icewarn influence of shading and sky-view factor on poster no · poster no. 2). in cities, the...

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Poster No.10 ICEWARN – Influence of shading and sky-view factor on road temperature forecast Pavel Sedlák, Petr Pešice, Petr Zacharov, Vojtěch Bližňák, Lukáš Pop, Zbyněk Sokol Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Republic The work was supported by the project CZ.07.1.02/0.0/0.0/16_023/0000117: Forecasting of road-surface temperature and road condition on the area of Prague in winter season provided by Operational Programme Prague – Growth Pole of the Czech Republic. Road weather data was provided by Technical Administration of Roadways of the Capital of Prague and Road and Motorway Directorate of the Czech Republic. ALADIN model data was kindly provided by the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute. 1. Zacharov, P., et al., 2018, ICEWARN – Road weather forecasting for Prague city, 19th International Road Weather Conference SIRWEC 2018, Smolenice, Slovakia, May 29th – June 1st, 2018. (Poster No. 2) 2. Müller, M. D., Scherer, D., 2005, A grid- and subgrid-scale radiation parameterization of topographic effects for mesoscale weather forecast models, Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1431-1442. 3. Sokol, Z., Zacharov, P., Sedlák, P., Hošek, J., Bližňák, V., Chládová, Z., Pešice, P., Škuthan, M., 2014, First experience with the application of the METRo model in the Czech Republic, Atmos. Res., 143, 1-16. References Within the ICEWARN project, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics in Prague and the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute have developed and currently run the FORTE (FOrecast of Road TEmperature and condition) road weather model for the city of Prague (Zacharov et al., 2018, Poster No. 2). In cities, the impact of obstacles on the modification of radiation fluxes, and consequently on the road temperature, is of a particular importance. The modification includes shading the direct shortwave radiation and the sky view restriction. This contribution presents our first experience with testing a parametrization of these effects in the FORTE model. 1. Motivation Road weather stations selected for comparison Acknowledgement Fig. 1. Detailed map with the positions of the non-shaded RWS A906 and the RWS A918 with shading effects. Both stations are located on a bridge between 2 tunnels. Above: View of RWS A918 and southern tunnel entry (23 th June). Source: www.mapy.cz Fig. 2. Scatterplot of the road surface temperature measured at RWS A918 (vertical axis) and A906 (horizontal axis) in the period 1 st January - 31 nd March 2018. We prepared a detailed pre-calculated dataset where for individual points along the road, sky-view factors are stored as well as zenith angles of the upper edge of obstacles in a fine azimuthal resolution. In the computation of modified radiation fluxes in the FORTE model, at each time step the decision whether shading of the direct shortwave radiation occurs is based on a comparison of the Sun zenith angle with the stored obstacle information for the corresponding azimuth. For the sky-view effect on the longwave and the diffuse shortwave radiation, we adopted a simple parametrization according to Müller and Scherer (2005). Model results are evaluated against the road temperature measurements. 13th February 2018 RWS A906 – non-shaded RWS A918 – without shading 21st March 2018 RWS A906 – non-shaded RWS A918 – without shading significant sensitivity on shading in the FORTE model RWS A918 often colder than A906 2. Methods 3. Measured data 4. Comparison of model results with measurements 5. Conclusions Detailed fine resolution data on obstacles that modify radiation fluxes are necessary for successful road surface temperature prediction at locations with shading effects in cities. This effect was proven on two selected events. Positive impact of starting the model run every hour in the nowcasting mode (Sokol et al., 2014) is apparent when the curve of temperature prediction issued at a certain hour is compared with the prediction curve generated earlier. measured surface temperature hourly issued forecasts of surface temperature RWS A918 – with shading RWS A918 – with shading

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Page 1: ICEWARN Influence of shading and sky-view factor on Poster No · Poster No. 2). In cities, the impact of obstacles on the modification of radiation fluxes, and consequently on the

Poster No.10ICEWARN – Influence of shading and sky-view factor on road temperature forecastPavel Sedlák, Petr Pešice, Petr Zacharov, Vojtěch Bližňák, Lukáš Pop, Zbyněk Sokol

Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, Czech Republic

The work was supported by the project CZ.07.1.02/0.0/0.0/16_023/0000117: Forecasting of road-surface temperature androad condition on the area of Prague in winter season provided by Operational Programme Prague – Growth Pole of the CzechRepublic.Road weather data was provided by Technical Administration of Roadways of the Capital of Prague and Road and MotorwayDirectorate of the Czech Republic. ALADIN model data was kindly provided by the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute.

1. Zacharov, P., et al., 2018, ICEWARN – Road weather forecasting for Prague city, 19th International Road Weather ConferenceSIRWEC 2018, Smolenice, Slovakia, May 29th – June 1st, 2018. (Poster No. 2)2. Müller, M. D., Scherer, D., 2005, A grid- and subgrid-scale radiation parameterization of topographic effects for mesoscaleweather forecast models, Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 1431-1442.3. Sokol, Z., Zacharov, P., Sedlák, P., Hošek, J., Bližňák, V., Chládová, Z., Pešice, P., Škuthan, M., 2014, First experience with theapplication of the METRo model in the Czech Republic, Atmos. Res., 143, 1-16.

References

Within the ICEWARN project, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics in Prague and the CzechHydrometeorological Institute have developed and currently run the FORTE (FOrecast of RoadTEmperature and condition) road weather model for the city of Prague (Zacharov et al., 2018,Poster No. 2). In cities, the impact of obstacles on the modification of radiation fluxes, andconsequently on the road temperature, is of a particular importance. The modification includesshading the direct shortwave radiation and the sky view restriction. This contribution presents ourfirst experience with testing a parametrization of these effects in the FORTE model.

1. Motivation

Road weather stations selected for comparison

Acknowledgement

Fig. 1. Detailed map with the positions of the non-shaded RWS A906 and the RWS A918

with shading effects. Both stations are located on a bridge between 2 tunnels.

Above: View of RWS A918 and southern tunnel entry (23th June).

Source: www.mapy.cz

Fig. 2. Scatterplot of the road surface temperature measured at RWS A918 (vertical axis)

and A906 (horizontal axis) in the period 1st January - 31nd March 2018.

We prepared a detailed pre-calculated dataset where for individual points along the road, sky-view factorsare stored as well as zenith angles of the upper edge of obstacles in a fine azimuthal resolution.

In the computation of modified radiation fluxes in the FORTE model, at each time step the decisionwhether shading of the direct shortwave radiation occurs is based on a comparison of the Sun zenith anglewith the stored obstacle information for the corresponding azimuth. For the sky-view effect on thelongwave and the diffuse shortwave radiation, we adopted a simple parametrization according to Müllerand Scherer (2005).

Model results are evaluated against the road temperature measurements.

13

th F

eb

ruar

y2

01

8

RWS A906 – non-shaded RWS A918 – without shading

21

st M

arch

20

18

RWS A906 – non-shaded RWS A918 – without shading

significantsensitivity on shading in theFORTE model

RWS A918 oftencolder than A906

2. Methods

3. Measured data

4. Comparison of model results with measurements

5. Conclusions Detailed fine resolution data on obstacles that modify radiation fluxes are necessary for

successful road surface temperature prediction at locations with shading effects in cities. Thiseffect was proven on two selected events.

Positive impact of starting the model run every hour in the nowcasting mode (Sokol et al.,2014) is apparent when the curve of temperature prediction issued at a certain hour iscompared with the prediction curve generated earlier.

measured surface temperaturehourly issued forecasts of surface temperature

RWS A918 – with shading

RWS A918 – with shading