introduction to independent oil & gas plc › wp-content › uploads › ... · the information...
TRANSCRIPT
IntroductiontoIndependent Oil & Gas plc
July 2014
This page is intentionally left blank
Disclaimer
3
The information contained in this confidential document (“Presentation”) has been prepared by Independent Oil and Gas plc (the “Company”).
While the information contained herein has been prepared in good faith, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisersgive, have given or have authority to give, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of theinformation in this Presentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be made available to any interested party or its advisers (allsuch information being referred to as “Information”) and liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors,officers, agents, employees or advisers take any responsibility for, or will accept any liability whether direct or indirect, express or implied, contractual, tortious, statutory orotherwise, in respect of, the accuracy or completeness of the Information or for any of the opinions contained herein or for any errors, omissions or misstatements or for anyloss, howsoever arising, from the use of this Presentation.
This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements that involve substantial risks and uncertainties, and actual results and developments may differ materially fromthose expressed or implied by these statements. These forward-looking statements are statements regarding the Company's intentions, beliefs or current expectationsconcerning, among other things, the Company's results of operations, financial condition, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which the Company operates. Bytheir nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future.These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this Presentation and the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to theseforward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this Presentation.
Neither the issue of this Presentation nor any part of its contents is to be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Company to proceed with any transaction andthe right is reserved to terminate any discussions or negotiations with any prospective investors. In no circumstances will the Company be responsible for any costs, losses orexpenses incurred in connection with any appraisal or investigation of the Company. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company does not undertake or agree to anyobligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, thisPresentation which may become apparent.
This Presentation should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Inparticular, this Presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities and neither this Presentation nor anything contained hereinshall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. Each party to whom this Presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of theCompany after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. In particular, any estimates or projections or opinions contained hereinnecessarily involve significant elements of subjective judgment, analysis and assumptions and each recipient should satisfy itself in relation to such matters.
Neither this Presentation nor any copy of it may be (a) taken or transmitted into Australia, Canada, Japan, the Republic of Ireland, the Republic of South Africa or the UnitedStates of America (each a “Restricted Territory”), their territories or possessions; (b) distributed to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the United StatesSecurities Act of 1933 (as amended)) or (c) distributed to any individual outside a Restricted Territory who is a resident thereof in any such case for the purpose of offer forsale or solicitation or invitation to buy or subscribe any securities or in the context where its distribution may be construed as such offer, solicitation or invitation, in any suchcase except in compliance with any applicable exemption. The distribution of this document in or to persons subject to other jurisdictions may be restricted by law andpersons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions mayconstitute a violation of the laws of the relevant jurisdiction.
www.independentoilandgas.com
Summary
4
• Clearly defined strategy– Develop production hubs with only modest
exploration near to the hubs
• Proven Board and Management Team– History of delivering excellent shareholder
returns, first class technical team
• Funding Flexibility– Senior loan, junior loan potential, Darwin
equity funding, farm down potential
• Growth Strategy– 28th Round potentially transformational– Corporate combinations / M&A
• News flow– 28th Round, Operatorship, Cronx completion,
Cronx and Skipper wells, Blythe FDP
The team and assets are in place to grow into a significant North Sea player
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Bo
ep
d
Year
Ten Year Production Target
Target
Blythe (3.0 MMBoe)
Cronx (3.4 MMBoe)
Skipper (13.1 MMBbls)
Key Events since AIM Admission
• December 2013
– ‘Blythe East Area’ licence awarded including the Harvey discovery and Truman prospect
• February 2014
– Sale and refinancing of Blythe & Skipper operator completed
– 18 month licence extensions granted on Blythe & Skipper
– Gas sales agreement for Blythe with BP Gas Marketing
– $50m debt facility approved with a substantial US financial institution†
• March 2014
– Charles Stanley initiates research on IOG at a target price of 100.4p
– Acquisition of Cronx* licence announced
– Subject to the Cronx acquisition Charles Stanley updates IOG target price to 105.6p
– Operatorship application submitted to DECC
– New Non-exec Director Paul Murray appointed
• April 2014
– Cronx Licence extension to 31st December 2014
– Applications for three licences in the 28th Licensing Round
• June 2014
– Skipper appraisal well now scheduled in summer 2015 subject to partner confirmation
– Equity swap and loan agreed with Darwin Strategic
5 *Acquisition of Cronx subject to completion † Debt facility subject to final documentation
Introduction to IOG
6
EXPERIENCED TEAM
NORTH SEA FOCUS
Development
Production
Development5 North Sea Licences*
2P: 3 MMBOE, 2C: 16.5 MMBOE
Hub Strategy
nearby fields to be tied back
small fields to be developed with improved economics
IOG is a development and production company with a modest exploration exposure
39.4 MMBOE
Exploration Exploration
Today 2016
Management owns 55.8% of IOG
Blythe, Cronx* & Skipper CPR NPV10: £211.4 Million
*Acquisition of Cronx subject to completion
IOG Strategy
7
IOG will unlock shareholder value by:
Cronx*Blythe
3D seismic
1st Discovery
Appraisal
FID
First Production
Life Cycle of E&P
Valu
e
Skipper
IOG’s primary focus: Development & Production
IOG’s Current Portfolio
TheakstonMoorhouse
TrumanHarvey
Skipper Maureen & Dornoch
* Acquisition of Cronx subject to completion † Debt facility subject to final documentation ‡ Significant discoveries applied for in 28th Round
Funding at corporate or asset level (farm-downs)
Growing organically and via Licence Rounds‡
Using the debt facility† to acquire producing assets
Converting contingent resources into proven reserves
Bringing proven reserves into production
Corporate combinations / M&A
Operations Director
Richard Jameson
Project management experience with Hess & others
IOG Board & Operational Team
8
• An experienced management team with a strong and knowledgeable board
Technical Director
Chris Brown
Former Exploration Manager for Enterprise Oil
Chief Geoscientist
Brian Oldfield
Formerly with Conoco, Zapata, Total, Statoil & Agip
Petroleum Engineer
Colin Jones
Former Chairman of Oslo Society of Petroleum
Engineers
Drilling Manager
John Boyle
Also Drilling Manager with Cairn Energy
IOG Board
Non-Executive Director
Marie-Louise Clayton
Former CFO of Venture Production
CEO
Mark Routh
Former founder and MD of CH4 Energy Ltd*
Non-Executive Chairman
Mehdi Varzi
Former Vice-Chairman of Gulf Keystone
Non-Executive Director
Mike Jordan
CEO of Acura Investments Ltd
CFO
Peter Young
Former oil & gas banker at Standard Chartered, Mitsui & RBS
*CH4 Energy was formed with £1M from 3i + Management in 2002 & sold for £154.4M in 2006 to Venture Production
Non-Executive Director
Paul Murray
Former FD of Lasmo & CarltonChair of Audit Royal Mail & QinetiQ
IOG Portfolio
9
Skipper 9/21a (50%)
Blythe 48/22b & 48/23a (50%)
Map: Wood Mackenzie
PathFinder
Skipper West Area – 8/20a & 8/25a (100%)
Blythe East Area - 48/23c & 48/24b (100%)
IOG 27th Round Award
IOG Developments
IOG 27th Round Award
IOG Developments
Cronx 48/22a (100%)
IOG Acquisition (terms agreed)
Indicative Development and Appraisal Schedules
10
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Skipper (50%)EWT*
Development* Development Dril l ing*First*
Oil
Cronx (100%) (subject to completion)
Site
Survey Development Drill ing
First
Gas
Blythe (50%)Site
Survey Development Drill ing
First
Gas
Truman & Harvey (Blythe East Area - 100%)
Seismic Reprocessing / StudiesDrill or
Drop
Theakston & Moorhouse (Skipper West Area - 100%)
Seismic Reprocessing / StudiesDrill or
Drop
FDP + EIA Application FDP Approval Appraisal Well Extended Well Test * Subject to successful Skipper appraisal well
2017 20182014 2015 2016
Blythe Hub – Blythe, Cronx, Truman & Harvey
11
Opportunity
• Defines IOG’s first Hub
• Blythe is a proven discovery with gross 2P reserves of 34.3 BCF (17.2 BCF net to IOG)[1]
• Cronx (IOG 100%) is a discovery with 2C resourcesof 17.6 BCF[2] which may be tied back to Blythe
• Truman & Harvey (Blythe East Area - 100% IOG) have gross 2C resources of 41 BCF[3] which may be tied back to Blythe
• Economics boosted from shared infrastructure and joint development
• All fields benefit from small field allowance
• Blythe + Cronx NPV10 net to IOG = £74.4m[1],[2]
Upside
• Further upside potential to frack the Carboniferous beneath Blythe (70 – 310 BCF GIIP)[4]
• Oil was also tested from the Hauptdolomite above Blythe at rates of up to 1,000 bopd, estimated STOIIP of 2-4MMBbls[4]
Sources: [1] Competent Person's Report: ERC Equipoise - September 2013[2] ERC Equipoise CPR July 2012[3] IOG internal estimate[4] Tullow 48/23a Relinquishment Report May 2009
48/23-3
48/23a-4
ERCE_Top_A_1
ERCE_Top_A_2
ERCE_Top_A_3
ERCE_Top_A_4
ERCE_Top_A_5
ERCE_Top_Layer_B_(SB_B)
ERCE_Top_Layer_C_(SB_C)
ERCE_Top_D_1
ERCE_Top_D_2
ERCE_Top_E_1
ERCE_Top_E_2
ERCE_Top_E_3
Top_Carboniferous
ERCE_Top_A_1
ERCE_Top_A_2
ERCE_Top_A_3
Top Rotligendes
Top Rotligendes
ERCE_Top_A_4
200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050
200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000 1050
-745
0-7
400
-735
0-7
300
-725
0-7
200
-715
0-7
100
-705
0-7
000
-695
0
-7450-7400
-7350-7300
-7250-7200
-7150-7100
-7050-7000
-6950
Zone 1WeissliegendeA1A2A3A4A5BCD1D2E1E2E3
Zones48/23-348/23a-4
NWSE
Possible top of Residual HC Layer
GWC @ 7283ft ss
48/23-3 Perforated Intervals
Possible Top Residual Hydrocarbons 7200 ft ss (Palaeo Gas Oil Contact)
Gas Water Contact 7283 ft ss
Top Rotliegendes 7130 ft ss
Blythe Horizontal Tri-lateral Development Well
A4
A5
A3
B
C
D1
A2A1W
SE NW
Source: ERC Equipoise – Blythe Reservoir Development Study July 2012
Source: IOG internal estimates
0
6
12
18
24
30
36
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
MM
cfd
Bo
ep
d
Year
Blythe Production (6.1 MMBoe)
IOG Net (50%) 3.0 MMBoe
Alpha Net (50%) 3.0 MMBoe
Blythe
12
Location Southern North Sea - Blocks 48/22b and 48/23a (P1736)
Partners Alpha Petroleum Resources 50% (Operator), IOG 50%
Gross Reserves[1] 1P/2P/3P : 22.3/34.3/47.5 BCF. Two wells tested at 15 MMcfd from the Rotliegendes
Gross GIIP[1] P90/P50/P10 : 38.8/52.3/84.2 BCF
Gross NPV10[1] £56.0m (2P reserves, @60p/therm)
Upside[2] Prospective GIIP of 70 – 310 BCF in Carboniferous – tested at 0.9MMcfd
Licence Status Commitment to submit Field Development Plan before 30th September 2015
FDP[3] Field Development Plan submission targeted Q4 2014
First Gas Target end Q2 2016.[3] Long term gas sales agreement with BP Gas Marketing
Development Plan Small unmanned platform, single tri-lateral horizontal well. Export expected via a 1km pipeline to LAPS hot-tap. Net Capex £35.1m[1]
Tax Small field allowance provides tax benefit of £150m
Sources: [1] Competent Person's Report: ERC Equipoise - September 2013 [2] Tullow 48/23a Relinquishment Report May 2009 [3] IOG internal estimate
Cronx
Harvey
Truman
Expected export Route : LAPS (Perenco)
Hot Tap from Blythe NUI into 20”
Lancelot - Bacton pipeline : < 1 km
Map: Wood Mackenzie PathFinder/IOG
[1]
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
MM
cfd
Bo
ep
d
Year
Cronx Production (3.4 MMBoe)
IOG Net (100%) 3.4 MMBoe
Cronx (Pending Completion)
13
Location Southern North Sea - Block 48/22a (P1737)
Partners IOG 100%
Gross Resources[1] 1C/2C/3C : 7.7/17.6/40.4 BCF Contingent Resources
Gross GIIP[1] P90/P50/P10 : 10.9/24.9/56.3 BCF
Gross NPV10[1] £46.4m (2C resources, @60p/therm) net of staged payments to Swift
Upside[2] Connection with the 48/22-4 discovery (10-20 BCF)
Licence Status Extended to 31st December 2014. Acquisition contingent upon IOG Operatorship approval and well commitment
Field Work[2] Targeting pilot well in late 2014 / early 2015 – cost estimate £6.25m. Re-mapping, reservoir modelling & well design
FDP[2] Field Development Plan submission targeted Q4 2015
First Gas[2] Targeting Q1 2017
Development Plan Single multi-lateral horizontal well drilled from suspended pilot well, tie back to Blythe. Capex estimate extra £22m[1],[2]
Tax Small field allowance provides tax benefit of £150m
Sources: [1] ERC Equipoise CPR July 2012 [2] IOG internal estimate
[1]
Cronx
Harvey
Truman
Export Route : Subsea well
tied back 15 km to Blythe NUI
Map: Wood Mackenzie PathFinder/IOG
Blythe East Area – Truman & Harvey
14
*Source: IOG internal estimates
LocationSouthern North Sea – 48/23c & 48/24b (P2085)
Application RationaleBlythe Hub tie-back on successful appraisalPromote Licence IOG 100% Working Interest
IOG Mid Case GIIP Estimate*
Truman 36 BCFHarvey 22 BCF
IOG Mid Case Contingent Resource Estimate*
Truman 25 BCF - CoS 36%Harvey 16 BCF - CoS 36%
Water Depth* 24m
Well CommitmentCommit to drill one well to 2500m by February 2016 or drop the licence
Proposed Work Programme
Acquisition & reprocessing of 85 km2 of existing 3D seismic data
Potential Capex* ≈£12m for well
TaxSmall field allowances would provide net tax benefit of £150m
Cronx
Harvey
Truman
Export Route : Subsea well
tied back 11 km to Blythe NUI
Map: Wood Mackenzie PathFinder/IOG
Skipper Hub
15
Opportunity
• Defines IOG’s 2nd hub
• Skipper is a discovery with 2C resources of 26.2 MMBbls (13.1 MMBbls net to IOG)[1]
• Appraisal well in Q2/Q3 2015 to confirm commerciality
– Well cost approximately £13m (£6.5m net to IOG)[2]
– Will also test exploration targets beneath Skipper that could add another 4.4 MMBbls net reserves[2]
• Theakston and Moorhouse (IOG 100%) to the west of Skipper have mid-case contingent resources of 28 MMBbls net to IOG[2]
• All fields benefit from heavy oil field allowance
3,447 ft
Nominal OWC 3,810 ft
3,745 ft
5,214 ft
~ 5,600 ft
9/21a-C 9/21-2
4,157 ft
OWC 3,567 ft
3,518 ft
3,816 ft
5,597 ft
5,904 ft
4,228 ft
LCC 5,340 ft
70 ft
412 ft
307 ft
N S
3,588 ft
NB. Not to scale
Maureen Formation
Skipper Sand
Dornoch Sand
11,165 ft (2.1 miles)
3,517 ft
1990 Discovery Well2014 Appraisal Well
Sources: [1] AGR Tracs Competent Person's Report - September 2013 [2] IOG internal estimate
Source: Skipper Operating Committee Meeting June 2011
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Bo
pd
Year
Skipper Production (26.2 MMBbls)
IOG Net (50%) 13.1 MMBbls
Alpha Net (50%) 13.1 MMBbls
Skipper
16
Location Northern North Sea : East of Shetlands - Block 9/21a (P1609)
Partners Alpha Petroleum Resources 50% (Operator), IOG 50% (1.5% carried interest with a third party)
Gross Resources[1] 1C/2C/3C : 17.9/26.2/34.9 MMBbls Contingent Resources. Low recovery factor (19%) in Competent Person's Report
Gross STOIIP[1] P90/P50/P10 : 123.1/136.5/150.8 MMBbls
Gross NPV10[1] £274m (2C resources @ $81/Bbl =10% discount to $90/Bbl Brent)
Upside[1] Appraisal well will also explore deeper Dornoch & Maureen sands, P50 STOIIP 46 MMBbls
Licence status Commitment to drill an appraisal well before 30th September 2015
Field Work[2] Appraisal well: target Q2/Q3 2015. Net cost £6.5m.
FDP[2] Submission targeted Q3 2016. Contingent development 13 wells (11 producers, 2 injectors), platform or FPSO. Net cost ≈ £200.6m[2]
First Oil[2] Q3 2018. Offtake via FSU. Crude offtake agreement agreed with BP Oil
Crude Quality[2] Believed to be approximately 15° API. Viscosity uncertain, expected range 50 -150cP
Tax Heavy Oil field allowance provides tax benefit of £800m
Sources: [1] AGR Tracs Competent Person's Report - September 2013 [2] IOG internal estimate
Theakston
Moorhouse
Map: Wood Mackenzie PathFinder/IOG
[1]
Skipper West Area – Theakston & Moorhouse
17
*Source: IOG internal estimates
Location Northern North Sea – 8/20a & 8/25a (P1941)
Application Rationale
Skipper Hub tie-back on successful explorationPromote Licence IOG 100% Working Interest
IOG STOIIP Estimates*
Theakston Low/Mid/High 5/20/120 MMBbls Moorhouse Low/Mid/High 64/119/157 MMBbls
IOG Contingent Resource Estimates*
Theakston 1/ 4/24 MMBbls - CoS 23%Moorhouse 13/24/31 MMBbls - CoS 49%
Water Depth* 110m – 130m
Well Commitment
Commit to one well to 1700m by May 2015or drop the licence
Work Programme
Acquisition & reprocessing of 300 km2 of released 3D seismic dataOil migration study
PotentialCapex*
≈£15m for well
TaxHeavy Oil field allowances would provide net tax benefit of £800m
Theakston
Moorhouse
Export Route : Subsea well
tied back 4.5 km to Skipper
Map: Wood Mackenzie PathFinder/IOG
Summary
18
• Clearly defined strategy– Develop production hubs with only modest
exploration near to the hubs
• Proven Board and Management Team– History of delivering excellent shareholder
returns, first class technical team
• Funding Flexibility– Senior loan, junior loan potential, Darwin
equity funding, farm down potential
• Growth Strategy– 28th Round potentially transformational– Corporate combinations / M&A
• News flow– 28th Round, Operatorship, Cronx completion,
Cronx and Skipper wells, Blythe FDP
The team and assets are in place to grow into a significant North Sea player
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Bo
ep
d
Year
Ten Year Production Target
Target
Blythe (3.0 MMBoe)
Cronx (3.4 MMBoe)
Skipper (13.1 MMBbls)