housing completions are strongest in those census ......kitchener-cambridge-waterloo ottawa-gatineau...
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Fig A
Change in number of households, 2006-2011 (%)
Average annual housing completions per 1,000 population, 2006-2011
Per capita completions based on average of 2006 and 2011 census population counts.
Source: CMHC (Starts and Completions Survey) and adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Canada)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kelowna
Oshawa
Abbotsford-Mission
Windsor
Thunder Bay
St. Catharines-Niagara
London
Québec
Toronto
Moncton Trois-Rivières
Hamilton Peterborough
Sherbrooke
Brantford
Kingston Greater Sudbury/Grand Sudbury
Barrie Guelph
Victoria
Calgary
Montréal Halifax
Edmonton
Winnipeg
Saguenay
Vancouver
Saskatoon
Regina
Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo
Ottawa-Gatineau
Saint John
St. John’s
All CMAs
Canada
Trend line
Housing completions are strongest in those Census Metropolitan Areas with the fastest growth in number of households
a
Thousands of unitsAnnual growth (%)
Employment growth calculated from average monthly employment during the year. Income growth based on quarterly average during the year. Real disposable income = disposable income/consumption de�ator.
Source: CMHC (Starts and Completions Survey) and adapted from Statistics Canada (CANSIM)
Fig B
Employment (left scale)Real disposable income (left scale) Housing starts (right scale)Average housing starts (right scale)
-2-1012345678
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
50
100
150
200
250
Recovery in employment since the 2008/2009 recession, and continued growth in real disposable income are providing a solid foundation for housing activity.
Annual housing starts are at about the long-term average
b
The monthly mortgage payment is calculated using the prevailing average MLS® price and the 5-year �xed mortgage posted rate prevailing in each period, assuming a 25% down payment and 25 year amortization. The income �gure is personal disposible (after tax) income per worker.
Source: CMHC, adapted from Statistics Canada (CANSIM), unpublished data, and CREA (MLS®)
Average mortgage payment as a percentageof personal disposable income per worker
is close to its long-term average
Fig C
20
25
30
35
40
45
1990
Q1
1991
Q1
1992
Q1
1993
Q1
1994
Q1
1995
Q1
1996
Q1
1997
Q1
1998
Q1
1999
Q1
2000
Q1
2001
Q1
2002
Q1
2003
Q1
2004
Q1
2005
Q1
2006
Q1
2007
Q1
2008
Q1
2009
Q1
2010
Q1
2011
Q1
2012
Q1
Per cent
Average mortgage payment-to-income ratio
Mortgage payment-to-income ratio
c
Source: Statistics Canada (CANSIM)
Debt-service ratios are below ornear their long-term averages
Fig E
1990
Q1
1991
Q1
1992
Q1
1993
Q1
1994
Q1
1995
Q1
1996
Q1
1997
Q1
1998
Q1
1999
Q1
2000
Q1
2001
Q1
2002
Q1
2003
Q1
2004
Q1
2005
Q1
2006
Q1
2007
Q1
2008
Q1
2009
Q1
2010
Q1
2011
Q1
2012
Q1
Interest paid on debt as % of personal disposable income
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Average mortgage debt
Average consumer debtConsumer debt
Mortgage debt
e
Most mortgage holders have substantial equity in their homes1
Fig D
1 Mortgages and Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOCs) are deducted from the home values.
Source: CAAMP Con�dence in the Canadian Mortgage Market, May 2012
19%
72%
9%
<10% 10% - 24.9% ≥ 25%
d
Source: Canadian Bankers Association
The percentage of residential mortgages three months or more in arrears
has been on a decline
Fig F
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Per cent
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Average arrears rateArrears rate
f
Housing markets are supported by strong demographic, economic
and financial fundamentals
Victoria
Vancouver
498,300
779,730
Thunder Bay
Sherbrooke
Moncton Trois-Rivières
St. John’s
164,393156,919
Montréal
Winnipeg
St. Catharines-Niagara
Hamilton
Kingston
Calgary
Halifax
Kitchener-Cambridge-WaterlooGuelph
Oshawa
Barrie
158,561
251,581
215,449
241,408
333,498
223,066
260,950
237,283
314,013
261,968
287,588
312,305314,450
305,100
402,851
Brantford
Saint John
Québec
178,951
Regina
Gatineau
Saskatoon
Greater Sudbury/Grand Sudbury
Windsor
London
Edmonton
Toronto
Canada
Peterborough
Ottawa
247,138
166,008
277,473
234,268
344,791
325,595
233,731
301,232
254,605
363,116
466,352
Saguenay
229,485
MLS® is a registered trademark of the Canadian Real Estate Association.The geographic de�nitions used by CREA differ from those used by Statistics Canada.
Source: CREA (MLS®), QFREB by Centris®
MLS® average prices in Vancouver were about 5 times those in Trois-Rivières in 2011
Fig G
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$800,000
170,354
g
Thunder Bay
Sherbrooke
Moncton
Trois-Rivières
St. John’s772
547
Montréal
WinnipegSt. Catharines
-Niagara
Hamilton
Kingston
Victoria
Calgary
Halifax
Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo
Guelph
Oshawa
Vancouver
Barrie
715
771
577
875
884
833
925
792
719
965
1,001
889
941
903
1,045
1,237
1,084
Brantford
Iqaluit 2,356
Saint John
Québec
557
Regina
Gatineau
Saskatoon
Greater Sudbury/Grand Sudbury
Windsor
London
Edmonton
Toronto
Canada2
Peterborough
Ottawa
670
718
753
932
731
1,086
1,034
881
966
899
856
1,149
Saguenay
881
Abbotsford-Mission 800
Kelowna922
Yellowknife 1,566
1 In privately initiated apartment structures with at least three units.2 Based on provincial data.
Source: CMHC (Rental Market Survey)
$1,200
$2,400
$1,100
$1,000
$900
$800
$600
$500
$700
Average rents1 for a two-bedroom apartment varied widely in 2011
Fig H
Vacancy Rate: Above national averageNational average 2.9%Below national average
Whitehorse810
h
Housing costs range across markets