key parameter development and management (kpd&m) · this led to the development of key...

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U.S. Army Research, Development and Engineering Command Author: Shawn Dullen Date: 27 October 2016 Introduction to Key Parameter Development and Management (KPD&M) 19th Annual NDIA Systems Engineering Conference

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U.S. Army Research, Development and Engineering Command

Author: Shawn Dullen

Date: 27 October 2016

Introduction to

Key Parameter Development and

Management (KPD&M)

19th Annual NDIA Systems Engineering

Conference

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Unclassified

• Background

• What/Why/How

• Focus Area

• Process

• Example

• Questions

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Agenda

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Background

This led to the development of Key Parameter Development and Management

Continued “fire-fighting” throughout

production because the following are

not understood:

– Design factors impacting

desired performance

– System interactions impacting

desired performance

– External, deteriorative and

manufacturing variations

impacting desired performance

– Which characteristics to focus

resources on

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Key Parameter Development and Management (KPD&M)

• What is KPD&M

– Structured process that integrates Engineering best practices to guide

product development and process control efforts to areas of greatest impact

• Why KPD&M

– Focuses time and money on the important characteristics from design

through ongoing production

– Develops and documents the technical information required to produce best

value products

– Provides the essential data to justify tolerances

• How

– Focusing on Moderate to High Technical Risks

– Understanding of Functions and Parametric relationships

– Concentrating on Physics

– Emphasis on Robust Design

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Puts Engineering back into Systems Engineering

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Something that is…

• New

– Totally new to you, no one has fulfilled the

requirement(s) or controlled the parameter(s) before –

no experience!

• Unique

– The requirement(s) or parameter(s) have been

fulfilled or controlled by others but not by you!

• Difficult

– The requirement(s) or parameter(s) are extreme &

their fulfillment or control is very high in risk

NUD

What does the word “Key” mean?

Key Parameters are associated to NUD requirements

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Something that is…

• Easy

• Common

• Old

These are functions, part specifications and

manufacturing parameters that we place under normal

quality control metrics ‒ Little or no investment to monitor or maintain

‒ Capability is checked periodically

‒ Use Six Sigma to react to problems in this area

ECO

Things that are not “Key”…

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Just because it is ECO does not mean it is not important.

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NUD’s pose the greatest risk to the program

Why focus on NUD’s

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Low

Low High

High R

ISK

Complexity

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Phase 1: Requirements and NUD Analysis – Understand design objectives

– Prioritize effort on only the technical risk areas

Phase 2: Concept, Architecture, System Diagrams and DFMEA – Develop robust concepts

– Establish traceability between requirements, functions and hardware

– Establish relationships for developing transfer functions

– Identify areas for stress testing and product improvement

Phase 3: MSA, Screening, Modeling, Noise and Robust DOE’s – Identify design parameters that have a major influence on performance

– Identify interrelationships between design parameters that have negative impact on performance

– Desensitize technologies/products to factors causing variability and aging

Phase 4: System Stress Testing and Tolerance Design – Establish and verify tolerance ranges to ensure desired performance under all operating conditions

– Validate system capability

Phase 5: MSA, DOE’s, Capability Studies and Process Control Plan – Identify process parameters that have a major influence on performance

– Control the right things that drive product performance`

DVT PDR FTDR

/ CDR

Phase 1 Phase 5 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 4

SRR SFR PCP 1 3 5 4 2

Phase1:

Planning & Requirements

Phase 2:

Concept Development

Phase 3:

Development, Design & Initial

Optimization

Phase 4: Integration, Final Optimization &

Transfer

Phase 5: Product

Verification & Process Validation

The KPD&M Process

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KPD&M Metrics

8 9 10 11 12

LSL USL

Process Capability Analysis for C2

USL

Target

LSL

Mean

Sample N

StDev (Within)

StDev (Overall)

Cp

CPU

CPL

Cpk

Cpm

Pp

PPU

PPL

Ppk

PPM < LSL

PPM > USL

PPM Total

PPM < LSL

PPM > USL

PPM Total

PPM < LSL

PPM > USL

PPM Total

12.0000

*

8.0000

9.9766

100

0.447134

0.458186

1.49

1.51

1.47

1.47

*

1.46

1.47

1.44

1.44

0.00

0.00

0.00

4.92

3.02

7.94

8.01

5.03

13.04

Process Data

Potential (Within) Capability

Overall Capability Observed Performance Exp. "Within" Performance Exp. "Overall" Performance

Within

Overall

• The KPD&M Metrics

1. Measurability

2. Stability

3. Adjustability

4. Interactivity

5. Sensitivity

6. Robustness

7. Capability

Capability is the metric that we use to make decisions related to

requirements… It links the Voice of the Customer (VOC) to the Voice of Physics (VOP)

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Knowledge Developed from Sequential Design of Experiments

Sub-function 1: Spin

Sub-function 2: Restoring Moment

Sub-function 3: Drag

Phase 3 - subsystem-level testing Phase 4 - system integration testing

Y Becomes X

Range/Deflection

.

.

.

meters boom

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Incorporate

pdf

information

for each x

here

Incorporate

Spec limits

(5950, 6050)

here

Incorporate

random noise

here

NF’s DF’s

Tolerance Design

• Tolerances are established starting at the system level

– Allocate tolerances to sub-system functions

– Follow the same process until design features tolerances are established

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What is robustness

o A product or process is said to be robust when it is insensitive to the

effects of sources of variability, even though the sources

themselves have not been eliminated

What opportunities are there for robustness

Interaction between Design Parameters and Noise Parameters

Higher Order behavior caused by a Design Parameter (undesired)

Why is Robustness desirable

o Desensitization of function to unwanted sources of variation

o Key driver to improving capability

o Significantly improves reliability and performance

o Improves the cost effectiveness of technology and products

Product Development is the only time the system has an opportunity to be

robust to variation 12 of 17

Robustness

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Producible tolerance

Unaccepta

ble

Variation

Producible tolerance

Accepta

ble

Variation

Robustness to Manufacturing Variation

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Important

Parameter

Candidate Key Parameters

Not Statistically

Significant Statistically

Significant

Not Practically

Significant

Practically

Significant

ANOVA

Regression/ Transfer Functions

Key Parameter Identification

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Important

Parameter

Key

Parameter

Capable

•Difficulty adjusting mean to target

•Anti-synergistic interactivity (2 Xs)

•Hypersensitivity (Xs and Ys)

•Poor Robustness to Noise (Xs and Zs)

Engineering, Regression, ANOVA,

Functional Capability Models

Low

Manufacturing

Capability

High

Manufacturing

Capability

Process Capability

Studies

Not Capable

manufacturing

Key Parameter Identification (cont.)

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Description: Results:

Benefits: Background: Historically, malfunction investigations have

revealed the design has been built to the TDP

and still does not meet the performance or

safety requirements

Historically, the angle between blade

requirement has limited the amount of suppliers

that are willing to extrude the fin blanks

Roughly 75% of the design characteristics

are currently being tested/inspected

M31 Fin Assembly is used on the Mortar

120MM Family of Munitions to provide flight

stability and transfer energy for propulsion

Identified previously undefined characteristic

that impacted safety and performance

Increased the design tolerance for the angle

between blades (doubled the tolerance)

Eliminated 7 characteristics

Reduced sampling rates for 39 characteristics

Developed new acceptance methodology that

will reduce the inspection of 68 characteristics

to monitoring 16 characteristics and inspecting

4 characteristics (in process of being piloted)

Reduced the risk of performance and safety issues

Increased the potential supplier base

Eliminated non-value inspections and reclassified

more than 57% of the characteristics

Will be reducing the amount of inspection by more

than 70%

Will be implementing process controls which is the

DOD preferred method of acceptance

Developed validated aeroballistics model that can

be used to evaluate future RFV’s or malfunctions

Significantly improved quality, reliability, producibility and cost effectiveness of item

KPD&M Example

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Shawn Dullen

ARDEC KPD&M Lead

973-724-5176

[email protected]

Questions?

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