jan 2007. dublin at the crossroads choosing........success?
TRANSCRIPT
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Jan 2007
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Dublin at the Crossroads
Choosing ........Success?
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What’s going to change?
VALUES DEMOGRAPHICS POLITICS
PLANNING
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What does Janus foresee?
• What’s going to change?• What’s going to happen?• What could go wrong?• What’s at the Crossroads?• What are the choices?• What would be the best choices?
LOOKING AHEAD..........
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What’s Going to Change?
?
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Urbanisation will Increase, densify & self- organise
New Centres will Grow
New Corridors will emerge
Expense of National Capital increases
What will change?Urbanised Areas will ‘densify’, expand & self-organise
4 – 6 Strong Town Centres will emerge
Major Peripheral Routes will emerge
The National Capital role will intensify
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What Could go wrong?
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The Face of Failure
•Expensive Centre•Congested Centre•Uncompetitive Centre•Challenging Central Lifestyle•Collapse of Tax Base
•Attractive Suburban Lifestyle•Competing Edge Centres•Outmigration of Centre of Gravity
60 mins
60 mins
A New Centre of Gravity develops based on;-
•Population•Commerce•Convenience•Economy•Markets
Donut City
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What’s at the Crossroads for Dublin?
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Which Dublin?
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CITY REGION?
URBANISED AREA?
Which Dublin?
CITY CENTRE?CBD?
Different Scales need Different Thinking, about•Competitiveness•Finance•Governance•Planning•Infrastructure
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Choices facing Dublin is at a crossroads
SYMPTOMS OF SUCCESS
Economically CompetitiveRegionally Planned & Co-
ordinatedSpecialisation, sharing and role
allocation
Planned from edge to middleAccommodates all travellers –
including cars
SYMPTOMS OF FAILURE
Unplanned
Un-coordinated
Poor Hierarchy
Duplication
Competing Centres
Expensive Centre
Congested Centre
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Different Dublins
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• Urbanisation will Increase, densify & self- organise
• New Centres will Grow
• New Corridors will emerge
• Expense of National Capital increases
1. UNPLANNED SPRAWL
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2. PLANNED SPRAWL
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3. A CITY OF NEIGHBOURHOODS
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4. Bi-polar City or ‘Ladder City’A City of ChoicesTwin cores – one coastal, one inland. Offering a range of technical
modern environments as well as older cultural ones
4. LADDER CITY
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5. BI-POLAR CITY 1
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6. BI-POLAR CITY 2
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Imagining Different Dublins
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Imagine Planning for cars!
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Imagine Planning for Cars
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Imagine Planning for Cars
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Imagine Planning for Cars
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Imagine Planning for Buses!
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Issues to be addressed
• The Burden of the National Capital
• The Need for a New Centre
• Managing Mobility [not traffic]
• Need for an Urban Landbanks
• Regional redistribution of costs and benefits
• Competiveness through Specialisation & Excellence
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Priority Issues
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Priorities for Success
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What would be the best choices?
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Best Planning Choices• Hierarchy
• Assign Central & Orbital Roles • Designate National Capital Zone
• Form • Agree Location and Strategy for New Center
• Mobility • Devise a Plan-led mobility strategy
• Partnership • Agree Specialisations, plans and strategies
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Best Choices for Competitiveness• Mobility – Prioritize effectiveness and quality
• Services – Refit for density, quality and value
• Land prices – develop public land-bank
• Specialisation – identify and cultivate areas of advantage
• Partnership – growth through synergy, sharing and divestment
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Best Choices for Finances
• Regional Competition • anticipate and avoid it
• Local Revenue Generation • anticipate and capture it
• Cost of National Capital Zone • share the burden of it
• Excellence • plan to sustain it
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Dublin at the Crossroads
A Time of Choices
Division & Decline? Potential &
Prosperity?