dr. david beeton managing director, urban foresight the future of electric mobility: 50 big ideas...
TRANSCRIPT
Dr. David BeetonManaging Director, Urban Foresight
The Future of Electric Mobility: 50 Big Ideas From Around the World10th April 2015 | GreenFleet Scotland | Edinburgh, Scotland
PARTNERS:
EV CITY CASEBOOK 2012
16 PIONEERING CITIES FROM 9 COUNTRIES
LAUNCHED IN LOS ANGELES IN MAY 2012
STRONG MEDIA ATTENTION & INTERNATIONAL RECOGNITION
2012
GLOBAL COMMITMENTS TO EVs
CLIMATE CHANGE
FOSSIL FUEL INDEPENDENCE
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES
AIR QUALITY
CLEAN & RESILIENT ENERGY
smart grids
public
destination
vehicle to grid
vehicle to home
markets & operation
payment
administration
fast (AC/DC)
battery swop
behaviour change
inductive
recharging networks
vehicles
cars
commercial
buses
integrated transport
car clubs
parking
extend journeys
ITS
state of charge
range estimation
eco-driving
location services
e-payment
mobility
fleets
two wheelers
generate & distribute
renewable energy
standards
interoperability
vehicles & batteries
energy storage
management systems
batteries & materials
vehicle tech
hybrids
navigation
range-extenders
drive trains
regulation
education
skills & services
first responders
manufacturing
sales
maintain/ repair
charge type
standard
connectors
AC/DC
safety
installations
energy mgmt
customer mgmt
back office
charging control
demand forecast
remote switching
private
home
microgeneration
demand management
network controls
public transport
smart ticketing
dynamic pricing
smart meters
regeneration
lightweighting
alternative fuels
journey planning
expectation mgmt
tax & incentives
2nd life/ recycling
legal/ commercial
value-add services
leasing
business models
funding
Applied research
Pilot-scale projects
Demonstration-scale projects
Supported commercialisation
Fully commercial
EV CITY CASEBOOK 2014
2014
Technology Push
Demand Pull
2.0 3.0
Beyond the pilots & demonstrations
Preparing for mass market
CROSSING THE CHASM
Innovators Early adopters Early majority Late majority Laggards
THE
CHASM
BIGIDEAS
POLICY
TECHNOLOGY
BUSINESS MODELS
OUTREACH
TIMELINE
MAY 2014
COPENHAGEN
EVALUATION
OCT 2014
VANCOUVER
PUBLICATION
SEPT 2014
TOKYO
GLOBAL PREVIEW
1 BIG IDEA
FEB 2014
OKINAWA
ANNOUNCED GLOBAL CALL
50BIG IDEAS
50 BIG IDEAS
AIR QUALITY | ALL-ELECTRIC BUS ROUTES | AWARENESS & EDUCATION | BALANCING THE
TAXATION EQUATION | BATTERY RIGHT SIZING | BATTERY SWAPPING | BI-DIRECTIONAL
CHARGING | CHALLENGING MISCONCEPTIONS | CHANGING TRAVEL BEHAVIOURS | CHARGING AT
WORK | CITY LOGISTICS | COMBINING INFRASTRUCTURE | CREATING BASELINE DEMAND FOR
URBAN CHARGING INFRASTRUCTURE | CURTAILMENT | ELECTRIC HGVS | ELECTRIC TAXIS |
ENERGY INDEPENDENCE | ENGAGING CHILDREN & YOUNG PEOPLE | EV READY BUILDINGS | EVS
AND TOURISM | FAST CHARGING NETWORKS | EXTREME WEATHER | FLEET OPTIMIZATION |
INFRASTRUCTURE ROAMING & INTEROPERABILITY | INTEGRATED URBAN INTELLIGENCE |
LEAPFROGGING FOSSIL FUELS | LIGHTWEIGHTING | LOCAL INCENTIVES | MANAGED CHARGING |
MICROMOBILITY | NEW MARKET ENTRANTS | PARTNERSHIPS | PLUG SHARING | PRICING
SIGNALS | PROCUREMENT CONSORTIA | RECOVERY OF BATTERY MATERIALS | REGIONAL
PLANNING | REINVENTING THE CAR BUYING EXPERIENCE | SECOND LIFE BATTERIES |
AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES | SHARED MOBILITY | TRANSPORT POVERTY | ULTRA LOW EMISSION
ZONES | WIRELESS CHARGING | RANGE EXTENDER | EV VENDING MACHINES | BUNDLED
SERVICES VEHICLE TO GRID | INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS | INNOVATIVE FINANCE
IMPACT OF THE BIG IDEAS
RELATIVE ADVANTAGE
EASE OF USE
VEHICLE PERFORMANCE
AWARENESS & UNDERSTANDING
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT
ENERGY SYSTEM BENEFIT
Image Source: TfL
ULTRA LOW EMISISON ZONES
VISION FOR THE WORLD’S FIRST BIG CITY ULEZ BY 2020
LIKELY TO BE LINKED TO NEW EURO 6 EMISSIONS STANDARDS
PUBLIC CONSULTATION TO DEFINE DETAILLED PLANS
London, United Kingdom
CHANGING THE NARRATIVE ON ‘RANGE’ FROM ‘HOW FAR…’ TO ‘WHERE CAN YOU GO?’
MORE CITIES IMPLEMENT LEZs AND STRICTER EMISSIONS CONTROLS ARE ADOPTED IN EXISTING ZONES
Image Source: Toyota
INTEGRATED URBAN INTELLIGENCE
EVs IDEALLY SUITED TO SHORT URBAN JOURNEYS
INTEGRATION WITH PUBLIC TRANSPORT
INTEGRATED TICKETING & JOURNEY PLANNING
CONNECTING EVs WITH ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE & WIDER TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
Ha:mo, Toyota City, Japan
BREAKING SILOS TO MAKE URBAN SYSTEMS MORE EFFICIENT AND INTELLIGENTLY RESPONSIVE TO INDIVIDUAL NEEDS
Image Source: SGL
LIGHTWEIGHTING
BMW i3 IS 20% LIGHTER THAN SIMILARLY SIZED NISSAN LEAF
NEARLY MATCHES LEAF’s RANGE WITH A SMALLER BATTERY (18.8kWh)
ADVANCED MANUFACTURING PROCESS
BMW, Munich, Germany
CARBON FIBRE AND LIGHTWEIGHT MATERIALS INCREASE RANGE, LOWER COSTS, EMISSIONS, ENHANCE SAFETY AND PERFORMANCE
GREATER DISTANCES ACHIEVABLE WITH EXISTING BATTERIES AND SMALLER (CHEAPER) BATTERIES ACHIEVE EXISTING RANGE
Image Source: FIA Formula E
CHALLENGING MISCONCEPTIONS
WORLD’S FIRST FULLY ELECTRIC RACING SERIES
OBJECTIVE TO MAKE PEOPLE BELIEVE IN ELECTRIC CARS
POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT MARKET UPTAKE OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES
FIA Formula E, United Kingdom
INNOVATIVE WAYS TO PERSUADE PEOPLE THAT EVs ARE DESIRABLE & PRACTICAL FIT WITH THEIR LIFESTYLE
IMPROVING PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING BY CHALLENGING COMMONLY HELD MISCONCEPTIONS, SCEPTICISM & BIAS
Image Source: Japan Smart City Portal
MANAGED CHARGING
EV CHARGING MANAGEMENT CENTER TO STUDY WAYS TO CONTROL DEMAND
COLLECTS DATA ON 100 EVs INCLUDING LOCATION & REMAINING BATTERY LEVELS
SENDS OUT DEMAND RESPONSE REQUESTS TO DRIVERS VIA EMAIL & SAT NAVs
CENTRALLY MANAGED DEMAND RESPONSE STRATEGIES TO CONTROL ENERGY DEMAND AND AVOID CLUSTER CHARGING
Kansai Science City, Kyoto, Japan
ANALYTICAL INTELLIGENCE, COMMUNIATION & REWARD STRATEGIES REDUCE NEED FOR GRID REINFORCEMENT & EXPANSION
THE AIR WE BREATHE
GREATER KNOWLEDGE OF DISEASES AND MEASUREMENT OF HUMAN EXPOSURE
WHO DATABASE OF AIR QUALITY IN 1,600 CITIES ACROSS 91 COUNTRIES
ONLY 12% OF THIS POPULATION HAS SAFE GUIDLELINE LEVELS FOR AIR QUALITY
INCREASED UNDERSTANDING OF THE RISKS, CONSEQUENCES AND HEALTHCARE COSTS OF POOR AIR QUALITY
WHO Urban Air Quality Database
SHIFT IN EMPHASIS IN POLICIES LEADING TO DEMARKETING CAMPAIGNS, HIGH IMPACT PUBLIC STATEMENTS AND BANS
CREATING OPPORTUNITIES FOR MASS MARKET ADOPTION.
THE
CHASM
BIGIDEAS
POLICY
TECHNOLOGY
BUSINESS MODELS
OUTREACH
David BeetonManaging Director | Urban Foresight Limited
Newcastle upon Tyne | United Kingdom
twitter: @dbeeton
web: urbanforesight.orgtwitter: @UrbanForesightemail: [email protected]
THANK YOU