Download - Surviving the 21 st Century
Surviving the 21st Century
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Surviving the 21st Century
Progress in 21st Century will be defined by the development of global systems much in the same way that the development of national systems has defined progress in the last 200 years
Major Challenges Facing Humanity
•Climate Change•Decreasing biodiversity•Lack of Fresh Water•Over population
•Other Issues as well
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Surviving the 21st Century
Only through Peace can humanity build the trust, co-operation and the genuine sharing necessary to solve the global issues of today
Peace is the Prerequisite
•Challenges are global•Shared by all Humanity•Solutions
–Inclusive–Equitable–Unparalleled cooperation–Funded–Global structures
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Surviving the 21st Century
If the paradigm of the 20th century was ‘the survival of the fittest’ then the paradigm of the 21st century is ‘survival through interdependence’
New Global Order
•Global Goods and Services–Provided by Global Structure–Peace Keeping–Peace Building–Environmental Services–Development Support–Funding independent of
Nations
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Surviving the 21st Century
As public goods and services are of the highest benefit to a nation so are global public goods and services to humanity
Global Sources of Funding
User Based•Carbon Taxes•Environmental Levies
Global Spending•Directed to Developing Countries to Cut Degradation•0.2% of GDP of 10 largest
economies for 10 years approx $600B
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Surviving the 21st Century
Without measurements it is very difficult to know whether the actions we take help or hinder our goals
Three Key Requirements to be Measured
•Assessing Sustainability– Multi faceted– As new problems emerge new indicators will be required
•Assessing Peace– Separating indicators from drivers
•Assessing Global Governance– Model on National Assessments– Global Goods and services are different than National Goods and Services
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Surviving the 21st Century
Our ability to deal with or avoid ecological collapses will be dependent on the global services that we provide – peace is a prerequisite
Assessing Sustainability
•Many good studies and indicators have been developed•Need common agreement on what to measure•Population underlying most issues•Need agreement on a basic model and needed soon•Probably multiple indices Millennium Ecosystem Assessment www.maweb.org
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Surviving the 21st Century
If we knew the three drivers that created or sustained peace and if they could be taught would the world be a more peaceful place?
Global Peace Index
Number of internal security officers and police 100,000 peopleNumber of homicides per 100,000 people
Number of jailed population per 100,000 peopleEase of access to weapons of minor destructionLevel of organised conflict (internal)Level of violent crimePolitical instabilityRespect for human rightsVolume of transfers of major conventional weapons, as recipient (Imports) per 100,000 peoplePotential for terrorist acts
Number of deaths from organised conflict (internal)
Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP
Number of armed services personnel per 100,000 people
UN Deployments 2006-07 (percentage of total forces)
Non-UN Deployments 2006-07 (percentage of total forces)
Volume of transfers of major conventional weapons as supplier (exports) per 100,000 peopleRelations with neighboring countries
Number of external and internal conflicts fought: 2000-05Estimated number of deaths from organized conflict (external)
GPI Ranking
1 Norway 6 Finland2 New Zealand 7 Sweden3 Denmark 8 Canada4 Ireland 9 Portugal5 Japan 10 Austria
GPI Indicators
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Surviving the 21st Century
Without a vision of global interdependency between humanity and nature we will flight over ever dwindling resources
Global Governance
•Clear Independent Charter•Appropriate Responsibilities•Clear Lines of Funding•Transparency•Clearly defined Services•Measured Service Delivery•What can be learnt from the EU
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Surviving the 21st Century
Humanities Choice
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