nadia touihri senior director of statistics and social studies

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Nadia Touihri Senior Director of Statistics and Social Studies National Institute of Statistics, Tunisia [email protected] Measuring International Migration through census 2014 in Tunisia: what improvements have been adopted? Economic Commission for Europe Work Session on Migration Statistics Chisinau, Republic of Moldova 10-12 September 2014

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Economic Commission for Europe Work Session on Migration Statistics Chisinau, Republic of Moldova 10-12 September 2014. Measuring International Migration through census 2014 in Tunisia: what improvements have been adopted?. Nadia Touihri - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Nadia Touihri

Senior Director of Statistics and Social Studies

National Institute of Statistics, Tunisia

[email protected]

Measuring International Migration through

census 2014 in Tunisia: what improvements have

been adopted?

Economic Commission for EuropeWork Session on Migration StatisticsChisinau, Republic of Moldova10-12 September 2014

Page 2: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Plan

1. Introduction

2. Main sources of data

3. How to measure migration through the labor force survey

4. How to measure migration through Census

5. Improvement adopted in Census 2014

6. General results

7. Conclusion

Page 3: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Tunisia is a Gate of Africa to Europe….

Page 4: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Nice beaches in Tunisia….

Page 5: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Mysterious Desert in Tunisia….

Page 6: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Mountains in Tunisia….

Page 7: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Olive oil

Oasis of dates

Page 8: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

1. Introduction

The migratory context in Tunisia after the revolution has been characterized by : a massive departure of Tunisian youth to Europe a massive exodus of Tunisian and foreign workers from Libya to Tunisia, exile of Libyan families as a result of conflicts in LibyaThe new context has had a political, economic and social impact on Tunisian society

Urgent need for informations to make decision

Page 9: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

2. Main sources of data

The main sources of information on international Migration

(Emigration and Immigration) in the Institute is:

Census

Houshold surveys

Administrative Sources

Page 10: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

3. How to measure migration through the labor force survey

Insertion of modules to measure migration starting in 2001

Migration measured once a year

Sample size 45000 hh

Periodicity : one year for collecting information about

migration

Representative at national level

Page 11: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Sample 2005 Sample2006

Sub -sample to analyze migration

List of hh 2005

Ind. 1: a

Ind. 2: b

Ind. 3: c

Ind. 4: d

List of hh 2006

Ind. 1: b

Ind. 2: c

Ind. 3: e

Ind. 4: d

Page 12: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Leaving persons

Entering persons

Page 13: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

For leaving people

« are there, among the listed persons during year Y-1, one who quit the household and considered as non resident with the household during the Year Y » Yes or No, if yes:

• Order number in the hh during Y-1

• Name and surname

• Date of departure (month, Year)

• Raison for emigration

• Country of destination

• Socio-economic charecteristics are collected in the year Y-1

Page 14: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

For Entering people

« Are there among the idividuals listed in this questionnaire, one who was not member of the household during the year Y-1 » if Yes or No, if yes:

• Reason for immigration

• Country of origin

• Current Socio-economic charecteristics

Page 15: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Limits

• Small sample for a rare phenomen

• Can’t get estimates at smaller level

• Unknown situation before entering for immigrants

• Unknown situation after departure for Emigrants

Advantages

• It didn’t recall interviewer s memory, based on the list of individuals

• An important source of data on migration which provide annual

information and estimate on migrants (number of migrants and net

migration at national level)

Page 16: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

4. How to measure migration through the Census

History of censuses in Tunisia

06 / 03 / 1921

20 / 04 / 1926

22 / 03 / 1931

12 / 03 / 1936

01 / 11 / 1946

01 / 02 / 1956

03 / 05 / 196608 / 05 / 197530 / 03 / 198420 / 04 / 199428 / 04 / 200423 / 04 / 2014

Page 17: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Tunisian population census represents a snapshot of a population

resident in the country at a given point in time (23, April 2014, round

2010)

Periodicity : 10 years

face to face interview

Mini census to update census database between two census

Emigration module introduced in round 2000 ( census 2004)

Page 18: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Immigration Module in Census 2014

” In April 2009, were you resident in this housing unit?” if

“no”, the following variables are collected:

• Country of origin

• Year of arrival (new variable introduced in 2014 census)

• Reasons for move

Nationality, and Actual socio-economic charecteristics of immigrant are also collected

Page 19: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Census 2014 allows the identification of:

Immigrant stock

The foreign-born population

The foreign population born in Tunisia

The foreign population resident

Return migrants

Page 20: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Emigration Module in Census 2014

“are there any members of your household who reside currently (the reference day of the census) outside Tunisia, and was resident in this household in April 2004?”.

• Relationship with the head of household

• Gender

• Year of migration

• Reason for migration ( same reasons cited for immigration module )

• Country of destination

• Level of education before departure (new variable introduced in 2014 census)

Page 21: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

5. Improvement adopted in Census 2014

Improving enumerator training tools by focusing only on practical

and operational issues.

Providing a full explanation to enumerators about the migratory

context and its concepts,

Emphasizing the urgent need of decision makers for such information

in Tunisia

Choosing good position and sequence of items within the census: the

migration modules appears in the 7th position among 14

Page 22: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

Formulating easy and clearly worded questions

Meeting with national partners working on migration issues in order

to revise the migration modules, they expressed a need to include

additional variables on both modules, such as :

• Detailed reasons for move (13 reasons instead of 6 in census

2004) , to capture special category of migrants, such as irregular

migrants, those with expired visas, forced migrants, etc.

• Emigration module:“education level before migration

• Immigration: year of arrival,

Page 23: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

6. General Results

Period Emigrants Immigrants Net Migration

1999-2004 75773 17766 -58007

2004-2009 41200 17100 - 24100

Net migration from 2004 Population Census and 2009 survey

Period Emigrants Immigrants Net Migration

2011-2012 50931 17351 -33580

2007-2008 26600 10500 -16100

2006-2007 23800 8790 -15010

2005-2006 31200 14860 -16340

2001-2002 29700 11690 - 18010

Net migration from labor force survey

Page 24: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

7. Conclusion

Population census is a best source for collecting data on the immigrant stock and its characteristics, it provide an extent of information rarely available from other data sources.

Although it has drawbacks, detecting emigration through census modules was an important source of information to study the migration flows over a period of 5 years

Special survey needs to be undertaken to cover migration aspect that could not be covered by population Census ( emigrant profile, situation after emigration,….)

Med- Hims ( Mediterranean Household International Survey) opportunity to accomplish the migration picture

Page 25: Nadia  Touihri Senior   Director  of   Statistics  and Social  Studies

THANK YOU