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Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role of Payment Reform Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts Presented at: National Academy of Medicine: Value Incentives Meeting Panel 16 September 2016

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Page 1: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth

The Role of Payment Reform

Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer

Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Presented at: National Academy of Medicine: Value Incentives Meeting Panel

16 September 2016

Page 2: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

2 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Average spending on health

per capita ($US PPP)

Total expenditures on health

as percent of GDP

Source: OECD Health Data 2011 (Nov. 2011).

Economic Imperative in a Global Economy

Page 3: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

3 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts Proprietary and Confidential – Do Not Distribute without Permission

The increasing cost of health care in MA

compared to other public spending priorities

STATE BUDGET, FY2001 VS. FY2014 (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)

FY2014 FY2001

+$5.4 B

(+37%)

-22% -31%

-12%

-14%

-11%

-51%

-13%

-$3.6 B

(-17%)

Health Coverage

(State Employees/GIC;

Medicaid/Health Reform)

Public

Health

Mental

Health

Education Infrastructure/

Housing

Human

Services

Local

Aid

Public

Safety

Source: Health Policy Commission, 2013 Cost Trends Report, data from the Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center

Page 4: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

4 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

The Massachusetts health reform

law (2006) caused a bright light to

shine on the issue of unrelenting

double-digit increases in health

care spending growth (Health

Care Reform II).

The Alternative Quality Contract: Twin goals of improving quality and slowing spending growth

In 2007, leaders at BCBSMA challenged the company to develop a new contract model that would

improve quality and outcomes while significantly slowing the rate of growth in health care spending.

8.2%

15.9%

13.8%

13.1%

12.1%

13.3%

12.8%

12.5%

10.8%

10.7%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

BCBSMA Medical Trend Workers' Earnings General Economic Growth

Sources: BCBSMA, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Page 5: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

5 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Key Components of the AQC Model

Performance on quality

Inflation (cumulative)

Identify savings within budget

INITIAL GLOBAL

PAYMENT LEVEL

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

INITIAL GLOBAL

PAYMENT LEVEL

PERFORMANCE-

BASED PAYMENT

OPPORTUNITIES

Unique contract model:

• Accountability for quality and resource

use across full care continuum

• Long-term (5-years)

Controls cost growth:

• Global population-based budget

• Shared risk: 2-sided symmetrical

• Health status adjusted

• Annual inflation targets set at baseline for

each year of the contract and designed to

significantly moderate cost growth

Improved quality, safety & outcomes:

• Robust performance measure set creates

accountability for quality, safety &

outcomes across continuum

• Substantial financial incentives for high

performance and for improvement

Page 6: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

6 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

AMBULATORY HOSPITAL

PROCESS • Preventive screenings

• Acute care management

• Chronic care management

• Depression

• Diabetes

• Cardiovascular disease

• Evidence-based care elements for:

• Heart attack (AMI)

• Heart failure (CHF)

• Pneumonia

• Surgical infection prevention

OUTCOME • Control of chronic conditions

• Diabetes

• Cardiovascular disease

• Hypertension

***Triple weighted***

• Post-operative complications

• Hospital-acquired infections

• Obstetrical injury

• Mortality (condition –specific)

PATIENT

EXPERIENCE

• Access, Integration

• Communication, Whole-person care

• Discharge quality, Staff responsiveness

• Communication (MDs, RNs)

EMERGING Up to 3 measures on priority topics for which measures lacking

AQC Measure Set for Performance Incentives

Page 7: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

7 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Performance Payment Model: Original

Performance Payment Model

2.0%

3.0%

5.0%

9.0%

10.0%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0

Performance Score

% P

ayo

ut

Page 8: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

8 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Performance Payment Model: Updated (2011)

As quality improves, provider share of surplus increases/deficit decreases

1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0

PMPM Quality Dollars

The 2011 AQC also allows

groups to earn PMPM

quality dollars regardless of

their budget surplus or

deficit. High quality groups

earn more PMPM quality

dollars.

Linking Quality and

Efficiency

The 2011 AQC ensures that

providers have a strong

incentive to focus on both

objectives.

20%

40%

70%

80%

Quality Performance Incentive

Provider Share of Surplus (increases as quality improves)

Provider Share of Deficit (decreases as quality improves)

55%

Performance Score

PMPM

Page 9: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

9 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

1,373 1,420

2,303

4,592

5,136

5,547 5,606 5,752

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

PCPs

2,577 2,618

5,065

11,731

12,986

14,067 14,898 14,809

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

SCPs

AQC Physician Participation (Current as of June 2016)

92%

92%

As of January 2016, 2,247 (39%) of PCPs and 8,084 (54%) specialists (SCP) currently participating in AQC are also participating in PPO Payment

Reform model. This translates into 26% of PPO members being cared for under PPO Payment Reform. Combined with the 86% of our HMO members

cared for in the AQC, 52% of our commercial membership are cared for by providers who have accepted global budget quality contracts with BCBSMA.

Page 10: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

10 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

AQC Results: Formal Evaluation Findings

Source: Song Z, et al. Changes in Health Care Spending and Quality 4 Years into Global

Payment. The New England Journal of Medicine. 2014.

Page 11: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

11 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

AQC Support Program

Our strong provider relationships and targeted support have contributed to AQC success.

Data and Actionable Reports

Best Practice Sharing and Collaboration

Consultative Support

Training and Educational Programming

The AQC has been transformative. It

has allowed us to innovate because it

enables us to think like a system

rather than individuals doctors.

- Leslie Sebba, MD, Medical Director

Northeast Physician Hospital Organization

Page 12: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

12 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Daily Daily Census, Discharge, PCP Referrals and

Inpatient & Outpatient Authorization Reports

Weekly New Member Report

ED Utilization Report

Monthly AQC Member Call Tracking Grid

Monthly Ambulatory Quality Report

Monthly AQC Ambulatory Quality Measures

Group Comparison Report

Chronic Condition Opportunities Report

Quality Diabetic Composite Score

Bi-Monthly Case Management Report

Quarterly Ambulatory Care Sensitive Conditions Report

AQC Financial Dashboard

Non-Emergent ED Report

Top 100 Rx Report

Bi-Annually Practice Pattern Variation Report—Episode

Treatment Groups (ETG)

Practice Pattern Variation Report—Emergency

Department Use for Specific Conditions

Annually Readmission Report

AQC Ambulatory Quality Measures Score/Results

AQC Hospital Quality Measures Score/Results

Recurring Cost and Use Report

Site of Service Report

Data and Actionable Reports

We distribute reports that can be used to help organizations recognize opportunities,

develop goals and measure their success.

Page 13: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

13 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

The 12 primary care physicians in this group have

rates of ARB use ranging from 13% to 55%.

9 physicians have rates above the network average.

Benign Hypertension, With and Without Comorbidity

Individual Primary Care Physicians

Rate of ARB Use per 100 Episodes with ACE-I and/or ARB

2007

Rate = Episodes with ARB / Episodes with ACE-I and/or ARB

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 355 709 1063 1417 1771 2125 2479 2833

Individual Primary Care Physicians (N=3178)

Ra

te o

f A

RB

Us

e p

er

100

Ep

iso

de

s

wit

h A

CE

-I a

nd

/or

AR

B

The 12 primary care physicians in this group have

rates of ARB use ranging from 13% to 55%.

9 physicians have rates above the network average.

Page 14: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

14 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Staffing Models Approaches to

Patient Engagement

Data Systems & Health

Information Technology

Referral Relationships &

Integration Across Settings

Delivery System Innovation: Four Themes

There are four domains in which we see AQC Groups innovating to improve quality and

outcomes while reducing overall spending.

Page 16: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

16 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Payment Reform in the Headlines

Better, Smarter, Healthier: In historic

announcement, HHS sets clear goals

and timeline for shifting Medicare

reimbursements from volume to value

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

January 26, 2015

In a meeting with nearly two dozen leaders representing

consumers, insurers, providers, and business leaders…HHS

has set a goal of tying 30 percent of traditional, or fee-for-

service, Medicare payments to quality or value through

alternative payment models, such as Accountable Care

Organizations (ACOs) or bundled payment arrangements by

the end of 2016, and tying 50 percent of payments to these

models by the end of 2018. HHS also set a goal of tying 85

percent of all traditional Medicare payments to quality or value

by 2016 and 90 percent by 2018…

Leaders Forming New Health Care

Transformation Task Force Commit to

Putting 75% of Their Businesses in

Value-based Arrangements by 2020

January 28, 2015

Several of the nation’s largest health care systems and

payers, joined by purchaser and patient stakeholders, today

announced a powerful new private-sector alliance dedicated

to accelerating the transformation of the U.S. health care

system to value-based business and clinical models aligned

with improving outcomes and lowering costs. The Health Care

Transformation Task Force, whose members include six of

the nation’s top 15 health systems and four of the top 25

health insurers, challenged other providers and payers to join

its commitment to put 75 percent of their business into value-

based arrangements…

We are now offering a PPO model to the physicians and hospitals in our network, starting in 2016, and I am pleased to report that Lahey Health, the

Mount Auburn Cambridge Independent Practice Association (MACIPA), the Partners HealthCare System and Steward Health will be among the first

organizations to participate. These groups care for almost a third of our in-state PPO members…

Prepared Remarks to the Massachusetts Health Policy Commission – October 5, 2015

Andrew Dreyfus, President and CEO, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Page 17: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

17 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

FFS Costs

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

Member Based Charges

business as usual

AQC

the incentives payments to providers are billed as Member

Based Charges - the AQC will have

higher MBC than traditional contract types

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

Total Costs

the AQC creates incentives for providers to deliver more

efficent, high quality care -

lowering FFS trend

however, on a total cost basis, the AQC delivers on its goal of

delivering high quality care at

more affordable trends

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

While the charges associated with

incentive payments rose relative to

traditional contracts, the overall

medical trend declined significantly

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

FFS Costs

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

Member Based Charges

business as usual

AQC

the incentives payments to providers are billed as Member

Based Charges - the AQC will have

higher MBC than traditional contract types

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

Total Costs

the AQC creates incentives for providers to deliver more

efficent, high quality care -

lowering FFS trend

however, on a total cost basis, the AQC delivers on its goal of

delivering high quality care at

more affordable trends

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Total Cost

FFS Costs Incentive Payments for

Performance

Total Cost

Global budget contracts

Business as usual

Global budget contracts create

incentives for providers to deliver

more efficient, high quality care –

lowering FFS trend

Global budget contracts will

have higher incentive payments

than traditional contract types

However, on a total cost basis,

global budget contracts deliver on

the goal of providing high quality

care at more affordable trends

How Accounts Experience the AQC

Page 18: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

18 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Account View: Putting FFS and Incentive Costs

in Perspective Allowed Claims PMPM

2009 2010 2011

Allowed FFS $445 $465 $472

MBC $5 $10 $32

Total $451 $475 $504

Components of Trend2010/09 2011/10 2 year

Allowed FFS 4.4% 1.4% 2.9%

MBC 1.0% 4.7% 2.9%

Total 5.4% 6.1% 5.8%

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

2009 2010 2011

MBC

Allowed FFS

Incentive Payments

for Performance

Allowed FFS

Incentive Payments for Performance

Incentive Payments for Performance

Page 19: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

19 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Impact of the AQC on Medicare spending

and quality

“These results make it clear: There is no free lunch. There may be free

chips or fruit salad, but if you want the lunch, you have to come to the

table.” – Paul Grundy, MD, Director of IBM Global Healthcare Transformation

Page 20: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

20 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Priority Issues Ahead

Expanding Payment Reform to Include PPO Continued Evolution of Performance Measures

Continued Evolution of the Delivery System Payment Incentives to Front Line Clinicians

Page 21: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

21 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Measures by Purpose Area

Recommendation: To support the long-term success and sustainability of

population-based payment models, future state measures must be based, as

much as possible, on results that matter to patients (e.g., functional status) or

the best available intermediate outcomes known to produce these results

Page 22: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

22 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Outcome Measure Framework: Obstetric Care

Page 23: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

23 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

Summary and Priority Issues Ahead

Summary

Payment reform gives rise to significant delivery

system reform

Rapid and substantial performance improvements

are possible in the context of: Meaningful financial incentives

Rigorously validated measures & methods

Ongoing and timely data sharing and engagement

Committed leadership

For payment reform, deep provider relationships

and significant market share are advantageous For national payers, remote provider relationships pose

engagement challenges; member-facing incentives (benefit

design) an attractive lever

Priority Issues Ahead

Expanding payment reform to include PPO

presents unique challenges Gaining strong employer buy-in & support will be important;

and this means models must offer value from day-1

Continued evolution of performance measures to

fill priority gaps Focus on outcomes, including patient reported outcomes

(functional status, well being)

Continued evolution of the delivery system: Evolving the role of hospitals in the delivery system

Building deeper engagement of specialists

Advancing innovations in virtual care

Payment incentives to front line clinicians need

continued attention

Page 24: Improving Quality While Slowing Spending Growth The Role ...Nov 11, 2014  · Dana Gelb Safran, ScD Chief Performance Measurement & Improvement Officer Senior VP, Enterprise Analytics

24 Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts

[email protected]

For More Information