natural gas overview · 2019-11-15 · assumes current technology –enhanced oil recovery not...

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November 15, 2019 Justin J. Kringstad Geological Engineer Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority Natural Gas Overview Gas Capture Strategies Hearing

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Page 1: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

November 15, 2019

Justin J. KringstadGeological Engineer

Director

North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Natural Gas OverviewGas Capture Strategies Hearing

Page 2: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

2

Natural Gas Update

Production

• Technology

• Markets

Gathering

• Capacity

• Connections

Processing

• Capacity

• Location

Transmission

• Dry Gas

• Natural Gas Liquids

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 2

Page 3: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

EIA Forecasted Oil Price (October 2019)

33JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 3

Page 4: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

44JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 4

North Dakota Oil Production Forecast Assumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

Page 5: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

5

Statewide Gas Performance

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 5Average BKN/TF Well Performance Statewide

~10% Improvement

Over 2018

Page 6: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

6

Statewide Gas-Oil Ratio

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 6Average BKN/TF Well Performance Statewide

Page 7: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

NDPA North Dakota Gas Production ForecastAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

77JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 7

Page 8: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

8

Natural Gas Update

Production

• Technology

• Markets

Gathering

• Capacity

• Connections

Processing

• Capacity

• Location

Transmission

• Dry Gas

• Natural Gas Liquids

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 8

Page 9: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Simple Terms

Blue – Lack of pipelines

Orange – Challenges on existing

infrastructure

GREEN – % of gas captured and sold

Blue – % flared from zero sales wells

Orange – % flared from wells with at

least one mcf sold.

Aug 2019 Data – Non-Confidential WellsStatewide

Solving the Flaring Challenge

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 9

Page 10: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

10

Natural Gas Update

Production

• Technology

• Markets

Gathering

• Capacity

• Connections

Processing

• Capacity

• Location

Transmission

• Dry Gas

• Natural Gas Liquids

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 10

Page 11: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Gas Processing Expansions

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 11

Page 12: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Recent Major Gas Processing Expansions

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 12

Planned Major Gas Processing Expansions

670 MMCFD

625 MMCFD

Page 13: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

13JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 13

Page 14: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

14JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Gas Processing Capacity & Future OutlookAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 14

Historical

Historical

Expected

Expected

Page 15: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

15JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Gas Processing Capacity & Spare Capacity

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 15

Historical Expected

9%

24%

Page 16: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

16JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Gas Processing Capacity & Spare Capacity

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 16

Historical Expected

9%

Page 17: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

17JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 17

Page 18: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

18

Natural Gas Update

Production

• Technology

• Markets

Gathering

• Capacity

• Connections

Processing

• Capacity

• Location

Transmission

• Dry Gas

• Natural Gas Liquids

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 18

Page 19: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

19JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 19

Page 20: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Major Gas Pipeline and

Processing Infrastructure

WBI Transmission

Whiting

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline AuthorityJJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 20

Page 21: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

WBI Energy – North

Bakken Expansion Project

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 21

Project Highlights

• 67 Miles - 20” Pipeline

• 20 Miles - 12” Pipeline

• $220+ Million

• At least 250,000 MCFD Capacity (expandable)

• Expandable to 375,000 MCFD

• End of 2021 Proposed Completion

• Residue Gas Service From North of Lake

Sakakawea to Northern Border Pipeline in

McKenzie County

Page 22: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 22

Northern Border Pipeline

*Data Source: Northern Border IPS

Page 23: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Northern Border BTU at Glen Ullin, ND

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 23*Data Source: Northern Border IPS

Page 24: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 24

Northern Border Pipeline Market Share

NDPA Calculations Using Northern Border IPS

~1,150+ BTU

~1,035 BTU

Page 25: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 25

NB Pipeline Interconnects With Known BTU Limits

Page 26: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 26Map Source: TC Energy Website

Page 27: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 27Map Source: TC Energy Website

Page 28: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 28

Northern Border – BTU Calculations*

*Assumes Equivalent Net Replacement of 1,035 Canadian Gas

Page 29: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

29JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Solving the Flaring ChallengeAssumes Current Technology – Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 29

Page 30: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Bakken Natural Gas Infrastructure

3030JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 30

Page 31: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Northern Border Proposed Expansion Options

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 31

Two Proposed Options:

Stateline/Watford City to Ventura

-580 Mdth Incremental (~525 MMCFD)

-Phase 1: Q3 2021

-Phase 2: Q4 2023

Stateline/Watford City to Cheyenne

-430 Mdth Incremental (~390 MMCFD)

-Phase 1: Q3 2021

-Phase 2: Q4 2022

Page 32: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Bakken & Three Forks

Natural Gas Liquids

Page 33: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Regional NGL Infrastructure

Kinder

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 33

Ma

rath

on

Pe

tro

leu

m

Page 34: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

North Dakota Captured* NGL’s

3434JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 34*Non-flared NGL’s & Assumes 10 GPM

Page 35: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

NGL Pipeline Takeaway Options

35

3535JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 35

Page 36: Natural Gas Overview · 2019-11-15 · Assumes Current Technology –Enhanced Oil Recovery Not Included. 5 Statewide Gas Performance JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority

Justin J. Kringstad, DirectorNorth Dakota Pipeline Authority

600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405Bismarck, ND 58505-0840

Phone: (701)220-6227Fax: (701)328-2820

E-mail: [email protected]

Websites: www.pipeline.nd.gov

www.northdakotapipelines.com

Contact Information

JJ Kringstad - North Dakota Pipeline Authority 36