federal evaluation policy - cornell university · • how aea members rated policy ideas....

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Federal Evaluation Policy Margaret Johnson, MPA Graduate Research Assistant Cornell University [email protected] Monica Hargraves, PhD Manager for Evaluation in Extension Cornell University [email protected] Bill Trochim, PhD Director Cornell Office for Research on Evaluation Cornell University [email protected]

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Page 1: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Federal Evaluation Policy

Margaret Johnson, MPAGraduate Research Assistant

Cornell [email protected]

Monica Hargraves, PhDManager for Evaluation in Extension

Cornell [email protected]

Bill Trochim, PhD Director

Cornell Office for Research on Evaluation

Cornell [email protected]

Page 2: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

This presentation

• Building a ground-up taxonomy using concept mapping (preliminary results)

• How AEA members rated policy ideas

Page 3: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Evaluation policy—a recent example“To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch the following government-wide efforts as part of the Fiscal Year 2011 Budget process:

• OMB will work with agencies to make information readily available online about all Federal evaluations focused on program impacts that are planned or already underway.

• Together with the Domestic Policy Council, National Economic Council and the Council of Economic Advisors, OMB will establish a new inter-agency working group to promote stronger evaluation across the Federal government.

• As part of the Fiscal Year 2011 Budget process, OMB will allocate a limited amount of funding for agencies which, on a voluntary basis: -Show how their Fiscal Year 2011 funding priorities are evidence-based or otherwise subject to rigorous evaluation;-Assess their own capacity to support evaluation and suggest pathways for strengthening that capacity; -Propose new evaluations that could improve government programs in the future; and -Identify impediments to rigorous program evaluation in their statutes or regulations.”

Peter Orzag, Director of OMB, October 7, 2009

Page 4: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

So what is evaluation policy?

“An evaluation policy is any rule or principle that a group or organization uses

to guide its decisions and actions when doing evaluation.”

(Trochim 2008)

Policy can be formal or informal, explicit or implicit.

Page 5: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Why a taxonomy of evaluation policies?

-allows advocates to quickly grasp important interrelationships among different policies for more timely and effective advocacy

-makes it easier for learning and communication about specific policy areas, so knowledge can accumulate (Trochim 2009)

-organizes efforts to develop well-tailored criteria for good policy in a way that is appropriately specific to particular policy areas

-helps trace the transformation from unwritten, specific policies to written evaluation guidance(Datta 2009)

Page 6: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Some ways of grouping evaluation policy

AEA Evaluation Policy Task Force (2007):Definitions, Requirements, Methods, Human resources, Budgets, Implementation, Ethics

Datta (2009): Who is involved, Who gets resources

Trochim (2009): Goals, Participation, Capacity building, Management, Role, Process and Methods, Utilization, Meta-evaluation

AEA Roadmap (2009): Relationship of evaluation to policy making; Scope and coverage; Analytic approaches and method; Management; Quality and Independence; Transparency; Resources; Professional competence; Evaluation plans; Dissemination of results; Agency evaluation policy and procedures; Independence; Institutional structures; Legislated policy; Policies for inter-branch collaboration on evaluation

Page 7: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Why ask random AEA members to “taxonomize”?

-policies are best developed democratically, using broadly participatory methods (Trochim 2009)

-new approaches might identify other, high-level categories not previously identified (Cooksy 2009)

Page 8: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Concept Mapping ProcessPlanning: Planners and key issue advisors develop a focus prompt and identify participants.

Idea Generation: Communities of interest and expertise are identified, and respond with brainstormed ideas.

Structuring: Communities of interest and expertise sort and rate the results of the idea development, authoring the structure and value domain of the issue.

Representation: Compute the maps, pattern matches and “go zones,” and prepare them for interpretation by communities of interest.

Interpretation and Use: Strategies and tactics for action can follow from the interpretation of the results. Pattern matches and go zones can help build consensus on action.These results are being used to build a taxonomy of federal evaluation policy.

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This Project:

Brainstorming: 1003 ideas from 554 people, obtained online, pared down to a final set of 100 idea statements.

Sorting: 14 so far

Rating: 43 (Merit) and 31 (Feasibility)

Participation is OPEN UNTIL NOV. 30.

Focus Prompt: “In a comprehensive set of U.S. federal evaluation policies, one policy that should be included is …”

Contributors: Members of the American Evaluation Association, randomly selected.

Page 9: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Participants completed the sentence:

“In a comprehensive set of U.S. federal evaluation policies, one policy that should be included is …”

Researcher synthesized 1003 statements down to 100-roughly categorized statements-chose one to represent each idea group-aimed for variety and breadth in final set

Page 10: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Sorting and rating policy ideas

RATE MERIT: “For each policy idea, please indicate whether you agree or disagree

that it should be implemented.”(strongly disagree, disagree, neither, agree, strongly agree)

FEASIBILITY: “For each policy idea, please indicate whether you think it is feasible to implement.”

(very infeasible, infeasible, neither, feasible, very feasible)

SORT“Please place these evaluation policy statements in categories

according to meaning or theme, in a way that makes sense to you.”

Page 11: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

To compute concept maps

1. Create a similarity matrix from sort data. -A square symmetric matrix that shows the number who sorted each pair of statements together.

2. Do multidimensional scaling (MDS)of the similarity matrix-locates each statement as a separate point on a two-dimensional (x,y) map.

3. Do hierarchical cluster analysis of the MDS (x,y) coordinates -partitions the points on the map into groups.

Page 12: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Ideas + sorting input are aggregated Each point represents one idea

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“In a comprehensive set of U.S. federal evaluation policies, one policy that should be included is …”

Allow programs an appropriate period of time in operation before expecting them to achieve and report long-term change.

Page 13: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Similar ideas grouped closer togetherdifferent ideas father apart

(3) Require that evaluators be certifiedto perform evaluations of publicly funded programs.

(12) Establish a "better business"-type consumer protection rating system for all evaluation companies, groups, and individuals working with publicly funde evaluations.

(55) Make outcomes the primary focus of all evaluation plans.

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Page 14: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Clusters show how the ideas might be grouped based on sorters’ sense of “nearness”

1. Perspectives

2. Principles4. Methods and Design

5. Planning Evaluations

9. Funding ofProjects

8. Governance

6. Evaluator Qualifications7. Evaluation Culture

3. Definitions and Understandings

Page 15: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Feasibility ratings + sorted clusters shows relative rankings

1. Perspectives

2. Principles 4. Methods and Design

5. Planning Evaluations

9. Funding ofProjects

8. Governance

6. Evaluator Qualifications7. Evaluation Culture

3. Definitions and Understandings

Page 16: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Some ideas from most feasible clusters

Evaluation culture*Use evaluation continuously during the planning and management of federal

government policies and activities, not just at budget time.

Methods and design*Evaluations shall employ methodologies that fit with program duration, intensity,

lifecycle stage, context, available capacity, stakeholder needs.

Funding of projects*A cost analysis (benefit, effectiveness, utility, and/or feasibility) shall be

conducted for all federal programs.

Evaluator qualifications*Require that evaluators be certified in order to perform evaluations of publicly

funded programs.

Page 17: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Merit ratings + sorted clustersshows relative rankings

1. Perspectives

2. Principles 4. Methods and Design

5. Planning Evaluations

9. Funding ofProjects

8. Governance

6. Evaluator Qualifications7. Evaluation Culture

3. Definitions and Understandings

Page 18: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Some ideas from the Principles cluster

• Evaluate to learn not just what is happening but why.

• The perspectives of diverse stakeholders shall be considered and included in evaluation design, implementation, analysis and reporting.

• All evaluations shall be informed by the most current knowledge about evaluation theory and practice.

Page 19: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Some new ways to frame evaluation policy?

1. Importance of Perspectives2. Principles3. Definitions and understandings4. Methods and design5. Evaluation planning6. Evaluator qualifications7. Evaluation culture8. Governance9. Funding of projects

Page 20: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Relative cluster rankingsMerit and Feasibility

Merit Feasibility

4.08

3.42

3.62

3.08

Planning EvaluationsFunding of Projects

GovernancePlanning Evaluations

PrinciplesEvaluator Qualifications

Definitions and UnderstandingsGovernance

BiasBias

Funding of ProjectsDefinitions and Understandings

Methods and DesignPrinciples

Evaluator QualificationsMethods and Design

Evaluation CultureEvaluation Culture

Page 21: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Bringing Merit and Feasibility together

less merit more merit

less feasible

more feasible

3.671.3 4.61.48

4.13

Merit

Feas

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Page 22: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Top 10 “go zone” ideas

Creating the conditions for good evaluation:1.Shared understandings of program goals and mechanisms shall be re-assessed periodically.71. Allow programs an appropriate period of time in operation before expecting them to achieve and report long-term,

sustainable change.97. Provide technical assistance to foster evaluation capacity building within organizations and agencies.87. Evaluators reporting evidence of coercion through the exercise of power, influence, or resources shall be protected

under Federal Whistle Blowers Laws.

How to do good evaluation:16. Evaluations shall use many different ways to examine a question, including quantitative and qualitative, broad and

narrow, shallow and deep39. Evaluations shall employ methods and procedures that fit the focus of the evaluation.42. Evaluations shall employ measures that are reliable and valid for the respondents.73. Evaluation findings shall explicitly address threats to validity.91. Every evaluation plan shall indicate how the results are to be used and communicated.61. Evaluators must adhere to American Evaluation Association (AEA) Guiding Principles for Evaluators on systematic

inquiry, competence, integrity/honesty, respect for people, and responsibilities for general and public welfare.

Page 23: Federal Evaluation Policy - Cornell University · • How AEA members rated policy ideas. Evaluation policy—a recent example “To …strengthen program evaluation, OMB will launch

Thank you!

For more information about the member-driven taxonomy project,please contact me at:

[email protected]