aug 6/03 27.80 28.10 27.53 2

    Aug 7/03 27.68 28.12 27.18 2

    Aug 8/03 27.94 28.24 27.94 2

    Aug 11/03 28.05 28.46 28.00 2

    Aug 12/03 28.32 28.40 27.98 2

    Aug 13/03 28.44 28.48 27.85 2

    Aug 14/03 28.20 28.74 28.03 2

    Aug 15/03 28.70 28.98 28.61 2

    Aug 18/03 29.00 29.85 28.97 2

    Aug 19/03 29.90 30.00 29.33 2

    Aug 20/03 29.84 29.84 29.25 2

    Aug 21/03 29.70 30.28 29.62 3

    Aug 22/03 30.30 30.39 29.75 2

    Aug 25/03 29.78 29.85 29.55 2

    Aug 26/03 29.65 29.95 29.40 2

    Aug 27/03 29.63 29.81 29.60 2

    Aug 28/03 29.80 29.90 29.40 2

    Aug 29/03 29.58 29.70 29.30 2

    Sep 2/03 29.75 30.49 29.58 3

    Sep 3/03 30.55 31.26 30.51 3

    Sep 4/03 31.11 31.35 31.01 3

    Sep 5/03 30.94 31.21 30.82 3

    Sep 8/03 31.03 31.52 30.60 3

    Sep 9/03 31.06 31.27 30.90 3

    Sep 10/03 31.05 31.24 30.90 3

    Sep 11/03 31.05 31.65 31.05 3

    Sep 12/03 31.43 31.60 31.13 3

    Sep 15/03 31.50 31.75 31.25 3

    Sep 16/03 31.23 32.03 31.23 3

    Sep 17/03 31.78 31.94 31.48 3

    Sep 18/03 31.77 32.18 31.71 3

    Sep 19/03 32.42 32.42 31.52 3

    Sep 22/03 31.60 31.90 31.20 3

    Sep 23/03 31.30 31.60 31.18 3

    Sep 24/03 31.60 31.69 30.81 3

    Sep 25/03 30.83 31.60 30.34 3

    Sep 26/03 30.12 30.31 29.31 2

    Sep 29/03 30.00 30.66 29.98 3

    Sep 30/03 30.25 30.29 29.62 2

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    36/199

    Oct 14/03 28.90 29.29 28.66 2

    Oct 15/03 29.41 29.45 28.74 2

    Oct 16/03 28.83 29.14 28.78 2

    Oct 17/03 29.02 29.06 28.42 2

    Oct 20/03 28.75 28.78 28.51 2

    Oct 21/03 29.00 29.00 28.78 2

    Oct 22/03 28.78 28.78 28.30 2

    Oct 23/03 28.35 28.73 28.24 2

    Oct 24/03 28.39 28.40 28.00 2

    Oct 27/03 28.50 28.55 28.13 2

    Oct 28/03 28.48 28.54 28.23 2

    Oct 29/03 28.52 29.15 28.42 2

    Oct 30/03 29.15 29.25 28.79 2

    Oct 31/03 28.95 29.25 28.95 2

    Nov 3/03 29.05 29.26 28.80 2

    Nov 4/03 28.81 28.81 28.40 2

    Nov 5/03 28.41 28.58 28.25 2

    Nov 6/03 28.30 28.44 28.05 2

    Nov 7/03 28.54 28.60 28.06 2

    Nov 10/03 28.23 28.24 28.09 2

    Nov 11/03 28.15 28.19 27.97 2

    Nov 12/03 28.12 28.80 28.10 2

    Nov 13/03 28.60 28.73 28.15 2

    Nov 14/03 28.25 28.28 27.85 2

    Nov 17/03 27.67 28.85 27.37 2

    Nov 18/03 28.42 28.92 28.40 2

    Nov 19/03 29.00 29.53 28.95 2

    Nov 20/03 29.12 29.46 28.79 2

    Nov 21/03 29.08 29.95 28.53 2

    Nov 24/03 28.81 28.94 28.62 2

    Nov 25/03 28.77 29.10 28.62 2

    Nov 26/03 29.11 29.13 28.53 2

    Nov 28/03 28.85 28.90 28.65 2

    Dec 1/03 29.20 29.21 28.78 2

    Dec 2/03 29.03 29.48 28.95 2

    Dec 3/03 29.59 29.70 29.32 2

    Dec 4/03 29.40 29.55 29.10 2

    Dec 5/03 29.16 29.40 29.01 2

    Dec 8/03 29.15 29.41 29.15 2

    Dec 9/03 29.50 29.81 29.44 2

    Dec 10/03 29.65 29.72 29.54 2

    Dec 11/03 29.74 30.47 29.74 3

    Dec 12/03 30.28 30.45 29.95 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    37/199

    Dec 29/03 30.70 30.83 30.52 3

    Dec 30/03 30.83 30.86 30.58 3

    Dec 31/03 30.63 30.98 30.58 3

    Jan 2/04 31.00 31.58 30.92 3

    Jan 5/04 31.24 31.58 31.11 3

    Jan 6/04 31.42 31.53 31.20 3

    Jan 7/04 31.35 31.68 31.16 3

    Jan 8/04 31.86 32.25 31.67 3

    Jan 9/04 31.65 32.19 31.65 3

    Jan 12/04 31.95 32.10 31.92 3

    Jan 13/04 32.01 32.13 31.36 3

    Jan 14/04 31.79 32.04 31.53 3

    Jan 15/04 32.07 32.15 31.65 3

    Jan 16/04 32.40 33.47 32.23 3

    Jan 20/04 33.75 33.75 33.17 3

    Jan 21/04 33.47 34.04 33.03 3

    Jan 22/04 33.98 34.05 33.42 3

    Jan 23/04 33.65 33.89 33.08 3

    Jan 26/04 33.48 34.20 33.42 3

    Jan 27/04 34.25 34.46 34.03 3

    Jan 28/04 34.30 34.57 33.51 3

    Jan 29/04 34.00 34.15 33.66 3

    Jan 30/04 33.86 33.97 33.48 3

    Feb 2/04 33.69 33.96 33.32 3

    Feb 3/04 33.66 33.66 33.13 3

    Feb 4/04 33.06 33.99 32.90 3

    Feb 5/04 33.31 33.70 33.05 3

    Feb 6/04 33.27 33.45 32.98 3

    Feb 9/04 33.35 33.35 32.80 3

    Feb 10/04 33.17 33.17 32.40 3

    Feb 11/04 32.50 33.33 32.35 3

    Feb 12/04 33.15 33.25 32.65 3

    Feb 13/04 33.00 33.17 32.72 3

    Feb 17/04 33.08 33.19 32.93 3

    Feb 18/04 33.05 33.24 32.75 3

    Feb 19/04 33.00 33.10 32.58 3

    Feb 20/04 32.79 32.89 32.50 3

    Feb 23/04 32.75 33.48 32.71 3

    Feb 24/04 33.41 33.66 33.05 3

    Feb 25/04 33.30 33.31 32.92 3

    Feb 26/04 32.72 32.89 32.61 3

    Feb 27/04 32.75 32.95 32.52 3

    Mar 1/04 32.69 32.93 32.51 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    38/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    39/199

    May 27/04 31.30 31.47 31.05 3

    May 28/04 31.27 31.27 30.97 3

    Jun 1/04 31.00 31.18 30.82 3

    Jun 2/04 31.18 31.22 30.96 3

    Jun 3/04 31.10 31.32 30.94 3

    Jun 4/04 31.20 31.36 31.06 3

    Jun 7/04 31.48 31.69 31.41 3

    Jun 8/04 31.55 31.70 31.26 3

    Jun 9/04 31.40 31.58 31.15 3

    Jun 10/04 31.15 31.50 31.15 3

    Jun 14/04 31.35 31.58 31.30 3

    Jun 15/04 31.69 31.94 31.57 3

    Jun 16/04 31.78 32.12 31.73 3

    Jun 17/04 32.04 32.44 31.99 3

    Jun 18/04 32.34 32.69 32.23 3

    Jun 21/04 32.58 32.79 32.47 3

    Jun 22/04 32.50 32.97 32.50 3

    Jun 23/04 32.86 33.49 32.73 3

    Jun 24/04 33.22 33.28 33.04 3

    Jun 25/04 33.20 33.28 32.18 3

    Jun 28/04 32.80 32.83 32.11 3

    Jun 29/04 32.34 32.47 32.32 3

    Jun 30/04 32.40 32.49 32.08 3

    Jul 1/04 32.40 32.45 31.87 3

    Jul 2/04 31.95 31.96 31.64 3

    Jul 6/04 31.60 31.89 31.50 3

    Jul 7/04 31.73 32.20 31.73 3

    Jul 8/04 31.87 32.00 31.68 3

    Jul 9/04 32.05 32.25 31.92 3

    Jul 12/04 32.22 32.65 32.01 3

    Jul 13/04 32.73 32.89 32.65 3

    Jul 14/04 32.80 33.24 32.73 3

    Jul 15/04 33.11 33.53 33.00 3

    Jul 16/04 33.62 33.62 33.05 3

    Jul 19/04 33.30 33.36 32.92 3

    Jul 20/04 33.13 33.25 32.97 3

    Jul 21/04 33.33 33.45 32.60 3

    Jul 22/04 32.55 33.05 32.40 3

    Jul 23/04 32.83 32.83 32.12 3

    Jul 26/04 32.67 32.75 32.02 3

    Jul 27/04 32.50 32.90 32.45 3

    Jul 28/04 33.30 33.46 32.35 3

    Jul 29/04 33.35 33.45 32.97 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    40/199

    Aug 12/04 31.98 32.03 31.60 3

    Aug 13/04 31.70 31.94 31.50 3

    Aug 16/04 31.87 32.30 31.82 3

    Aug 17/04 32.31 32.45 32.05 3

    Aug 18/04 32.10 32.78 32.01 3

    Aug 19/04 32.63 32.74 32.33 3

    Aug 20/04 32.66 32.80 32.49 3

    Aug 23/04 32.68 32.74 32.46 3

    Aug 24/04 32.70 32.75 32.41 3

    Aug 25/04 32.52 32.99 32.42 3

    Aug 26/04 32.75 32.90 32.64 3

    Aug 27/04 32.75 32.86 32.65 3

    Aug 30/04 32.63 32.75 32.55 3

    Aug 31/04 32.49 32.81 32.31 3

    Sep 1/04 32.79 32.97 32.62 3

    Sep 2/04 32.90 33.16 32.78 3

    Sep 3/04 33.00 33.12 32.78 3

    Sep 7/04 33.05 33.49 33.03 3

    Sep 8/04 33.34 33.72 33.33 3

    Sep 9/04 33.60 34.03 33.59 3

    Sep 10/04 33.80 34.01 33.52 3

    Sep 13/04 33.88 34.05 33.71 3

    Sep 14/04 33.60 33.82 33.52 3

    Sep 15/04 33.82 33.82 33.49 3

    Sep 16/04 33.58 33.76 33.50 3

    Sep 17/04 33.70 34.24 33.70 3

    Sep 20/04 34.05 34.47 34.02 3

    Sep 21/04 34.22 34.53 34.03 3

    Sep 22/04 34.20 34.25 33.71 3

    Sep 23/04 33.77 33.77 33.40 3

    Sep 24/04 33.50 33.52 33.21 3

    Sep 27/04 33.12 33.31 33.01 3

    Sep 28/04 33.20 33.47 33.04 3

    Sep 29/04 33.45 33.58 33.28 3

    Sep 30/04 33.40 33.61 33.30 3

    Oct 1/04 33.70 33.99 33.65 3

    Oct 4/04 34.00 34.26 33.89 3

    Oct 5/04 34.09 34.12 33.82 3

    Oct 6/04 34.09 34.40 33.93 3

    Oct 7/04 34.14 34.38 33.95 3

    Oct 8/04 33.98 34.30 33.50 3

    Oct 11/04 33.80 34.10 33.78 3

    Oct 12/04 33.80 34.20 33.70 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    41/199

    Oct 26/04 33.10 33.65 32.90 3

    Oct 27/04 33.57 33.95 33.35 3

    Oct 28/04 33.80 34.15 33.71 3

    Oct 29/04 33.90 34.15 33.80 3

    Nov 1/04 34.10 34.14 33.81 3

    Nov 2/04 33.95 34.38 33.90 3

    Nov 3/04 34.40 34.45 34.03 3

    Nov 4/04 34.36 35.09 34.33 3

    Nov 5/04 35.20 35.40 34.78 3

    Nov 8/04 35.09 35.22 34.92 3

    Nov 9/04 35.02 35.44 35.02 3

    Nov 10/04 35.48 35.60 35.30 3

    Nov 11/04 35.42 35.88 35.40 3

    Nov 12/04 35.97 36.25 35.83 3

    Nov 15/04 36.25 36.27 35.95 3

    Nov 16/04 36.05 36.24 35.85 3

    Nov 17/04 36.28 36.80 36.10 3

    Nov 18/04 36.40 36.86 36.38 3

    Nov 19/04 36.83 36.83 35.94 3

    Nov 22/04 36.25 36.27 35.94 3

    Nov 23/04 35.97 36.04 35.49 3

    Nov 24/04 35.85 36.00 35.56 3

    Nov 26/04 35.60 35.63 35.44 3

    Nov 29/04 35.57 35.73 35.12 3

    Nov 30/04 35.30 35.61 35.30 3

    Dec 1/04 35.36 36.02 35.36 3

    Dec 2/04 35.85 36.09 35.75 3

    Dec 3/04 35.84 36.03 35.65 3

    Dec 6/04 35.65 35.77 35.59 3

    Dec 7/04 35.60 35.65 35.27 3

    Dec 8/04 35.65 35.90 35.54 3

    Dec 9/04 35.58 36.09 35.50 3

    Dec 10/04 36.15 36.81 36.00 3

    Dec 13/04 36.85 37.52 36.82 3

    Dec 14/04 37.39 37.75 37.18 3

    Dec 15/04 37.39 37.51 37.01 3

    Dec 16/04 37.30 37.49 37.00 3

    Dec 17/04 36.40 37.09 36.26 3

    Dec 20/04 36.92 37.20 36.92 3

    Dec 21/04 37.11 37.24 36.97 3

    Dec 22/04 36.77 37.14 36.66 3

    Dec 23/04 36.75 36.95 36.71 3

    Dec 27/04 36.85 36.94 36.57 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    42/199

    Jan 10/05 35.88 36.14 35.73 3

    Jan 11/05 35.60 35.73 35.32 3

    Jan 12/05 35.43 35.70 35.10 3

    Jan 13/05 35.60 35.64 35.10 3

    Jan 14/05 35.36 35.62 35.27 3

    Jan 18/05 35.28 35.98 35.07 3

    Jan 19/05 35.82 35.90 35.41 3

    Jan 20/05 35.45 35.70 35.28 3

    Jan 21/05 35.80 35.83 35.11 3

    Jan 24/05 35.22 35.70 34.95 3

    Jan 25/05 35.65 35.88 35.57 3

    Jan 26/05 35.94 36.10 35.45 3

    Jan 27/05 35.60 35.70 35.37 3

    Jan 28/05 35.55 35.77 35.42 3

    Jan 31/05 35.95 36.18 35.90 3

    Feb 1/05 36.00 36.38 35.89 3

    Feb 2/05 36.18 36.28 36.00 3

    Feb 3/05 36.15 36.15 35.93 3

    Feb 4/05 36.02 36.33 36.02 3

    Feb 7/05 36.05 36.36 36.05 3

    Feb 8/05 36.28 36.53 36.20 3

    Feb 9/05 36.32 36.36 35.87 3

    Feb 10/05 36.17 36.24 36.01 3

    Feb 11/05 36.00 36.47 35.95 3

    Feb 14/05 36.23 36.40 36.20 3

    Feb 15/05 36.27 36.61 36.25 3

    Feb 16/05 36.26 36.34 36.06 3

    Feb 17/05 36.13 36.40 36.02 3

    Feb 18/05 36.06 36.06 35.69 3

    Feb 22/05 35.59 35.91 35.34 3

    Feb 23/05 35.15 35.37 35.12 3

    Feb 24/05 35.10 35.61 35.05 3

    Feb 25/05 35.55 35.70 35.41 3

    Feb 28/05 35.42 35.48 35.14 3

    Mar 1/05 35.27 35.39 35.15 3

    Mar 2/05 35.08 35.69 35.06 3

    Mar 3/05 35.74 35.83 35.45 3

    Mar 4/05 35.82 36.23 35.72 3

    Mar 7/05 36.17 36.28 36.05 3

    Mar 8/05 36.03 36.21 36.01 3

    Mar 9/05 35.88 36.11 35.70 3

    Mar 10/05 35.85 36.23 35.80 3

    Mar 11/05 36.03 36.14 35.75 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    43/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    44/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    45/199

    Aug 23/05 34.00 34.08 33.78 3

    Aug 24/05 33.92 34.10 33.54 3

    Aug 25/05 33.50 33.62 33.41 3

    Aug 26/05 33.50 33.55 33.31 3

    Aug 29/05 33.17 33.62 33.10 3

    Aug 30/05 33.50 33.56 32.85 3

    Aug 31/05 33.20 33.68 32.96 3

    Sep 1/05 33.43 33.53 33.00 3

    Sep 2/05 33.40 33.46 33.21 3

    Sep 6/05 33.45 33.98 33.45 3

    Sep 7/05 33.89 34.05 33.68 3

    Sep 8/05 34.01 34.01 33.73 3

    Sep 9/05 33.94 34.23 33.90 3

    Sep 12/05 34.00 34.53 33.99 3

    Sep 13/05 34.35 34.44 34.06 3

    Sep 14/05 34.27 34.42 34.00 3

    Sep 15/05 34.07 34.40 34.07 3

    Sep 16/05 34.52 34.58 34.22 3

    Sep 19/05 34.30 34.33 33.89 3

    Sep 20/05 34.14 34.22 33.75 3

    Sep 21/05 33.52 33.74 33.50 3

    Sep 22/05 33.33 33.54 33.16 3

    Sep 23/05 33.30 33.58 33.26 3

    Sep 26/05 33.58 33.62 33.13 3

    Sep 27/05 33.47 33.84 33.22 3

    Sep 28/05 33.68 33.70 33.26 3

    Sep 29/05 33.30 33.75 33.08 3

    Sep 30/05 33.65 33.77 33.34 3

    Oct 3/05 33.60 33.63 33.20 3

    Oct 4/05 33.33 33.45 32.85 3

    Oct 5/05 32.90 33.10 32.67 3

    Oct 6/05 33.18 33.74 33.18 3

    Oct 7/05 33.90 34.30 33.68 3

    Oct 10/05 34.23 34.29 33.96 3

    Oct 11/05 33.99 34.08 33.69 3

    Oct 12/05 33.58 34.05 33.58 3

    Oct 13/05 33.75 34.21 33.75 3

    Oct 14/05 34.40 34.48 34.10 3

    Oct 17/05 34.21 34.50 33.94 3

    Oct 18/05 34.00 34.42 33.95 3

    Oct 19/05 33.93 34.41 33.90 3

    Oct 20/05 34.46 34.46 33.74 3

    Oct 21/05 33.95 34.07 33.65 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    46/199

    Nov 4/05 33.98 34.10 33.75 3

    Nov 7/05 34.10 34.13 33.95 3

    Nov 8/05 33.88 33.95 33.73 3

    Nov 9/05 33.85 34.15 33.71 3

    Nov 10/05 33.97 34.74 33.92 3

    Nov 11/05 34.55 34.78 34.40 3

    Nov 14/05 34.66 34.66 34.30 3

    Nov 15/05 34.41 34.62 34.29 3

    Nov 16/05 34.39 34.71 34.35 3

    Nov 17/05 34.58 34.77 34.40 3

    Nov 18/05 35.46 35.80 35.25 3

    Nov 21/05 35.76 36.34 35.65 3

    Nov 22/05 36.05 36.23 35.89 3

    Nov 23/05 36.05 36.14 35.91 3

    Nov 25/05 36.00 36.22 35.92 3

    Nov 28/05 36.20 36.20 35.94 3

    Nov 29/05 36.13 36.23 35.86 3

    Nov 30/05 35.95 36.16 35.72 3

    Dec 1/05 35.85 35.90 35.64 3

    Dec 2/05 35.75 35.75 35.26 3

    Dec 5/05 35.42 35.86 35.40 3

    Dec 6/05 35.90 36.10 35.72 3

    Dec 7/05 35.80 35.85 35.41 3

    Dec 8/05 35.57 35.66 35.27 3

    Dec 9/05 35.43 35.80 35.34 3

    Dec 12/05 35.66 35.73 35.45 3

    Dec 13/05 35.50 35.68 35.35 3

    Dec 14/05 35.67 35.89 35.55 3

    Dec 15/05 35.94 36.16 35.77 3

    Dec 16/05 36.03 36.26 36.02 3

    Dec 19/05 36.00 36.11 35.65 3

    Dec 20/05 35.67 35.74 35.38 3

    Dec 21/05 35.66 35.66 35.25 3

    Dec 22/05 35.17 35.46 35.17 3

    Dec 23/05 35.56 35.57 35.39 3

    Dec 27/05 35.57 35.60 35.03 3

    Dec 28/05 35.06 35.16 34.95 3

    Dec 29/05 35.11 35.45 35.10 3

    Dec 30/05 35.12 35.22 34.98 3

    Jan 3/06 35.10 35.40 34.80 3

    Jan 4/06 35.35 35.40 35.10 3

    Jan 5/06 35.27 35.35 35.10 3

    Jan 6/06 35.38 35.53 35.19 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    47/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    48/199

    Apr 6/06 34.30 34.55 34.12 3

    Apr 7/06 34.55 34.75 34.01 3

    Apr 10/06 34.06 34.08 33.80 3

    Apr 11/06 33.92 34.07 33.63 3

    Apr 12/06 34.30 34.53 34.17 3

    Apr 13/06 34.19 34.36 33.61 3

    Apr 17/06 33.76 33.76 33.07 3

    Apr 18/06 33.52 33.97 33.21 3

    Apr 19/06 33.95 33.97 33.50 3

    Apr 20/06 33.80 34.18 33.63 3

    Apr 21/06 34.25 34.32 33.68 3

    Apr 24/06 33.81 34.00 33.80 3

    Apr 25/06 34.00 34.06 33.80 3

    Apr 26/06 34.07 34.44 33.88 3

    Apr 27/06 33.90 34.68 33.89 3

    Apr 28/06 34.49 34.78 34.35 3

    May 1/06 34.64 34.72 34.32 3

    May 2/06 34.39 34.59 34.10 3

    May 3/06 34.22 34.67 34.19 3

    May 4/06 34.50 34.94 34.48 3

    May 5/06 34.94 35.22 34.87 3

    May 8/06 35.10 35.24 34.97 3

    May 9/06 34.95 35.12 34.90 3

    May 10/06 34.94 34.99 34.50 3

    May 11/06 34.50 34.67 34.13 3

    May 12/06 34.38 34.54 34.18 3

    May 15/06 34.10 34.59 34.08 3

    May 16/06 34.74 34.92 34.71 3

    May 17/06 34.62 34.85 34.40 3

    May 18/06 34.49 34.55 34.14 3

    May 19/06 34.23 34.50 33.95 3

    May 22/06 34.05 34.36 34.02 3

    May 23/06 34.10 34.22 33.91 3

    May 24/06 33.76 34.38 33.70 3

    May 25/06 34.35 34.43 34.02 3

    May 26/06 34.47 34.53 34.10 3

    May 30/06 34.34 34.37 34.01 3

    May 31/06 34.15 34.26 33.97 3

    Jun 1/06 34.30 34.62 34.22 3

    Jun 2/06 34.64 34.81 34.48 3

    Jun 5/06 34.55 34.62 34.18 3

    Jun 6/06 34.40 34.58 34.21 3

    Jun 7/06 34.55 34.92 34.40 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    49/199

    Jun 21/06 33.83 33.89 33.44 3

    Jun 22/06 33.27 33.46 33.14 3

    Jun 23/06 33.18 33.37 33.11 3

    Jun 26/06 33.18 33.27 32.92 3

    Jun 27/06 33.05 33.27 32.88 3

    Jun 28/06 32.93 33.04 32.78 3

    Jun 29/06 32.98 33.28 32.88 3

    Jun 30/06 33.33 33.37 32.94 3

    Jul 3/06 33.10 33.37 33.09 3

    Jul 5/06 33.23 33.43 33.15 3

    Jul 6/06 33.31 33.62 33.30 3

    Jul 7/06 33.35 33.51 33.21 3

    Jul 10/06 33.30 33.46 33.10 3

    Jul 11/06 33.37 33.38 32.99 3

    Jul 12/06 33.21 33.22 33.00 3

    Jul 13/06 33.01 33.06 32.56 3

    Jul 14/06 32.29 32.37 32.06 3

    Jul 17/06 32.08 32.43 32.08 3

    Jul 18/06 32.36 32.49 32.25 3

    Jul 19/06 32.58 33.04 32.49 3

    Jul 20/06 32.85 32.94 32.48 3

    Jul 21/06 32.61 32.61 32.20 3

    Jul 24/06 32.48 32.76 32.29 3

    Jul 25/06 32.80 32.81 32.45 3

    Jul 26/06 32.74 32.77 32.48 3

    Jul 27/06 32.75 32.88 32.54 3

    Jul 28/06 32.80 33.23 32.74 3

    Jul 31/06 32.80 32.91 32.68 3

    Aug 1/06 32.65 32.80 32.48 3

    Aug 2/06 32.55 32.81 32.42 3

    Aug 3/06 32.55 32.88 32.43 3

    Aug 4/06 32.91 32.99 32.60 3

    Aug 7/06 32.68 32.83 32.51 3

    Aug 8/06 32.80 32.80 32.20 3

    Aug 9/06 32.48 32.72 32.24 3

    Aug 10/06 32.35 32.78 32.24 3

    Aug 11/06 32.62 32.78 32.42 3

    Aug 14/06 32.71 33.43 32.63 3

    Aug 15/06 33.19 33.28 33.04 3

    Aug 16/06 33.37 33.84 33.32 3

    Aug 17/06 33.70 34.00 33.65 3

    Aug 18/06 33.71 34.00 33.71 3

    Aug 21/06 34.00 34.10 33.77 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    50/199

    Sep 5/06 34.08 34.13 33.92 3

    Sep 6/06 33.87 34.05 33.85 3

    Sep 7/06 33.85 34.15 33.83 3

    Sep 8/06 33.90 34.05 33.88 3

    Sep 11/06 33.85 34.43 33.76 3

    Sep 12/06 34.43 34.73 34.38 3

    Sep 13/06 34.70 34.84 34.49 3

    Sep 14/06 34.55 34.86 34.50 3

    Sep 15/06 34.90 35.00 34.72 3

    Sep 18/06 34.65 34.96 34.61 3

    Sep 19/06 34.85 34.86 34.60 3

    Sep 20/06 34.87 35.07 34.65 3

    Sep 21/06 34.90 34.90 34.25 3

    Sep 22/06 34.36 34.50 34.27 3

    Sep 25/06 34.33 34.94 34.33 3

    Sep 26/06 34.90 35.62 34.89 3

    Sep 27/06 35.33 35.65 35.17 3

    Sep 28/06 35.40 35.61 35.22 3

    Sep 29/06 35.42 35.51 35.20 3

    Oct 2/06 35.40 35.71 35.28 3

    Oct 3/06 35.51 35.88 35.46 3

    Oct 4/06 35.67 36.12 35.56 3

    Oct 5/06 36.01 36.48 35.94 3

    Oct 6/06 36.08 36.30 36.03 3

    Oct 9/06 36.14 36.24 35.86 3

    Oct 10/06 36.10 36.36 36.06 3

    Oct 11/06 36.20 36.40 36.03 3

    Oct 12/06 36.25 36.32 36.10 3

    Oct 13/06 35.93 36.11 35.47 3

    Oct 16/06 35.73 35.73 35.34 3

    Oct 17/06 35.35 35.60 35.24 3

    Oct 18/06 35.82 35.84 35.46 3

    Oct 19/06 35.40 35.49 35.14 3

    Oct 20/06 35.40 35.58 35.26 3

    Oct 23/06 35.28 35.69 35.27 3

    Oct 24/06 35.45 35.58 35.34 3

    Oct 25/06 35.55 35.65 35.35 3

    Oct 26/06 35.75 35.79 35.42 3

    Oct 27/06 35.46 35.50 35.17 3

    Oct 30/06 35.22 35.41 35.11 3

    Oct 31/06 35.28 35.35 34.92 3

    Nov 1/06 35.20 35.20 34.85 3

    Nov 2/06 34.88 34.91 34.62 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    51/199

    Nov 16/06 35.87 36.13 35.87 3

    Nov 17/06 35.85 36.27 35.78 3

    Nov 20/06 36.17 36.28 35.93 3

    Nov 21/06 35.98 36.00 35.72 3

    Nov 22/06 35.80 36.09 35.72 3

    Nov 24/06 35.85 35.88 35.69 3

    Nov 27/06 35.57 35.75 35.28 3

    Nov 28/06 35.30 35.36 35.05 3

    Nov 29/06 35.25 35.44 35.19 3

    Nov 30/06 35.41 35.50 35.16 3

    Dec 1/06 35.38 35.40 34.96 3

    Dec 4/06 35.43 35.50 35.27 3

    Dec 5/06 35.41 35.50 35.13 3

    Dec 6/06 35.35 35.45 35.07 3

    Dec 7/06 35.16 35.39 35.09 3

    Dec 8/06 35.15 35.36 35.00 3

    Dec 11/06 35.24 35.52 35.05 3

    Dec 12/06 35.21 35.92 35.07 3

    Dec 13/06 35.85 35.92 35.40 3

    Dec 14/06 35.49 36.33 35.36 3

    Dec 15/06 36.28 37.51 36.21 3

    Dec 18/06 37.45 38.13 37.41 3

    Dec 19/06 37.75 38.07 37.75 3

    Dec 20/06 38.13 38.49 38.01 3

    Dec 21/06 38.05 38.06 37.63 3

    Dec 22/06 37.89 37.90 37.51 3

    Dec 26/06 37.60 37.74 37.43 3

    Dec 27/06 37.79 38.03 37.57 3

    Dec 28/06 37.76 37.76 37.45 3

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    52/199

    Current data points = 2517 49 Probability that Stock Price is less than $P, in 30 days (using

    Stock Price Chart Max = 55.00 43.5% 45.1% GE Return Distribution

    $10.00 Chart Min = 12.00 41.9% 43.5% 59

    Dec 30/96 Dec 28/06 Max 6.00% Increment Increment Check 10.54 63.1%

    Mean Return 0.056% Min -5.00% 0.11% $0.06 500 10.6 64.9%

    Volatility 1.85%Returns Volume/1000 bins Freq Pct bins Monte Pct Cumulative Normal

    -1.10% 9,257 -5.0% 22 0.87% $7.00

    -2.68% 17,122 -4.9% 0 0.00% $7.06 0 0.00% 0.0% 0.07%

    -1.26% 27,316 -4.8% 0 0.00% $7.12 0 0.00% 0.0% 0.08%

    1.50% 17,974 -4.7% 0 0.00% $7.18 1 0.10% 0.1% 0.09%

    -0.15% 18,521 -4.6% 2 0.08% $7.24 0 0.00% 0.1% 0.10%

    2.08% 14,752 -4.5% 7 0.28% $7.30 0 0.00% 0.1% 0.12%

    -1.38% 14,225 -4.3% 4 0.16% $7.36 0 0.00% 0.1% 0.14%

    1.47% 17,081 -4.2% 3 0.12% $7.42 0 0.00% 0.1% 0.16%

    0.29% 18,606 -4.1% 3 0.12% $7.48 2 0.20% 0.3% 0.18%

    1.81% 16,668 -4.0% 4 0.16% $7.54 1 0.10% 0.4% 0.21%

    1.35% 20,597 -3.9% 4 0.16% $7.60 0 0.00% 0.4% 0.24%-1.69% 16,165 -3.8% 6 0.24% $7.66 1 0.10% 0.5% 0.27%

    -1.36% 18,403 -3.7% 9 0.36% $7.72 2 0.20% 0.7% 0.31%

    2.10% 19,694 -3.6% 4 0.16% $7.78 0 0.00% 0.7% 0.35%

    1.35% 14,990 -3.5% 6 0.24% $7.84 0 0.00% 0.7% 0.39%

    0.49% 22,497 -3.4% 5 0.20% $7.90 1 0.10% 0.8% 0.43%

    1.74% 17,252 -3.2% 7 0.28% $7.96 2 0.20% 1.0% 0.48%

    -3.01% 16,934 -3.1% 8 0.32% $8.02 2 0.20% 1.2% 0.54%

    -2.19% 25,595 -3.0% 10 0.40% $8.08 3 0.30% 1.5% 0.59%

    -1.44% 24,847 -2.9% 7 0.28% $8.14 2 0.20% 1.7% 0.65%

    0.22% 22,849 -2.8% 16 0.64% $8.20 2 0.20% 1.9% 0.72%

    2.99% 16,076 -2.7% 5 0.20% $8.26 2 0.20% 2.1% 0.79%

    1.91% 17,244 -2.6% 19 0.75% $8.32 3 0.30% 2.4% 0.86%-1.95% 20,915 -2.5% 16 0.64% $8.38 3 0.30% 2.7% 0.93%

    1.63% 16,363 -2.4% 19 0.75% $8.44 3 0.30% 3.0% 1.01%

    -1.26% 14,866 -2.3% 15 0.60% $8.50 3 0.30% 3.3% 1.09%

    -0.85% 21,037 -2.1% 14 0.56% $8.56 4 0.40% 3.7% 1.17%

    0.93% 15,274 -2.0% 25 0.99% $8.62 9 0.90% 4.6% 1.26%

    0.99% 13,159 -1.9% 23 0.91% $8.68 7 0.70% 5.3% 1.34%

    -1.05% 13,091 -1.8% 22 0.87% $8.74 7 0.70% 6.0% 1.43%

    0.71% 13,648 -1.7% 22 0.87% $8.80 16 1.60% 7.6% 1.51%

    1.19% 16,884 -1.6% 37 1.47% $8.86 10 1.00% 8.6% 1.60%

    1.32% 16,870 -1.5% 38 1.51% $8.92 12 1.20% 9.8% 1.68%

    -0.82% 15,275 -1.4% 45 1.79% $8.98 18 1.80% 11.6% 1.76%

    1.04% 14,242 -1.3% 48 1.91% $9.04 17 1.70% 13.3% 1.84%0.00% 15,731 -1.2% 48 1.91% $9.10 20 2.00% 15.3% 1.92%

    -1.64% 16,123 -1.0% 50 1.99% $9.16 18 1.80% 17.1% 1.99%

    -0.56% 16,269 -0.9% 49 1.95% $9.22 19 1.90% 19.0% 2.06%

    1.40% 10,885 -0.8% 68 2.70% $9.28 17 1.70% 20.7% 2.12%

    -0.55% 12,720 -0.7% 51 2.03% $9.34 17 1.70% 22.4% 2.18%

    0.21% 17,865 -0.6% 82 3.26% $9.40 28 2.80% 25.2% 2.23%

    -1.04% 12,206 -0.5% 79 3.14% $9.46 20 2.00% 27.2% 2.28%

    -2.17% 17,488 -0.4% 85 3.38% $9.52 19 1.90% 29.1% 2.31%

    0.50% 14,142 -0.3% 79 3.14% $9.58 17 1.70% 30.8% 2.34%

    43.5%42.2%

    44.0%

    $

    9.0

    0

    $1

    0.0

    0

    $1

    1.0

    0

    $1

    2.0

    0

    $1

    3.0

    0

    s than $P, in 30

    rns)

    $P

    returns)

    returns)

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    53/199

    -1.42% 14,093 -0.2% 79 3.14% $9.64 16 1.60% 32.4% 2.36%

    2.16% 16,102 -0.1% 73 2.90% $9.70 15 1.50% 33.9% 2.37%

    0.99% 18,929 0.1% 82 3.26% $9.76 16 1.60% 35.5% 2.38%

    0.70% 11,838 0.2% 78 3.10% $9.82 18 1.80% 37.3% 2.37%

    0.49% 13,754 0.3% 71 2.82% $9.88 20 2.00% 39.3% 2.36%

    -0.69% 11,877 0.4% 78 3.10% $9.94 26 2.60% 41.9% 2.34%

    -0.35% 11,909 0.5% 71 2.82% $10.00 16 1.60% 43.5% 2.31%

    -1.12% 14,695 0.6% 57 2.26% $10.06 30 3.00% 46.5% 2.27%

    -0.56% 14,715 0.7% 57 2.26% $10.12 20 2.00% 48.5% 2.23%

    1.35% 15,464 0.8% 71 2.82% $10.18 15 1.50% 50.0% 2.18%

    -1.33% 12,639 0.9% 47 1.87% $10.24 16 1.60% 51.6% 2.12%

    0.50% 13,062 1.1% 54 2.15% $10.30 28 2.80% 54.4% 2.06%

    -0.85% 11,667 1.2% 47 1.87% $10.36 27 2.70% 57.1% 1.99%

    0.07% 19,493 1.3% 40 1.59% $10.42 18 1.80% 58.9% 1.92%

    3.06% 15,254 1.4% 45 1.79% $10.48 10 1.00% 59.9% 1.84%

    -0.83% 16,496 1.5% 42 1.67% $10.54 32 3.20% 63.1% 1.76%

    -1.04% 11,825 1.6% 34 1.35% $10.60 18 1.80% 64.9% 1.68%

    -2.53% 20,888 1.7% 32 1.27% $10.66 24 2.40% 67.3% 1.59%

    -1.95% 32,630 1.8% 29 1.15% $10.72 20 2.00% 69.3% 1.51%-0.66% 25,800 1.9% 30 1.19% $10.78 20 2.00% 71.3% 1.42%

    -0.89% 20,475 2.0% 21 0.83% $10.84 21 2.10% 73.4% 1.33%

    0.67% 21,925 2.2% 29 1.15% $10.90 22 2.20% 75.6% 1.25%

    2.53% 22,067 2.3% 24 0.95% $10.96 16 1.60% 77.2% 1.17%

    -0.36% 13,156 2.4% 24 0.95% $11.02 14 1.40% 78.6% 1.08%

    0.73% 11,693 2.5% 18 0.72% $11.08 13 1.30% 79.9% 1.00%

    0.58% 13,280 2.6% 14 0.56% $11.14 22 2.20% 82.1% 0.93%

    -0.36% 11,638 2.7% 17 0.68% $11.20 13 1.30% 83.4% 0.85%

    -3.53% 17,417 2.8% 16 0.64% $11.26 14 1.40% 84.8% 0.78%

    2.17% 13,270 2.9% 8 0.32% $11.32 15 1.50% 86.3% 0.71%

    2.85% 18,533 3.0% 16 0.64% $11.38 11 1.10% 87.4% 0.65%

    2.42% 18,251 3.1% 13 0.52% $11.44 7 0.70% 88.1% 0.59%-1.39% 16,979 3.3% 7 0.28% $11.50 13 1.30% 89.4% 0.53%

    0.84% 16,970 3.4% 9 0.36% $11.56 11 1.10% 90.5% 0.48%

    -0.35% 12,269 3.5% 8 0.32% $11.62 9 0.90% 91.4% 0.43%

    3.92% 23,916 3.6% 7 0.28% $11.68 12 1.20% 92.6% 0.38%

    -1.28% 17,984 3.7% 5 0.20% $11.74 7 0.70% 93.3% 0.34%

    -0.48% 14,130 3.8% 6 0.24% $11.80 5 0.50% 93.8% 0.30%

    -0.07% 9,332 3.9% 12 0.48% $11.86 9 0.90% 94.7% 0.27%

    0.69% 11,797 4.0% 4 0.16% $11.92 4 0.40% 95.1% 0.24%

    3.14% 17,807 4.1% 5 0.20% $11.98 3 0.30% 95.4% 0.21%

    0.33% 20,087 4.2% 4 0.16% $12.04 5 0.50% 95.9% 0.18%

    -1.12% 11,696 4.3% 7 0.28% $12.10 2 0.20% 96.1% 0.16%

    3.06% 16,039 4.5% 0 0.00% $12.16 5 0.50% 96.6% 0.14%

    3.04% 19,468 4.6% 2 0.08% $12.22 4 0.40% 97.0% 0.12%

    0.19% 21,410 4.7% 3 0.12% $12.28 1 0.10% 97.1% 0.10%

    -0.88% 18,046 4.8% 1 0.04% $12.34 4 0.40% 97.5% 0.09%

    0.32% 21,622 4.9% 1 0.04% $12.40 1 0.10% 97.6% 0.08%

    0.38% 20,332 5.0% 0 0.00% $12.46 4 0.40% 98.0% 0.06%

    2.76% 22,845 5.1% 2 0.08% $12.52 4 0.40% 98.4% 0.06%

    1.47% 21,961 5.2% 2 0.08% $12.58 0 0.00% 98.4% 0.05%

    0.18% 21,940 5.3% 1 0.04% $12.64 1 0.10% 98.5% 0.04%

    1.86% 13,759 5.4% 1 0.04% $12.70 0 0.00% 98.5% 0.03%

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    54/199

    -2.42% 25,492 5.6% 0 0.00% $12.76 1 0.10% 98.6% 0.03%

    0.85% 11,264 5.7% 1 0.04% $12.82 1 0.10% 98.7% 0.02%

    2.46% 18,674 5.8% 0 0.00% $12.88 3 0.30% 99.0% 0.02%

    -1.23% 17,595 5.9% 1 0.04% $12.94 2 0.20% 99.2% 0.02%

    -1.18% 15,678 6.0% 1 0.04% $13.00 1 0.10% 99.3% 0.01%

    0.60% 16,288 6.1% 2 0.08% $13.06

    -0.83% 18,246 18 0.72%

    0.24% 11,898

    0.18% 7,261

    -1.20% 14,641

    0.42% 10,119

    0.00% 11,510

    0.36% 14,206

    -1.02% 10,176

    3.34% 11,918

    1.00% 10,795

    0.58% 11,735

    0.64% 10,599

    2.30% 14,1501.57% 15,968

    0.55% 9,216

    0.00% 11,311

    -0.38% 10,489

    1.32% 9,627

    0.76% 23,163

    -3.14% 11,832

    1.23% 17,778

    -1.43% 12,798

    -0.39% 11,464

    0.34% 12,899

    -0.50% 12,5332.31% 12,582

    1.98% 12,685

    2.70% 9,283

    0.73% 17,429

    -0.52% 14,255

    -1.52% 18,451

    1.54% 16,242

    1.57% 12,152

    0.57% 10,849

    1.69% 12,590

    2.47% 15,354

    -1.08% 13,556

    -2.84% 18,341

    -0.72% 13,152

    1.81% 13,940

    0.46% 14,079

    -0.45% 12,968

    0.61% 10,702

    -1.06% 9,360

    -0.87% 11,432

    -0.26% 12,643

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    55/199

    -0.87% 13,175

    -1.45% 18,008

    -1.58% 16,021

    -0.37% 13,594

    2.31% 17,156

    -1.58% 16,905

    -1.71% 17,251

    0.81% 15,614

    -2.10% 13,182

    0.83% 22,401

    0.00% 14,092

    -5.02% 24,664

    3.91% 23,313

    0.77% 18,685

    2.25% 16,308

    -2.84% 15,849

    -1.60% 21,019

    -1.18% 13,454

    -1.36% 14,904-0.81% 20,895

    -0.41% 16,783

    0.12% 14,560

    5.82% 19,547

    1.21% 18,542

    -0.65% 12,923

    -0.49% 12,634

    1.04% 9,464

    -0.27% 12,440

    -1.20% 12,765

    -1.44% 17,768

    1.90% 16,2120.22% 10,181

    3.29% 17,908

    1.65% 19,107

    0.63% 20,613

    0.10% 19,112

    0.16% 9,945

    -1.71% 10,726

    -0.68% 13,088

    -2.60% 13,035

    2.56% 11,196

    1.12% 9,989

    -1.47% 11,997

    0.75% 10,865

    1.38% 7,154

    -0.63% 15,604

    1.16% 10,393

    3.06% 15,002

    -2.07% 12,924

    0.15% 13,945

    -1.08% 10,573

    -0.67% 7,442

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    56/199

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    57/199

    2.77% 9,243

    2.64% 9,932

    -1.36% 8,075

    0.89% 9,387

    1.76% 16,930

    -1.29% 12,362

    0.83% 10,016

    -0.92% 11,494

    -2.43% 15,597

    2.74% 21,765

    0.34% 14,077

    -0.44% 11,543

    -2.23% 10,176

    0.89% 17,347

    3.00% 13,986

    0.00% 15,484

    -0.48% 15,117

    -1.49% 15,291

    0.83% 12,1162.08% 18,017

    0.00% 12,773

    1.14% 18,074

    0.52% 11,328

    1.35% 20,531

    -1.29% 15,396

    -0.88% 14,423

    -0.23% 12,590

    1.32% 10,603

    -0.79% 8,719

    0.56% 12,824

    1.21% 7,9600.09% 16,416

    -0.92% 8,802

    0.32% 10,309

    0.51% 9,710

    -0.83% 8,887

    0.51% 12,275

    -0.65% 9,720

    -1.21% 10,973

    0.47% 10,719

    -0.14% 10,744

    0.98% 11,699

    -1.53% 16,446

    0.90% 13,338

    -1.22% 9,822

    0.47% 11,802

    2.45% 14,827

    0.32% 12,925

    0.32% 9,523

    0.32% 8,853

    0.23% 11,693

    -1.09% 11,065

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    58/199

    1.33% 9,790

    0.82% 10,389

    -0.40% 8,441

    0.45% 10,361

    1.98% 20,391

    -1.45% 9,991

    2.73% 12,793

    -0.78% 12,539

    0.57% 10,450

    1.27% 14,963

    2.15% 12,571

    1.05% 14,972

    0.29% 13,458

    1.50% 15,637

    -0.41% 17,407

    -0.66% 13,072

    0.37% 12,419

    -1.16% 11,221

    0.42% 9,1740.37% 11,501

    -0.21% 10,406

    -0.08% 9,293

    -1.08% 9,896

    1.89% 13,182

    -1.28% 12,055

    -0.08% 12,447

    -1.00% 9,612

    -0.89% 9,753

    -0.68% 12,959

    -1.67% 14,547

    -1.61% 13,0531.46% 10,611

    3.50% 14,135

    -0.21% 7,772

    -0.76% 8,495

    -1.24% 9,134

    -0.30% 10,481

    -1.43% 9,861

    1.58% 11,628

    0.00% 9,741

    0.30% 9,824

    1.42% 10,092

    -0.60% 11,681

    -1.75% 15,574

    -0.17% 11,537

    0.48% 10,396

    3.39% 16,672

    0.29% 18,189

    -1.09% 7,937

    -2.58% 10,592

    1.13% 15,127

    0.73% 11,054

  • 7/28/2019 Distribution Laplace

    59/199

    -1.19% 11,785

    -0.56% 10,706

    -0.17% 10,388

    -1.74% 10,557

    2.61% 12,338

    1.60% 11,989

    -0.38% 9,101

    0.47%