new puzzles in supermassive black hole evolution

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New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution Charles L. Steinhardt IPMU, University of Tokyo October 14, 2010 Steinhardt & Elvis 2010, MNRAS, 402, 2637 (arxiv:0911.1355) Steinhardt & Elvis 2010 MNRAS, in press (arxiv:0911.3155) Steinhardt & Elvis 2010 MNRAS 406, L1 (arxiv:0912.0734) Steinhardt, Elvis, & Amarie 2010, submitted

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New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution. Charles L. Steinhardt IPMU, University of Tokyo October 14, 2010. Steinhardt & Elvis 2010, MNRAS, 402, 2637 (arxiv:0911.1355) Steinhardt & Elvis 2010 MNRAS, in press (arxiv:0911.3155) Steinhardt & Elvis 2010 MNRAS 406, L1 (arxiv:0912.0734) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Charles L. SteinhardtIPMU, University of Tokyo

October 14, 2010

Steinhardt & Elvis 2010, MNRAS, 402, 2637 (arxiv:0911.1355) Steinhardt & Elvis 2010 MNRAS, in press (arxiv:0911.3155) Steinhardt & Elvis 2010 MNRAS 406, L1 (arxiv:0912.0734) Steinhardt, Elvis, & Amarie 2010, submitted

Page 2: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole (SMBH) lifecycle

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

4) Quiescence (well, almost)

Page 3: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole (SMBH) lifecycle

1) Seeding

2) Growth: quasar phase (Soltan)

3) Turnoff

4) Quiescence (well, almost)

Page 4: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole (SMBH) lifecycle

1) Seeding

2) Growth: quasar phase (Soltan)

3) Turnoff (M- relation)

4) Quiescence (well, almost)

Page 5: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Quasar Luminosity Function

Richards et al. (2006)

Page 6: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

How to obtain black hole masses from one SDSS spectrum

Kepler’s Laws on broad emission line gas, so we need v,R.

Doppler broadening of spectral line velocity

Supermassive black hole “mass ladder”

Continuum luminosity radius

Comparison with reverbation masses implies ~0.4 dex uncertainty (more on this later!)

Page 7: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Quasar Mass Function

Vestergaard et al. (2008)

Page 8: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution
Page 9: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs All quasars can radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

Page 10: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Existing data

Existing methods

Existing catalogs

But new methods

Page 11: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Existing data

Quasar catalog and spectra come from SDSS DR5

Existing methods

Existing catalogs

But new methods

Page 12: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Existing data

Quasar catalog and spectra come from SDSS DR5

Virial Mass Estimation: Vestergaard/Peterson, McLure/Dunlop

Existing methods

Existing catalogs

But new methods

Page 13: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Existing data

Quasar catalog and spectra come from SDSS DR5

Virial Mass Estimation: Vestergaard/Peterson, McLure/Dunlop

Actual mass estimates: Shen et al. (2008)

Bolometric luminosities: Richards et al. (2006), Shen et al. (2008)

Existing methods

Existing catalogs

But new methods

Page 14: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Existing data

Quasar catalog and spectra come from SDSS DR5

Virial Mass Estimation: Vestergaard/Peterson, McLure/Dunlop

Actual mass estimates: Shen et al. (2008)

Bolometric luminosities: Richards et al. (2006), Shen et al. (2008)

Time to think two- (or three-) dimensionally!

Existing methods

Existing catalogs

But new methods

Page 15: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution
Page 16: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

0.2 < z < 0.4, H

Page 17: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

0.2 < z < 0.4, H

SDSS Saturation

Detection Limit

Qu

asa

r Tu

rnoff

Page 18: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

0.2 < z < 0.4, H

Detection Limit

Qu

asa

r Tu

rnoff

Page 19: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Virial mass estimation may be better than previously believed!

Best-fit exponential decays: e-folding of 0.14-0.25 dex

Page 20: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

0.2 < z < 0.4, H

Detection Limit

Qu

asa

r Tu

rnoff

Page 21: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Quasars at 1.6 < z < 1.8

Page 22: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Quasars at 1.6 < z < 1.8

Page 23: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Quasars at 1.6 < z < 1.8

Page 24: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution
Page 25: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Best-fit sub-Eddington boundary slopes

Page 26: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Best-fit sub-Eddington boundary slopes

Risaliti, Young, & Elvis (2009)

Page 27: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs All quasars can radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

FALSE!

Page 28: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Expected L/LE distribution at different M, 0.2<z<0.4

Normalized to peak

Page 29: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The L/LE distribution at different M, 0.2<z<0.4

Normalized to peak

Page 30: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The L/LE distribution at different M, 0.2<z<0.4

Normalized to peak

Page 31: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs Quasars radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

FALSE!

TRUE! FALSE!

Page 32: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs Quasars radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

FALSE!

TRUE! FALSE!

MAYBE NOT?

Page 33: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

SDSS quasar colors at high mass, low luminosity

Page 34: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Emission line ratios change at high mass

Highest Mass

Intermediate Mass

Lowest Mass

1.2-1.4

0.8-1.0

Page 35: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs Quasars radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

FALSE!

TRUE! FALSE!

MAYBE NOT?

Page 36: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

3.0-3.2

Redshift range

2.0-2.2

1.6-1.8

1.2-1.4

0.8-1.0

Luminosity at fixed mass, different z

Page 37: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs Quasars radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

FALSE!

TRUE! FALSE!

MAYBE NOT?

FALSE!

Page 38: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

9.75-10.0

Log M (solar)

9.50-9.75

9.25-9.50

9.00-9.25

Comoving number density declines at different rates for different masses

Page 39: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Timescales (M), N(t) = N0e-t/(M)

Page 40: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Common beliefs about SMBHs Quasars radiate at the Eddington limit

Quasars are “light-bulbs”: either on (at Eddington) or off

Quasars “flicker”

Luminosity is a proxy for mass

Quasar dynamics come from host galaxy dynamics

FALSE!

TRUE! FALSE!

MAYBE NOT?

FALSE!

SEEMINGLY FALSE!

Page 41: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

k20% changes in: t0M0

Track sensitivity to 20% changes in parameters

Page 42: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Sample Track: 1.8 < z < 2.0

Page 43: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Sample Track: 1.6 < z < 1.8

Page 44: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Sample Track: 1.4 < z < 1.6

Page 45: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Sample Track: 1.2 < z < 1.4

Page 46: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Sample Track: 1.0 < z < 1.2

Page 47: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Allowed track parameters at M0=8.5, t0=3.5 Gyr

Quasars are typically on for just 1-2 Gyr!

Page 48: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

Allowed parameters for tracks originating at all times

Page 49: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

What would we ideally use to study quasar accretion?

Mass and luminosity evolution of individual SMBH

All relevant host galaxy parameters

Only one snapshot

SDSS cannot see the galaxy

Page 50: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

What would we ideally use to study quasar accretion?

Mass and luminosity evolution of individual SMBH

All relevant host galaxy parameters

Quasars ARE like light bulbs!

SDSS cannot see the galaxy

Page 51: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

What would we ideally use to study quasar accretion?

Mass and luminosity evolution of individual SMBH

All relevant host galaxy parameters

Quasars ARE like light bulbs!

There aren’t any!

Page 52: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

4) Quiescence (well, almost)

Page 53: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?

Page 54: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent?

Page 55: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?

Page 56: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Page 57: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?

Page 58: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?

Page 59: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?

Page 60: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?

Page 61: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

Page 62: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?

Page 63: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?How do the biggest, earliest central black holes form?

Page 64: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?How do the biggest, earliest central black holes form?Does this mean they are seeded before the first stars?

Page 65: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?How do the biggest, earliest central black holes form?Does this mean they are seeded before the first stars?Is it possible to make primordial black hole seeds?

Page 66: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?How do the biggest, earliest central black holes form?Does this mean they are seeded before the first stars?Is it possible to make primordial black hole seeds?

Summary: We don’t know how supermassive black holes are born, how they grow, or why they die.

Page 67: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?How do the biggest, earliest central black holes form?Does this mean they are seeded before the first stars?Is it possible to make primordial black hole seeds?

Summary: We don’t know how supermassive black holes are born, how they grow, or why they die.

Page 68: New Puzzles in Supermassive Black Hole Evolution

The supermassive black hole lifecycle: new, open questions

1) Seeding

2) Growth

3) Turnoff

Are all quasars at a characteristic luminosity?Why is evolution synchronous but time-dependent? Why is the accretion rate sublinear in mass?Can we use quasars as standard candles?

Is turnoff permanent?Are “intrinsically red” quasars in the midst of turnoff?Why is turnoff synchronized?Why is turnoff but not growth linked to the host galaxy?What is the origin of the M- relation?

How are supermassive black holes seeded synchronously?How do the biggest, earliest central black holes form?Does this mean they are seeded before the first stars?Is it possible to make primordial black hole seeds?

Summary: Something exciting is about to happen!

Steinhardt & Elvis 2010, MNRAS 402, 2637 (sub-Eddington boundary)Steinhardt & Elvis 2010, MNRAS in press (Turnoff/Synchronization)Steinhardt & Elvis 2010, MNRAS 406, L1(Virial Masses)Steinhardt, Elvis, & Amarie 2010, sub. MNRAS (tracks)