may 11 - 12, 2006 the derivatives market of the micex group alexander balabushkin deputy head of...
TRANSCRIPT
May 11 - 12, 2006
The Derivatives Marketof the MICEX Group
Alexander BalabushkinDeputy Head of Derivatives, MICEX
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX
● MICEX was established in 1992 as a currency exchange in the form of a closed-end joint-stock company
● Shareholders:
۰ Central Bank of the Russian Federation
۰ Association of Russian Banks
۰ Sberbank RF
۰ Vneshtorgbank
۰ International Moscow Bank
۰ Rosbank
۰ Bank of Moscow
۰ 9 other leading commercial banks of Russia
● Mission:
To be the core Russian financial marketplace, providing market participants with full spectrum of trading, clearing and settlement services based on high-end state-of-the art solutions
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Group
N.Novgorod Novosibirsk Ekaterinburg Samara S.Petersburg Rostov Vladivostok
MICEXNational
Mercantile Exchange
MICEX Stock
Exchange
National Depository
Center
National Clearing Center MICEX Settlement House
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Group: Financial Supermarket
● The MICEX Group offers trading and settlement services for 5 markets:
۰ currency market (since 1992)
۰ federal bonds market (since 1993)
۰ derivatives market (since 1996)
۰ equity market (since 1997)
۰ corporate and regional bonds market (since 1999)
● Operates under the licenses of:
۰ Central Bank of the Russian Federation (currency market)
۰ Federal Service for the Financial Markets (securities market)
۰ Ministry for the Antimonopoly Policy (derivatives market)
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Group: National Financial Infrastructure
St.-Petersburg
Moscow
N. Novgorod
Novosibirsk
Rostov-on-Don Yekaterinburg Vladivostok
Samara
• 1500 banks and companies
• 10 000 clients
• 11 telecom providers
• 318 brokerage systems
• 500 000 orders a day
• 250 000 trades a day
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMICEX Group: Advanced Information Technologies● Screen-based trading with
remote access
● Possibility of numerous trade vehicles
● Integrated services: trading, clearing and settlement facilities in the ‘one-stop shopping’ environment
● Good scalability, flexibility and universality of the system
● According to the Gartner Group, the reliability of the Micex system is 99,99%
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Group: Daily Average Volumes
USD mln
PeriodMarket
2004 2005 Jan-Mar 2006
Foreign exchange
1400 2397 3216
Equities 434 574 1407
Corporate bonds 165 339 561
Federal bonds 187 409 516
Derivatives 2 26 100
Total 2188 3745 5800
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Group: Market Shares
Leading Russian exchanges’ market shares in 2005
PeriodMarket
MICEX RTSSPCEX and
other
Foreign exchange
94% 2% 4%
Equities* 79% 21% -
Corporate bonds
97% - 3%
Federal bonds 100% - -
Derivatives 21% 76% 3%
(*) Gazprom stocks had been in limited circulation till the end of 2005 and were traded on the Stock Exchange “Saint-Petersburg” (RTS SE Group) only. Gazprom stocks market share amounted to 15%.
• MICEX spot markets – basis for derivatives
• On-line funds transfers between MICEX markets
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Underlying USD / RUB Euro / RUB Euro / USD
Trading unit USD 1000 Euro 1000
Contract months Next 6 months + 2 months in quarterly March cycle
Next 6 months Next 6 months + 2 months in quarterly March cycle
Final settlement day 15-th of contract month
Delivery Cash settled
Final settlement price Micex USD / RUB exchange rate
Central Bank of Russia Euro / RUB exchange rate
ECB Euro / USD exchange rate
Tick 0,0001
Tick value RUB 0,1 RUB 0,1 RUB 3
Fee RUB 0,3 per contract RUB 0,3 per contract RUB 0,5 per contract
Initial margin(=Deposit margin)
RUB 600 - 1000 (depending on contract month)
RUB 1600 – 3500(depending on contract month)
RUB 1000 - 3500(depending on contract month)
MICEX Derivatives Market: Products
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Derivatives Market
Marketplace – MICEX
Clearing – MICEX
Settlement bank – MICEX Settlement House
• MICEX authorized capital: RUB 800 mln
• Derivatives Market Reserve Fund: RUB 200 mln
• MICEX SH authorized capital: RUB 255 mln
• MICEX SH is a specialized institution for providing
settlement services – “non-banking credit organization”
• The License and regulations of the Bank of Russia
do not allow active operations with clients' funds
deposited with MICEX SH (lending)
• This guarantees safety of clients' funds
Market Structure
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Membership Structure
MICEX Derivatives Section
General Clearing MemberIndividual Clearing
MemberAssociated Clearing
Member
Clients
General Trading Member
Individual Trading Member
Clients Clients Clients
GCM ICM GTM ITM ACM
Right to trade all types of contracts USD, EUR
Right to trade on its own account
Right to trade for and on behalf of its Clients
Right to settle its own and clients’ trades directly with MICEX
Right to settle Trading Members’ trades with MICEX Non banksBanks
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
March 2006
1 International Moscow Bank
2 Gazprombank
3 Metallinvestbank
4 MDM Bank
Membership Dynamics & Market Participants Rating
2005
1 Metallinvestbank
2 Vneshtorgbank
3 Eurofinance Mosnarbank
4 Sberbank
Date Total GCM ICM ACM GTM ITM Active
01.01.05 156 24 57 4 56 15 39
01.04.05 161 25 58 7 56 15 42
01.09.05 161 25 58 9 54 15 51
01.01.06 164 26 60 10 53 15 62
01.04.06 168 26 62 11 53 16 62
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Market Dynamics
● September 2004 — largest Russian banks set up a pool of liquidity providers
● Trading volume in 2005 – 6.5 mln contracts or USD 6.5 bln in notional value
● Trading volume in Q1 2006 — 5.7 mln contracts (11 times Q1’05 volume)
● End-of-March open interest — 1.9 mln contracts or USD 1.9 bln
● Record daily volume — USD 640 mln
● Average transaction volume in 2005 — USD 7 mln (Q1 2006 – USD 10.5 mln)
contracts, or USD ths.
0300 000600 000900 000
1 200 0001 500 0001 800 0002 100 0002 400 0002 700 0003 000 000
Oct 04 Dec 04 Feb 05 Apr 05 June 05 Aug 05 Oct 05 Dec 05 Feb 06
Trading volumeOpen interest
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
14 times
December 31, 2004
March'05
73.36%
January'05
22.98%
June'05
0.04%
February'05
3.63%
USD 140 mln
December 31, 2005
December'06
5%
March'06
10%February'06
7%
June'06
6%
May'06
16%
September'06
12%
January'06
34%
April'06
10%
USD 2 bln
Open Interest
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
* Based on official data from Internet sites of the exchanges
USD/RUB Futures MarketDaily average trading volume (USD mln.)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2004,Oct.
2004,Dec.
2005,Feb.
2005,Apr.
2005,Jun.
2005,Aug.
2005,Oct.
2005,Dec.
2006,Feb.
MICEX СМЕ RTS
Month-end open interest (USD bln.)
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
1.75
2.00
2004,Oct.
2004,Dec.
2005,Feb.
2005,Apr.
2005,Jun.
2005,Aug.
2005,Oct.
2005,Dec.
2006,Feb.
MICEX СМЕ RTS
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
* Based on official data from Internet sites of the exchanges
Futures and Options on Russian Exchanges
SPCEX0,4%
RTS73,1%
MICEX26,5%
MICEX68,5%
RTS29,8%
SPCEX1,7%
Q1 2006 trading volume
MICEX97%
RTS2%
SPCEX1%
End-of-March 2006 open interest
MICEX96%
RTS2%
SPCEX2%
FX only
All products
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Plans for 2006: STIRs
Short-term interest rate futures –
new instruments for the Russian market(1) Underlying - 3-month MosPrime Rate Calculated by the National Foreign Exchange Association Methodology is approved by EBRD which uses MosPrime Rate for quarterly setting coupon for
its floater Contributor Panel consists of 8 leading participants of the Russian money market:
ABN Amro, Citibank, Gazprombank, IMB, Raiffeisenbank, Sberbank, Vneshtorgbank, WestLB
Vostok Expected launch time – June 2006
(2) Underlying – compounded MosIBOR Overnight Rate Analogs – BM&F One-Day Interbank Deposut Futures, EONIA Futures O/n deposits account for 70% of Russian money market Contributor Panel consists of 16 leading participants of the Russian money market Expected launch time – July 2006
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMICEX SE: Leader Among Exchanges of the CIS and CEE
● The capitalization of the Russian
equity market is 84% of Russia’s
GDP or 647.4 bln USD (as of April
1, 2006)
● The trading volume in the Russian
stock market is over 60% of the
stock market of the countries of
the CIS, Central and Eastern
Europe
The turnover on the equity marketin January-February 2006 and the number of
issuers
bln USDThe number
of issuers
NYSE 2641.5 1817*
NASDAQ 2040.7 2816
London SE 1201.2 2762
Tokyo SE 1140.4 2337
Euronext 563.0 961
Deutsche Borse 420.5 645
Hong Kong Ex&Cl
125.8 1130
Shanghai SE 56.6 833
MICEX SE 49.6 186
Singapore Ex 26.6 458
Wiener Borse 12.4 91
Warsaw SE 8.6 234
*) January 2006
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
MICEX Index: Dynamics
CountryGrowth of national
stock index in Jan-Mar 2006
Russia(MICEX Index)
+28.5%
China (SSEC) +11.8%
Germany (DAX)
+10.4%
United Kingdom(FT-SE)
+6.2%
Japan (Nikkei) +5.9%
USA (DJIA) +3.7%
Changes in world indexes2000 -2005, %
MICEX Index
DJ IA
SSEC
Nikkei
FT-SE
DAX
-200 0 200 400 600 800 1000
On April 26 MICEX Index exceeded the level of 1500
Growth from the beginning of 2006 – 41%
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Plans for 2006: Futures on MICEX Index
ISSUER STOCK TYPE
"Aeroflot" Common stock
"AvtoVAZ" Common stock
"RAO UES" Common stock
"RAO UES" Preference stock
"Gazprom" Common stock
"Norilsk Nickel" Common stock
"LUKoil" Common stock
"Mosenergo" Common stock
"MTS" Common stock
"RBC IS" Common stock
"Rostelecom" Common stock
"Sberbank" Common stock
"Sberbank" Preference stock
"Sibneft" Common stock
"Surgutneftegaz" Common stock
"Surgutneftegaz" Preference stock
"Tatneft" Common stock
"Transneft" Preference stock
"Uralsvyazinform" Common stock
Q1 2006 Turnover
RTS$5.84bln (6%)
SE "Saint-Petersburg" (Gazprom stocks)
$14.74bln (15%)
MICEX Index $77.59bln
(76%)
MISEX SE(other stocks)$2.67bln (3%)
• Potentially the most attractive product for domestic investors
• Expected time – October 2006
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Plans for 2006: Options
Underlying: futures contracts on USD/RUB, later other futures Settlement method: futures-style, new for the Russian market Expected time: October-November 2006
Plans for 2007
Single stock futures and options Futures on federal bonds Futures on corporate bonds
Common variant of “cheapest–to-deliver”
or cash settled futures on the basis of ZCYC
National Mercantile Exchange – wheat, white sugar, oil, gold,… (commodity
futures)
ZCYC:• recalculated on-line • methodology was developed by the Central Bank and MICEX
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Plans for 2006: Financial Safeguard System
MICEX Reserve Fund for derivatives market
• The Board of Directors decided to recommend to the Shareholders Meeting to allocate to the Reserve Fund additionally RUB 300 mln• As a result the MICEX Reserve Fund for derivatives market will be increased up to RUB 500 mln• The Clearing Fund will be set up by clearing members• The Reserve Fund and the Clearing Fund will be used proportionately in cases when the initial margin of a defaulting clearing member is not sufficient to close out its positions
SPAN
• MICEX and CME have signed SPAN License Agreement• SPAN implementation is under way• Expected time - October-November 2006
Step-by-step raising of requirements for clearing members
• The goal is to strengthen the guarantee system by restricting clearing membership to first-rate banks only
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
SPAN Implementation Design
• Built in the trading system
• On-line margining
• Capital adequacy checks
orderprice
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Moscow Interbank Currency ExchangeMoscow Interbank Currency Exchange
Contacts
● Address:۰ 13, B. Kislovskiy per., Moscow, 125009, Russia
● Telephone:۰ +7 495 7059610
۰ +7 495 7059612
۰ +7 495 7059627
● Fax:۰ +7 495 2027504
● E-mail:۰ [email protected]
● Web-server:۰ www.micex.com