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Page | 1 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2 nd 2013 FRIGOGLASS INVESTMENT SUMMARY Growth: 9.8% 5Y CAGR in sales, focused in high economic growth regions (Asia, Africa, North America) Profitability: historic record of profitability, forecast to double EPS in the next 24 months Leverage: recent debt placement has increased gearing, this offers a potential leveraged return Cash: working capital has substantially increased, management focused on increasing FCF Volality: standard deviation of sales is low, earnings deviation could be improved Solvency: company should have little trouble servicing their debt and investing in the expansion of their business Valuaon: firm is trading at a 100% discount to Enterprise Value and 48% discount to annualised sales Compeon: firm has the leading market share in the ICM industry across three continents 2 nd November, 2013 BUY 12 month target price EUR 8.40 ATH:FRIGO - Frigoglass SA Greece Industrials Consumer discretionary ICM Merchants Key Statistics Price (€) 5.65 Market Cap (€ Million) 298.495 Shares Outstanding (Million) 50.59 P/E 0 P/B 1.72 P/S 0.52 Growth Rates Annual Rates (per share) 10 yrs 5 yrs TTM Revenue Growth (%) 4.4 9.8 -4.8 EBITDA Growth (%) - 4.7 -24.9 Free Cash Flow Growth (%) - - -80 Book Value Growth (%) 0.1 7.9 -12.5 FRIGOGLASS

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Page 1: FRIGOGLASS - · PDF fileFRIGOGLASS Page | 1 ... of ICM sales from new products. The 31 test chambers are operated ... established as the market leader in innovation and providing

FRIGOGLASS

Page | 1 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2nd 2013

FRIGOGLASS INVESTMENT SUMMARY

Growth: 9.8% 5Y CAGR in sales, focused in high economic growth regions (Asia, Africa, North America)

Profitability: historic record of profitability, forecast to double EPS in the next 24 months

Leverage: recent debt placement has increased gearing, this offers a potential leveraged return

Cash: working capital has substantially increased, management focused on increasing FCF

Volatility: standard deviation of sales is low, earnings deviation could be improved

Solvency: company should have little trouble servicing their debt and investing in the expansion of their business

Valuation: firm is trading at a 100% discount to Enterprise Value and 48% discount to annualised sales

Competition: firm has the leading market share in the ICM industry across three continents

2nd November, 2013

BUY

12 month target price EUR 8.40

ATH:FRIGO - Frigoglass SA

Greece Industrials Consumer

discretionary ICM

Merchants

Key Statistics

Price (€) 5.65

Market Cap (€ Million) 298.495

Shares Outstanding (Million) 50.59

P/E 0

P/B 1.72

P/S 0.52

Growth Rates

Annual Rates (per share) 10 yrs 5 yrs TTM

Revenue Growth (%) 4.4 9.8 -4.8

EBITDA Growth (%) - 4.7 -24.9

Free Cash Flow Growth (%) - - -80

Book Value Growth (%) 0.1 7.9 -12.5

FRIGOGLASS

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Page | 2 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2nd 2013

OUTLINE OF BUSINESS

Frigoglass is a strategic partner to beverage brands throughout the world. They are the global leader in the Ice Cold Merchandisers (ICM)

market and the principal supplier of glass packaging in the high growth markets of West Africa. The company was founded in 1996 and is

headquartered in Athens, Greece, currently employing 6,335 staff as of June 2013.

The business is concentrated into three operational units:

ICM Europe & North America Business Unit

Focuses on delivering efficiency and innovation as well as on developing the service business.

ICM Asia & Africa/Middle East Business Unit

Focuses on driving revenue and expanding market share while improving margins.

Glass Business Unit

Aims at capturing the large and rapidly growing Nigerian market and building a stronger market position throughout the Middle East and Africa

Customer base:

Coca-Cola Company Bottlers (Coca-Cola Hellenic, Coca-Cola Enterprises, BIG, Coca-Cola Amatil, Coca-Cola Sabco)

Brewers (Heineken, SABMiller, Carlsberg, ABInbev, Efes)

Pepsi and Dairy companies (Nestle, Danone)

Source: company filings

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COMPETITIVE STRENGTHS

+ + +

Global leader in the ICM market

Geographic diversification with an ICM presence or Glass operations in 19 countries across 5 continents

Competitive Cost Structure

Manufacturing in low cost countries with 10 plants, with the ability to leverage economies of scale and access in a global supplier

base.

Innovation

Frigoglass operates five R&D centers (Greece, Turkey, India, China, USA) and targets 20% investment of ICM sales from new products.

The 31 test chambers are operated across the five R&D global centers.

During 2010, 45 new products were delivered and with 10% of annual operating profits invested on innovation and new product development.

This strategy has seen the company established as the market leader in innovation and providing solutions for eco-ICM units which use

significantly less energy. The firm launched the Ecocool range in 2010, the world’s first complete range of environmentally friendlier ICMs

Studies have shown Ecocool coolers consume up to 50% less energy than equivalent units produced a decade ago.

COMPETITION

Porter’s Five Forces Analysis

Concentrated

presence in high

growth regions

Global leader in

ICM market

Long-standing

supply contracts Innovation

THREAT OF ENTRY

High barriers to entry

Economies of scale make it difficult to establish new firms

#

INDUSTRY RIVALRY • Competitive rivalry is medium • Possible future competition

from large cooling firms • Currently a concentrated

market

BUYER POWER • Low bargaining power • Supply chain efficiency improves margins and

reduces costs

THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES • Medium substitution threat • Innovation in production, design customization

and energy saving technology • Product differentiation is difficult

#

SUPPLIER POWER • Medium supplier power • Synergies exist with suppliers • Long-standing contracts in place

#

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Page | 4 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2nd 2013

INDUSTRY

The ICM industry has proven extremely resilient over the last ten years, with 8 of the last 10 years showing sales growth. The ICM segment has had a CAGR of 6.40% over the ten year period 2002-2012. The company has stated that growth of revenue in Asia, Africa and North America will be a key driver of increased future net income and margin expansion.

Major suppliers are responding towards the phase out of HCFCs by providing a wide range of alternative refrigerants and maintaining their supply globally.

The global commercial refrigeration equipment market accounted for USD 29.1 billion in sales through 2012 and is expected to reach USD 46.6 billion in 2018, growing at a CAGR of c.8.2% from 2012 to 2018.

Asia Pacific leads the commercial refrigeration equipment market in terms of revenue with 34.1% market share, followed by the North America. Asia-Pacific, with its thriving economies and rapidly expanding manufacturing bases, is expected to experience the highest ICM consumption during the next five years.

Key participants in the global cooling market include France based Arkema SA, Japan based Daikin Industries Ltd., E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co (U.S.), Honeywell International (U.S.), Mexico based Mexichem Fluor S.A. de C.V., and Belgium based Solvay SA. China based Dongyue Group and India based Navin Fluorine International Ltd.

Industry is growing Aligned with business cycle and economy Medium product lifecycle Average turnover of inventory Some brand loyalty Average customer switching costs Concentrated industry, consolidation is a growing

trend Minimal government regulation/protection

Source: company filings/Worldbank

CORPORATE PROFILE

Company is in the growth/shakeout phase of

business cycle Average capital expenditure plans Limited history of labour relation disputes Experienced management structure (27 years

average relevant experience)

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Page | 5 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2nd 2013

VALUATION: CAPITAL STRUCTURE

Frigoglass estimates that its annual interest expense and debt amortization will be c.€26.5mln annually, depending on interest rate fluctuations. In addition to €250mln in new debt, the company will have access to a €50mln revolving credit facility, which at the time of this writing the company does not plan to draw upon. Total short-term and long-term interest bearing debt is €325mln.

8.90% senior unsecured bonds € 245.76

Term loan facility, with an interest rate of 4.50% € 72.58

Bank loans € 8.82

Total Debt € 325.01

Net Debt € 257.31

Source: company filings/analyst own estimates

Frigoglass has an estimated cash-to-debt ratio of 0.27 and equity-to-debt of 0.25

Solvency Ratios Numerator Denominator Ratio 12 month change

Debt-to-assets 325 672.58 0.55 19.5%

Debt-to-Equity 325 168.94 2.24 13%

Gearing 305.39 413.31 73.88% 47%

Interest Coverage 29.06 7.59 3.82 (20%)

Source: company filings/analyst own estimates

From this analysis it is clear that Frigoglass has a leveraged structure. With regard to its debt, the company has a modest interest coverage, as a going concern the company will be able to operate and successfully negotiated the 2008 global economic crisis, however since that period overall indebtedness has doubled, which could prove a long-term concern. On a positive note the firm enjoys strong relations with Coca-Cola Hellenic and Truad Verwaltungs A.G., both entities capable of providing financial assistance should the debt load prove unsustainable.

Liquidity Ratios Numerator Denominator Ratio 12 month change

Current Ratio 400.2 215.48 1.86 86%

Quick Ratio 268.4 215.48 1.26 147%

Cash Ratio 67.7 215.48 0.31 72%

Cash conversion cycle 69.63 (2.9%)

Source: company filings/analyst own estimates

Working capital Frigoglass currently has €185mln in working capital, a substantial improvement from a quarter ago due to the placement of long-term debt. Financial stability using the Altman Z-score Altman Z-Score is calculated with this formula: Z = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 1.0X5 = (1.2 x 0.27) + (1.4 x 0.16) + (3.3 x 0.04) + (0.6 x 0.33) + (1 x 0.82) = 1.70 Where X1 = working capital/total assets X2 = retained earnings/total assets X3 = earnings before interest and taxes/total assets X4 = market value equity/book value of total liabilities X5 = sales/total assets A score below 1.80 is historically a sign of distress, however improvements in working capital and a 12 month 30% enhancement in the Z-Score may indicate signs of increasing solvency.

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Page | 6 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2nd 2013

OPERATIONS

Activity Ratios Numerator Denominator Ratio 12 month change

Inventory Turnover 139.66 121.49 1.1 37%

DOH 87 1.1 79.2 (30%)

Receivables Turnover 172.38 155.72 1.1 (16%)

DSO 87 1.1 79.2 17%

Payables Turnover 104.78 108.70 0.96 (8.8%)

DOP 87 0.98 88.77 (9.2%)

Source: company filings/analyst own estimates

The change in inventory turnover is empirical evidence that the managements policy of optimising their supply chain and sales efficiency is coming to fruition. Receivables and Payables are broadly in-line with the long-term average and do not offer much insight into credit control. Days of inventory on hand are indicative of effective inventory management, however if sales growth does increase above current expectations of low single-digits then the firm will need to increase its net inventory purchases.

5Y Sales Growth

5Y EBIT Growth EBIT Margin ROA ROE 5Y AVE ROE CASH RATIO

Sales volatility EBIT volatility

9.8% 4.7% 5.9% 3.6% 14.8% 9.9% 0.10 37% 37%

Source: company filings/analyst own estimates

Free cash flow has improved by 25% since 2009 and remains a key goal of the firm’s new CEO.

Source: Company filings/analyst own model **see appendix for details

Frigoglass is currently under analyst coverage at seven Greek financial institutions, their forecasts as follows: - FY2013 revenue 591.85m (H 605.71m / L 570.07m) FY2013 EPS 0.2033 (H 0.25 / L 0.15) - FY2014 revenue 633.33m (H 645.61m / L 617.46m) FY2014 EPS 0.42 (H 0.49 / L 0.38)

€m 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F

y/e, 31 Dec FY FY FY FY

Net Sales Revenue 581.25 595.00 650.50 693.13

Gross Profit 99.90 115.00 122.50 138.73

EBITDA 67.80 55.00 61.60 76.92

Operating Profit 34.03 28.00 34.60 49.92

Net Income -14.96 6.62 11.08 21.43

EPS

Basic 0.13 0.22 0.42

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VALUATION: DCF

-€ 0.99

Frigoglass (FRIGO GA)

Unit: € Million 31/10/2013

2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 TTM 2012 2011 2010 2009

Assumption

Revenue growth (%) 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% NA 4.7% 21.4% 31.9% NA

Gross margin (%) 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 17% 17% 20% 23% 21%

SG&A and R&D (%) 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 13% 13%

Tax rate (%) 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 26.0% 29.9% 29.7% 27.0% 25.1%

PP&E to revenue ratio 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 38.8% 38.5% 39.5% 37.1% 46.4%

Net working capital to revenue ratio 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 33.2% -8.3% 7.4% 0.4% 7.3%

Growth (%) in Goodwill+Intangibles 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% NA 1.1% -9.7% -12.7% NA

Income Statement

Revenue 746 721 696 669 644 619 589 556.04 581.25 555.21 457.22 346.66

Gross Profit 112 108 104 100 97 93 88 91.94 99.90 113.55 106.78 73.04

Operating Income 37 36 35 33 32 31 29 29.06 34.03 53.17 49.28 29.39

Operating Margin 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 10% 11% 8%

Income Before Tax -11.75 -6.03 35.02 34.89 16.89

Cash Taxes Paid 7.38 7.83 10.40 9.43 4.24

NOPAT 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 22 78 37 36 22

ROIC (return on invested capital) 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.1% 4.7% 33.3% 11.9% 16.4% 9.5%

Balance Sheet

PPE (net of depreciations) 298 288 278 268 257 248 236 215.69 223.94 219.39 169.82 160.95

Net Working Capital 75 72 70 67 64 62 59 184.77 -48.35 41.17 1.78 25.38

Goodwill+Intangibles 65 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 59.63 53.86 47.00 44.38

Invested Capital (IC) 438 425 412 398 384 371 355 459 235 314 219 231

IC to revenue ratio 58.8% 59.0% 59.2% 59.4% 59.7% 59.9% 60.2% 82.6% 40.5% 56.6% 47.8% 66.6% Goodwill+Intangibles to revenue ratio 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 9.7% 9.9% 10.2% 10.6% 10.3% 9.7% 10.3% 12.8%

Risk

WACC 12.83% 12.83% 12.83% 12.83% 12.83% 12.83% 12.83%

Discount factor 0.46 0.51 0.58 0.66 0.74 0.83 0.94 1.00

Cash Flow Statement

Increase (Decrease) in IC 13 13 14 14 13 16 -105 224 -79 96 -12 NA

Free Cash Flow (FCF) 14 14 11 11 11 7 126 -203 157 -58 48 NA

NPV of FCF 7 7 7 7 8 6 119

Capital Structure

Net Debt (Cash) 49 63 77 89 100 110 117 244

Intrinsic equity value -76 -72 -68 -64 -60 -57 -53 -50

Net Debt (Cash) to Equity Ratio -64% -88% -114% -139% -166% -195% -220% -486%

DCF Valuation Target Price Sensitivity Analysis - WACC (row) and terminal growth rate (column)

Forecast Period NPV €160 -1.0 5.50% 6.00% 6.50% 7.00% 7.50% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% 11.00%

Terminal Value (after 7th year) €69 1.75% 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 -0.1 -0.4

Terminal FCF €15 2.00% 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 -0.2 -0.4

Terminal WACC 12.8% 2.25% 2.7 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 -0.2 -0.5

Terminal growth rate 3.0% 2.50% 2.8 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 -0.3 -0.5

Enterprise Value (EV) €229 2.75% 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 -0.1 -0.4 -0.6

Intrinsic Equity Value -$50 3.25% 3.2 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 -0.2 -0.5 -0.8

3.50% 3.4 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 -0.3 -0.6 -0.8

WACC 12.8% 3.75% 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 -0.4 -0.7 -0.9

Tax rate 26% 4.00% 3.9 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 -0.5 -0.8 -1.0

Cost of Equity 13.95% 4.25% 4.4 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 -0.1 -0.6 -0.9 -1.1

After-Tax Cost of Debt 5.43% Source: company filings/analyst estimates

Size Premium 4.00%

Equity% 40%

Debt% 60%

Other Info

Market cap €297.48

Non-operating cash and investment €81.50

Debt €325 Common shares outstanding (diluted) 50.592

Interest Expenses 22

Risk Free Rate 5.0%

Market Equity Premium 8.0%

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Page | 8 – Frigoglass security analysis, November 2nd 2013

VALUATION: RATIO ANALYSIS

Frigoglass FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 2013E ** 2014E **

P/E (ttm) 18.80x 8.36x - 43.46x 25.68x

P/S 0.83x 0.29x 0.44x - -

EV / EBITDA 7.37x 5.14x 7.03x 8.60x 8.92x

RoE 17.70% 11.70% (9.90%) 14.80% -

RoC 53.80% 30.80% 34.50% 22.00% -

Gross Margin 23.40% 20.50% 17.20% 19.00% -

Operating Margin 10.80% 9.60% 5.90% 10.60% -

Source: company filings/analyst own estimates

Frigoglass has historically had a long-run ROE of c.10%. EV/EBITDA is a more suitable metric for valuation comparison due to the complex capital structure of the firm. Of Concern is the 3y decline in both gross and operating margin, this is a key focus for management in improving the performance of the firm and whether they can successfully implement proposed measures to improve margin efficiency.

SUMMARY

Source: company filings/analyst estimates** ratios based on latest results Q2 2013

STRENGTHS

Position: demographic presence set to benefit from growth in Asian, African and North American operations

Product: industry leading product which meets client demands for energy efficient beverage cooling

Supply chain: industry leading supply chain and long-standing supply agreements with principal global beverage producers

Sales: the firm was relatively robust in the face of the 2008 economic crisis, partly due to the inelastic market for beverages

WEAKNESSES

Margins: operating margins have compressed over the last three years, reducing net income

Solvency: company has significantly increased their debt load

Volatility: operating and net income have both been volatile in company results

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RISKS

Frigoglass is well placed and has structures in place to mitigate risks. Some of the most prominent potential risks highlighted by company management include:

Significant exposure to raw material price changes Foreign currency risk due to diverse global market presence, natural hedging is used to mitigate the risk but the potential for

profit/loss on FX derivative hedging remains and has historically impacted comprehensive earnings. Concentrated client dependency, particularly with Coca-Cola Hellenic and Coca-Cola Enterprise, risks are mitigated through long-

standing contracts with a recent renewal in place until the end of 2018. Business exposed to economic cycles and the changes in global demand for products Successful integration of strategic acquisitions in SFA, Turkey, Universal Nolin, USA and Jebel Ali Glass, UAE.

CONTACT INFORMATION

JAMES OSBISTON, EQUITY ANALYST

+44 7809 368194

[email protected]

uk.linkedin.com/in/jamesosbiston/

DISCLAIMER/DISCLOSURE Content is for informational and educational purposes only. Investors will need to evaluate the merits and risks associated with the use of this content. Decisions based on information provided are your sole responsibility, and before making any decision on the basis of this information, you should consider (with or without the assistance of a financial and/or securities adviser) whether the information is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the suitability of investing in any securities or following any investment strategies. No reference to any specific security constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that security or any other security. Nothing constitutes investment advice or offers any opinion with respect to the suitability of any security, and the views expressed in this work should not be taken as advice to buy, sell or hold any security. In preparing the information contained, we have not taken into account the investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances of any particular investor. This information has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific recipient of this information and investments discussed may not be suitable for all investors. Every effort has been made to ensure the work is correct, accurate, diligent, however no responsibility will be assumed for any errors or discrepancies in the content or from sourced information used in the content. The analyst currently holds no position in Frigoglass, however they may purchase shares and/or options within the next three months.

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APPENDIX

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FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Earnings Model

Assumptions

Revenue Assumptions

ICM EU + North America Revenues

East Europe

165m at end of FYE 2013 35% contribution to sales Increase of 10% in FY2014 30% contribution after FY2015 Increase of 7% in FY2015

Increase of 5% thereafter

West Europe

75m at end of FYE 2013

Increase of 2% in FY2014 15% contribution to sales Increase of 2% in FY2015 10% contribution after FY2015 Increase of 2% thereafter

20m at end of FYE 2013

Increase of 2% in FY2014

North America Increase of 15% in FY2014 4% contribution to sales Increase of 8% thereafter 8% contribution after FY2015

ICM Asis & Africa Middle East Revenues

Asia-Pacific

110m at end of FYE 2013

Increase of 10% in FY2014 29% contribution to sales Increase of 7% in FY2015 32% contribution after FY2015 Increase of 5% thereafter

Africa-ME

105m at end of FYE 2013 17% contribution to sales Increase of 10% in FY2014 20% contribution after FY2015 Increase of 7% in FY2015

Increase of 5% thereafter

Glass

Asia-Pacific 20m at end of FYE 2013 17% contribution to sales Increase of 15% in FY2014 25% contribution after FY2015 Increase of 10% in FY2015

Increase of 5% thereafter

Africa-ME

100m at end of FYE 2013 83% contribution to sales Increase of 10% in FY2014 75% contribution after FY2015 Increase of 7% in FY2015

Increase of 5% thereafter

Gross Cost Assumptions

Cost of Goods Sold £480m per year through to Q3 2013, 10% increase thereafter

SG&A Assumptions

Marketing £15m annually throughout forecast period

Staff £45m in FY2013 rising by 3% annually

Depreciation & Amortisation Assumptions

Depreciation & Amortisation £27m annually

Tax Assumptions

Corporate tax Corporate tax at 32.44%

Tax losses carried forward

Cash Flow Assumptions

Receivables All payments charged equally each year though the P&L

Capital Expenditure £25m per year

Working Capital £20m in flow in Q1 and Q3, £20m out flow in Q2 and Q4

Neutral on an annual basis

Balance Sheet Assumptions

Bank Notes 8.90% cash pay notes, redeemable in 2018

Bank Debt 4.50% (LIBOR + 2.00% cash interest)

Revolver 6.27% (LIBOR + 2.50% cash interest)

Cash 3% (Interest on cash balances at LIBOR + 0.5%)

Dividends Zero payable over forecast Period

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Segment Sales

£m 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F

y/e, 31 Dec FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY

ICM

East Europe Sales 165.00 181.50 194.21 203.92 214.11 224.82 236.06 247.86 260.25 273.27

West Europe Sales 75.00 76.50 78.03 79.59 81.18 82.81 84.46 86.15 87.87 89.63

North Africa Sales 20.00 23.00 24.84 26.83 28.97 31.29 33.79 36.50 39.42 42.57

Asia-Pacific Sales 110.00 121.00 129.47 135.94 142.74 149.88 157.37 165.24 173.50 182.18

Africa-ME Sales 105.00 115.50 123.59 129.76 136.25 143.07 150.22 157.73 165.62 173.90

Glass Asia-Pacific Sales 20.00 23.00 25.30 27.07 28.97 30.99 33.16 35.48 37.97 40.63

Africa-ME Sales 100.00 110.00 117.70 123.59 129.76 136.25 143.07 150.22 157.73 165.62

Total Sales 595.00 650.50 693.13 726.70 761.99 799.10 838.13 879.18 922.36 967.79

Income Statement

€m 2012 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F

y/e, 31 Dec Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY

Net Sales Revenue 159.12 179.09 100.69 142.36 581.25 595.00 650.50 693.13 726.70 761.99 799.10 838.13 879.18 922.36 967.79

Cost of Goods Sold 127.11 142.88 88.81 122.55 481.35 480.00 528.00 554.40 582.12 611.23 641.79 673.88 707.57 742.95 780.10

Gross Profit 32.01 36.21 11.88 19.81 99.90 115.00 122.50 138.73 144.58 150.76 157.32 164.26 171.61 179.41 187.69

SG&A 15.03 16.70 14.09 18.00 63.81 60.00 60.90 61.81 62.74 63.68 64.64 65.61 66.59 67.59 68.60

EBITDA 24.33 27.16 4.89 11.43 67.80 55.00 61.60 76.92 81.84 87.08 92.68 98.65 105.02 111.82 119.09

Depreciation 7.77 8.56 8.48 8.95 33.77 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00 27.00

Operating Profit 16.56 18.59 -3.60 2.48 34.03 28.00 34.60 49.92 54.84 60.08 65.68 71.65 78.02 84.82 92.09

Interest Expense - - - - - 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20 18.20

EBT 10.65 12.76 -11.18 -18.25 -6.03 9.80 16.40 31.72 36.64 41.88 47.48 53.45 59.82 66.62 73.89

Income Tax Expense -2.58 -3.61 0.88 -2.53 -7.83 3.18 5.32 10.29 11.88 13.59 15.40 17.34 19.41 21.61 23.97

Net Income 7.76 8.66 -10.38 -21.00 -14.96 6.62 11.08 21.43 24.75 28.30 32.08 36.11 40.42 45.01 49.92

EPS

Basic 0.13 0.22 0.42 0.47 0.54 0.60 0.67 0.75 0.82 0.90