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  • 1Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

  • 1Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    Despite the slump in oil prices and conflicts in

    neighbouring countries, the Gulf region continues

    to enjoy a stable pace of economic growth, with

    most firms maintaining employment levels or

    increasing headcount. Most governments have

    so far used their large reserves to keep spending

    and investment plans at previous levels.

    The impact of the oil price fall has so far been

    limited to firms in the oil and gas sector, some

    of which have been downsizing. There has also

    been some slowdown in Bahrain and Oman,

    the countries with lower cash reserves where

    governments have started to reduce their

    investment on infrastructure projects.

    Across the region, the fastest growing sector is

    healthcare, driven by a combination of growing

    populations, massive government investment,

    and regulatory changes making health insurance

    mandatory for employers.

    While the region remains a major importer of

    expatriate talent, the need to create jobs for

    a fast-growing local population continues. As

    such, governments are increasing the pressure

    on employers to reduce their reliance on an

    expatriate workforce and fill a higher share of

    their roles with nationals. This is most notable in

    Saudi Arabia and Oman, where nationalisation

    is the biggest human resource challenge for

    employers.

    Conflicts and tensions across the broader Middle

    East region have increased the supply of talent

    from the affected countries to the Gulf. However,

    several Gulf countries have imposed restrictions

    on nationals of war-torn countries seeking

    employment in the Gulf, preventing employers

    from absorbing this pool of talent.

    Pay rises across the region averaged 6.7% in

    2014, the highest average increase since the

    financial crisis, and are projected to accelerate

    further in 2015 to 6.9%. This is driven by the

    competition for talent and rising cost of living

    and, in the case of Oman, increasing unionisation

    of the workforce. At the same time, the strength

    of the US dollar, to which most Gulf currencies

    are pegged, is helping make Gulf salaries more

    attractive for expatriates, reducing upward

    pressure on wages.

    The UAE, and particularly Dubai, remain the

    regions most popular destinations for expatriates.

    Qatar ranks second in popularity with newcomers,

    but has very low retention as the cost of living and

    the ban on expatriates switching employers drives

    many to leave.

    The outlook for 2015 remains positive, with

    employers in most sectors expecting to grow.

    However, much depends on what happens to

    the oil price. With the regions heavy reliance

    on expatriate talent from India, the accelerating

    economic growth in India can also pose an

    increasing challenge to employers.

    GulfTalent

    April 2015

    Executive Summary

  • 2Contents

    Economic and Political Background 3

    Recruitment Trends 4

    Mobility 6

    Salaries 7

    2015 Outlook 9

    Country Highlights 11

    Appendix: Useful Information 12

    Research Methodology 13

    About GulfTalent 14

    .

  • 3Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    Stable economic growth

    The regional economy continues to grow at a

    stable pace, faster than most of the world, though

    below the levels seen in the fast-growing markets

    of India and China. Continued investment by

    GCC governments in infrastructure development

    remains a key driver of growth and job creation,

    with projects such as Gulf Railway, Jeddah Metro

    and Qatar stadiums driving significant activity.

    GDP Growth %, 2015

    Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, Economist, Asian Development Bank

    Low oil prices

    With the region heavily dependent on exports

    of crude oil, the collapse in the oil price during

    the second half of 2014 has reduced growth

    expectations. For the time being, damage

    seems to be limited to the oil sector, and some

    government-linked projects in Bahrain and

    Oman, the more vulnerable countries with smaller

    reserves. Others such as Saudi Arabia have

    seen almost no impact, as they draw on their

    massive cash reserves to maintain spending and

    investment.

    Crude Oil PriceUSD per Barrel (Brent)

    Source: World Bank

    Regional conflicts

    With the exception of Bahrain, Gulf countries have

    been islands of stability in a region torn by tension

    and conflict. However, on-going violent conflict in

    Syria, Iraq and Yemen, and tensions elsewhere

    in Lebanon and Egypt have had some impact,

    in some cases benefiting the Gulf countries by

    increasing the flow of talent and capital to them.

    Middle East Key Conflict Zones2015

    Economic and Political Background

    -4.0%

    1.3%

    3.2%

    3.5%

    7.2%

    7.8%

    EU

    US

    GCC

    China

    India

    Source: Economic Intelligence Unit, Economist, Asian Development Bank

    Russia

    GDP Growth comparison graph

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2012 2013 2014 2015

    Size reference box ( 7 cm X 4 cm)

    Oil price graph

    Crude Oil Price USD per Barrel (Brent)

    Source: World Bank

    Middle East Key Hotspot 2014

    Middle East Key Hotspots 2014

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Saudi Arabia

    Syria

    Egypt

    Yemen

    Oman

    Iraq Kuwait

    Lebanon

    UAE

    GDP Growth %, 2015

    -4.0%

    1.3%

    3.2%

    3.5%

    7.2%

    7.8%

    EU

    US

    GCC

    China

    India

    Source: Economic Intelligence Unit, Economist, Asian Development Bank

    Russia

    GDP Growth comparison graph

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2012 2013 2014 2015

    Size reference box ( 7 cm X 4 cm)

    Oil price graph

    Crude Oil Price USD per Barrel (Brent)

    Source: World Bank

    Middle East Key Hotspot 2014

    Middle East Key Hotspots 2014

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Saudi Arabia

    Syria

    Egypt

    Yemen

    Oman

    Iraq Kuwait

    Lebanon

    UAE

    GDP Growth %, 2015

    Middle East Key Hotspot 2014

    Middle East Key Hotspots 2014

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Saudi Arabia

    Syria

    Egypt

    Yemen

    Oman

    Iraq Kuwait

    Lebanon

    UAE Jordan

  • 4Recruitment Trends

    Saudi Arabia leading job creation

    Across the region, more firms increased

    headcount last year than those who reduced it.

    Saudi Arabia topped the list, where 72% of firms

    reported expansion. Bahrain had the lowest net

    job creation, with only 22% of firms expanding.

    Employment Growth by CountryNet percentage of firms which increased headcount, 2014

    * Insufficient data for Kuwait. Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Dubai growth. Qatar slowdown

    While Saudi Arabia remains the biggest net

    creator of jobs, the UAE and particularly Dubai

    continued to enjoy a recovery, witnessing

    a healthy increase in their share of regional

    recruitment activity. Qatar on the other hand saw

    a slowdown in recruitment during 2014, driven by

    uncertainty over its World Cup award, and internal

    pending reviews on the awarding of projects.

    Recruitment Volume by Location Percentage of vacancies advertised on GulfTalent *

    * Based on 130,000 vacancies advertised on GulfTalent.com website over the specified period. Source : GulfTalent

    Healthcare and education expanding

    Healthcare has recently been the fastest

    growing sector across the region, with 82% of

    firms increasing headcount in 2014, followed

    by education at 80%. Growing populations and

    government investment are driving both sectors.

    New regulations making health insurance

    mandatory on employers is also contributing to

    the sectors expansion. Worst performing has

    been the oil and gas sector, where only 34% of

    firms created new jobs and some have been in

    the process of downsizing.

    Employment Growth by SectorNet % of firms which increased headcount in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    72%

    61%

    59%

    38%

    22%

    0%

    Saudi Arabia

    Oman

    UAE

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Kuwait N/A*

    Employment Growth by Country Net percentage of firms which increased headcount

    * Insu cient data for Kuwait Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Recruitment Volume by Location Percentage of vacancies advertised on GulfTalent

    Dubai

    UAE (Ex: Dubai)

    Saudi Arabia

    Kuwait/Bahrain/Oman

    Source: Based on 130,000 vacancies advertised on GulfTalent.com over the specified period. Prevalence of online recruitment varies across the region.

    Employment growth graph

    Recruitment volume graphs

    34%

    36%

    63%

    72%

    77%

    78%

    80%

    80%

    82%

    Oil & Gas

    Travel & Hospitality

    Banking

    Retail & Consumer

    Engineering

    Transport & Logistics

    Media & Marketing

    Education

    Healthcare

    Employment Growth by Sector Net % of firms which increased headcount in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Employment growth by sector Nationalisation Pressure on Employers Percentage of employers reporting nationalisation as a key human resource challenge in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    95%

    84%

    55%

    53%

    28%

    6%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    UAE

    Qatar

    Nationalization chart

    Qatar

    41% 40% 35% 37% 31%

    17% 17% 14%

    18% 22%

    23% 19% 20%

    18% 20%

    10% 16% 20% 17% 16%

    9% 8% 11% 10% 11%

    2014 2013 2012 2011 2010

    Recruitment Volume by Location Percentage of vacancies advertised on GulfTalent *

    Dubai

    UAE (Exc: Dubai)

    Saudi Arabia

    Kuwait/Bahrain/ Oman

    * Based on 130,000 vacancies advertised on GulfTalent.com over the specified period. Source : GulfTalent

    Recruitment volume graphs

    Qatar

    41% 40% 35% 37% 31%

    17% 17% 14% 18% 22%

    23% 19% 20%

    18% 20%

    10% 16% 20% 17% 16%

    9% 8% 11% 10% 11%

    2014 2013 2012 2011 2010

    72%

    61%

    59%

    38%

    22%

    0%

    Saudi Arabia

    Oman

    UAE

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Kuwait N/A*

    Employment Growth by Country Net percentage of firms which increased headcount

    * Insu cient data for Kuwait Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Recruitment Volume by Location Percentage of vacancies advertised on GulfTalent

    Dubai

    UAE (Ex: Dubai)

    Saudi Arabia

    Kuwait/Bahrain/Oman

    Source: Based on 130,000 vacancies advertised on GulfTalent.com over the specified period. Prevalence of online recruitment varies across the region.

    Employment growth graph

    Recruitment volume graphs

    34%

    36%

    63%

    72%

    77%

    78%

    80%

    80%

    82%

    Oil & Gas

    Travel & Hospitality

    Banking

    Retail & Consumer

    Engineering

    Transport & Logistics

    Media & Marketing

    Education

    Healthcare

    Employment Growth by Sector Net % of firms which increased headcount in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Employment growth by sector Nationalisation Pressure on Employers Percentage of employers reporting nationalisation as a key human resource challenge in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    95%

    84%

    55%

    53%

    28%

    6%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    UAE

    Qatar

    Nationalization chart

    Qatar

    41% 40% 35% 37% 31%

    17% 17% 14%

    18% 22%

    23% 19% 20%

    18% 20%

    10% 16% 20% 17% 16%

    9% 8% 11% 10% 11%

    2014 2013 2012 2011 2010

  • 5Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    Nationalisation pressure

    In their effort to create jobs for their citizens, GCC

    governments continue to push companies to

    replace some of their expatriate employees with

    nationals. Attracting and retaining nationals while

    maintaining the mix of skills needed to operate

    their business remains a major challenge for

    employers. The pressure is greatest in Oman and

    Saudi Arabia, where almost all employers cited

    nationalisation as a key challenge. It remains the

    least in Qatar and the UAE, where nationalisation

    targets are significantly lower and confined to

    certain sectors only, and are less strictly enforced.

    Nationalisation Pressure on EmployersPercentage of employers reporting nationalisation as a key human resource challenge in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Competition from India

    As the Indian economy continues to grow at a

    rapid pace and create attractive employment

    opportunities for its citizens, employers in the

    Gulf are finding it increasingly difficult to attract

    professionals from India, traditionally a major

    source of talent for them. With the newly elected

    Indian government embarking on massive

    economic reforms expected to lead to more job

    creation, the issue is likely to intensify.

    It is difficult to attract Indian talent. Nowadays they have

    ample opportunities back

    home, with good salaries.General Manager

    Saudi-based Engineering Firm

    Visa restrictions

    Governments in the GCC are increasingly

    restricting the choice of nationalities available

    for companies to employ. In particular, visa

    applications for nationals of countries facing

    tensions or civil war, such as Syria and Egypt, are

    frequently rejected or delayed. This is limiting the

    ability of employers to absorb the talent seeking

    to escape the conflict zones.

    We had a great candidate from Syria but his visa was

    rejected and we lost him.HR Manager

    UAE-based Construction Firm

    72%

    61%

    59%

    38%

    22%

    0%

    Saudi Arabia

    Oman

    UAE

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Kuwait N/A*

    Employment Growth by Country Net percentage of firms which increased headcount

    * Insu cient data for Kuwait Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Recruitment Volume by Location Percentage of vacancies advertised on GulfTalent

    Dubai

    UAE (Ex: Dubai)

    Saudi Arabia

    Kuwait/Bahrain/Oman

    Source: Based on 130,000 vacancies advertised on GulfTalent.com over the specified period. Prevalence of online recruitment varies across the region.

    Employment growth graph

    Recruitment volume graphs

    34%

    36%

    63%

    72%

    77%

    78%

    80%

    80%

    82%

    Oil & Gas

    Travel & Hospitality

    Banking

    Retail & Consumer

    Engineering

    Transport & Logistics

    Media & Marketing

    Education

    Healthcare

    Employment Growth by Sector Net % of firms which increased headcount in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Employment growth by sector Nationalisation Pressure on Employers Percentage of employers reporting nationalisation as a key human resource challenge in 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    95%

    84%

    55%

    53%

    28%

    6%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    UAE

    Qatar

    Nationalization chart

    Qatar

    41% 40% 35% 37% 31%

    17% 17% 14%

    18% 22%

    23% 19% 20%

    18% 20%

    10% 16% 20% 17% 16%

    9% 8% 11% 10% 11%

    2014 2013 2012 2011 2010

  • 6UAE attracts most expatriates

    The UAE continues to maintain its status as the

    most attractive location in the Gulf for expatriates.

    Over 60% of professionals surveyed chose the

    UAE as the place where they would like to work.

    Furthermore, 88% of expatriates already residing

    in the country expressed a desire to remain

    there, the highest retention rate among all GCC

    countries. The countrys popularity stems from

    attractive employment opportunities, excellent

    infrastructure and relatively liberal social norms.

    Attraction of Expatriates% of GCC-based expats outside each country who wish to relocate into it

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Qatar popular, but retention low

    Qatar remains the second most popular

    destination for expatriates, though its popularity

    has declined sharply since its peak in 2010 when

    it was chosen to host the World Cup. The country

    also has one of the lowest retention rates, as the

    high cost of living and the ban on expatriates

    switching jobs prompt many to leave.

    Retention of ExpatriatesPercentage of expatriates within country who wish to remain there

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Oman ban drives expats away

    Oman recently introduced restrictions on

    expatriates changing employment. While helping

    employers retain staff, it is driving some expats

    to seek opportunities elsewhere in the Gulf. As a

    result, the countrys retention rate has fallen to the

    lowest in the region.

    Expatriate resignations have gone down in our company,

    but anyone who is resigning

    now is leaving the country.HR Manager

    Oman-based Multinational

    Mobility

    Source: Economist Intelligence Unit

    3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%

    10% 11%

    2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014

    France

    U.K.

    Canada

    Australia

    Unemployment Rate in Western Countries 2008-2014

    Unemployment in western countries

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Attraction of Expatriates % of GCC-based expats outside each country who wish to relocate into it

    UAE

    Qatar Saudi Arabia

    Oman Kuwait

    Bahrain

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Oman

    Retention of Expatriates Percentage of expatriates within country who wish to remain there

    2013 2014 88%

    60%

    49%

    45%

    43%

    47%

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    88%

    61%

    55%

    50%

    48%

    30%

    UAE

    Kuwait

    Bahrain

    Saudi Arabia

    Qatar

    Oman

    9.0%

    11.4%

    6.2% 6.1% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9%

    6.7% 7.6%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    GCC Average Salary Increase 2007 - 2015

    * Forecast

  • 7Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    Pay rises accelerating

    During 2014, Gulf salaries rose at their highest

    average rate since the financial crisis and they are

    forecast to increase at an even higher rate during

    2015. This is largely driven by stable economic

    growth, competition for local and expatriate

    talent, rising cost of living in some countries,

    and government measures such as pay rises for

    nationals and raising the level of minimum wage.

    GCC Average Salary Increase 2007 - 2015

    * Forecast Source: GulfTalent Surveys

    Oman tops salary rises

    During 2014, Oman had the regions highest

    salary increase, averaging 7.6%. In the aftermath

    of the Arab spring, the country has witnessed the

    emergence of powerful trade unions embarking

    on collective bargaining with employers on a

    scale never previously seen in the Gulf.

    Saudi Arabia saw the second highest average

    salary increase, as competition to attract and

    retain Saudi talent drove up wages.

    Private Sector Salary Increase by Country

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Construction tops pay rises

    Among sectors, construction firms saw the highest

    pay rises during 2014, as governments across

    the region continued their massive investment in

    infrastructure projects.

    Healthcare and education, despite their rapid

    expansion, continued to see some of the lowest

    pay rises. Banking also saw lower than average

    pay rises.

    Salary Increase by IndustryPercentage, 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Salaries

    9.0%

    11.4%

    6.2% 6.1% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9%

    6.7% 6.9%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    GCC Average Salary Increase 2007 - 2015

    * Forecast

    7.4%

    6.7%

    5.6%

    5.3%

    4.0%

    5.4%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    6.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Qatar

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Private Sector Salary Increase by Country

    2013 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    7.8%

    7.3%

    7.2%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    5.8%

    5.6%

    5.1%

    5.1%

    5.0%

    Construction

    Telecoms & IT

    Logistics

    Retail

    Oil & Gas

    Real Estate

    Healthcare

    Banking

    Hospitality

    Education

    Salary Increase by Industry Percentage, 2014-2015

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Salary Increase by Job Category %, 2014-2015

    7.3%

    7.1%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    6.7%

    6.1%

    5.9%

    HR

    Engineering

    IT

    Finance

    Sales

    Admin

    Marketing

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    0.9

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    2014 2015

    vs. Indian Rupee

    vs. British Pound

    vs. Euro

    vs. Philippine Peso

    Change in Value of Gulf Currencies (Pegged to USD) 2014-2015, indexed to Jan 2014

    Source: OANDA

    7.4%

    6.7%

    5.6%

    5.3%

    4.0%

    5.4%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    6.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Qatar

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Private Sector Salary Increase by Country

    2013 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    7.8%

    7.3%

    7.2%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    5.8%

    5.6%

    5.1%

    5.1%

    5.0%

    Construction

    Telecoms & IT

    Logistics

    Retail

    Oil & Gas

    Real Estate

    Healthcare

    Banking

    Hospitality

    Education

    Salary Increase by Industry Percentage, 2014-2015

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Salary Increase by Job Category %, 2014-2015

    7.3%

    7.1%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    6.7%

    6.1%

    5.9%

    HR

    Engineering

    IT

    Finance

    Sales

    Admin

    Marketing

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    0.9

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    2014 2015

    vs. Indian Rupee

    vs. British Pound

    vs. Euro

    vs. Philippine Peso

    Change in Value of Gulf Currencies (Pegged to USD) 2014-2015, indexed to Jan 2014

    Source: OANDA

  • 8High pay rises for HR

    Among job categories, HR professionals enjoyed

    the highest pay rises, signaling the return of HR to

    prominence as companies seek to expand their

    talent base.

    Marketing professionals surveyed have reported

    the lowest average pay rises, possibly as a result

    of the shift to digital, reducing companies need to

    invest in traditional media and marketing.

    Salary Increase by Job Category%, 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Strong dollar

    Pegged to the US dollar, Gulf currencies have

    risen in value over the past year against several

    major currencies. This has helped increase the

    value of Gulf salaries for expatriates, particularly

    those sending a significant share of their income

    back home in remittances.

    Change in Value of Gulf Currencies (Pegged to USD) 2014-2015, indexed to Jan 2014

    Source: OANDA

    7.4%

    6.7%

    5.6%

    5.3%

    4.0%

    5.4%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    6.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Qatar

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Private Sector Salary Increase by Country

    2013 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    7.8%

    7.3%

    7.2%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    5.8%

    5.6%

    5.1%

    5.1%

    5.0%

    Construction

    Telecoms & IT

    Logistics

    Retail

    Oil & Gas

    Real Estate

    Healthcare

    Banking

    Hospitality

    Education

    Salary Increase by Industry Percentage, 2014-2015

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Salary Increase by Job Category %, 2014-2015

    7.3%

    7.1%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    6.7%

    6.1%

    5.9%

    HR

    Engineering

    IT

    Finance

    Sales

    Admin

    Marketing

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    0.9

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    2014 2015

    vs. Indian Rupee

    vs. British Pound

    vs. Euro

    vs. Philippine Peso

    Change in Value of Gulf Currencies (Pegged to USD) 2014-2015, indexed to Jan 2014

    Source: OANDA

    7.4%

    6.7%

    5.6%

    5.3%

    4.0%

    5.4%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    6.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    Qatar

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Private Sector Salary Increase by Country

    2013 2014

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    7.8%

    7.3%

    7.2%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    5.8%

    5.6%

    5.1%

    5.1%

    5.0%

    Construction

    Telecoms & IT

    Logistics

    Retail

    Oil & Gas

    Real Estate

    Healthcare

    Banking

    Hospitality

    Education

    Salary Increase by Industry Percentage, 2014-2015

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    Salary Increase by Job Category %, 2014-2015

    7.3%

    7.1%

    6.8%

    6.8%

    6.7%

    6.1%

    5.9%

    HR

    Engineering

    IT

    Finance

    Sales

    Admin

    Marketing

    Source: GulfTalent Survey

    0.9

    1

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    2014 2015

    vs. Indian Rupee

    vs. British Pound

    vs. Euro

    vs. Philippine Peso

    Change in Value of Gulf Currencies (Pegged to USD) 2014-2015, indexed to Jan 2014

    Source: OANDA

  • 9Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    Rising salaries

    Salaries across the region are forecast to rise in

    2015 at an average rate of 6.9%, compared to

    6.7% in the previous year. Qatar is expected to

    see the highest average pay increase at 8.3%,

    driven by rising cost of living and the need to

    attract talent to the country. Employers in Oman,

    under pressure from an increasingly unionised

    workforce, plan to award the second highest

    average pay rise at 7.2%. This is followed by Saudi

    Arabia and the UAE at 7.1%.

    Expected Average Pay Rise%, 2015 Forecast

    Source: GulfTalent Surveys

    Construction tops pay rises

    Across the region, the construction sector is

    expected to offer the highest average pay rise at

    10%, as employers compete for talent to deliver

    large-scale infrastructure projects. Not surprisingly,

    the oil and gas sector is expected to have the

    lowest average pay rise, with slower growth

    and job losses in the sector around the world

    shifting the supply-demand balance in favour of

    employers.

    Expected Average Pay Rise by Sector%, 2015 Forecast

    Source: GulfTalent Surveys of HR Managers

    Moderate hiring activity

    Employers in most GCC countries reported plans

    to create new jobs in 2015, though mostly at a

    lower rate than the previous year. The highest

    headcount increase reported is for Qatar with 66%

    of firms reporting an intent to increase headcount

    in 2015, followed by Saudi Arabia where the figure

    was 53%. The lowest expectations of headcount

    increase were for Kuwait and Bahrain.

    Employment Growth by CountryNet percentage of firms increasing headcount

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers * Insufficient data for Kuwait

    2015 Outlook

    6.5%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Expected Average Pay Rise %, 2015 Forecast

    2014 2015 Forecast

    8.3%

    7.2%

    7.1%

    7.1%

    7.0%

    5.0%

    Qatar

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Source: GulfTalent Surveys

    38%

    72%

    61%

    59%

    N/A*

    22%

    Employment Growth by Country Net percentage of firms increasing headcount

    2014 2015 Forecast

    66%

    53%

    49%

    47%

    38%

    38%

    Qatar

    Saudi Arabia

    Oman

    UAE

    Kuwait

    Bahrain

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers * Insu cient data for Kuwait

    6.5%

    7.6%

    7.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Expected Average Pay Rise %, 2015 Forecast

    2014 2015 Forecast

    8.3%

    7.2%

    7.1%

    7.1%

    7.0%

    5.0%

    Qatar

    Oman

    Saudi Arabia

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Source: GulfTalent Surveys

    38%

    72%

    61%

    59%

    N/A*

    22%

    Employment Growth by Country Net percentage of firms increasing headcount

    2014 2015 Forecast

    66%

    53%

    49%

    47%

    38%

    38%

    Qatar

    Saudi Arabia

    Oman

    UAE

    Kuwait

    Bahrain

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers * Insu cient data for Kuwait

    10.0%

    7.7%

    6.8%

    6.3%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.8%

    5.6%

    5.5%

    5.4%

    Construction

    Logistics

    Retail

    Healthcare

    Real Estate

    Telecoms & IT

    Education

    Banking

    Hospitality

    Oil & Gas

    Expected Average Pay Rise by sector %, 2015 Forecast

    Source: GulfTalent Surveys of HR managers

    7.8%

    7.2%

    6.8%

    5.6%

    7.3%

    5.0%

    5.1%

    5.1%

    6.8%

    2015 Forecast 2014

  • 10

    Healthcare tops hiring

    The healthcare sector has the highest forecast

    for headcount increase in 2015 with 79% of firms

    expecting to hire more talent. Oil and Gas and

    Telecom/IT sectors reported the lowest forecast,

    with only around one-third of firms planning

    expansion.

    Employment Growth by SectorNet percentage of firms increasing headcount

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Oil uncertainty

    The impact of the oil price slump has so far been

    limited to some project cuts in Oman and Bahrain,

    with most governments using their reserves to

    maintain spending. If the price recovers by the

    end of the year, as some analysts expect, there

    is unlikely to be any major impact on the regional

    economy. However, if prices persist at current

    levels into 2016, governments will inevitably feel

    the need to reduce spending which will feed

    through to the rest of the economy and likely

    reduce employment opportunities. The possibility

    of a recession cannot be ruled out.

    Oil Price Needed to Balance BudgetUSD

    Source: IMF

    Indian economic growth

    The Indian economy, already fast growing, has

    received a major boost from plunging crude oil

    prices as well as the economic reforms planned

    by the newly elected government. As a result, it is

    widely expected to have the fastest growth rate

    of any major economy, outpacing Chinas growth

    for the first time since 1999. This is likely to make

    it even tougher than before for Gulf employers

    to attract professionals from India, putting further

    upward pressure on salaries.

    Salary Rise Forecast2015 %

    Source: Hay Group, Aon Hewitt, GulfTalent

    125

    106

    104

    77

    60

    54

    Bahrain

    KSA

    Oman

    UAE

    Qatar

    Kuwait

    Oil price Needed to Balance Budget USD

    Source: IMF

    April 2015 price = $60

    Oil price chart

    Budget surplus

    Budget deficit

    10.6%

    8.0% 6.9%

    2.8% 2.5%

    India China GCC US UK

    Salary Rise Forecast 2015 %

    Source: Hay Group, Aon Hewitt, GulfTalent

    Salary rise forecast

    7.6%

    6.5%

    7.5%

    6.2%

    5.9%

    5.7%

    Expected Average Pay Rise %, 2015 Forecast

    2014 2015 Forecast

    11.0%

    10.2%

    7.1%

    7.1%

    7.0%

    5.0%

    Oman

    Qatar

    Saudi Arabia

    UAE

    Bahrain

    Kuwait

    Source: GulfTalent Surveys

    30%

    70%

    57%

    61%

    86%

    43%

    Employment Growth by Country Net percentage of firms increasing headcount

    2014 2015 Forecast

    66%

    53%

    49%

    47%

    38%

    38%

    Qatar

    Saudi Arabia

    Oman

    UAE

    Kuwait

    Bahrain

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Employment Growth by Sector Net percentage of firms increasing headcount

    2014 2015 Forecast

    79%

    77%

    71%

    63%

    54%

    54%

    53%

    37%

    28%

    Healthcare

    Real Estate

    Retail

    Hospitality

    Construction

    Banking

    Logistics

    Oil & Gas

    Telecom & IT

    63%

    50%

    75%

    74%

    62%

    33%

    70%

    21%

    24%

    Source: GulfTalent Survey of HR Managers

    Employment growth by industry

    125

    106

    104

    77

    60

    54

    Bahrain

    KSA

    Oman

    UAE

    Qatar

    Kuwait

    Oil price Needed to Balance Budget USD

    Source: IMF

    April 2015 price = $56

    Oil price chart

    Budget surplus

    Budget deficit

  • 11Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    Saudi Arabia

    The Saudisation drive continues under the

    Nitaqat system, with employers receiving

    benefits and penalties based on the Saudistion

    level achieved in their workforce

    Return of foreign-educated Saudis to the

    Kingdom is providing a fresh pool of talent

    A new online system, Abshir, has radically

    simplified visa application and processing

    Qatar

    Construction sector is expanding, with many

    government infrastructure projects finally

    starting in preparation for the World Cup

    Under pressure from international media, the

    government has increased enforcement of

    employee rights, and has launched a Wage

    Protection System, similar to the UAE

    Rise in real estate prices a growing concern

    Oman

    Huge pressure on employers to hire nationals,

    including at senior level

    Growing trade union activity forcing employers

    to offer higher salaries

    Significant cuts in government spending,

    particularly on oil-related projects

    New restrictions on expats, such as limits on

    switching jobs, is leading to an exodus of expats

    to the rest of the Gulf

    UAE

    Visa restrictions on nationals from war-torn

    countries have made it difficult to source talent

    from these countries

    Mandatory health insurance is forcing all firms to

    extend this benefit to employees

    Increasing cost of living, particularly housing,

    a growing concern for residents and their

    employers

    Kuwait

    Increasing cost of living is making it difficult for

    employees to manage expenses.

    The government has cut its budget in response

    to falling oil prices, likely to lead to some

    slowdown in the economy

    Visa restrictions on certain nationalities are

    pushing employers to explore alternative

    sources of talent

    Bahrain

    Stringent implementation of nationalisation

    policy with penalties for non-compliant

    employers

    Cuts in government spending due to the slump

    in oil revenues

    Minimum wage introduced for Bahrainis in

    private sector, subsidised by the government

    Country Highlights

  • 12

    Appendix: Useful Information

    Salary Rise by Country(Percentage rise in Base Salary)

    Country Saudi Arabia Kuwait Qatar Oman Bahrain UAE

    2013 6.7% 5.4% 5.6% 7.4% 4.0% 5.3%

    2014 7.5% 5.7% 6.5% 7.6% 5.9% 6.2%

    2015* 7.1% 5.0% 8.3% 7.2% 7.0% 7.1%

    Economic Growth(Percentage real GDP change)

    Country Saudi Arabia Kuwait Qatar Oman Bahrain UAE

    2013 3.7% 2.3% 5.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.3%

    2014 4.1% 2.2% 6.1% 3.9% 3.6% 4.5%

    2015* 4.2% 2.0% 6.3% 3.8% 3.2% 4.3%

    Inflation

    Country Saudi Arabia Kuwait Qatar Oman Bahrain UAE

    2013 3.7% 2.8% 3.1% 1.3% 3.2% 1.1%

    2014 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 1.0% 2.7% 2.3%

    2015* 2.6% 2.4% 3.5% 2.3% 1.9% 2.1%

    Population(millions)

    Country Saudi Arabia Kuwait Qatar Oman Bahrain UAE

    2015* 30.6 4.2 2.3 4.1 1.4 8.9

    * Forecast

    Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, GulfTalent Surveys

  • 13Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

    This research report was based on GulfTalents survey of 22,000 professionals

    employed by large and medium sized firms in the GCC, a survey of 600

    executives and human resource managers, interviews with top management of

    a mix of private sector local and international companies, as well as review of

    macroeconomic sources, including the World Bank, International Monetary Fund,

    and the Economist Intelligence Unit.

    All historical pay data included in the report is based on the information

    provided by employees through an online English-language questionnaire,

    suitably screened and statistically analysed to arrive at the preceding results.

    Respondents were aged between 22-60 years old and earned an annual income

    ranging from US$ 12,000 to US$ 200,000. Salary increases were measured

    for employees in ongoing employment only, and excluded those who changed

    employment during the period. Salary forecasts are based on estimates provided

    by human resources managers. The survey was conducted during the period

    December 2014 to April 2015.

    Feedback, comments and queries regarding this report to be sent to

    [email protected]

    Research Methodology

    Disclaimer & Copyright

    This document should be used for information purposes only. GulfTalent makes no claims or warranties regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and accepts no liability for any use made thereof. The recipient is solely responsible for the use of the information contained herein.

    GulfTalent 2015. All rights reserved.

  • 14

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  • 15Employment & Salary Trends in the Gulf

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