ecosystem diagnosis and treatment (edt) model for the stillaguamish river basin michael d. purser,...

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Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works Surface Water Management Everett, WA

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Page 1: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin

Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat SpecialistSnohomish County Public Works Surface Water ManagementEverett, WA

Page 2: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Overview

• EDT is a habitat rating model.

• Data for 43 attributes are collected and the attributes are calculated or estimated for all reaches that are the habitat of Chinook salmon.

• The attributes include direct factors (e.g., large woody material, pool area, water quality, etc.), and indirect factors such as hydrology.

Page 3: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Model OutputsModel outputs include:

• a baseline report comparing current and historic Chinook salmon population performance

• an analysis of the relative importance of preservation and restoration actions in each subbasin, and

• a reach-scale analysis of the influence of specific actions on specific life history stages.

Page 4: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Attributes

•Default attribute values were created in an initial effort that was commissioned by the Tulalip Tribes and the WDFW (2002).

•New data were used to update attribute values such as physical habitat, water quality data, and riparian condition.

•TAG members reviewed the original dataset, the proposed changes, and the documentation supporting the revisions.

Page 5: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Fish Populations

• Spawning reaches and timing and harvest patterns are defined for both North Fork and South Fork Chinook salmon populations.

• The model predicts viable salmonid population parameters (VSP’s): ▫ life history diversity, ▫productivity, ▫capacity (maximum number of recruits

supportable), and ▫equilibrium abundance for returning spawners

and outmigrating smolts for both populations.

Page 6: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Baseline and Diagnostic Results

The initial results from the model include:1. an assessment of Current and Template

conditions on the VSP parameters (Baseline Report);

2. an analysis of benefits to each population of restoration and protection by subbasin; and

3. a reach-level analysis of the effect of attributes on the productivity of each life stage known to use the reach (Diagnostic Reports).

 

Page 7: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Actions and Scenarios

• EDT can model scenarios comprised of specific actions to see the effect on adult and juvenile Chinook salmon.

• The model was also used to confirm that the scenarios created would have benefit to the focal species.

• Actions modeled in EDT include: ▫riparian restoration, ▫floodplain connectivity/side-channel restoration, ▫reduction of sediment, and ▫restoration of large woody debris (in concert other

activities as well as stand-alone projects).

Page 8: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

ResultsStillaguamish Baseline Report for SF, NF Chinook salmon populations.

Population ScenarioDiversity

index Productivity Capacity Abundance

NFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 58% 2.8 4,013 2,593

Current with harvest 55% 1.8 2,646 1,212

Historic potential 100% 15.6 26,339 24,653

SFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 40% 1.3 2,879 624

Current with harvest 11% 0.7 1,709 -

Historic potential 100% 14.4 22,116 20,581

Page 9: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Stilly Sediment Diagnosis

Population Scenario Diversity index Productivity Capacity Abundance

SFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 45% 1.4 3,028 861

SFSedDiagMSplusCanyonJim 66% 2.6 3,163 1,923

Historic potential 100% 14.6 21,820 20,329

SFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 40% 1.3 2,879 624

SFSedDiagMSplusCanyon 60% 1.8 2,967 1,320

Historic potential 100% 14 20,992 19,497

SFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 40% 1.3 2,879 624

SFSedDiagmsonly 57% 1.8 2,958 1,283

Historic potential 100% 14 20,992 19,497

NFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 58% 2.8 4,013 2,593

NFSedDiagwoDeer 58% 3.2 4,244 2,915

Historic potential 100% 15.6 26,339 24,653

NFStill Chinook

Current without harvest 58% 2.8 4,013 2,593

NFSedDiagwDeer 58% 3.1 4,290 2,902

Historic potential 100% 15.6 26,339 24,653

Page 10: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Diagnostic Reports – fall run (SF)•Protection priorities:

▫Jim Creek ▫Lower Pilchuck Creek

• Restoration priorities:• Lower Stillaguamish River, • Lower South Fork, and • Jim Creek

Page 11: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works
Page 12: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Diagnostic Reports – summer/fall run (NF)Protection priorities

▫French-Segelsen ▫Middle North Fork Stillaguamish

Restoration priorities ▫Lower North Fork, ▫Middle North Fork ▫French-Segelsen

Page 13: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works
Page 14: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Key Findings

•Reconnecting estuarine marsh had the largest response of any action.

•Riparian planting▫The long-term (25 years or more) benefits

of riparian planting increased productivity more than any other scenario.

▫Even in 10 years, planting yielded a significant increase in productivity and capacity through improvements in water quality.

Page 15: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Key Findings (cont’d)• Improve in-channel structure through placement

of LWD▫Wood has the most benefit where it changes the

distribution of habitat features (i.e., increase primary and backwater pools which are limiting throughout the system).

▫Important short-term measure because riparian plantings that may occur today will not contribute significant LWD for 50 years or more.

▫15-20% increase in productivity, capacity and abundance.

Page 16: Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment (EDT) model for the Stillaguamish River Basin Michael D. Purser, Senior Habitat Specialist Snohomish County Public Works

Key Findings (cont’d)•Reconnecting off-channel habitat

▫Significant for both populations assuming a large percentage of reconnected habitat becomes backwater pool with good food and cover. The effect of reconnection alone was relatively small because the area of off-channel habitat is small relative to the total reach area.

▫The effect was greater in the South Fork.