ess vision 2020 admin: assessing quality · wp7. methodological support wp4. eurostat as user of ec...

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Eurostat Eurostat ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality Fabian BACH ADMIN project manager Eurostat Unit F.2 – Population and migration UNECE-Eurostat Expert Meeting on Censuses Geneva, 27 September 2018

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Page 1: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

Eurostat Eurostat

ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality

Fabian BACH

ADMIN project manager

Eurostat Unit F.2 – Population and migration

UNECE-Eurostat Expert Meeting on Censuses

Geneva, 27 September 2018

Page 2: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

ADMIN data in multisource statistics

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Outputs

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use for survey frames: directly or to supplement / update

(partly) replace data collection: e.g. business tax data survey

direct tabulation

Graph idea: ONS

Registers

Admin. data

Surveys

Full enumeration

Page 3: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

ADMIN data in multisource statistics

Lin

kag

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tistic

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reg

iste

r

Outputs

Po

pu

latio

n

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Tran

sfo

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Graph idea: ONS

Registers

Admin. data

Surveys

Full enumeration

(mostly) national level! (ESS) quality??

Inputs

Key ADMIN challenge

Page 4: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

• as a single variable

• editing, imputation, validation

• indirect use

(calibration, estimation, …)

• in evaluation, including data

confrontation

(e.g. comparison of survey

estimates with related ADMIN

estimates)

Generic Statistical

Business Process Model =

Multisource data: use examples

Page 5: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN project (2015-2019)

WP2. Statistical methods

WP5. Frames for social statistics

WP6. Pilot studies &

applications

WP7. Methodological

support

WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data

WP1. Access to & development

of sources

Approved by ESSC: support the ESS to make better use of available ADMIN data without compromising on quality

Work

Packages (

WP)

WP3. Quality

Page 6: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

ADMIN: key results

Multisource combination +

estimation methods

Access to ADMIN sources

Use of registers for frames

2019 Q2/2018

Quality of frames for social statistics today!

Multisource quality

Guidelines

WP6 grant summary reports social/business/agricultural stats. + quality lessons learned + knowledge transfer

Best practices

Incl. 2017, 2018 waves

Page 7: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

ADMIN: key results

Multisource combination +

estimation methods

Access to ADMIN sources

Use of registers for frames

Quality of frames for social statistics today!

Multisource quality

Guidelines

WP6 grant summary reports social/business/agricultural stats. + quality lessons learned + knowledge transfer

Best practices

Incl. 2017, 2018 waves

Stress on social/pop./ census statistics through all ADMIN!

Page 8: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

Reports to ESS Directors

(methodology, social statistics)

ADMIN: Involving ESS Members

Quality of multisource statistics (DK, IE, IT, LT, HU, NL, AT, NO)

• Stock-taking • New indicators • Methodological framework quality guidelines (x2)

ADMIN Steering Group

Governance technical

ADMIN network

Task Force Frames

ESSnet KOMUSO

Workshops

Page 10: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

2015 until 04/2017:

Outputs published:

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

Take stock on output quality assessment +

reporting Review output quality measures

Review current practices on input quality assessment

• checklists for evaluating the quality of input data

• framework: 6 basis data source configurations

• quality measures and indicators (for frames)

Review existing practices on frames

quality

1st ADMIN quality workshop

(Budapest, 04/2016)

Page 11: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

6 basis data source configurations:

1) Non-overlapping microdata without coverage problems

2) Overlapping microdata without coverage problems + (2S) including sample surveys

3) Overlapping microdata with under-coverage

4) Combining microdata + macrodata sources

5) Combining only macrodata sources

6) Longitudinal data

Selected to reflect the most common/typical scenarios

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

Page 12: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

04/2017 until 09/2018:

Outputs published (continuing stage 1):

Finalise draft frames guidelines

Continue work on measures/indicators

by data config.

1st progress draft of multisource guidelines

• Quality measures and calculation methods (QMCMs)

• Quality quidelines for frames of social stats.: QGFSS v1.0

• Quality guidelines for multisource statistics: QGMSS v0.7

accuracy (18) coherence (3) timeliness (1)

Page 13: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

Structure + drafting progress of the QGMSS v0.7:

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

Page 14: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

Structure + drafting progress of the QGMSS v0.7:

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

QMCMs (annex)

Same structure for each section in Part 2:

Page 15: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

Excursion: structure of QMCMs (annex to QGMSS)

1) Name of the quality measure/indicator

2) General information

3) Quality measure & computation method in general

4) Situation & computation method in detail

5) References

+ hands-on example where needed

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

Page 16: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

E.g. QMCM_A_10 (Accuracy example 10):

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

… …

1)

2)

3)

Page 17: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

E.g. QMCM_A_10 (Accuracy example 10):

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

… …

(config. 2)

1)

2)

3)

Page 18: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

E.g. QMCM_A_10 (Accuracy example 10):

4)

5)

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

Page 19: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

E.g. QMCM_A_10 (Accuracy example 10):

4)

5)

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

Detailed calculation algorithm/recipe

Page 20: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

E.g. QMCM_A_10 + hands-on example:

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

Page 21: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

E.g. QMCM_A_10 + hands-on example:

KOMUSO Stage 2: Guidelines

11 steps: Raw input data Combinded DB Final data pool

Multisource quality propagation!

Page 22: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 3: Completion

10/2018 until 09/2019:

Outputs envisaged (continuing stages 1+2):

Finalise measures/indicators QMCMs by data config.

Finalise draft multisource

guidelines (QGMSS)

accuracy contd. (+6) coherence contd. reliability (1) + hands-on examples

• QMCMs contd. incl. hands-on examples

• QGMSS v1.0 tentatively June 2019

2nd ADMIN quality workshop

(winter '18 tbc.)

Page 23: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

ADMIN support to Member States

• Workshops: quality + social statistics + other

• (WP6: Grants for ADMIN pilots in Member States)

• WP7: Methodological support

ADMIN helpdesk for NSIs http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/cros/content/ess-admin-helpdesk_en

Coaching for NSIs (on-site expert support) request through ADMIN helpdesk

ESTP training linked to ADMIN in 2017-2019

winter 2018 tbc.

spring 2019 tbd.

Page 25: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

Annex:

6 basis data source configurations

Page 26: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

1) Non-overlapping microdata without coverage problems:

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

most simple

still typical errors:

classification

measurement

progressiveness

incl. single source

reference config.

Page 27: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

2) Overlapping microdata without coverage problems:

configuration (1) +

linkage errors

inconsistencies

most common configuration

Page 28: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

2S) Overlapping microdata without coverage problems:

incl. samples

configuration (2) +

sampling errors

weights handling

calibration

Page 29: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

3) Overlapping microdata with under-coverage:

configuration (2) +

under-coverage

may include samples ( 3S)

Page 30: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

4) Combining microdata + macrodata sources:

configuration (2) +

reconciliation of microdata (calibr.)

Page 31: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

5) Combining only macrodata sources:

macro-counterpart of configuration (2)

reconcile overlapping data

E.g. supply/use (SU) tables of National Accounts

Page 32: ESS Vision 2020 ADMIN: Assessing Quality · WP7. Methodological support WP4. Eurostat as user of EC data WP1. Access to & development ... Governance technical ADMIN network Task Force

KOMUSO Stage 1: Preparatory Work

6) Longitudinal data:

reconcile time series

different frequencies and qualities

now-casting (time series model)

linkage errors