fb3 - pc note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

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PC 2015 1. Introducere în piețele de capital 1 Introducere în PIEȚE DE CAPITAL P I E Ț E D E C A P I T A L ? 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 SOURCE: Federal Reserve; National Bureau of Economic Research; Robert Shiller; McKinsey Global Institute analysis US financial assets as a % of GDP 139 167 207 240 417 442 392 Equity Private debt securities Government debt securities Deposits 194 101 198 p.p.1 93 p.p.1 1885 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 1890 After 1980, financial asset growth accelerated Percentage points of GDP. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 SOURCE: Federal Reserve; National Bureau of Economic Research; Robert Shiller; McKinsey Global Institute analysis US financial assets as a % of GDP 139 167 207 240 417 442 392 Equity Private debt securities Government debt securities Deposits 194 101 198 p.p.1 93 p.p.1 1885 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008 1890 After 1980, financial asset growth accelerated 1Percentage points of GDP.

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Page 1: FB3 - PC Note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital1

IntroducereînPIEȚEDECAPITAL

PIEȚEDECAPITAL

?

8

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

SOURCE: Federal Reserve; National Bureau of Economic Research; Robert Shiller; McKinsey Global Institute analysis

US financial assets as a % of GDP

139167

207

240

417442

392

EquityPrivate debt securitiesGovernment debt securitiesDeposits

194

101

198 p.p.1

93 p.p.1

1885 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20081890

After 1980, financial asset growth accelerated

1 Percentage points of GDP.

Mature financial markets may be headed for slower growth in the years to �come. Private debt and equity are likely to grow more slowly as households and businesses reduce their debt burdens and as corporate earnings fall back to long-term trends. In contrast, large fiscal deficits in many mature markets will cause government debt to soar.

For emerging markets, the current crisis is likely to be no more than a temporary �interruption in their financial market development, since the underlying sources of growth remain strong. For investors and financial intermediaries alike, emerging markets will become more important as their share of global capital markets continues to expand.

GLOBAL FINANCIAL ASSETS DECLINED BY $16 TRILLION IN 2008, THE LARGEST SETBACK ON RECORD

For most of the first eight decades of the 20th century, financial assets grew at about the same pace as GDP. The exceptions were times of war, when government debt rose much more rapidly. But after 1980, financial asset growth raced ahead. In the United States, for example, the total value of financial assets as a percentage of GDP has grown more than twice as much since 1980 as it had in the previous 80 years (Exhibit 1). Worldwide, equities and private debt accounted for most of the increase in financial assets since 1980, as companies and financial institutions turned increasingly to capital markets for financing. By 2007, the total value of global financial assets reached a peak of $194 trillion, equal to 343 percent of GDP. 2

Exhibit 1

But the financial crisis interrupted this process. The value of the world’s financial assets fell to $178 trillion by the end of 2008 (Exhibit 2). This 8 percent decline was the largest since our data series began in 1990, and in some countries, the drop was far worse.

2 Unless noted otherwise, all financial figures in this report are stated at 2008 exchange rates. This allows us to compare growth over time, excluding the effects of currency movements. Figures are not adjusted for inflation. Based on the latest available data, this report also updates figures published in our earlier reports.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

SOURCE: Federal Reserve; National Bureau of Economic Research; Robert Shiller; McKinsey Global Institute analysis

US financial assets as a % of GDP

139167

207

240

417442

392

EquityPrivate debt securitiesGovernment debt securitiesDeposits

194

101

198 p.p.1

93 p.p.1

1885 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20081890

After 1980, financial asset growth accelerated

1 Percentage points of GDP.

Page 2: FB3 - PC Note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital3

Obiec8ve

•  Asigurareafundamentelorpiețelordecapital

•  O01:Descrierearolului,funcțiilorșistructuriipiețelordecapital•  O02:Iden8ficareapar8cipanțilorșiaprincipalelorinstrumentefinanciareemiseșitranzacționatepepiețeledecapital

•  O03:Determinarearentabilitățiișirisculuiunuiac8vfinanciar•  O04:Descriereașiaplicareamodeluluidediscontareadividendelor,modeluluiGordon,CAPMșiaaltormodeledeevaluareaacțiunilorșialtorac8vefinanciare

•  O05:Evaluareaobligațiunilor,determinareadurateișiconvexitățiișiexplicareau8litățiiacestoraîncuan8ficareavola8litățiiprețuluiobligațiunilor

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital4

Obiec8ve•  O06:Diferențiereapiețelorprimareșisecundaredecapital•  O07:Descriereaetapelorprocesuluidevânzarepublicăaacțiunilorșiobligațiunilor

•  O08:Descriereamoduluideformareșiiden8ficareaprețuluidedeschidereșideînchiderepepiețeledecapital

•  O09:Diferențiereamecanismelordetranzacționarelavedereșiînmarjăainstrumentelorfinanciareprimare

•  O10:Determinareașiinterpretareaindicatorilorreprezenta8viu8lizațiînanalizafundamentalășianalizatehnică

•  O11:Definireașiprezentareacaracteris8cilorfondurilorînchiseșideschisedeinves8țiișiaaltorinves8țiialterna8ve

•  O12:Descriereametodelordeconstruireșiamodurilordeu8lizareaindicilorpepiețelefinanciare

Page 3: FB3 - PC Note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital5

Obiec8veLafinalizarea(cusucces)aacestuicurs,veificapabilsă:q decizidacăveiaplicapentruunjobîndomeniulpieţelorfinanciareq decizidacăteveiînscrielaunmasterînfinanţeoferitdeFEAA

UNIVERSITATEA„AL.I.CUZA�IAŞI

MASTERÎNBĂNCIŞIPIEŢEFINANCIARE

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital6

Tema8caI.   Introducereînpiețele,ins8tuțiileșiinstrumentelefinanciare

II.   Piețeleacțiunilor:piațaprimarășiemisiuneaacțiunilor

III.   Piețeleacțiunilor:piațasecundarășitranzacționareaacțiunilor

IV.  Piețeleacțiunilor:riscul,rentabilitateașievaluareaacțiunilor

V.   Piețeleinstrumentelordedatorie:structură,par8cipanțișiinstrumente

VI.   Piețeleinstrumentelordedatorie:rateledobânziișievaluareaobligațiunilor

VII.   Inves8țiialterna8ve

VIII.   Ins8tuțiifinanciarenon-bancare:8purișiroluri

IX.   Analizafinanciarășieficiențapiețelorfinanciare

X.   Indiciipiețelorfinanciare

XI.  Crizeleșireglementareapiețelorșiins8tuțiilorfinanciare

XII.  Rolurișiresponsabilitățiînsistemulfinanciar

Page 4: FB3 - PC Note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital7

Referințebibliografice

PRISACARIU,Maria,URSU,Silviu,ANDRIEŞ,Alin,2008.Pieţeşiinstrumentefinanciare.EdituraUniversităţii“AlexandruIoanCuza”Iaşi

•  Fabozzi,FJ,Modigliani,F&JonesF2013,Founda4onsofFinancialMarketsandIns4tu4ons:PearsonNewInterna4onalEdi4on,4thedn,Pearson,UpperSaddleRiver,N.J

•  Valdez,S&Molyneux,P2013,AnIntroduc4ontoGlobalFinancialMarkets,7thedn,PalgraveMacmillan,Basingstoke,Hampshire

•  FABOZZI,FrankJ.,MODIGLIANI,Franco,2009.

CapitalMarkets.Ins4tu4onsandInstruments:Interna4onalEdi4on,4/E.PearsonHigherEduca8on

•  MISHKIN,FredericS.,EAKINS,Stanley,2011.FinancialMarketsandIns4tu4ons:GlobalEdi4on,7/E.PearsonHigherEduca8on

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital8

Evaluare

Notafinală=50%*EVP+50%*EX

Evaluarepeparcursulsemestrului(EVP)§  SEMINAR:Par8cipare&Prezenţă(20%)§  TESTINTERMEDIAR:Tema8ca1-6/08.12.2015(15%)§  RAPORTDEGRUP:

§  Predare(10%)–3părți(11.10.2015,29.11.2015,03.01.2016)§  Prezentare(5%)–04-08.01.2016

Evaluarefinală(EX)§  EXAMENSCRIS:Tema8ca7-12/26.01.2016(50%)

Page 5: FB3 - PC Note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital9

Profesori

[email protected]

Floren8naIEȘ[email protected]

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital10

Blackboard

Page 6: FB3 - PC Note de curs 01 (2015.10.06).pdf

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital11

Blackboard

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Username:matricol

Parola:ini8alanumeCNPini8alaprenume

EXEMPLU–URSUSILVIUGABRIEL,CNP-17901aabbccddUsername:31040701SL059954Parola:U17901aabbccddS

PC20151.Introducereînpiețeledecapital12

PROIECT:PARTEA1START:05.10.2015 STOP:11.10.2015,12:00§  Găsiți5analiș9(dinaceeașigrupă)șicons8tuițioechipă.§  Adăugațipentrufiecaremembrualechipeiofotografierecentășiadresa

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“PC2015_Grupa_NUME1_NUME2_NUME3_NUME4_NUME5”șiîncărcați-lînsecțiuneaaferentăpeplacormaBlackboardpânălaexpirareatermenuluilimită–DUMINICĂ,11.10.2015,12:00.

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