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8/13/2019 2014 lok sabha election prediction
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rdSeptember 2013 | 13rdSeptember 2013
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rdSeptember 2013 | 3
The take away points:
1. Growth Factor. The participants have voted for the growth model of Gujarat
government led by Narendra Modi as the best growth model for India. 54%participants have voted for the growth model of Gujarat government led by
Narendra Modi and the participants want to see that experience replicating in the
whole country.
2. A clean sweep for Narendra Modi. More than 60% participants have unanimously
voted for Narendra Modi as the best Prime Ministerial candidate for the upcoming
Lok Sabha election. Rahul Gandhi of the Congress party became a distant second
with just 11% votes.
3. Stability Counts. The question of Hung Parliament has made the participants tilt
towards the combination that could provide stable government. 65% participants
have said that they would be voting for the party or candidate, who is winning at
the centre combination, capable of providing stable government. About 35% people
however, will vote for their preferred party or candidate irrespective of who the
winner is.
4. Modi Magic. Clearly Narendra Modi seems to have appeared as the clear choice
for the Indians. The joint influence of BJP and NDA faded in the face of the Modi
magic. A whopping 49% strong crowd said that they would vote for BJP and NDA
only if Modi is declared as the Prime Ministerial candidate. While only 19% people
have said that they wontvote for BJP and NDA under any circumstances, about
the same number of people have voiced their unfaltering support for the
party/coalition. It seems that NDA will not be able to take advantage of anti-
incumbency factor if they dontdeclare Modi as the PM candidate.
5. Sinking Boat. The situation is not working in favour of the Congress-led UPA
government. It has become evident as about 52% people have expressed their
reservation and said that they wont vote for the Congress and UPA under any
circumstance. Only about 21% people out of all the respondents have said they will
vote for the Congress and UPA only when Rahul Gandhi is declared as the Prime
Ministerial candidate, where as 15% respondents think they will vote for Congress
and UPA without considering Rahul Gandhi factor
6. Credibility Matters. Credible leadership seems to be the decisive factor for the
Indian electorate. About 65% of the respondents are ready to change their voting
decision in favour of any national party if they declare a credible and honest person
as their Prime Ministerial candidate.
Executive Summary
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rdSeptember 2013 | 4
The take away points:
7. No to Third Front. Indian electorate is most apprehensive about the Third Front /
Federal Front government. About 61% respondents have said that Third Front orFederal Front government would not be able to provide a stable government after
next Lok Sabha election.
8. Decision Made. The answer to this question shows that Indian voters are quite
conscious about their voting powers. With less than one year to go to the polls,
about 70% of the respondents have already decided who they are going to vote for.
9. Peoples Verdict. The verdict of people for both the present ruling party and the
opposition is equally divided. While the falling price of rupee and rising inflation
rate are two crucial problems, and 50% respondents have said that even if thepresent government succeeds in controlling inflation they would not vote for it.
However, favour for the UPA also has touched the 50% mark as 32% respondents
have said they would vote for UPA only if it succeeds in controlling inflation, while
18% respondents have maintained loyalty to the present government.
10. Lok Pal Bill. 49% respondents have said that even if the present UPA government
passes the Lok Pal Bill by next election they would not vote for it. Only 32%
respondents have said they will vote for UPA only if it passes the Lok Pal Bill.
Here also 19% respondents have maintained loyalty to the present government.
Executive Summary
9%
54%
9%
7%
4%
17% Model of UPA followed at Central Govt.
Model of Gujarat Govt.lead by Narendra Modi
Model of Bihar Govt.lead by Nitish Kumar
Model of Madhya Pradesh Govt. lead by Chauhan
Model of Chhattisgarh Govt. lead by Raman Singh
None of the above .. India needs new model
The participants have voted for the growth model of Gujarat
government led by Narendra Modi as the best growth model for India.
Q 1. Which according to you is the best growth model for India?
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rdSeptember 2013 | 6
Stability Counts. The
question of Hung
Parliament has made
the participants tilt
towards the
combination that could
provide stablegovernment.
Q 3. How will the possibility of a hung parliament after the upcoming Lok Sabha
election affect your voting decision?
The joint influence of BJP and NDA faded in the face of Modi magic. A
whopping majority said that they would vote for BJP and NDA only if
Modi is declared as the Prime Ministerial candidate.
Q 4. How will BJP's declaration on making Narendra Modi as their Prime
Ministerial Candidate in the upcoming Lok Sabha election affect yourdecision on voting?
35%
65%
I shall be voting for the party or
candidate irrespective of who is
winning at Centre
I shall be voting for the party or
candidate who is winning at
Centre combination capable ofproviding stable Government
49%
13%
19%
19% I shall vote for BJP and NDA only when Modi is a P.M. Candidate
I shall vote for BJP and NDA when Modi is not declared as a P.M. Candidate
I shall vote for BJP and NDA whether or not Modi is declared as a P.M. Candidate
Will not vote for BJP and NDA
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rdSeptember 2013 | 7
Q 5. How will the Congress' declaration on making Rahul Gandhi as their Prime
Ministerial Candidate in the upcoming Lok Sabha election affect your voting
decision?
Q 6. Will your voting decision change in favour of any national political party if
they declare a credible and honest person like NR Narayan Murty as their
prime ministerial candidate?
The situation is not
working in favour of the
Congress-led UPA
government. About 52%
people have expressed
their reservation and said
that they wont vote forthe Congress and UPA
under any circumstance.
Credible leadership seems to be the decisive factor for the Indian
electorate. About 65% of the respondents are ready to change their voting
decision in favour of any national party if they declare a credible and
honest person as their Prime Ministerial candidate.
65%
35% Yes
No
21%
12%
15%
52%
I shall vote for Congress and UPA
only when Rahul Gandhi is a P.M.
Candidate
I shall vote for Congress and UPA
when Rahul Gandhi is not declared
as a P.M.Candidate
I shall vote for Congress and UPA.
Rahul Gandhi is not a factor for me
Will not vote for Congress and UPA
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8/13/2019 2014 lok sabha election prediction
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rdSeptember 2013 | 8
Q 7. Do you think that the Third Front/Federal Front can provide a stable
government after the next Lok Sabha election?
Q 8. Have you decided on whom to vote for in the upcoming Lok Sabha election?
61% of the respondents
have said that Third Front
or Federal Front
government would not be
able to provide a stable
government
With less than one year to go to the polls, 70% of the respondents
have already decided who they are going to vote for.
39%
61%
Yes
No
70%
30%Yes
No
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Satyamev Jayate 2Survey Study
A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research
3rd September 2013 | 9
Q 10. How will the passing of Lok Pal Bill before the next Lok Sabha election
impact your voting decision?
Q 9. Would you change your mind in the upcoming Lok Sabha election if the UPA
Govt. succeeds in controlling inflation?
50% of the respondents have said that they would not vote for UPA even
if it succeeds in controlling inflation
49% of the respondents
have said that even if
the present UPAgovernment passes the
Lok Pal Bill by next
election they would not
vote for it.
50%
18%
32% Under no circumstances shall I vote for UPA and Congress
I shall vote for UPA and Congress irrespective of inflation
I shall only vote for UPA and Congress if it controls inflation
49%
19%
32%
Under no circumstances shall I
vote for UPA and Congress
I shall vote for UPA and Congressirrespective of the Lok Pall Bill
I shall only vote for UPA and
Congress if it passes Lok Pall Bill