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Nusa Tenggara Timur, Indonesia Provincial Opinion Poll
January 12, 2012 - February 14, 2012
International Republican Institute
Lembaga Survei Indonesia
with funding from the
United States Agency for International Development
1
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 2
Methodology • This survey was designed, analyzed and fielded by Lembaga Survei Indonesia under the supervision of
Fallon Research and Communications on behalf of the International Republican Institute.
• The provincial representative survey was carried out from January 12-February 14, 2012. A sample of
720 Nusa Tenggara Timur participants were interviewed face-to-face in their homes.
• Multi-stage sampling was used to select villages from Nusa Tengarra Timur’s 21 districts to be
included in the sample.
• The Kish grid method was used to randomize the selection within households among eligible
respondents. The households were selected using the random route method.
• The sample was distributed at the district level, in rural and urban areas, in 21 districts of Nusa
Tenggara Timur.
• The response rate was 89 percent.
• The margin of error for the survey does not exceed +/- 3.7 percent with a confidence level of 95
percent.
• Sixty-eight interviewers worked on the study, on average completing 11 interviews per PSU. The
interviews were administered using local dialects and conducted by interviewers who are native speakers.
• Due to rounding, charts may not add up to 100 percent.
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 3
Survey Demographics
Male 50% Female 50%
Urban 15% Rural 85%
Marital Status
Married 80%
Single 19%
Widow/Widower 2%
Education
Less than or equal to primary 64%
Junior high or equivalent 16%
Senior high or equivalent 17%
College/University 4%
Age
Younger than 24 14%
24 to 34 24%
35 to 44 26%
45 to 54 18%
55+ 18%
Monthly Household Income
Up to 400,000 rupiah 69%
400,000 to 999,999 rupiah 18%
1,000,000+ rupiah 13%
Religion
Islam 8%
Protestant 35%
Catholic 56%
Other 2%
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 4
District of Respondents
Sumba Barat2%
Sumba Timur5%
Kupang6% Timor Tengah
Selatan9%
Sikka7%
Belu8%
Sumba Tengah1%Lembata
3%Flores Timur
5%
Timor Tengah Utara5%Sumba Barat Daya
6%
Manggarai Barat4%
Manggarai 7%
Rote Ndao3%
Ngada3%
Alor4%
Ende6%
Nagekeo3%
Manggarai Timur6%
Sabu Raijua2%
Kota Kupang 7%
SOCIAL INDICATORS INDEX
5
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 6
Generally speaking, would you say that things in this
province are headed in the right direction or the wrong
direction?
75
13
3 9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Right direction Wrong direction No response Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 7
Why do you think that things in your province are heading
in the right direction? (Closed-ended) Respondents who think things are headed in the right direction, N=550
3
4
7
14
16
56
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
No response/Don't know
Other
Economic conditions are good
There is peace and secuirty
The general environment is good or improving
Government governs well/Assisting people
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 8
Why do you think that things in your province are heading
in the wrong direction? (Closed-ended) Respondents who think things are headed in the wrong direction, N=87
1
2
1
5
16
16
20
38
0 10 20 30 40
No response/Don't know
Other
Government resources don't reach citizens
Corruption
Limited job opportunities
Low standard of living
Economic conditions are not good
The government is not governing well
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 9
Compared to a year ago, has your personal financial
situation improved, stayed the same or worsened?
20
53
25
3
Improved Stayed the same Worsened No response/Don'tknow
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 10
Thinking about next year, do you expect the economic
situation in your household is going to get better, stay the
same or get worse?
32
48
12 9
Better Stay the same Worse No response/Don'tknow
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
ELECTION INDEX
11
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 12
Did you vote in the April 2009 provincial parliamentary
elections?
Yes 89%
No 11%
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 13
If yes, please tell me which political party you voted for in
the April 2009 provincial parliamentary elections?
Respondents that said they voted in the April 2009 provincial parliament elections, N=642
24 24
18
3 2 2 2
14
9
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Indonesian
Democratic
Party
Struggle
Golkar Democrat
Party
Gerindra Prosperous
Peace Party
National
Mandate
Party
Hanura Other No response Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 14
Which one of the following statements most determines for
whom you vote?
14
2
5
1
15
35
38
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Don't know
No response
Other
My vote depends on the candidate
I usually vote for the same political party
I usually vote for the same candidate or his localpolitical group
I usually don't vote for the same political party orpolitical group and my vote depends upon various
other factors
I usually don’t vote for the same political party
or political group and my vote depends upon
various other factors
I usually vote for the same candidate or his local
political group
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 15
People give different reasons for why they vote for one party
rather than another. Which of the following describes your
reason for voting for a particular party instead of another party?
2
3
2
9
11
22
25
26
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Don't know
No response
Other
The party's candidate has been working in myconstituency
The party provides financial support in my area
The party has the best leader
The party has the best policies
The party had the best candidate in my constituency
The party’s candidate has been working in my
constituency
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 16
Which of the following criteria or characteristics are the
most important to you when selecting a legislative
candidate to vote for ? (First priority) Responses of two percent and greater
1
2
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
9
18
41
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
No response/Don't know
Charisma
Intelligence
Reformist
Ethnic or region/Province of origin
Experience as a leader
Religious
Proposed policies
The support he/she has from the public
Opposed to corruption
Close to people
Honesty
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 17
I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement
with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for
a political party which includes more young people in their
political party.
17 56 18 3 5
0 20 40 60 80 100
Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree No response/Don't know
73% Agree 21% Disagree
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 18
I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement
with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for
a political party that nominates more women legislative
candidates.
12 54 23 5 6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree No response/Don't know
66% Agree 28% Disagree
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 19
If there are two candidates campaigning for the same elected office
with exactly the same qualifications, but one is a man and the other
is a woman, which one would you be more likely to vote for?
15
23
58
4
Prefer to vote for awoman
Prefer to vote for aman
Gender makes nodifference to me
No response/Don'tknow
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 20
If provincial parliamentary elections were held next week
how likely is it that you will vote?
68
23
2 2 4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not vote at all No response/Don'tknow
ISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEX
21
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 22
Which one of the following issues is of greatest concern
to you? (Closed-ended) Only displaying responses of two percent and greater
3
2
3
4
4
5
6
6
10
10
20
24
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
No response/Don't know
Low quality and high prices of health care
Quality and accessibility of education
Corruption
Solution to housing problems
Unemployment and threat of losing a job
Not a sufficient level of support to small andmedium sized businesses
Low standard of living and low income
Insufficent support to farmers
Problems of water supply
Inflation and price increases
Lack of infrastructure (electricity, roads, etc.)
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 23
On the issue most important to you, do you feel that the
provincial government is capable of solving the problem
within the next two years ?
58
24
19
Yes No No response/Don't know
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 24
If you could improve one service or policy in your area,
what would it be? (Open-ended) Responses of two percent and greater
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
11
13
43
0 10 20 30 40 50
No response/Don't know
Poverty
Price increase of staple foods
Employment
Education
Health
Economy
Security
Cleanliness
Housing
Availabilty of clean water
Infrastructure (electricity, roads, etc.)
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 25
In your opinion, how prevalent is corruption within the
government in your province?
25 30 13 8 4 21
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very prevalent Somewhat prevalent Not very prevalent
Not prevalent at all No response Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 26
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the provincial
government’s efforts to fight corruption?
8 26 25 22 3 16
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied
Very unsatisfied No response Don't know
34% Satisfied 47% Unsatisfied
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 27
In your opinion, what is the most corrupt institution in
the province? (Open-ended) Responses of two percent and greater
58
2
3
3
11
12
0 20 40 60 80
No response/Don't know
Law enforcement
Ministry of education
Government offices
Parliament/Local parliament
Government
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 28
Turning to a different topic, in the past year has any
legislator or political party member contacted you about
any issue of importance to you?
6
91
4
Yes No No response/Don't know
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 29
In the future, should a legislator or political party member
need to contact you, what is the most convenient way for
you to be contacted? Responses of two percent and greater
8
4
4
5
7
12
15
24
60
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
No response/Don't know
Telephone
Media (e.g. newspaper)
Letter
Radio program
Through a political party event
Through a non-governmental organization
In person/Travel to my office
In person/Travel to my house
Through a community/Public event
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 30
Have you ever given money to a political party?
4
96
1
Yes No No response/Don't know
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 31
If no, why have you not given money to a political party? Respondents indicating that they have not given money to a political party, N=693
Responses of two percent and greater
3
2
3
3
4
10
12
14
48
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
No response/Don't know
Political parties have too much money
Not a political party member
Not interested in politcs
Never been asked, but if asked I will contribute
It is inappropriate to give money to politicsalparties
Have other necessities
The politcal party's funding is its business
No funds available to give
It is inappropriate to give money to political
parties
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 32
In your opinion, are people in your province afraid to
openly express their political views or not?
17 26 22 19 17
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Majority are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid Nobody is afraid No response/Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 33
What is your opinion about the trend of religious
extremism in your province compared to two years ago?
Has it increased, stayed more or less the same or
decreased?
12 35 29 30
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Increased More or less the same Decreased No response/Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 34
How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of
religious extremism in your province these days? Respondents having the opinion that the trend of religious extremism in the province has
increased, N=85
43 18 22 17
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not too concerned Not at all concerned No response/Don't know
INSTITUTIONAL RATINGS
35
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 36
Now I am going to read various problems, and please rate
the provincial government’s performance on each of the
issues listed below.
22
24
25
28
29
33
37
37
38
43
44
44
54
56
57
31
47
32
27
27
20
24
24
30
17
30
24
26
23
21
44
40
40
38
40
36
36
36
24
38
19
27
15
10
19
6
17
2
6
4
11
3
3
8
3
7
4
5
10
3
0 20 40 60 80 100
Employment
Fighting corruption
Inflation control
Housing
Poverty reduction
Development of roads and highways
Water quality
Water availability
Fighting crime
Electricity availability
Preserving the environment
Construction of public facilities schools, bridges, etc.
Improving educational system
Gender/Religious/Race/Ethnicity-based discrimination
Health care
Good Fair Poor No response/Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 37
I would like to ask you about your impressions on the performance
of the following institutions. How would you rate the performance
of each of the following institutions: very good, good, fair, poor or
very poor?
30
40
42
43
44
48
49
53
56
57
67
82
29
47
29
29
26
20
26
22
21
28
20
12
27
15
22
17
12
7
6
19
7
6
8
3
13
15
7
11
17
25
19
6
16
9
5
3
0 20 40 60 80 100
Political parties
Courts
Local parliament
Provincial parliament
Local election commission
International non-governmental organizations
Media
Police
Domestic non-governmental organizations
Civil service employees
Governor
Religious leaders
Good Fair Poor No response/Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 38
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work
provided by the provincial legislature?
7 47 37 5 1 4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied
Very unsatisfied No response Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 39
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work
provided by the district head in your city/village?
10 53 28 6 2
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied
Very unsatisfied No response Don't know
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 40
Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work
provided by the governor of your province?
15 55 22 4 1
0 20 40 60 80 100
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied
Very unsatisfied No response Don't know
2
MEDIA INDEX
41
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 42
What are the main sources of political information for
you? Responses one percent and greater
10
1
1
2
6
6
7
11
17
39
0 10 20 30 40 50
No response/Don't know
Religious leader
Politicians
Magazines
Village head
Newspapers
Village news board
Relatives, friends
Radio
TV
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 43
How do you rate the credibility of each of these
information sources on a scale of one to five, where one
means very unreliable and five means very credible? Responses of three or higher only
88 87
86
79 77
64 64
46
36
32
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 44
On average, how often do you use the Internet?
10
81
3
2
2
1
1
0 20 40 60 80 100
No response/Don't know
Never
Less often
Once a month
Once a week
A few times per week
Everyday
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 45
What do you use the Internet for mostly? Respondents indicating that they use the Internet at least once a month, N=63
6
1
2
2
3
4
5
14
18
19
26
34
39
0 10 20 30 40 50
No response/Don't know
Read the news
Homework
Watch videos
Shopping
Blog
Listen to music
Research
Chat
Games
Work
IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia Nusa Tenggara Timur Provincial Public Opinion Survey,
January 2012 46
Where do you most regularly access the Internet? Respondents indicating that they use the Internet at least once a month, N=63
5
2
7
10
21
26
28
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
No response/Don't know
Relatives' or friends' home
School
Work
Home
Cell phone or mobile connection
Internet café