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ENVIRONMENTAL AND ENERGY DIVISION NEWSLETTER 15 FEB. 2016

If you need older URLs contact George at ghh@att.net. Please Note: “This newsletter contains articles that offer differing points of view regarding climate change, energy and other environmental issues. Any opinions expressed in this publication are the responses of the editor alone and do not represent the positions of the Environmental and Energy Engineering Division or the ASME.”

George Holliday

A. ENVIRONMENT 1. INSIGHTS FROM KARL POPPER: HOW TO OPEN THE DEADLOCKED CLIMATE DEBATE Posted on January 28, 2016 | 83 comments by Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website. Many factors have frozen the public policy debate on climate change, but none more important than the disinterest of both sides in tests that might provide better evidence — and perhaps restart the discussion. Even worse, too little thought has been given to the criteria for validating climate science theories (aka their paradigm) and the models build upon them. From the “linear thinking doesn’t follow reality” department, comes this stunning revelation that sounds pretty much just like every other press release about climate we’ve ever read. Plus, they’ve got a map! A new study puts temperature increases caused by CO2 emissions on the map Concordia research findings can be used to show the impact… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/20/gosh-a-new-model-based-study-puts-temperature-increases-caused-by-co2-emissions-on-the-map/

2. ENERGY DEPARTMENT ANNOUNCES $18 MILLION TO DEVELOP SOLAR ENERGY STORAGE SOLUTIONS, BOOST GRID RESILIENCY The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) recently announced $18 million in funding for six new projects across the United States. These projects are related to the development and demonstration of integrated, scalable, and cost-effective solar technologies that incorporate energy storage to ensure energy reliability. Solutions for modernizing the grid and enhancing storage will be developed as part of the Department’s Grid Modernization Initiative under the SunShot Initiative. These efforts seek to increase solar-generated electricity that can be dispatched at any time - day or night - to meet consumer electricity needs while ensuring the reliability of the nation’s electricity grid. The projects aim to create an affordable pathway toward the efficient and sustainable integration of solar energy on the nation’s electrical grid in much larger amounts than currently possible. The Department’s six new integrated PV and energy storage projects will utilize internet capable inverters and will work in conjunction with

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smart buildings, smart appliances, and utility communication and control systems. These projects are either led by a utility company or include a utility company as a key partner, and the teams will conduct at least a one-year field demonstration of their technologies. Ultimately, the solutions developed under this effort will enable the sustainable and holistic integration of hundreds of gigawatts of additional solar energy onto the electric grid throughout the United States. Additional information about the specific projects can be found at: http://www.energy.gov/eere/sunshot/sustainable-and-holistic-integration-energy-storage-and-solar-pv-shines ASME

3. 300 SCIENTISTS WANT NOAA TO STOP HIDING ITS GLOBAL WARMING DATA By ANDREW FOLLETT "Hundreds of scientists sent a letter to lawmakers Thursday warning National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scientists may have violated federal laws when they published a 2015 study purporting to eliminate the 15-year “hiatus” in global warming from the temperature record. “We, the undersigned, scientists, engineers, economists and others, who have looked carefully into the effects of carbon dioxide released by human activities, wish to record our support for the efforts of the Committee on Science, Space and Technology to ensure that federal agencies complied with federal guidelines that implemented the Data Quality Act,” some 300 scientists, engineers and other experts wrote to Chairman of the House Science Committee, Texas Republican Rep. Lamar Smith. “In our opinion… NOAA has failed to observe the OMB [Office of Management and Budget] (and its own) guidelines, established in relation to the Data Quality Act.” The Data Quality Act requires federal agencies like NOAA to “ensure and maximize the quality, objectivity, utility, and integrity of information, including statistical information.” http://dailycaller.com/2016/01/28/300-scientists-want-noaa-to-stop-hiding-its-global-warming-data/

4. INSIGHTS FROM KARL POPPER: HOW TO OPEN THE DEADLOCKED CLIMATE DEBATE Posted on January 28, 2016 | 384 comments by Larry Kummer, from the Fabius Maximus website. Many factors have frozen the public policy debate on climate change, but none more important than the disinterest of both sides in tests that might provide better evidence — and perhaps restart the discussion. Even worse, too little thought has been given to the criteria for validating climate science theories (aka their paradigm) and the models build upon them. http://judithcurry.com/2016/01/28/insights-from-karl-popper-how-to-open-the-deadlocked-climate-debate/#more-20989

5. STUDY SUGGESTS A SEA LEVEL CLIMATE FEEDBACK LOOP IN THE MID-OCEAN RIDGE SYSTEM REGULATES ICE AGES Icy ebb and flow influenced by hydrothermal activity Release of magma from beneath earth’s crust plays significant role in earth’s climate From the UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT The last million years of Earth’s history was dominated by the cyclic advance and retreat of ice sheets over large swaths of North America. During cold glacial intervals, ice…

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http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/29/study-suggests-a-sea-level-climate-feedback-loop-in-the-mid-ocean-ridge-system-regulates-ice-ages/

6. UAH V6 GLOBAL TEMPERATURE UPDATE FOR JANUARY, 2016: +0.54 DEG C February 1st, 2016 NOTE: This is the tenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old Version 5.6 dataset are discussed here. Note we are now at “beta5” for Version 6 (hopefully the last beta before submission of the methodology for publication), discussed more below. The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for January, 2016 is +0.54 deg. C, up from the December, 2015 value of +0.45 deg. C (click for full size version):

The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 13 months are: YR MO GLOBE NH SH TROPICS 2015 01 +0.30 +0.44 +0.15 +0.13 2015 02 +0.19 +0.34 +0.04 -0.07 2015 03 +0.18 +0.28 +0.07 +0.04 2015 04 +0.09 +0.19 -0.01 +0.08 2015 05 +0.27 +0.34 +0.20 +0.27 2015 06 +0.31 +0.38 +0.25 +0.46 2015 07 +0.16 +0.29 +0.03 +0.48 2015 08 +0.25 +0.20 +0.30 +0.53 2015 09 +0.23 +0.30 +0.16 +0.55 2015 10 +0.41 +0.63 +0.20 +0.53 2015 11 +0.33 +0.44 +0.22 +0.52 2015 12 +0.45 +0.53 +0.37 +0.61 2016 01 +0.54 +0.70 +0.39 +0.85

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We are now approaching peak warmth in the tropics due to El Nino conditions. Only time will tell if warming continues for a few more months, or whether January was the peak. The global image for January, 2016 should be available in the next several days here. The new Version 6 files (use the ones labeled “beta5”) should be updated soon, and are located here: Lower Troposphere: http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/v6.0beta/tlt Mid-Troposphere: http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/v6.0beta/tmt Tropopause: http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/v6.0beta/ttp Lower Stratosphere: http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/v6.0beta/tls Changes with the “beta5” version We had been concerned that the LT temperature trends over land were too warm compared to the ocean. One hint that something might be wrong was that the trends over very high elevation portions of the Greenland ice sheet and the Himalayas were much colder than the surrounding regions (see Fig. 4 here). Another was discontinuities in the trend patterns between land and ocean, especially in the tropics. We determined this is most likely due to a residual mismatch between the MSU channel 2 weighting function altitude on the early satellites versus the AMSU channel 5 weighting function altitude on the later satellites. We already knew AMSU5 peaks lower than MSU2, and had chosen Earth incidence angles in each to get a match based upon theory. But apparently the theory has some error, which we find equates to about 150 meters in altitude. This was enough to cause the issues we see….land too warm at low elevations, too cold for elevated ice surfaces. We therefore changed the AMSU5 reference Earth incidence angle (from 35.0 to 38.3 deg.) so that the trends over Greenland and the Himalayas were in much better agreement with the surrounding areas. We also find that the resulting LT trends over the U.S. and Australia are in better agreement with other sources of data. The net result is to generally cool the land trends and warm the ocean trends. The global trends have almost no change from beta4; the change mostly affects how the average trend in 2.5 deg. latitude bands is ‘apportioned’ between land and ocean. Here is the new LT trend image for the period January 1979 through January 2016:

An alternative solution would have been just to intercalibrate the satellites over land and ocean separately. Experiments with this, however, showed what we consider to be a unacceptable amount of spurious features in the resulting trend maps. We therefore opted to change what we believe to the the

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cause of the problem — an improper choice for the AMSU5 reference Earth indidence angle to match MSU2, and then none of the processing code would need to be changed. Roy Spencer

7. SUPREME COURT PUTS OBAMA’S “CLIMATE SAVING” POWER PLANT REGULATIONS ON HOLD From the skeptics and common sense win one department… A divided Supreme Court on Tuesday abruptly halted President Obama’s controversial new power plant regulations, dealing a blow to the administration’s sweeping plan to address global warming. In a 5-4 decision, the court halted enforcement of the plan until after legal challenges are resolved. The surprising… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/09/supreme-court-puts-obamas-climate-saving-power-plant-regulations-on-hold/

8. CALL FOR ASME PAPERS Track 8: Energy 2016 ASME International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition Phoenix, Arizona, November 11-17, 2016 8-14 Carbon Capture and Storage Organized by Dr. Chuanwei Zhuo, Cabot Corporation, chuanwei.zhuo@gmail.com PURPOSE AND SCOPE Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is one of the technologies expected to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Efficient, economic, and environmentally friendly solutions are always being sought. This symposium brings together the work of prominent researchers in the field with the emphasis on both CCS fundamentals and applications. Main areas of interest are engineering challenges of CCS, and progress made in recent years in terms of novel materials, processes and applications. Papers, extended abstracts and technical presentation are solicited in areas including but not limited to: • CCS system - general (control, behavior, response, interaction with power generation and transmission systems, etc.) • Materials developed for CO2 capture, separation, purification, transport, storage, and applications • Gas capture (separation) from large point sources (power generation, natural gas processing, heavy industries, hydrogen production, etc.) • Gas compression/dehydration • CO2 transport and transport system maintenance • Beneficial reuse of CO2 (e.g. enhanced oil recovery (EOR), urea application, food industry, beverage carbonation, carbonate/bicarbonate, biomass processing) SUBMISSION DEADLINE: March 7, 2016 See Conference website for detailed Publication Schedule http://www.asmeconferences.org/IMECE2016/Author/NewAbstract.cfm Sponsored by ASME Energy Division, Advances Energy Systems Division and Environmental Engineering Division Email From: ASME, 2 Park Avenue, New York, NY 10016

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Arne Feldman

COMMENTS The Week That Was: 2016-02-06 (February 6, 2016) By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) “It’s Wrong”: Nobel Laureate in Physics Richard Feynman (1965) was a brilliant scientist with a passion for teaching. In some of his writing, and videos of his lectures, he clearly articulates the difficulties in formulating a scientific theory and the importance of hypothesis testing (experiment), see above quote. Feynman left a lasting impression on many students of science. In his written testimony to the U.S. House Committee on Science, Space and Technology on February 2, John Christy of the University of Alabama in Huntsville submitted the results of 102 IPCC CIMP-5 Climate Model runs for the Global Bulk Atmospheric Temperature. (Surface to 50,000 feet (15,240 meters). (CIMP-5 is the latest version global climate models used by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)) Christy tested the results of these model runs against temperature observations by four different datasets of weather balloon measurements with one type of instruments and by satellites with another type of instruments as calculated by 3 different entities. Christy shows a 0.98 correlation between the types of observational datasets, which is very high for such types of measurements. Not only is there significant disparity between the average of model runs and observations; but also, since 1995 the disparity is increasing significantly. The models greatly overestimate the warming of the bulk atmosphere. Applying Feynman’s rule, the models are wrong! By this empirical testing, the certainty expressed by the IPCC that human emissions of greenhouse gases, chiefly carbon dioxide (CO2), primarily responsible for late 20th century warming is wrong. EPA’s finding that greenhouse gases, chiefly CO2, endanger public health and welfare is wrong. And the justification for the US Administration’s power plan is wrong. Since Christy’s testimony undermines the foundation the government’s energy and environmental policy, including international efforts, it will be the primary focus of this TWTW. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy. ***************** Natural or Human? Christy’s evidence does not mean that there is no greenhouse effect, or that human emissions do not contribute to a warming. But it certainly indicates that the human emissions of a cause are overstated, and that the primary cause(s) of late 20th century warming is likely to be natural influences. This is directly contrary to probability of nature-only influence calculations by Mann et al. discussed in the January 30, 2016 TWTW. The artificial truncation of the data to the past 150 years can lead to incorrect conclusions, even assuming the calculations are correct. ***************** Extension of Prior Testimony: On December 8, 2015 Christy give strong written testimony before the U.S. Senate Subcommittee on Space, Science and Competitiveness questioning claims of human-induced climate change impacts on extreme events such as wildfires (no evidence), droughts & floods (little or no evidence) with increasing grain production. In that testimony, Christy expressed concern over the political influence on climate science, including the IPCC. Subsequently, a grouped called Yale Climate Connections released a video attacking Christy’s December 8 testimony. The video featured statements by Climate scientists Michael Mann, Kevin Trenberth, Andrew Dessler, Carl Mears, and Ben Santer, and David Titley. The title of the article accompanying the video is a dead giveaway of its purpose: “Experts Fault Reliance on Satellite Data Alone.” Carl Mears of the Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) should know that Christy and his group have used RSS satellite data

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for years in addition to UAH data and NOAA data. Further, he should know that balloon data is distinctly different from satellite data. See links under Defending the Orthodoxy. ***************** Four Points: In his February 2 testimony, Christy addresses four criticisms of satellite measurements, the first three of which are brought up in the video. The first is that satellites do not measure temperatures. Christy counters that they actually measure microwave radiation from oxygen, the intensity of which is directly proportional to the temperature of the oxygen. This is similar to modern doctors using ear probes measuring emitted radiation to measure a patient’s temperature – a great improvement to various types of older thermometers. The second criticism is orbital decay, which was pointed out by RSS about 20 years ago and corrected. The third criticism is east-west drift (diurnal drift) of the satellites. This influences measurements of the lower troposphere, but not the middle troposphere, the data used in the hypothesis testing. Further, the error was corrected about 10 years ago. A fourth criticism not brought up in the video, but discussed by Christy, is that some scientists have expressed that the satellite data hides the power and validity of the models. To prevent misinterpretation, Christy adjusts the data to the same starting point similar to a foot race starting at the same starting line. The starting point is 1979, when satellite data became available rather than an artificially contrived one. No one has produced evidence Christy’s adjustments are in error. Adjusting for errors in hypotheses when they are revealed is how science works to improve hypotheses. Improving hypotheses is one of the purposes of hypothesis testing. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, especially pp 4-5 ***************** Linear Approach: Many scientists do not care for the tendency to put time-series data into linear form, or even constructing a regression trend between two points in the time-series, because it often disguises other trends that may only be observed in the rich data. However, a linear approach can be effective. Christy uses one to eliminate the influence of volcanoes, etc. and to better demonstrate the departure of the climate models from observations. Using the 36-year period from 1979 to 2015, Christy shows a linear trend of +0.079ºC/decade for balloon data, and +0.091ºC/decade for satellite data. The average of 102 ICCC CMIP-5 Climate Model runs over the same period is +0.214ºC/decade. Globally, the models overestimate bulk atmospheric warming (surface to 50,000 feet) by 2.5 times. From the data presented Christy states: “Thus, the evidence here strongly suggests the theory, as embodied in models, goes much too far in forcing the atmosphere to retain heat when in reality the atmosphere has a means to relinquish heat and thus warms at a much slower rate.” See Christy, Challenging the Orthodoxy, pp 4-6 ***************** How Well Do We Understand Climate Change? After addressing surface temperature data and the data quality issues involve (which have been discussed in TWTW), Christy goes to the key question: How Well Do We Understand Climate Change? After discussing the complexity of the modeling, he asserts that if we understand this complex system, we should be able of predict its behavior. This is a start; but, accurate prediction does not guarantee that the fundamental physics is understood. Based on the 102 climate model simulations of the troposphere Christy was able to access, our understanding is far from complete and does not inspire confidence. See Christy, Challenging the Orthodoxy, pp 6-11 ***************** Only One: To give a demonstration of the variation among the models Christy plots the 102 CMIPS Model Runs in 32 Groupings against Observations. Only one model comes close to the observations – the Russian INM-CM4. For those who like to calculate a low probability of 20th century warming being natural variability, there is a new challenge. What is the random probability of 101 out of 102 CMIP5

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global climate model runs greatly overestimating global mid-tropospheric temperature observations? See Christy, Challenging the Orthodoxy, p 12. ***************** Conclusion: Christy concluded with calculations of what would be the impact on global warming if the US ceased emissions totally – the US simply vanished. Using an IPCC model with a low end assumption of the influence of CO2 (not the much lower influence indicated by his research) after 50 years the effect would be less than monthly variations in global temperatures. If the video by Yale Climate Connections, mentioned above, prompted Christy to prepare this rigorous, terse summary of the problems in IPCC models and science, perhaps those responsible for the video should be thanked. It would be difficult to create a better evaluation of the quality of the IPCC’s models. ***************** Treaty – No Treaty: Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute wrote an interesting article on the issue of what was agreed upon at the end of the Paris UNFCCC December Conference of Parties (COP-21). Is it a treaty or not? As stated in TWTW, the concluding effort appeared to be all smoke and mirrors on the part of the US delegates and the Administration. Ebell suggests that the UN is proceeding with full flourishes that it is a treaty. According to Ebell it fits the conditions of a treaty as defined by the UN. As a treaty it requires consideration by the US Senate and concurrence of two-thirds of the senators present. It remains to be seen what this all-so-clever Administration will announce and do. See link under Analyzing Paris! ***************** Number of the Week: 2.5 & 3 times. How John Christy calculated that the global climate models overestimate global atmospheric warming by 2.5 times that of observations is explained under Linear Approach, above. Christy also calculated that the models overestimate atmospheric warming over the tropics by 3 times. This is the area in which the storied “hot spot” should be occurring. Even though it was not part of the literature, Ben Santer inserted the “hot spot” in the 2005 IPCC report, after it underwent peer review. No one has been able to physically find it. Perhaps, this is why Santer participated in the video criticizing atmospheric satellite and balloon measurements. ################################################### http://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2016/TWTW2-6-16.pdf

B. THE MEDIEVAL WARM PERIOD IN ANTARCTICA: HOW TWO ONE-DATA-POINT STUDIES MISSED THE TARGET Guest essay by Sebastian Lüning A common claim by warmists in the climate debate is the alleged absence of the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) in the Southern Hemisphere. In a previous post we discussed the MWP in Australia, New Zealand and Oceania. In the following, we will take a look at Antarctica. In 2012 a… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/the-medieval-warm-period-in-antarctica-how-two-one-data-point-studies-missed-the-target/

C. 2014 WAS THE HOTTEST YEAR ON RECORD, BUT 2015 IS HOTTER THAN 2014 AND 2016 COULD BE HOTTER THAN 2015!? Guest essay by Quang M. Nguyen, P.E. Summary

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As suggested monthly by the mainstream media since April 2015, NOAA and NASA officially declared that 2015 surpassed the 2014 record to become the new hottest year on record and that 2016 could be hotter than 2015! The average global temperatures calculated by NOAA and NASA,… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/2014-was-the-hottest-year-on-record-but-2015-is-hotter-than-2014-and-2016-could-be-hotter-than-2015/

D. “PHYTOPLANKTON RAPIDLY DISAPPEARING FROM THE INDIAN OCEAN” OR NOT. Guest post by David Middleton, feature image borrowed from iHerb. A rapid loss of phytoplankton threatens to turn the western Indian Ocean into an “ecological desert,” a new study warns. The research reveals that phytoplankton populations in the region fell an alarming 30 percent over the last 16 years. […] https://www.sciencenews.org/article/phytoplankton-rapidly-disappearing-indian-ocean?tgt=nr The source of this… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/phytoplankton-rapidly-disappearing-from-the-indian-ocean-or-not/

E. GLACIAL EROSION, CO2, AND VOLCANOES – THE CHICKEN AND THE EGG PROBLEM Anthony Watts / 5 hours ago February 2, 2016 Increase in volcanic eruptions at the end of the ice age caused by melting ice caps and erosion UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE The combination of erosion and melting ice caps led to a massive increase in volcanic activity at the end of the last ice age, according to new research. As the climate warmed, the ice… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/glacial-erosion-co2-and-volcanoes-the-chicken-and-the-egg-problem/

F. CLIMATE MODELS ARE NOT SIMULATING EARTH’S CLIMATE – PART 1 Guest Post by Bob Tisdale This post will serve as part 1 of the 2015 update of the model-data comparisons of satellite-era sea surface temperatures. The 2014 update is here. I’ve broken the update into two parts this year. INTRODUCTION The locations, the timings and the magnitudes of the naturally occurring variations in the surface… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/03/climate-models-are-not-simulating-earths-climate-part-1/

G. LATEST MET PREDICTION: LARGE SCALE COOLING, WARMING AT HIGH LATITUDES Guest essay by Eric Worrall h/t The Express – The British MET have forecast that large areas of the world will cool over the next 5 years, though they still expect global average temperatures to remain high. Of course, they also still claim that CO2 is in the driving seat. Spatial patterns suggest enhanced warming… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/latest-met-prediction-large-scale-cooling-warming-at-high-latitudes/

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H. GAS LEAK BECOMES CRIMINAL CASE Misdemeanor charges join long list of litigation against California utility By Brian Melley ASSOCIATED PRESS LOS ANGELES — Los Angeles prosecutors filed misdemeanor criminal charges Tuesday against a utility for failing to immediately report a natural gas leak that has been gushing nonstop for nearly 15 weeks. District Attorney Jackie Lacey said the charges aren’t a solution to the problem, but Southern California Gas Co. needs to be held responsible for the leak that has uprooted more than 4,400 families. The charges came the same day the state attorney general joined a long line of others in suing the gas company for the blowout that has spewed more than 2 million tons of climate-changing methane since October. Lawmakers in Congress have urged the U.S. secretary of energy to investigate the leak, and federal regulators are crafting new safety standards for underground natural gas storage facilities. The criminal complaint charges the company with three counts of failing to report the release of a hazardous material and one count of discharge of air contaminants. The company didn’t respond to a request for comment late Tuesday. If convicted, the company could be fined up to $1,000 per day for air pollution violations and up to $25,000 for each of the three days it didn’t notify the state Office of Emergency Services of the leak. The company said it discovered the leak Oct. 23 and notified state gas and oil regulators. But it failed to let state emergency officials know until Oct. 26, Attorney General Kamala Harris said in the latest of more than two dozen lawsuits filed against SoCalGas. The leak has created a public health and statewide environmental emergency, Harris said. The lawsuit, which doesn’t specify damages, says the company created a nuisance and violated health and safety codes. A spokeswoman earlier Tuesday said the company doesn’t comment on pending litigation and was focused on stopping the leak, which it expects to plug by month’s end. Harris, a Democrat running for U.S. Senate, is the first state official to sue, though her lawsuit incorporates elements of lawsuits filed by the city and county of Los Angeles. Several state agencies are investigating the blowout and have issued orders to the gas company to stop it and turn over records of the 60-year-old well and others from the field that is the largest natural gas storage facility in the West. The federal Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration got involved for the first time Tuesday, saying it is working to propose new regulations for gas storage and directing operators to “inspect and take immediate actions to ensure the safety of underground natural gas storage facilities across the country.” http://digital.olivesoftware.com/Olive/ODE/houstonchronicle/

I. A CLOCK TUNE IN HONOR OF A TRUE MAN OF TRUE SCIENCE By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The generous businessman who sponsored the successful case against Al Gore’s sci-fi comedy horror movie An Inconvenient Truth in the London High Court in 2007 contacted me recently to say we should take steps to honor the memory of the late Bob Carter, whose testimony alongside that of Dick Lindzen… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/02/a-clock-tune-in-honor-of-a-true-man-of-true-science/

J. VIOLATING THE NORMS AND ETHOS OF SCIENCE

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Posted on January 31, 2016 | 391 comments by Judith Curry Don’t let transparency damage science. – Stephan Lewandowsky & Dorothy Bishop https://judithcurry.com/2016/01/31/violating-the-norms-and-ethos-of-science/#more-20991

K. THE STAGGERING ECONOMIC COST OF AIR POLLUTION

Air pollution caused by energy production in the U.S. caused at least $131 billion in damages in the year 2011 alone, a new analysis concludes — but while the number sounds grim, it’s also a sign of improvement. In 2002, the damages totaled as high as $175 billion, and the decline in the past decade highlights the success of more stringent emissions regulations on the energy sector while also pointing out the need to continue cracking down. Judith Curry https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/01/29/the-staggering-economic-cost-of-air-pollution/?tid=ss_tw

L. EUROPEANS SHINE IN WEATHER FORECASTING David Kramer ABSTRACT The US global model lags the performance of two European competitors in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead. Although Hurricane Joaquin passed well off the US East Coast in October, the storm had a different kind of impact: bringing into focus the outstanding performance of one of numerous global weather prediction models. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) was the world’s only major forecast simulation to pinpoint the hurricane’s track several days out. Others, including the US Global Forecast System (GFS), had charted a course for Joaquin that was hundreds of miles to the west and showed that it would make landfall along the mid-Atlantic coast. http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/magazine/physicstoday/article/69/1/10.1063/PT.3.3046?showFTTab=true&containerItemId=content/aip/magazine/physicstoday

M. A RAPID NEAR-TIME ANALYSIS OF THE UK’S RECORD-BREAKING WET DECEMBER IN 2015 SUGGESTS THAT CLIMATE CHANGE INCREASED THE ODDS OF THE EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH RAINFALL BY 50-75%. From PENN STATE and the department of overheated, tired, rhetoric in an El Niño year, comes this ZOMG! press release from Michael Mann and company. It’s just modeling sophistry, driven be the usual agenda, because not only is he saying that much of the last century was from AGW, he’s saying all the previous research is… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/01/26/place-your-bets-another-hotted-up-mann-tastic-modeling-claim/

N. NASA, NOAA FIND 2014 WARMEST YEAR IN MODERN RECORD The year 2014 ranks as Earth’s warmest since 1880, according to two separate analyses by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scientists released on January 16.

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The ten warmest years in the instrumental record, with the exception of 1998, have now occurred since 2000. This trend continues a long-term warming of the planet, according to an analysis of surface temperature measurements by scientists at NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies in New York. See the NASA news release and the NOAA study Rob W. Taylor, See Item C above.

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documents throughout the websites. Search on keyword "video". In order to show that the whole world is interested in nuclear energy and nuclear science, articles on go-nuclear.org are organized by the author's or subject's location: - Africa and Middle East - Americas - Asia, Australia, New Zealand - Europe and Russia There are over 300 contributing authors and 525 articles, PowerPoint Presentations and videos. To find a list of authors, use the search box with keyword "authors". Find the author you are looking for. Then search on the author's last name.

Environmentalist for Nuclear Energy - EFN-USA.org

This website has documents, PowerPoint Presentations and videos about: NUCLEAR PEOPLE ENVIRONMENT EFN A special section contains: Go Nuclear Videos and EFN-USA Videos Many interesting videos by others can be seen throughout both websites. Search on keyword "video".

Country Specific Focus

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This issue of the Newsletter focuses on Canada. Canada has the most scientists and engineers per country population supporting Go Nuclear, Inc., Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy - USA and our letters to Washington, D.C. about nuclear power, nuclear medicine and low dose radiation versus LNT. We are very appreciative of this support from all across Canada. Jerry Cuttler and Daniel Meneley serve on the Board of Advisors for Go Nuclear. Canada is home to Heavy Water nuclear power plants and production facilities for radioisotopes used in nuclear medicine and many other applications. Jerry Cuttler - Benefits of low dose radiation and problems with LNT Daniel Meneley - Nuclear energy in the 20th and 21st Centuries Douglas Lightfoot - Benefits of plentiful energy Duncan Hawthorne - Canadian nuclear power plants Canada is also home to scientists and others studying natural climate change and the question of man-made climate change. Patrick Moore - Man made climate change Tom Harris - Man made climate change To discover other articles by these authors simply use the search bar and search using their names.

Students, Young Professionals, and Parents

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Students, young professionals and parents are very important for global public learning about all topics we discuss. A student is a person of any age who is learning about and advocates for nuclear energy, nuclear medicine, people and the environment. They are key to many meetings that will be held around the world. The documents and videos they contribute are key to engaging many of the same kinds of visitors in the future. Here are documents by some students: Mary Claire Birdsong - USA Ramon Cruz - USA, Domincan Republic Mohammed Fadous - Jordan, France Kenneth Kienlen - USA Lucjan Pypno - UK Dale Reaves - USA Peyton Williams - USA Everyone here is among the overall tops of their contemporaries. We are very grateful to the efforts they made to contribute to Go Nuclear Inc. and Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy - USA. Watch for contributions by more students in upcoming Monthly Newsletters.

We hope you enjoy our newsletter. Thanks, John A. Shanahan President, Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy - USA President, Go Nuclear, Inc. 2800 S. University Blvd. Unit 20 Denver, Colorado, USA 80210

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Use the Contact Link on bottom of any page of go-nuclear.org or efn-usa.org websites to send a message. Contact GoNuclear Inc Contact Environmentalist for Nuclear Energy USA

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P. PARIS CLIMATE PROMISE: A BAD DEAL FOR AMERICA? Posted on February 3, 2016 | 83 comments by Judith Curry The U.S. House Committee on Science, Space and Technology held a Hearing yesterday — Paris Climate Promise: A Bad Deal for America. https://judithcurry.com/2016/02/03/paris-climate-promise-a-bad-deal-for-america/#more-21032

Q. AUSSIE CSIRO: MASSIVE CUTS TO GOVERNMENT CLIMATE JOBS Guest essay by Eric Worrall The Sydney Morning Herald reports that 350 research jobs are to be cut at the government CSIRO. Climate science to be gutted as CSIRO swings jobs axe Fears that some of Australia’s most important climate research institutions will be gutted under a Turnbull government have been realized with deep job… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/03/aussie-csiro-massive-cuts-to-government-climate-jobs/

R. INITIALIZATION PRACTICES DISQUALIFY UN IPCC GLOBAL CIRCULATION MODELS FROM USE FOR MOST CLIMATE CHANGE FORECAST PURPOSES Guest essay by Michael G. Wallace Hydroclimatologist, Albuquerque, NM The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change UN IPCC features and endorses decadal global climate forecasting products. Those in turn feed into numerous downscaled regional climate forecasts. In published representations of forecast skills to date, all within this collective appear to include the poorly disclosed… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/03/initialization-practices-disqualify-un-ipcc-global-circulation-models-from-use-for-most-climate-change-forecast-purposes/

S. STUDY: GREENLAND ICE SHEET MOVING SLOWER NOW THAN IN THE LAST 9000 YEARS From the UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN and the “must add a global warming caveat to prevent backlash” department:

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Scientists map movement of Greenland Ice during past 9,000 years Scientists have created the first map that shows how the Greenland Ice Sheet has moved over time, revealing that ice in the interior is moving more slowly… http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/02/05/greenland-ice-sheet-moving-slower-now-than-in-the-last-9000-years/

T. NOAA STUDY: WIND, SUN COULD ECLIPSE FOSSIL FUELS FOR ELECTRIC POWER BY 2030 The United States could slash greenhouse gas emissions from power production by up to 78 percent below 1990 levels within 15 years while meeting increased demand, according to a new study by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and University of Colorado Boulder researchers. The study used a sophisticated mathematical model to evaluate future cost, demand, generation and transmission scenarios. It found that with improvements in transmission infrastructure, weather-driven renewable resources could supply most of the nation’s electricity at costs similar to today’s. Although improvements in wind and solar generation have continued to ratchet down the cost of producing renewable energy, these energy resources are inherently intermittent. As a result, utilities have invested in surplus generation capacity to back up renewable energy generation with natural gas-fired generators and other reserves. The model allowed researchers to evaluate the affordability, reliability, and greenhouse gas emissions of various energy mixes, including coal. It showed that low-cost and low-emissions are not mutually exclusive. Even in a scenario where renewable energy costs more than experts predict, the model produced a system that cuts CO2 emissions 33 percent below 1990 levels by 2030, and delivered electricity at about 8.6 cents per kilowatt hour (kWh). By comparison, electricity cost 9.4 cents per kWh in 2012. The paper was published online in the journal Nature Climate Change at: http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate2921.html ASME Regards George