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HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE 1 , ZEYNEP CEREN CANKAYA 2 , AHMET CEVDET YALCINER 1 , MEHMET LÜTFI SUZEN 2 , ANDREY ZAYTSEV 3, 4 1. METU, Department of Civil Engineering, Ocean Engineering Research Center, 06800, Ankara, Turkey, [email protected], [email protected] 2. METU, Department of Geological Engineering, Remote Sensing And Geographical Information Systems Laboratory, 06800, Ankara, Turkey, [email protected], [email protected] 3. Special Research Bureau for Automation of Marine Researches, Russian Academy of Sciences, 693013, Sakhalinsk, Russia, [email protected] 4. Nizhny Novgorod, 24 Minin Street, Nizhny Novgorod State Techniсal University, Russia INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTING APPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

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Page 1: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND

APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA

BETUL AYTORE 1, ZEYNEP CEREN CANKAYA 2, AHMET CEVDET YALCINER 1, MEHMET LÜTFI SUZEN 2, ANDREY ZAYTSEV 3, 4

1 . M E T U , D e p a r t m e n t o f C i v i l E n g i n e e r i n g , O c e a n E n g i n e e r i n g R e s e a r c h C e n t e r, 0 6 8 0 0 , A n k a r a , Tu r ke y, b e t u l a y t o r e @ g m a i l . c o m , y a l c i n e r @ m e t u . e d u . t r

2 . M E T U , D e p a r t m e n t o f G e o l o g i c a l E n g i n e e r i n g , R e m o t e S e n s i n g A n d G e o g r a p h i c a l I n fo r m a t i o n S y s t e m s L a b o r a t o r y, 0 6 8 0 0 , A n k a r a , Tu r ke y, c a n k a y a c e r e n @ g m a i l . c o m , s u z e n @ m e t u . e d u . t r

3 . S p e c i a l R e s e a r c h B u r e a u fo r A u t o m a t i o n o f M a r i n e R e s e a r c h e s , R u s s i a n A c a d e m y o f S c i e n c e s , 6 9 3 0 1 3 , S a k h a l i n s k , R u s s i a , a i z a y t s e v @ m a i l . r u

4 . N i z h n y N o v g o r o d , 2 4 M i n i n S t r e e t , N i z h n y N o v g o r o d S t a t e Te c h n i сa l U n i v e r s i t y, R u s s i a

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTING APPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Page 2: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA

The vulnerable nature of ports requires detailed assessment, serious preparedness and strong mitigation strategies for significant reduction of the loss of life and property.

High resolution data processing and tsunami assessment for ports is very substantial solution to achieve these objectives.

High resolution data processing and tsunami assessment for ports is performed by using tsunami simulation and visualization code NAMIDANCE to two different ports in the Sea of Marmara.

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTING APPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Page 3: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Yenikapi Port Haydarpasa Port

the Sea of Marmara

When it comes to tsunami hazard and tsunami hazard assessment, there are several critical structures in the Sea of Marmara. Two of them are Haydarpasa and Yenikapi Ports.

Both ports are located in Istanbul at the Southern entrance to the Bosphorus. The ports serve the hinterland which is the most industrialized area of Turkey.

Especially, Haydarpasa Port has a great importance due to being a gateway to the biggest container port in the Marmara Region.

Page 4: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

DATA PROCESSING – Haydarpasa Port

Bathymetric and Shoreline Data

The bathymetric data is acquired from General Bathymetric Chart of the Oceans (GEBCO) of the British Oceanographic Data Centre.

Nevertheless, the dataset obtained from Navigation Charts is added to improve bathymetric data in high-resolution maps since GEBCO is insufficient in shallow water regions, especially inside the port areas due to its resolution.

The cross-section of breakwaters of Haydarpasa Port are also acquired from the original plots of design stage of the ports.

Besides, images from Google Earth are used to define a better shoreline and location of the breakwaters in the chosen domains.

Topographic Data

The topographical data purchased from Directorate of Cartography underneath of Department of Housing and Urban Development of Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality (IMM) to be able to create higher resolution topographic models.

In general, the purchased data from IMM has two parts: one is the raster data of digital elevation models that covers all districts in Istanbul and second is different vector data (points, lines and polygons) related to all type of structures in all districts in Istanbul.

Page 5: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

For higher resolution numerical modeling, data set are obtained from Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality. This data set includes:

Digital Elevation Maps for all regions in Istanbul (for both in European and Anatolian Sites)

USKUDAR

KADIKOY

Example Study:

DEMs for two different regions in Istanbul where Domain D is in:

Uskudar and Kadikoy

Example Study:

Obtained contour map with 5 meters interval by using DEMs for Uskudar (on top) and Kadikoy (at the bottom)

DATA PROCESSING – Haydarpasa Port

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Page 6: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

Elevation and coordinates of all structures (as polygons, lines and points) for all regions in Istanbul (for both in European and Anatolian Sites)

Example Study:

Representing all polygon features in Kadikoy and Uskudar such as schools, public buildings, religious buildings, factories, load carrying platfoms, factory chimneys, greenhouses, pools, closed bus stops etc.

Example Study:

Representing all line features in Kadikoy and Uskudar such as roads, bicycle roads, passenger ways, rocky, walls etc.

DATA PROCESSING – Haydarpasa Port

For higher resolution numerical modeling, data set are obtained from Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality. This data set includes:

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Page 7: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

Example Study:

For a better view of given data, representing all structures (polygons and lines) in Domain D by using UTM coordinates.

DATA PROCESSING – Haydarpasa Port

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Page 8: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

CREATED BATHYMETRIC AND TOPOGRAPHIC MAPS – Haydarpasa Port

Domain Name Grid Size (m) Coordinates of the

Domains

C 3 40.98° – 41.0165° N

28.973° – 29.030° E

D 1 40.987° – 41.015° N

28.995° – 29.025° E

Details of Domain D

Page 9: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

When the results of six different tsunami scenario simulations, namely Prince’s Islands (PI), Prince’s Islands Normal (PIN), Ganos Fault (GA), Yalova Fault Normal (YAN), Central Marmara Fault Normal (CMN), and Prince’s Island and Ganos Fault (PI+GA) from previous studies were compared, it is found that the tsunami generated by the sources PI, PIN and YAN cause higher water level, flow depth and stronger current velocities near the port of Haydarpasa.

When these three sources are carefully investigated, the scenario YAN is found as the most critical one for the port(OYO Int. Co., 2007; Ayca, 2012):

DETERMINATION OF POSSIBLE TSUNAMI SOURCE– Haydarpasa Port

Lon.

(°)

Lat.

(°)

Depth

(m)

Strike

(°)

Dip

(°)

Rake

(°)

Length

(m)

Width

(m)

Vertical Disp.

(m)

YAN

29.47103 40.72115 1978 257.96 70 195 7058 17027 5

29.38946 40.70850 1960 261.14 70 195 6873 17027 5

29.30920 40.69851 1823 260.98 70 195 10952 17027 5

29.18143 40.68121 1681 262.35 70 270 4448 17027 5

29.12936 40.67650 1557 273.96 70 270 4562 17027 5

29.07651 40.67891 1252 283.78 70 270 10021 17027 5

28.96007 40.69843 1219 294.84 70 270 3154 17027 5

28.96202 40.71005 1178 284.90 70 270 14043 17027 5

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INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

TSUNAMI ANALYSIS RESULTS – Haydarpasa Port

Distributions of maximum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain B (m)

Distributions of minimum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain B (m)

Arrival time distributions of first wave along shoreline in Domain B (min)

Distributions of maximum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain D (m)

Distributions of maximum flow depth on landin Domain D (m)

Distributions of minimum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain D (m)

Page 11: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

CREATED MAP AND SELECTED TSUNAMI SOURCE– Yenikapi Port

Domain Name Grid Size (m) Coordinates of the

Domains

D 1 40.995° – 41.005° N

28.952° – 29.949° E

Lon.

(°)

Lat.

(°)

Depth

(m)

Strike

(°)

Dip

(°)

Rake

(°)

Length

(m)

Width

(m)

Vertical Disp.

(m)

PIN

29.12942 40.75691 744 108.15 70 270 8753 17027 5

29.06928 40.78610 740 123.15 70 270 6024 17027 5

28.99465 40.81653 779 118.85 70 270 7148 17027 5

28.90432 40.87251 1210 129.90 70 270 9834 17027 5

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INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

TSUNAMI ANALYSIS RESULTS – Yenikapi Port

Distributions of maximum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain B (m)

Distributions of minimum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain B (m)

Arrival time distributions of first wave along shoreline in Domain B (min)

Distributions of maximum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain D (m)

Distributions of maximum flow depth on landin Domain D (m)

Distributions of minimum sea surface elevation amplitude in Domain D (m)

Page 13: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

SIMULATIONS

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

Page 14: HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI … · HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA BETUL AYTORE1, ZEYNEP CEREN

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTINGAPPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.

GENERAL EVALUATION, DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

Summary of the results are obtained for each port. The computed values does not cover the possible change of water level in long term (sea level rise) and short term during the storm and surge conditions if occur during tsunami. According to these results:

• In regard to functions of the port of Haydarpasa, it is clear that, the water area inside the port will be agitated and water flow through both entrances will cause sea level rise and strong current inside the port.

• Damages and dragging of floating bodies due to strong currents and water level rise at both Haydarpasa and Yenikapi Ports should be expected.

Name of

gauge pt.

Depth of

gauge

pt.

(m)

Longitude Latitude

Arrival time

of initial

wave

(min)

Arrival

time of

max.wave

(min)

Maximum

(+)ve amp.

(m)

Maximum

(-)ve amp.

(m)

hp35 -2.6 29.0236 40.9965 21 22 3.5 0.0

hp51 13.6 29.012 41.0031 3 37 3.5 -3.6

hp55 -2.8 29.0146 41.0031 23 38 3.2 0.0

hp76 4.0 29.0096 40.9979 2 20 4.8 -2.9

p13 7.2 29.0171 40.9982 3 39 2.5 -3.2

p35 8.8 29.0094 41.0078 3 22 5.0 -5.0

p52 11.6 29.009 41.0013 3 37 2.4 -2.8

p55 5.3 29.0164 40.9966 3 38 2.6 -3.2

Example Summary Sheet of Main Tsunami Parameters at Selected Gauges for Haydarpasa Port

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THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION

HIGH RESOLUTION DATA PROCESSING AND TSUNAMI ASSESSMENT AND APPLICATIONS TO PORTS IN THE SEA OF MARMARA

B E T U L AY T O R E 1 , Z E Y N E P C E R E N C A N K AYA 2 , A H M E T C E V D E T YA L C I N E R 1 , M E H M E T L Ü T F I S U Z E N 2 , A N D R E Y Z AY T S E V 3 , 4

1 . M E T U , D e p a r t m e n t o f C i v i l E n g i n e e r i n g , O c e a n E n g i n e e r i n g R e s e a r c h C e n t e r , 0 6 8 0 0 , A n k a r a , T u r k e y , b e t u l a y t o r e @ g m a i l . c o m , y a l c i n e r @ m e t u . e d u . t r

2 . M E T U , D e p a r t m e n t o f G e o l o g i c a l E n g i n e e r i n g , R e m o t e S e n s i n g A n d G e o g r a p h i c a l I n f o r m a t i o n S y s t e m s L a b o r a t o r y , 0 6 8 0 0 , A n k a r a , T u r k e y , c a n k a y a c e r e n @ g m a i l . c o m , s u z e n @ m e t u . e d u . t r

3 . S p e c i a l R e s e a r c h B u r e a u f o r A u t o m a t i o n o f M a r i n e R e s e a r c h e s , R u s s i a n A c a d e m y o f S c i e n c e s , 6 9 3 0 1 3 , S a k h a l i n s k , R u s s i a , a i z a y t s e v @ m a i l . r u

4 . N i z h n y N o v g o r o d , 2 4 M i n i n S t r e e t , N i z h n y N o v g o r o d S t a t e T e c h n i с a l U n i v e r s i t y , R u s s i a

INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP «MEGA EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMIS IN SUBDUCTION ZONES–FORECASTING APPROACHES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HAZARD ASSESSMENT», RHODES ISL., GREECE, 6-8 OCTOBER, 2014.