leadership case study-israel-palestine negotiations

7/31/2019 Leadership Case Study-Israel-Palestine Negotiations

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Negotiating in the

Not-so Holy LandLeadership Challenges

Professor Nick Pratt, Colonel, USMC Retired

Former Director, Middle East Field Office (Jerusalem)

Office of the Special Envoy for Middle East Regional Security


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The NarrativesIsraeli & Palestinian

The Holocaust

May 14, 1948 -Independence

The State: Israel

The Israeli Identity

The Right of Return

The 67 War

The Dichotomy

Perceptions

There were no such thing as Palestinians. When was there an independentPalestinian people with a Palestinian state? Golda Meir, PM


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The NarrativesIsraeli & Palestinian

The Holocaust

Al-Nakba, TheCatastrophe"

The State: Israel The Palestinian

Identity

The Right of Return

The Occupation

The Dichotomy

Perceptions

"Jews do not constitute a single nation with an identity of its own." Art. 20, PLO Charter


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Goals: Security vs. SovereigntyObstacles to Progress

Israels Lack of StrategicPerspective

Skepticism of Israeli SecurityEstablishment

Israels Disregard for USNational Security Interests

Asymmetric Warfare

Poor PA Leadership

Effort vs. Results Focus

Economic and ROL Crisis Domestic Politics Mistrust and Misunderstanding

The Old City:

Sacred to the three Abrahamic religions

Israeli policy has focused on defeating the manufactured goods of terror (i.e. terrorist

operations), while the factory of terror remains alive and fully capable of reproducing the

ideolo that fuels terrorist o erations. US Intelli ence Officer


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Economic Distress in the oPT:Depression of 1929

Gap Show No Sign ofClosing Just Increasing

Loss of Hope

Political

Economic

Todays oPT Economy

World Bank-the GreatDepression of 1929*

50%+ Unemployment

2/3 Live Below Poverty LineDavies J-curve


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Domestic Politics:

Nuff Said

=#31


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Areas A and B(Oslo Accords)

149 Israeli settlements,

100 outposts and landcultivated by Israelis

Israeli military closed areasand 48 military bases

Nature Reserves

West Bank Barrier andAreas between the Barrierand the Green Line

Roads primarily used bythe settlers

Closures

The effect of the closures

Fragmentation of the WestBank

Checkpoints

Tunnels(As of March 2007)

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Miles

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The Iron Ca e


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The Nightmare Scenario:

A Palestinian-Israeli Intifada

Relations expiring since 66

64% deny Israels right to exist

11% support the use of

violence or 140k. if we dont take the future

into our own hands, the GOIwill keep taking away our land,

our homes and our honor. the question is not if the

Arab sector will explode, but

when. Prof. Eli Rekhes

The 11% and there are more.

Senior DOS Official

An Israel where 1/5 of citizens feel disenfranchised from the most basic elements

of national identity cannot create a healthy society and not a viable one.


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USA/SEMERS

Israel & the PA

Life AS A Special Envoy

SEMERS

leadership case study-israel-palestine negotiations

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