esterline powerpoint template · expectations of the management of esterline, ... •wins in...
TRANSCRIPT
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June 19, 2014
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This presentation may contain "forward-looking statements" within the
meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These
statements relate to future events or our future financial performance. In
some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology
such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,”
“intend,” “may,” “might,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “should” or “will,” or the
negative of such terms, or other comparable terminology. These forward-
looking statements are only predictions based on the current intent and
expectations of the management of Esterline, are not guarantees of future
performance or actions, and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult
to predict and may cause Esterline’s or its industry’s actual results,
performance or achievements to be materially different from any future
results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-
looking statements. Esterline's actual results and the timing and outcome of
events may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the
forward-looking statements due to risks detailed in Esterline's public filings
with the Securities and Exchange Commission including its most recent
Annual Report on Form 10-K. This presentation may also contain
references to non-GAAP financial information subject to Regulation G.
See Appendix A of this document for more information. 1
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
…a high-performing aerospace & defense
company delivering mission-critical, world-
class products, services, and technologies.
FY13 Snapshot As of June 18, 2014
Revenue: $2B Enterprise Value**: $4B+
EBIT: $238M Equity Market Cap:$3.7B
EBITDA¹: $348M
Cash Flow: $251M
3
Esterline is…
¹See Appendix A
**Equity Market Cap plus Long-term Debt less Cash
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Core Market Breakout
4
Commercial
Aerospace
45%
Defense
35%
Adjacent
20%
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 5
Common Product/Market Characteristics Aerospace Defense Adjacent
Regulated businesses with high barriers to entry
Highly reliable products for harsh environments
Critical human-machine interface capabilities
Precision machine-machine system interfaces
More electric / “smart” systems
Mission-critical subsystems and components
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
3 Strategic Business Segments…
6
Avionics & Controls Sensors & Systems Advanced Materials ~$500M Annual Revenue ~$800M Annual Revenue ~$700M Annual Revenue
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Control &
Communication Systems
Avionics Systems
…8 Core Capabilities
7
Avionics & Controls Sensors & Systems Advanced Materials ~$500M Annual Revenue ~$800M Annual Revenue ~$700M Annual Revenue
Defense Technologies
Engineered Materials
Interface Technologies
Advanced Sensors
Connection
Technologies
Power Systems
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 8
The Esterline Team – Today’s Presenters
Al Yost Advanced
Materials
Segment Pres.
15 years
Frank Houston Avionics &
Controls
Segment Pres.
30 years
Alain Durand Sensors &
Systems
Segment Pres.
12 years
Bob George Vice President,
CFO, & Corp.
Development
17 years
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Driving to Key 3- to 5-Year Financial Metrics
• Strong Organic Growth Opportunity
• Accelerating Consistent Companywide
Performance Initiatives
• Capital Deployment Focused on
Total Shareholder Return
9
Investment Highlights
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
TTM2Q14
3-5 YearTarget
10
Goal-Directed Drive to the Future
~5% CAGR
Organic Sales
$2B
Key Growth Drivers • Leverage program
investments for increased
platform content
• Ongoing benefits of strong
commercial market cycle
• Well positioned for current
defense market opportunities
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
TTM2Q14
3-5 YearTarget
Sales Incl. Acquisitions
11
Goal-Directed Drive to the Future
~10% CAGR
$2B
Key Growth Drivers • Leverage program
investments for increased
platform content
• Ongoing benefits of strong
commercial market cycle
• Well positioned for current
defense market opportunities
• Strategic M&A
– Revised focus on bolt-on fit,
capability and synergies
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
TTM2Q14
3-5 YearTarget
12
Goal-Directed Drive to the Future EBIT Margin*
11.9%
16+%
Key Margin Drivers • SG&A improvement
• Aggressive lean deployment
• Implement strategic sourcing
• Leverage organization
and systems
*EBIT ÷ total sales
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2013** 3-5 YearTarget
ROIC*
8.2%
15%+
13
Goal-Directed Drive to the Future
Focus on Returns • Disciplined portfolio
assessment
• Accelerated integration
projects
• Global footprint optimization
• Additional tools for
capital allocation
• Improved working capital
deployment
*Return on Invested Capital. **See 2014 Proxy
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 14
Goal-Directed Drive to the Future
Consistent Cash Flow Generation
Above 100% of Net Income
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 15
Core Areas of Organizational Focus
Profitable &
Balanced
Sales Growth
Enterprise
Excellence Leverage the
Enterprise
Strengthen
Mission-Critical
Culture
Regulatory &
Customer
Compliance
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strengthening Mission-Critical Corporate Culture
16
Excellent Quality
Respect
Integrity and Ethical Conduct
Lawful Conduct
Our Values and
Principles
High Standards
Efficiency
Mutual Respect
Integrated autonomy
Looking Forward
Continuous Improvement
Our Operating Approach Esterline Operating System
Policy Deployment
Toyota Production System
Fully Linked Operations,
Supply Chain
and Material Planning
“The Esterline Way”
Every Day
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 17
Growth Opportunities Across All Markets
Commercial
Aerospace
45% Defense
35%
Adjacent
20%
Key Growth Drivers
• Single-aisle penetration
• Global strategy for
interconnect solutions
• International defense
opportunities
• Adjacent market strength
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 18
Growth Opportunities Across All Markets
Commercial
Aerospace
U.S. Defense
Adjacent
Int’l Defense
After-
market
Key Growth Drivers
• Single-aisle penetration
• Global strategy for
interconnect solutions
• International defense
opportunities
• Adjacent market strength
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Esterline’s business portfolio combines:
• Long-cycle and short-cycle businesses
• From key components to complex sub-systems and
customized integrated cockpits
• Capabilities include OEM production, aftermarket
support, and design / installation of retrofits
• This balance helps create financial stability
19
Growth Stability with Balanced Cycles
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 20
Mixed Portfolio = Balanced Market Opportunity S
ho
rt B
usin
es
s C
yc
le
L
on
g
Parts Assemblies (Sub) Systems
Build to print Design & Build Design/Build/Support
Less Complex More Complex
Sensors & Systems
Sensors & Systems
Avionics & Controls
Avionics & Controls
Advanced
Materials
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Segment Aerospace/Defense Market
Position
Advanced Materials
• Seals & ducts
• Wire Management
• Insulation & Structures
• Countermeasure Flares
• Chaff & Combustible Ordnance
#1
#1
#3
#1-2
#1
Avionics & Controls
• Aerospace Switches
• Displays & Panels
• Military Trainer Cockpits
• Enhanced Vision Systems
#1
#3
#1
#2
Sensors & Systems
• Power Distribution & Components
• Pressure & Temperature Engine Sensors
• Commercial Aerospace Connectors
#1-2
#1-2
#2
21
Market Leadership Supports Further Growth
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Global GDP growing
– Economic outlook slowly improving
• OEM market maintaining growth
– Increasing single aisle production rates
– B787-9 & A350 to enter service in 2014
– Airbus & Boeing: ~8 years of backlog
22
Commercial Market Favorable for Growth
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Airlines are profitable
– Record profit expected for 2014
– Fuel cost relatively stable
– Flight hour growth & high load factors
– Increasing demand
• Aftermarket growth
– Demand from increased flying
hours & fleet size
23
Commercial Market Favorable for Growth
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
1,000
1,300
1,600
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 201924
Strong Delivery Cycle to Continue
Source: Airbus, Boeing, Deloitte, SpeedNews
Commercial Aircraft Deliveries (Units)
3% CAGR
Boeing and Airbus
Combined Deliveries
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20122032
Revenue Passenger Kilometers (billions)
5,552
14,672
Strong Commercial Trend = Organic Growth
25 Source: Boeing
5% CAGR
RP
K
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Investments Driving Key Commercial Wins
26 Photo Sources: Airbus, Boeing, Embraer
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Positioned Well for Key Commercial Programs
27
Development Introduction Growth Maturity Decline
Source: Boeing
A320 Fam
737NG
787
A330
A380
777
SS100 S-92
7X
747
G650
A350
C- Series
A320 NEO
737Max
C919
MRJ
E2
777X
2014
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
737NG 787
A330
A380
777
SS100
S-92 7X 747
G650
A350
CSeries
A320 NEO
737Max
C919
MRJ
E2 777X
Positioned Well for Key Commercial Programs
28
Development Introduction Growth Maturity Decline
Source: Boeing
2019
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 29
Growth in a Tough Defense Market…
Source: U.S. DoD Base Budget, Cypress Int’l
U.S. DoD Base Budget Incl. FY15 Presidential Budget Request
FY14-19 CAGR: 2.4%
U.S. DoD Base Budget Incl. Full Sequestration Impact
FY14-19 CAGR: 1.4%
ESL FY14-19 Defense CAGR
2.5% - 3.5%
ESL Addressable International Defense Budget
FY14-18 CAGR: 3%-4%
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
…Through Key Program Participation
30
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
F-35
T-6
UH-60
P-8
A400M
C-130
KC-390
Positioned Well for Key Defense Programs
31
Development Introduction Growth Maturity Decline
2014
Source: Boeing
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
F-35
T-6
UH-60
P-8 A400M C-130
KC-390
Positioned Well for Key Defense Programs
32
Development Introduction Growth Maturity Decline
2019
Source: Boeing
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Sale
s C
AG
R
Growth “Booster” During Plan Period
33
Strong Growth in Adjacent Markets
A&D Avg. CAGR 3-4%
Adjacent
20%
Adjacent Market
Avg. CAGR ~10%
ESL Total CAGR ~5%
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Ship-Set Content on Key Programs
34
$0
$400
$800
$1,200($Thousands)
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Avionics & Controls Frank Houston,
Segment President
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 36
The Esterline Team – Avionics & Controls
Greg Yeldon
19 years
Frank Houston Avionics & Controls
Segment President
Kevin Moschetti
20 years
Avionics & Controls Platform Presidents
Dennis Staver
7 years
Avionics
Systems
Control &
Communication
Systems
Interface
Technologies
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Human-Machine Interface (HMI) Avionics & Controls Segment
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Avionics Systems
38
Control &
Communication
Systems
Interface Technologies
Mission-Critical Controls
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Avionics & Controls: Segment Size
39
39%
% of total ESL sales
through six months FY14
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Avionics & Controls Markets
Commercial
Defense
Adjacent
40
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Moving from components to subsystems to
increase ship-set content
• Compliant cockpit subsystems allowing
customers to meet regulatory mandates
• Best-in-class touch screen and display solutions
• Positioned for Asian growth in gaming and
medical markets
41
Growth Themes
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Overhead panel wins
– 787, C-Series, S-76, Legacy 450/500
• Product portfolio expanded to
include flight controls HMI
– Rudder pedal assemblies, control
columns, throttle quadrants
• Updated flight management
and GPS systems to meet
regulatory mandates 42
Avionics & Controls: Commercial Market
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Wins in trainers and air
transports offsetting softness
in signals intelligence
and land vehicles
• Strong international
component with
increasing opportunities
• Sustaining and winning
helicopter positions 43
Avionics & Controls: Defense Market
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Strong Asian growth in
medical and casino gaming
• Technology shift in gaming,
medical, and aerospace
toward touch screens
• Growing point of care
instrumentation business
44
Avionics & Controls: Adjacent Markets
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Revenue Growth
Expect organic revenue
CAGR of ~5% to 6%
over next 3 to 5 years
Margin Improvement
Segment margin target
of ~16.5% to 18.5%
45
Avionics & Controls: Segment Financials ~5% - 6%
$772M
FY13 Actual 3-5 Year Target
14%* ~16.5%-18.5%
*Adjusted for Racal impairment
3-5 Year
Target
FY13
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Invest in product portfolio expansion
• Leverage mandates and technology shifts
• Create best-in-class, cost-competitive
touch screen and display capabilities
• Seize Asian growth trend by utilizing regional
engineering and manufacturing capabilities
• Reduce SG&A costs to improve margins
and competitive positioning 46
Avionics & Controls: Strategic Positioning
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Site consolidation and product line rationalization
• Formation of touch screen joint venture in Asia
• Continue to assess strategic, bolt-on acquisitions
• Cost reduction achievements through Lean and
improved sourcing
• Execute on-schedule and on-cost for
development programs
47
Avionics & Controls: Operational Priorities
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Strong foundation of annuities from many
production programs (commercial and military)
• Investments in subsystems for new programs =
higher content per aircraft
• Well-positioned to take advantage of technology
shifts, regulatory mandates, and growth markets
• Site consolidation and cost reduction activities
already underway = margin improvement
48
Avionics & Controls: Wrap Up
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Sensors & Systems Alain Durand,
Segment President
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 50
The Esterline Team – Sensors & Systems
Geof Eeles
11 years
Alain Durand Sensors & Systems
Segment President
Mark Thek
17 years
Sensors & Systems Platform Presidents
Jean-Luc Gavelle
2 years
Advanced
Sensors
Power
Systems
Connection
Technologies
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System-to-System Interface Sensors & Systems Segment
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Advanced Sensors
52
Connection
Technologies
Power Systems
Designed for Harsh Environments
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Sensors & Systems: Segment Size
53
38%
% of total ESL sales
through six months FY14
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Sensors & Systems Markets
Commercial Defense
Adjacent
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• A global segment
– 6,000 employees worldwide:
85% International,
1/3 in low cost countries
– Strong presence in
international markets
55
Sensors & Systems: Global Landscape
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Well positioned on growing platforms
(SJ100, single aisle)
• Winning solid ship-set values on
new programs (A350-1000, E2)
• Realizing revenue on
investments made
(A350-900, B787)
56
Sensors & Systems: Commercial Market
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Well positioned on new and
growing military aircraft
platforms (F-35) offsetting
ground vehicles and
soldier equipment
• Strong presence on stable
international programs (A400M,
Eurocopter, submarines, missile
programs)
57
Sensors & Systems: Defense / Space Market
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Sensors aftermarket
– Improved reliability of product
– Sole source on large and growing fleet (CFM56, Trent)
• Adjacencies – Strong growth opportunities
– Rail – Growth in Europe and Asia, modernization
– Energy – nuclear, solar
– General industry – Asia strong growth, U.S. penetration
58
Sensors & Systems: Market Commentary
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Revenue Growth
Expect organic revenue
CAGR of ~5% to 6.5%
over next 3 to 5 years
Margin Improvement
Segment margin target
of ~16% to 17%
~5% - 6.5%
$702M
59
Sensors & Systems: Segment Financials
FY13 Actual 3-5 Year Target
13% ~16%-17%
3-5 Year
Target
FY13
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Balanced long / short product life cycles – Mix of business models within the segment
• Build on global industrial presence – Offer offset opportunities, share low cost footprint,
attract market share
– Major opportunities in North America, Russia, China
• Technology Investment – Technology roadmap with key partners to address …
weight, size, specific fuel consumption
60
Sensors & Systems: Strategic Positioning
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Operational Excellence – Best-in-class program management processes
– Global aftermarket support (turn-around time)
• Focus on Cost – Lean, continuous improvement and policy deployment
– Leverage LCC Footprint (manufacturing & support)
• Leverage Segment Synergies – Commercial, technology and operational opportunities
61
Sensors & Systems: Operational Priorities
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Awarded important commercial aero programs
and growing ship-set content
• Successful integration of Souriau and Sunbank …
significant incremental synergies being developed
• Working to differentiate our products amid OEM
pricing pressure
• Focus on cost efficiencies, operational excellence,
and unique technologies = strong growth position 62
Sensors & Systems: Wrap Up
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Advanced Materials Al Yost,
Segment President & Treasurer
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 64
The Esterline Team – Advanced Materials
Jim Brandt
3 years
Al Yost Advanced Materials
Segment President
Phil Bowker
17 years
Advanced Materials Platform Presidents
Defense
Technologies
Engineered
Materials
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Engineered Processes Advanced Materials Segment
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Defense Technologies
66
Engineered Materials
Leading Protection and Management Solutions
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Advanced Materials: Segment Size
67
23%
% of total ESL sales through
six months FY14
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Advanced Materials Markets
Commercial Defense
Adjacent
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Rate readiness & operational
performance are key
• Competitive focus on high-
strength, low-weight products
• Harsh environments – vibration,
temperature extremes,
chemicals, etc.
• Many opportunities still exist 69
Advanced Materials: Commercial Market
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• OpTempo↓, Training↓, Inventory↑
• U.S. countermeasures stable
• International opportunities
sliding to the right
• F-35 LRIP ramp progressing
• Legacy space products
present opportunities
70
Advanced Materials: Defense / Space Market
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Energy: thermal & fire protection
• U.K. nuclear new-build
and decommissioning
fabrications
• Heavy construction and
Formula 1 exhaust systems
• General Industrial
71
Advanced Materials: Adjacent Markets
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Revenue Growth
Expect organic revenue
CAGR of ~4% to 6%
over next 3 to 5 years
Margin Improvement
Segment margin target
of ~23% to 25%
72
Advanced Materials: Segment Financials ~4% - 6%
$496M
FY13 Actual 3-5 Year Target
22% ~23%-25%
3-5 Year
Target
FY13
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Drive best-in-class operational performance
with advanced enterprise excellence
• Secure outsized position on new defense munitions
and countermeasure programs
• European/U.S. aerospace market cross selling
• Focus on increasing aftermarket participation
• Strong synergies from efficiency initiatives
• Fill in strategically with bolt-on acquisitions 73
Advanced Materials: Strategic Positioning
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Accelerated integration projects underway
• Expanding LCC presence
• Operational excellence in delivery and quality
through aggressive Lean Transformation
• Cost reduction through continuous improvement
and strategic sourcing
• Accelerate product development in the areas of
pyrophorics, high temperature, and low weight
74
Advanced Materials: Operational Priorities
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Solid installed base on continuing commercial, military,
regional, and business aircraft programs
• Bottomed “consumable” defense business offset by
F-35 content and large nuclear special fabrications
• Well positioned to take advantage of technology trends
• Strong operational excellence focus enhanced
• Accelerated integration activities will move the needle
75
Advanced Materials: Wrap Up
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Strategic Finance Bob George,
Chief Financial Officer
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 77
Core Areas of Organizational Focus
- Above A&D Average - Short Cycle/Long Cycle - Grow Aftermarket - Aero / Defense / Other
Profitable &
Balanced
Sales Growth
Enterprise
Excellence Leverage the
Enterprise
Strengthen
Mission-Critical
Culture
Regulatory &
Customer
Compliance
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Balanced Sales Growth: ~5% CAGR – Defense stabilizes, commercial steady, adjacent markets strong
• Focused control of SG&A expense: ~15%‒16%* – Centers of excellence – IT
– Re-thinking structure – HR
– Consolidate activity – Finance
• EBIT margin strong, sustained growth: 16%+ – Improve already strong gross margin
– Operations initiatives
– Expense focus 78
Transparency & Focus on Key 3-5 Year Metrics
*As a Percent of Sales
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Cash flow conversion a foundation: Above 100% – But can be improved
– Rigorous working capital management
– Cash flow consistently greater than 100%
• ROIC: 15%+ – The linchpin metric
– IC, capital deployment, total shareholder return
– Strong, consistent growth
79
Transparency & Focus on Key 3-5 Year Metrics
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2011 TTM2Q14
3 to 5 YearTarget
Situational Overview
• Defense sales decline
2011-2014
• Offset by strong
commercial aero growth
• F-35, A400M growth
• Adjacent market
“booster”
80
Balanced Sales Growth
5% CAGR
Total Sales
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2011 TTM2Q14
3 to 5 YearTarget
Situational Overview
• HR restructuring
• IT Centers of Excellence
• Focused evolution – Unit Platform Segment
• Integration synergies
81
SG&A Focus
15%-16%
SG&A as % of Sales
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2011 TTM2Q14
3 to 5 YearTarget
Situational Overview
• Organic sales growth
• Accelerating integration
• Strategic sourcing
• Continuous improvement
• Leverage the enterprise
• Global footprint
82
EBIT Expansion
16%+ % of Sales
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2011 TTM2Q14
3 to 5 YearTarget
Situational Overview
• Always a strength
• Can be improved
• Rigorous working capital
management
83
Robust Cash Flow
>100%
Cash Flow* % Net Income
*From continuing operations
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2013* 3-5 YearTarget
Situational Overview
• Capital deployment
• Highest, best use
• “Strategic acquisitions”
– Bolt-on
– Tuck-in
– Capability enhancing
• ROIC >15%
84
Drive ROIC
15%+
ROIC
*See 2014 Proxy
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 85
Key Financial Metric Achievements
Sales
Growth
Expense
Reduction
EBIT Margin
Expansion
Cash Flow
Strength
Superior
ROIC
3%-5%
4%-6%
>100%
2x
5%
10% w/ M&A
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 86
Progress Report
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• 2014 will be a challenging year
• Compliance cost impact higher for next 2+ years
• Increased commercial organic growth
pressured by uncertain defense volumes
• Margin pressure due to new program ramps/mix
• Restructuring impact is material to 2014 . . . .
but needed
87
Coming into 2014, We Thought…
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2013 EPS 2014 EPS Guidance
88
$5.65 $(0.43)-$(0.50)
$0.70-$0.78
$(0.45)-$(0.53)
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
$5.50
$6.00
$6.50
$7.00
$5.40-$5.70
$0.08-$0.15
2013
EPS*
2014
EPS*
Guidance
Sales
Growth
& GM
Effects
Expense
Effects
Interest
Expense
Tax
Effects
Functional Relationships
*Adjusted
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
2013 EPS 2014 EPS Guidance
89
$5.65
$(0.50)-$(0.60)
$0.60-$0.70
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
$5.50
$6.00
$6.50
$7.00
$5.40-$5.70$(0.15)-$(0.25)
2013
EPS*
2014
EPS*
Guidance
Sales
Growth
& Q4
Effects
Program
Ramps &
Sales Mix
Tax
Effects
Causal Relationships
*Adjusted
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
So How Are We Doing?
90
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
$250
$350
$450
$550
2013 Guidance 2014
$500 $528 $530
$500
$700
$900
$1,100
2013 Guidance 2014
$958
$1,035 $1,035
Esterline Sales
91
‒ In line for quarter and YTD
‒ Aftermarket is soft
($ Millions) ($ Millions)
‒ Connection Technologies performing well
‒ Engineered Materials at record levels
2nd Quarter Sales YTD Sales
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
2013 Guidance 2014
$73 $75 $72
$0
$50
$100
$150
2013 Guidance 2014
$129 $133 $133
Esterline Segment Profit (GAAP)
92
‒ All 3 segments in line with Guidance
‒ Avionics ahead of last year, Sensors
even, Materials slightly behind
‒ Integration costs: $3.3M Qtr., $8.7M YTD;
Compliance costs: $1.8M Qtr., $3.0M YTD
2nd Qtr. Seg. Profit YTD Seg. Profit ($ Millions) ($ Millions)
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
2011Actual
2012Actual
2013Actual
2014Guidance
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
• It’s been an interesting ride the last few years
93
2014 Guidance – Quarterly EPS Smoothing
Earn
ings p
er
Share
$4.27
Incl. Souriau
$5.27
Ex. Impair.
$5.65
Ex. DDTC
Impair.
$5.40-$5.70
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Lunch – Meritage Room
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Lean transformation and
policy deployment – Al Yost
• Global purchasing consolidation – Frank Houston
• Comprehensive global site strategy
to optimize operating footprint – Alain Durand
96
Implementing Company-Wide Efficiencies
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 97
Accelerated Integration Announced Dec. 2013
On schedule,
on budget
Consolidation
of shared
services
6 product /
facility
consolidations
$40M in
integration
costs
$15M per
year in
savings
2014 2014-2015 2014 Through 2015 Start 2016
Internal rate of return over 20% with an average two year pay-back period.
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Enterprise Excellence Al Yost,
Segment President & Treasurer
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
- Lean Excellence - Quality/Delivery - CI Culture in all areas
Profitable &
Balanced
Sales Growth
Enterprise
Excellence Leverage the
Enterprise
Employee
Engagement
Regulatory &
Customer
Compliance
Core Areas of Focus
99
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Esterline has a long legacy of locally-led
lean thinking, lean programs, and most
recently some X-Chart deployment
• Lean’s role in Esterline’s new/evolving strategy has now been
articulated and is well understood. The differences include:
central coordination, top-to-bottom alignment, and accountability
• Visible Commitment: CEO video, Sr. Leadership conference,
Operations Excellence Summit, added resources, and the setting of
stretch goals as part of Esterline’s Operating System
100
Current State
Esterline legacy provides a strong foundation for acceleration
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Opportunity
101
Cost Element
Addressable
Continuous
Improvement
Strategic
Sourcing
Global
Operations HR / IT
Sales $2B
Direct Labor X X X
Direct Material X X X
Factory Overhead X X X X
R&D X X X X
SG&A X X X X
1. Improved Financial Returns 2. Profitable Growth 3. Competitiveness
4. Customer Satisfaction 5. Employee Engagement
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
CI / Lean Transformation
102
Objective
Cost
Leadership
Customer
Satisfaction
Lean Becomes
“Who We Are”
Tools
Typical Ranges
of Opportunity
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
CI / Lean Transformation
103
Objective
Cost
Leadership
Customer
Satisfaction
Lean Becomes
“Who We Are”
TPS
Training
Assessment
Lighthouse
Policy
Deployment
Tools
Typical Ranges
of Opportunity
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 104
30% Floor space
50% Days to Mfg
30% Inventory
20% Build Hours
Improved Quality
~100% OTD
Objective
Cost
Leadership
Customer
Satisfaction
Lean Becomes
“Who We Are”
TPS
Training
Assessment
Lighthouse
Policy
Deployment
“It’s About Leadership”
CI / Lean Transformation Tools
Typical Ranges
of Opportunity
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 105
A baseline is documented and clear expectations are established
105
Comprehensive Assessment Tool
-5
10
25
40
55
70
85
100
1 Willingness to Change
2 Process Vision
3 CIP Organization
4 Execution plan
5 Methods/Tools
6 Training
7 Transparency /Communication
8 Key PerformanceIndicators
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Training Our People
106
3 Lean Transformation Leaders
5 Additional LTL
16 Additional LTL
Leaders: Identify, Train, Empower, Proliferate
Wave 1
Lighthouse
(Segment)
Wave 2
Lighthouse
(Platform)
Wave 3
(Site) 33 Additional LTL
Wave 4
(Remaining Sites)
Lighthouses:
Where to
look for
Excellence
Training begins at the top and cascades down to each employee
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
CI Progression
107
Get started – set aggressive goals – make daily progress
• TPS principles will guide
our journey
• Utilize a common set of
evaluation tools
• Set progression raises
the bar each year
• Structured performance
review process
• Training and strategic
investments
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Policy Deployment
108
Level 1 Deployment
sessions (8) now
scheduled for
June-August.
Alignment is key.
5 Areas of Focus
~3-5 Years
11 Improvement
Targets
~1 Year
10 Initiatives
~2-3 Years
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
ESL Expectations
ESL Goals
Annual ESL Strategic Plan
Goals
Initiatives
Improvement targets
Operating System
109
Platform Level PD
Unit Level PD
Dashboard/Metrics
Initiative: Date:
TargetImprovement:
Org/Facility
No.
Plan
(The Macro Plan)
Do
(C/I Kaizen Activities)
Check
(This Review)
Percentage
Complete
Act
(Three-Month Rolling Plan)
Policy Deployment
Progress Review
On-Going Reviews
Segment SBS
Segment SBS
CI Process
Corporate Level Policy
Deployment Matrix
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Strategic Sourcing Frank Houston,
Segment President
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Profitable &
Balanced
Sales Growth
Enterprise
Excellence Leverage the
Enterprise
Employee
Engagement
Regulatory &
Customer
Compliance
Core Areas of Focus
111
- Global Mfg. Strategy - Shared Services (IT, HR) - Strategic Sourcing
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strategic Sourcing
Goals
• Achieve significant savings in purchased material and
services through:
– Aggregating demand across the corporation
– Standardization
– Improved procurement practices
• Implement processes, tools and organization that will
make these improvements sustainable over the long term
112
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strategic Sourcing
• Approx. $350M of the $720M
is addressable now
– Platform-unique materials
– Spend already optimized
113
FY14 Spend ≈ $720M
Addressable Now
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strategic Sourcing – Specific Actions
114
July 1 – Aug. 15 Aug. 15 – Sept. 15 Sept. 15 thru 18 months
Develop
high-confidence
estimate of
savings potential
Create
sequenced
attack plan by
commodity
Launch
commodity cost
reduction
projects
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strategic Sourcing – Specific Actions
115
July 1 – Aug. 15
Develop
high-confidence
estimate of
savings potential
• Hired Sr. Director of Strategic Sourcing
• Consultant to perform six-week assessment
• Visits to platform sites in North America
and Europe
• Deliverables include identification of cost
reduction targets
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strategic Sourcing – Specific Actions
116
Aug. 15 – Sept. 15
• Time-phased projects, designed to create early wins
• Corporate-wide commodity teams
• Consultant guidance on process
• Measurable savings targets by commodity
Create
sequenced
attack plan by
commodity
Easy Difficult
Implementation
Savin
gs P
ote
nti
al
Lo
w
Hig
h
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Strategic Sourcing – Specific Actions
117
Sept. 15 thru 18 months
• Each commodity project will take
4-6 months
• Savings will begin to be realized
3-4 months after contract signing
• Some benefit in FY15, increasing
benefit in FY16 and beyond
Launch
commodity
cost reduction
projects
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Continuous Improvement Projects
• IT tool to aggregate demand from various ERP systems
• Training for procurement teams
• Consistent metrics for supplier OTD, quality and
cost improvement
• Procurement engineers in LCC locations
118
Strategic Sourcing
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Global Manufacturing Strategy Alain Durand,
Segment President
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Profitable &
Balanced
Sales Growth
Enterprise
Excellence Leverage the
Enterprise
Employee
Engagement
Regulatory &
Customer
Compliance
Core Areas of Focus
120
- Global Mfg. Strategy - Shared Services (IT, HR) - Strategic Sourcing
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Global Manufacturing Strategy
121
We want to strategically drive our footprint development
Critical Mass
Strong Organic Growth
Increasingly Integrated
Numerous Acquisitions
Optimized
Footprint
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Global Footprint Overview
Operations: 38
In Low-Cost Countries: 11
15% of EEs in LCC
Existing global beachheads
122
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Objectives of the Process
123
DELIVERABLES
Long Term Operations
Strategy
Strong Implementation Teams
Risk Mitigation Plans
Provide cross-segment support for implementation
Contribute to the Esterline cost structure reduction effort
STRATEGY TO INCLUDE
Make/Buy - LEAN
Low Cost Expansion
Site Rationalization
TARGETED OUTCOMES
Improved Direct Cost
Improved Mfg. Overhead
Improved G&A Expenses
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
A Disciplined Approach
124
Steps in the planning process …
Detailed Evaluation of Current State
Detailed Evaluation of Teams and
Platform Manufacturing
Strategies
1st Draft Footprint Strategy Proposal
Validation of Initial Steps of the ESL
Operations Strategy
• Dedicated corporate resource is in place
• Cross-segment mission
• Coordination with ESL Excellence, Strategic Sourcing
• Developing processes, tools, teams
• Aligning Platform/Segment/Corporation views on asset deployment
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Current Integration Initiatives
125
Cash Impact
Top 6 Rationalization Projects:
Reduction of 6 facilities - $40M investment, $15M/yr savings, on target
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• 6 projects being implemented
• A cross-segment initiative
• A disciplined approach
• Dedicated resource
126
Manufacturing Strategy – Summary
Optimized Global Footprint Leverage the enterprise assets - Improve cost structure
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 127
Capital Deployment
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Excellent, sustainable free cash flow generation
• Disciplined benchmarking / evaluation process
• Powerful value-creation opportunities
128
Capital Allocation Plan for Highest Return
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
129
Disciplined Approach to Allocate Capital
Share
Buyback
Acquisition
Growth
ROIC
mid-high teens %
R&D
CapEx
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Increased momentum
in cash generation
• New tool in addition to
internal investment /
M&A
• Maintain flexibility to
adapt to changing
conditions
130
Powerful Value Creation Opportunity
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Our focus has evolved over the years…
131
Capital Deployment Evolution
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
$0
$30
$60
$90
$120
Growth Through Acquisitions
132
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007
750
650
550
350
250
150
0
450
$175M Senior
Sub. Notes
Offering
$115M Follow-On
Equity Offering
$60M Credit
Facility
Outstanding
$100M Credit
Facility
Outstanding
$200M Credit
Facility
Outstanding
$175M
Senior Notes
Offering
$300M Credit
Facility
Outstanding
$187M
Follow-On
Equity
Offering
$250M
Senior Notes
Offering
$460M Credit
Facility
Outstanding
Net Debt/EBITDA: 2.0x 2.8x 0.5x 2.0x 1.7x 1.1x 1.7x 0.7x 3.0x 2.0x 1.4x
Share price Acquisitions in $ Millions
2013
850
2014
$70.8M Follow-On
Equity Offering
$200M
International
Term Loan
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 133
Cash Flow Conversion Track Record
$50$43
$54
$11
$93$80
$98
$134$143 $145
$195
$161
0
50
100
150
200
250
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Projected
Free Cash Flow*
≈$49
≈$91
86% Growth
≈$141
55% Growth
38%
Growth
* Free cash flow defined as
Cash Flow from Operations less CapEx
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 134
Capital Deployment Evolution
Prior to 1997:
• Extremely diversified
• Unfocused strategy
• Independently run
businesses
$350M
Multiple Market
Sectors
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Phase I: 1997-2000
135
Establishing Foundation
$160M
Focused
Markets
Begin to Focus:
• Divest non-core
• Acquire A&D core
• Capex and R&D inv.
• Debt / Equity plan
Commercial
Defense
Adjacent
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Phase II: 2002-2011
136
Focusing Growth in Core Markets
Grow the Business:
• A&D plus adjacent
market focus
• Balanced debt & equity
• Levered up to acquire
Souriau business
$2B
Commercial
Defense
Adjacent
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Phase III: 2011-2013
137
Transitioning
2.4
3.7
2.9
2.01.5
2.3
0
1
2
3
4
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
GAAP Earnings
Pro-Forma adj. EPS
excluding purchase
accounting and Racal
Before
Acquisition
Delevering
Progress
After
Acquisition
Moving Toward Strategic M&A
EB
ITD
A R
atio
s*
* Debt÷ EBITDA
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Phase IV: 2014-2019 Leverage the Enterprise
138
Capital Deployment Evolution
Strong Free Cash Flow Facilitates Evaluation of Positive Alternatives
Capital Allocation
Strategy
Internal
Investment
External
Acquisitions
Direct
Shareholder
Return
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Drive long term shareholder value through:
– Profitable / balanced growth
– Enterprise excellence
– Leverage the enterprise
• Maintain BB+ credit rating
– Provides maximum value between flexibility and pricing
• Control risk profile and strategic fit (portfolio shaping)
• Maximize return through effective use of free cash flow
139
Leveraging the Enterprise, Driving ROIC
Significant opportunity to enhance growth, EPS, and shareholder value
– Employee engagement
– Regulatory / customer
compliance
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Highest, best use as measured by ROIC
• Maintain our operations and competitive advantage by
investing in high ROI Capex and R&D
• Strategic acquisition targeting means:
– Strong fit with existing business
– Strong margin profile with enhancement opportunity
– Long term ROIC well above WACC
– Best overall return on a risk adjusted basis
• Share repurchase being added to our tool chest
140
Deployment in Action
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Share repurchase details
– 8-K filed today
– $200M authorization
– Expect to complete
in 2-3 years
141
Deployment in Action
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
100%
~$
1.5
B -
$2.0
B
142
View of Cash over the Strategic Plan Horizon
Portfolio
Shaping
Capex
R&D
Strategic
M&A
Share
Buybacks
Above Operating Cash Flow
Return to Shareholders
External
Growth Options
Internal
Growth
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 143
Portfolio Shaping
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
• Evaluate/Assess:
144
Structured Process to Enhance Returns
Strategic Fit
Shareholder Value
Performance Consistency
Forecast Risk
Management Distraction
Corporate Branding
Operations & Technology
• Determine:
Focused Improvement
Integration/Consolidation
Pruning Candidate
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014
Forecast Growth and Return Targets
Establish Balance Sheet Characteristics & Objectives
Fund CapEx & R&D High Growth/Return Projects
Allocate Capital to Highest, Best Risk Adjusted Use
145
Strategic Capital Deployment
Results in Allocating Capital to the Options
Generating the Highest Total Shareholder Returns
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Investment Highlights Driving to Key 3-5 Year Financial Metrics
Strong Growth Opportunities
Companywide Performance Initiatives
Implemented and Ongoing
Capital Deployment Focused on Total
Shareholder Returns
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• Thank you for joining us
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Esterline Analyst & Investor Day – June 2014 148
Appendix A 1) EBITDA from continuing operations, and free cash flow are measurements not calculated in accordance with GAAP. We define
EBITDA as earnings from continuing operations plus depreciation and amortization (excluding amortization of debt issuance
costs). We define free cash flow as cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. We do not intend EBITDA to represent
cash flows from continuing operations or any other items calculated in accordance with GAAP, or as an indicator of Esterline’s
operating performance. Our definitions of EBITDA, and free cash flow from continuing operations may not be comparable with
EBITDA from continuing operations as defined by other companies. We believe EBITDA, and free cash flow are commonly used
by financial analysts and others in the aerospace and defense industries and thus provide useful information to investors. Our
management and certain financial creditors use EBITDA as one measure of our leverage capacity and debt servicing ability, and
is shown here with respect to Esterline for comparative purposes. EBITDA, and free cash flow is not necessarily indicative of
amounts that may be available for discretionary uses by us. For EBITDA reconciliations, see Item 6: Selected Financial Data in
Esterline’s 2013 Form 10-K, page 23.