meeting of energy futures and energy cooperation in the northeast asia region

Meeting of Energy Futures and Energy Cooperation in the Northeast Asia Region Viet Nam- Country Report23-24 September-Beijing-ChinaBy: Dr. Pham Khanh Toan & Nguyen Minh Bao Institute of Energy

ContentsIntroductionRecent Changes in Energy Sector and Policies Work Progress and Interim Results of LEAP Paths Conclusions and Recommendations

1. IntroductionViet Nam stretches along the east coast of Indochina over a length of 1,600 km between the northern latitudes of 80 and 230.Total land area: 330,000 square kilometers. Shares common borders with the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) in the north, and with Laos and Cambodia in the west.

Population:2009: 85.8 million (result from the general population census in 01 April 2009).From 1999 to 2009: Population were increased by 9.5 million with an average growth rate of 1.18% per year, reducing nearly 0.5% compared with previous 10 year period (1989-1999). GDP: . Annual average GDP Growth Rate: 7.6% in 1990-2005, and 7.3% in 2005-2009.Introduction

2. Recent Changes in Energy Sector and Policies

Current Status and Recent Trends in Energy Sector Total Energy Use by Sector 1990-2007,(including Biomass Energy) Total energy consumption in 1990 was 16,760 KTOE and increased to 40,345 KTOE in 2007 with average growth rate of 5.3 percent per year.

Current Status and Recent Trends in Energy Sector In 2007, residential sector consumes 39% of total final energy, followed by industry (36%), transportation (20%), commerce (4%) and agriculture (1%).

The share of energy consumption by sector in 2007.

Chart1

10816

580

2976.4

746

2114.5

2028

850

264.6

Import4.2%

Others1.3%

VINACOMIN3.7%

Foreign IPP, BOT10.4%

PETRO VIETNAM10.0%

Ph lc 1

Ph lc 1 : CNG SUT T V KH DNG CC NM 200920092010

Nh myS myP thit k, (MW)P kh dng, (MW)Ch s huEVNEVN935810816

Tng cng sut1752116813PrivateT nhn500580

Thu in61736143JSCC phn23762976

Ho Bnh819201960EVNVINACOMINTKV226746

Thc B3120120EVNForeign IPP, BOTIPP, BOT nc ngoi21152115

Tuyn Quang3342342EVNPETROVIETNAMPVN20282028

Qung Tr26464EVNImportNhp khu750850

A Vng2210210EVNOthersKhc168265

Vnh Sn26666C phn20092010thm trong 2010

Sng Hinh27070C phnHPPsThy in65848126154237.6%

Pleikrong15050EVNGas thermalNhit in chy kh4684680

Ialy4720720EVNCoal thermalNhit in than192132611340

S San 32260260EVNOil thermalNhit in du5515510

S San 42280280C phnGas turbineTuabin kh668466840

Bun Tua Srah28686EVNImportNhp khu7507500

Bun Kup2280280EVNOthersKhc5635630

Sng Ba H2220110EVNTng 200917521204032882

Tr An4400440EVNTN+NLTT527

a Nhim4160160EVN

Thc M2150150C phnT m.Bc241636.7%

Hm Thun2300300EVNT m.Trung252138.3%

a Mi2175175EVNT m.Nam164725.0%

i Ninh2300300EVN

Nhit in than15451485

Ph Li 14440400C phn13.8%

Ph Li 22600580C phn

Ung B2105105EVN

Ung B m rng1300300EVN

Ninh Bnh4100100C phnT.ngun m.Bc4937

Hi Phng1EVNTMB/T.MBc48.9%

Qung Ninh1EVNT.ngun MB20106697

Nhit in du537516TMB/T.MBc1036.1%

Th c3169.5153EVN

Cn Th137.533EVN

Mn1330330EVN

Tua bin kh + ui hi31972945

B Ra8GT+S9+S10388334C phn

Ph M 214GT+ST23, 26949860EVN

Ph M 13GT+S1411401090EVN

Ph M 42GT+ST3468440EVN

Th c4GT10289EVN

Cn Th4GT150132EVN

Diesel v TN500300T nhn

Ngoi EVN55695424

Nm Chin 211616Cty CPT&PT in Ty Bc

Bn Cc31818Cty CPT Qu Phong

Na Dng2111110TKV

Cao ngn2115115TKV

Cm Ph1TKV

Sn ng1TKV

Ci Ln63936Vinashin

Bnh in24444Cty CPT Bnh in

Sng Cn36363Cty CPT Geruco - Sng Cn

S San 3A2108108C phn

Bc Bnh23333Cty CPPT in lc Vit Nam

Cn n27880TCty Sng

Srokphumieng25151TCty IDICO

Hip Phc3375375NT nc ngoi

Formosa1150150NT nc ngoi

Ph M 32GT+ST3740743NT nc ngoi


Nhn Trch 12GT+ST3465450PVN

C Mau 12GT+ST1771750PVN


Amata213.50NT nc ngoi

VeDan27272NT nc ngoi

Bourbon22424NT nc ngoi

m Ph M12121PVN

Mua TQ750700Nhp khu

145.985150

15874US/tone

0.1030.270.23598

0.1713237.04

0.27000

Pham Dien:Trc thuc Tp on Cao Su Vit Nam

Pham Dien:51% Tcty Sng 30% EVN19% Cty Xut nhp khu Bnh Minh (H Ni)

Ph lc 1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Ph lc 2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Ph lc 3.1

Ph lc 2: CNG SUT T V KH DNG CC NM T 2000-2009

1. Cng sut t (MW)

NmH ThngThu inNhit in thanNhit in duTua bin khDiesel v T nhNgoi ngnh

P%P%P%P%P%P%

20006235323451.964510.32003.2125020.04547.34527.2

20017872406951.76458.22002.5202825.84545.84766.0

20028893406945.8124514.02002.2242827.34545.14975.6

200310010406940.6124512.42002.0246724.64544.5157515.7

200410627406938.3124511.72001.9308429.04544.3157514.8

200511576406935.2124510.82001.7308426.64543.9252421.8

200612270438335.7124510.12001.6326226.64543.7272622.2

200713512439332.5154511.42051.5324824.04543.4366827.1

200815763525733.415459.82001.3319720.34542.9504432.0

200917521617335.215458.85373.1319718.25002.9556931.8

2. Cng sut kh dng (MW)


P%P%P%P%P%P%

20005742328657.260510.51863.2107318.71402.44527.9

20017380412155.86058.21862.5185125.11401.94776.5

20027967412151.77058.81862.3233829.31401.84776.0

20039266419345.38058.71862.0310133.51401.58419.1

200410046419341.7125512.51861.9343134.21401.48418.4

200510982419338.2125511.41861.7277225.21401.3243622.2

200611595443538.2120510.41861.6293225.32001.7263722.7

200712948448534.6150511.61861.4293322.72001.5363928.1

200815125533735.3150510.01861.2293219.42001.3496532.8

200916813614336.514858.85163.1294517.53001.8542432.3

Pham Dien:Tin thn l do Ban qun l d n Thy in 4 qun l

Ph lc 4.1

3.1 ng dy

Cp in pTng chiu di ng dy [km]

TT1TT2TT3TT4Cc CTLTng h thng

500kV103912105925973438

220 kV8497

110 kV12145

3.2 My bin p(khng k MBA u cc my pht)

Cp in pMin BcMin TrungMin NamTng h thng

500 kVS my54716

Tng MVA2250180034507500

220 kVS my491753119

Tng MVA74391939971619094

110 kVS my295105346746

Tng MVA946127641363725862

66 kVS my--11

Tng MVA--3838

3.3 Chiu di ng dy v dung lng my bin p truyn ti qua cc nm

Cp in p500 kV220 kV110 kV66 kV

ng dy1998148822706213312

[km]1999152828306430330

2000152828307134267

2001152836067522208

200215284266812385

200315284671859133

200420234798933933

2005326552301087433

2006328656501105333

200732866487114090

200832867101117510

200934388497121450

My bin p1998270040325834631

[MVA]1999270055356132657

2000270060367737658

2001270079109427577

20023150916111621501

200340501075213740150

200440501239016572150

200561501489018459150

200666001592320656150

20077050175132223868

20087050186392383438

20097500190942586238

Ph lc 4.2

Ph lc 4 : DANH SCH CNG TRNH MI NG IN NM 2009

4.1 Ngun in

NgyNh my inLoi NMCng sutin pLu Thu inN kh/duN thanNLTTnhp

[MW][kV]1066

07/03S1 MnNhit in du34816

08/03S1 Sn ngNhit in than100

29/03M1 Bun KupThu in14013.8

22/04ST3 Nhn Trchui hi TBK150

12/05S1 Qung NinhNhit in than300

16/05M1 Bnh inThu in22


11/06M2 Ba HThu in110

15/06S1 Hi PhngNhit in than300

11/07S1 Cm PhNhit in than300

30/073M Bn CcThu in18

15/08M1 Sng CnThu in20



07/09M1 Bun tua srahThu in4313.8

10/09M1 PleikrongThu in50

19/092M Bc BnhThu in33


14/10M1 Nm ChinThu in16

03/11M1 S San 4Thu in12013.8


08/12M2 S San 4Thu in12013.8


Tng2545

Ph lc 4.3

4.2 ng dy

Thi gianng dyin pChiu diLoi dy

[kV][km]

HT 500kV

31/12D 582 Thng Tn - Qung Ninh5001524xACSR-330

Min Bc

20/01D 173 nh V - Thp nh V1101.5AC-300

20/01D 174 nh V - Thp nh V1101.5AC-300

21/01D 171 nh V - Ct Bi1106.8AC-300

12/03D 175 Vt Cch - Thp Vn Li1102AC-185

24/03D 172 K Anh - Tng nh11011.7ACSR-240

14/04D 174 Thi Bnh - V Th11014AC-185

14/04D 175 Thi Bnh 220kV - Thi Bnh 110kV11014AC-185

15/04D 171 Thi Bnh - Thp Sengli1102.3AC-300

26/04D 271 Honh B - 272 T500 Qung Ninh22020.4ACSR-330


05/06D 281 N Hi Phng 275 Vt Cch22029ACSR-400


10/06D 173 Bc Quang - T Nm Mu1101.6AC-240

26/06D 173 Qunh Lu - Din Chu11025.5AC-185

12/07D 171 Nghi Sn - Trung Bnh1102x51.5AC-185

02/08D 173 Tin Yn - r Qung H1102x03AC-120

22/08D 275 Nho Quan - 276 H ng - r Ph L2202x1.7AC-330

08/10D 175 Vit Tr - r NM Nm chin II1106AC-185

Min Trung

15/03D 272 Nng - A Vng220

01/07D 110kV i Lc - Sng Cn 2110

01/07D 110kV Thnh M - Sng Cn 2110

26/07D 273 Bun Kup - Bun Tua Sarh220

30/07D 220kV Sesan 3 - Sesan 3A220

27/10D 110kV 178 Nha Trang 220 - 175 Tuy Ha.110

27/10D 273 Nha Trang - 274 Tuy Ha220

Min Nam

10/01ng in D 220kV 2 mch Tht Nt - Chu c 2 (u ni tm r nhnh vo D 220kV Cao Lnh - Rch Gi)220

12/01D 110kV Chu c 2 - Tri Tn11036.85AC-240/32

13/01Tch D 220kV Cai Ly - Tr Nc u ni vo thanh ci 110kV trm 220kV NM Mn22079.1ACSR-411

13/01Tch D 110 kV Chu c - Ci Du u ni vo thanh ci 110kV trm 220kV Chu c 211019.03AC-150

18/01ng in nhnh r 110kV vo trm XM H Tin 2-Long An1107.649AC-240

20/03ng in khng ti D 2 mch 220kV NM C Mau - Bc Liu 222068.2ACSR-411

30/03ng in 2 mch ng dy 220kV Chu c - T Keo cp in cho Campuchia22079.94ACSR-450/58 +ACSR-795MCM

05/04ng in khng ti on cp ngm t ng dy Ct Li - Th c ng vo trm 110kV InTel1102x0.85XLPE-500

24/04D 110kV Tn ng Hip - Sunsteel1102.2ACSR-185/29

26/04Nhnh r vo trm Tam Phc1102x2.1ACSR-240/39

07/05D 220kV 2 mch Takeo - West PnomPenh (2 mch)220

22/05D 110kV NM i Ninh - Phan R11043AC-185

11/07Chuyn u ni trm 220kV Bc Liu qua ng dy 220kV NM C Mau - Bc Liu mi.22071.127ACSR-795MCM

18/08ng in li D 110kV Nh B - Cn c sau thi gian di ct in ci to)110

04/09ng in D 110kV i Ninh - Bc Bnh1104.62ACSR-150

30/09ng in D 110kV Phan Thit - Mi N11024.58AC-185

01/10ng in D 110kV C Mau 2 - Trn Vn Thi11025.33AC-240

13/11ng in D u ni vo NM Bo lc11018.2LGJ-150/24

19/11ng in nhnh r D 110kV vo trm XM Bnh Phc1105.376ACSR-185/29

20/11ng in D u ni vo trm 220kV Long An2202x0.177AC-400/51

20/12ng in D 175 Bn Tre - Ba Tri1105.76AC-185

4.3 Trm bin p

Thi gianTrmThit bCng sutin pLu

[MVA][kV]

HT 500 kV

10/11T500 TTKH502 KT502500ng mi

16/12T500 PKAT1500ng mi

30/12T500 DSAT2, TD32 & cc t.b 500kV500ng mi

30/12T500 PKMC 232ng mi

Min Bc

04/01T110 Ninh DnMBA T125110/22ng mi

12/02T220 N Sn ngMBA T2110220/13.8ng mi

13/02T110 XM Thi nguynMBA T125110/13.8ng mi

24/03T110 Tng nhMBA T240110/22ng mi


31/03T110 Yn PhongMBA T163110/22ng mi

12/04T110 nh TrmMBA T140110/22ng mi

14/04T110 Hi DngMBA T440110/22ng mi

27/04T220 Ph NiMBA AT1250220/110/22Thay my

10/06T110 T Nm muMBA T120110/13.8ng mi

10/06T110 T Nm muMBA T220110/13.9ng mi

23/06T220 Vt CchMBA AT2125220/110/22ng mi

25/06T110 Din ChuMBA T125110/22ng mi

03/07T220 N Cm phMBA T1400220/10.5ng mi

09/07T110 XM Bt sn IIMBA T1, T216110/22ng mi

09/07T110 TheVisaiMBA T131.5110/22ng mi

12/07T110 Trung bnhMBA T140110/22ng mi

02/08T110 Qung HMBA T116110/22ng mi

10/08T110 XM Ho PhtMBA T125110/22ng mi

23/08T220 Ph LMBA AT2125220/110/22ng mi

05/09T110 XM Thanh LimMBA T112.5110/22ng mi

16/09T110 XM Bm snMBA T350110/35/6Thay my

25/09T110 ng AnhMBA T163110/35/6Thay my

13/10T110 XM Phc snMBA T325110/22ng mi

14/10T110 T Nm chin IIMBA T116110/22ng mi


04/11T220 Thi NguynMBA AT1250220/110/2Thay my

12/10T220 ChmMBA AT5250220/110ng mi

27/12T220 H ngMBA AT6250220/110ng mi

Min Trung

15/03T110 M ThnhMBA T140110/22ng mi

28/03T220 T Bun KupMBA T1165220/13.8ng mi

09/06T220 T Sng Ba HMBA T2150220/13.8ng mi

05/09T220 T Bun tua srahMBA T151220/13.8ng mi

09/09T110 Tam QuanMBA T125110/22ng mi


28/09T220 T S San 4MBA T1150220/13.8ng mi

22/12T220 Ho KhnhMBA AT3125220/110ng mi

Min Nam

10/01T110 Kim TnMBA T216110/22ng mi

11/01T220 Chu c 2MBA T1125220/110/20ng mi

12/01T110 Tri TnMBA T140115/23ng mi

12/01T110 PoscoMBA T110115/23ng mi

15/01T110 M Xun AMBA T263115/23ng mi

12/02T110 HyosungMBA T340110/22ng mi

01/03T110 L Minh XunMBA T163115/23ng mi

04/03T110 Ct LiMBA T463115/15.75ng mi

16/03T110 Ph nhMBA T263115/15.75Thay my

22/03T110 Tn ThunMBA T263115/22/15.75ng mi

29/03T110 Vnh LcMBA T263115/15.75ng mi

29/03T110 VSIP 2MBA T163115/22ng mi

07/04T110 IntelMBA T163115/22ng mi


24/04T110 SunteelMBA T175110/22ng mi

26/04T110 Tam PhcMBA T140110/22ng mi

07/05T220 West Phnom PenhMBA T1220/110ng mi



17/05T110 XM Long AnMBA T116110/15ng mi

07/06T110 ng NaiMBT T263115/22Thay my

21/06T110 Ph nhMBT T163115/22Thay my

28/06T110 KCN Tn ToMBT T163115/22ng mi

19/07T110 G VpMBT T160115/15ng mi

11/08T110 Tuy PhongMBT 1T45115/22ng mi

13/08T110 Tn HipMBT 2T40115/22Thay my

16/08T110 Thnh HngMBT 1T40115/22Thay my

19/08T110 Bu BoMBT 1T63115/22Thay my

30/08T110 Lt 2MBT 1T40115/22Thay my

04/09T110 T Bc BnhMBT T1110/22ng mi


06/09T110 Phan ThitMBT T163110/22Thay my

17/09T110 Thun NamMBT T140110/22Thay my

20/09T110 Tn ng HipMBT T263110/22ng mi

21/09T110 Bnh cMBT T140110/22Thay my

21/09T110 Trng uaMBT T163110/22Thay my

30/09T110 Mi NMBT T140110/22ng mi

01/10T110 Trn Vn ThiMBT T140115/23ng mi

03/10T110 c LinhMBT T140115/23Thay my

01/11T110 Sa cMBT 1T40115/22Thay my

05/11T110 m DiMBT 1T25115/22ng mi

13/11T110 T Bo LcMBT 1T16115/22ng mi

13/11T110 T Bo LcMBT 1T16115/22ng mi

18/11T110 Thnh ngMBT T140110/22ng mi

20/11T220 Long AnMBT T1125220/110ng mi


30/11T110 XM Bnh PhcMBT T240110/22ng mi

Chart2

8126

468

3261

550.5

6684

750

563

Ph lc 1

Ph lc 1 : CNG SUT T V KH DNG CC NM 200920092010

Nh myS myP thit k, (MW)P kh dng, (MW)Ch s huEVNEVN935810816

Tng cng sut1752116813PrivateT nhn500580

Thu in61736143JSCC phn23762976

Ho Bnh819201960EVNVINACOMINTKV226746

Thc B3120120EVNForeign IPP, BOTIPP, BOT nc ngoi21152115

Tuyn Quang3342342EVNPETROVIETNAMPVN20282028

Qung Tr26464EVNImportNhp khu750850

A Vng2210210EVNOthersKhc168265

Vnh Sn26666C phn20092010thm trong 2010

Sng Hinh27070C phnHPPsThy in65848126154237.6%

Pleikrong15050EVNGas thermalNhit in chy kh4684680

Ialy4720720EVNCoal thermalNhit in than192132611340

S San 32260260EVNOil thermalNhit in du5515510

S San 42280280C phnGas turbineTuabin kh668466840

Bun Tua Srah28686EVNImportNhp khu7507500

Bun Kup2280280EVNOthersKhc5635630

Sng Ba H2220110EVNTng 200917521204032882

Tr An4400440EVNTN+NLTT527

a Nhim4160160EVN

Thc M2150150C phnT m.Bc241636.7%

Hm Thun2300300EVNT m.Trung252138.3%

a Mi2175175EVNT m.Nam164725.0%

i Ninh2300300EVN

Nhit in than15451485

Ph Li 14440400C phn13.8%

Ph Li 22600580C phn

Ung B2105105EVN

Ung B m rng1300300EVN

Ninh Bnh4100100C phnT.ngun m.Bc4937

Hi Phng1EVNTMB/T.MBc48.9%

Qung Ninh1EVNT.ngun MB20106697

Nhit in du537516TMB/T.MBc1036.1%

Th c3169.5153EVN

Cn Th137.533EVN

Mn1330330EVN

Tua bin kh + ui hi31972945

B Ra8GT+S9+S10388334C phn

Ph M 214GT+ST23, 26949860EVN

Ph M 13GT+S1411401090EVN

Ph M 42GT+ST3468440EVN

Th c4GT10289EVN

Cn Th4GT150132EVN

Diesel v TN500300T nhn

Ngoi EVN55695424

Nm Chin 211616Cty CPT&PT in Ty Bc

Bn Cc31818Cty CPT Qu Phong

Na Dng2111110TKV

Cao ngn2115115TKV

Cm Ph1TKV

Sn ng1TKV

Ci Ln63936Vinashin

Bnh in24444Cty CPT Bnh in

Sng Cn36363Cty CPT Geruco - Sng Cn

S San 3A2108108C phn

Bc Bnh23333Cty CPPT in lc Vit Nam

Cn n27880TCty Sng

Srokphumieng25151TCty IDICO

Hip Phc3375375NT nc ngoi

Formosa1150150NT nc ngoi



Nhn Trch 12GT+ST3465450PVN



Amata213.50NT nc ngoi

VeDan27272NT nc ngoi

Bourbon22424NT nc ngoi

m Ph M12121PVN

Mua TQ750700Nhp khu

145.985150

15874US/tone

0.1030.270.23598

0.1713237.04

0.27000

Pham Dien:Trc thuc Tp on Cao Su Vit Nam

Pham Dien:51% Tcty Sng 30% EVN19% Cty Xut nhp khu Bnh Minh (H Ni)

Ph lc 1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Ph lc 2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Ph lc 3.1

Ph lc 2: CNG SUT T V KH DNG CC NM T 2000-2009

1. Cng sut t (MW)


P%P%P%P%P%P%

20006235323451.964510.32003.2125020.04547.34527.2

20017872406951.76458.22002.5202825.84545.84766.0

20028893406945.8124514.02002.2242827.34545.14975.6

200310010406940.6124512.42002.0246724.64544.5157515.7

200410627406938.3124511.72001.9308429.04544.3157514.8

200511576406935.2124510.82001.7308426.64543.9252421.8

200612270438335.7124510.12001.6326226.64543.7272622.2

200713512439332.5154511.42051.5324824.04543.4366827.1

200815763525733.415459.82001.3319720.34542.9504432.0

200917521617335.215458.85373.1319718.25002.9556931.8

2. Cng sut kh dng (MW)


P%P%P%P%P%P%

20005742328657.260510.51863.2107318.71402.44527.9

20017380412155.86058.21862.5185125.11401.94776.5

20027967412151.77058.81862.3233829.31401.84776.0

20039266419345.38058.71862.0310133.51401.58419.1

200410046419341.7125512.51861.9343134.21401.48418.4

200510982419338.2125511.41861.7277225.21401.3243622.2

200611595443538.2120510.41861.6293225.32001.7263722.7

200712948448534.6150511.61861.4293322.72001.5363928.1

200815125533735.3150510.01861.2293219.42001.3496532.8

200916813614336.514858.85163.1294517.53001.8542432.3

Pham Dien:Tin thn l do Ban qun l d n Thy in 4 qun l

Ph lc 4.1

3.1 ng dy

Cp in pTng chiu di ng dy [km]

TT1TT2TT3TT4Cc CTLTng h thng

500kV103912105925973438

220 kV8497

110 kV12145

3.2 My bin p(khng k MBA u cc my pht)

Cp in pMin BcMin TrungMin NamTng h thng

500 kVS my54716

Tng MVA2250180034507500

220 kVS my491753119

Tng MVA74391939971619094

110 kVS my295105346746

Tng MVA946127641363725862

66 kVS my--11

Tng MVA--3838

3.3 Chiu di ng dy v dung lng my bin p truyn ti qua cc nm

Cp in p500 kV220 kV110 kV66 kV

ng dy1998148822706213312

[km]1999152828306430330

2000152828307134267

2001152836067522208

200215284266812385

200315284671859133

200420234798933933

2005326552301087433

2006328656501105333

200732866487114090

200832867101117510

200934388497121450

My bin p1998270040325834631

[MVA]1999270055356132657

2000270060367737658

2001270079109427577

20023150916111621501

200340501075213740150

200440501239016572150

200561501489018459150

200666001592320656150

20077050175132223868

20087050186392383438

20097500190942586238

Ph lc 4.2

Ph lc 4 : DANH SCH CNG TRNH MI NG IN NM 2009

4.1 Ngun in

NgyNh my inLoi NMCng sutin pLu Thu inN kh/duN thanNLTTnhp

[MW][kV]1066

07/03S1 MnNhit in du34816

08/03S1 Sn ngNhit in than100


22/04ST3 Nhn Trchui hi TBK150

12/05S1 Qung NinhNhit in than300




15/06S1 Hi PhngNhit in than300

11/07S1 Cm PhNhit in than300

30/073M Bn CcThu in18





10/09M1 PleikrongThu in50

19/092M Bc BnhThu in33


14/10M1 Nm ChinThu in16

03/11M1 S San 4Thu in12013.8


08/12M2 S San 4Thu in12013.8


Tng2545

Ph lc 4.3

4.2 ng dy

Thi gianng dyin pChiu diLoi dy

[kV][km]

HT 500kV

31/12D 582 Thng Tn - Qung Ninh5001524xACSR-330

Min Bc

20/01D 173 nh V - Thp nh V1101.5AC-300

20/01D 174 nh V - Thp nh V1101.5AC-300

21/01D 171 nh V - Ct Bi1106.8AC-300

12/03D 175 Vt Cch - Thp Vn Li1102AC-185

24/03D 172 K Anh - Tng nh11011.7ACSR-240

14/04D 174 Thi Bnh - V Th11014AC-185

14/04D 175 Thi Bnh 220kV - Thi Bnh 110kV11014AC-185

15/04D 171 Thi Bnh - Thp Sengli1102.3AC-300





10/06D 173 Bc Quang - T Nm Mu1101.6AC-240

26/06D 173 Qunh Lu - Din Chu11025.5AC-185

12/07D 171 Nghi Sn - Trung Bnh1102x51.5AC-185

02/08D 173 Tin Yn - r Qung H1102x03AC-120

22/08D 275 Nho Quan - 276 H ng - r Ph L2202x1.7AC-330

08/10D 175 Vit Tr - r NM Nm chin II1106AC-185

Min Trung

15/03D 272 Nng - A Vng220

01/07D 110kV i Lc - Sng Cn 2110

01/07D 110kV Thnh M - Sng Cn 2110

26/07D 273 Bun Kup - Bun Tua Sarh220

30/07D 220kV Sesan 3 - Sesan 3A220

27/10D 110kV 178 Nha Trang 220 - 175 Tuy Ha.110

27/10D 273 Nha Trang - 274 Tuy Ha220

Min Nam

10/01ng in D 220kV 2 mch Tht Nt - Chu c 2 (u ni tm r nhnh vo D 220kV Cao Lnh - Rch Gi)220

12/01D 110kV Chu c 2 - Tri Tn11036.85AC-240/32

13/01Tch D 220kV Cai Ly - Tr Nc u ni vo thanh ci 110kV trm 220kV NM Mn22079.1ACSR-411

13/01Tch D 110 kV Chu c - Ci Du u ni vo thanh ci 110kV trm 220kV Chu c 211019.03AC-150

18/01ng in nhnh r 110kV vo trm XM H Tin 2-Long An1107.649AC-240

20/03ng in khng ti D 2 mch 220kV NM C Mau - Bc Liu 222068.2ACSR-411

30/03ng in 2 mch ng dy 220kV Chu c - T Keo cp in cho Campuchia22079.94ACSR-450/58 +ACSR-795MCM

05/04ng in khng ti on cp ngm t ng dy Ct Li - Th c ng vo trm 110kV InTel1102x0.85XLPE-500

24/04D 110kV Tn ng Hip - Sunsteel1102.2ACSR-185/29

26/04Nhnh r vo trm Tam Phc1102x2.1ACSR-240/39

07/05D 220kV 2 mch Takeo - West PnomPenh (2 mch)220

22/05D 110kV NM i Ninh - Phan R11043AC-185

11/07Chuyn u ni trm 220kV Bc Liu qua ng dy 220kV NM C Mau - Bc Liu mi.22071.127ACSR-795MCM

18/08ng in li D 110kV Nh B - Cn c sau thi gian di ct in ci to)110

04/09ng in D 110kV i Ninh - Bc Bnh1104.62ACSR-150

30/09ng in D 110kV Phan Thit - Mi N11024.58AC-185

01/10ng in D 110kV C Mau 2 - Trn Vn Thi11025.33AC-240

13/11ng in D u ni vo NM Bo lc11018.2LGJ-150/24

19/11ng in nhnh r D 110kV vo trm XM Bnh Phc1105.376ACSR-185/29

20/11ng in D u ni vo trm 220kV Long An2202x0.177AC-400/51

20/12ng in D 175 Bn Tre - Ba Tri1105.76AC-185

4.3 Trm bin p

Thi gianTrmThit bCng sutin pLu

[MVA][kV]

HT 500 kV

10/11T500 TTKH502 KT502500ng mi

16/12T500 PKAT1500ng mi

30/12T500 DSAT2, TD32 & cc t.b 500kV500ng mi

30/12T500 PKMC 232ng mi

Min Bc

04/01T110 Ninh DnMBA T125110/22ng mi

12/02T220 N Sn ngMBA T2110220/13.8ng mi

13/02T110 XM Thi nguynMBA T125110/13.8ng mi



31/03T110 Yn PhongMBA T163110/22ng mi

12/04T110 nh TrmMBA T140110/22ng mi

14/04T110 Hi DngMBA T440110/22ng mi

27/04T220 Ph NiMBA AT1250220/110/22Thay my

10/06T110 T Nm muMBA T120110/13.8ng mi

10/06T110 T Nm muMBA T220110/13.9ng mi

23/06T220 Vt CchMBA AT2125220/110/22ng mi

25/06T110 Din ChuMBA T125110/22ng mi

03/07T220 N Cm phMBA T1400220/10.5ng mi

09/07T110 XM Bt sn IIMBA T1, T216110/22ng mi

09/07T110 TheVisaiMBA T131.5110/22ng mi

12/07T110 Trung bnhMBA T140110/22ng mi

02/08T110 Qung HMBA T116110/22ng mi

10/08T110 XM Ho PhtMBA T125110/22ng mi

23/08T220 Ph LMBA AT2125220/110/22ng mi

05/09T110 XM Thanh LimMBA T112.5110/22ng mi

16/09T110 XM Bm snMBA T350110/35/6Thay my

25/09T110 ng AnhMBA T163110/35/6Thay my

13/10T110 XM Phc snMBA T325110/22ng mi



04/11T220 Thi NguynMBA AT1250220/110/2Thay my

12/10T220 ChmMBA AT5250220/110ng mi

27/12T220 H ngMBA AT6250220/110ng mi

Min Trung

15/03T110 M ThnhMBA T140110/22ng mi


09/06T220 T Sng Ba HMBA T2150220/13.8ng mi

05/09T220 T Bun tua srahMBA T151220/13.8ng mi

09/09T110 Tam QuanMBA T125110/22ng mi


28/09T220 T S San 4MBA T1150220/13.8ng mi

22/12T220 Ho KhnhMBA AT3125220/110ng mi

Min Nam

10/01T110 Kim TnMBA T216110/22ng mi

11/01T220 Chu c 2MBA T1125220/110/20ng mi

12/01T110 Tri TnMBA T140115/23ng mi

12/01T110 PoscoMBA T110115/23ng mi

15/01T110 M Xun AMBA T263115/23ng mi

12/02T110 HyosungMBA T340110/22ng mi

01/03T110 L Minh XunMBA T163115/23ng mi

04/03T110 Ct LiMBA T463115/15.75ng mi

16/03T110 Ph nhMBA T263115/15.75Thay my

22/03T110 Tn ThunMBA T263115/22/15.75ng mi

29/03T110 Vnh LcMBA T263115/15.75ng mi

29/03T110 VSIP 2MBA T163115/22ng mi



24/04T110 SunteelMBA T175110/22ng mi

26/04T110 Tam PhcMBA T140110/22ng mi




17/05T110 XM Long AnMBA T116110/15ng mi

07/06T110 ng NaiMBT T263115/22Thay my

21/06T110 Ph nhMBT T163115/22Thay my

28/06T110 KCN Tn ToMBT T163115/22ng mi

19/07T110 G VpMBT T160115/15ng mi

11/08T110 Tuy PhongMBT 1T45115/22ng mi

13/08T110 Tn HipMBT 2T40115/22Thay my

16/08T110 Thnh HngMBT 1T40115/22Thay my

19/08T110 Bu BoMBT 1T63115/22Thay my

30/08T110 Lt 2MBT 1T40115/22Thay my



06/09T110 Phan ThitMBT T163110/22Thay my

17/09T110 Thun NamMBT T140110/22Thay my

20/09T110 Tn ng HipMBT T263110/22ng mi

21/09T110 Bnh cMBT T140110/22Thay my

21/09T110 Trng uaMBT T163110/22Thay my

30/09T110 Mi NMBT T140110/22ng mi

01/10T110 Trn Vn ThiMBT T140115/23ng mi

03/10T110 c LinhMBT T140115/23Thay my

01/11T110 Sa cMBT 1T40115/22Thay my

05/11T110 m DiMBT 1T25115/22ng mi

13/11T110 T Bo LcMBT 1T16115/22ng mi

13/11T110 T Bo LcMBT 1T16115/22ng mi

18/11T110 Thnh ngMBT T140110/22ng mi



30/11T110 XM Bnh PhcMBT T240110/22ng mi

*

Chart4

270400.1391498504

311370.1515162722

364100.1693483637

412750.1336171381

467900.1336159903

536470.1465484078

605330.1283575969

686990.1349016239

759550.1056201691

869480.1447304325

Power Gen.-GWh

Growth Rate

Installed

Nh myS myP thit k, (MW)P kh dng, (MW)

Tng cng sut1350912948

Thu in4393448532.5%463034.3%

Ho Bnh819201960

Thc B3108120

Qung Tr26464

Vnh Sn26666

Ialy4720720

S San 32260260

Sng Hinh27070

Tr An4400440

Thc M2150150

a Nhim4160160

Hm Thun2300300

a Mi2175175

Nhit in than1545150511.4%192014.2%

Ph Li 14440400

Ph Li 22600600

Ung B2105105

Ung B m rng1300300

Ninh Bnh4100100

Nhit in du2001861.5%6604.9%

Th c3165153

Cn Th13533

Tua bin kh3248293324.0%523238.7%

B Ra8GT+S9+S10399322

Ph M 214GT+ST23, 26982880

Ph M 13GT+S1411381065

Ph M 42GT+ST3468440

Th c411190

Cn Th4150136

Diesel v T nh4542003.4%10677.9%

Ngoi ngnh3669363927.2%

Amata21313

Bourbon22424

C Mau2500500

Ci Ln63939

Cn n27878

Cao ngn2115110

m Ph M11818

Formosa1150150

Hip Phc3375375

Na Dng2110110

Ph M 222GT+ST3733715

Ph M 32GT+ST3733726

S San 3A2108108

Srokphumieng25151

VeDan27272

Mua TQ550550

Growth

Nm199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009

Tng pht ton HT14326169451915321642237372704031137364104127546790536476053368699759558694813.9%15.2%16.9%13.4%13.4%14.7%12.8%13.5%10.6%14.5%14.0%13.8%12.8%

Tng pht + mua14326169451915321526234842645730423357154059046226518545878166612741974.802.54

Tng pht ca EVN1432616942191452085122202249162843333680392444024341185465365065852875

Hn ch22153356.51.04.21.5237.790372603

Thu in104141201011678110891376014539181691820519005177131617319207214802148035151

Ho Bnh68607206702669127980808384478167859784058165770191001014382.0338294993822.74251497014054,400

Thc B4524844843792733454014013713803353223244751002,400

Qung Tr6425410404,400

Vnh Sn238338286211418350215218270217184331260361127541104,400

Ialy90829753735339433213034375534133338112861004,400

Sng Hinh2084413704023592893973984981468220

Tr An143418561773161525082232217918471987174215041946203816590.1300726564600291

a Nhim9211162112211601326128910538109517665251033118712451,200183

Thc M5097878006011027932927832831637581896899762300387

Hm Thun92411121216105483811831186823440375

a Mi4004687085584946826304961,2003,900

S san 3612113011313001,500

Thu in nh1771872112281902082452772732243498512082,2002,800

Nhit in than2003237733253480291531353222487171927006811688038973149811,8001,200

Ph Li 1165116512264238720822153222022742579220224592937283225852,400

Ph Lai 2135132023529429943154198433140,000

Ung B221376541601574428490697731641669757694720

Ung B 2520532

Ninh Bnh130350520492260554509549681633689794729752

Nhit in du906903100813291019113711161018890601677600740

Th c7217198001082826955880812697424549472603

Cn Th185184208247193182236206193177128128137

ui hi132300400259835784839554062676905

TBK chy kh109719733437346440474026571583889791102191141411975

B Ra1097107314561251125010951396134713811386131012446700

Ph M 219001981221327971924544274131592411384236250.3828571429

Ph M 11006377542984192459342365135

Ph M 41059182920261971

TBK chy du10033369461157686151814101187163249445220543

B Ra8735727718075189151702818411381

Ph M 211819555569451522132111450132

Ph M 172216976542

Ph M 4321081268

Th c1302472684542503132751996417353270

Cn Th3222042830644746518049155142109151

Diesel21921535922624090862943162542

in sx ngoi EVN38792153421252704273520306895122241399718041

Amata233774706850672613

BourBon1822297258435769

Hip Phc75914521747210019111194106614249551726

V an278502511454432463514534

Ph M 31664154444241103883

Ph M 22210371948555004

Formosa19980010861113

Cn n256259327361

Na Dng70389709744

Cao Ngn70445

Ci Ln81

Srokphumieng32252

S san 3A7345

C Mau691

Mua TQ393839662630

m Ph M141150

in mua ngoi38675128215411990204013465983106691224515954

6600

7950

13200

17550

19650

64950

500

Giai onKhi lng (km)Khi lng (MVA)

Hin ti33026600

2007-201021377950

2011-2015304513200

2016-2020713717550

2021-2025590019650

Tng n 20252146864950

220


Hin ti574715923

2007-2010808119326

2011-2015588131139

2016-2020284538438

2021-2025129943813

Tng n 202523853148639

Growth

Power Gen.-GWh

Growth Rate

Shares

200220032004200520062007

364104127547138536476062368699

16.90%13.4%14.2%13.8%13.0%13.3%

448500574636739823

Pmax (MW)6 5527 408828392551018711286

15.90%13.10%11.80%11.73%10%10.80%

18 20519 00517713161731929222438

50.00%46.00%37.60%30.15%31.73%35.10%

8 61910 11414502182661973621568

23.70%24.50%30.70%34.05%32.56%33.60%

TBK9 58612 15614923188252059920079

26.30%29.50%31.70%35.09%33.98%31.30%

Mua TQ393839962600

200220032004200520062007

364104127547138536476062366738

16.90%13.4%14.2%13.8%13.0%10.1%

448500574636739

Pmax (MW)6 5527 408828392551018711286

15.90%13.10%11.80%11.73%10%10.80%

18 20519 00517713161731929222490

50.00%46.00%37.60%30.15%31.73%35.10%

8 61910 11414502182661973621568

23.70%24.50%30.70%34.05%32.56%33.60%

TBK9 58612 15614923188252059920079

26.30%29.50%31.70%35.09%33.98%31.30%

Mua TQ393839962600

G by fuel type

Nm1995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007

Tng pht ton HT1432616945191532164223737270403113736410412754679053647605336869913.9%15.2%16.9%13.4%13.4%14.7%12.8%13.5%

Tng pht + mua14326169451915321526234842645730423357154059046226518545878166612

Tng pht ca EVN14326169421914520851222022491628433336803924440243411854653650658

Hn ch22153356.51.04.21.5237.790372

Thu in1041412010116781108913760145371817018205190041796816432195732243832.7%23332

Ho Bnh686072067026691279808083844781678597840581657701910082.0338294993822.74251497014054,400

Thc B4524844843792733454014013713803353223241002,400

Qung Tr6410404,400

Vnh Sn238338286211418350215218270217184331260127541104,400

Ialy9082975373533943321303437553413112861004,400

Sng Hinh2084413704023592893973981468220

Tr An14341856177316152508223221791847198717421504194620380.1300726564600291

a Nhim921116211221160132612891053810951766525103311871,200183

Thc M5097878006011027932927832831637581896899300387

Hm Thun92411121216105483811831186440375

a Mi4004687085584946826301,2003,900

S san 361211303001,500

Thu in nh1771872112281902082452772732243498512,2002,800

Nhit in than20022377332534802916313532194871719372749305106681127521.6%1,8001,200

Ph Li 116511651226423872082215322202274257922022459293728322,400

Ph Lai 213513202352942994315419840,000

Ung B221376541601574428490697731641669757694

Ung B 2520

Ninh Bnh130350520492260554509549681633689794729

Nhit in du1909123919543245318047175202469727692398307623153556

Th c7217198001082826955880812697424549472603

Cn Th185184208247193182236206193177128128137

ui hi1323004002598357848395540626769053551351.7%

TBK chy kh010971973343735964347442583131213018994239202678728608

B Ra109710731456125112501095139613471381138613101244

Ph M 21900198122132797192454427413159241138423625

Ph M 11006377542984192459342365135

Ph M 41059182920261971

TBK chy du10033369461157686151814101187163249445220543

B Ra8735727718075189151702818411381

Ph M 211819555569451522132111450132

Ph M 172216976542

Ph M 4321081268

Th c1302472684542503132751996417353270

Cn Th3222042830644746518049155142109151

Diesel219215359226240908629431625123

in sx ngoi EVN38792153421252704273520306895122241399718041

Amata233774706850672613

BourBon1822297258435769

Hip Phc75914521747210019111194106614249551726

V an278502511454432463514534

Ph M 31664154444241103883

Ph M 22210371948555004

Formosa19980010861113

Cn n256259327361

Na Dng70389709744

Cao Ngn7044532500

Ci Ln81

Srokphumieng32252

S san 3A7345

C Mau691

Mua TQ393839662630

m Ph M141150

in mua ngoi38675128215411990204013465983106691224515954

6600

7950

13200

17550

19650

64950

500


Hin ti33026600

2007-201021377950

2011-2015304513200

2016-2020713717550

2021-2025590019650

Tng n 20252146864950

220


Hin ti574715923

2007-2010808119326

2011-2015588131139

2016-2020284538438

2021-2025129943813

Tng n 202523853148639

G by Owners

1995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007

Hydropower10414120101167811089137601453918169182051900517713161731920721480

Coal thermal2003237733253480291531353222487171927006811688038973

Oil-fired906903100813291019113711161018890601677600740

Gas turbine (Oil/Gas)100314332919459442825865583695001212914879162041790119423

Diesel21921535922624090862943162542

IPP/BOT038792153421252704273520306856118411303115411

Import393839662630

Hydropower10414120101167811089137601453918169182051900517713161731920721480

Thu in nh177187211228190208245277273224349851

10414118331149110878135321434917961179601872817440159491885820629

ui hi132300400259835784839554062676905

TBK chy kh109719733437346440474026571583889791102191141411975

TBK chy du10033369461157686151814101187163249445220543

IPP/BOT38792153421252704273520306895122241399718041

Mua TQ393839662630

038792153421252704273520306856118411303115411

Hydropower

Coal thermal

Oil-fired

Gas turbine (Oil/Gas)

Diesel

IPP/BOT

Import

G by Owners

Hydropower

Coal thermal

Oil-fired


Diesel

IPP/BOT

Import

P-MW

4139

NmTon HT - MWThu inNhit in thanNhit in duTua bin khDiesel v T nhNgoi ngnhCS tng thmYearTotal - MWHydropowerCoal thermalOil thermalGas turbines-CCGTDiesel & Small HPPsIPP/BOT/ImportAdditional capacity-MW

MW%MW%MW%MW%MW%MW%MWMW%MW%MW%MW%MW%MW%MW

20006235323451.964510.32003.21250204547.34527.220006235323451.964510.32003.21250204547.34527.2

20017872406951.76458.22002.5202825.84545.8476620017872406951.76458.22002.5202825.84545.84766

20028893406945.81245142002.2242827.34545.14975.620028893406945.81245142002.2242827.34545.14975.6

200310010406940.6124512.42002246724.64544.5157515.7200310010406940.6124512.42002246724.64544.5157515.7

200410627406938.3124511.72001.93084294544.3157514.8200410627406938.3124511.72001.93084294544.3157514.8

200511576406935.2124510.82001.7308426.64543.9252421.8949200511576406935.2124510.82001.7308426.64543.9252421.8949

200612270438335.7124510.12001.6324826.64543.7272622.2694200612270438335.7124510.12001.6324826.64543.7272622.2694

200713513439332.5154511.42051.5324824.04543.4366827.11243200713513439332.5154511.42051.5324824.04543.4366827.11243

200815763525733.415459.82001.3326320.74542.9504432.03493200815763525733.415459.82001.3326320.74542.9504432.03493

200917652636236.0184510.55843.3326318.54542.6514429.14139200917652636236.0184510.55843.3326318.54542.6514429.14139

15.1%

51.9%51.7%45.8%40.6%38.3%35.2%35.8%32.5%33.4%

2000200120022003200420052006200720082009-75

Hydropower323440694069406940694069438343935257636236.0%

Coal thermal6456451245124512451245124515451545184510.5%

Oil-fired2002002002002002002002052005843.3%

Gas turbine (Oil/Gas)125020282428246730843084324832483263326318.5%164

Diesel/Small HPPs4544544544544544544544544544542.6%

IPP/BOT452476497157514752324232631194494449425.5%

Import1002004005505506503.7%

6235787288931001010627115761225613514157631765210.6%11.1%

Peak Demand565565527408828392551018711286126361395210.8%

Thu in3700

Nhit in than

Nhit in du

Tua bin kh

Diesel

IPP/BOT

Nhp khu

Hydropower (Large-Medium)34.9%5498

Oil&Gas TPPs47.6%7508

Coal thermal12.2%1930

Import3.5%550

RE Power1.8%278

100.0%15764

Small HPPs122.50.777%

PV solar10.006%

Win1.20.008%

Biomass1500.952%

Municipality0.000%

YearTotal - MWHydropowerCoal thermalOil thermalGas turbine-CCGTDiesel & Small HydropowerIPP/BOTAdditional Capacity

MW%MW%MW%MW%MW%MW%MW

200511576406935.2124510.82001.7308426.64543.9252421.8949

200612270438335.7124510.12001.6324826.64543.7272622.2694

200713513439332.5154511.42051.5324824.04543.4366827.11243

200815763525733.415459.82001.3326320.74542.9504432.02250

P-MW

Thu in

Nhit in than

Nhit in du

Tua bin kh

Diesel/Small HPPs

IPP/BOT

Nhp khu

Sale

P dat2008

Hydropower

Coal thermal

Oil-fired


IPP/BOT

Diesel/Small HPPs

Import

Peak Demand

Co cau

STTDanh Mc20012002200320042005200620072008

aTng thng phm (GWh)2585830228348413959644837513685841265923

Tc tng trng (%)15.416.915.313.613.214.6%13.71%12.86%14.1%13.7%12.9%

bCng sut cc i (MW)565565527408828392551018711286

Tc tng trng (%)15.615.913.111.811.710.110.8

CategoriesGWhShare

Agriculture6531.0%

Industry & Construction33,02650.1%

Commercial-Hotel-Restorant3,2424.9%

Publish-Households26,65040.4%

Others2,3523.6%

Total65923100%7595565,92310,03213.2%

IN THNG PHM 2008Nm 2007So snh (%)

Thc hinK hochThc hin n 30/11/2008Uc thng 12Thc hin nm 2008Vi k hoch nm 2008Vi nm 2007

-1-2-3-4-5(6)=(4)+(5)(7)=(6)/(3)(8)=(6)/(2)TTC cu tiu th199020002005200620072008

Ton Tng cng ty58,41267,99660,5265,39765,92396.95%112.86%1Cng nghip2845908821302242902915233110

Nng,Lm nghip & Thu sn56661142653115.44%T trng (%)4640,64747.449.950.2

Cng nghip & Xy dng29,10530,3532,67333,026113.47%2Nng nghip587428574560566661

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH2,8092,9712703,242115.43%T trng (%)9,51,91,31,10.91

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c23,92524,4242,22626,650111.39%3Gia dng20351098619831220152392526602

Cc hot ng khc1,9612,1351812,316118.14%T trng (%)32,949,043,442,940.940.3

CTL 113,51315,04813,4991,093.0014,59296.97%107.98%4Phi CN71818953896443047705553

Nng,Lm nghip & Thu sn257241824997.00%T trng (%)11,68.58,58,688.5

Cng nghip & Xy dng6,1746,3575306,887111.55%5in Thng phm61852240445603512965841265926

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH24325420274112.86%Tng trng (%)14,6015,212,4813.812.8

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c6,5136,3235106,833104.91%6Bnh qun u ngi (kWh/ng/nm)93289567640718765

Cc hot ng khc32632425349106.88%7T l tn tht &t dng (%)25,415,313,212,912,512,35

CTL 214,68217,51315,5641,441.0017,00597.10%115.83%

Nng,Lm nghip & Thu sn14417518193133.91%

Cng nghip & Xy dng8,1128,8208009,620118.60%

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH38243440474124.04%

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c5,5845,6385406,178110.64%

Cc hot ng khc46049743540117.53%

CTL 34,0764,8324,344386.724,73197.90%116.07%

Nng,Lm nghip & Thu sn54534.3558107.08%

Cng nghip & Xy dng1,4341,566137.771,703118.76%

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH15316915.57184120.18%

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c2,2832,405215.792,621114.79%

Cc hot ng khc15115113.25164108.92%

CTL LC HN4,8196,0595,456561.936,01899.32%124.87%


Cng nghip & Xy dng1,6241,747169.691,917118.06%

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH46448545.94531114.45%

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c2,3882,830306.913,137131.38%

Cc hot ng khc33136234.18396119.83%

CTL TP HCM11,53812,90311,353987.6312,34195.64%106.95%


Cng nghip & Xy dng5,4035,103424.35,527102.30%

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH1,3071,348124.951,473112.74%

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c4,3414,330393.754,723108.80%

Cc hot ng khc47555642.83599126.17%

CTL HI PHNG1,9882,3652,122178.52,30197.29%115.75%


Cng nghip & Xy dng1,1881,290104.361,394117.36%

Thng nghip & K.Sn NH72645.497097.11%

Qun l & Tiu dng dn c66470162.45763114.99%

Cc hot ng khc54625.9768125.39%

~

15%

Nh myS myP thit k, (MW)P kh dng, (MW)min Bc-MWmin Trung - MWmin Nam - MWT nh, NL ti toTon quc - MW

Tng cng sut157631512515764-1CS t n 200847411498907145415764

Thu in525753375498CS vo 2009-2010320717774801915655

Ho Bnh819201960CS t n 201079483275955164521419191

Thc B3120120Pmax65871547803115789

Tuyn Quang3342342D phng th20.7%111.7%18.9%35.7%

Qung Tr26464share37.1%15.3%44.6%

Vnh Sn26666CS vo 2011-2015106541538860320795

Sng Hinh27070CS t n 20151860248131815441569

Ialy4720720share51.2%7.4%41.4%

S San 32260260Pmax1269226571642131194

Tr An4400440D phng th46.6%81.1%10.6%33.3%

a Nhim4160160

Thc M215015013.4%

Hm Thun2300300min Bc-MWmin Trung - MWmin Nam - MWT nh, NL ti toTon quc - MW

a Mi2175175CS t n 200847411498907145415764

i Ninh2300300CS vo 2009-2010320717774801915655

A Vng2210210CS t n 201079483275955164521419

Nhit in than154515051930Pmax65871547803115789

Ph Li 14440400D phng th20.7%111.7%18.9%35.7%

Ph Li 22600600

Ung B2105105CS vo 2011-2015106541538860320795

Ung B m rng1300300CS t n 20151860248131815441569

Ninh Bnh4100100

Nhit in du200186684Pmax1235530011472829212

Th c3165153D phng th50.6%60.4%23.3%42.3%

Cn Th13533

Tua bin kh32632932660916%

B Ra8GT+S9+S10399322min Bc-MWmin Trung - MWmin Nam - MWT nh, NL ti toTon quc - MW

Ph M 214GT+ST23, 26982880CS t n 200847411498907145415764

Ph M 13GT+S1411381065CS vo 2009-2010320717774801915655

Ph M 42GT+ST3468440CS t n 201079483275955164521419

Th c412689Pmax65871547803115789

Cn Th4150136D phng th20.7%111.7%18.9%35.7%

Diesel v T nh454200493

Ngoi ngnh50444965CS vo 2011-2015106541538860320795

Hip Phc3375375CS t n 20151860248131815441569

Amata21313

VeDan27272Pmax1378731681679232788

Bourbon22424D phng th34.9%51.9%8.1%26.8%

Ph M 32GT+ST3733726

Ph M 222GT+ST3733715

Na Dng2110110

Cao ngn2115110

Formosa1160155

m Ph M11818

S San 3A2108108

Cn n27878

Srokphumieng25552

Ci Ln63939

C Mau 12GT+ST1771750

C Mau 22GT+ST4771750

Nhn Trch 12GT320320

Mua TQ550550550

TTC cu sn xut in19951996199719981999200020012002200320042005

1Thu in1058212008116771109213937145471821518401189871767616115129446

2Nhit in2929327943335616538659416458754081241421512943

3Tua bin kh11251658314249574416610559309854138141489924404

Tng in nng SX1463616945191522166523739265933060335795409254679053462513014.9%

0.1433161056

Thu in46.4%

Nhit in19.9%

Tua bin kh33.8%

100.0%

Hydro36.0%4328

Coal10.5%2090

CCGT18.5%4665

FO&DO5.9%495

11578IPP&Others29.1%

Thu in-4328MW

Nhit in-2090MW

Tua bin kh-4665MW

Diezel&khc-495MW

200220032004

Thu in425042894328

Nhit in152018202090

Tua bin kh005160853

0011578

00

2174

1995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007

POWER GENERATION1463616945191522166523739270413060835795412744679053462606236869914.2%13.4%0.0%

POWER CONSUMPTION1118513374153031772519592223972584330228348353969645603512955841214.7%13.2%

17.5%17.2%15.6%15.6%15.6%15.2%14.7%

7094

0.1516135926

40709

0.8700363325

Thc tTSDsai lch

199919550.11959241.9

200022403.621394-1009.6

200125850.824068-1782.8

20023023427112-3122

20033484130593-4248

-2024.1

-849.6359.41740862501158

2929112510582

3279165812008

4333314211677

5616495711092

5386441613937

5941610514547

6458593018215

7540985418401

81241381418987

142151489917676

129432440416115

Nhit in

Tua bin kh

Thu in

2929112510582

3279165812008

4333314211677

5616495711092

5386441613937

5941610514547

6458593018215

7540985418401

81241381418987

142151489917676

Nhit in

Tua bin kh

Thu in

2929112510582

3279165812008

4333314211677

5616495711092

5386441613937

5941610514547

6458593018215

7540985418401

81241381418987

142151489917676

129432440416115

Nhit in

Tua bin kh

Thu in

GWh

POWER GENERATION

POWER CONSUMPTION

GWh

Nm

Thc t

Thc t

PA Thp

PA C s

PA Cao

PA Thp

PA C s

PA Cao

19592

19592

4328

4106

4106

4106

21394

21394

4893

4477

4477

4477

23651

23844

5655

4902

4942

4988

26165

26597

6552

5381

5470

5576

28978

29706

7408

5920

6069

6250

in nng (GWh)

cng sut (MW)

D bo TS V

D bo TS V

INSTALLED CAPACITY

Hydro37.4%

FO&DO4.3%

Hydro

Coal

CCGT

FO&DO

IPP&Others

0.344

0.115

0.233

0.056

0.244

Installed capacity - 2009

*** Khoi dau ****** Dong lai ****** Doan macro sao chep ***~

000PDP 2025-Omon5-(17%-160309) Delayed.xlsTong ket EVN (3)-11-08.xls

000

000

000

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0

0

0

0

0

0

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0

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0

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[MacroVirus.xls]~ !$E$26

*12145 km746/25862 MVA8497 km119/19094 MVA3438 km16/7500 MVAVolume of transmission network as of 2009Rate of rural electrification as of end of 2009100% districts have electricity from national grid or local system 97.6% communes (8880/9101 communes); and 95,1% rural households have electricity from grid (13.95/14.67 mill. hh)

National Energy Saving & Target In April 2006, the Prime Minister of Viet Nam signed Decision No. 79/2006/QD-TTg approving the EE&C program for the period 2006-2015. The target of the program is to save 3 to 5 percent of total national energy consumption over the period 2006-2010 and 5 to 8 percent in period 2011-2015. Viet Nams Energy Policy

Viet Nams Energy Policy National Energy Efficient Use Policies In July 2010, the Law on Energy Conservation and Efficient Use was passed by the National Assembly. The Law includes 12 chapters, 48 articles to institutionalize policies on national energy resources, energy security, environment protection and meeting demand of socio-economic development. The Law specifies the responsibilities of sectors with high energy saving potential such as industry, transport, service and residential. The Law stipulated that large energy-consuming industries and buildings have to report on energy consumption and plans to improve efficiency, and to designate internal energy managers responsible for energy-efficiency work.

Target Sectors for Promoting Energy Efficiency: Three sectors account for about 95% of total final energy consumption, with high potential for energy efficiency: Industry: Consumption grew from 4,663 KTOE in 1990 to 14,359 KTOE in 2007, annual growth rate of 6.8% per year, accounting for 27.8% of total energy consumption in 1990 and increased to 35.6% in 2007. Transportation: consumption grew from 1,413 KTOE in 1990 to 8,671 KTOE in 2007, annual growth rate of 11.3% per year. Residential: Household use of modern energy (such as LPG and electricity) has average growth rate of 16.3% per year during 19902007. Viet Nams Energy Policy

Main Measurements for Energy Efficiency in Target Sectors a, Industrial Sector:- Renewal and renovation of existing equipment and facilities.- Selecting the suitable measures for energy use management. Planning access to energy-efficient equipments, modern production lines. Select high efficient technologies for new power plants.b, Transport Sector: - Means of transportation must comply with the technical standards- Improvement and promotion of using public transport system. Development and using clean and other substitution fuels.c, Residential and Commercial Sector: - Energy efficient use in buildings, lighting systems and residential sectors.- Introduction of energy-saving appliances, renewable energy in households and commercial buildings, along with management measurements.Viet Nams Energy Policy

Viet Nams Energy Policy National Policies in Nuclear Energy In January 2006, the Prime Minister approved Sstrategy to apply nuclear energy for peaceful purposes by 2020. In April 2008, the Institute of Energy prepared an Investment Report on construction of nuclear power plants in Ninh Thuan province. The Investment Report of the first nuclear power plant project in Phuoc Dinh and Vinh Hai, Ninh Thuan province, 4000 MW, was approved by the National Assembly in November 2009. At each site, two nuclear units with capacity of 1000 MW each, operation anticipated in 2020.

Viet Nams Energy Policy National Policies in Nuclear Energy In June 2010, the Prime Minister approved Orientation planning for nuclear energy development up to the year 2030. Three phases of NPP development: - The first phase (by 2015): Approval of investment project, selecting sites and contractors, and training the human resource; Preparing mechanisms, policies on for project construction and management. The next five year stage (by 2020), the first unit of the Ninh Thun Nuclear Power Plant 1 (1000MW) will be finished and put into operation by 2020. The second plant will also be built during this period.

Viet Nams Energy Policy National Policies in Nuclear Energy The phase 3: 2020-2030, next nuclear power plants will be built According to the development orientation, about eight sites for power plants located in five provinces of Ninh Thuan, Binh Dinh, Phu Yen, Ha Tinh and Quang Ngai. Up to 2030: Total NPP capacity will be 8,000 MW by 2025 and 15,000 MW by 2030, accounting for about 10 percent of the total capacity of power system.

2. Work Progress and Interim Results of LEAP Paths

Introduction In EASS Project, LEAP was used as a tool for energy demand projection, and development of alternative energy scenarios addressing climate change problems. This section will provide the progress and interim results of LEAP Paths including: Methodology and Data Energy Demand Structure Key Assumptions Interim results of LEAP Paths.

Methodology and Data Energy demand was constructed and projected for the sectors such as industry, transport, agriculture, residential and commercial sectors . In each sector, energy consumption was broken down in to sub-sectors and projected based on driving activities and energy intensities. Driving activities were chosen based on the development plans or strategies of subsectors. Energy intensities were selected based on the available data from the researches and recent surveys. Nuclear capacity scenarios were developed based on the programs of the country.

Energy Demand Structure

IndustryIron and SteelCement Energy Demand Structure

Energy Demand Structure

Key Assumptions GDP: Viet Nams GDP is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 6.9%, 7.2% and 7.0% in the periods of 2005-2010, 2011-2020 and 2021-2030 respectively in the base case scenario. Population Growth Assumption Urbanization rate: 44.5% in 2030

Period2006-20102011-20202021-2030Annual Growth Rate6.9%7.2%7.0%

YearGrowth Rate2000-20101.1%2010-20201.0%2020-20300.7%

Nuclear Power Plant Development Scenarios Updated Unit: MWKey Assumptions

202020252030Minimum Nuclear Scenario1,0004,0006,000BAU Nuclear Scenario1,0006,00011,000Maximum Nuclear Scenario1,0008,00015,000

Interim Results Final Energy Demand by Fuels (KTOE)

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 AGR.% (05-30) Biomass 7,450 6,375 6,093 5,987 6,078 6,602 - 0.48 Coal 6,072 10,610 13,980 18,350 22,827 28,704 6.41 Diesel 5,688 8,089 11,652 16,860 23,854 34,027 7.42 Electricity 3,933 6,841 10,602 16,087 23,050 33,130 8.90 Gasoline 2,708 3,951 5,815 8,539 12,199 17,381 7.72 Jet Kerosene 432 658 1,014 1,562 2,346 3,524 8.76 Kerosene 310 370 462 597 808 1,104 5.21 LPG 896 1,410 2,072 2,945 4,001 5,371 7.43 Natural Gas 100 554 1,023 1,597 2,274 3,133 14.77 FO 1,605 2,145 2,828 3,739 4,752 6,053 5.45 Wood 5,239 4,852 4,399 3,907 3,302 2,668 -2.66 Total 34,431 45,856 59,939 80,170 105,492 141,698 5.82

Interim Results Final Energy Demand by Sectors (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030AGR.% (05-30)Residential 14,532 15,034 15,618 16,411 17,188 18,259 0.92Industry 9,719 16,248 23,042 32,620 43,703 59,291 7.50Transport 7,169 10,438 15,375 22,721 32,891 47,759 7.88Agriculture 1,382 1,855 2,523 3,401 4,339 5,543 5.71Commercial 1,629 2,281 3,382 5,017 7,371 10,847 7.88Total 34,431 45,856 59,939 80,170 105,492 141,698 5.82

Interim Results Residential: Final Energy Demand by Sub-sectors (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030AGR.% (05-30)Urban 2,334 3,056 3,965 5,123 6,474 8,153 5.13Rural 12,198 11,977 11,653 11,288 10,713 10,106 -0.75Total 14,532 15,034 15,618 16,411 17,188 18,259 0.92

Interim Results Industry: Final Energy Demand by Sub-sectors (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030AGR.% (05-30)Iron and Steel 363 1,715 3,059 4,430 5,522 6,642 12.3Cement 3,160 5,238 5,707 6,246 6,494 6,743 3.1Brick Making 2,393 2,895 4,243 6,220 9,024 13,092 7.0Pulp and Paper 353 579 949 1,565 1,869 2,174 7.5Others 3,450 5,822 9,084 14,160 20,794 30,641 9.1Total 9,719 16,248 23,042 32,620 43,703 59,291 7.5

Interim Results Industry: Final Energy Demand by Fuels (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030AGR.% (05-30)Biomass 1,427 1,034 1,518 2,227 3,225 4,671 4.9Coal 4,777 8,900 11,823 15,701 19,658 24,928 6.8Diesel 265 380 523 720 944 1,237 6.4Electricity 1,870 3,527 5,675 9,047 13,364 19,921 9.9Kerosene 12 15 18 22 27 31 3.9LPG 109 309 495 770 1,110 1,583 11.3Natural Gas 100 554 1,023 1,597 2,274 3,133 14.8FO 1,159 1,528 1,966 2,535 3,101 3,787 4.9Total 9,719 16,248 23,042 32,620 43,703 59,291 7.5

Interim Results Transport: Final Energy Demand by Sub-sectors (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030AGR.% (05-30)Passenger 3332514580281252519051289739.0Freight 353148706759938212734172846.6Other307423587815110615016.6Total716910438153752272132891477597.9

Interim Results Transport: Final Energy Demand by Fuels (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030AGR.% (05-30)Diesel 3,723 5,406 7,959 11,805 17,239 25,352 8.0Gasoline 2,708 3,951 5,815 8,539 12,199 17,381 7.7Jet Kerosene 432 658 1,014 1,562 2,346 3,524 8.8Residual Fuel Oil 307 423 587 815 1,106 1,501 6.6Total 7,169 10,438 15,375 22,721 32,891 47,759 7.9

Interim Results Electricity Generation: Output by Fuels -BAU (KTOE)

200520102015202020252030Coal 769 1,762 3,620 6,323 9,241 14,927 Hydro 1,845 2,732 3,341 4,347 5,776 8,210 Natural Gas 1,770 1,752 1,934 1,953 2,568 2,930 Nuclear - - - 527 3,080 5,473 Diesel 73 18 4 2 - - FO 140 284 26 20 19 16 Total 4,597 6,548 8,925 13,172 20,685 31,556

Interim Results Electricity Generation: Global Warming Potential (Mil. Tone CO2e)

200520102015202020252030BAU21.932.348.775 105.6 164.2 Maximum Nuclear21.932.348.775 95.4 144.3 Minimum Nuclear21.932.348.775 115.9 189.0

4. Conclusion and Recommendation

Conclusions As shown above, an interim result was achieved based on the updated data on energy, economics and main driving activities. Energy demand of residential, industry, and transport sectors was broken down in to sub-sectors and end-uses. Energy demand was projected based energy consumption indexes and driving activities referred from the development strategies of sectors and sub-sectors. GHG Mitigation Scenarios were developed based on the BAU, maximum and minimum scenarios on nuclear power development.

As the first steps, we initially restructured the LEAP Dataset for residential, industry and transport that each sector was divided in sub-sectors and end-uses. Moreover, the GHG Mitigation Scenarios were also developed only on supply side based on BAU, Minimum and Maximum nuclear power development paths. Therefore, these is still room for next steps of AES Project, including: Development of alternative energy scenarios on the demand side -including energy efficiency, fuels substitution, and demand-side renewable energy to provide energy services and reduce GHG emissions. Evaluation of the costs for CO2 emissions abatement through different energy efficient policies and measures. Recommendation

Thank you very much

***

meeting of energy futures and energy cooperation in the northeast asia region

Documents

energy sector total

energy cooperation

total final energy

share of energy consumption

meeting of energy futures

residential sector

average growth rate

recent trends