knowledge creation in foresight · knowledge creation in foresight a practice- and systems-oriented...
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Knowledge creation
in foresight
a practice- and
systems-oriented view
Mikko Dufva
Lectio praecursoria
22.1.2016
2 25/01/2016
Knowing about the future
Heinrich Leutemann: The Oracle of Delphi Entranced
3 25/01/2016
Foresight
4 25/01/2016
Linear view of knowledge creation in foresight
Experts Foresight process Futures knowledge
5 25/01/2016
Futures knowledge
Codified Articulated Embodied Out-of-radar
6 25/01/2016
Knowledge creation in workshops
Challenging assumptions & reframing topics
7 25/01/2016
Broader view: foresight as a system
Process
knowledge Relations Capabilities
Mediating events Metaphors
Memory objects
Cognitive schemes
Agents Mental models about
other agents,
interactions, system
Shared perceptions
Knowledge about the futures
Strategic objects
8 25/01/2016
Futures knowledge as a network
9 25/01/2016
Knowledge creation in foresight:
Changes in the network
Economic growth
(sustainability)
Responsible
economy and
sustainable growth
Economic growth is
sustainable due to
decoupling of
material growth
Sustainable growth
Survey Feedback on themes
by the government
Thematic group
work
Knowledge
Responsible
Know-how
Jobs
Global
Company
Productivity
Productivity
Finland
Finland
International
International
Welfare
Welfare Sustainable
Sustainable
Growth
Growth
Productivity
Productivity
Finland
Finland
International
International
Welfare
Welfare Sustainable
Sustainable
Growth
Growth
Changes in emphasis Reframing
10 25/01/2016
Knowledge creation in foresight: two views
Knowledge conversions Shaping of a network
Out-of-radar
knowledge
Embodied
knowledge
Articulated
knowledge
Codified
knowledge
Sharing and
articulating
Abstracting and
synthesizing
Reflecting visions
against experience
Connecting
and reflecting
Learning
Broadening
and associating
Data
Experience
Jobs
Global
Company
Productivity
Finland
International
Welfare
Sustainable
Growth
Productivity
Finland
International
Welfare
Sustainable
Growth
Knowledge
Responsible
Know-how
Productivity
Finland
International
Welfare
Sustainable
Growth
Productivity
Finland
International
Welfare
Sustainable
Growth
11 25/01/2016
Foresight: from process to system
Input
Foresight
Output
Foresight processes
Model of sustainable growth
Report on the future
Model of national foresight
Agents Concept network
Steering
group
Ministerial
working
group
Project
group
Government
in office
”Stakeholders”
Thematic
groups and
ambassadors
Company
Society
Finland
Global Welfare
Growth
Sustainable
Economy
Government
Innovation system
Foresight system
Processes shape the
concept network
Agents interact in
foresight processes
Assessment of the foresight phase
12 25/01/2016
Participation: from experts to diverse network
Pictures: Heidi Auvinen
13 25/01/2016
Futures knowledge: from block to network